Ohio Statewide

GOP Primary Election Survey

Conducted: March 4 - 5, 2024

Number of Respondents: 400
Margin of Error: ± 4.9%

1. Are you or any member of your household employed in market research, the news media,
or a political campaign?

Response Percent
No 100.0

2. How likely would you say you are to vote in the upcoming primary election on March 19th?

Response Percent
Very Likely 94.9
Somewhat Likely 5.1

3. And do you plan to vote in the Republican Primary, Democratic Primary or are you
uncertain?

Response Percent
Republican Primary 91.3
Uncertain 8.7

3B. If you were forced to decide today, in which primary would you vote?

Response Percent
Republican Primary 100.0

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OH Statewide
GOP Primary Election Survey

Thinking about people in politics today, would you say you have a favorable or unfavorable
opinion of the following:

4. JD Vance

Response Percent
Very Favorable 35.7
Somewhat Favorable 27.4
Somewhat Unfavorable 5.3
Very Unfavorable 15.7
No Opinion 12.3
Never Heard 3.6

5. Frank LaRose

Response Percent
Very Favorable 11.3
Somewhat Favorable 26.1
Somewhat Unfavorable 11.1
Very Unfavorable 10.6
No Opinion 32.1
Never Heard 8.8

6. Bernie Moreno

Response Percent
Very Favorable 12.7
Somewhat Favorable 20.3
Somewhat Unfavorable 11.6
Very Unfavorable 14.3
No Opinion 25.6
Never Heard 15.5

7. Matt Dolan

Response Percent
Very Favorable 13.6
Somewhat Favorable 24.7
Somewhat Unfavorable 7.3
Very Unfavorable 7.6
No Opinion 30.4
Never Heard 16.5

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GOP Primary Election Survey

8. If the election for United States Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?

Response Percent
Matt Dolan 21.7
Bernie Moreno 21.5
Frank LaRose 23.2
Undecided 33.6

8A. And would you say you would definitely vote for Frank LaRose, or just probably?

Response Percent
Definitely LaRose 55.6
Probably LaRose 44.4

8B. And would you say you would definitely vote for Bernie Moreno, or just probably?

Response Percent
Definitely Moreno 64.9
Probably Moreno 35.1

8C. And would you say you would definitely vote for Matt Dolan, or just probably?

Response Percent
Definitely Dolan 50.9
Probably Dolan 49.1

8D. Even though you are undecided, if you had to lean toward someone today, would you vote
for:

Response Percent
Matt Dolan 17.3
Frank LaRose 15.4
Bernie Moreno 14.5
Undecided 54.7

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OH Statewide
GOP Primary Election Survey

Q8 Combined Sen Ballot

Response Percent
TOTAL FRANK LAROSE 27.7
TOTAL BERNIE MORENO 25.9
TOTAL MATT DOLAN 26.7
Definitely Voting for Frank LaRose 12.9
Probably Voting for Frank LaRose 14.8
Definitely Voting for Bernie Moreno 13.6
Probably Voting for Bernie Moreno 12.3
Definitely Voting for Matt Dolan 10.9
Probably Voting for Matt Dolan 15.7
Undecided 19.7

Now, I’m going to read you some information about the candidates for US Senate. For each
one, please tell me if it makes you more likely to vote for that person, less likely or makes no
difference?

9. Bernie Moreno has been endorsed by Donald Trump

Response Percent
Much More Likely 25.2
Somewhat More Likely 23.1
Somewhat Less Likely 4.2
Much Less Likely 19.0
No Difference 28.6

10. Frank LaRose has been elected twice as Ohio’s Secretary of State, is an Army Green Beret,
and is the only candidate that has never wavered in supporting conservative principles.

Response Percent
Much More Likely 28.1
Somewhat More Likely 38.4
Somewhat Less Likely 5.3
Much Less Likely 7.7
No Difference 20.5

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GOP Primary Election Survey

11. Bernie Moreno has a history of liberal positions on several issues, including serving on the
board of an organization that sent millions to Planned Parenthood and pushing for additional
gun and ammunition controls.

Response Percent
Much More Likely 6.4
Somewhat More Likely 7.6
Somewhat Less Likely 22.5
Much Less Likely 47.5
No Difference 16.0

12. Which type of candidate do you believe is best suited to defeat Sherrod Brown this fall?

Response Percent
An Army Green Beret already elected twice statewide in Ohio 45.7
A lawyer and professional politician 12.9
A used car salesman and businessman 10.3
Undecided 31.1

13. Assuming the information you just heard is true, If the election for United States Senate
were held today, for whom would you vote?

Response Percent
Frank LaRose 32.8
Bernie Moreno 21.2
Matt Dolan 21.0
Undecided 25.0

13A. And would you say you would definitely vote for Frank LaRose, or just probably?

Response Percent
Definitely LaRose 53.0
Probably LaRose 47.0

13B. And would you say you would definitely vote for Bernie Moreno, or just probably?

Response Percent
Definitely Moreno 58.3
Probably Moreno 41.7

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GOP Primary Election Survey

13C. And would you say you would definitely vote for Matt Dolan, or just probably?

Response Percent
Definitely Dolan 53.7
Probably Dolan 46.3

13D. Even though you are undecided, if you had to lean toward someone today, would you
vote for:

Response Percent
Frank LaRose 15.4
Bernie Moreno 10.3
Matt Dolan 14.9
Undecided 59.4

Q13 Combined Informed Sen Ballot

Response Percent
TOTAL FRANK LAROSE 36.6
TOTAL BERNIE MORENO 23.6
TOTAL MATT DOLAN 23.8
Definitely Voting for Frank LaRose 17.4
Probably Voting for Frank LaRose 19.2
Definitely Voting for Bernie Moreno 12.4
Probably Voting for Bernie Moreno 11.2
Definitely Voting for Matt Dolan 11.1
Probably Voting for Matt Dolan 12.7
Undecided 16.0

Now, to ensure we have a representative sample, you’re going to be asked to answer some
demographic questions. As a reminder, your responses will be compiled with others so that
they remain completely confidential.

14. What is your age?

Response Percent
18-29 3.9
30-45 11.9
46-55 13.7
56-65 23.0
66 and over 47.0
Refused 0.5

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GOP Primary Election Survey

15. What is your gender?

Response Percent
Male 50.7
Female 49.3

Phone Type

Response Percent
Cellphone 71.3
Landline 28.7

Geo - Media Market

Response Percent
Charleston-Huntington 2.7
Cincinnati 15.2
Cleveland-Akron (Canton) 30.0
Columbus Oh 20.6
Dayton 13.0
Ft. Wayne 0.7
Lima 2.4
Parkersburg 0.8
Toledo 8.2
Wheeling-Steubenville 1.6
Youngstown 4.1
Zanesville 0.7