Professional Documents
Culture Documents
on
I N A U G U R A L S E S S I O N
• Welcome Address................................................................................... 1
Professor Dr Lutfullah Mangi
Director,
Area Study Centre, Far East & South East Asia,
University of Sindh, Jamshoro
• Address................................................................................................... 3
Professor Dr Rafia A. Sheikh
Dean,
Faculty of Social Sciences,
University of Sindh, Jamshoro
SESSION – I
PAKISTAN-CHINA RELATIONS (SECURITY DIMENSION)
SESSION-II
PAKISTAN-CHINA RELATIONS (SECURITY, POLITICAL
AND ECONOMIC DIMENSIONS)
Recommendations
Dr Abdul Latif Tunio ...................................................................................... 136
Vote of Thanks
Professor Dr Deedar Hussain Shah............................................................. 139
Conference
Rational / Schedule ...............................................................................i
Inaugural Session
Professor Dr Lutfullah Mangi
Director, Area Study Centre,
Far East & South East Asia,
University of Sindh, Jamshoro
Assalam–o–Alikum
China has been a traditional friend of Pakistan and almost all the successive
governments since the early 1960s have put in attempts to strengthen these
relations further. Our friendship with China has been the cornerstone of
our foreign policy. Pakistan has cultural, social, economic and trade
relation with China. The friendship between both countries encompasses
defence, energy production, industrial infrastructure, space technology,
tourism, medicine and engineering. Both countries are actively engaged
exploring new avenues of bilateral cooperation particularly to boost trade
and business relations. Gwadar is an excellent example in economic
interaction between both the countries. China is prepared to join, Pakistan,
India and Iran in laying the cross border gas pipeline. China has offered
three countries to help implement the gas pipeline project on reasonable
conditions. China has also offered setting up gas stations along the
pipeline. The 50th anniversary of diplomatic relations between Pakistan –
China, in 2001, was utilized to launch a major effort to buildup trade and
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (2)
Pakistan and China have been working together to ensure peace in the
region. Both have been working to alleviate poverty and fight terrorism
together. Beijing has been playing a positive and constructive role in
Pakistan – India Relations. China supported self–determination in Kashmir
as under the UN resolution. Today, China is urging both India and Pakistan
to resolve the Kashmir dispute through mutual dialogue and bilateral
means.
During his visit to Pakistan in April 2005, the Chinese Prime Minister Wen
Jiabao assured Pakistan “Clear and unambiguous, categorical assurance to
defend Pakistan’s sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity”. In
return, Pakistan supports “China’s great cause of national reunification and
all the efforts of the Chinese government in safeguarding national
sovereignty and territorial integrity”. Pakistan support China on the issue
of Taiwan. Pakistan was the first country to support the Anti-Secession Law,
passed by China’s National People’s Congress in March this year. The
Pakistan – China friendship is a source of strength for both the countries
and contributes to stability within the region.
I once again welcome our distinguished guests from home and abroad and
the participants of the seminar.
Pakistan has been fortunate in the sense that it has a history of good
neighborly relations with China going back to the 1960s.
Pakistan and China are both situated in regions that give birth to ancient
civilizations. Today these areas alongwith the entire Central Asian region
have acquired even greatest significance with their vast mineral resources
and potentially huge economic markets. Both the countries have jointly
cooperated in the building of major projects in Pakistan, like power plants,
cement factories, ports and highways. Technical support has also been
extended by China in the exploration of mineral resources in Pakistan and
both the countries have opened their markets for the mutual import and
export of their products.
China’s has been a remarkable journey from a backward and a poor nation
suffering the ravages of war, revolution and colonialism to a strong, unified
and progressive nation – all in the span of 56 years. Pakistan has also had
its share of tribulations and upheavals and is presently in the process of
struggling to become a modern an economically viable nation. Pakistan as a
Muslim nation is favorably disposed towards China in the light of the
popular Hadith where the Prophet Muhammad (P.B.U.H.) advised his
followers “to seek knowledge even if they had to go to China.”
The growth of China’s economy has been phenomenal. In the 1980’s China
became the third largest nuclear power. China has a huge population base;
It is expanding its access to the world’s energy resources. The Chinese’s
purchase of the U.S. treasury securities places it in an important position of
impacting not only the U.S. economy but also the world economy. All these
factors point to one conclusion – that Pakistan must try to expand its
relations with China in all fields. It must expand its military and economic
relations, its cultural and diplomatic relations, and also look for capital
investment opportunities in the Chinese market. A good part of this should
be industrial cooperation, joint ventures and the like. Threats to regional
political stability must be countered with appropriate joint measures
directed not only towards symptom alleviation but also towards the root
cause of such instability. As these connections and cooperative efforts are
expanded, developed and fostered, the entire bilateral relationship shall
prosper and strengthen. It is the ultimate strength of this relationship that
will protect, enhance and secure Pakistan’s position in the overall regional
and global strategic environment. Such bilateral relationships and their
continuing sustainability and growth would usher in an era of peace and
prosperity for both China and Pakistan.
Assalam–o–Aalikum
One of the remarkable signs of the 21st Century is that Asia is reinventing
itself. The post–Cold War era has made a qualitative change by
transforming the gravity of world economic activities towards Asia. The
new division of economic centres is underway. It is creating new
distribution of power at regional and global levels. New alliances are in the
making. Some political analysts foresee strategic storm surfacing in Asia.
The collapse of the Soviet Union has created a power Vacuum in Euro–Asia.
A new great game is on. In order to fill that vacuum several regional
countries have embarked on the task of manipulating the existing situation.
A few weeks ago, China and Russia jointly called for the withdrawal of U.S.
military bases in Central Asia. Pakistan and China are also conscious about
the need to provide Asia a new roadmap for meeting the challenges of
strategic empowerment.
China wants the strategic stability in South Asia. It could play a significant
role in the peace process in South Asia. Asia is changing, the geo–politics of
South Asia is melting and we cannot afford bitter legacies of the past.
China and Pakistan are good friends, good neighbours and good partners.
Both countries enjoy close cooperation and hold identical views on most of
the world issues. Both also share same aspirations for peace, stability and
development. Many changes have taken place but fundamentals of Pakistan
– China relations remain same. It is a people–to–people contact which is
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (8)
Assalam-o-Aalikum
Now at the end of Cold War and also after the 9/11 incident, the situation of
the world has changed. After the end of the Cold War, it became very
obvious that the Western Powers were looking for some new directions in
which to go and the new direction would need an adversely antagonist and
that antagonist would be provided by the Muslim world. You have heard of
the clash of the civilization, an extremely nonsense theory, which suddenly
created a bogging of the Islamic World that was supposed to be confronting
the Western World. Now that is the situation in which the Muslim world
which is in state of decline and poverty and unable to use its wealth, unable
to focus even on using its human resources, was the world which was
suddenly made focus of antagonism from the West. This was the world
which was supposed to be aiming at destroying the West and that has been
the unwritten scripts of the world relations since then.
You know since Pakistan came into being we have been faithful ally of
America. We have been looking to the West for direction in which to go and
so on. But we find that suddenly in the beginning of the 21st Century we are
enemy as Muslims and at the same time looking to the West for friendship,
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (11)
support and for solutions to all our problems. If you are reading the
newspapers and if you have any idea that what Pakistan is doing, this is
still dilemma. How much can we expect from the West? How much can we
expect from US? We say we have been betrayed but we are faithful ally, we
do what they want us to do. However, at the same time we are the enemy
also and we have a very delicate position in our own region. We have China
with which no doubt the friendship was on its great height but it is in very
implicit able state of decline, so where are we now? I suggest taking all this
in mind and being realistic it is of no use to say that we are greatest friend
and we will always remain that, we won’t.
You know that foreign policies are made from national interests and these
national interests are always changing. Its of no use saying America is
going to abandon us, its of course going to abandon us, when its national
interest so desired. Europe got black immigrants as enigma. Europeans
even does not want Turkey to be a part of European Union. We need to take
a very realistic look at the world situation and see where we fit in now and
where our future is and in this situation, in this picture, I think China plays
a very important part. We cannot forget that at present if there is any big
economic power say Japan but well under control as a friend. So on it is
only China with its incredible economic progress, with its commercial
power with its goods, the way its economy is progressing that is creating
headache for the West and for US who are busy in trying to control the
import and trying to see that this does not affect them too much. China is a
factor in the World affairs which cannot be ignored, which is going to
increase its dominance and which luckily with us has a very good record of
friendship, but that is not enough because China after all is on the Pacific
Ocean and we are on the Indian Ocean, there are connections like we
expect support, we need support we get support but we need to look at this
in wider and more global manner so where are we now? We are in the
Indian Subcontinent.
economy and strength of those countries only if we can get ourselves some
viable block here. Where we can co-operate with each other, use our
strength and give ourselves real advantage that we have geographically,
that we have civilizationally, because we are civilizationally together with
India, with South Asia and with China. Muslims are exhorted to go to China
to educate themselves ok, we are co-operating with China, we have to make
the future focused on foreign policy of our international policy and every
one of you, every student must think not in fantasy terms what might be
but where we are, what we are and how we can improve ourselves. That
has to be the way the things are and I look forward and I hope that
Pakistan foreign office is also being realistic, that his advices being realistic,
the advice its getting from think tanks and from the house of intellects of
universities, like this University and other universities of that kind and we
look forward them to a really co-cooperative block not only Pakistan-
China-Indian, but Pakistan-India-China, Pakistan-India-Bangladesh, China,
Sri Lanka and so on, not only SAARC but wider bigger extended SAARC that
is our future which we cannot avoid.
Ambassador (R)
Dr Maqbool Ahmad Bhatty
INTRODUCTION
The world has been in a state of flux since the end of the Cold War. The
trend for the sole superpower to exercise hegemony was accentuated with
the accession of President George W. Bush to power from 2001. Thu US
unilateralism got an added push from the terrorist attack of 11 September
2001, which was used as a justification for the US to intervene anywhere in
the world in the name of security. Washington also claimed the right to
bring about regime change where it deemed that necessary.
Apart from identifying the Islamic world as the main source of the terrorist
threat, the US, also adopted a containment policy towards China which was
seen as the long-term challenge to US hegemony through its peaceful rise.
The Sino-Pakistan friendship, which has been called a model relationship
between neighbours having different social systems, has proved its
reliability and strength despite the major changes that have taken place in
the field of regional and global relationships at the start of the 21 Century.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (15)
While both China and Pakistan are cooperating primarily in the main task
of developing their economies to improve the life of their people, their
security relationship remains a vital component of their time-tested
friendship.
HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
China’s role and view of the World has to be seen in the historical
perspective, as the seat of one of the oldest civilizations, with a recorded
history of 5000 years. Until three centuries ago, China, which regarded
itself as the centre of the world, was affluent and prosperous, with an
advanced culture, and referred to the rest of the world as “barbarians”.
However, being in virtual isolation, it missed the industrial revolution, and
suffered from western colonization and exploitation, as nearly all the
industrialized countries proceeded to take advantage of its weakness
China had launched a drive for modernization even under Premier Zhou
Enlai in the 1960s but turbulence created by the Cultural Revolution held up
real progress. It was the passing away of the old leadership in 1976 that
brought a more pragmatic leadership headed by Deng Xiaoping into Power.
From 1978, China has been launched on a course in which the primary
goal is to achieve economic modernization and development.
The basic planks of the approach are opening to the outside world, and to
introduce economic reforms, giving maximum scope to foreign investment
and technology. Even foreign policy is subordinated to the goal of
modernization, and China seeks to promote a global environment of peace
and stability, that is conducive to development. Since 1978, the progress
achieved by China is truly phenomenal. It has consistently maintained an
annual growth rate of around 9 percent, and the GDP has reached nearly $
1.6 trillion making China the fourth largest economy in the world.
Economists forecast that in twenty years, China’s economy will be the
largest in the World.1
THE US FACTOR
China has realized since long that its most important relationship is that
with the US, both to advance its development through engagement, and to
threaten its security and survival in case of hostilities. China, therefore,
attaches the highest importance to managing this relationship in a manner
that is non–provocative, and conforms to norms of inter-state relations. At
the same time, there are certain basic principles of foreign policy which it
adheres to, as a matter of national sovereignty and independence. For
instance, it seeks to follow an independent foreign policy, based on the
principles of the UN Charter that are summed up in the Five Principles.
China also opposes hegemony, and quest for spheres of influence. China
favours the peaceful settlement of disputes, and opposes use or threat of
force. China believes in the rectification of historical wrongs, and in this
context, seeks the restoration of its sovereignty over Taiwan. It also backs
regional cooperation, and identifies itself with the developing countries.
China has tried to maintain a policy of engagement with the US, especially
in the economic field, and avoided any confrontation. Apart from joining
in the war against terror, it has recognized the importance of the role the
US plays in various parts of Asia, and sought to render diplomatic
assistance over North Korea’s nuclear ambitions. However, where its vital
national interests are involved, such as in Taiwan or Tibet, it stands firm.
Is a Sino-US Cold War inevitable? China is doing all it can to avoid it.4 In
promoting long-term global balance through multi–polarity, it will not
willingly engage in a conflict with the US. However US analysts, and war
strategists appear to keep this prospect very much in mind. Their
expectation is that the theatre of global confrontation will shift to the
Pacific. The US would rely on its alliance with NATO, and base facilities for
its Navy in the Ask Pacific region to fight and contain China.5
COUNTERVAILING RELATIONSHIPS
China is also developing relations with other major countries in its vicinity,
such as Pakistan, India, Iran and Russia. China has also sought to develop
close economic and trade links with regional organizations in its
neighbourhood. It has not only joined ASEAN as a dialogue partner but also
extended free trade facilities. China has played a major role in crating the
Shanghai Cooperation Organization, and is showing interest in joining
SAARC, which could infuse new life into it.
see the WTO show greater concern for the interests of the developing
countries. Its remarkable economic growth may persuade some developing
countries to adopt its model. However it avoids throwing a challenge to the
advanced countries, and shows realism and modesty over its achievements,
maintaining that it requires half a century to achieve its goals.
China has extended political, moral and material support to Pakistan ever
since the signing of the boundary Agreement in 1963 and this has been
critical to its independence and sovereignty. It has been a reliable friend
despite major regional and global changes. In response, Pakistan has also
stood by China at difficult times, particularly between 1963 and 1978, when
China was isolated. As a result, successive generation of Chinese leaders
have recognized Pakistan’s unique role even though China has emerged on
the world stage as a great power.
Until recently, Pakistan and China had no entered into a formal treaty of
friendship and cooperation. The visit of Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao
to Pakistan in April 2005 was marked by the signing of such a treaty, and
the Chinese leader stated, “The treaty and other agreements that we have
signed today mark a new stage in Sine-Pakistan friendship and it would
institutionalize the spirit of friendship of the last 54 years". This treaty is
unique in the sense that the two countries do not have such a treaty with
any other country. Commenting on the treaty, Prime Minister Shaukat Aziz
said it would serve as a turning point in the already strong relationship
between the two countries.6 The most significant provision of the treaty
was that both countries would support each other's efforts to safeguard
their territorial integrity. They also pledged not to allow the use of their
territory against the other.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (20)
FUTURE PROSPECTS
In the present century, as the global centre of gravity shifts to Asia, the
reliance on military power for influence is likely to give way to a different
order, based on peace and international cooperation. China is already
showing the way by concentrating on development to improve the life of
its people. For this purpose, its adherence to the Five Principles of Peaceful
Coexistence points to its assuming a greater world role in the coming age
of geo-economics. Both geography and history would continue to play their
role in the maintenance of the many-sided friendship between Pakistan and
China, which serves their security and economic interests.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (21)
REFERENCES
1 M. A. Bhatty, “China’s Response to the post 9/11 Scenario” paper read at Seminar
in Islamabad on “China and the Emerging Regional Balance”. May 19–20, 2005.
2 Calleo, Daivd, P. “The US and Great Powers”, World Policy Journal Fall 1999,
page–11.
3 Shi Chunlai, “China’s Development and the Five Principles of Peaceful Co–
existence”, paper read at Seminar marking 59th Anniversary of the Five Principles
of Peaceful Co–existence”, Beijing, 13 June 2004.
5 Kaplan, Robert D., “How We would Fight China”. Atlantic Monthly, June 2005.
Naureen Memon
INTRODUCTION
All the nations of the world maintain relations on the basis of their mutual
interests. The formation of international organizations by sovereign states
and their will to accept the obligations is one of the basic features of the
contemporary world order. A state is considered to be in the mode of
multilateral relationship, when it is member of United Nations and is linked
with United Nation’s Charter. Just like that, but on limited level, some
associations of states exist which are formed without any coercive power.
This type of relationship engages a state into bilateral relationship, which
is mostly based on historical background, cultural affiliation, geographical
contiguity or community of economic interests.
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the cooperation between China and
Pakistan in combating terrorism for international peace, security and
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (23)
progress. The paper suggests that the continued strategic dialogue between
China and Pakistan on security and defense issues at both governmental
and institutional levels would greatly contribute to maintaining peace in
the region and will further add to the already cordial relations between the
two countries.
WHAT IS TERRORISM?
There are rules against actions but terrorist does not recognize any such
rules, as he is the one who has lost faith in all existing systems of conflict
resolution and does not go to seek the justice by tribunal. Our region has
remained vulnerable to terrorist activities for a long time. Thousands of
people are being killed by the terrorists in this region. The complete
elimination of the terrorism from South Asia requires collective efforts by
the countries of this region. 5
CHINA’S ROLE IN COMBATING TERRORISM
Since 9/11, China has taken many measures in the field of fighting against
terrorism. First of all, it took an active role in international cooperation in
the fight against terrorism at the 6th session of the Special Committee of
General Assembly against Terrorism.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (24)
On bilateral level, China has joined hands against terrorism with the United
States, Russia, the United Kingdom, France, India and Pakistan. On
domestic level, China has reinforced anti-terrorism measures by adopting
practical measures in the fields of finance, law, civil aviation security and
entry and exit administration to combat and prevent terrorism. 8
Terrorism is not the problem of its victims or victim societies alone but its
impact vertebrates across the globe. A victory for terrorism anywhere in
the world is a victory for terrorism everywhere. Many individuals and
groups use terrorism for several purposes. It is used as a weapon in
creating disorder in the international system. It has become difficult for a
single state to curb terrorism alone. Hence, eradication of this requires
collective efforts by all states. 12
Both countries have held a series of high-level civil and military exchanges
in order to consult each other on the changing geo-strategic environment
in the region and forge a deeper understanding. The good examples of
these exchanges are the visits of Chinese Prime Minister Zho Rongji and
President Pervez Musharraf to each other countries in 2001. The result is
that both have reached a considerable understanding to adopt a mutually
beneficial approach in dealing with the emerging political issues, by
focusing on peace and stability in the region. 14
China has provided Pakistan with economic aid and diplomatic support in
order to strengthen Pakistan against terrorism. After the September 11
attacks on the U.S., China assured Pakistan of her continued support and
provided her with more than $ 1 million emergency assistance. In addition
to this aid, China ordered the engineers and technicians, withdrawn from
Pakistan due to security concerns after September 2001, to resume work on
investment projects in Pakistan. These projects are copper mining, oil and
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (27)
gas exploration and a $ 200 million project to build a highway and port in
Gwadar on the Arabian Sea. Hence, China has continued supporting
Pakistan on domestic as well as international level. 16
CONCLUSION
Terrorism can be defined as” the calculated use of violence or the threat of
violence to introduce fear; intended to coerce or to intimidate governments
or societies in the pursuit of goals that are generally political, religious, or
ideological.
A wider range of specific crimes comes under the heading of terrorism. The
list includes murder, kidnapping, seizing public transport, releasing
contaminating substances and interfering with computer networks.
Terrorism is a deliberate attack by an individual or a group against a
country, its institutions or its people - with the aim of intimidating them
and damaging or destroying their political, economic or social structures.
China and Pakistan are situated in an area that has great geographical
importance and host almost half of the world population. Along with the
human resources, the area is also rich in natural material resources. The
progress and prosperity of the region requires amiable relations among the
countries of the region and their mutual cooperation against the terrorism.
Pakistan and China enjoy exemplary friendly ties, which have not only
sustained changes of governments and the ups and downs in the regional
and global situation, but, in fact, have been expanding and becoming even
deeper. And the cooperation against terrorism has become one of the
common factors in the relations between China and Pakistan.
Pakistan and China are working together to fight against ‘evil of terrorism’
in order to make the region free of this evil and make it peaceful and
prosperous. Thus, it can be concluded that both China and Pakistan
maintain, terrorism is a threat to international peace and therefore be
curbed by all means at all levels.
REFERENCES
1 Zulfikar Ali Bhutto, The Third World: New Dimensions, Quartet Books, London,
1977, p.32.
4 Pakistan and China to Adopt Joint Strategy: Fighting Terrorism, Dawn, Karachi,
July 3, 2004.
5 Adluri Subramanyam Raju, Terrorism in South Asia: Views From India, India
Research Press, New Delhi, 2004, pp. 2-5.
7 Pete Lentini, The Shanghai Cooperation Organization and Central Asia, Marika
Vicziany and et. al (eds.), Regional Security in the Asia Pacific: 9/11and After,
Edward Elgar Publishing Limited Northampton, MA, USA, 2004, pp. 128-130.
15 Pakistan and China to Adopt Joint Strategy: Fighting Terrorism, Dawn, Karachi,
July 3, 2004.
16 Charles Hutzler, China Plays Key Role in Pakistan, Pakistan Military Consortium,
DRAMATIC DEVELOPMENT
The starting point of the US-India strategic partnership may trace back to
the US President Clinton’s historic visit to South Asia in March 2000. Bill
Clinton, the first US President to visit India since 1978, brought a
Clintonmania during his 6-day stay in New Delhi, Agra, Jaipur, Hyderabad,
and Mumbai. As one US senior official said, Clinton’s visit is “a trip more to
India than to South Asia.”3 In a communiqué entitled Indo-US relations: A
Vision for the 21st Century, the relationship between world’s two largest
democracies was deemed to have entered a new stage—continuous,
constructive in the political area and beneficial in the economic arena. It
was to form the basis for mutual strategic, economic, political and social
benefit. Moreover, both sides agreed to institutionalize bilateral dialogue
through a range of high-level meetings and working groups on various
areas of cooperation. During his reciprocal visit to US in September 2000,
Indian Primer Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee proposed the famous phrase of
“natural ally” to describe the nature of two democracies when he addressed
a joint session of Congress and was received for a state dinner at the White
House.
Delhi and Washington from joint military exercises, visits and exchanges,
through collaboration in scientific and technical research, through a wide
variety of joint economic and social development projects, to increased
cooperation in law enforcement, and strengthened cultural and people-to-
people contacts.
Just four days before Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and US
president Bush met for the first time on 21 September 2004 on the sidelines
of the UN General Assembly in New York to discuss issues of terrorism and
nonproliferation of weapons of mass destruction, Washington and New
Delhi issued a joint statement announcing “major progress” in NSSP
initiative, including modifications of US export licensing policies that will
“foster cooperation in commercial space programs and …… [civilian]
nuclear facilities.” And then US Under Secretary of Commerce Kenneth
Juster and Assistant Secretary of State for South Asia Christina Rocca made
a separate visit to New Delhi to further discuss NSSP issues with top Indian
officials. Moreover, Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld arrived at New
Delhi on December 8, 2004 for meeting with India’s leaders and top defense
officials about deepening military cooperation in the filed of counter-
terrorism, arms sale, Proliferation Security Initiative and missile defense,
among others.
On July 18, 2005, Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and US President
Bush reached a nuclear agreement, according to which US will provide
civilian nuclear energy and technology to India, even though the latter
remains its position out of the international nonproliferation regime.
Standing behind these busy diplomatic activities are the under mentioned
substantial economic and security cooperation.
The 1990s saw a gradual and stable growth of bilateral trade particularly
India’s export to US (see Table 1). The US is now the largest trading and
investment partner with five billion US dollars of exports to India and 13
billion US dollars of imports from India in 2003. India’s exports to US are
on track to reach 15 billion US dollars in 2004. Meanwhile, India’s net
foreign direct investment (FDI) in 2003 reached 5.5 billion US dollars, one-
third of which came from US companies.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (34)
India was one of major receivers of US foreign assistance in the Cold War
era no matter of their estranged relations.8 The assistance increased
gradually along with their transforming ties. For a long time before 9/11,
India ranked first in South Asian and second in Asian countries that
received US assistance. 9 From 1947 through 2003, the United States
provided more than 14 billion US dollars in economic loans and grants and
157 million US dollars in military assistance to India. USAID programs in
India, budgeted at 89 million US dollars in FY2004, concentrate on five
areas: economic growth, health, disaster management, environment
protection and education. Security-related assistance for FY2003 military
training and nonproliferation exports control enhancement was 2 million
US dollars. The US and India have agreed to pursue Foreign Military Sales
programs, with Indian purchases worth 138 million US dollars in FY2002
and 63 million US dollars in FY2003. The detailed items of assistance in
recent years are listed as below (see Table 2).
In June 2004, the most recent meeting of US-India Defence Policy Group
was held in New Delhi to discuss terrorism and weapons proliferation
along with plans for further joint military exercises and possible weapons
sales to India. A top US diplomat in India said in August 2004, “Without
doubt, military cooperation remains one of the most vibrant, visible, and
proactive legs powering the transformation of US-India relations.” Since
September 2001, US-India security cooperation has flourished with
numerous joint exercises and a high profile of arms sales besides of
counter-terrorism.
As the second largest arms importer in the world, India spends huge
amount for procuring military hardware and software from abroad notably
Russia. In recent years, however, India has been more and more interested
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (35)
in subscribing advanced weapons from Israel and US. India has already
purchased the Green Pine radar system and the Phalcon early warning
aircraft from Israel with US clearance for the sale. India is in talks with
Israel for its Arrow missile defence system, which is a joint US-Israel effort.
Now US itself reportedly will offer to sell India the Patriot missile defence
system. It is said that the US offer to sell P-3C Orion naval reconnaissance
aircraft is an upgraded one equipped with the latest avionics and
equipment systems. The Patriot deal will add several strategic miles to
India’s defence arsenal, making it qualitatively different from either China
or Pakistan. Earlier, The US has also offered Perry class frigates and Sea
Hawk helicopters, and India’s special operations forces is looking at
chemical and biological protection equipment from US. The purchase has
long-term political and strategic implications, as from some US and Indian
strategists’ points of views, they are looking at another version of the US-
Japan relationship in Asia.
Besides joint military exercises and arms transaction, the other basic field
of security cooperation between US and India is counter-terrorism that
started even before 9/11. Up to now, six rounds of meetings of the US-India
Joint Working Group on Counterterrorism have been held both in New
Delhi and Washington. According Patterns of Global Terrorism released by
US State Department on 29 August 2004, India suffered more “significant
terrorist incidents” than any other countries in 2003. The report also for
the first time listed two Indian “Naxalite” communist organizations, the
People’s War Group and the Maoist Communist Center, as “other terrorist
groups.”
The common values are originated from Washington’s and New Delhi’s so-
called the strongest and largest democracies respectively. As US
Congressman Benjamin Gilman (R-NY) noted in 2001, “the relationship
between America and India is based on the solid foundation of a shared
commitment to democracy, individual rights, freedom of expression and
free markets. India’s democratic governing system is a beacon of hope for
the region.”12 These common values may have at least two political
implications: one, it is beneficial to have a benign political atmosphere
between New Delhi and Washington, as democracy has become another
common language beside English; two, according to democracy peace
theory, India and the United States will have no war with each other, never
and forever. At a minimum, this will help leaders of the two countries
establish basic political trust. In short, the political atmosphere and trust
constitute the political basis of the strategic partnership.
Still, different voices could be heard at least here in New Delhi. The former
India’s external affairs minister, Jaswant Singh, criticized the UPA
government for “rushing into” the “Next Steps in Strategic Partnership
(NSSP)” with the US “when negotiations are still pending on about 100
sanctions (US imposed against India in the wake of Pokhran tests).” He also
said “The NSSP is being touted by this government as an achievement. It has
put the country in much greater difficulty rather than (providing) any
enhancement of facilitation.”14
Second, while India’s nuclear weapons programs obtain more and more
understanding and connivance from US as time passes, new factors appear
to be added to the nonproliferation issue. On 29 September 2004, the US
State Department determined that Indian scientists C. Surender and R.S.R.
Prasad were among 14 entities that violated the Iran Nonproliferation Act
of 2000 and will be sanctioned for the transfer to the Iran of WMD-related
equipment and/or technology. India, however, refused the sanctions and
argued, “no transfer of sensitive technology has taken place.”
Last, but not the least, what US concerns most regarding to India’s economy
is the scope and pace of reforms. A few US scholars along with some US
government official argue that excessive regulatory and bureaucratic
structures may constitute a hindrance to the realization of India’s full
economic potential. While US Ambassador to India David Mulford said in
Delhi in March 2004 that “the US is one of the world’s most open
economies and India is one of the most closed,” the Washington DC-based
Heritage Foundation’s 2004 Index of Economic Freedom rated India as
being “mostly unfree.” US Under Secretary of State Larson complained
recently that because of “the slow pace of economic reform in India”,
“trade and investment flows between the US and India are far below where
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (38)
When looking back to the Cold War era, we may find the up-and-down of
Sino-India relations accompanied with US efforts to forge alliance with
either side in different periods to meet its need of containing Soviet Union.
As newly independent countries from the west colonial rule, both China
and India carried out a self-reliance and independent foreign policy. On the
one hand, India recognized People’s Republic of China in 1949 and
supported the latter’s effort to resume its permanent seat in UN security
council while neither of which the US agreed to offer, China, on the other
hand, appreciated India’s leading role in non-aligned movement (NAM)
which ran against US policy of alliance and containment. Furthermore, the
friendly relationship between China and India reached the apex when the
two jointly declared the Five Principles of Peaceful Co-existence in 1954
and solidified the newly independent nations in various international
occasions such as the Bandung Conference of 1955. However, although
Beijing established alliance and New Delhi had close relations with Moscow
at the same time, the former two failed to align with each other, not to
mention an anti-Washington alliance. Moreover, the differences in national
interests and the geo-strategic rivalry between India and China finally led to
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (39)
the dispute on the Tibet issue in 1959 and the border conflict in 1962,
which resulted in the end of the positive bilateral relationship of early and
mid-1950s. For its part, the United States regarded China as its principal
enemy in Asia, but did not saw India as an adversary, instead, appeared to
relatively tolerate India’s close ties with Washington’s global competitor
Soviet Union. In a word, “American policy toward India was never so
hostile, nor the mutual trust between China and India sufficiently great, to
permit India and China to forge a partnership against the United States.”19
During the most difficult time between China and India in 1960s, the United
States stood by New Delhi to oppose its still adversary, China. Very soon
after the outbreak of the Sino-India border war in 1962, US President John
F. Kennedy ordered to send aircraft carrier into the Bay of Bengal to show
American support for India, followed by a large scale and unprecedented
economic and military aid to New Delhi.20 Nevertheless, the Sino-India
rivalry did not drive India into US-led anti-China camp, partly because of
the reduction of Chinese threat with its unilateral withdrawal, Washington-
Islamabad alliance, and New Delhi’s willingness. Thus, the United States did
not see India as a necessary and reliable counterweight against China even
during the severest period of Cold War.
The 1970s and early and mid-1980s saw the dramatic shift of US position
from previous pro-India to pro-China later. In South Asia and Asia and the
world at large, the formation of US-China-Pakistan alignment vs. India-USSR
alliance based on respective national interests and broad international
environmental turned out to be clear and definite. While China and the US
came together with the help of Pakistan to counter their common No.1
threat Soviet Union, India went away from the US and moved into a close
alignment with Moscow aimed at confronting with Pakistan. In other word,
neither China’s aligned with US (and Pakistan) nor India’s aligned with
USSR was primarily target at each other, but at Moscow and Islamabad
respectively.
In general, during the Cold War era, there are enough factors and reasons
that prevent any two from establishing alignments against the other, either
an India-US alignment against China or a Sino-US alignment against India,
say nothing of a Sino-Indian alignment against the United States. As the
United States constituted an extremely important (even if not the most and
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (40)
After the end of Cold War, the three had to adjust bilateral relations among
them, which have changed the posture of the triangle and attached the
increasing importance of the United States (the only remaining
superpower) to the relationship between China (a rising power) and India
(an emerging power). Generally speaking, while both Sino-Indian and US-
Indian relations have been significantly improved, the Sino-US ties,
however, experienced an up-and-down as China and India in the Cold War
era. The reason for this is that the United States has regarded a rising China
rather than a declining Russia or an emerging India as the principal
challenger and potential threat economically, politically and strategically,
to its hegemony. Fortunately, all prospective alignments of any two against
the other and the efforts to achieve them have been tested to be temporary,
ineffective, or even impossible. Firstly, the discussion of the possibility of
China-India-Russia triangle to resist US hegemony in early 1990s and their
“preference for constructing a new world order”21 are more idealistic than
realistic. Secondly, as a demonstration of Sino-American constructive
strategic partnership, the two issued the joint statement to condemn Indian
unclear tests of 1998 and even came up with “a strategy for preventing a
nuclear arms race in South Asia.” 22 The influence of such efforts is short-
lived and the outcome is pessimistic. Finally, the action of Indian Prime
Minister Vajpayee in his secret letter to US President Clinton cited China
threat to justify India’s nuclear tests was not a smart one and of course
unsuccessful.
9/11 substantially improved China’s strategic relations with the United
States as well as position in the triangle. From US perspective, China has
changed from “a principal challenger” to an invaluable cooperator both in
addressing long-term global challenges such as terrorism and proliferation
of WMD and in resolving critical regional issues like nuclear dilemma in
Korean Peninsula. Meanwhile, the United States and China would now
share responsibility for Pakistan and therefore have more common
interests in South Asia, “[t]his was major triangular gain for China.”23
Furthermore, 9/11 also contributed to reduce Indian concerns about a
rising and threatening China while increase Chinese consensus with India
on anti-terrorism. Considering the dramatic development of the US-India
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (41)
fighter jet in 2001. This is another case in which India could make use of
Sino-American rivalry to gain some advantage.
So far, “neither India nor the United States has been willing to create such
overtly anti-Chinese alignment,” and “neither is so immediately threatened
by the rise of Chinese power as to see the need for a strategic partnership
to counter it.”27 However, an Indian-American alignment against China
remains a possibility and will be the preference of the two whenever either
country has conflict with China.
As mentioned above, the United States did not see India as an effective
counterweight against China who tried to limit Indian influence in the
Subcontinent through Pakistan to balance it. India had no space in the
greater triangle among China, US and USSR. It was China, not India, who
was regarded by USSR as a major force to break through US encirclement in
Asia in 1950s and early 1960s, again China was considered by US as a
counterweight against USSR’s expansion in 1970s and early 1980s. The end
of Cold War and particularly after Pokaran II, however, saw an emerging
India, the dramatic development in US-India strategic partnership and thus
the rising role of India in Sino-US relations. Therefore, another role India
can and may play in future’s Sino-US relations is to follow and be played by
the United States as a “card” for balancing China whenever needed.
The transformation of US-India relations after the end of Cold War and
post-9/11 in particular are mainly driven by the following factors: First,
with the demise of the Soviet Union, the principal obstacle that restrains
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (43)
The end of Cold War witnessed the remaining superpower (the United
States), a rising power (China) and an emerging power (India). The most
significant implication of US-India strategic partnership for China is the
more possibility of strategic triangle among Washington, Beijing and New
Delhi.28 The more possible India translates its economic potential into
political and strategic influence, the greater significance of the triangle will
become. A rising China-US-India triangle has multi-levels implications.
Briefly, in South Asia, the feature of the triangle has been the most
important factor of regional stability and the future of Pakistan; in Asia
Pacific, the importance of the triangle is not less than another triangle
among China, US and Japan; In broader international arena, the triangle
will become a leading force in shaping the trends of global economy,
counter terrorism and WMD, and world order.
The convergences and divergences China have with the other about the rest
China and the United States, on the other hand, also share their common
perspectives of India at one point or another. For example, on
nonproliferation issue, China and US as two of five recognized nuclear
powers are memberships and maintainers of various international
nonproliferation regimes out of which India still stands. With regard to
Pakistan and South Asia at large, there are more optimistic attitudes to
Pakistan between Beijing and Washington than New Delhi who prefers to
regard Islamabad as part of problem rather than resolution. Both China
and the United States feel it necessary and responsible to play a relevant
role in South Asian stability either related to Kashmir issue or not, while
India tries to exclude any non-regional powers from interfering internal
affairs in its backyard. Similarly on the issue of US Security Council reform,
it seems that P5 have to accept new members entry the top power center of
international society, neither China nor the United States are willing to give
a veto to the new comers including India. These points of convergences are
perhaps not sufficient enough for the formation of China-US version of
strategic partnership, but remain the significant factors that both
Washington and New Delhi have to seriously consider when they want to
promote the strategic partnership further to the direction aiming at China.
Theses convergences China enjoys respectively with India and the United
States will leave some scopes and leverages for China to prevent any
possibility of transforming the US-Indian relations from strategic
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (45)
Different perceptions and interests are apparent between China and India
with regard to their respective ties with the United States. The inborn
geopolitical fact and simultaneous rises of China and India are natural
competitors for the favor of the United States: from visible trade and
investment for their modernization to invisible cooperation and support
for their increasing international influence. Giving the fact that the United
States sees a rising China more challengeable than an emerging India, the
two Asian giants then stand different position in Washington’s strategy
agenda. At best, in Harry Harding’s phrase, the United States could “enjoy
its Indian curry and its Peking duck in the same meal,”29 which means that
Washington may stand by Beijing or New Delhi against the other whenever
necessary, and at a minimum, the United States could exploit their
differences and divergences to separate them from any possible anti-
America efforts.
The main differences between China and the United States on India are
concentrated in New Delhi’s role in Asia Pacific region. Indian Primer
Minister Manmohan Singh said on 26 October 2004 that India as “super
regional power”, its strategic footprint “covers the region bounded by the
Horn of Africa, West Asia, Central Asia, South-East Asia and beyond, to the
far reaches of the Indian Ocean.” 30 Therewith, China and the United States
may have different understandings and feelings. For China, the
implications of India’s emerging from South Asian to Asian major power
with global aspiration are very much complicated. On the one hand, China
would welcome India to play more important and constructive role in Asia
Pacific so as to partly balance the overwhelming influence and
unilateralism of the United Sates and greatly contribute to a multi-polar
Asia Pacific in which China is one of the major powers; on the other hand,
an emerging India does mean a strong competitor for China from South,
West, Southeast, Central Asia to Indian and Pacific Oceans where their
interests and influences have met or will encounter. For the United States,
the challenge of an emerging India is very limited except issues like non-
proliferation. In most Asian sub-regions mentioned above, the United States
has more closeness with India than with China. Of course, the difference
between China and the United States on India is only a small part of the
existing divergences, but is big enough when the two turn out to be tension
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (46)
The divergences China has with India and the United States suggest China
should do its best to lead the US-India strategic partnership as well as the
triangle to own favorable direction before making for the opposite one.
US-India strategic partnership in South Asia and Indian Ocean, and US-
Japan military ally in East Asia and west Pacific Ocean are two major
concerns for China in the new big power games in Asia Pacific region. The
increased US-India security ties provide potential counterbalance to
growing Chinese influence in the region.
CONCLUSIONS
Table 1
Table 2
Note: P.L.480 Title II: Emergency and Private Assistance food aid
(grants)
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (51)
REFERENCES
Zhang, Guihong. 2005. Beyond Balance of Power: US Security Strategy toward South
Asia after the End of Cold War. Shanghai: Shanghai Joint Publishing Co. For more
details of US-Indian transforming relations, see for example, Harrison, Selig S. and
Geofrey Kemp. 1993. ‘India and American after the Cold War,’ Washington DC:
Carnegie Endowment Study Report. The Asia Society. 1994. ‘South Asia and the
United States After the Cold War. New York: The Asia Society. Haass, Richard N. et
al. eds. 1997. A New US Policy toward India and Pakistan. New York: The Council
on Foreign Relations. Bertsch, Gary K. Seema Gahlaut and Anupam Srivastava. eds.
1999. Engaging India: US Strategic Relations with the World’s Largest Democracy.
New York: Routledge. Bajpai, Kanti and Amitabh Mattoo. 2000. Engaged
Democracies: India-US relations in the 21st Century. New Delhi: Har-Anand
Publications. Cohen, Stephen P. ‘ India and America: An Emerging Relationship,’ a
paper presented to the Conference on the Nation-State System and Transnational
Forces in South Asia, 8-10 December 2000, Kyoto. Talbott, Strobe. 2004. Engaging
India: Diplomacy, Democracy, and the Bomb. New Delhi: Penguin Books India.
2 For the first-hand story of the diplomacy conducted between the United States
and India after the nuclear tests, see Talbott, Strobe. 2004. Engaging India:
Diplomacy, Democracy, and the Bomb. New Delhi: Penguin Books India. For US
responses to India’s nuclear tests, see also, Talbott, Strobe. 1999. ‘Dealing with the
Bomb in South Asia,’ Foreign Affairs, vol.78, no.2, pp. 110-22; Haass, Richard N.
and Morton H. Halperin. 1998. ‘After the Tests: US Policy Toward India and
Pakistan,’ Independent Task Force Report, sponsored by the Council on Foreign
Relations and the Brookings Institutions; Wojtysiak, Martin J. 2001. ‘Preventing
Catastrophe: US Policy Options for Management of Nuclear Weapons in South Asia,’
Air War College, Maxwell Paper, no.25.
3 For the introduction of President Clinton’s visit to India, see Riedel, Bruce. ‘New
Directions in Indo-US Relations: President Clinton’s Visit to India,’ CASI (Center for
the Advanced Study of India) Occasional Paper, no. 11, 21 February 2000; and Bruce
Riedel, ‘ New Opportunities in US-South Asia Relations: An Assessment of President
Clinton’s Visit to India,’ CASI Occasional Paper, no.12, 9 May 2000.
4 See for example, Blackwill,, Robert D. ‘Transformation of US-India Relations
“Picking Up Speed,’” remarks delivered in New Delhi, 26 February 2002; Haass,
Richard N. ‘The United States and India: A Transformed Relationship,’ Remarks to
the Confederation of Indian Industry, Hyderabad, India, 7 January 2003.
http://www.state.org.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (52)
5 Boucher, Richard, ‘New Directions in US -India Relations,’ US Department of State Press Statement,
19 June 2001. http://www.state.gov/p/sa/ci/in/3818pf.htm.
6 For a brief analysis of how US adjusted its policy towards South Asia after 9/11,
see for instance, Kraig, Michael and James Henderson. eds. 2001. ‘US Strategy for
Regional Security: South Asia,’ Report of the 42nd Strategy for Peace Conference;
Feinstein, Lee. James C. Clad, Lewis A. Dunn and David Albright. 2002. ‘A New
Equation: US Policy toward India and Pakistan after September 11,’ Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace, Global Policy Program, no. 27; Schaffer,
Teresita C. 2002. ‘ Rising India and US Policy Options in Asia,’ A Report of the CSIS
South Asia Program; Mohan, C. Raja. 2002. ‘A Paradigm Shift toward South Asia?’
The Washington Quarterly, pp.141-55; Zhang, Guihong. 2003. ‘US Security Policy
towards South Asia after September 11 and its Implications for China: A Chinese
Perspective,’ Strategic Analysis, vol.27, no.2, pp.145-71; Wisner II, Frank G.,
Nicholas Platt and Marshall M. Bouton. 2003. ‘New Priorities: US Policy toward
India, Pakistan, and Afghanistan,’ Chairmen’s Report of an Independent Task Force
Cosponsored by the Council on Foreign Relations and the Asia Society.
7 The White House, The National Security Strategy of the United States of America, September 2002.
8 Before 1965, 51.7% of foreign assistance India received came from the Untied
States. See Eldridge, P.J. 1969. The Politics of Foreign Aid in India. Delhi: Vikas.
p.38. Gould, Harold A. and Sumit Ganguly. eds. 1992. The Hope and the Reality: US-
India Relations from Roosevelt to Reagan. Boulder: Westview Press. p.47.
9 Lum, Thomas. ‘US Foreign Aid to East and South Asia: Selected Recipients’,
Congressional Research Service Report for Congress, updated 10 April 2002.
10 US Embassy in India, ‘People, Progress and Partnership: the Transformation of
US-India Relations,’ September 2004.
http://newdelhi.usembassy.gov/wwwhppp.html
11Blackwill, Robert D. ‘The Quality and Durability of the US-India Relationship,’
Remarks Delivered in Calcutta, 27 November 2002.
12 ‘Gilman Calls for Close Ties with India,’ Press Release, 6 April 2001.
13Bajpai, Kanti. 2001. ‘Add Five “E”s to Make a Partnership,’ The Washington
Quarterly, vol.24, no.3, p.83.
14 ‘Jaswant Nails Govt, Attacks America,’ The Times of India, 16 November 2004.
15 The White House, The National Security Strategy of the United States of America, September 2002.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (53)
the United States,’ in Francine R. Frankel and Harry Harding, eds., The India-China
Relationship: Rivalry and Engagement. New Delhi: Oxford University Press India.
p.326.
20 See Kux, Dennis. 2000. The United States and Pakistan 1947-2000: Disenchanted
Allies. Washington DC: Woodrow Wilson Center Press, and Baltimore: The Johns
Hopkins University Press. p.135. Also, ‘[t]he United States has provided 157 million
US dollars in military assistance to India since 1947, more than 90 per cent of it
distributed from 1962-1966,’ in Kronstadt, K Alan. ‘India-US Relations,’ CRS
(Congressional Research Service) Issue Brief for Congress, updated 4 November
2004.
21Garver, John W. 2002. ‘The China-India-US Triangle: Strategic Relations in the
post-Cold War Era,’ in NBA analysis, vol.13, no.5, pp11-16.
22 Shirk, Susan L. ‘One-Sided Rivalry: China’s Perceptions and Policies toward
India,’ in Frankel and Harding. eds. The India-China Relationship, p.84.
23 Garver, ‘The China-India-US Triangle,’ p.41.
24 For a US perspective of Sino-US relations, see for example, Harding, Harry. 1992.
A Fragile Relationship: The United States and China since 1972. Washington DC:
Brookings Institution Press; Lampton, David M. 2001. Same Bed, Different Dreams
(Stanford: Stanford University Press.
25 Cohen, Stephen P. 2001. India: Emerging Power. New Delhi: Oxford University
Press India, preface, p.x.
26 Frankel and Harding. eds. the India-China Relationship, p.324.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (54)
27 Ibid. p.337.
28 Needless to say, American scholars have contributed far more on the study of
China-US-India strategic triangle than their Indian or Chinese counterparts. For the
US perspectives of the triangle, see for example, Rajamony, Venu. 2002. ‘India-
China-U.S. Triangle: A ‘Soft’ Balance of Power System in the Making,’ in CSIS
Occasional Report, http://www.csis.org/saprog/venu.pdf; Garver, John W. 2002.
‘The China-India-US Triangle: Strategic Relations in the post-Cold War Era,’ in NBA
analysis, vol.13, no.5; Malik, Mohan. 2003. ‘US-India-China: A Tangled Triangle,’ in
Force; Harding, Harry. 2004. ‘The Evolution of the Strategic Triangle: China, India,
and the United States,’ in Frankel, Francine R. and Harry Harding. eds. The India-
China Relationship: What the United States Needs to Know. New York: Columbia
University Press.
29 According Harry Harding, this phrase is the modification of the quotation from
Henry Kissinger who said the United States could ‘drink its vodka and have its
maotai too’ to describe US favorable position in the triangle among the Soviet
Union, the United States, and China, see Frankel and Harding. eds. The India-China
Relationship, p.322 and 349.
30Pandit, Rajat. ‘India to “Arm” Itself for Strategic Interests,’ The Times of India. 27
October 2004.
CIVILIAN TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
BETWEEN CHINA AND PAKISTAN
The second half of the twentieth century witnessed the largest technology
transfers that the world had ever seen- a process which was essentially led
by the developed countries. Towards the end of the century the pace of this
process has been redefined largely by two factors. Firstly, the rapid
development and expansion of knowledge economies and information
societies,1 led by information and communication technology (ICT)
revolution, in the advanced countries. Secondly, a slow and steady
expansion of the same in the developing countries leading to a scenario of
narrowing the “digital divide” that exists between the advanced and
advancing countries. As a result, some of the developing countries such as
China and India are developing their home-grown technologies, some of
which are in collaboration with and assistance from the advanced
countries. They are now in a position to export these technologies to other
countries and thereby changing the nature of technology transfers2 in their
quantum and quality. Therefore, at the beginning of the twenty first
century it is imperative to know the dynamics of technology flows from
one country to another to understand the nature of these technology flows
and their impact on the international, regional and bilateral relations.
China, with its own rapid technological development in certain areas seems
to have finally arrived at a position that it can export technologies to some
of the developing countries. Pakistan being a strong ally for almost four
decades has received various kinds of technology from China which have
played an important role in improving its own technological capabilities. It
is in this broad context the present article attempts an analysis of civilian
technology transfer between China and Pakistan- two close allies that have
had one of the most consistent bilateral relations in the post-Second World
War period, despite some minor irritants, particularly in the 1950s. This
paper, however, does not touch upon nuclear technology transfers where
there are contentious debates about China’s role in the development of
Pakistan’s nuclear capabilities. 2
little research done in the area of civilian technology transfer from China
to other countries in general and to Pakistan in particular.3 Most of the
literature relating to Chinese technology transfers deals with importing
advanced technologies from developed countries.4 (ii) The nature of
relations between China and Pakistan needs to be kept in mind while
delineating transfer of technology. The relations between the two are
explained poetically as being “higher than the Himalayas, deeper than the
oceans and sweeter than honey” by Pakistani President Parvez Musharuff,
while others call their bilateral relations as an “all-weather friendship”
oriented. All these epithets do emphasize the nature and the depth of
bilateral relations between China and Pakistan Section II, the main part of
the paper, details origins, evolution and trends in, along with various
problems and future of, technical cooperation between China and Pakistan
since 1950 till 2004. Section III provides some conclusions.
The extent and depth of civilian technology transfer from China to Pakistan
is determined by two factors: the requirement and demand in Pakistan5 for
capital- intensive goods and the deepening and expansion of their bilateral
trade. 6 Pertaining to the first aspect, a glance at Pakistan’s imports7 of
machinery, transport equipment and chemicals which constitute about 50
percent of the total imports with $1.5 billion, 0.5 $ billion and $1.3 billion8
respectively shows the extent of its domestic requirements where China
can play a crucial role in meeting some of these needs. Moreover, as China
is able to increase its technological sophistication it is in a better position
to supply the technologies that Pakistan requires. This also depends on the
pace of the growth of domestic technology in Pakistan.9 Pakistan, given its
slow rate of technology development, “will continue to import basic
technology design from abroad.” 10
Relating to bilateral trade, the more the trade the more the scope for
technology transfers. In 1997 the total volume of bilateral trade between
China and Pakistan was less than US $ 1 billion dollars.11 Since then it has
been on the rise leading to better prospects for trade in technology-
intensive goods. In 2002 China was the third largest exporting country to
Pakistan with a share of 6.8 percent of the total imports.12 In 2003-2004
China and Pakistan had $ 2.5 billion dollars worth trade, which is estimated
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (57)
There are three major trends in the civilian technology transfer between
China and Pakistan. The first trend is that of economic aid wherein China
gave Pakistan various amounts of aid from time to time to meet some of its
economic imperatives. This was the pattern in the first decade after the
establishment of bilateral relations. The second trend is that of building
some major industrial complexes which started in the 1960s and carried
out vigorously in the 1970s and 1980s. This trend is also in operation now
in certain areas. The third trend is the rise of indirect technology transfer
in the 1990s and in the twenty first century. During this period the
technical cooperation between China and Pakistan had taken a new
dimension where the number of technologies transferred increased
substantially. As part of the indirect technology transfer there are a number
of Chinese technical experts who are working on various projects in
Pakistan. This has provided a direct contact between the Pakistani experts
and the Chinese thereby a source of enhancing their technical skills. It is
not clear as to how many Chinese scientists, engineers and other
professionals are in Pakistan training their counterparts. One estimation is
that there are at least 500 of them. Given Chinese potential, in September
2004 the Pakistani government sought Chinese assistance in boosting
vocational training system and upgradation of manpower in various
spheres.13 There are about 200 Pakistani professionals being trained in
different Chinese universities, academies and institutes such as Tsinghua
University, Beijing Institute of Technology and Fudan University.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (58)
China and Pakistan have signed about 116 agreements and protocols
pertaining to political, economic, technical and cultural components
between 1951 and 1990.14 During this period technical cooperation
between the two had been an integral part of their economic cooperation at
least until 1975. In other words, economic and technical cooperation went
hand in hand. In all they had about 12 economic and technical agreements
between them during 1965-1976. The first ever economic and technical
cooperation agreement signed between the two was in November 1965
when China agreed to build the Taxila heavy machine project. As Anwar
Hussain Syed explains the most notable project built by the Chinese in
Pakistan is “heavy mechanical complex at Taxila, capable of producing
machines that would make cement, sugar, textiles, boilers, road-building
equipment, and railway engines.”15 Prior to that they had some sort of
barter agreement in operation wherein, for instance, in 1963 they
exchanged Chinese portland cement for Pakistani unprocessed jute. In the
same year they also signed an agreement on the transmission of picture
service between Beijing and Karachi. In 1971 China agreed to assist
Pakistan in building a sugar mill. In 1973 it was agreed that China would
help constructing the Tarbela-Wah transmission line and Tarbela cotton
spinning mill. Setting up of a fertilizer company was agreed upon in 1974.
In 1975 China supplied 41 diesel generating sets to Pakistan besides setting
up a textile mill in Punjab province. Pakistan also supplied China 10 ships
in 1978 for cash payment within five years. In 1979 China agreed to export
steel billets, tools, workshop implements, sheet and glass plates,
construction and road building machinery, agricultural implements and
telecommunications equipment. In a 1980 protocol China concurred to
provide assistance in chemical fertilizers industry, construction
technology, and biogas.
With this comprehensive expansion of economic ties between the two they
went about specifying the number of areas in which they would cooperate.
For instance, in 1983, Pakistan agreed to cooperate in ten items on China’s
request and China offered to undertake 15 items for that year. A high –level
Chinese military delegation held talks with senior officials of the water and
power development authority in Lahore on 6th May 1985. The delegation
was informed that China’s engineers and technicians are now engaged in
installing in Guddu a 210-MW unit which is now at the last stage of
completion. It was told that in view of the shortage of electricity being
faced by Pakistan, it is necessary to carry forward Pakistan’s atomic energy
programme without any hindrance.16 Discussions were underway for a
second 210 MW project in Jamshoro.17 In 1986 Pakistan agreed to cooperate
in eight areas as proposed by China and China in turn took up seven new
programmes as proposed by Pakistan. The number of areas of cooperation
went up as the years passed by. In 1987 there were 16 areas and in 1989
about 24 areas had been identified for bilateral cooperation. This was a sure
sign of expansion of scientific and technical cooperation. Some of the areas
covered as part of the agreements are agriculture, energy, including
renewable energy, health, railway technology, manufacturing of surgical
appliances, mineral research, oil exploration,river delta survey, electronics,
marine science, industrial development, food technology. China and
Pakistan have signed 417 intergovernmental agreements in the field of
science and technology since 1976.18 This means that China and Pakistan
had 401 agreements signed between them since 1990. And in 2000 they had
their 11 th session in Beijing wherein they have pledged their commitment
to further economic and S&T cooperation in the twenty-first century.19
Cooperation in civilian technology is part and parcel of one of the four
point-proposals that undergird the bilateral relations between China and
Pakistan in the contemporary international context.20 This proposal was
later written into the China-Pakistan Joint Declaration signed on 4
November in 2003. Point four of the Third section of the Declaration reads
as follows: Guide and encourage their government departments scientific
research institutes and universities and high-tech enterprises to conduct
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (60)
The following section would detail civilian technology transfer from China
to Pakistan in various fields. There may be other areas which have not been
ascertained due to certain problems such as secrecy involved in the whole
process of technology transfer between them.
Transportation
many parts of Asia, particularly West Asia and South Asia. But the main
issue which needs attention is China’s goal of seeking “sovereign rights”
before investing such huge sum of money in the project. What is not clear
as yet is what “sovereign rights” means for Pakistan and China. It perhaps
means that China will have unhindered and full access to the port as it aims
to expand its presence in Asia in its pursuit of competing with the US as
one Chinese scholar pointed out.25
Information Technology
China and Pakistan are quite enthusiastic about strengthening cooperation
in the IT sector. There have been a number of efforts at developing this into
a full fledged area of cooperation. IT is also viewed as a potential factor in
forging stronger relations. Both countries feel that they can be mutually
benefited. Cooperation in software industry between China and Pakistan
began as early as 2002 and it is in its embryonic stage with immense
potential and some problems for cooperation. China and Pakistan have
signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) in 2002 when China
Software Industry Association (CSAI) visited its Pakistani counterpart
Pakistan Software Export Board (PSEB) at the invitation of the Pakistani
Minister of Science and Technology.26 The MoU highlights the possibilities
of joint development of their respective software industries. In fact, CSAI
went to Pakistan to explore the potential of investing in the development of
Pakistani software industry and found Pakistani software industry quite
advanced and invited Pakistani software companies to come and work with
them in their version of Silicon Valley-Zhong Guan Cun, very close to both
Peking University and Qinghua University, the two well acclaimed
universities in China trying to emulate Stanford university in establishing
start-ups. 26
institution in China.
Energy
China also exports some of its solar energy technologies to Pakistan. The
irony is that while China exports its home grown solar energy technology
to Pakistan, 28 it also imports advanced solar energy production technology
from Germany.29 Chinese solar energy technology is efficient in low
temperature and it is trying to improve upon this and begin to move
towards producing tubes that can withstand high temperatures which is
why China is importing those technologies from the advanced countries.
Jiangsu Solar Energy Research Institute has agreed to supply the needed
technical assistance to Pakistan to produce solar collector tubes. China has
also agreed to build two power plants that would generate 300 megawatts of
electricity in the Sindh area of Thar.30
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (63)
Telecommunications
Food Security
Though Pakistan had its own Green Revolution32 which had enabled it to
be more or less self-sufficient it desires that its food security to be
comprehensive. Moreover, as Bukri and Laporte argue that “Pakistan has a
rich –and still largely untapped- agricultural potential.”33 It is in this
context that China’s advancement in agricultural technology including
biotechnology and genetic engineering can be of immense use for Pakistan.
China has been helping Pakistan in its endeavours to improve its food
security by transferring some of its hybrid varieties to Pakistan and trying
to help Pakistan enhance its research capabilities in agricultural research
particularly in areas such as genetic modification. In 2004 the Pakistani
leaders wanted the Chinese to set up joint ventures in Pakistan for
formulation and production of pesticides besides learning from the
Chinese experience of seed production. 34
Problems and Future
There are certain problems that can slow the pace of civilian technology
transfers between China and Pakistan. One of them is social in nature-
terrorism in Pakistan. Terrorism is a major problem that could hamper the
bilateral technical cooperation as it has demonstrated on May 3, 2004 when
three Chinese engineers were killed and nine injured at Gwadar port in
Southwestern part of Pakistan. In another incident on 14 October 2004 one
of the two Chinese engineers held hostage was killed in the rescue
operation.35 These incidents have put enormous pressure on the Chinese
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (64)
CONCLUSIONS
products despite some problems. This has strengthened its ability to export
various kinds of technologies to Pakistan which will go a long way in
benefiting not only Pakistan but also China in the long run. In helping
Pakistan in its developmental process China facilitates the development of
its firms at home. However, there are certain problems relating to the
transfer of high-tech products wherein China’s presence is behind some of
the developed countries. It is in this realm that Pakistan will turn to other
providers. It remains to be seen how both will cooperate in the future
given the trajectory of “demand pull” and “technology push” factors.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (66)
REFERENCES
1 For more on knowledge economy and China’s place in it see Carl J. Dalhman and
Jean-Eric Aubert, ed., China and the Knowledge Economy: Seizing the 21st Century
(Washington D. C.: World Bank, 2001).
2 A number of studies have been done on technology transfer from the North to the
South or from developed countries to the developing countries which detail
various critical issues of technology transfer from the North to the South whether
or not they are contributing to the development of the South. But few studies look
at the nature and impact of technology transfers within and among the developing
countries such as Sanjay Lall “Trade in Technology by a Slowly Industrializing
Country: India,” in Nathan Rosenberg and C. Frischtak, ed., International
Technology Transfer: Concepts, Measures and Comparisons (New York: Praeger,
1985).
3 While the US, Russia and India besides several other countries acknowledge
Chinese supplies to Pakistan, the Chinese deny that they had supplied anything of
that sort to Pakistan.
4 There are very few book length studies on China-Pakistan relations such as
8 There are three major segments in Pakistan that import technology from other
countries. The government imports, private capital goods imports and private
consumer goods each with a certain quota of imports. See Stephen R. Lewis Jr.,
Pakistan: Industrialization and Trade Policies (London: Oxford: Oxford University
Press, 1970), p. 24.
11 Ijaj Nabi, “The Competitiveness of Pakistani Exports,” in Sharukh Rafi Khan, ed.,
Fifty Years of Pakistan’s Economy: Traditional Topics and Contemporary Concerns
(Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1999), p. 196.
15Wolfgang Bartke gives very useful details of various agreements signed between
China and Pakistan in The Agreements of the People’s Republic of China with
Foreign Countries 1949-1990, Second, revised and enlarged edition, (Munchen: K.
G. Saur, 1992), pp. 137-142. The author is very grateful to Bartke for this
compilation. This section is largely based on his compilation. Pakistan is just
behind the US and Japan in the number of agreements that China had outside the
Communist block.
16 Syed, n. 4, p. 142.
22/content/_ 1192925.htm
21 This is part of the economic, trade, science and technology cooperation. The
28See the Chinese, not English, websites of the said universities for more on how
each university has started about 50 start-ups.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (69)
31 “China Sets-Off the Biggest Solar Plant,” Pakistan Times, 17 July 2004.
32“China to built (d) Two New Powerhouses in Thar,” PakTribune, June 19 2004,
Web Edition.
35Shahid Javed Burki and Robert Laporte Jr., Pakistan’s Development Priorities:
Choices for the Future (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1984). Though this has
been said in the early 1980s it is still relevant given the slow development of
Pakistan’s agriculture.
37“One Chinese Killed and One Freed in Pakistan,” People’s Daily, 15 October
2004, Web Edition.
CONCLUDING REMARKS
BY CHAIRMAN
Professor Dr Zhang Li
Thank you everyone, thank you speakers and thanks to audience for
their questions and their cooperation who made this session
successful.
Thank you.
Session – II
Pakistan-China Relations
(Security, Political and
Economic Dimensions)
ECONOMIC DIMENSION OF PAKISTAN – CHINA RELATIONS
Ambassador (R)
Khalid Mahmood
Pakistan- China relations may not enjoy the uniqueness of the late 60s and
early 70s when China was isolated, but Pakistan retains importance for
China as a reliable ally internationally and a factor of security for China’s
Southern and Western periphery. The Chinese leadership has repeatedly
assured Pakistan of the special nature of Pak-China relations and that they
would not be affected by the development of China’s relations with India.
Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao told Pakistan Foreign Minister
Khurshid Mahmood Kasuri that China-Pakistan relations were unique and
nothing could drive a wedge between the two countries. For Pakistan,
China remains the closest friendly country and the most reliable source of
military hardware and technology, in addition to its involvement and
support for many important projects in the defense, heavy industry,
nuclear power and infrastructure sectors. China has a definite interest in
Pakistan’s security and territorial integrity. However, for the foreseeable
future modernization and development would continue to be the
overarching consideration determining China’s policies, both domestic and
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (72)
CHASHMA-II
After the successful completion and coming into operation of 300 megawatt
nuclear power palnt at Chashma with Chinese financial and technical
support, financial contract for another 300 megawatt Chashma-II nuclear
power plant has been signed between Pakistan and China. The Chinese
Government will provide US $ 150 million from the Preferential Buyer’s
Credit Facility of US $ 500 million. It will also provide a concessional loan
of US $ 200 million for the Project.
first phase will cost a total of US$ 248 million, of which US$ 198 million are
to be provided by the Chinese and the remaining US $ 50 million by the
Government of Pakistan. The seaport will have three births, equipped with
all essential facilities for handling trade business. Its strategic significance
apart, situated near the mouth of the Gulf of Oman and about 50 miles from
Pakistan’s border with Iran, Gwadar would provide port, warehousing,
trans-shipment and industrial facilities for over 20 countries.
Pakistan has experienced trade deficit with China over the years, and the
gap has been widening gradually. During July-June (2003-2004), the total
bilateral trade volume stood at US $ 2.1 billion with exports from Pakistan
valuing US $ 870.5 million and imports into Pakistan at US $ 1299.7 million,
resulting in a trade deficit of US $ 429.2 billion. The situation gets worse if
the trade with Hong Kong is excluded. During July-June (2003-2004) the
total volume of bilateral trade with mainland China was US $ 1. 44 billion
with exports from Pakistan at US $ 288.3 million and imports into Pakistan
amounting US $ 1153.5 million, increasing the trade deficit to US $ 865.2
million. A table showing the volume of bilateral trade between China
(excluding Hong Kong) and Pakistan since 1995-96 is enclosed as annex
“B”.
Pakistan’s major export items are raw cotton, cotton fabrics, cotton yarn,
wool, fish and its preparations, leather and vegetables whereas imports
from China include machinery and parts, iron and steel, sugar, tea,
chemicals, medical and pharmaceutical goods, spices, tyres and tubes,
petroleum and its products, dyeing, colouring and tanning material.
China is one of the fastest expanding economy in the world which has
been growing at the rate of almost 9% for more than a decade. With its
current GDP of US$ 1.543 trillion China has the sixth largest economy in
the world. At Purchasing Power Parity it would rank as second after USA.
Chinese foreign exchange reserves are to the tune of US $ 711 billion.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (74)
II. Trade
& nbsp;
& nbsp;
BANKING SECTOR
CONCLUSION
The leadership in both Pakistan and China is fully conscious of the glaring
discrepancy in the close partnership subsisting between the two countries
in the political, security and strategic fields and the level and scope of
economic and commercial cooperation between them. Accordingly, in
keeping with the paradigm shift from geo-politics to geo–economics in the
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (80)
new century, the two sides have agreed to “ to make full use of their
political and geographical advantages and promote cooperation in the
realm of economy, trade, investment, agriculture , technology and
tourism.”
Annex ‘A’
& nbsp;
MAJOR CHINESE ECONOMIC PROJECTS IN PAKISTAN
Gwadar Port Project
§ Estimated cost of project is US$248 million, 198 million to be
provided by the Chinese side (60 million commercial loan, 58
million soft credit, 31 million interest free loan and 31 million
grant).
o The China has agreed to provide additional financing for new
proposals about construction of Gwadar-I Project.
o However, the Chinese side informed that financing of
Gwadar-II Project needs deep deliberations.
Chashma-II
o Financial contract for Chashma-II has been signed. The
Chinese government will provide US$ 150 million from the
Preferential Buyer's Credit Facility of US$ 500.
Annex ‘B’
(July- March)
SINO-PAKISTANI STRATEGIC NEXUS: NEW ISSUES,
POTENTIALS AND THE EMERGING TREND
Professor Dr Zhang Li
The other view voices an evolving concern over the endurance of the
Beijing-Islamabad nexus in the changing setting of regional and global
balance of power. It is said that closer Sino-Indian relations and the present
China’s even-handed stance in the Subcontinent unmistakably mark its
revisionist orientation to the region that might not be in favor of
Islamabad, and it would probably undercut the “all-weather” strategic
nexus and produce unexpected implications. Also this should be regarded
as an apparent departure from Beijing’s for-Pakistan posture that last for
years. This view argues that Islamabad has to be concerned about this
development and the possible outcomes. Actually, over recent interactions
among Chinese and Pakistani strategic analysts, growing uneasiness and
grievances began to be occasionally felt and heard. To be fair, this
heightened concern is not of complete irrelevance in terms of some
seemingly uncertain factors in this context. This reminds both Beijing and
Islamabad of an imperative to cement the foundation of their special
relationship. Whether being analytical or being critical, these speculations
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (86)
security situation in the late phase of the Cold War. In addition, a well-
known fact is that China has benefited greatly form the trust-based bilateral
relations in terms of its relative access to the Moslem world, which has
secured Beijing’s engagements with and leverage in the vibrant community
of global politics. As generally believed, Beijing has recognized Pakistan’s
weight and willingness to check illegal and militant flows of regional
extremists and terrorists. Beijing becomes highly concerned about
Islamabad’s initiative in terms of Chinese western province of Xinjiang’s
perceived vulnerability to those sources of threat. This increasingly urges
Beijing to expand its coordination and cooperation with Islamabad in
addressing the “three vices”: separatism, extremism and terrorism. These
significant facets of the Sino-Pak partnership are reaffirmed and
underscored in several major documents issued during Chinese Premier
Wen Jiabao’s visit to Islamabad in April this year.
But in the long run, some recent developments will possibly intensify
interactions among Beijing, Islamabad and New Delhi in a tri-party or
multi-party mechanism, or at least promising certain opportunities in that
direction. The phased materialization of building mutual confidence
between China and India and the reassured China-Pakistan partnership in a
volatile setting offer an attractive chance for Beijing to serve a facilitating
part in the South Asian reconciliatory process. At a broader level, India has
begun to envisage China’s positive implications for a conceived South Asian
Free Trade Zone; Also it is noticed that India becomes interested in a
tentative tri-party “common nuclear doctrine” (India, Pakistan and China
involved), despite no hope of invoking affirmative feedback from Beijing at
the present stage.8 There has been impressive rhetoric in India about
involving China into a designed Iran-Pakistan-India natural gas pipeline
arrangement. Moreover, the recent entry of Pakistan, India and Iran into
the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) as the observer members
provides a new channel to augment strategic interactions between South
Asian powers and the involved other major players in the multilateral
arrangement dominated by China and Russia. Significantly, China always
stresses that to reassess the ascent of India’s status has to be conditioned by
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (90)
part in the regional and inter-regional security. Even today Beijing has
taken this parameter into account in designing its peripheral stability and
diplomacy toward the Islam world. China has a sensible and close-up
observation of Pakistan’s rising role in managing the regional security and
stability after the September 11 attacks. And Beijing has highly recognized
General Pervaz Musharraf’s challenging mission and daunting efforts in
stabilizing the volatile situation at both domestic and regional levels. Even
more importantly, it has become quite clear for Beijing that there is an
increasing need to substantiate the non-traditional security partnership
between them in order to guarantee China’s relative vulnerable border
areas facing Pakistan in terms of effective control of cross-border
extremists. Actually, it has been heard in both China and Pakistan that it is
the time to regularize their border security cooperation rather than merely
stressing it on paper. The recent modest scale joint training and drills along
the border areas have smacked of targeting terrorism, signaling a growing
consensus in this regard.
Many signs indicate that China will stick to the age-long policy option of
helping upgrade Pakistan’s military and defense capability, despite possibly
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (92)
their serious interest in expanding the market and setting up joint ventures
in Pakistan. For its part, Islamabad has made impressive endeavors to
improve the prevailing economic climate for better the situation. Last year
saw the launching of the Preferential Trade Agreement between China and
Pakistan, by which China's market economic status has been squarely
accepted by Pakistan. Potential Chinese investors and businessmen have
expected to benefit from a series of preferential arrangements in several
Pakistan’s emerging Economic Development Areas and a recent bilateral
agreement regarding the provision of $500 million preferential buyer credit
that can benefit the interested Chinese enterprises to run their business in
Pakistan. Some major Sino-Pakistani cooperative projects have been
successful, among which are the infrastructure of Gwadar Port, Santak
Copper Mine and Chashma Nuclear Power Station, and possibly the
Kalabagh Dam and they have also created a demonstrative effect on more
Chinese enterprises and their Pakistan partners. More importantly, the
significance of building the Gwadar Port has been believed to go far beyond
its economic benefits. This project promises a strategic prize for both China
and Pakistan.13 As a new development, the two nations signed the Early
Harvest Agreement during Premier Wen Jiabao’s recent visit, which further
promises special tariff arrangements for certain products and starts the
first stage of a free trade agreement (FTA). According to Pakistani Prime
Minister Shaukat Aziz, the FTA will be a turning point in the trade relations
between the two countries.14 Thus strategically, securing and upgraded
economic interactions between China and Pakistan will self-evidently
demonstrate its special weight for the time to come.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (95)
REFERENCES
1Javed Akhtar, “Sino-Pak Friendship and Economic Cooperation”, Linking to South
Asia, (China) No.6, May 2005
2“The strategic dimensions of Sino-Pak relations”, http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/
default.asp?p...8-12-2004_pg3_1
3 B. Raman, “The India-China-Pakistan-US Quadrangle”, South Asia Analysis Group,
Paper no. 1334, April 12, 2005
4 Editorial, China Daily, June 5, 1999
5 Ding Zhenyi, “Beware of intervention”, PLA Daily, June 12, 1999
6 See People’s Daily (overseas version), June 12, June 14, & June 30, 1999
7 Michael Yahuda, “China and the Kashmir crisis”, BBC News, June 2, 2002
8 “India sets dovish tone with Pakistan, China in call for nuclear coordination”,
http://www.spacewar.com/2004/040602090246.lml74psb.html
9 Zhao Gancheng, “South Asian Scenario: The Trend and Implications”, in Lu
Xiaokun (edi.), South Asia Report, 2004-2005, Kunming: Yunnan University Press
(China), pp.275-76.
10 Zhang Li, “China and the Kashmir Knot”, Pervaiz Iqbal Cheema & Maqsudul
Hasan Nuri (edi.), The Kashmir Imbroglio: Looking towards the Future, Islamabad
Policy Research Institute, 2005, p.117
11 Fu Xiaoqiang, “Pakistan’s China Policy in post-Cold War Era: Momentums and
Realistic Considerations”, Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies, No.10, 2004
12 Pervaiz Iqbal Cheema, “Strengthening Sino-Pak relations”, Observer, December
24, 2004
13 Hu Baoming, “Developing Sino-Pak Relations: An Examination of Its
Importance”, South Asian Studies Quarterly (China), No.1, 2005
14 “Interview: Pakistani PM says China is true friend”, People’s Daily, April 02,
2005.
PAKISTAN-CHINA RELATIONS IN THE
CHANGING REGIONAL SCENARIO
The September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States have changed
the intercourse of international relations, and the US strategy of ousting
Taliban with Pakistan’s help has also introduced changes in South Asian
region.
With this changing regional scenario how China and Pakistan resettled
their bilateral relationship? Are the two states still very close allies? That is
what I have tried to answer in my paper.
Though Pakistan during the Korean War neither sent its military personnel
to the UN command nor participated on the resolution designed to consider
People’s Republic of China as an aggressor in the war but China still relied
on India as its main ally in the region and avoided alienating Pakistan
despite the latter’s participation in the US alliance system, but the 1960s
altered the situation.
China in the early 1960s was facing big hostility from regional as well as
from global powers. US was hostile to China in the context of Cold War
while Soviet Union due to Beijing’s refusal to accept Moscow’s hegemony in
the communist bloc. China also had a boundary dispute with India which
caused military conflict in 1962.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (97)
When Prime Ministers of the two countries Chou-Enlai and Mohammad Ali
Bogra met on the sidelines of Bandung Conference of Afro Asian Nations in
1955, Pakistan assured China that Pakistan’s involvement in SEATO and
CENTO and its strategic attachment with the West is due to its security
needs against India not against China. 3
Meanwhile President Ayub Khan declared in the United States in July 1961
that Pakistan would vote for the seating of China in the United Nations and
it did so in the spring session of the UN General Assembly. 4
Though at the end of 1960s China’s relations with India began to improve
but it did not affect its relations with Pakistan. The classic example of that
was 1971 Indo-Pak War when China fully supported Pakistan both during
and after the war. However, as soon as the post-War situation began to
normalize, Beijing slowly and gradually began to experiment with its new
South Asia Policy. While keeping its tide links with Islamabad, Beijing also
moved towards a policy of improving relations with New Delhi.
China has long been involved in a triangular relationship with Pakistan and
India, and is now a reluctant and silent third party to the dispute over
Kashmir. Beijing has traditionally supported Pakistan against India, but
now in the post-Cold War era the Chinese have distanced themselves
somewhat from Pakistan in order to cultivate better relations with India.
tensions between the two countries.8 This Chinese policy of treating both
India and Pakistan equally continued as tension declined.
Again in August 2002, when President Mushraf visited China on his way
back from Bangladesh and Srilanka, the Chinese president Jiang Zemin
expressed hope that India and Pakistan could resolve their disputes
peacefully through dialogue.9 This is another example of an equal
treatment for the two South Asian states.
From Pakistan’s end China still is treated as Pakistan’s best friend in the
region. At the very same visit of President Mushraf Chinese President Jiang
Zemin addressed the question of support from some Pakistani islamists in
Xinjiang, the Pakistani government has responded by taking steps to
control the Uighur separatists operating from Pakistan.
Though the introduction of such kind of caution does not mean that China
has completely downgraded its relationship with Pakistan .According to
reports, Pakistan remains one of the major importers of Chinese
weapons. 10 Beijing has reportedly supplied Pakistan with missile related
technologies required for missile manufacturing. China has also supplied
Pakistan some naval surface to air missile systems (CSA- N-2). 11 The two
countries Pakistan and China have also signed Memorandum of
Understanding to institutionalize their annual defense and security talks.12
An indication of the growing defense ties between the two countries is the
$12.08 million interest free loan extended by Beijing for Pakistan’s armed
forces and for training Pakistani personnel in China.13
has helped Pakistan set up many defense – oriented projects, including the
heavy forge and foundry plant at Texila.
CONCLUSION
REFERENCES
2003.
2 “Chinese PM Reaffirms Close Ties”, Dawn, April 9, 2004.
3 Fazal-ur-Rehman, “China-Pakistan Relations”, Proceedings of the International
Conference on ‘ China and the Emerging Asian Century, September 27-28, 2005,
Institute of Strategic Studies Islamabad.
4Fazal-ur-Rehman, “Pakistan’s Relations with China”, Strategic Studies, Vol.19 & 20,
No. 4 & 1, Winter and Spring 1998.
5 www.asianresearch.org/articles/2740.html
6 Quoted in Samina Yasmin, “China and Pakistan in a Changing World” in K
Santhanam, Srikanth Kandapalli (eds), Asian Security and China 2000-2010,
Institute for Defense Studies and Analyses, New Delhi, 2004, p-310.
7 Ibid., p-311.
8 The Nation, June 7, 2002.
9 Quoted in Samina Yasmin, “China and Pakistan in a Changing World” in K
Santhanam, Srikanth Kandapalli (eds), Asian Security and China 2000-2010,
Institute for Defense Studies and Analyses, New Delhi, 2004, p-311.
10 http://www.atimes.com/atimes/South_Asia/EK08Df06.html
11 Quoted in Samina Yasmin, “China and Pakistan in a Changing World” in K
Santhanam, Srikanth Kandapalli (eds), Asian Security and China 2000-2010,
Institute for Defense Studies and Analyses, New Delhi, 2004, p-312.
12 http://www.afpc.org/asm/asm4.shtml
13 “China Offers $ 12m Loan for Armed Forces”, Dawn, March 24, 2004.
14 The Nation, November 2, 1997
CHINA-PAKISTAN FRIENDSHIP IS
COMING TO AN END?
Over almost half century, China and Pakistan have enjoyed a unique
relationship marked by “time tested” and “all-weather” friendship, which
hardly finds parallel in modern international relations. With the end of the
global Cold War, the regional and global context in which traditional
China-Pakistan relations were shaped has been changing drastically. Under
the new regional and global scenario in the post-Cold War era, China-
Pakistan relations have accordingly been undergoing changes and turning
into a new phase. Against these undergoing changes, question about China-
Pakistan relations arise: Is China-Pakistan friendship coming to an end?1
This paper tries to answer this question by looking at the challenges and
opportunities China and Pakistan are facing in their bilateral relations in
the new regional and global scenario.
that China-Pakistan indifference came into being. This constituted the main
structure among regional and global powers throughout the most time of
1950s.3
The changing regional and global scenario relating to the changing nature
of China-India relations and China-Soviet relations in late 1950s and early
1960s brought China-Pakistan indifference to an end and China-Pakistan
entente came into being.4 With the Tibetan Rebellion in 1959 and the
China-Indian Border Dispute from late 1950s and the China-Indian Border
War in 1962, China-Indian relations gradually worsened, and finally China-
Indian friendship broke up and turned into hostility. With India as their
common enemy, it was inevitable that China and Pakistan would come
together and strengthen their cooperation against India.5 While China-
Indian relations deteriorated, China-Soviet relations were also increasingly
strained owing to the quarrel over the theory and strategy of the
international Communist movement, and finally China-Soviet relationship
of brotherhood turned into a hostile one. The US and the USSR both wooed
and supported India politically and militarily during China-Indian border
dispute and afterwards. Under this changing regional and global context,
China came to look upon Pakistan as the only reliable partner and a pillar
state in South Asia that could be relied on in balancing India and
countering the perceived US-Soviet collusion and India-Soviet alliance,
while Pakistan saw China as a more reliable anti-India partner. On this
basis, China-Pakistan relations marked by “time tested” and “all-weather”
friendship came into being. During much of the Cold War era from early
1960s to late 1980s, China-Pakistan nexus (joined by the US in the 1970s
and 1980s) vis-à-vis India-Soviet alliance constituted the basic structure
among regional and global powers.
In late 1980s and early 1990s, the regional and global scenario changed
dramatically, which marked the birth of a new global era, i.e. Post-Cold War
era. China-Pakistan relations thus have been undergoing changes
accordingly and turning into a new phase, which confronts challenges. The
first challenge results from China’s new foreign policy, which started from
post-Mao era, i.e. Deng Xiaoping’s period and motivated by China’s
domestic reform drive which concurred with the change of regional and
global scenario.12 China for the first time in its modern history developed a
new foreign policy consisting of pragmatic relations with the two
superpowers and improved ties with all the countries on its periphery
including China and Pakistan’s common enemy India.13 Meanwhile, China-
American rapprochement in 1970s also led to India’s fear of an emerging
America-China-Pakistan axis directed against India, so India took steps to
improve India-American relations and relax China-Indian tensions. Both
China and India had the common desire to relax their tensions, which led
to the normalization of China-Indian relations in 1988. At the same time,
the Soviet Union leader Gorbachev’s new Asia policy of maintaining
friendly relations with India and normalizing relations with China created
a positive atmosphere in both China-Indian and China-Soviet relations,
which led to the normalization of China-Soviet relations in 1989. By 1989,
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (106)
China had restored or established normal relations with all major powers
of the Cold War era.14 Under this context, China-Pakistan relationship has
gradually lost its original strategic meaning.
The second challenge results from the collapse of the Soviet Union, a mark
of the end of the global Cold War between the US and the USSR and the
vanishment of the bipolar structure of world power. After the collapse of
the Soviet Union and its Eastern European bloc in 1989, a new international
system is emerging. Although the US became the only superpower of the
post-Cold War era, its capacity for dominating the world alone is
considerably restricted. France and Germany’s stance against the US’s Iraqi
War; Germany, Japan, India, Brazil seek permanent membership in the UN
Security Council; India and Pakistan’s nuclear tests; Russia’s refusal to
easily yield to pressures from the US; China and India’s rising, etc. vividly
demonstrate the world is moving toward a multipolar power structure.
Under the context of these changes, especially with the collapse of the
Soviet Union together with its Eastern Europe bloc and the vanishment of
the bipolar structure of world power, just as India-Russian relationship has
lost its anti-Chinese implications, so China-Pakistan relationship has also
lost its original significance of countering India-Soviet alliance.15 Moreover,
on the Kashmir issue, China and the US used to support Pakistan, while the
Soviet Union supported India. With the collapse of the Soviet Union, both
US and China have adjusted their Kashmir policy and adopted a neutral
stance that Kashmir issue should be resolved by peaceful negotiations at
the bilateral level, which is against Pakistan’s stance.16
The third challenge results from terrorism threat. Terrorist threat following
US’s World Trade Center and India’s Parliament building being attacked
respectively on September 11 and December 13, 2001, has produced
tremendous and far-reaching impact on international relations. China-
Pakistan relations could not completely remain intact unaffected. Over
recent years, several terrorist kidnappings and attacks have happened to
Chinese citizens working in Pakistan. These terrorist kidnappings and
attacks have claimed a number of lives, including engineers, which has
drawn the great concern from Chinese government and public.17 Moreover,
the so-called East Turkestan elements in China’s Xinjiang Uighur
Autonomous Region have been conducting separatist activities over years.
Some of the Uighurs have been trained in religious schools within
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (107)
Secondly, China adjusted its stance on South Asia affairs. China has come to
take a more balanced and even-handed stance toward South Asia affairs,
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (108)
especially with relation to Pakistan and India. This new stance is strikingly
reflected in China’s attitude on Pakistan-India Kargil conflict in 1999 and
Pakistan-India military stand-off in 2002. At the height of Kargil crisis,
Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif visited China and discussed the matter with
Chinese leaders. The official statement issued by the Chinese Foreign
Ministry urged both India and Pakistan to negotiate a settlement of the
issue. China not only followed an even-handed path but also played the
role of informal mediator by hosting separate visits of the Pakistani and
Indian Foreign Ministers.22 A senior Indian official observed that during the
Kargil conflict, China public statements were almost as even-handed as the
Group of Eight’s.23 In the critical situation bringing the two nuclear rivals
to the brink of war, Pakistan again consulted with its close ally China.
President Musharraf made an overnight stay in Beijing and held in-depth
discussions with Premier Zhu Rongji. China, besides advising the tension
must be settled through a direct dialogue between India and Pakistan,
adopted multi-channel diplomacy to defuse the tension in South Asia and
stressed the need for the international community to take a more balanced
and unprejudiced approach to the problem. Chinese even-handed stand
during the India–Pakistan military stand-off gave added flexibility to
Chinese diplomacy in helping to avert a war in South Asia.24
In all, from the above we can see that China-Pakistan relations have been
undergoing changes in the changing regional and global scenario. This
changing relationship is defined as “From Indifference to Entente” in Cold
War era and “From Entente to Qualified Support” in Post-Cold War era.25
The character of this changing relationship is defined as from a selfless
“Traditional Friend” to a useful “Strategic Partner”.26 Compared with the
traditional pattern of “Entente” as a “Selfless Traditional Friend”, the new
pattern of “Qualified Support” as a “Useful Strategic Partner” is
characterized by more challenges.
Some strategists hold that China’s even-handed stance in South Asia and the
warmer China-Indian rapprochement unavoidably generates negative effect
on and even possibly undercuts “all-weather” China-Pakistan partnership.27
A scholar states that the post-Mao Chinese policy towards Pakistan has
changed considerably and the warmth that prevailed during the 1960s and
the 1970s has started to recede. Former Pakistan’s ambassador to China,
Sultan M. Khan, comments on the changing pattern of China-Pakistan
relations that there is however a very different China now on the
international and regional scene. China will continue to support Pakistan
but much depends upon how Pakistan itself manages to come out of its
current problems. The old intimacy and warmth, which once were the
hallmark of Sino–Pakistan friendship, is a part of history.28
As we have seen, the noticeable and substantial changes that have occurred
in China-Pakistan relations mainly exist in China’s new stance toward
Pakistan with regard to its dispute and conflict with India, especially on
Kashmir issue. It is no surprising and even quite understandable that this
new stance would cause the suspect from Pakistan side. But here we should
pay attention to some facts which would give us different views. Firstly, the
reduction in China’s support is not just confined to the freedom struggle in
Kashmir. China’s post-Mao policy has considerably reduced support to
revolutionary movements around the world.29 Secondly, China’s new
policy aims at uncoupling China-Pakistan relations from China-India
relations and promoting China-Pakistan friendship and China-India
friendship separately and simultaneously. Meanwhile, it also aims at
improving Pakistan-India relations. Thirdly, China’s new policy has
resulted in a positively peaceful result. The resolution of Kargil conflict and
military stand-off between Pakistan and India was partly if not totally owed
to this policy. In the contemporary international context, it is dangerously
unwise if China directly involves in any dispute between the two nuclear
powers Pakistan and India. Fourthly, the recent development of Pakistan-
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (110)
India relations affirms China’s new policy and stance. During Pervez
Musharrraf - Manhohan Singh Summit in April 2005, the two leaders agreed
on that the peace process between the two countries was “now
irreversible”. On Kashmir issue the two leaders agreed on the new concept
of “soft border” and agreed to increase the frequency of Srinagar-
Muzaffarabad bus service and new routes in J&K were to be opened. This
ushered a new era of Pakistan-Indian friendship.30 Therefore, apparently
China’s new policy seems to have negative effect on China-Pakistan
relations, but substantially it is conducive to sustain and promote both
China-Pakistan relations and India-Pakistan relations in the new era in the
long run.
We can also see that the fruitful mutual support and cooperation in other
fields between China and Pakistan have remained unchanged and kept
going as before. Firstly, the high level visits and the close links have been
continuing despite the frequent change of governments in Pakistan and the
change of leadership in China. These high level visits were supplemented
by exchange of visits between senior civil and military officials of the two
states.31 Secondly, China and Pakistan have maintained close contact and
coordination on regional and international affairs, and shared a lot in
common and supplied mutual support. China appreciates Pakistan’s
precious support on the issues of Taiwan, Tibet, WTO, human rights, etc.32
Thirdly, economic-technological-military ties have also persisted. Pakistan
has become the second largest trade partner of China in South Asia region,
and the trade between two states keeps increasing steadily. The economic
cooperation has evolved from purely commercial trade into larger fields
such as mutual investing, project contracting and technology developing
etc.33 China has been considerably and consistently helping Pakistan in
defense production and peaceful use of nuclear energy whereas the
Western developed countries suspended economic and military aid and
continued their ban on the supply of sensitive technology to Pakistan in
the post-Cold War period.34
The collapse of the Soviet Union and the emergence of a new international
system, though resulted in the loss of the original strategic meaning of
China-Pakistan relations against Soviet-Indian alliance, have not ended
political understanding between China and Pakistan. Instead, the
emergence of new Central Asian Republics from the ruins of the Soviet
Union has opened another avenue and new opportunity for cooperation
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (111)
On Chinese side, though China has adopted the balanced policy, it does not
mean that China has completely downgraded its relationship with Pakistan.
Chinese officials make clear that they have no intention of cutting off
Pakistan and that it remains a value ally. China has reiterated, time and
again, that the improvement in its ties with India would not come at the
cost of China-Pakistan relations, and it would not in any way affect the
traditional friendship between China and Pakistan. Some symbolic gestures
made by China to indicate that Pakistan is still treated as a special friend
are noticeable. For example, in August 2002, President Musharraf visited
China on his way back from Bangladesh and Sri Lanka and his Chinese
counterpart Jiang Zemin delayed his own trip by a day to receive his
Pakistani guest.49 Also, during his South Asia tour visits in April 2005,
Premier Wen Jiabao started his trip from Pakistan instead of India though
many had expected his first trip might be to India.50 For China,
maintaining close relationship with Pakistan is in its vital interests. Firstly,
it will help to curb the threat posed by Muslim secessionists and religious
extremists in Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region to secure its internal
stability. Secondly, it will help to develop good relations with other Muslim
countries to secure its periphery stability. 51 Thirdly, it will help to access to
the oil-rich Middle East and the Gulf’s resources to secure its energy
security. Fourthly, it will help to counter US’s influence in Central and
South Asia as well as India’s ambitions to secure its military security.52
REFERENCES
Perspectives and Policies toward India”, in Francine R. Frankel Harry Harding ed.,
The India-China Relationship: Rivalry and Engagement (New Delhi: Oxford, 2004),
pp.79-80.
13 Susan L. Shirk, “One-Sided Rivalry: China’s Perspectives and Policies toward
India”, in Francine R. Frankel Harry Harding ed., The India-China Relationship:
Rivalry and Engagement (New Delhi: Oxford, 2004), p.80.
14 Xuecheng Liu, The Sino-Indian Border Dispute and Sino-Indian relations
(Maryland: University Press of America, Inc. 1994), p.150.
15 China mainly attributes its foreign policy change concerning India and Pakistan
to the end of the Cold War. This was revealed by Foreign Minister Qian Qichen in
his discussions of regional foreign policy issues with US Secretary of State
Madeleine Albright during 1997-1998. See Susan L. Shirk, “One-Sided Rivalry:
China’s Perspectives and Policies toward India”, in Francine R. Frankel Harry
Harding ed., The India-China Relationship: Rivalry and Engagement (New Delhi:
Oxford, 2004), pp.79-80.
16 Xuecheng Liu, The Sino-Indian Border Dispute and Sino-Indian relations
(Maryland: University Press of America, Inc. 1994), p.160.
17 “The impact on China-Pakistan Relations caused by Chinese hostages being
killed in Pakistan”, http://www. irib.ir/worldservice/ chinese/shishifx/04-10-
18/04101801.htm
18 Susan L. Shirk, “One-Sided Rivalry: China’s Perspectives and Policies toward
January 2005, p.11. Cheng Ruisheng, “How to Solve Kashmir Issue through
Peaceful Means”, Contemporary Asia-Pacific Studies, No.11, 2003,
http://www.cass.net.cn/yataisuo/ Bak/ddyt/0311-1.htm
22 Ghulam Ali, “Sino-Pakistan Relations: The Indian Factor”, http://ipripak.org
/journal /summer2003/sino-pakistanshtml
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (116)
Kumaraswamy ed., China and the Middle East (Delhi: Sage Publications, 1999),
p.92. Samina Yasmeen, “China and Pakistan in a Changing World”, in K Santhanam
Srikanth Kondapalli ed., Asian Security and China 2000-2010 (Delhi: Shipra
Publications, 2004), p.309.
26 Pakistan newspaper The News states, "It's time that the Pakistanis change their
basic perception of China to more mature and realistic -- from its being a selfless
'traditional friend' to a useful strategic partner", See “Wen's Visit Opens New
Chapter in Sino-Pak Relations”, http://www.china.org.cn/english/international/
125033.htm
27 Zhang Li, “China’s New Role in South Asia”, World Focus, Vol.26, No.1, 2005, p.6.
28 Ghulam Ali, “Sino-Pakistan Relations: The Indian Factor”, http://ipripak.org
/journal/summer2003/sino-pakistanshtml
29 Ghulam Ali, “Sino-Pakistan Relations: The Indian Factor”, http://ipripak.org
/journal/summer2003/sino-pakistanshtml
30Y C Halan, “Sport and Politics: A new era of Indo-Pak friendship”, South Asia
Politics, May 2005, pp.13-18. “Indo-Pak Relations: A Ray of Hope”, Competition
Wizard, June 2005, pp.20-21.
31 “China’s Relations with Pakistan”, http://www.friendship museum.com
/gb/wjfy/yz/bgst.htm
32 Lu Shulin, “Links on the Basis of Moral Principle Can Last forever”,
http://www.fmprc.gov.cn/chn/ziliao/wzzt/wcflysg/ wzlcflshg/t188927.htm
33 “China’s Relations with Pakistan”, http://www.friendship
museum.com/gb/wjfy/yz/bgst.htm; “Establishing Closer Economic and Trade
Ties between China and Pakistan”, http://www.chnedu.net/yxsj/
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (117)
yxsjd.asp?newsid=18285
34 China’s total military aid to Pakistan till 1996 has been at least worth $1.5
billions. Musa Khan Jalalzai, Pakistan’s Foreign Policy (Lahore: Khan Book
Company, 2002), pp.172 & 175.
35 Samina Yasmeen, “Sino-Pakistan Relations and the Middle East”, in P. R.
Kumaraswamy ed., China and the Middle East (Delhi: Sage Publications, 1999),
p.98.
36Alexander Yakovenko, “Seeking multilateral regional cooperation: The Shanghai
Cooperation Organization is a new model of geopolitical integration”, The Hindu,
August 12, 2005.
37 “Analysis: Pakistan, India and Iran’s SCO Observer Status Will be Beneficial to
All”, http://cn.news.yahoo.com/050706/72/ 2dem3.html
38 Susan L. Shirk, “One-Sided Rivalry: China’s Perspectives and Policies toward
Srikanth Kondapalli ed., Asian Security and China 2000-2010 (Delhi: Shipra
Publications, 2004), p.319.
42 Samina Yasmeen states, “Even the Islamists subscribe to the idea of Chinese
reliability. Despite the fact that the Islamist groups in the civil society have
attempted to ‘export’ Islamism to China’s Xinjiang province, those in the
government remain convinced of the need to appreciate and align with Beijing”,
Samina Yasmeen, “China and Pakistan in a Changing World”, in K Santhanam
Srikanth Kondapalli ed., Asian Security and China 2000-2010 (Delhi: Shipra
Publications, 2004), p.312.
43 Samina Yasmeen, “China and Pakistan in a Changing World”, in K Santhanam
Srikanth Kondapalli ed., Asian Security and China 2000-2010 (Delhi: Shipra
Publications, 2004), p.312.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (118)
Srikanth Kondapalli ed., Asian Security and China 2000-2010 (Delhi: Shipra
Publications, 2004), p.311.
50 Pakistani Premier Shaukat Aziz in his interview with Chinese press stated that
Wen Jiabao’s starting his South Asia visits from Pakistan once again testified the
special friendship between China and Pakistan. See Rong Shoujun, Zhang Lihong,
“Pakistani Premier Aziz talks about China-Pakistan friendly relations in the
interview”, http://news.xinhuanet.com/world/2005-04/04/ content_2784995.htm
51Sun Shihai, “China-Indian Relations in the 21st Century”, http://www.iapscass.cn
/xueshuwz/ showcontent.asp?Id=205
52 China’s sharing of the Gwadar naval base in Pakistan “serves the Chinese
purposes in three ways: first, it serves as a tool to secure Beijing’s access to the
Gulf’s resources; second, it is a useful military base to counter Washington’s
influence in Central and South Asia; third, Gwadar functions as an excellent wedge
between India and the Middle East and as an offset against India’s naval power”.
See Adam Wolfe, Yevgeny Bendersky, and Federico Bordonaro, “The Indian Ocean’s
shifting balance of power” (26/07/05), http://www.isn.ch/news/sw/
details.cfm?ID=12292
PAKISTAN-CHINA RELATIONS: POLITICAL DIMENSION
Ambassador (R)
Javed Hussain
The first decade after the establishment of diplomatic relations between the
two countries saw cordial relations between Pakistan and China which,
however, lacked the warmth of later years after the signing of the border
agreement between the two countries in 1963. Since then, Pakistan-China
relations have steadily gained in strength despite the vicissitudes of time
and the changes of government in both the countries. Pakistan-China
friendship is not only time-tested but has also become multi-dimensional.
The successful visit of Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao to Pakistan in
April 2005, during which besides the signing of the “Treaty of Friendship,
Cooperation and Good Neighbourly Relations”, 21 other agreements were
signed to boost cooperation in defense, economic and trade areas, was a
testimony to the strength of Pakistan-China friendship.
This paper would briefly cover the history of Pakistan- China relations by
highlighting the major milestones, give the political context of this
relationship, assess its strengths and weaknesses, and try to provide a
prognosis of its future course in the light of the changing global and
regional scenario.
The Prime Ministers of Pakistan and China, that is Mohammad Ali Bogra
and Chou En-lai, held two private meetings on the sidelines of the
conference at Bandung in April 1955. These meetings led to a better
understanding of each other’s point of view. China was assured that
Pakistan would never support any aggressive action that the US might
launch against China and that it neither opposed China nor apprehended
aggression from it. There was an increased exchange of delegations
between the two countries after the Bandung conference.
President Yahya Khan paid a five-day state visit to China commencing from
10 November, 1970.
China was moderately supportive of Pakistan during the 1971 civil war
while condemning India for its interference in Pakistan’s internal affairs.
Accordingly China’s support to Pakistan during the 1971 Indo-Pakistan war
remained subdued as compared to that in 1965.
Pakistan and China maintained close friendly ties during the civilian
governments of Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif from 1988 to 1999. The
period witnessed the exchange of several high level visits between the two
countries.
Phase I (1950-1961)
The first phase spanning the period from 1950 to 1961 was marked
by normal bilateral relations lacking the friendship and warmth of
later years. The reasons for the lack of warmth in Pakistan-China
relations for about a decade after the establishment of diplomatic
relations are not difficult to fathom. Pakistan’s very creation was
based on the Islamic ideology whereas China was committed to the
communist ideology which was, of course, atheist in character.
Secondly, Pakistan joined the Western Camp by joining the Baghdad
Pact and SEATO as well as by signing bilateral security agreements
with the US. China, on the other hand, was a strong critic of the
Western bloc whom it accused of harbouring imperialistic and
hegemonistic tendencies.
Phase II (1962-1980)
Pakistan, of course, paid a price in the form of the US pressure and even
economic sanctions for the freedom it showed in developing friendly
relations with China. It was ironical, therefore, that the same United States
later under President Nixon sought Pakistan’s help in improving its
relations with PRC. The move was a clever strategic manoeuvre on the part
of the US to isolate the Soviet Union by taking advantage of the growing
hostility between Moscow and Beijing. Pakistan’s help to Washington in
forging relations with China may have earned it Moscow’s wrath leading to
the signing of the Indo-Soviet Friendship Treaty which strengthened India’s
hand in its plans to dismember Pakistan in 1971.
The 1980’s saw the beginning of the Sino-Soviet and the Sino-Indian talks to
defuse tensions in their relations and to resolve their respective border
disputes. The progress in these talks especially in terms of the resolution of
the border disputes was slow during the 1980’s. Nevertheless there was
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (128)
considerable lowering of the tensions between India and China on the one
hand and between China and the Soviet Union on the other.
The process picked up speed during the 1990’s which witnessed
considerable growth in Sino-Indian economic and commercial relations
leading to the exchange of several high level visits, the most recent being
Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao’s visit to India in April 2005 when besides a
host of agreements aimed at enhancing mutual cooperation in various
fields, the two countries agreed to establish an India-China Strategic and
Cooperative Partnership for Peace and Prosperity. They also agreed to
increase the bilateral trade to US$ 20 billion by 2008. While India reiterated
its recognition of Tibet as part of China, Beijing recognized Sikkim as part
of India. The two sides also agreed to continue their talks for reaching a
fair, reasonable and mutually acceptable solution of the boundary question.
The collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 brought to a definite end the cold
war which had existed between the NATO and the WARSAW bloc countries
with the victory of the West and the emergence of the United States as the
sole super power. China now felt a threat to its security from the US rather
than Russia, the successor state to the Soviet Union, which experienced
internal turmoil throughout the 1990’s. Both China and Russia, afraid of the
growing ascendancy of the US, started gravitating towards each other. The
process has restored close friendly relations between the two countries
reminiscent of the early 1950’s and established a strategic partnership to
face the threat of global hegemonism posed by the US. It is hardly
surprising, therefore, that the joint communiqué issued at Moscow on July
2, 2005 after the Summit meeting between Presidents Hu Jintao and Putin
denounced “ the aspiration for monopoly and domination in international
affairs” and called for an end to “attempts to divide nations into leaders and
those being led.” In August 2005, the two countries launched their largest
joint military exercise in modern history to send a political signal to
Washington.
In this regard, the trilateral talks at the foreign minister level held among
Russia, China and India at Vladivostok in June 2005 are noteworthy. In
their joint remarks at the end of these talks, the three foreign ministers
declared that “the best and most effective way to ensure security in the
world today is the democratization of international relations, a consistent
application of the principles of multilaterality in problem settlement, and
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (129)
The close cooperation between China and Pakistan was maintained during
the 1990’s and the past few years of the new century despite the successive
changes of government and the coup in Pakistan of October 1999.
However, it must be noted that Pakistan’s support to the Taliban in
Afghanistan, who were suspected by China of supporting the separatists in
Xinjiang province, indirectly created some misunderstandings in Pakistan-
China relations. The change in Pakistan’s Afghanistan policy and the
removal of the Taliban government following the events of 9/11 have
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (130)
On the basis of the foregoing, one can reach the conclusion that the real
strength of Pakistan-China relations, when shorn of verbiage, lies in the
following factors:
There are also a few weak areas in Pakistan-China relations. The economic
and commercial relations between the two countries, though an important
dimension of the overall relationship, are not as well developed as they
should be considering their close political relationship. The level of
bilateral trade at roughly US$ 3 billion, mostly in favour of China, is far
below its potential. It is heartening, therefore, that the two countries plan
to take special measures to boost bilateral trade. Another weak area is the
extremely limited interaction between Pakistan and China in the cultural
field. The visits of scholars, students, journalists, artists, etc. between
Pakistan and China are few and far between. The same is true about people-
to- people contacts which again are virtually non-existent although both
the countries are rich in touristic attractions. The ideological differences so
far have not acted as an impediment in the development of Pakistan-China
friendship. However, the possibility that under certain circumstances this
factor may become an obstacle in the future in the strengthening of
Pakistan-China relations cannot be totally ruled out.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (132)
There is, however, no ground for complacency. Pakistan and China should
not take their friendship for granted misguided by their rhetoric about
Pakistan-China friendly relations being “all weather” and “time tested”. A
radical and unexpected change in the global and regional strategic
environment may bring this relationship under strain. Pakistan specially
needs to watch carefully the fast growing China-India relations in the
economic and commercial fields which cannot but have negative political
repercussions for Pakistan in the long run. Already India-China trade is
about five times the size of Pakistan-China trade. It is well-known that
strong economic and commercial ties inevitably have their repercussions
in the political field.
Pakistan should also welcome the growing entente between China and
Russia both of which recently expressed their opposition to global(US)
hegemonism in their Summit Declaration. This development fits into
Pakistan’s policy of developing relations with Russia to enhance its
diplomatic manoeuvrability.
Keeping in view the foregoing, Pakistan must pay due attention to the
development of its friendly relations and cooperation with China. We must
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (134)
redouble our efforts to strengthen further our ties in the economic and
commercial fields. In addition, bilateral exchanges in political, cultural and
military fields should be encouraged to promote mutual understanding and
cooperation in these fields. Finally, the two countries need to build up
people-to-people contacts to strengthen their friendly ties while continuing
to adhere to the principle of non-interference in each other’s internal
affairs. Given these efforts, one can reasonably hope that Pakistan-China
friendship will continue to gain in strength in the years to come.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (135)
CONCLUDING REMARKS
BY CHAIRMAN
Even though we face new scenarios, new challenges, just as speakers have
mentioned, China-Pakistan relationship is entering in a new period, that is
based on more bilateral interest rather than the single party, on more
comprehensive components rather that the single one, on the more
common values and interests rather than the history and traditions. So I
may say that China should pay more attention to the Pakistan’s national
construction and we have enough reasons to say that China and Pakistan
relationship has a broader future.
Concluding Session
R E C O M M E N D A T I O N S (136)
RECOMMENDATIONS
First Session on the security was presided over by Dr. Zhang Li.
There were five speakers. Due to scarcity of time I may not do justice
with all speakers and what I will do, simply I will give sense of the
speakers.
Second speaker Dr Zhang Li, came with few concerns of China, and
he suggested that track-two diplomacy and people-to-people
diplomacy need be depended. He also signified the gas pipeline
importance.
Third speaker, from the Area Study Centre, Ghulam Murtaza Khoso
said that the few changes took place in Pakistan — China relations
especially after Sino-Indian rapprochement. But despite these
changes Pakistan and China are still operating like partners.
Fourth speaker, Dr Shang Quanyn, his title was very tricky and he
said traditional relations are changing the post-Cold War era. He
pointed out the different concerns of China on terrorism and nuclear
exchange between India and Pakistan. Finally, he concluded that
everything is changing but nothing changes in the context Pakistan
—China relations, which remain fundamentally same.
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (138)
10. It was proposed that, in the wake of our growing relations with
China. All leading universities should introduce courses on
Chinese studies.
VOTE OF THANKS
Assalam-o-alaikum
On behalf of faculty of Far East and Southeast Asia Study Centre, University
of Sindh, I extend my heartfelt thanks to all the participants who had come
from far flung areas, and have shared their views with us. Naming them
Professor Dr Zhang Li, Ambassador (R) Dr Maqbool Ahmed Bhatty,
Professor Dr Guihong Zhang, Mr Fazal-ur-Rehman, Dr Dolla Varaprasad
Sekar, Ambassador (R) Khalid Mehmood, Professor Dr Shang Quanyu,
Ambassador (R) Javed Hussain, and our young colleagues, Ms. Naureen
Memon, and Ghulam Murtaza Khoso, all have shared with us their
expertise, their views, and have generated this lively discussion on today’s
occasion. I think their participation has given this occasion a very glorious
look.
The mutual political and strategic need have been the basis on which
relations were established and developed between Pakistan and China in
the early 1960s. Both have been considered as traditional friends of each
other. Since then both countries have forged a comprehensive partnership
which is multidimensional and encompasses all fields. The exchange of
high–level visits have been one of the major contributing factor in
promoting trust and all round cooperation between the two countries. The
latest contributing factor in this regard is the Treaty of Friendship,
Cooperation, and good Neighbourly Relations, 2005, and the agreement on
combating terrorism, separatism and extremism between both countries.
The agreement and anti–terrorism would further intensify cooperation
between Beijing and Islamabad. Both countries share common positions on
various regional and international issues. Pakistan supports the Chinese
stance on Taiwan. Pakistan opposes the declaration of independence of
Taiwan. The history of our relations has testified that friendly relations
between Pakistan and China are not only in the interest of both countries
but also benefit the region.
We have been able to strengthen our political ties with China but
have failed to establish deep economic ties with Beijing. The bilateral trade
between Pakistan and China was nearly $U.S. 3 billion in 2004, up by 25
percent over the previous year. A lot needs to be done to address the
growing trade imbalance that is emerging. Pakistan – China relations are
growing slowly in economic, trade and investment areas. Both countries
will establish a tax–free trading system within next two to three years. How
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (ii)
On the other hand, U.S. has agreed to aid India’s civilian nuclear
power programme. It is an unexpected decision. The Bush Administration
sees India as an essential counterweight to Chinese ambitions in Asia. Some
analysts believe that China and India are trying to shape the new global
order based on multi–polarity.
How will growing China – India relationship on the one hand, and
their future struggle for regional hegemony, on the other, affect bilateral
Pakistan – China relations and regional power structure?
Objectives:
Programme
September 29, 2005
• Registration................................................ 09:30 – 10:00 hrs
• Inaugural Session ...................................... 10:00 – 11:00 hrs
o Recitation from The Holy Quran
o Welcome Address by Dr Lutfullah Mangi
Director, Area Study Centre, Fareast and Southeast Asia.
o Address by Professor Dr Rafia A. Sheikh
Dean Faculty of Social Sciences
o Keynote Address by Honourable Dr Hamida Khuhro
o Presidential Address by Honourable Mazharul Haq Siddiqi
Vice Chancellor, University of Sindh, Jamshoro.
• Declaration of the Opening of Seminar
Tea ........................................................................... 11:00 – 11:30 hrs
WORKING SESSION – I
1 1 : 3 0 – 1 3 : 3 0 h r s
PAKISTAN – CHINA RELATIONS
(SECURITY DIMENSION)
Chair:......... Professor Dr Zhang Li
Discussion
WORKING SESSION – II
1 4 : 3 0 – 1 7 : 0 0 h r s
Discussion
Vote of Thanks
Pakistan-China Relations in Changing Regional and Global Scenario (vi)
Mr Fazal-ur-Rahman
Director (East Asia)
The Institute of Strategic Studies
Sector F 5/2,
Islamabad
Tel. (051) 9204423
Professor Dr Zhang Li
Director
Centre South Asia – West China Cooperation
and Development Studies,
Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610064
People’s Republic of China
Email: sawccad@163.com
Ms Naureen Memon
Lecturer
Area Study Centre, Far East & South East Asia,
University of Sindh,
Jamshoro
Email: memonnaureen@yahoo.com