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The Information Technologist: An International Journal of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) Vol. 16 No.

1, June 2019

15
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE FOR ETHIOPIA:
OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES

Frehiwot Gebrekrstos Girmay*

*Frehiwot Gebrekrstos Girmay is currently a Lecturer at Aksum University College of Engineering and Technology, Department of Computing
Technology. She holds a Bachelor of Computer Science degree from Mekelle University and a Masters of Information Technology (MScIT)
degree from Aksum University Ethiopia. Her areas of research interest include: Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, Human Computer
Interaction, Mobile Computing and Data mining. E-mail: marsii143@gmail.com

Abstract
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has wide range of applications in all areas and is gaining the
understanding of the society as necessity instead of luxury. AI start ups are working to improve the
quality of social interactions (social good), Education, Agriculture, manufacturing, health and
medicine and public services. Hence the cost of not developing AI or developing it late is enormous.
Despite the opportunities AI technologies may offer, there is a real risk that without thoughtful
intervention it may in fact exacerbate structural, economic, social, and political imbalances, and
further reinforce entrenched inequalities. For regulators and policymakers around the world, uneven
access to technology remains a major concern because of its potential impacts on social and
economic inequality. The author has conducted an exploratory research by reviewing related
literatures on AI opportunities and challenges from experiences of the developed world and
provided a discussion to identify the potential opportunities and expected challenges for AI adoption
and implementation in Ethiopia. Finally the author has recommended what should be done.

Key Words: Artificial, Intelligence,, Exploratory, Research, Skills, Infrastructure, Data, Privacy

Introduction

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Artificial Intelligence For Ethiopia: Opportunities and Challenges

AI is an area of computer science devoted to the field, which has largely been driven by
developing systems that can be taught or advances in ‗machine learning‘, and the
learn to make decisions and predictions related field of ‗deep learning‘. These are
within specific contexts. AI applications can computer programs that learn and improve
perform a wide range of intelligent with experience. Progress in machine
behaviors: optimization (e.g., supply chains); learning has allowed more versatile AI
pattern recognition and detection (e.g., facial systems to be developed that can perform
recognition); prediction and hypothesis well at a range of tasks, particularly those
testing (e.g., predicting disease outbreaks); that involve sorting data, finding patterns,
natural language processing; and machine and making predictions (see Figure 1). The
translation. AI technologies are poised to training process can involve in practice
have a significant impact on society because adjusting for millions of parameters relative
they leverage existing infrastructure (the to computational efforts of the machine
internet, large datasets) to dramatically being used with ―astronomically more
reduce the costs of activities (both new and possible outcomes than any algorithm could
old, good and bad) on a large scale. ever hope to try
(Matthew Smith, 2018).
Although AI is not new, there has been a
recent explosion of activity and interest in

Fig. 1: Artificial intelligence, machine learning and deep learning (World Wide Web Foundation, 2017)

AI in Ethiopia excellence which is identified by the


There are some initiatives to make Ethiopia a ministry of science and technology to be
giant center of excellence for Artificial established in Addis Ababa Science and
Intelligence in Africa. According to some, Technology University with the aim of
the AI sector is burgeoning in Ethiopia, with establishing state of the art center of
various reports indicating that the country is excellence that could serve the university
becoming a thriving center for AI research community, researchers at the national and
and development and robotics. This might be global levels in the fields of AI and robotics.
culminated with the involvement of It could also be the hub for researchers to
Ethiopians (more than 50 percent) in the perform real problem solving research
software programming of Sophia - a human- projects in the field of AI and robotics.
like robot powered by artificial intelligence
(AI) and capable of over 60 different facial Related Work
mechanisms to create natural-looking Plenty of litratures have been written on the
expressions (Robel yohannes,2018) and the pros and cons of AI in the developed
establishment of AI and Robotics centers of countries and few in the developing ones.

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Daniel and Joshua (2016) wrote a paper on tends to tackle new problems on which little
promises of AI in different domains like or no previous research has been done
education, agriculture, healthcare, business (Brown, R.B., 2006).So far no published
and industry, governance etc .The limitation researches are available regarding Artificial
of this paper is it didn`t try to deal with the intelligence in Ethiopia and this paper aims
negative sides(challenges) of AI. Another to contribute some knowledge as a bases to
research by Gerlind & Blandine etl.(2017) explore the opportunities and challenges of
presented the influence of AI and robotics on AI in Ethiopia. The author elaborated the
the work force focusing only on the risks this ideas stated in the paper by mentioning
technology will bring on employment. The related litratures written from other countries
last and closely related paper explores the experiencing the adoption and
opportunities and challenges for AI in India implementation of AI and some initiatives
(Shivaram & Rahul, 2017). The paper added began in Ethiopia.
up another opportunity of AI in Scaling up
NLP for Indian society as more than 700 Discussion
languages are spoken in India. It also gives AI is a vast body of knowledge and can be
insights that developing countries can also useful in various activities of our lives. AI
build AI based economy but this doesn`t provides a greater opportunity of sustainable
mean that all developing countries have development in the areas of communication,
exactly same challenge in adopting and education, agriculture, medicine and
implementing AI. All opportunities of AI healthcare, manufacturing industry,
might be closely similar for every country governance, national defense and security.
but the potential it requires to adopt and On the other hand, AI Like any other
implement it (challenge) highly differs technology comes with its own challenges
especially the skill, infrastructure, data and and risks such as lack of STEM skills, data,
level of security required to build and control IT infrastructure, privacy issues and
it . This paper will explore AI in Ethiopia. eliminating some types of jobs especially for
developing countries like Ethiopia. Below is
Methods and Procedures a discussion of what opportunities Ethiopia
The paper has followed exploratory research will benefit and what a challenge has to face
method. Exploratory research design does in the long run in the adoption and
not aim to provide the final and conclusive implementation of AI as one of the
answers to the research questions, but merely developing countries.
explores the research topic with varying
levels of depth (John Dudovskiy,2016) and

Opportunities

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Artificial Intelligence For Ethiopia: Opportunities and Challenges

Communication either monolingual or bilingual, language


Scaling up NLP/ASR for Ethiopian becomes naturally a barrier for
Languages communication and accessing information.
Ethiopia‘s population is highly diverse, People from all the ethnic groups are
containing over 80 different ethnic groups. expected to speak in Amharic which is the
Most people in Ethiopia speak Afro-Asiatic national language of the country and this
languages, mainly of creates competition to dominate one
the Cushitic and Semitic branches. The language over another so as to use mother
former includes the Oromo and Somali, and language for official purposes too. This can
the latter includes the Amharic and Tigray. be one reason for ethnic conflicts. AI is
Together these four groups make up three- working towards everyone should be
quarters of the population. The country also understood goal. Natural Language
has Omotic ethnic minorities who Processing (NLP) and Automatic Speech
speak Afro-Asiatic languages of Recognition (ASR) have a long history as
the Omotic branch. They inhabit the research topics within AI. Substantive
southern regions of the country, particularly progress made on these topics has resulted in
the Southern Nations, Nationalities and viable systems for machine translations,
Peoples' Region. Among these are spoken dialogue, sentiment analysis, and
the Welayta and Gamo. Nilo-Saharan- social media analysis (Hirschberg and
speaking Nilotic ethnic minorities also Manning,2015).To provide an illustration the
inhabit the southwestern regions of the author experimented with Google
country, particularly in the Gambela Region. translation, widely considered to be a leading
Among these are the Nuer and Anuak who service for machine translation. (Figure 2)
are also found in South Sudan which borders shows the translation returned for relatively
the Gambela Region (Ethiopian census, simple English word to Amharic.
2007). Large number of this population is

Fig. 2: simple Google translation from English to Amharic

There might happen several obvious such as search and speech interfaces, and
mistakes in translation but the path to robust same language subtitling in videos to
digital local language library could be paved improve functional literacy(Shivaram &
by bringing more content in each language Rahul, 2017).
into the digital domain, providing services

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Agriculture

85% of Ethiopian population depends on Agricultural monitoring, in particular in


agriculture for livelihood. It is estimated that developing countries, can improve food
795 million people of the world still live production and support humanitarian efforts
without an adequate food supply (FAO in light of climate change and droughts
2015), and by 2050 there will be two billion (Dodds and Bartram 2016).Remote sensing
more people to feed (Dodd‘s and Bartram has recently garnered much interest than the
2016). Ending hunger and improving food traditional survey based approaches because
security are primary goals in the 2030 of absence of available data about weather,
Agenda for Sustainable Development of the soil properties, and precise land cover in
United Nations (United Nations 2015). A developing countries which is highly needed
central challenge to address food security for reliable crop yield prediction
issues is yield estimation, namely being able
to predict crop yields well before harvesting.

Forecasting Crop Yields from Space

Yield prediction, one of the most categories: harvestable, not harvestable, and
significant topics in precision agriculture, is fruits with disregarded maturation stage. In
of high importance for yield mapping, yield addition, the method estimated the weight
estimation, matching of crop supply with and the maturation percentage of the coffee
demand, and crop management to increase fruits. The aim of this work was to provide
productivity. Examples of ML applications information to coffee growers to optimize
include in those in the works of (Ramos & economic benefits and plan their agricultural
Prieto. etl.) an efficient, low-cost, and non- work. Descartes Labs has adapted deep-
destructive method that automatically learning image-analysis software to analyze
counted coffee fruits on a branch. The satellite photos of farmland to forecast crop
method calculates the coffee fruits in three yields faster and more accurately than

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Artificial Intelligence For Ethiopia: Opportunities and Challenges

official government estimates. The software conditions. The most widely used practice in
can produce estimates of crop production on pest and disease control is to uniformly spray
a weekly basis by comparing daily pesticides over the cropping area. This
photographs of 3 million square kilometers practice, although effective, has a high
of corn farms with less than a one percent financial and significant environmental cost.
margin of error, allowing farmers, insurers, Environmental impacts can be residues in
commodities traders, and governments to crop products, side effects on ground water
make more informed decisions. (Elizabeth contamination, impacts on local wildlife and
borneman, 2017) eco-systems, and so on. ML is an integrated
part of precision agriculture management,
Spot-Treating Crops where agro-chemicals input is targeted in
Another most significant concern in terms of time and place (Konstantinos G.
agriculture is pest and disease control in and Dionysis et.l, 2018)
open-air (arable farming) and greenhouse

A company called Blue River herbicide directly on them, rather than the
Technology has developed a robotic system whole field. LettuceBot‘s algorithms can
called LettuceBot that can drive through a differentiate between photos of lettuce
field, take 5,000 photos of plants per minute, sprouts and weeds in 0.02 seconds (leanna
and use computer-vision algorithms to garfield, 2016)
identify weeds and spray targeted bursts of

Education

Education is widely accepted to be a research suggests that better education yields


fundamental resource, both for individuals higher individual income and contributes
and societies. Regarding the consequences of towards the construction of social capital and
education, a growing body of empirical long-term economic growth. (Max and

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Esteban, 2019).Personalized learning and mentioned below as a Contribution of AI in


Customizing /Localizing content are Education.

Personalized learning

Perhaps the key move away from a An ITS assesses each learner‘s actions
teacher-centered learning process is the within these interactive environments and
development of personalized learning. One develops a model of their knowledge, skills,
way to provide this is through intelligent and expertise. Based on the learner model, it
tutoring systems (ITS), also known as can tailor instructional strategies, in terms of
cognitive tutors. An ITS is typically an both the content and style, and provides
expert system that attempts to recreate one- relevant explanations, hints, examples,
on-one instruction by adapting and demonstrations, and practice problems to
personalizing the learning experience to the individual learners see Figure 1 below.
individual learner (Matthew Smith, 2018).

Fig 3: Structure of an intelligent tutor (Phobun and Vicheanpanya, 2010)

ITS is also beginning to incorporate language processing and speech recognition


other AI techniques to enhance instruction. to help identify language errors or interact
Some ITS known as affective tutoring with students in novel ways. Let`s mention
systems also incorporate emotional examples where we can use AI for
recognition as a means to enhance the personalized learning.
tutoring adaptation to the student (Petrovica
et al. 2017). ITS can also apply natural

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Artificial Intelligence For Ethiopia: Opportunities and Challenges

Learning at scale

Providing quality learning at scale with to achieve the lofty goal of delivering high-
low cost is a challenge of the education quality learning at scale, particularly to
system. Addressing this challenge requires marginalized populations. This overcomes
increasing access to improved connectivity, the bottlenecks that arise when engaging
coupled with online digital learning with large numbers of students — chiefly the
approaches such as massive open online lack of human resources to provide
courses (MOOCs).This has improved the individualized feedback, guidance, and
capacity to provide a large number of people assessment of student performance. A
with quality educational content and combination of AI techniques can help
experiences. While early evidence on handle high student loads. Furthermore,
MOOCs shows that people With higher developments in automated scoring using
levels of education and socio-economic natural language processing and other
status tend to benefit disproportionately techniques enable the mass grading of
(Christensen et al. 2013; Hansen and Reich quizzes, exams, and essays.
2015), some research illustrates that certain
types of MOOCs – such as those offering job
related training can benefit users from low-
and middle-income populations in the Global
South (Garrido et al.2016).AI techniques
have the potential to build-on online learning

Customizing/Localizing Content

AI techniques can also help improve leverage Google‘s AI-powered translation


educational content at low cost, for example tool to translate children‘s e-books into as
by providing automated translation of many as 60 different languages. Indeed, the
existing works into new languages or ability to leverage automatic translation
leveraging AI to create new content. For should greatly facilitate the localization and
example, the Pratham Books StoryWeaver use of high-quality open educational
platform is working with Google.org to resources (freely available, typically digital

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educational materials) in the Global South the automated creation of personalized study
(Smith, 2013) uses ML techniques to create guides, quizzes, and tests, which would be
custom textbooks. Instructors feed their particularly helpful in massive online
syllabi and material into the AI engine and learning environments. No significant
the system creates textbooks and classroom progress has been done in incorporating AI
material based on the core concepts it based education in Ethiopia so far.
extracts. Another company, Content
Technologies, Inc., One can also envision

Manufacturing Industry

Ethiopia is currently following successful by producing quality products


Agriculture-lead-industrialization policy efficiently and this requires high level of
where industrial developments require an automation where machines can operate
input from the agricultural sector. It is without interruptions and they have to find
encouraging local and attracting foreign markets, promotion and increasing sales for
investors from different countries by their products. Below are examples where
building industrial parks across big cities of the industry can take advantage of the
the country. Even Small enterprises are rapidly growing technology of AI
increasing from time to time. Having cheap applications.
labor force makes Ethiopia preferable by
foreign investors while they need to be

Automating production activities

Siemens AG has built a manufacturing monitoring the factory floor and operating
facility in Amberg, Germany, that relies on computer systems. (SIEMENS Press, 2017)
1,000
Networked manufacturing units Predicting machine break down before
automatically coordinating with one another happening
to retrieve and fabricate components without Analytics company DataRPM has developed
human oversight. The facility is a tool called Cognitive Predictive
approximately 75 percent autonomous, Maintenance that uses machine learning to
allowing its human employees to focus on monitor machine-component performance

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Artificial Intelligence For Ethiopia: Opportunities and Challenges

through networked sensors in real time to maintenance is needed 300 percent more
detect early warning signs that a machine accurately and 30 times faster than
might be breaking down to prompt traditional methods, saving its customers 30
preventative maintenance. Servicing percent in maintenance costs (Anoop
machines before they break down is more Premachandran, 2017)
cost effective than fixing them after they
break and DataRPM can predict when

Figure 4: The predictive maintenance process (Deloitte university press, 2017)

Market forecasting

Italian dairy producer Granarolo forecasting tool, which learns to identify the
implemented a machine-learning tool that relationship between Granarolo‘s thousands
analyzes data about sales estimates and of promotions per year and demand
planned promotions, which can increase fluctuations, Granarolo was able to
sales 30-fold,to forecast how much its dairy significantly increase its forecast reliability,
farms should produce and when. Because reduce inventory levels and delivery times
dairy is perishable, overestimating demand by 50 percent, and increase sales (Supply
for a particular period can result in large Chain Technology, 2019)
quantities of wasted products, while
underestimating demand can cause diaries to
miss out on potential sales. With its

Health Care and Medicine

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Continuous technological developments aimed at assisting the effort to realize


in healthcare have saved countless lives and equitable and accessible health service
improved the quality of life for even more. across the country and Among the
Not only has technology changed companies that are working together with the
experiences for patients and their families, Ministry is Zipline which has successfully
but it‘s also had a huge impact on medical tested the technology in Rwanda (Yohanes
processes and the practices of healthcare Jemaneh, 2018). A more advanced form of
professionals (Bianca Banova, 2018).In the technology (AI) is contributing more to
case of Ethiopia, the ministry of health Global health and some examples are
announced that Ethiopia is getting ready to mentioned below.
use drone technology in medical supply

Prevention and screening disease

An automated microscope called Auto does not necessarily mean a person will
scope uses an artificial neural network to contract the disease Auto scope can
rapidly analyze blood samples in the field differentiate between specific particles in a
and diagnose malaria with 90 percent blood sample to quantify the number of
accuracy. Traditional rapid diagnostic malaria parasites to determine if a diagnosis
methods can only determine if the malaria is warranted (Daniel and Joshua, 2016).
parasite is present in a blood sample, which

Treatment & Monitoring

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Artificial Intelligence For Ethiopia: Opportunities and Challenges

Glooko is a global diabetes data improvement can be made in patient


management company which provides outcomes (GoodWorkLabs, 2018)
HIPAA-compliant and widely compatible
mobile and web apps. These apps Public Services
synchronize with diabetes care devices and Public sector organizations are increasingly
activity trackers to collect data like insulin, interested in using data science and artificial
blood pressure, blood glucose, diet, and intelligence capabilities to deliver policy and
weight. Glooko collects data from over 180 generate efficiencies in high-uncertainty
exercise and diabetes care devices and then environments. Ethiopia has experienced the
correlates it with exercise, food, medication, use of AI to gather violent social media
and other relevant data to deliver insights information in 2018. Some applications of
with clinical care and self- AI where the public sector can take
management.These apps will contribute a lot advantage of are listed below.
to self-management and also sizeable

E-governance

Researchers at Stanford University have


developed a prototype machine-learning
algorithm that can analyze satellite imagery
to map impoverished areas in Africa, which
can help governments and development
organizations improve aid efforts.
Researchers have previously analyzed
nighttime satellite images that use light
levels as a measure of economic activity, but
this approach is not reliable for low-light or
densely populated areas. The Stanford
researchers‘ algorithm learned to identify
4,096 markers of economic activity in
daylight images, such as roads and
waterways, and by combining this data with
light-level analysis, the algorithm was able
to predict impoverished areas more reliably
than traditional methods (Michelle horton,
2016)

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Transportations

The first self-driving electric shuttle for use approaching truckers. The system analyzes
on public roads has taken to the road in videos of truck stops and can distinguish
the Netherlands. The "WEpod" took six between open and occupied spaces with 95
passengers down a 200m stretch of street in percent accuracy, which is more reliable than
the first trial of its kind. Autonomous public systems that rely on sensors embedded in
transportation does exist in other parts of the pavement (Kevin Coss, 2016)
world, such as the ParkShuttle bus in
Rotterdam, the Heathrow Pod in London and National Security
the LUTZ Pathfinder in Milton Keynes, A 2017 report by the World Wide Web
which run on special single trajectory lanes, Foundation suggested that Ethiopian
or in pedestrianised areas. The WEpods in “intelligence services are using machine
Gelderland will drive on regular roads intelligence techniques to break encryption
amongst public traffic. During its test phase and find patterns in social media posts that
it will not travel in challenging conditions, can be used to identify dissidents.‖ And
such as in rush hour traffic, at night or in bad while mobile phone and internet penetration
weather. A control room will monitor the in Ethiopia is comparatively poor — a
vehicle and safety of its passengers. The six- situation made worst amid widespread anti-
person vehicle has a maximum speed of 25 government protests, which prompted an
kilometers per hour. (Madhumita Murgia, internet crackdown in February. The report
2016). Researchers at the University of added that government surveillance and
Minnesota have developed a computer- oppression could increase as the use of smart
vision system that analyzes truck parking phones expand (Thomas Lewton and Alice
lots along the highway to automatically McCool, 2018)
detect when a spot is available and notify

Challenges

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Artificial Intelligence For Ethiopia: Opportunities and Challenges

Despite the unlimited opportunities AI is pattern with AI skeptics and antagonists


providing and will provide in various areas, have engaged in hyperbolic and emotional
there is and will be a great challenge to adopt rhetoric that the media then repeats and
and implement it. The challenge may differ amplifies. This phase of panic has been
from developed nations to the developing marked by apocalyptic and dystopian
ones. Eliminating job opportunities and imagery for AI, including Elon Musk‘s
privacy issues as a result of AI disruption warning that it could be ―summoning the
might be the primary concerns of the demon‖ that destroys the human race
developed nations. According to researchers (Robert D. Atkinson 2018).In case of the
from the University Oxford, AI and robotics developing nations the cost to develop or
will destroy 47 percent of U.S. jobs in 20 adopt AI is more challenging while sharing
years; one Silicon Valley pundit has claimed the consequences of AI disruption with the
that it will destroy 80 to 90 percent of U.S. developed nations .What makes developing
jobs in the next 10 to 15 years. And not to be AI challenging for the developing nations is
outdone, Kevin Drum writes in Mother high digital illiteracy, lack of STEM skills,
Jones that all jobs will be gone in 40 years. data and low infrastructures and Ethiopia
As a result of this sort of unquestioning falls in this category. The cost of not
hysteria, the public is bombarded with developing artificial intelligence or
overblown fears and a false sense of developing it more slowly will be enormous:
urgency. Because of the crowded field of lower growth in per-capital incomes, slower
opinion and analysis, the media tends to progress in areas such as health and
recognize those with the most outrageous environment, and reduced improvement of
claims, setting a pattern whereby it quality of a wide array of public and private
continuously escalates the perceived goods and services (Robert D. Atkinson,
implications, challenges, and threats brought 2016)
by the new technology. This has been the

Skills

The extent to which the AI may disrupt of labor by machines. What`s new is the kind
the labor markets is difficult to measure. It`s of jobs AI will allow to be automated. The
clear that as AI becomes more advanced, it negative impact for certain workers in
will result in the increased automation of certain fields shouldn`t blind us to likely
work. This trend may or may not result in benefits of increased productivity in terms of
mass job dislocation. However, some low economic performance and job-creation
skilled jobs are clearly vulnerable to elsewhere in the economy. Government
automation and improvements in AI policies that promote economic growth and
technologies will certainly result in the loss help dislocated workers in order to maximize
`of some jobs. It`s important to recognize the benefits of AI it is vital that populations
that AI is like any, many other technological in low and middle income countries have the
developments that has led to the replacement skills to develop and deliver programs. This

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is the case for all levels of society. For poor other side there are jobs that will be created
communities, STEM skills could be a path to as a result of involvement of AI in the work
economic empowerment. For programs environment. Below are list of jobs that will
intended to work under government be created, jobs to be eliminated as a result
supervision, there is the need to be mindful of automation and jobs on demand according
of the limited government capacity in many to (Gerlind & Blandine etl. 2017).
low and middle income countries. On the

New Job Types

Despite eliminating some sort of jobs due to automation, there are some kinds of popular
jobs to be emerged in the AI time.

Data Scientist

Data science is believed to be the sexiest theories, this new occupational group will
job of 21 century. A data scientist is an draw up forecasts. Comprehensive IT
expert responsible for structuring huge knowledge is vital for this complex task.
volumes of data collected by data analyses. This includes the relevant programming
This includes the research of both the data languages and writing complex
and their structure or origin, to supplement programming codes. In addition, a data
incomplete data sets and to create links scientist must be familiar with the business
between abstract data sets. Big data processes of the company in order to be able
developers, by contrast, deal with the set-up, to create reasonable links. Therefore, basic
processing and storage of huge unstructured knowledge of business administration,
data volumes in companies, whereas data economics, stochastic and marketing is vital.
artists are primarily responsible for the In addition to this comprehensive
graphic presentation and editing of data knowledge, interpersonal qualities are also
volumes. required. A data scientist must be able to
The data scientist role has been in adapt their services to the expectations of
existence only for a few years and will gain customers or the employer and to
importance in the future. On the basis of communicate.
statistical calculations using probability

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Artificial Intelligence For Ethiopia: Opportunities and Challenges

Crowd Worker

Crowd workers are freelancers who offer more comprehensive work, such as testing
their skills via their computers on online software, providing legal advice,
platforms. Crowd working is a symbol of a ghostwriting or designing and programming
changing world of work for white-collar a website. These bigger and more
workers in the gig economy. This covers meaningful tasks are regularly summarized
smaller tasks, such as writing product under the term ‗crowd sourcing‘.
reviews, searching for phone numbers, and

Simple physical work

New high-end jobs will be created, but other jobs in the local area, mostly in low-
there will be an increase in the low-wage, skilled and medium-skilled in-person
non-routine sector as well. There are positive services. These non-routine manual
spillover effects from high-tech employment occupations are service jobs, such as
to low-tech employment, especially in the janitors, gardeners, manicurists or home
form of in-person services. Creating one health aides.
high-tech job will create between 2.5 to 4.4

Jobs at High Risk of Elimination

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High routine occupation front of a computer screen and processes and


Accountant, court clerk or desk officer at interprets data is at high risk. According to a
fiscal authorities owing to the high level of study by ING-Diba conducted in 2015, the
routine in their performance, these jobs will probability of the relevant job being
mainly be done independently by software. eliminated is 89 per cent.
Almost every job where an employee sits in

As a result of the simplification of the independent and is repeated with certain


tax returns, there is a 72 per cent probability regularity. Many supplier operations have
that the job of assistant tax consultant will be thus been planning already for some time to
eliminated. eliminate many jobs in production and have
Simple physical work/manual work the work performed by robots. It is
Simple work mostly carried out by mere acknowledged that even in low-labor-cost
physical strength will be increasingly, but countries, such as China, traditional factory
never completely, performed by machines in workers are gradually being replaced by
the future. The decisive criterion remains the robots. Whether it will be possible to retrain
level of routine. The efficient use of a traditional assembly line workers to be IT
machine rather than a human employee is experts or account managers is a different
possible only if the process can be made matter.

Dismissal of employees as a result of above, by way of example, will be the


digitalization inevitable consequence. The ability to affect
If retraining the employees is out of the such collective redundancies may be
question (eg, the employees working in those constrained by labor law but the rules vary
jobs will not be able to be trained for a from country to country.
highly qualified job because of their own
lack of ability concerning digitalization) or if
the technical reorganization will reduce the
number of employees to such extent that not
all employees can be retrained, collective
redundancies in the fields of work listed

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Artificial Intelligence For Ethiopia: Opportunities and Challenges

Jobs in Demand
IT management and science

IT and science professions, in particular, physical, mathematical, and engineering


as well as media science and humanistic professionals, life science and health
professions, will initially benefit from the professionals, in other words, typical jobs
increase in investments and the associated related to science, technology, engineering
growth in the area of Industry 4.0. The and mathematics (STEM) that can be found
probability of jobs being eliminated in the in parts of both manufacturing and services.
area of the sciences (physics, biology, These high-paying occupations will not be
information technology and chemistry) is eliminated; on the contrary, the number of
10%. In addition to executive employees employees in those occupations will rise.
(11%), the prospects are similarly good for Afterwards, the teaching, legal and advisory
physicians (only 1%), which is due to the professions will participate in the gains
ageing European population. In the next ten caused by the numerous reorganizations and
years, the IT service sector will experience technical upgrades.
the greatest boom. Typically, high-paying
occupations are corporate managers,

Teaching professions

Teaching professions is not limited to the additional qualifications up to internationally


areas of school, university and vocational acknowledged degrees is also increasing, so
training, but in particular, possibilities of even the individual employee is under
further and advanced training for adults. This pressure to obtain additional degrees in order
professional group benefits from the need of to stand out against well-educated
companies to spend more money on the colleagues. There is a general trend towards
education of employees and the achievement more education. More education leads to
of further key qualifications for new and more jobs for teachers even if there are
existing employees. The number of young fewer attendance seminars, more webinars
professionals with a university degree is and more online workshops in the future.
already increasing year by year. The range of

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Humanistic, social science, media science and artistic professions

Creative professions have benefited in all humanities and media scholars, increasing
respects in recent decades, and humans in demand is forecast for their professions. In
these professions will not be replaced by the future, the end user will still demand
machines in the future either. Whether they creative entertainment options and
are superstars with their music, artists with graphically appealing presentations.
their works or authors and actors with their
literary or cinematic works, or simply

Special cases: Lawyers

Even if the risk of being replaced by be automated in the next 20 years.


intelligent software or a machine is low for Moreover, it can be observed that more and
members of the legal profession (3-5%), the more companies are working with on fees.
following examples show that technical Private clients also want to have a better
development is taking place also in this overview of the lawyers‘ fees, so more and
sector. Algorithms not only make the work more law firms are forced to offer fixed
easier for lawyers, but also allow them to prices and to invest in digital innovations
offer fixed prices. It is therefore logical that because of the pressure from their clients and
according to a study conducted by Deloitte, increased competition.
100,000 jobs in the English legal sector will

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Artificial Intelligence For Ethiopia: Opportunities and Challenges

Doctors and nursing Staff

Like lawyers, doctors and nursing staff Additionally, software technology based on
are far from being replaced. However, in this artificial intelligence, called ‗Watson
sector too, technical possibilities can lead to Health‘, will help doctors to diagnose
staff reduction. In some cases, machines are various illnesses by reconciling patient data
able to work faster, more accurately, and with medical knowledge collected in a cloud.
more efficiently than the best humans. It will Finally, the demographic change, at least in
no longer be possible to imagine hospitals Western Europe, will lead to an increase of
without robots in the future. Their tasks will jobs in this sector because the population is
be, for example, to move people out of their constantly ageing and modern medicine is
wheelchairs or their beds or even help the one reason for this.
doctors to perform surgery on people.

Infrastructure

Although AI technologies can have unequal access (Gasser, Ryan & Amar,
global impacts, development has often been 2018) some of the optimism about the
limited both geographically and by sector, application of AI in developing countries
with a small number of companies driving like Ethiopia rests on the ubiquity of mobile
forward these technologies with little input phones. Yet, across low and middle income
from different industries, disciplines, social countries, internet and mobile penetration
classes, cultures, and countries. For that varies significantly between urban and rural
reason, there is a risk that increased reliance areas, age groups and genders (World Wide
on AI may have unintended consequences Web Foundation, 2017)
that aggravate current disparities,
particularly in countries that rely on
industries at risk of being automated.
However, with the help of strategic policies,
AI technologies might be harnessed to
overcome the persistent challenges posed by

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Data

The use of AI to develop solutions to such as disparities in digital infrastructure


address inequalities is promising but also and technological literacy, and face AI-
raises novel challenges for policy makers specific challenges, such as a lack of
and regulators. For example, many representative data sets(Gasser, Ryan &
companies are working to use AI and Amar, 2018). Besides Data and AI are
machine learning to provide alternative interconnected, and there is no AI without
credit scoring to the unbanked in developing data. AI will be used to either assist or
countries, using data gathered from cell replace humans at making certain types of
phone usage to assess credit-worthiness. decisions, and if AI start to make ethical and
While this has the potential to facilitate political decisions for us, then this means
access to credit for many individuals, the that the study of ethics and ethics training
quality of the input data depends on existing are now more important than ever. In light of
infrastructure, digital literacy, and cultural these concerns, the government is putting
practices underlying cell phone usage. ethics at the core of how the United
Innovative applications of AI technologies, Kingdom develops and harnesses the power
such as alternative credit scoring, will inherit of AI and automation (AI in UK, 2018)
both the old challenges of the digital divide,

Eliminating Job Opportunities

Ethiopia will not be different to the dates back at least to the 1930s, when John
global AI web which is beginning to uproot Maynard Keynes postulated his
workers from their jobs as a result of ‗technological unemployment theory‘
automation. Technological development, and technological change causes loss of jobs
in particular digitalization, has major (Keynes, 1937). Technological innovations
implications for labor markets. Assessing its can affect employment in two main ways: by
impact will be crucial for developing directly displacing workers from tasks they
policies that promote efficient labor markets were previously performing (displacement
for the benefit of workers, employers and effect) by increasing the demand for labor in
societies as a whole. Rapid technological industries or jobs that arise or develop due to
progress and innovation can threaten technological progress (productivity effect).
employment. Such a concern is not new but

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Artificial Intelligence For Ethiopia: Opportunities and Challenges

The (Economist, 2016) reports further case engine of technological progress in the AI
studies that show similar patterns. era is the continuous development of deep
In general, past industrial revolutions machine-learning techniques that use the
suggest that in the short run the displacement function and complexity of the human brain
effect may dominate. But in the longer run, as a model for design (Petropoulos,
when markets and society are fully adapted 2017).Machines are trained to be intelligent,
to major automation shocks, the productivity which can have additional implications for
effect can dominate and have a positive the workforce.
impact on employment. Moreover, the main

Privacy Issues

While not yet the focus of as much facial recognition software gives closed-
techno-panic as the effects of AI on human circuit TV systems the capacity to track
existence and jobs, some have argued that AI individuals as they move through the urban
will destroy privacy, through its ability to landscape. This is concerning both socially
more automatically collect and analyze and politically, as privacy is key to other
information (ROBERT D. ATKINSON, fundamental rights such as freedom of
2016). More recently, Globe and Mail expression and association (Matthew Smith,
reporter Carly Weeks writes that ―new and 2018)
ever-expanding ways computer technology
can search, store and archive information Conclusion
about all of us means that, in many ways, the AI has got an application area in every sector
notion of privacy is becoming obsolete.‖ and becoming a necessity other than a luxury
Matthew Aylett, a computer scientist at especially in today`s world. On the other
Edinburgh University argues that ―Given hand adopting and implementing AI comes
enough data sources you can find out things with its own challenges which are more
that people didn‘t realize. Take the classic visible in the developing countries. Ethiopia
idea that if you know people‘s positions on will be either directly or indirectly affected
their phone, you can tell where they move by the high disruption of artificial
about and guess where they work and where intelligence because of its socio-economic
they live. It is very exciting for companies, and political relations with other countries
who can sell things to you based on that.‖ To who are adopting and implementing artificial
be sure, AI, like any technology, can be used intelligence. Hence not adopting AI or
unethically or irresponsibly. But resistance slowly adopting it may lead to AI divide
to AI because of this concern fails to which can affect the country`s economy.
recognize a key point: AI systems are not
independent from their developers and, more Recommendation
importantly, from the organizations using Ethiopia is a developing country and it might
them. (Robert D. Atkinson, 2016). AI lack the potential to build AI companies but
algorithms supercharge surveillance and the government can find partners to work
threaten privacy. For example, AI-powered with. Besides the government should work

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on eliminating digital illiteracy and Food and Agriculture of the United Nations, (2015)
developing the STEM skills of the work The State of Food and Agriculture Social
protection and agriculture: breaking the cycle
force either by formal education or training. of rural poverty, 2015
More over transferring paper based
information to a computer based system is Garrido et al, (2016) Advancing MOOCs for
necessary as data and AI are interconnected. Development Initiative.
Last but not least AI like other technologies Gasser, Ryan Budi sh, Amar Ashar, (2018),Artificial
require Policy and strategy of adoption and Intelligence (AI) for Development Series
implementation and the government need to Module on Setting the Stage for AI
work towards building a legal framework for Governance.
it. The combined effort of these ideas can Gerlind, Blandine etl. (2017) IBA Global
push AI ahead and make Ethiopia Employment Institute, Artificial Intelligence
competitive globally. and Robotics and Their Impact on the
Workplace April 2017
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