A CASE STUDY ANALYSIS OF FORMER PRESIDENT RODRIGO ROA

DUTERTE’S GDP PERFORMANCE YEAR 2020-2021

UNIVERSITY OF MINDANAO- DIGOS

COLLEGE OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION EDUCATION

SUBMITTEDTO:
MR. FREDDY C. NAVARRO, CFMP, MBA,CMITAP

SUBMITTED BY:

ASUMBRADO, DHAIAN
CUENCO, RALPH BRIAN
DIAMANTE, HARVEY MERVYN
LAPE, PRINCES RJ
PACAÑA, NORBERT
SAMBILAD, REYAN
TAMBIS, JAEMAR
TAMBOBOY, CHERRY PIE
TROPICO, REGIE

FEBRUARY 2024
I. TIME CONTEXT
 2020-2021

II. BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY

The year 2020 began with optimism for the Philippines, as significant strides were
made towards achieving upper middle-income status and reducing poverty rates
ahead of schedule. President Duterte's fiscal policies and tax reforms contributed to
record-low poverty rates, improved credit ratings, and sustainable funding for priority
programs. However, the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted this progress,
leading to economic and social challenges.

The government responded to the pandemic by implementing community

quarantines to prioritize public health and safety. While necessary, these measures
came with significant economic costs, including disruptions to businesses and
livelihoods. Looking ahead to 2021, there is optimism for economic recovery as
businesses gradually reopen and vaccination efforts ramp up. The Development
Budget Coordination Committee projects economic growth, and efforts to balance
COVID-19 containment with economic revitalization are crucial for a resilient
recovery.

Despite challenges, the Philippines remains resilient, with strengthened economic

foundations and ongoing efforts to manage risks effectively. Enhanced economic
activities in 2021 will require careful planning and continuous evaluation of economic
and health data. The government is committed to delivering prudent policies and
responses to restore income opportunities and jobs, aiming for a robust recovery
aligned with the vision for Ambisyon Natin 2040.

III. ISSUES AND CONCERNS

Impact of Covid-19

Economic Contraction Unemployment and Restrictions on

Underemployment Economic Activity
  Impact of Covid-19: The COVID-19 pandemic had a profound impact on
economic growth and development, resulting in substantial reductions in
GDP and higher unemployment rates. The government implemented
community quarantines to preserve lives and safeguard communities,
despite the substantial impact on the economy and individuals' sources of
income. (Cause)

 Economic Contraction: In the second quarter of 2020, the GDP shrank by

16.9% as a result of restrictions implemented to control the spread of
COVID-19. Although there were some improvements in later quarters, the
overall economic performance was still impacted by decreases in private
consumption and investment.(Effect)

 Unemployment and Underemployment: The pandemic resulted in an

increase in both unemployment and underemployment rates, as many
workers were either laid off or experienced a decrease in their working
hours. This posed difficulties for households and individuals, leading to
reduced income and financial struggles.(Effect)

 Restrictions on Economic Activity: Challenges persisted in fully revitalizing

economic activity despite attempts to reopen businesses and relax
restrictions. Constraints on movement, especially for families with children,
hindered private spending and the general economic revival.(Effect)

IV. VIEW POINT

• National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA)

V. STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM

 What will be the actions of the government in order to cure or lessen the
surge in unemployment and underemployment rates, highlighting
vulnerabilities in the labor market and the need for job creation efforts lead
by pandemic?

VI. STATEMENT OF OBJECTIVES

 To identify key strategies for government intervention to mitigate the
increase in unemployment and underemployment rates during the
pandemic.

 To implement measures to reduce unemployment and underemployment

rates by creating new job opportunities and supporting existing
employment sectors affected by the pandemic.

 To ensure coherence and coordination among various government

agencies, departments, and stakeholders involved in labor market policies
and initiatives to maximize synergies, minimize duplication of efforts, and
enhance the effectiveness of interventions aimed at addressing
unemployment and underemployment challenges.
VII. SWOT ANALYSIS

Strengths
 Resilient BPO sector
 Remittance inflows
 Digitalization
 Government stimulus
Weakness
 Economic contraction
 High unemployment
 Fiscal constraints
 Healthcare infrastructure
Opportunities
 infrastructure development
 Digital transformation
 Green economy
 Regional Integration
Threats
 Pandemic Uncertainty
 Global economic conditions
 Natural Disaster
 Political Instability

VIII. ALTERNATIVE COURSE OF ACTION

 Enhance Skills Development and Training Programs
 Create a workforce Reintegration Programs
 Expansion of Digital Economy

VII. LIST OF ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES

ACA#1. Enhance Skills Development and Training Programs

Advantage

 Enhancing skills development and training programs increases individuals'

chances of securing employment by equipping them with relevant skills and
competencies demanded by employers.
 A skilled workforce leads to increased productivity and efficiency in the
workplace, resulting in higher output and economic growth.
 Training programs enable workers to adapt to technological advancements,
keeping industries competitive and facilitating innovation.

Disadvantage

 Implementing comprehensive training programs requires significant financial

and human resources, posing a challenge for governments and organizations
with limited budgets.
  Skills development is a long-term process, and the benefits may not be
immediately realized, especially in rapidly changing industries.
 Rapid changes in technology and industry trends may lead to the risk of skills
becoming obsolete, necessitating continuous training and upskilling efforts to
remain relevant in the workforce.

ACA#2. Create a workforce Reintegration Programs

Advantage
 Workforce reintegration programs provide assistance with job searching,
resume writing, and interview preparation, helping individuals secure
employment more efficiently.
 By facilitating the reentry of unemployed individuals into the workforce,
these programs contribute to economic stability by reducing
unemployment rates, increasing consumer spending, and stimulating
overall economic growth.

Disadvantages

 Despite efforts to support workforce reintegration, some individuals may

still struggle to find suitable employment due to factors such as lack of
available jobs, mismatched skills, or discrimination, limiting the overall
effectiveness of these programs.
 Maintaining the long-term impact of workforce reintegration programs can
be challenging, as individuals may require ongoing support and training to
remain competitive in an ever-evolving job market. Additionally, program
funding and political support may fluctuate over time, affecting program
sustainability.

ACA#3. Expansion of Digital Economy

Advantages

 Digital technologies can streamline processes, reduce costs, and improve

productivity.
 Digital technologies drive innovation, leading to new products, services,
and business models.
 The digital economy allows people to access information and education
easily, promoting learning and development.

Disadvantages

 Not everyone has access to digital technologies, leading to inequalities in

access to information, services, and opportunities
 The digital economy is vulnerable to cybersecurity threats, such as
hacking and data breaches, which can have serious consequences for
businesses and individuals.
 There is a risk of over-dependence on digital technologies, which can lead
to issues if systems fail or are compromised.
VIII. CONCLUSION
 After analyzing all the formulated Alternative Courses of Action, we can
conclude that the best course of action to commit into is ACA#1, “Enhance
Skills Development and Training Programs”. With this course enhancing skills
development and training programs offers a strategic pathway to addressing
economic challenges, promoting inclusive growth, fostering innovation, and
building resilience. By prioritizing human capital investment, governments and
stakeholders can unlock the full potential of their economies and create a
brighter future for their citizens.

IX. RECOMMENDATION
 Therefore, we highly recommend ACA#1 “Enhancing skills development and
training programs” as a strategic approach to address economic challenges
and foster sustainable growth. By investing in human capital development, we
can equip individuals with the skills needed to thrive in a rapidly evolving job
market, enhance productivity, and promote innovation. This initiative should
involve comprehensive skills assessments to identify specific training needs,
the development of diverse training programs catering to various sectors and
skill levels, targeted outreach efforts to reach marginalized groups, and
collaborations between public and private sectors to design and deliver
industry-relevant training initiatives. Additionally, flexible training delivery
methods, robust monitoring and evaluation mechanisms, financial incentives
for participants, and advocacy for supportive policies should be implemented
to ensure the success and sustainability of these programs. Overall,
enhancing skills development and training programs will not only benefit
individuals but also contribute to long-term economic prosperity and social
well-being.

X. IMPLEMENTATION
ACTIONS PERSON/S TIME FRAME ESTIMATED
UNDERTAKEN RESPONSIBLE BUDGET

1.Policy Formation Government 2-4 Months

Legislative 6-14 Months
2.Legislative
Committees and
Drafting And Review
Staff
Members Of 1-2 Months
3. Parliamentary
Parliament (MPS) or
Process
Legislators
4. Implementation Government 12-24 Months
Planning And Ministers and
Coordination Officials