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Abstract: The reinforced concrete (RC) shear wall system has gained widespread use in high seismicity
countries for housing construction, primarily due to its high stiffness and the advantages of reduced
construction time and cost through industrialization. In countries like Colombia and other Latin American
nations, the structural wall system has evolved to accommodate unconventional plan layouts driven by
architectural requirements. Notably, all architectural partitions serve as gravity load-bearing RC walls, also
functioning as the primary seismic resistance system, irrespective of their geometry or reinforcement detailing.
Furthermore, for over two decades, nonductile electro-welded mesh has been extensively employed as the
primary web reinforcement. However, these buildings have yet to experience high-intensity seismic events,
leaving their actual seismic performance unknown. Consequently, there is a pressing need to advance
numerical studies that quantify the behavior of this structural system. This study presents a seismic fragility
assessment of Thin Lightly-Reinforced Concrete Wall (TLRCW) Buildings, focusing on evaluating the influence
on structural fragility due to wall aspect ratio, wall index, and reinforcement detailing. The research is part of
the Colombian Risk Model, an initiative led by the Colombian Geological Service and the Colombian
Association of Engineering Schools. A total of sixty-eight representative archetypes embodying the prevalent
structural system in Colombia were selected, encompassing heights ranging from four to thirty stories and
representing buildings located in intermediate and high seismic hazard regions. Each archetype underwent
nonlinear response history analyses using OpenSeesPy, employing 3,400 hazard-consistent ground motion
records. The results demonstrate significant variability in structural response among buildings with the same
number of stories but differing architectural configurations, effectively accounting for epistemic uncertainty
when grouping the results by taxonomy. The findings also serve as a valuable benchmark for informing future
structural designs, vulnerability assessments, and risk management practices nationwide by practitioners,
researchers, and professionals.
1. Introduction
The Thin, Lightly-Reinforced Concrete Wall system (TLRCW) in Colombia has evidenced a significant trend
towards the use of thin and slender walls, employing an industrialized process that allows for the construction
of at least one apartment per day. This process involves the use of electro-welded mesh as web reinforcement.
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The strength and stiffness properties of reinforced concrete (RC) walls, combined with the speed achievable
through industrialized construction, have promoted the widespread use of this structural system in Colombia.
Further, since the RC structural walls are also the architectural partitions, construction times are up to 50%
faster, and construction costs are up to 20% lower than those of the traditional frame-wall system. The living
unit areas range between 60 and 150 m2. The thin wall system is also commonly used in Peru, denoted as a
“limited ductility wall system” (Quiroz & Maruyama, 2013). The absence of explicit provisions to control the
minimum thickness and slenderness of walls (i.e., the ratio between their unsupported height and the
thickness, hu/tw) in the Colombian building code NSR-10, has enabled the use of extremely thin and slender
walls in the construction of buildings, primarily aimed at addressing the low-cost housing deficit. The Colombian
TLRCW system has unique features that set it apart from the international context, for example: 1) walls with
very small thicknesses and large slenderness, with thicknesses ranging from 100 mm to 150 mm; 2) walls
controlling drifts having short lengths or high aspect ratio; 3) walls with electro-welded wire meshes (WWM)
as the web reinforcement, which hinders their deformation capacity (Carrillo et al., 2019); and 4) inadequate
or absent confinement at the wall edges.
This work assesses the effect of the main attributes of the structural configuration of RC thin-wall buildings on
their seismic fragility, explicitly focusing on the probability of collapse. The results obtained are part of the
National Seismic Risk Model project for Colombia commissioned by the Colombian Geological Service (SGC,
“Servicio Geológico Colombiano” in Spanish) and the Colombian Association of Engineering Faculties (ACOFI,
“Asociación Colombiana de Facultades de Ingeniería”, in Spanish).
These particularities have raised concerns regarding the seismic performance of TLRCW buildings (Gonzales
& López-Almansa, 2012). Studies have particularly focused on evaluating inelastic deformation capacity,
lateral stability, and potential failure mechanisms. In Colombia, a gap has been identified in the current building
code, NSR-10 (AIS, 2010), as this regulation does not include an explicit distinction between the design
requirements for buildings with thick and thin walls (CEER, 2021). For instance, it does not limit the
slenderness of the walls. Additionally, the minimum wall thickness is not explicitly limited.
Numerical and experimental studies reported by Rosso et al. (2022), Blandón & Bonett (2020), Carrillo,
Oyarzo-Vera et al. (2019), Blandón et al. (2018), Rosso et al. (2018), Arroyo et al. (2021), and Arteta (2017)
have demonstrated the potential limitations of this type of structural system. Blandón & Bonett (2020) identified
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walls with very limited effective confinement and deficiencies in the reinforcement detailing to restrain buckling
of the longitudinal bars. Carrillo et al. (2019) demonstrated that a significant percentage of the electro-welded
meshes produced in Colombia have limited deformation capacity and should be considered as reinforcement
with very limited ductility. The basic design assumption indicates that when the concrete reaches its maximum
compressive strength, the tensile reinforcement is yielding but not fracturing, which is not the case for flange-
wall reinforced with WWM. Blandón et al. (2018) reported a limited rotation capacity below 0.8% based on a
full-scale experimental program of walls with a thickness of 100 mm, all with T-shaped sections and an M/VLw
ratio equal to 2.0. Rosso et al. (2018) demonstrated a high potential for out-of-plane instability in walls with a
thickness of 80 mm, utilizing reinforcement bars concentrated at the ends of the wall. Table 1 shows the main
attributes of the 67 archetypes analyzed in this study. The first column shows the archetype's taxonomy,
followed by the number of stories (N), total height (H), seismic hazard level, design spectra acceleration (Sa),
wall index (WI), period (T), cracked period (Tcr) mean aspect ratio (Ar mean), and reinforcement type. Figure
2 shows the box and whisker plot for the main parameters analyzed in this study.
N. Seismic WI T Tcr
Archetype H (m) Sa (g) Ar Mean Reinf.
Stories Hazard (%) (s) (s)
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N. Seismic WI T Tcr
Archetype H (m) Sa (g) Ar Mean Reinf.
Stories Hazard (%) (s) (s)
3. Fragility functions
3.1. Wall modelling
The RC walls were modeled in the OpenSeesPy (Zhu et al. 2018), where a two-dimensional (2D) model
represented each archetype. The walls were simulated as multi-vertical-line-element-models (MVLEM), as this
modeling approach has demonstrated a good balance between simplicity, numerical stability, and accuracy
(Haghi et al., 2020) with reduced computational time (Pozo et al., 2020). The numerical modelling approach
for this study is described in detail in Feliciano et al. (2023).
3.2. Ground motion selection and scaling
The structural response was evaluated through nonlinear dynamic analyses with seismic records consistent
with the seismic hazard of the building’s sites. The National Seismic Risk Model (MNRS, for its acronym in
Spanish) selected a set of ground motions consistent with the seismic hazard in Colombia. The Conditional
Scenario Spectrum (CSS) methodology developed by Arteta & Abrahamson (2019) was used to select the
ground motion records. The CSS effectively discretizes the seismic hazard, as summarized in Table 2. Full
details on the ground motion selection process are reported in Pájaro and Arteta (2022).
Table 2. Characterization of the ground motion records used for nonlinear dynamic analyses.
Return Period, TR (years) [75, 150, 225, 475, 975, 2475, 4975, 9975]
Hazard Level [low; intermediate; high]
Soil Types [rock; soil] = [Vs30 ≥ 760 m/s; 360 m/s ≥ Vs30 ≥ 180 m/s]
Conditional Periods, T* (s) [0.01, 0.1, 0.3, 0.6, 0.7, 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, 3.0]
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Figure 3. a) Dispersion of spectral acceleration Sa (T = 0.3s) and the maximum roof drift ratio, b) binned data
for fragility function fitting.
The results of the nonlinear analysis were binned to produce stripes of equal intensity, as presented in Figure
3b. In this case, gray points mark individual EDP (i.e., RDR) values, while continuous lines represent the
median (P50), the fifteenth (P15), and eighty-fifth (P85) percentiles of the bins. With this organization scheme,
it is possible to fit a probability distribution function of seismic demand at each bin, allowing for determining
the probability of exceeding EDP or damage threshold values given IM.
3.4. Collapse definition and fragility curve
Results like those in Figure 3b were used to define the EDP threshold for which the "collapse" of each
archetype is defined. Given that the TLRCW system is not likely to suffer from sudden vertical load-carrying
capacity, the collapse threshold definition comprises evaluating the slopes of the EDP-IM curves at the P50.
Herein, the “collapse” occurs when an apparent break in the RDR-Sa curve is observed and is marked with a
horizontal dashed line in Figure 3b. Henceforth, the collapse damage state is referred to as DS4. Upon
evaluation of the resulting threshold, it is observed, that the change in EDP-IM scaling indicates that at least
one wall of the archetype has reached or is near its deformation capacity. Collapse fragility functions were
obtained for each archetype by fitting a lognormal cumulative distribution function to the results (Baker, 2015).
Figure 4 shows the resulting collapse fragility curve for the 8-story archetype 0058-MCR-ARM-08P. Spectral
accelerations values corresponding to the Design Basis Earthquake (DE) and the Maximum Considered
Earthquake (MCE) are marked with vertical dashed lines. Details of the methodology and results can be found
elsewhere (Bonett et al., 2022).
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Figure 5. Exceedance Probability vs. Type of Reinforcement for the state of Collapse for: a) DE y b) MCE in
low-rise buildings.
The results show higher probability of collapse in buildings reinforced solely with WWM. The expected seismic
performance of a building designed according to a seismic design code for a 475-year earthquake (i.e., for the
DE level) does not anticipate collapse, hence the probability should be very low or negligible. For the MCE,
Figure 5 shows a median probability of collapse of the WWM model exceeding 10%, with some archetypes
exceeding 20%, which does not represent satisfactory seismic performance according to the FEMA P-695
(ATC, 2009). In contrast, the median probability for buildings detailed with ductile bars and WWM ranged
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between 8% to 12%, with a median close to 10%. Notably, the results dispersion for either intensity level is
greater for the WWM models.
Figure 6. Exceedance Probability vs. Mean Aspect ratio for the state of Collapse for: a) DE and b) MCE in
the buildings of database.
7. Final remarks
The results obtained in the development of the National Seismic Risk Model allowed for the calculation of
seismic fragility functions for thin-walled reinforced concrete buildings representative of the construction
practices in Colombia. The buildings range from 5 to 30 levels and exhibit variability in their structural
configuration, particularly in terms of the wall index, average aspect ratio of the walls, and reinforcement
detailing type. The following findings are drawn from the results obtained:
The use of welded wire mesh results in collapse probabilities that exceed the limits recommended by the
FEMA P695 for the Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCE).
The use of walls with an aspect ratio greater than 10 to control the seismic behavior of buildings increases
the collapse probability up to unacceptable levels.
Increasing the wall index helps in controlling and reducing the collapse exceedance probability.
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Figure 7. Exceedance Probability of collapse vs. Wall index: a) Design Earthquake (DE) and b)
Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCE).
8. Acknowledgements
The results presented in this work were obtained during the execution of the national research project titled:
“National Seismic Risk Model for Colombia” (MNRS in Spanish), led by the Colombian Geological Service
(SGC) and the Colombian Association of Engineering Faculties (ACOFI). The authors wish to express their
gratitude to all the institutions and universities that have actively participated in this project. A special
acknowledgment to all the students from Colombian universities who actively participated in the project, to the
professional associations in Colombia, and to the consulting companies that provided the structural plans to
consolidate the TLRCW database.
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