Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Learning Objectives
Understand the concept of “time value of money”
Distinguish between simple and compound interest
Understand the concept of “equivalence” of cash
flows
Solve problems using Single Payment Compound
Interest Formulas
Solve problems using Uniform Series Compound
Interest Formulas
Apply arithmetic and geometric gradients in
modeling economic analysis
Understand nominal and effective interest rates
Apply continuous compounding
2
Money has a time value.
Question: Would you rather
• Receive $1000 today or
• Receive $1000 1 year from today?
Answer:----------
Why?
• Earning power of money
• Purchasing power of money
• Money is a valuable asset
Because money is more valuable today than in the future,
we need to describe cash receipts and disbursements at
the time they occur.
3
Cash in Cash out
Revenues Cost
Receipts Expenses
Expenditures
disbursements
$10,000 + I
F=15,000
P = 10,000 (Principal)
F = 15,000 = P + I ( Future equivalent of P)
I = $5,000 interest
n = 5 , no. of interest periods
Two types of interest
1. simple:
I proportional to P, n, i.
i is interest rate %/time period
I = ixnxP
I = 5000, P=10000, n=5
i=I/(nP) = 5000/(10,000x5) = 0.1x100%=10%/year
2. compound:
Simple interest
Interest is computed only on the original sum
(the original principal P), and not on accrued
interest.
F = P + P in
where F = Amount due at the end of n periods (years)
8
Example 4-1
If $5,000 were loaned for five years at a
simple interest rate of 8% per year, the
interest earned would be:
Total interest earned = P i n = $5,000 0.08 5
= $2,000
So, the total amount repaid at the end of
five years would be the original amount
($5,000) plus the interest ($2,000):
A = (P + I) / n
11
Compound Interest: Example 4-2
Repaying a Debt
Repay of a loan of $5000 in 5 yrs at interest rate of 8%/year
Pay principal and interest in one payment at end of 5 years
Balance at
the Interest
Beginning Balance at the Payme Principal Total
Yr of Year Interest end of Year nt Payment Payment
5400=P+iP
1 5000 P 400 iP P(1+i)
5832
5400*.08 P(1+i)+P(1+i)I
5400 =432 P(1+i)(1+i)
2 P(1+i) P(1+i)i P(1+i)^2
P(1+i)^2 +
iP(1+i)^2
P(1+i)^2(1+i)
3 P(1+i)^2 iP(1+i)^2 P(1+i)^3 12
Repaying a Debt
Repay of a loan of $5000 in 5 yrs at interest rate of 8%
Pay principal and interest in one payment at end of 5
years
5000
I = $2,347 7347
Balance
at the Balance at
Beginning the end of Interest Principal Total
Yr of year Interest year Payment Payment Payment
1 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
2 $5,400.00 $432.00 $5,832.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
3 $5,832.00 $466.56 $6,298.56 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
4 $6,298.56 $503.88 $6,802.44 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
5 $6,802.44 $544.20 $7,346.64 $2,346.64 $5,000.00 $7,346.64
Balance at
the Balance at
Beginning the end of Interest Principal Total
Yr of Year Interest Year Payment Payment Payment
1
2
3
4
5
14
Repaying a Debt
repay 1/n th of the principal plus interest due
Balance at
the Balance at
Beginning the end of Interest Principal Total
Yr of Year Interest Year Payment Payment Payment
1
2
3
4
5
Subtotal
16
Repaying a Debt
Repay of a loan of $5000 in 5 yrs at interest rate of 8%
Pay interest due at end of each year and principal at end of
5 years
Balance at
the Balance at
Beginning the end of Interest Principal Total
Yr of year Interest year Payment Payment Payment
1 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $0.00 $400.00
2 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $0.00 $400.00
3 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $0.00 $400.00
4 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $0.00 $400.00
5 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $5,000.00 $5,400.00
17
Repaying a Debt
Repay of a loan of $5000 in 5 yrs at interest rate of 8%
Pay in 5 equal end-of-year payments of $1252.28
A=5000(A/P,8%,5) =
Balance at
the Balance at
Beginning the end of Interest Principal Total
Yr of Year Interest Year Payment Payment Payment
1 5000 400 5400 400 852.3 1252.3
2 4147.7 331.816 4479.516 331.8 920.5 1252.3
3 3227.2 258 3485.2 258 994.3 1252.3
4 1252.3
5 1252.3
Subtotal 6261.5
18
Repaying a Debt
Repay of a loan of $5000 in 5 yrs at interest rate of 8%
Pay in 5 equal end-of-year payments of $1252.28
Balance at
the Balance at
Beginning the end of Interest Principal Total
Yr of year Interest year Payment Payment Payment
1 $5,000.00 $400.00 $5,400.00 $400.00 $852.28 $1,252.28
2 $4,147.72 $331.82 $4,479.54 $331.82 $920.46 $1,252.28
3 $3,227.25 $258.18 $3,485.43 $258.18 $994.10 $1,252.28
4 $2,233.15 $178.65 $2,411.80 $178.65 $1,073.63 $1,252.28
5 $1,159.52 $92.76 $1,252.28 $92.76 $1,159.52 $1,252.28
20
Equivalence
If a firm believes 8% was reasonable, it would
have no preference about whether it received
$5000 now or was paid by any of the 4
repayment plans
The 4 repayment plans are equivalent to one
another and to $5000 now at 8% interest (in
spite of the different repayment structure and
the total payment amount)
They have equal comparable equivalent
values; in this case “the present” value
21
Use of Equivalence in
Engineering Economic Studies
Using the concept of equivalence, one can
convert different types of cash flows at different
points of time to an equivalent value at a
common reference point
Equivalence need not be a single sum; it could be
a series of payments or receipts
Equivalence is dependent on interest rate; two
series of payments may be equivalent at one
interest rate, but not equivalent at another
22
Cash Flow Diagrams (CFD)
CFD summarize costs & benefits occur over time
CFD illustrates the size, sign, and timing of
individual cash flows
Components of CFD
◦ A segmented time-based horizontal line, divided into
time units
◦ A vertical arrow representing a cash flow is added at the
time it occurs
◦ Cash flows are assumed to occur at the end of the
period
◦ Arrow pointing down for costs and up for benefits
23
Cash Flow Diagrams (CFD)
Timing of Cash Flow Size of Cash Flow
At time zero (now) Positive $100
1 time period from today Negative $100
2 time periods from today Positive $100
3 time periods from today Negative $150
4 time periods from today Negative $150
5 time periods from today Positive $50
$100 $100
$50
Period 1
0 1 2 3 4 5
End of period 4 is also beginning of
Today “time 0”
period 5
$100
$150 $150
24
Categories of Cash Flows
First cost= initial investment = investment cost:
expenses to build or to buy and install.
Operations and maintenance (O&M): annual
expense, such as electricity, labor, and minor
repairs
Salvage value: receipt at project termination for
sale or transfer of the equipment
Revenues: annual receipts due to sale of products
or services
25
Drawing a Cash Flow Diagram
CFD shows when all cash flows occur
In a CFD, the end of period t is the same time as the
beginning of period t+1
Rent, lease, and insurance payments are usually
treated as beginning-of-period cash flows
O&M, salvage, revenues, and overhauls are assumed to
be end-of-period cash flows
The choice of time 0 is arbitrary
Perspective in assigning the sign of cash flow
Show individual concurrent cash flows
26
Computing Cash Flows: Example 4-3
Cash flows of 2 payment options
27
Example 4-3
Cash flows of 2 payment options
Pay in full Pay in 5 years
End of End of
Year Cash Flow Year Cash Flow
Table of cash
1 0 1 -8,000
2 0 2 -6,000
3 0 3 -6,000
4 0 4 -6,000
5 0 5 -6,000
cash flow
diagrams
0 1 2 3 4 5 0 1 2 3 4 5
$5,000
$29,100 3% per year $8,000 $6,000
28
Drawing Cash Flow Diagrams
with Spreadsheet
Stacked bar chart
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
$20,000
Capital $10,000
$-
Year Costs O&M Overhaul $(10,000)
Cash Flows
$(20,000)
0 $(80,000) $(30,000)
$(40,000)
1 $(12,000)
$(50,000)
2 $(12,000) $(60,000)
$(70,000)
3 $(12,000) $(25,000) $(80,000)
$(90,000)
4 $(12,000)
Year
5 $(12,000)
Capital Costs O&M Overhaul
6 $10,000 $(12,000)
29
Interest Formulas
Notation used for compound interest calculations
• i = effective interest rate per interest period (stated as a
decimal)
• n = number of interest periods (usually periods when
cash flows occur)
• P = present sum of money; equivalent value of one or
more cash flows at the present reference point in time
• F = future sum of money; equivalent value of one or more
cash flows at a future reference point in time
• A = end-of-period cash flows in a uniform series
continuing for a certain number of periods, starting at the
end of the first period and continuing through the last
30
Single Payment
Compound Interest Formulas
Single Payment Compound Amount Formula
0 1 2 n-1 n
i%
31
Single Payment
Compound Interest Formulas
Notation:
i = effective interest rate per interest period (stated as a decimal)
n = number of interest periods
P = a present sum of money
F = a future sum of money ( F is an amount, n periods from the
present, that is equivalent to P with interest rate i)
F = P(F/P, i%, n)
Single Payment Compound Amount Factor: Find
Functional F, given P, at i, over n
notation
32
Single Payment
Compound Interest Formulas
Notation:
i = effective interest rate per interest period
n = number of interest periods
P = a present sum of money
F = a future sum of money
Single Payment Present Worth Formula
P = F(1 + i) -n
P = F(P/F, i%, n)
single payment present worth factor:
Find P, given F, at i, over n
33
Example 4-4 Single Payment Compound
Interest Formulas
$500 were deposited in a saving account (pays
1.5% per quarter) for 3 years
34
Example 4-4 Single Payment Compound
Interest Formulas
$500 were deposited in a saving account (pays
1.5% per quarter) for 3 years
F=?
iq = 1.5% / quarter
n = 3 x 4 = 12 quarters
F = P(1+i)n
0 1 2 11 12
iq=1.5% = 500(1+0.015)12
= $598.00
P=500
F=P+I
I = $98
35
Example 4-5 Single Payment Compound
Interest Formulas
Solve for P
Year Cash Flow
0 +P
1 0
2 0
3 -400
4 0
5 -600
P=?
0 1 2 3 4 5
i=12%
400 600
36
Example 4-5 Single Payment Compound
Interest Formulas
Solve for P P = 400(P/F,12%,3) +
Year Cash Flow 600(P/F,12%,5)
0 +P
1 0 = 400(0.7118) +
2 0 600(0.5674)
3 -400
= 625.16
4 0
5 -600
Or P = F(1 + i) -n
P=? P = 400(1.12)^-3
0 1 2 3 4 5
+600(1.12)^-5
39
Uniform Series
Compound Interest Formulas
Uniform (equal) series of receipts or payments; future
costs or benefits estimated to be the same or uniform for
each period of time
Examples:
• Automobile loans, mortgage payments, insurance
premium, rents, and other periodic payments
Notation:
A = an end-of-period cash flow in a uniform series,
(Annuity), continuing for n periods
A A A A
0 1 2 n-1 n
i% 40
Uniform Series
Compound Interest Formulas
A A A A
0 1 2 n-1 n
F =A (1+i)^(n-1) + A i%
(1+i)^(n-2)+---A(1+i) +A
F
(1 + i) n − 1
F = A = A( F A , i %, n)
i
41
Uniform Series
Compound Interest Formulas
A A A A
Uniform Series Compound
Amount Formula
0 1 2 n-1 n
i%
(1 + i) n − 1
F = A = A( F A , i %, n)
i
F
Uniform Series Sinking Fund formula
i
A = F = F ( A F , i %, n)
(1 + i) − 1
n
42
Example 4-6 Uniform Series
Compound Interest Formulas
43
Example 4-6 Uniform Series
Compound Interest Formulas
Jim wants to save money at the end of each month to pay
for some equipment of $1000 at the end of the year. If
bank pays 0.5% monthly interest, how much Jim has to
deposit every month?
1000
0 1 2 3 4 5 9 10 11 12
A A A A A A A A A=?
i𝑚𝑜 = 0.5 %
A = F ( A F , i %, n) = 1000( A / F ,0.5%,12)
= 1000(0.0811) = $81.10
44
Example 4-6 Uniform Series
Compound Interest Formulas
Jim wants to save money at the end of each month to pay
for some equipment of $1000 at the end of the year. If
bank pays 0.5% monthly interest, how much Jim has to
deposit every month?
1000
0 1 2 3 4 5 9 10 11 12
A A A A A A A A A=?
If he is saving at home (i=zero)
0 1 2 n-1 n
(1 + i) n − 1
F = A = A( F A , i %,An) A i% A A
i
F = P(1+i)^n
(1 + i) n − 1
P = A n
= A( P A , i %, n)
i (1 + i )
46
Uniform Series
Compound Interest Formulas
P
Uniform Series Capital
0 1 2 n-1 n
Recovery Formula
A A i% A A
i (1 + i )
n
A = P = P ( A P , i %, n)
(1 + i) − 1
n
(1 + i) n − 1
P = A n
= A( P A , i %, n)
i (1 + i )
47
Example 4-7 Uniform Series
Compound Interest Formulas
Should you spend $6800 to buy a contract that pays $140 at
the end of each month for 5 years if you otherwise can make
1% per month on your money?
48
Example 4-7: Solution #1
Should you spend $6800 to buy a contract that pays $140 at
the end of each month for 5 years if the desired return is
1% per month? A=140
n=60 i=1%
P=?
P = A( P A , i %, n)
= 140( P A ,1%,60) = 140(44.955) = $6293.70
n=60 i=1%
P=6800
A = P ( A P , i, n)
= 6800( A P ,1%, 60) = 6800(0.0222) = $150.96
The $6800 investment would generate $150.96
monthly at 1% per month, so reject the offer.
50
Example 4-8:
51
Example 4-8:
30 30
20 20 20 20
0 1 2 3 4= 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 4 +0 1 2 3 4
P1 P2 P3
P
P = P1 + P2 + P3
= 20(P F,15%,2) + 30(P F,15%,3) + 20(P F,15%,4)
= 20(0.7561) + 30(0.6575) + 20(0.5718)
= $46.28
52
Relationships Between
Compound Interest Factors
Single Payment
1
(F/P, i%, n) =
(P/F, i%, n)
Uniform Series
1
(A/P, i%, n) =
(P/A, i%, n)
1
(F/A, i%, n) =
(A/F, i%, n)
53
Relationships Between
Compound Interest Factors
Uniform Series
n
(P/A, i%, n) = (P/F, i%, t)
t =1
54
100
A A A P (t=0) = 100 (P/A, i, 9)
F (t=9) = 100(F/A,i,9)
0 1 2 8 9
100
A A A
P (t=4) = 100 (P/A, i, 20)
F (t=24) = 100(F/A,i,20)
4 5 6 23 24
P4
P0= P4 x (P/F,i,4)
=100 (P/A, i, 20)x (P/F,i,4)
4 5 6 23 24
Or
P0 = 100 (F/A,i,20)(P/F,i, 24)
P0
0 1 2 23 24
Interest Tables Interpolation
linear interpolation is
acceptable and is considered
sufficient as long as the
values of i or n are not too
distant from each other.
56
Problems involving unknown n or i
It is more challenging to solve for n or i, for
instance:
◦ We may know P, A, and i and want to find n
◦ We may know P, A, and n and want to find i
57
Example 4-11: Finding i
Jill invested $1,000 each year for five years in a local
company and sold her investment after five years for
$8,000. What annual rate of return did Jill earn?
i
Again, this can be solved using the interest tables and
interpolation: i = 23.65%
i% (F/A, i%, 5)
20% 7.442
i% 8.000
25% 8.207
58
There are specific spreadsheet functions to
find n and i.
59
Arithmetic (uniform) Gradient
The arithmetic gradient is a series of increasing cash flows,
where the period-by-period change in cash flows is a
constant amount, G
Notation:
G = a fixed amount increment per time period
End of Cash
Period Flows
(n-1)G
(n-2)G 1 0
20
2 G
10
0
3 2G
0 1 2 3 n-1 n : :
i% n (n-1)G
60
Arithmetic (uniform) Gradient
The arithmetic gradient is a series of increasing cash flows,
where the period-by-period change in cash flows is a
constant amount, G
Notation:
G = a fixed amount increment per time period
End of Cash
Period Flows
(n-1)G
(n-2)G 1 0
2G
2 G
G
0
3 2G
0 1 2 3 n-1 n : :
i% n (n-1)G
61
P0 = G/(1+i)^2 + 2G/(1+i)^3 + …..+ (n-1)G/(1+i)^n
The equations and tables only for increasing Gradient
(n-1)G
G
End of Cash
Period Flows
(n-1)G
(n-2)G 1 0
2G
2 G
G
0
3 2G
0 1 2 3 n-1 n : :
i% n (n-1)G
62
Arithmetic Gradient
Compound Interest Formulas
Arithmetic Gradient Present Worth Formula
= 𝐺(𝑃Τ𝐺 , 𝑖%, 𝑛)
1 𝑛
A=G − 𝑛 = 𝐺(𝐴Τ𝐺 , 𝑖%, 𝑛)
𝑖 (1 + 𝑖) − 1
63
Example 4-12 Application of Arithmetic
Gradient Interest Factors
0 1 2 3 4 = 0 1 2 3 4 + 0 1 2 3 4
6000
12000
Year Cash Flow 18000
1 24000
2 18000
A = 24000 − 6000( A G,10%,4)
3 12000 = 24000 − 6000(1.381)
4 6000 = $15,714
65
Example 4-13 Application of Arithmetic
Gradient Interest Factors
A car warranty is 3 years. Upon expiration, annual
maintenance starts at $150 and then climbs $25 per year
until the car is sold at the end of year 7. Use a 10%
interest rate and find the present worth of these expense.
4 150
5 175 150 175
200 225
6 200
P
7 225
i=10%
66
Example 4-13 Application of Arithmetic
Gradient Interest Factors
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 = 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 + 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
25 50
75
150 175
200 225 A=150
P P3
0 1 2 3 n-1 n
68
Geometric Gradient
0 1 2 3 n-1 n
69
Geometric Gradient
P0 = A1/(1+i)+A1(1+g)/(1+i)^2+…..+A1(1+g)^(n-
1)/(1+i)^n
A1(1+g)n-1
A1(1+g)n-2 g% of An-1
A1(1+g)2
A1 A1(1+g)
g% of A1
0 1 2 3 n-1 n
70
Geometric Gradient
Compound Interest Formulas
71
Interest rate varies with time
A=200/month
P0???
P=200(P/A,i?,60)???? wrong
P = P1 + P2
= 200 (P/A,1%20) + 200 (P/A,2%,40) (P/F,1%,20)
72
Interest Rates that Vary with Time
Interest rates often change with time (e.g., a variable
rate mortgage).
We often must resort to moving cash flows one
period at a time, reflecting the interest rate for that
single period.
◦ The present equivalent of a cash flow occurring at the end
of period n can be computed with the equation below,
where ik is the interest rate for the kth period.
𝐹𝑛 𝑛
P= 𝑛 P ෑ(1 + 𝑖𝑘 ) = 𝐹𝑛
ς𝑘=1(1 + 𝑖𝑘 )
𝑘=1
73
F , P , A, G, f or g.
𝑟
i𝑚 =
𝑚
1%/month-----------r=12%,compounded monthly
ieff (annual real i, will give same effect, means its equivalent to im)
F = 100(1+ieff)^1 = 100 (1.01)^12
𝑟 𝑟 m
i𝑚 = i𝑒𝑓𝑓 = (1 + ) − 1 = (1 + 𝑖𝑚 )𝑚 − 1
𝑚 𝑚
77
Nominal and Effective Interest
Nominal
Semi-
Yearly annually Quarterly Monthly Daily Continuously
1% 1% 1.0025% 1.0038% 1.0046% 1.0050% 1.0050%
2% 2% 2.0100% 2.0151% 2.0184% 2.0201% 2.0201%
3% 3% 3.0225% 3.0339% 3.0416% 3.0453% 3.0455%
4% 4% 4.0400% 4.0604% 4.0742% 4.0808% 4.0811%
5% 5% 5.0625% 5.0945% 5.1162% 5.1267% 5.1271%
6% 6% 6.0900% 6.1364% 6.1678% 6.1831% 6.1837%
8% 8% 8.1600% 8.2432% 8.3000% 8.3278% 8.3287%
10% 10% 10.2500% 10.3813% 10.4713% 10.5156% 10.5171%
15% 15% 15.5625% 15.8650% 16.0755% 16.1798% 16.1834%
25% 25% 26.5625% 27.4429% 28.0732% 28.3916% 28.4025%
78
Example 4-15: Finding effective interest
rates.
For an 18% nominal rate, compounded quarterly,
the effective annual interest is.
eff
eff
79
Example 4-9: Analyzing a Loan
im=7.5/12=0.625%/month
n=30x12=360 months
80
Example 4-9: Analyzing a Loan
0 1 2 3 12 360
P=100000
Balance Due?
Monthly Payment
A = 100000(A/P,0.625%,360) = $699.21
Balance at the end of 12 months (348 months
remaining)
Balance348 = 699.21(P/A, 0.625%, 348) = $99,077.53
81
Continuous Compounding
82
Continuous Compounding
Interest Formulas
For Continuous Compounding, the duration of the compounding
period decreases to an infinitely small duration, m
r m
lim (1 + ) = lim(1 + x) r / x = e r Substituting in the
m → m x →0
compound interest
(1+i a ) = e r thus i a = e r − 1 formulae ….
(1+i a ) = e r thus i a = e r − 1
er n (er − 1)
A P , r, n = r n
e −1
85
Continuous Compounding
Interest Formulas
er n − 1
F A , r, n = r
e −1
Continuous Compounding Uniform Series Present
Worth
er n − 1
P A , r, n = r n r
e (e − 1)
86
Example 4-17: Application of Continuous
Compounding
How long will it take for money to double at 10%
nominal interest, compounding continuously?
F = 2P
N???
r=10%, compounded continuously
F=Pe(rn)
2=e^(rn)
Ln2 = 0.1n
88
Example 4-17: Application of Continuous
Compounding
How long will it take for money to double at 10%
nominal interest, compounding continuously?
𝐹
F = 𝑃(𝑒 𝑟⋅𝑛 ) → = 𝑒 (0.10)(𝑛)
𝑃
=2
(0.10)𝑛 = ln 2 = 0.693
𝑛 = 6.93 = 7 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠
Or
ieff = er − 1 = 10.5171%/year
𝐹
F = P(1 + i𝑒𝑓𝑓 )n →
n 𝑃
= (1.105171) = 2
n = 6.93
89
Example 4-18: Application of Continuous
Compounding
$500 were deposited in a credit union (pays 5%
compounded continuously) at the end of each year
for 5 years, how much do you have after the 5th
deposit?
er n − 1
A=500/year F A , r, n = r
r=5%,compounded cont. e −1
N=5
F???
90
Example 4-18: Application of Continuous
Compounding
$500 were deposited in a credit union (pays 5%
compounded continuously) at the end of each year
for 5 years, how much do you have after the 5th
deposit?
er n − 1 e(0.05)5 − 1
F = AF A , r, n = A r = 500 (0.05) = $2769.84
e −1 e −1
Or
ieff = er − 1 = 5.1271%
F = 500(F/A, 5.1271%, 5) = 500(5.5397) = 2769.84
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