Contoh 2 ( n ganjil) Contoh 1 ( n genap)

n Y X XY x2 n Y X
2007 9,867 -3 - 29,601 9 2008 10,067 -5
2008 10,067 -2 - 20,134 4 2009 12,067 -3
2009 12,067 -1 - 12,067 1 2010 11,567 -1
2010 11,567 0 0 0 2011 11,867 1
2011 11,867 1 11,867 1 2012 12,057 3
2012 12,057 2 24,114 4 2013 12,267 5
2013 12,267 3 36,801 9 ∑ 69,892 0
∑ 79,759 0 10,980 28
a= 69,892 =
79,759 = 11,394 6
a=
7 b= 11,270 =
10,980 = 392 70
b=
28
Y2014 a + bX
Y2014 a + bX 11649 + 161 (7)
11.394 + 392 (4) 12,776
12,963
Y2015 a + bX
Y2014 a + bX 11645 + 161 (9)
11.394 + 392 (5) 13,098
13,355

Titik Origin : 1 Januari 2010 Titik Origin : 1 Januari 2011

Interval Waktu : 1 Tahun Interval Waktu : ½ Tahun (6 Bulan)
( n genap)
XY x2
-50,335 25
-36,201 9
-11,567 1
11,867 1
36,171 9
61,335 25
11,270 70

11,649

161
 n Y X XY x2
2008 10,067 0 0 0
2009 12,067 1 12,067 1
2010 11,567 2 23,134 4
2011 11,867 3 35,601 9
2012 12,057 4 48,228 16
2013 12,267 5 61,335 25
∑ 69,892 15 180,365 55

69553 = 6a + 15b Y2014 a + bX

180365 = 30a + 75b 10.844 + 322 (6)
12,851
69,892 = 6a + 15b 5
180,365 = 15a + 55b 2 Y2015 a + bX
349,460 = 30a + 75b 10.844 + 322 (7)
360,730 = 30a + 110b 13,173
11,270 = 35b
b = 322 Titik Origin : 1 Juli 2008
Interval Waktu : 1 Tahun
69,892 = 6a + 15(322)
69,892 = 6a + 4.830
a = 10,919
n Y X
2006 9,667 -3
2007 9,867 -1 Total : 41,668
2008 10,067 1 Average : 10,417
2009 12,067 3
2010 11,567 5
2011 11,867 7
2012 12,057 9 Total : 47,758
2013 12,267 11 Average : 11,940
∑ 89,426 32

a = 10,417
nilai antara= 381
b = 190

Y2014 a + bX
10.417 + 190 (13)
12,891
 n Y Unit X X2 XY X4 X2Y
2008 10,067 -3 9 -30,201 81 90,603
2009 13,067 -2 4 -26,134 16 52,268
2010 16,067 -1 1 -16,067 1 16,067
2011 20,067 0 0 0 0 0
2012 21,067 1 1 21,067 1 21,067
2013 22,067 2 4 44,134 16 88,268
2014 24,067 3 9 72,201 81 216,603
n=7 126,469 0 28 65,000 196 484,876

mencari nilai b :
65,000 = 28 b
b = 2,321

mencari nilai c :
126,469 = 7a + 28c 4
484,876 = 28a + 196c 1
505,876 = 28a + 112c
484,876 = 28a + 196c
21,000 = -84c
c = - 250

mencari nilai a :
126,469 = 7a + 28 (-250)
126,469 = 7a - 7000
133,469 = 7a
a = 19,067

persamaan trend :
Y = 19.067 + 2.321 (4) - 250 (6)
Y2015 = 19.067 + 9.285 - 4000
= 24,351
Dibulatkan= 25,000
Y2015 = 25,000