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ENGINEERING
Newnan, Lavelle, and Eschenbach
ECONOMIC
ANALYSIS, 12/e Copyright © 2014 by Oxford University Press
Chapter 3

Interest and Equivalence

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Chapter Outline

• Time Value of Money


• Interest Calculations
• Cash Flow Equivalence
• Single Payment Compound Interest
Formulas
• Nominal and Effective Interest Rates

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Learning Objectives

• Understand the concept of “time value of


money”
• Distinguish between simple and
compound interest
• Understand the concept of “equivalence”
of cash flows
• Solve problems using Single Payment
Compound Interest Formulas
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Computing Cash Flows

• Question: Would you rather


• Receive $1000 today; or
• Receive $1000 10 years from today?
• Answer: Of course today!
• Why?
• I could invest $1000 today to make more money
• I could buy a lot of stuff today with $1000
• Who knows what will happen in 10 years

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Computing Cash Flows

• Because money is more valuable today than in


the future, we need to describe cash receipts
and disbursements at time they occur.

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Example 3-1
Cash flows of 2 payment options

To purchase a new $30,000 machine,


• Pay the full price now minus a 3% discount; or
• Pay $5000 now; $8000 at the end of year 1;
and $6000 at the end of each of the next 4
years

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Example 3-1
Cash flows of 2 payment options
Pay in full Pay in 5 years
End of End of
Year Cash Flow Year Cash Flow
0 (now) -$29,100 0 (now) -$5,000
1 0 1 -8,000
2 0 2 -6,000
3 0 3 -6,000
4 0 4 -6,000
5 0 5 -6,000

0 1 2 3 4 5 0 1 2 3 4 5

$5,000
$29,100 $8,000

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Example 3-2
Cash flow for repayment of a loan
To repay a loan of $1,000 at 8% interest in 2 years
• Repay half of $1000 plus interest at the end of each year
$1000
Cash
Yr Interest Balance Repayment Flow
0 1000 1000
1 80 500 500 -580 0 1 2
2 40 0 500 -540

$540
$580

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Time Value of Money

• Money has purchasing power


• Money has earning power
• Money is a valuable asset
• People are will to pay some charges (interests)
to have money available for their use

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Simple Interest

Interest is computed only on the original sum, and


not on accrued interest
𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇𝑇 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒 = 𝑃𝑃 × 𝑖𝑖 × 𝑛𝑛 (3-1)

Where P = Principal
i = Simple annual interest rate
n = Number of years

Amount of money at the end of 𝑛𝑛 years,


𝐹𝐹 = 𝑃𝑃 + 𝑃𝑃 × 𝑖𝑖 × 𝑛𝑛 ( 3-2)

Where F = Amount due at the end of n years

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Example 3-3
Simple Interest Calculation
Loan of $5000 for 5 yrs at simple interest rate of 8%

Total interest earned = $5000(8%)(5) = $2000


Amount due at end of loan = $5000 + 2000 = $7000

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Compound Interest

• Interest is computed on the unpaid balance,


which includes the principal and any unpaid
interest from the preceding period
• Common practice for interest calculation, unless
specifically stated otherwise

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Example 3-4
Compound Interest Calculation
• Loan of $5000 for 5 yrs at interest rate of 8%

Balance at the Balance at the end


Year Beginning of the year Interest of the year
1 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00
2 $5,400.00 $432.00 $5,832.00
3 $5,832.00 $466.56 $6,298.56
4 $6,298.56 $503.88 $6,802.44
5 $6,802.44 $544.20 $7,346.64

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Repaying a Debt
Plan #1: Constant Principal
• Repay of a loan of $5000 in 5 yrs at interest rate of 8%
• Plan #1: Constant principal payment plus interest due

Balance at
the Balance at
Beginning the end of Interest Principal Total
Yr of year Interest year Payment Payment Payment
1 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $1,000.00 $1,400.00
2 $4,000.00 $320.00 $4,320.00 $320.00 $1,000.00 $1,320.00
3 $3,000.00 $240.00 $3,240.00 $240.00 $1,000.00 $1,240.00
4 $2,000.00 $160.00 $2,160.00 $160.00 $1,000.00 $1,160.00
5 $1,000.00 $80.00 $1,080.00 $80.00 $1,000.00 $1,080.00

Subtotal $1,200.00 $5,000.00 $6,200.00

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Repaying a Debt
Plan #2: Interest Only
• Repay of a loan of $5000 in 5 yrs at interest rate of 8%
• Plan #2: Annual interest payment and principal payment at end of 5 yrs

Balance at
the Balance at
Beginning the end of Interest Principal Total
Yr of year Interest year Payment Payment Payment
1 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $0.00 $400.00
2 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $0.00 $400.00
3 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $0.00 $400.00
4 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $0.00 $400.00
5 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $5,000.00 $5,400.00

Subtotal $2,000.00 $5,000.00 $7,000.00

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Repaying a Debt
Plan #3: Constant Payment
• Repay of a loan of $5000 in 5 yrs at interest rate of 8%
• Plan #3: Constant annual payments
Balance at
the Balance at
Beginning the end of Interest Principal Total
Yr of year Interest year Payment Payment Payment
1 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $852.28 $1,252.28
2 $4,147.72 $331.82 $4,479.54 $331.82 $920.46 $1,252.28
3 $3,227.25 $258.18 $3,485.43 $258.18 $994.10 $1,252.28
4 $2,233.15 $178.65 $2,411.80 $178.65 $1,073.63 $1,252.28
5 $1,159.52 $92.76 $1,252.28 $92.76 $1,159.52 $1,252.28

Subtotal $1,261.41 $5,000.00 $6,261.41

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Repaying a Debt
Plan #4: All at Maturity
• Repay of a loan of $5000 in 5 yrs at interest rate of 8%
• Plan #4: All payment at end of 5 years
Balance at
the Balance at
Beginning the end of Interest Principal Total
Yr of year Interest year Payment Payment Payment
1 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
2 $5,400.00 $432.00 $5,832.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
3 $5,832.00 $466.56 $6,298.56 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
4 $6,298.56 $503.88 $6,802.44 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
5 $6,802.44 $544.20 $7,346.64 $2,346.64 $5,000.00 $7,346.64

Subtotal $2,346.64 $5,000.00 $7,346.64

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A Closer Look at the 4 Repayment

• Differences:
• Repayment structure (repayment amounts at various
points in time)
• Total payment amount
• Similarities:
• All interest charges were calculated at 8%
• They all achieved the same purpose of repaying the
loan within 5 years

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Equivalence

• If a firm believes 8% was reasonable, it would


have no preference about whether it received
$5000 now or was paid by any of the 4
repayment plans.
• The 4 repayment plans are equivalent to one
another and to $5000 now at 8% interest

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Equivalence

• ratio = total interest paid /total amount owed


at the beginning of year.
Total amount
Total Interest
Plan owed at the ratio
paid
beginning of year

1 $ 1200 $ 15000 0,08


2 2000 25000 0,08
3 1260 15767 0,08
4 2347 29334 0,08
From our calculations, we more easily see why the repayment
plans require the payment of different total sums of money,
yet are actually equivalent to each other.
21
Use of Equivalence in
Engineering Economic Studies
• Using the concept of equivalence, one can
convert different types of cash flows at different
points of time to an equivalent value at a
common reference point
• Equivalence is dependent on interest rate

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Given the choice of these two plans which
would you choose?
Year Plan 1 Plan 2
1 $1400 $400
2 1320 400
3 1240 400
4 1160 400
5 1080 5400
Total $6200 $7000
To make a choice the cash flows must be altered so a
comparison may be made.

23
Technique of Equivalence

• Determine a single equivalent value at a


point in time for plan 1.
• Determine a single equivalent value at a
point in time for plan 2.
Both at the same interest rate.

•Judge the relative attractiveness of the


two alternatives from the comparable
equivalent values.
24
Single Payment
Compound Interest Formulas
Notation:
𝑖𝑖 = interest rate per compounding period
𝑛𝑛 = number of compounding periods
𝑃𝑃 = a present sum of money
𝐹𝐹 = a future sum of money
Single Payment Compound Amount Formula
𝐹𝐹 = 𝑃𝑃(1 + 𝑖𝑖)𝑛𝑛 (3-3)

𝐹𝐹 = 𝑃𝑃(𝐹𝐹 ⁄𝑃𝑃 , 𝑖𝑖, 𝑛𝑛) (3-4)

Find F, given P, at 𝑖𝑖, over 𝑛𝑛

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Single Payment Compound Interest

Beginning Interest for Ending


Year
balance period balance
1 P iP P(1+i)

2 P(1+i) iP(1+i) P(1+i)2

3 P(1+i)2 iP(1+i)2 P(1+i)3

n P(1+i)n-1 iP(1+i)n-1 P(1+i)n

P at time 0 increases to P(1+i)n at the end of time n.


Or a Future sum = present sum (1+i)n

26
Example 3-5 Single Payment
Compound Interest Formulas
$500 were deposited in a saving account (pays 6%
compounded annually) for 3 years
F=?
F = P(1+i)n = 500(1+0.06)3
= $595.50
0 1 2 3 Or
i=6%
F = P(F/P, i, n) = 500(F/P, 6%, 3)
P=500
= 500(1.191) = $595.50

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Single Payment
Compound Interest Formulas
Notation:
𝑖𝑖 = interest rate per compounding period
𝑛𝑛 = number of compounding periods
𝑃𝑃 = a present sum of money
𝐹𝐹 = a future sum of money
Single Payment Present Worth Formula
𝑃𝑃 = 𝐹𝐹(1 + 𝑖𝑖)−𝑛𝑛 (3-5)

𝑃𝑃 = 𝐹𝐹(𝑃𝑃⁄𝐹𝐹, 𝑖𝑖, 𝑛𝑛) (3-6)

Find P, given F, at 𝑖𝑖, over 𝑛𝑛

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Example 3-6 Single Payment
Compound Interest Formulas
Wish to have $800 at the end of 4 years, how much
should be deposited in an account that pays 5% annually?
F=800
P = F(1+i)-n = 800(1+0.05)-4
= $658.16
0 1 2 3 4 Or
i=5%
P = F(P/F, i, n) = 800(P/F, 5%, 4)
P=?
= 800(0.8227) = $658.16

Copyright Oxford University Press 2014


Example 3-7 Single Payment
Compound Interest Formulas
Tabulate the future value factor for interest rates of
5%, 10%, and 15% for n’s from 0 to 20 (in 5’s).
18.000

16.000
15%

n 5% 10% 15% 14.000

0 1.000 1.000 1.000 12.000

5 1.276 1.611 2.011 10.000

10 1.629 2.594 4.046 8.000


10%
15 2.079 4.177 8.137 6.000

20 2.653 6.727 16.367 4.000

2.000 5%
0.000
0 5 10 15 20 25

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Example 3-8 Single Payment
Compound Interest Formulas
$100 were deposited in a saving account (pays 6%
compounded quarterly) for 1 years
F=?
iqtr =1.5%, n = 4 quarters
F = P(1+i)n = 100(1+0.015)4
0 1 2 3 4 = $106.14
i=1.5%
F = P(F/P, i, n) = 100(F/P, 1.5%, 4)
P=100
= 100(1.061) = $106.10

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Nominal and Effective
Interest Rates
Notation:
𝑟𝑟 = Nominal interest rate per year without considering the
effect of any compounding
𝑖𝑖 = Effective interest rate per compounding period
𝑖𝑖𝑎𝑎 = Effective annual interest rate taking into account the
effect of compounding
𝑚𝑚 = Number of compounding periods per year
𝑟𝑟 𝑟𝑟 𝑚𝑚 𝑚𝑚 (3-7)
𝑖𝑖 = , 𝑖𝑖𝑎𝑎 = (1 + ) − 1 = 1 + 𝑖𝑖 −1
𝑚𝑚 𝑚𝑚 (3-8)

For Continuous Compounding 𝑖𝑖 = 𝑒𝑒 𝑟𝑟 − 1 (3-9)

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Example 3-9 Nominal and
Effective Interest Rates
If a credit card charges 1.5% interest every month, what
are the nominal and effective interest rates per year?
𝑟𝑟 = 12 × 1.5% = 18%
𝑟𝑟 𝑚𝑚 0.18 12
𝑖𝑖𝑎𝑎 = (1 + ) − 1 = (1 + ) − 1 = 0.1956
𝑚𝑚 12
18% Compounded Monthly
18% interest: Assume a yearly rate if not stated
Compounded monthly: Indicates 12 periods/year
[18%/year] / [12months/year] = 1.5% / month

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Example 3-10 Application of
Nominal and Effective Interest Rates
“If I give you $100 today, you will write me a check
for $120, which you will redeem or I will cash on your
next payday.”
a) Bi-weekly interest rate = ($120-100)/100 = 20%
Nominal annual rate = 20% * 26 = 520%
b) Effective annual rate
26
𝑟𝑟 𝑚𝑚 520%
𝑖𝑖𝑎𝑎 = (1 + ) − 1 = 1 + − 1 = 113.48
𝑚𝑚 26
c) End-of-the-year balance
𝐹𝐹 = 𝑃𝑃(1 + 𝑖𝑖)𝑛𝑛 = 100(1 + 0.20)26 = $11,448

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Nominal and Effective Interest
(Table 3-3)
Nominal Effective Annual Rate when compounded
Rate Yearly Semiannually Quarterly Monthly Daily Continuously
1% 1% 1.0025% 1.0038% 1.0046% 1.0050% 1.0050%
2% 2% 2.0100% 2.0151% 2.0184% 2.0201% 2.0201%
3% 3% 3.0225% 3.0339% 3.0416% 3.0453% 3.0455%
4% 4% 4.0400% 4.0604% 4.0742% 4.0808% 4.0811%
5% 5% 5.0625% 5.0945% 5.1162% 5.1267% 5.1271%
6% 6% 6.0900% 6.1364% 6.1678% 6.1831% 6.1837%
8% 8% 8.1600% 8.2432% 8.3000% 8.3278% 8.3287%
10% 10% 10.2500% 10.3813% 10.4713% 10.5156% 10.5171%
15% 15% 15.5625% 15.8650% 16.0755% 16.1798% 16.1834%
25% 25% 26.5625% 27.4429% 28.0732% 28.3916% 28.4025%

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Continuous Compounding
Interest Formulas
Effective annual interest rate
(3-9)
𝑟𝑟
𝑖𝑖𝑎𝑎 = 𝑒𝑒 − 1
Single Payment Compound Amount
𝐹𝐹 = 𝑃𝑃 𝐹𝐹 ⁄𝑃𝑃 , 𝑟𝑟, 𝑛𝑛 = 𝑃𝑃(𝑒𝑒 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 ) (3-15)

Single Payment Present Worth


𝑃𝑃 = 𝐹𝐹[𝑃𝑃⁄𝐹𝐹, 𝑟𝑟, 𝑛𝑛] = 𝐹𝐹(𝑒𝑒 −𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 ) (3-16)

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Example 3-11 Application of
Continuous Compounding
How much would be in the account for $2000
deposit in a bank that pays 5% nominal interest,
compounding continuously?
𝐹𝐹 = 𝑃𝑃 𝑒𝑒 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 = 2000𝑒𝑒 (0.05)(2) = $2210.34
or
𝑖𝑖𝑎𝑎 = 𝑒𝑒 𝑟𝑟 − 1 = 𝑒𝑒 0.05 − 1 = 5.1271%
𝐹𝐹 = 𝑃𝑃(1 + 𝑖𝑖)2 = 2000(1 + 5.1271%)2 = $2210.34

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Example 3-13 Application of
Continuous Compounding
How long will it take for money to double at 10%
nominal interest, compounding continuously?
𝐹𝐹 = 𝑃𝑃 𝑒𝑒 𝑟𝑟𝑟𝑟 = 𝑒𝑒 (0.10)(𝑛𝑛) = 2
0.10 𝑛𝑛 = 𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙𝑙 = 0.693
𝑛𝑛 = 6.93 𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦𝑦

Copyright Oxford University Press 2014

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