ENERGY

C2-5 Underground Power Cable Health Indexing

and Risk Management
S. MEIJER, P. van der WIELEN,
M. VERMEER, J. WETZER, E. de HAAN

DNV GL ©
• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
 Introduction
• Managing grid increasingly challenging
• Increase of underground cables
• Different stakeholders involved

• Risk-based asset evaluation

• Efficient and timely estimation of maintenance and
replacement of cables

• Transparency!

Need for dashboard of asset health for decision support

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France
 Introduction – fleet of assets
Measurement Inspection

Failure Failure
Failure Failure
mechanism Asset mechanism
mechanism mechanism
Condition
Failure Failure
mechanism mechanism

Measurement Measurement
Often the “simplest” approach is used to assess the assets
condition by using all available techniques; this is however
time-consuming and expensive

How can you do this for a fleet of assets?

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France
 Health index - approach
• Health index relates to conditon (failure probability)
• Health index relates to time to replacement or additional maintenance
• Health index can also be presented as a colour code classification scheme

Additional maintenance within reference period OK within

Failure within critical Failure within reference reference period

time period

0 yrs critical time reference period

Color:
kind of action
Color intensity:
reliability of assessment
• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France
Health index – approach

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France

 Input parameters
• Asset identification data
• General data
• Design data
• Utilization data
• Maintenance and
inspection data

Availability of input data is of utmost importance

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France
 Transfer functions
Known parameters Necessary attributes
• Availability info is crucial for a good HI result.
• Often available info is insufficient.
• To minimize effects of missing info Transfer Functions are
applied.
• Uncertainty is added by means of distributions

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France

Health index assessment for a
single asset

Assessment functions are the hart of HI

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France
 Cable assessment functions
• Cable section(s), Joint(s), Termination(s)
• Typically, ageing mechanisms are driven by
– Thermal
• (higher than) normal operating currents,
• short circuit currents and
• sheath faults in cross-bonded and single-side bonded
systems.
– Electrical
• Inverse power law
• Partial discharges
• Tan delta
• Dissolved gasses

Knowledge on ageing is essential for HI rules

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France
 Mechanical stresses
• Short circuit current
forces
• Subsiding of cables
• Thermal expansion
• Vibrations

Impact of mechanical stresses rather underestimated

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France
 Environmental stresses

• Water trees
• Metal sheath
integrity
• Polluted/damaged
termination

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France

 Folding Functions – Color intensity

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France

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 Health Index results

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France

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 Asset Health & Risk Index – Sub-models
Asset
Health Index Management
Risk Index

Asset Health and Failure Impact rating

Risk Module
-Reliability
intensity

Ri sk Matri x Reliabil ity

-Safety
5 ,00

-Environment
-Economy
4 ,00
19

color 3 ,00
10 2

25
24 37

17

1 8

-Political
Impa ct
29 15
2 ,00
3 6

-….
7 5 33 30

11 27
1 ,00
12 32

28

14 23
0 ,00
0,00 1,00 2,00 3,00 4,00 5 ,00
Proba bility

• Asset Health and Risk Model (HI)

– Health Index (HI)
– Asset Management Risk Index
• Risk & Health based decision support
• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France
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 Align with Risk framework
• Define relevant business values
• Define relevant KPI’s
• Calibrate KPI categories with one another

Total Black-out 1 grid station 1 Primary out 11kV feeder Distr. station
Remaining (> 50 min) [SAIDI] (5 - 50 min) (0.5 - 5 min) (0.05 - 0.5 min) (0 – 0.05 min)
Life (> 1) [SAIFI] (0.1- 1 cl.) (0.01- 0.1) (0.001-0.01) (0-0.001)

≤ 1 year Unacceptable Unacceptable High High Medium

2-3 years Unacceptable High High Medium Low

3-5 years High High Medium Low Low

5-10 years High Medium Low Low Negligible

> 10 years Medium Low Low Negligible Negligible

Extreme
Remaining Multiple 1 Lethal Permanent Severe
Remaining level of toxic High level Permanent
Life death incident Damage injury Minor injury
Life spill toxic spill damage Severe spill Minor spill
Unacceptabl
Unacceptabl
≤ 1 year e Unacceptable High High Medium
≤ 1 year e Unacceptable High High Medium
Unacceptabl
Unacceptabl
2-3 years e High High Medium Low
2-3 years e High High Medium Low
3-5 years High High Medium Low Low
3-5 years High High Medium Low Low
5-10 years High Medium Low Low Negligible
5-10 years High Medium Low Low Negligible
> 10 years Medium Low Low Negligible Negligible > 10 years Medium Low Low Negligible Negligible

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France

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 Get overview in risk
(contributions)

1
4

2
6
3

Impact

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France

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 Conclusions
• Health index can be used as decision support model
for asset managers
• To prioritize additional maintenance and replacement
of assets
• To report transparently and consistently to
(independent) stakeholders
• The model has successfully been implemented at
several companies around the world.

• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France

 Thank you for your attention

Peter van der Wielen

DNV GL
• Jicable’15, 21 - 25 June 2015 - Versailles - France