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Unification of the European


Union today: Challenges and trends

Nguyen An Ha1

first

Institute of European Studies , Vietnam Academy of Social Sciences .


Email: anhad4@yahoo.com

Received March 28, 2019. Accepted for publication May 8, 2019 .

Summary: After more than 60 years of formation and development , the European Union (EU) has achieved
many great achievements , serving as a model for regional integration for the goals of peace, prosperity and
development . However, the Brexit event (Britain leaving the EU ) along with a series of immigration crisis issues , is key
populism , is putting the EU before huge challenges . _ To promote unification , the EU needs to reform more
strongly , from institutional reform to implementing policies in various fields , to help the EU overcome the
crisis .

Keywords: Reform , European Union , unification .

Industry classification: International studies

Abstract: After over 60 years of development since its establishment, the European Union (EU) has
made many great achievements, becoming a model of regional integration for the purpose of peace,
prosperity and development. However, the Brexit (Britain leaving the EU) and a series of issues of the
immigration crisis, populism…, are placing the bloc in front of major challenges. To accelerate its
unification, the EU needs to further its reshuffle, which ranges from the institution
reform to the implementation of policies in various fields, to help the bloc overcome the crisis.

Keywords: Reshuffle, European Union, unification.

Subject classification: International studies

1. Ask a problem internal affairs and political security , associated with


the construction , negotiation and signing of treaties .
The process of formation and development of the These are the legal foundations
EU is based on increasingly deep connections The constitutional document sets out the goals of
association
starting from the economic pillar , spreading to the investment pillar . as well as the obligations and rights

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Participating countries commit to implement it . _ on the basis of ensuring national sovereignty ; and
EU treaties regulate the purpose , design and ( 3 ) Pillar of internal affairs and justice cooperation
operation of the body 's structure _ _ _ policy . At the same time , the Treaty also provides a
institutions , interactions between common institutions , the _ roadmap for building the European common currency
Sharing powers between supranational institutions ( Euro) and the European Central Bank (ECB).
and member countries , to strengthen links in both
breadth and depth . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - The 1997 Amsterdam Treaty ( effective in
1999 ) ( also known as the revised Maastricht Treaty )
Important treaties marking the stages of The Amsterdam Treaty is a new step forward for
development in both breadth and depth of the EU Europe 's unification process with the most outstanding
include : - The 1951 Treaty of achievement being the birth of common currency
Paris (effective in 1952 ) established the European and the improvement of individual human rights ,
Coal and Steel Community (ECSC ) , including 6 moving towards greater democracy . _ _ _ The EU is
countries: France, Germany, Italy, Belgium, now more unified in both institutions and laws .
Netherlands, Luxembourg. The treaty aims to create
a common and free coal and steel market , with
floating market value and no import - export taxes or - The 2001 Nice Treaty (effective in 2003 ) focuses
subsidies . on institutional reform and strengthening the role of
- The 1957 Treaty of Rome (effective in 1958 ) the European Parliament in the process of expanding
established the Atomic Energy Community and admitting a series of new Central Eastern
( Euratom) and the Economic Community European members .
Europe (EEC) includes the above 6 countries . The - The 2007 Lisbon Treaty ( effective 2009 )
treaty calls for balanced economic growth through ( originally called the Reform Treaty ) officially
the establishment of a customs union with common abolished the three fundamental pillars
domestic tariffs , agricultural , transport and trade version of the Maastricht Treaty to create a common
policies ; _ _ _ open legal framework for the EU to accelerate economic
expand the community to other European countries . structural reform , emphasizing the aspect of social
- The 1965 Brussels Treaty (effective in 1967 ) development , aiming to unify foreign security policy
( also known as the Unification Treaty ) united three as well as justice . internal affairs.
communities : ECSC, Euratom and EEC into the
European Community (EC ) . Treaties are the legal foundation for building
This treaty is seen as the real beginning of today's EU supranational institutions as well _ _ _
model . The powers of these institutions in the legislative
- The 1992 Maastricht Treaty ( which took effect in process , then applied to member states , forcing
1993 ) for the first time outlined the three pillars of member states to comply , are the supranational
EU: (1) European Community ; (2) Return pillar characteristics of the EU . On the other hand , the
common foreign and security policy to create a treaties themselves are adopted by Intergovernmental
coordination mechanism for planning _ _ Conferences
Plan and implement common foreign and security (IGC) of the member countries themselves
policies among member countries demonstrate the transnational nature of the EU . Speak

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In another way , the specificity of regional institutions 2. Unification process challenges


in the EU 's association is the combination of modernization of the European Union
supranational characteristics and institutions with
intergovernmental characteristics and institutions . _ _ From 2014 until now, in the international and
Right from the first stage of the association regional context , there have been many changes such as :
process , the EU wanted to build an effective The Ukrainian crisis, the immigration crisis , along
operating model , capable of implementing decisions with the consequences of the public debt crisis ,
at the common level . This model is built on Brexit in June 2016 as a historical moment , make
institutions this "pendulum " both want to increase its
Important are : European Council, Council of centripetal force and strengthen it the most .
Ministers , European Commission, European institutionalized , subject to many centrifugal
Parliament . European Court, European Bank. influences, towards the interests of each country ,
These institutions are like _ _ increasing the
an institution of the state , divided into executive, intergovernmental trend . This is a turbulent
legislative and private powers period for the EU , along with difficulties in the
France. Along with that, the concepts of European process of economic recovery and development
citizenship, the European common currency, the such as low economic growth , high public debt ,
European Constitution, and the European Army high unemployment , and deep social division . face
appeared , showing that the EU is always striving new challenges that threaten its development and
towards a supranational model , increasing survival . _ _ _ _ _ _ While the Ukrainian crisis has
unification . . not yet been resolved , EU - Russia relations
The process of association inevitably leads to a continue to deteriorate , instability from North Africa ,
certain sharing of rights , obligations , and even the Middle East along with the rise of radical Islamic
national sovereignty of member countries , and terrorism , and the war situation of Syria makes the
along with strengthening the connection in breadth situation in Europe and the EU even more tense .
and depth , always takes place during the process .
The process of transforming many areas under the master
national or intergovernmental power to
supranational power or increased unification trend 2.1. Terrorism and immigration crisis
chemistry. Among them , the resolution of the relationship
Harmonizing and "balancing " between the
common interests of the region and the individual 2015 was also the year that the self - proclaimed
interests of each member state is always a difficult Islamic State ( IS ) increased terrorist activities
task that the EU must strive to overcome and perfect around the world .
itself . The EU 's development practice shows that In 2015 , the whole world endured 121 terrorist
the EU is always like a "pendulum " between masters attacks and the bloodiest incidents occurred in
intergovernmental and supranational meaning [ 2]. Europe . _ _ _ _ Right from the beginning of the
This article2 analyzes the challenges and trends of year, France was shocked by the attack on the
EU integration . _ _ _ Charlie Hebdo newspaper office , and

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By the end of the year , he was immersed in the mourning of the incident proxy solidarity ” , meaning that EU member states
massacre at the Bataclan theater in Paris . can choose to accept refugees
Next , the flow of migrants from Middle Eastern and migration , or by providing experts and
and North African countries to the EU increased equipment for strengthening control of the bloc 's
dramatically in 2015 and became the most serious peripheral borders , or by other forms of contribution .
migration crisis since _ _ _ _ However, topic
Second World War . _ According to the International This proposal has been opposed . German Prime
Organization for Migration ( IOM), as of December 18, Minister A. Merkel said that this solution is
2015, the number of refugees and migrants entering "unrealistic " [ 7] and if it were to do so , many
Europe by sea and land was nearly 991,000 people member states would find every way to deny it.
[ 5 ] . The immigration crisis really pushes the EU into responsibility for accepting refugees . _ To date , the
deep contradictions and disagreements . _ _ _ While immigration issue continues to be complicated as the
Germany showed its efforts with Prime Minister 's number of deaths increases due to migrants choosing
statement to travel by dangerous routes . _ _ _ While EU
General Merkel received 800,000 refugees _ _ leaders have not yet been able to agree on a complete
Middle Eastern refugees entering this country , solution , the anti- immigrant movement is increasing
Hungary and Bulgaria are having to make efforts to due to the presence of right - wing , populist , and
hinder the flow of refugees trying to cross the borders extremist forces .
of these countries into the EU [6 ] .
Many countries such as Hungary, Croatia, and the
UK oppose the immigration policy that the EU imposes 2.2. Brexit - an unsolved problem
on them by requiring mandatory reception of
immigrants . Terrorist incidents _ _ The Brexit process started with the 2016 British
carried out by IS Islamists _ _ _ referendum , but the negotiation process did not go
France, Belgium, England ... make the immigration smoothly . _
issue even more complicated , due to the risk of elements
In recent times, especially in 2018 , there have been
Terrorists mixed in with the flow of immigrants major disagreements regarding the content of the
increasing and uncontrollable . _ agreement between the UK , the EU as well as within
Countries have set up temporary " border control " the UK .
to prevent migrants from North Africa and the Middle A series of major issues , from the " divorce
East from entering their countries , limiting agreement fee " that the UK must pay to the EU
freedom of movement within the EU . _ _ The after leaving the bloc to protecting the rights of
Schengen Agreement , the EU 's pride in freedom of citizens of both sides, the transition period for the
movement between countries in the union , is at UK to leave the "common European roof" . ”,
risk of falling apart if there are no timely control and Northern Ireland border ... has hindered the Brexit
adjustment measures . During the past few years , process at the bilateral negotiation table as well as
asylum and immigration have been one of the thorny right in the British Parliament .
issues, the Prime Minister of Austria , the country In the first months of 2018, the leaders of both
holding the rotating President of the EU, put forward sides made progress when they approved the
the idea of "the direction of a new phase .

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The transition period lasts 21 months after the now until December 31, 2020 so that both sides can
UK leaves the EU in March 2019, as well as for avoid the possibility of activating the above
the next phase of negotiations . With efforts from mentioned clause . Although the British Prime
both sides , by mid - 2018 , some problems and Minister has received support from the EU for the
disagreements had been resolved . _ The last six Brexit agreement , domestic challenges to this
months of the year are a journey in which both the process are not small . On April 10, 2019, EU
British Government and EU leaders are straining leaders agreed to continue delaying the deadline
to negotiate to break the situation for the UK to leave the EU until October 31 , 2019.
deadlock in the Brexit process . Even though he This is the second time the EU has agreed to
has repeatedly expressed his tough stance , he still ...extend Brexit , to avoid a possible crisis in the
London and Brussels both eventually made event of a hard Brexit . However, this proposal still
concessions . _ In mid- November 2018 , has to wait
negotiators from the two sides reached a draft approved by the UK . If the UK accepts the
agreement on Brexit , agreeing on extension , the UK will still stay in the EU until
The most thorny issue is the border between after the European Parliament elections on May

Britain and the Republic of Ireland after Brexit. 22, 2019 and the UK will still have to participate

The text includes a “ backstop ” that would be in this entire process [8]. The next day, the British

established as an interim customs arrangement Prime Minister announced that the country could

across the UK . _ _ _ _ _ still leave the EU in an orderly manner before May

The agreement contains special provisions for 22 , even though the two sides agreed to

Northern Ireland , covering tariff issues and postpone Brexit for six months. The Prime

regulatory compliance . _ _ _ _ _ Minister stated: " This extension allows us to


complete the progress we have made . If we can
of the single market , rather than the rest of the
do it before May 22, we will
United Kingdom . _ _ _
do not have to participate in the European Parliament
Next , British Prime Minister T. May persuaded
elections ” [9]. These developments show that the
the leaders of the 27 EU member states to agree
"divorce" between the UK and the EU is very
to ensure that the union will make efforts to sign a
complicated and will leave many unpredictable consequences .
new Free Trade Agreement ( FTA ) with the UK
before 2021 . Regarding the " soft barrier " clause
in the Brexit agreement that helps maintain the 2.3. The strong rise of far-right and anti-European
Union parties
open border between Northern Ireland and the
Republic of Ireland until the two sides reach a
trade agreement , the EU affirms that this solution During the Brexit period from 2016 until now, EU

is to prevent exports . implementing a hard border people have witnessed the unprecedented growth

on the island of Ireland and ensuring the integrity of far - right , Eurosceptic parties in elections in :

of the single market . The President of the Italy , Sweden , Hungary , Germany . In Italy,
European Commission emphasized that the EU March 4, 2018 entered European history with the
is determined to act quickly for a bilateral general election results marking the absolute
agreement to follow from victory of populist , anti -EU and anti - EU parties .

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anti- mainstream . These parties won a total of Choice for Germany ( AFD ) advanced strongly in
more than 50% of the vote , while the Democratic 2018 when it continuously won state elections for
Party (PD) of former prime minister Matteo Renzi the first time in its history and was present in all _
suffered a major defeat , ranking third behind the _____
center- right coalition led by the far- right party 16 state parliaments . According to the survey
League and the Five Star Movement party. results of the Infratest Dimap Institute conducted
dominate [ 10]. Meanwhile , in France, the ratio for ARD television channel on September 21,
Support for President Emmanuel Macron has 2018, the AFD party won a support rate of 18 %,
dropped sharply in the last months of 2018. surpassing the Social Democratic Party (SPD)
According to a public opinion poll at the end of with a support rate of 18 % . 17% [13]. For the
October 2018, support for Mr. Macron is currently first time , a far - right and xenophobic party has
only about 26 % , a low from before until now [11]. surpassed the Social Democratic Party ( SPD ) to
The support rate for Mr. Macron 's Republic on the rise to second place .
Move ( LREM) party also witnessed a similar level of support in Germany .
decline and was lower than that of Ms. Marine Le Besides , another big threat to the stability of
Pen 's populist National Rally ( RN) party . the EU is that far - right parties in the EU currently
have a policy of forming a populist alliance .
Recently , right- wing, conservative and populist
In Hungary , Mr. Viktor Orbán, an EU skeptic leaders in Hungary , France and Italy have made
who advocates no further integration into the EU moves to ally with each other. In August 2018,
and has refused to participate in the EU 's migrant Deputy Prime Minister
resettlement program , was re - elected for a third Italian Prime Minister Matteo Salvini met with
consecutive term . continued with an overwhelming Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and the
victory . This victory reflects the trust of Hungarian two sides pledged to form a populist front to fight
voters in his tough stance on the issue of globalist figures belonging to the camp of French
immigration . _ _ November 10 , 2018, according President Emmanuel Macron . In September
to the results of the poll 2018, Mr. Salvini also had a meeting with Ms.
Marine Le Pen and the two leaders announced
Commented by Median in Hungary , the support the prospect of establishing a so - called "
rate for Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán 's Freedom Front " to unite the populist faction in
Fidesz party and its ally, the Christian Democratic the European Parliament . . Some analysts
People's Party , far exceeded that of other believe that, in the near future , an anti- immigration
opponents and reached 63% . Meanwhile , the populist alliance between three figures , Viktor
party ranked second , Jobbik, only has a support Orbán, Matteo Salvini and Le Pen, is likely to
rate of 11 % [12]. emerge .
was established before the election _ _ _
In Germany , far - right or populist parties also European Parliament .
emerged and advanced based on popular In particular , the latest public opinion polls in
dissatisfaction . The case of the party Europe show that the popular parties

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anti- immigration activists in France , Italy and Hungary on institutions and policy - making mechanisms .
are increasingly receiving support , far surpassing The treaty has transferred some contents of the judicial
their opponents in the context of the European and internal affairs pillars to the " majority " mechanism
Parliament elections in May 2019 . competent " and was simplified into the " double
majority " procedure, which officially took effect in
2014. According to this principle , EU legal documents
2.4. The "Yellow Vest" movement exploded from are adopted when two criteria are met : majority
France and spread to other countries Member countries with 55% of countries and a majority
of people representing 65% of the entire region's

The largest protest in half a century in France broke population support it . This voting mechanism
out on November 17, 2018 when tens of thousands contributes to making the EU 's policy - making
of people wearing yellow shirts took to the streets process more transparent and effective , requiring
calling on the government to cut taxes . member countries to make more efforts , avoiding
gasoline , adjusting economic policy and expressing deadlock when the interests of the majority conflict .
opposition to French President Emmanuel Macron . _ with minorities . The Lisbon Treaty replaced the
After a few weeks , the “ Yellow Vests ” movement in rotating presidency between member countries for a
France has turned from a single - issue protest into a term of 6 months with a permanent presidency for a
protest with a long list of grievances with President term of 2 and a half years . With a longer - term
Emmanuel Macron and liberalism . new from Europe. permanent presidency , the EU 's policy directions
On December 15, 2018, thousands of people are more unified and more effective . _ _ _ _ The
marched in the Italian capital Rome with yellow shirts structure of the European Commission in 2014 also
and the slogan " Stand up! Fight for your rights !”. changed from 27 members ( one representative per
The cause of this protest is that the Italian Parliament country ) to 17 members , creating a non -
passed a new Immigration Law on November 28, representative committee for all member countries .
2018 [14]. In Austria on December 16, 2018, about intergovernmental membership , which is truly an
17 thousand people in the capital Vienna , despite institution _ _ _
the cold weather , took to the streets to participate in
an anti -government protest , protesting the authorities
' migration policy , and at the same time demanding
a reduction in working days and the abolition of super nation that operates for the common good of
austerity measures . the entire EU.

Second, the Lisbon Treaty strengthens democracy


and transparency in the EU 's policy-making
process , making supranational policy decisions more
effective .
Strengthening the role of the European Parliament
3. The trend of unifying the European Union in the policy-making process, such as : moving from
co- decision procedures to
ordinary legislative procedures covering more than
3.1. Institutional reform under the Lisbon Treaty 70 areas , strengthening the legislative powers of
the EU Parliament , expanding the EU budget approval
First , the Lisbon Treaty promotes the process of procedure for mandatory and non - mandatory
regional integration through reforms budgets , expanding _ _ _ _

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authority to ratify international agreements that the other types of dangerous criminals through the group
EU signs with external partners . Europol police office .
The Lisbon Treaty also focuses more on people 's
basic rights such as dignity , freedom , democracy , 3.2. Deploy regional policies in the economic field
equality and aspects related to human rights ,
towards the concept of European citizenship .

In economic linkages , response to the public debt


Third, the Lisbon Treaty aims to unify a common
crisis and economic growth _ _
foreign and security policy , improving the EU 's
low, moving towards innovating the EU's smart and
image in the international arena . Along with electing
comprehensive growth model quite clearly such
a Permanent President , the Lisbon Treaty also
as the Banking and Financial System Reform
elects a head of foreign affairs and security - an
Program , Smart Growth Program , towards the
EU Foreign Minister and Vice President of the
4.0 Industrial Revolution , changing the new
European Commission . _ _ With this change , the
generation FTA negotiation mechanism .
Lisbon Treaty marked an important change for the
EU in international relations . _ _ A Master _
In the foreign security pillar , strengthening the
unification of the European military and implementing
a new foreign policy to strengthen Asian
Permanent President , a European Foreign Minister
connectivity ...
and the approval of the European Parliament help
In the economic field : after establishing the
the EU have a unified voice with partners and
European stabilization mechanism ( EMS ) to
international organizations . _ _ This contributes
strengthen the connection , unification of
to improving the EU 's position in dealing with
global challenges such as climate change , supervision and joint operations among banks to

sustainable development , traditional and non prevent future banking system crises . In the future,

-traditional security [ 1 , pp.170-173 ] . the Eurozone countries have decided to establish


a Banking Union based on two main pillars : the

Thus , the Lisbon Treaty promotes further Unified Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) effective

unification and expansion of policies under the EU from November 2014 and the Single Banking
's jurisdiction , reaching out to areas that are Mechanism ( SSM ) . Unified solution (SRM) takes
considered the prerogatives of the sovereign state , effect from January 1 , 2016 [15 ] .
such as : police _ , border , foreign policy , refugee
policy ; manage and control border crossings with Along with supervising and handling weak
outside the Community ; _ _ _ immigration policy banks , the ECB has also made efforts to help
and residence rights of third country citizens ; _ member countries have resources to
fight against drugs and international fraud ; _ _ Improve the credit situation with the quantitative
judicial cooperation in civil fields ; _ _ judicial easing program . _ In early 2015 , the ECB Executive
cooperation in the field of crime ; Customs and Council decided to buy hundreds of billions of
police cooperation against terrorism , drug Euros of government bonds , massively inject
trafficking and others money and maintain 0% interest rates to stimulate
consumer demand and prevent declines .

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develop and improve jobs . Until the end of 2018 , 3.3. Promoting the Industrial Revolution 4.0
when the ECB announced the end of this program,
in total , the ECB pumped about 2,600 billion Euro
into the Eurozone economy through bond In 2014, in the report “For a European industrial
purchases issued by 19 member governments renaissance”, the European Commission stated
as well as that digital technologies
corporate bonds for nearly 4 years . _ Speaking ( including cloud computing , big data, new
at the press conference at headquarters _ industrial internet applications , smart factories ,
ECB headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany on robotics and 3D printing ) has an essential role
December 13, 2018, Mario Draghi, President of to play in raising Europe 's productivity by
the ECB , said that the quantitative easing (QE) identifying renovate business models and create
program had been truly successful with the goal of new products and services . In addition , the EU
organized a Strategic Policy forum on digital
pushing market interest rates down and helping the system
The Eurozone 's banking system is safer by technology startups , focusing on discussions
increasing the value of bonds that banks hold .
He said that the QE program is the only driving the digital transformation of industry and of
force promoting the recovery process of the European businesses . _ _ The European
economy Commission has set out priorities for European
at a time when this region was in crisis [22] . industrial policy and called on European countries
to recognize the importance of industry in growth
These efforts have helped the EU solve the and job creation . _ _ The European Commission
problem of creating jobs and reducing also stated that the adoption of digital technology
unemployment in recent years . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ In is essential to
February 2019, the unemployment rate in both
regions continued to record the lowest level in Increase Europe 's productivity through redefining
many years , specifically business models and creating new products and
Specifically: the EU 19 unemployment rate is 7.8 services . _ _ _ _ _
% , the lowest level since October 2008 . For the In May 2015, the European Commission
EU 28, the unemployment rate is 6.5%, the lowest published a detailed plan to establish a “ Digital
Single
level since January 2000 . Member countries have rates _ Market ” [ 18 ] with the goal of removing
The lowest unemployment rates are: Czech Republic (1.9%), barriers and turning 28 national markets into one .
Germany (3.1%) and the Netherlands (3.4%). Countries have rates _single
_ market , creating an area of guaranteed free
The highest unemployment rates are: Greece movement of goods , people , services and
( 18%), Spain (13.9%) and Italy (10.7%) [16]. capital , helping people and businesses access
Despite stopping the credit easing program , on goods and access services online seamlessly and
April 10 , 2019, the ECB continued to keep interest _ _ _ regardless of nationality . “The market is
rates unchanged at record low levels . careful
green. The bank's key refinancing interest rate
remains at 0 % , lending interest rate is 0.25%, common digital ” can contribute 415 billion
while deposit interest rate is - Euro for the European economy , promoting job
0.4% [17]. growth , competition , promotion

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investment and innovation . _ During the period 2014- nation . With this strengthening of powers , the
2020, the EU Hoziron research program provides European Union will determine the appropriate
nearly 80 billion Euros for research and innovation , negotiation process and roadmap so that the
including support for the development of key negotiation results are ratified smoothly and
technologies . Some typical projects , such as: " quickly .
Future Factory " project is a public- private
partnership program with an expected budget of 3.5. Unify the field of foreign security
about 1.5 billion Euro ; The project “ Sustainable
Processing Industry through Resource Efficiency In this field , a series of policy adjustments also took
(SPIRE)” has a budget of 900 million Euro . In place to increase the trend
addition, at least 100 billion Euros from the Fund unifying the EU military , deploying a new Asian
strategy ... In December 2017, the EU Summit with
European Construction and Investment ( ESIF ) is 25/27 members (except Denmark and Malta )
dedicated to member states to encourage countries agreed to launch a regular structural cooperation
to invest in innovation , motivate countries to focus agreement . on defense standing (PESCO) [19] , an
on their advantages and create value changes _ _ idea that was raised in the 2009 Lisbon Treaty and
strongly promoted by
of the EU [3].

in early 2017 in the context of the UK leaving the EU


3.4. Strengthen the power of the EU in negotiating
and the transatlantic relationship ( US - EU)
new generation FTAs
becoming uncertain after President Trump came
to power . PESCO 's goal is to coordinate and
In order to promote the process of negotiating and
promote military and defense industry cooperation
signing new generation FTAs , on May 22, 2018, the Ministry of
and coordination in campaigns outside the
EU trade chiefs have agreed to a new approach to
territory .
signing and ratifying FTAs , whereby an agreement
EU. With PESCO, Europe is not only more
can be approved without the need for ratification by
independent in technology and production capacity
member state parliaments . _ _ _ _ _ _ The basis for
but also supports each other in arms procurement .
trade ministers to make this decision is the EU's
gas, military equipment , and logistics at cheaper
exclusive trade policy under Article 207 of the Treaty
prices . The key feature of PESCO is a permanent
on the Functions of the EU ( TFEU ). This means
mechanism and a mandatory commitment for
that the EU , not its member states, manages trade
participating members . _ EU leaders believe that
relations with third countries ( outside the EU ) and
PESCO does not contradict NATO but will
negotiates international trade agreements . However,
EU member states have the ability to promote trade complement NATO 's activities . To implement
PESCO, since the beginning of 2018 , the EU has
links through trade promotion policies .
allocated a fund of 500 million Euro contributed
by 25 participating countries to 17 projects approved
by the European Council . These projects are all
assigned to a host member state and countries

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Others can participate or not depending on their According to the results of public opinion polls
capacity and needs [ 4]. Adjust foreign policy to ahead of the European Parliament elections on
strengthen Asia - Europe connection . _ May 23 , 2019 , a coalition of conservative , social
At the 12th Asia-Europe Summit (ASEM), taking and liberal parties pro - EU may prevail .
place on November 18-19 , 2018 in Brussels, the According to the above results , the coalition of
EU officially launched a new vision called the Asia pro - European parties can now win a majority in
- Europe Connectivity Strategy to strengthen the European Parliament elections , but with

interconnection . Bringing collaborative content Britain expected to participate in the election


Due to the postponement of the Brexit process , the
together to form a network makes it possible _ _ _
proportion of seats occupied by Eurosceptic parties will also be
reaching out further, taking advantage of all the
skyrocketed from the current 10% to 14.3 %. Even
potential and possibilities there . Accordingly ,
so , the correlation between parties could still be
the EU focuses on connectivity in the fields of
reversed if the UK and EU are surprised
transportation , new energy , and digital technology applications
reach an exit agreement before the European
transform and connect people with each other .
Parliament elections . _ _ _ _ _ _ In addition ,
The goal of the strategy is to form a road , sea
populist leaders in some countries such as
and air transport network to take advantage of
Hungary, Italy , and Poland called on Eurosceptics
opportunities on both continents .
and anti - immigrant far - right forces to form an
The Connectivity Strategy is determined with the
alliance to gain control of the legislature . of
basic criteria of : ( 1) Sustainability ; (2)
Europe is being seen as a significant challenge
Comprehensive ; ( 3 ) Based on international
for the pro-European faction in the new election
principles . Therefore , this strategy aims to both
cycle . If the populist parties win , it will mean
compete and cooperate and connect with other holding
intercontinental strategies . _ _ Accordingly ,
the EU's Asia-Europe Connectivity Strategy is power to dominate EU policy and have a profound
deployed to gather forces around the world , impact on the world situation , which could spark
especially enlisting and attracting Asian countries a wave of xenophobia containing many dangers ,
to join Europe in upholding the banner of " exacerbating humanitarian crises of migration
multilateral " and " multilateralism " . free trade " , and immigration ... [ 20].
to promote inter - continental cooperation and
connectivity to deal with protectionist trends and policies _In_March 2017, the EU celebrated 60 years of
commercial [ 4]. development ( 1957- 2017) . Marking this important
event , the EU announced
“ White Paper on the Future of Europe -
4. Conclusion Retrospective and Scenarios for EU27 to 2025”.
Challenges , opportunities and development
The EU 's efforts towards supranational unification prospects of the EU in major fields are mentioned .
and the obstacles from Brexit as well as populism _ _ _ By 2025 , there are five proposed
and _ _ _ _ development scenarios for the future of the
The divergence between countries is very difficult to predict Union: ( 1 ) The EU continues to focus on
predict this trend in the future . According to implementing the established reform roadmap ;

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Nguyen An Ha

(2) The EU gradually shifts its focus to the overcome enormous challenges in the post -
common market ; ( 3) The EU allows member Brexit period . _ _
states to proactively cooperate with each However , practical experience shows that
other in each specific field ; ( 4 ) The EU Britain joined the European Community in
focuses on improving the efficiency and 1973 , and during the 43 years until the
responsiveness of collective actions in certain referendum decided to leave the EU in May
areas , reducing involvement in other areas ; _ _ 2016
(5) , Britain tried to maintain a position as
The EU decided to cooperate in all fields [21 ] . "isolated " as possible , taking advantage of
intergovernmentalism , multiple speeds ,
With these scenarios , Europe faces many participating only in the single market , not
options for the future . _ Choosing the form of joining the Economic and Monetary Union
development will entail : _
as well as the Schengen Agreement . Thus ,
changes in EU functions . _ _ EU leaders also
England is always the weakest link and when
do not exclude the ability to combine forms
activated by common problems of the entire system
of development , towards the best way to
systems such as the public debt crisis , the
achieve the benefits of the people . _ All
immigration crisis , the rise of populism ,
scenarios have different advantages and
protectionism along with external influences ,
disadvantages . _ However, according to
this link has broken open the earliest .
observers , scenario 1 is hardly feasible ,
scenario 2 is too behind , scenario 5 is too
Whether Brexit is a driving force for the
ambitious , and the intermediate scenarios all cause disruption .
EU to continue promoting the unification
There is a certain degree of internal division within the EU .

The EU is always flexible in policy making process or a trigger to trigger a separatist


to achieve consensus in difficult chain reaction depends greatly on the election .
circumstances , so the possible solution will The EU Parliament is here.

still be an " EU with many speeds " and "


menualism " , a step backward , but it is a
Note
necessary and acceptable step backward in
the current context . _ Accordingly , each
2
This research is funded by the National Foundation for
country can participate in deeper integration
into the economic community from a common Science and Technology Development ( Nafosted ) .
Account code : DXTN- 2016.01.
currency , economic and monetary union or just
stop at the unified market , decide whether to
participate in the Schengen Agreement , or the
PESCO Agreement or not. Participation takes References
place over different lengths and short
schedules to ensure that countries have time [1] Nguyen An Ha (2013), Adjusting development policies of

to prepare to meet the requirements posed by some key European countries during the financial crisis

deeper integration . _ _ _ _ Thus , the EU from and global economic recession, Social Sciences

Where there was " unification ", we have now retreated to Publishing House ,

a "loose " connection that creates consensus to be able to overcome Hanoi .

35
Machine Translated by Google

Vietnamese Social Sciences , No. 6 - 2019

[2] Nguyen An Ha (2015), Comparing regional [12] https://www.kormany.hu/...prime-


connectivity models, lessons for ASEAN and suggestions minister/...prime-minister.../interview-with-
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[3] Nguyen An Ha, Tran Dinh Hung (2017), " your-nerve-germany/
Industrial Revolution 4.0 in Europe, impact a-45596754 [14] https://www.france24.com/en/

on Poland and implications for Vietnam ", 20181208-italy-france-protest-tav-high-speed-


train-link-turin
Journal of European Studies, no. 12.
[4] Nguyen Nham (2019), “Europe in 2018, looking [15]http://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/et
udes/divers/join/2014/497748/IPOL-
back at important highlights ” , Journal of
ECON_DV(2014)497748_EN.pdf
European Studies, no . 2.
[16]iihttps://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/29955
[5] http://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/
21/9697394/3-01042019-BP-
europe-migration-crisis-context-why-now-
EN.pdf/899edf8c-529b-422a-ac1a-
and-what-next
ce0fede29fa3
[6] http://www.rfa.org/vietnamese/in_
[17] https://www.dw.com/en/european-central-
depth/vn-in-europe-look-bk-2015-
bank-keeps-interest-rates-at-record-low/
12292015072213.html
a-48276824
[7] https://vov.vn/the-gioi/quan-sat/hoi-nghi-
[18] http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-
thuong-dinh-lien-minh-chau-au-khong- content/EN/TXT/?uri=celex%3A52015DC012
co-nhieu-dot-pha-827837.vov, October
[19] https://pesco.europa.eu/about/
19, 2018. [8]iiiihttps://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/201
[20] http://www.sggp.org.vn/tham-do-truoc-vong-
9/apr/10/brexit-eu-to-decide-on-uk-extension- bau-cu-ngi-vien-chau-au-phe-than-eu-chiem-
live-news uu-the-588185.html
[9] https://edition.cnn.com/uk/live-news/brexit- [21] https://ec.europa.eu/commission/sites/beta-
delay-eu-summit-gbr-intl/index.html political/files/white_paper_on_the_future_of_e
[10] https://italianpoliticalscience.com/ urope_en.pdf
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france-approval-ratings- luong-2600-ti-euro.html

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