Month NA Forecast(NA) Lower Confidence Bound(NA) Upper Confidence Bound(NA)

Jan-14 6000
Feb-14 7950
Mar-14 8100
Apr-14 9050
May-14 9900
Jun-14 10200
Jul-14 8730 12000
Aug-14 8140
Sep-14 6480
Oct-14 5990 10000
Nov-14 5320
Dec-14 4640
8000
Jan-15 5980
Feb-15 7620
Mar-15 8370 6000
Apr-15 8830
May-15 9310
Jun-15 10230 4000
Jul-15 8720
Aug-15 7710
Sep-15 6320 2000
Oct-15 5840
Nov-15 4960
0
Dec-15 4350 Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 Ju
Jan-16 6020
Feb-16 7920 NA Forecast(NA) Lower Confidence Bound(NA) Upper Confidence Bo
Mar-16 8430
Apr-16 9040
May-16 9820
Jun-16 10370
Jul-16 9050
Aug-16 7620
Sep-16 6420
Oct-16 5890
Nov-16 5340
Dec-16 4430
Jan-17 6100
Feb-17 8010
Mar-17 8430
Apr-17 9110
May-17 9730
Jun-17 10120
Jul-17 9080
Aug-17 7820
Sep-17 6540
Oct-17 6010
Nov-17 5270
Dec-17 5380
Jan-18 6210
Feb-18 8030
Mar-18 8540
Apr-18 9120
May-18 9570
Jun-18 10230
Jul-18 9580
Aug-18 7680
Sep-18 6870
Oct-18 5930
Nov-18 5260
Dec-18 4830 4830 4830.00 4830.00
Jan-19 6232.09600125 5825.10 6639.09
Feb-19 8058.03165433 7638.31 8477.75
Mar-19 8613.40985623 8181.24 9045.58
Apr-19 9199.96306163 8755.60 9644.32
May-19 9827.48482834 9371.16 10283.80
Jun-19 10526.225001 10058.16 10994.29
Jul-19 9093.93681373 8614.33 9573.55
Aug-19 8080.39431343 7589.42 8571.36
Sep-19 6661.98372248 6159.83 7164.14
Oct-19 6160.87078551 5647.68 6674.06
Nov-19 5463.94800994 4939.88 5988.01
Dec-19 4737.18813464 4202.38 5271.99
Jan-20 6283.60759261 5738.12 6829.10
Feb-20 8109.54324568 7553.57 8665.52
Mar-20 8664.92144758 8098.58 9231.26
Apr-20 9251.47465298 8674.88 9828.07
May-20 9878.99641969 9292.25 10465.74
Jun-20 10577.7365924 9980.94 11174.53
Jul-20 9145.44840508 8538.69 9752.20
Aug-20 8131.90590478 7515.28 8748.53
Sep-20 6713.49531384 6087.08 7339.91
Oct-20 6212.38237686 5576.26 6848.50
Nov-20 5515.45960129 4869.71 6161.21
Dec-20 4788.69972599 4133.39 5444.01
t-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Nov-19 Apr-20 Sep-20

nd(NA) Upper Confidence Bound(NA)

Month SA Forecast(SA) Lower Confidence Bound(SA) Upper Confidence Bound(SA)
Jan-14 200
Feb-14 220
Mar-14 250
Apr-14 280
May-14 310
Jun-14 300
Jul-14 280 500
Aug-14 250
450
Sep-14 230
Oct-14 220 400
Nov-14 210
Dec-14 180 350
Jan-15 210
300
Feb-15 240
Mar-15 250 250
Apr-15 290
May-15 330 200
Jun-15 310
150
Jul-15 290
Aug-15 270 100
Sep-15 250
Oct-15 250 50
Nov-15 240
0
Dec-15 210 Jan-14 May-14Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18Sep-18 Jan-19 May-
Jan-16 220
Feb-16 250 SA Forecast(SA) Lower Confidence Bound(SA) Upper Confidence Bou
Mar-16 270
Apr-16 310
May-16 360
Jun-16 330
Jul-16 310
Aug-16 300
Sep-16 280
Oct-16 270
Nov-16 260
Dec-16 230
Jan-17 250
Feb-17 270
Mar-17 280
Apr-17 320
May-17 380
Jun-17 360
Jul-17 320
Aug-17 310
Sep-17 300
Oct-17 290
Nov-17 270
Dec-17 260
Jan-18 270
Feb-18 280
Mar-18 300
Apr-18 340
May-18 390
Jun-18 380
Jul-18 350
Aug-18 340
Sep-18 320
Oct-18 310
Nov-18 300
Dec-18 290 290 290.00 290.00
Jan-19 294.5656294 280.08 309.05
Feb-19 321.038487161 306.10 335.98
Mar-19 334.091957267 318.71 349.47
Apr-19 373.909351092 358.10 389.72
May-19 423.857717447 407.62 440.10
Jun-19 399.556603656 382.90 416.21
Jul-19 379.628441924 362.56 396.70
Aug-19 360.035259438 342.56 377.51
Sep-19 340.564472933 322.69 358.43
Oct-19 334.270529 316.01 352.53
Nov-19 324.089925477 305.44 342.74
Dec-19 293.961524834 274.93 312.99
Jan-20 314.171391688 294.76 333.58
Feb-20 340.644249448 320.86 360.43
Mar-20 353.697719554 333.54 373.85
Apr-20 393.515113379 373.00 414.03
May-20 443.463479735 422.58 464.34
Jun-20 419.162365943 397.92 440.40
Jul-20 399.234204211 377.64 420.83
Aug-20 379.641021725 357.70 401.58
Sep-20 360.17023522 337.88 382.46
Oct-20 353.876291288 331.24 376.51
Nov-20 343.695687764 320.72 366.68
Dec-20 313.567287121 290.25 336.89
17 Jan-18 May-18Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20Sep-20

und(SA) Upper Confidence Bound(SA)

Month Europe Forecast(Europe) Lower Confidence Bound(Europe)
Jan-14 720
Feb-14 990
Mar-14 1320
Apr-14 1650
May-14 1590
Jun-14 1620
Jul-14 1590 1800
Aug-14 1560
1600
Sep-14 1590
Oct-14 1320 1400
Nov-14 990
Dec-14 660 1200
Jan-15 690 1000
Feb-15 1020
Mar-15 1290 800
Apr-15 1620 600
May-15 1650
Jun-15 1590 400
Jul-15 1560
200
Aug-15 1530
Sep-15 1590 0
Oct-15 1260
-200
Nov-15 900 Jan-14 May-14Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18Sep-18 Jan-19 May
Dec-15 660
Jan-16 570 Europe Forecast(Europe)
Feb-16 840 Lower Confidence Bound(Europe) Upper Confidence Bound(Europe)
Mar-16 1110
Apr-16 1500
May-16 1440
Jun-16 1410
Jul-16 1440
Aug-16 1410
Sep-16 1350
Oct-16 1080
Nov-16 840
Dec-16 510
Jan-17 480
Feb-17 750
Mar-17 1140
Apr-17 1410
May-17 1340
Jun-17 1360
Jul-17 1410
Aug-17 1490
Sep-17 1310
Oct-17 980
Nov-17 770
Dec-17 430
Jan-18 400
Feb-18 750
Mar-18 970
Apr-18 1310
May-18 1260
Jun-18 1240
Jul-18 1300
Aug-18 1250
Sep-18 1210
Oct-18 970
Nov-18 650
Dec-18 300 300 300.00
Jan-19 293.926693209408 206.21
Feb-19 581.61529849599 483.46
Mar-19 893.450196974853 785.84
Apr-19 1225.00247769024 1108.66
May-19 1190.94197621661 1066.45
Jun-19 1165.33659442573 1033.17
Jul-19 1155.57811808221 1016.13
Aug-19 1125.44869613623 979.06
Sep-19 1134.84358341706 981.79
Oct-19 845.340621122696 685.89
Nov-19 537.118326196404 371.48
Dec-19 238.242995352358 66.63
Jan-20 207.192175734266 29.75
Feb-20 494.880781020848 311.80
Mar-20 806.715679499711 618.15
Apr-20 1138.2679602151 944.34
May-20 1104.20745874147 905.05
Jun-20 1078.60207695059 874.33
Jul-20 1068.84360060707 859.56
Aug-20 1038.71417866109 824.52
Sep-20 1048.10906594192 829.09
Oct-20 758.606103647555 534.85
Nov-20 450.383808721262 221.97
Dec-20 151.508477877216 -81.48
 Upper Confidence Bound(Europe)

y-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20Sep-20

Forecast(Europe)
fidence Bound(Europe) Upper Confidence Bound(Europe)
 300.00
381.64
679.77
1001.06
1341.34
1315.43
1297.50
1295.02
1271.84
1287.89
1004.79
702.75
409.86
384.63
677.96
995.28
1332.19
1303.36
1282.88
1278.13
1252.91
1267.13
982.36
678.79
384.50
Month Pacific Forecast(Pacific) Lower Confidence Bound(Pacific)
Jan-14 100
Feb-14 120
Mar-14 110
Apr-14 120
May-14 130
Jun-14 120
Jul-14 140 350
Aug-14 130
Sep-14 130 300
Oct-14 120
Nov-14 130
Dec-14 140 250
Jan-15 140
Feb-15 150 200
Mar-15 140
Apr-15 150 150
May-15 130
Jun-15 140
Jul-15 150 100
Aug-15 140
Sep-15 150 50
Oct-15 160
Nov-15 150
0
Dec-15 150 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18
Jan-16 160
Feb-16 150 Pacific Forecast(Pacific) Lower Confidence Bound(Pacific) Upper Confidence
Mar-16 160
Apr-16 170
May-16 160
Jun-16 170
Jul-16 160
Aug-16 170
Sep-16 180
Oct-16 180
Nov-16 190
Dec-16 180
Jan-17 200
Feb-17 190
Mar-17 200
Apr-17 210
May-17 190
Jun-17 200
Jul-17 200
Aug-17 210
Sep-17 220
Oct-17 210
Nov-17 220
Dec-17 230
Jan-18 200
Feb-18 190
Mar-18 210
Apr-18 220
May-18 200
Jun-18 210
Jul-18 230
Aug-18 220
Sep-18 220
Oct-18 230
Nov-18 240
Dec-18 230 230 230.00
Jan-19 235.598835440048 215.78
Feb-19 237.731152588011 217.81
Mar-19 239.863469735975 219.84
Apr-19 241.995786883939 221.87
May-19 244.128104031902 223.90
Jun-19 246.260421179866 225.92
Jul-19 248.39273832783 227.95
Aug-19 250.525055475793 229.97
Sep-19 252.657372623757 231.99
Oct-19 254.789689771721 234.01
Nov-19 256.922006919684 236.03
Dec-19 259.054324067648 238.04
Jan-20 261.186641215612 240.06
Feb-20 263.318958363575 242.07
Mar-20 265.451275511539 244.09
 Upper Confidence Bound(Pacific)

16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20

fic) Lower Confidence Bound(Pacific) Upper Confidence Bound(Pacific)

230.00
255.42
257.65
259.89
262.12
264.36
266.60
268.84
271.08
273.33
275.57
277.82
280.06
282.31
284.56
286.82
Month China Forecast(China) Lower Confidence Bound(China)
Jan-14 0
Feb-14 0
Mar-14 0
Apr-14 0
May-14 0
Jun-14 0
Jul-14 0 30
Aug-14 0
Sep-14 0 25
Oct-14 0
Nov-14 0 20
Dec-14 0
Jan-15 0 15
Feb-15 0
Mar-15 0 10
Apr-15 0
May-15 0 5
Jun-15 0
Jul-15 0 0
Aug-15 0
Sep-15 0 -5
Oct-15 0
Nov-15 0
-10
Dec-15 0 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18
Jan-16 0
Feb-16 0 China Forecast(China) Lower Confidence Bound(China) Upper Confidence
Mar-16 0
Apr-16 0
May-16 0
Jun-16 0
Jul-16 0
Aug-16 0
Sep-16 0
Oct-16 0
Nov-16 0
Dec-16 0
Jan-17 0
Feb-17 0
Mar-17 0
Apr-17 0
May-17 0
Jun-17 0
Jul-17 0
Aug-17 0
Sep-17 0
Oct-17 0
Nov-17 0
Dec-17 0
Jan-18 0
Feb-18 0
Mar-18 5
Apr-18 16
May-18 22
Jun-18 26
Jul-18 14
Aug-18 15
Sep-18 11
Oct-18 3
Nov-18 1
Dec-18 0 0 0.00
Jan-19 5.1790438080235 -5.20
Feb-19 5.2496731788652 -5.13
Mar-19 5.3203025497069 -5.06
Apr-19 5.3909319205487 -4.99
May-19 5.4615612913904 -4.92
Jun-19 5.5321906622321 -4.85
Jul-19 5.6028200330738 -4.78
Aug-19 5.6734494039156 -4.71
Sep-19 5.7440787747573 -4.64
Oct-19 5.814708145599 -4.57
Nov-19 5.8853375164407 -4.50
Dec-19 5.9559668872825 -4.43
Jan-20 6.0265962581242 -4.36
Feb-20 6.0972256289659 -4.29
Mar-20 6.1678549998077 -4.22
 Upper Confidence Bound(China)

n-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20

hina) Lower Confidence Bound(China) Upper Confidence Bound(China)

 0.00
15.56
15.63
15.70
15.77
15.84
15.91
15.98
16.05
16.12
16.20
16.27
16.34
16.41
16.48
16.55
Month World Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World)
Jan-14 7020
Feb-14 9280
Mar-14 9780
Apr-14 11100
May-14 11930
Jun-14 12240
Jul-14 10740
Aug-14 10080
Sep-14 8430
Oct-14 7680
Nov-14 6650
Dec-14 5620
Jan-15 7020
Feb-15 9030
Mar-15 10050
Apr-15 10890
May-15 11420
Jun-15 12270
Jul-15 10720
Aug-15 9650
Sep-15 8310
Oct-15 7510
Nov-15 6250 70000
Dec-15 5370
Jan-16 6970 60000
Feb-16 9160
Mar-16 9970 50000
Apr-16 11020
May-16 11780 40000
Jun-16 12280
Jul-16 10960 30000
Aug-16 9500
Sep-16 8230 20000
Oct-16 7420
Nov-16 6630
10000
Dec-16 5350
Jan-17 7030
0
Feb-17 9220
Mar-17 10050
-10000
Apr-17 11050 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 M
May-17 11640
Jun-17 12040 World Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World) Upp
Jul-17 11010
Aug-17 9830
Sep-17 8370
Oct-17 7490
Nov-17 6530
Dec-17 60300
Jan-18 7080
Feb-18 9250
Mar-18 10025
Apr-18 11006
May-18 11442
Jun-18 12086
Jul-18 11474
Aug-18 9505
Sep-18 8631
Oct-18 7443
Nov-18 6551
Dec-18 5650 5650 5650.00
Jan-19 11939.660808387 -1614.79
Feb-19 12033.5465197976 -1520.97
Mar-19 12127.4322312081 -1427.19
Apr-19 12221.3179426187 -1333.47
May-19 12315.2036540292 -1239.83
Jun-19 12409.0893654398 -1146.28
Jul-19 12502.9750768503 -1052.83
Aug-19 12596.8607882609 -959.49
Sep-19 12690.7464996714 -866.28
Oct-19 12784.632211082 -773.21
Nov-19 12878.5179224925 -680.30
Dec-19 12972.403633903 -587.56
Jan-20 13066.2893453136 -495.01
Feb-20 13160.1750567241 -402.64
Mar-20 13254.0607681347 -310.49
 Upper Confidence Bound(World) Statistic Value
Alpha 0.00
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 1.04
SMAPE 0.25
MAE 2,320.79
RMSE 3,067.74

-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20

Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World) Upper Confidence Bound(World)

 5650.00
25494.11
25588.06
25682.05
25776.11
25870.24
25964.46
26058.78
26153.21
26247.77
26342.48
26437.34
26532.37
26627.58
26722.99
26818.61
Month NA Forecast(NA) Lower Confidence Bound(NA) Upper Confidence Bound(NA)
Jan-14 570
Feb-14 611
Mar-14 630
Apr-14 684
May-14 650
Jun-14 600
Jul-14 512
Aug-14 500
Sep-14 478
Oct-14 455 4000
Nov-14 407
Dec-14 360 3500
Jan-15 571
Feb-15 650 3000
Mar-15 740
Apr-15 840 2500
May-15 830
Jun-15 760 2000
Jul-15 681
Aug-15 670 1500
Sep-15 640
Oct-15 620 1000
Nov-15 570
Dec-15 533 500
Jan-16 620
Feb-16 792 0
Mar-16 890 Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18
Apr-16 960
NA Forecast(NA) Lower Confidence Bound(NA)
May-16 1040
Jun-16 1032
Jul-16 1006
Aug-16 910
Sep-16 803
Oct-16 730
Nov-16 699
Dec-16 647
Jan-17 730
Feb-17 930
Mar-17 1160
Apr-17 1510
May-17 1650
Jun-17 1490
Jul-17 1460
Aug-17 1390
Sep-17 1360
Oct-17 1340
Nov-17 1240
Dec-17 1103
Jan-18 1250
Feb-18 1550
Mar-18 1820
Apr-18 2010
May-18 2230
Jun-18 2490
Jul-18 2440
Aug-18 2334
Sep-18 2190
Oct-18 2080
Nov-18 2050
Dec-18 2004 2004 2004.00 2004.00
Jan-19 1751.49969413 1479.68 2023.32
Feb-19 1869.02517176 1565.00 2173.05
Mar-19 1972.13384823 1638.89 2305.38
Apr-19 1962.83487732 1602.64 2323.03
May-19 1943.21438866 1557.84 2328.59
Jun-19 2096.61356877 1687.52 2505.70
Jul-19 2300.40387253 1868.81 2732.00
Aug-19 2240.91083695 1787.85 2693.97
Sep-19 2284.33318675 1810.70 2757.97
Oct-19 2396.65961571 1903.23 2890.09
Nov-19 2510.49402751 1997.96 3023.03
Dec-19 2539.07094014 2008.05 3070.09
Jan-20 2387.04457257 1838.09 2936.00
Feb-20 2134.54426669 1520.52 2748.57
Mar-20 2252.06974433 1622.35 2881.79
Apr-20 2355.1784208 1710.09 3000.27
May-20 2345.87944988 1685.72 3006.04
Jun-20 2326.25896123 1651.31 3001.21
Jul-20 2479.65814134 1790.18 3169.14
Aug-20 2683.4484451 1979.68 3387.21
Sep-20 2623.95540952 1906.14 3341.78
Oct-20 2667.37775932 1935.72 3399.03
Nov-20 2779.70418828 2034.42 3524.99
Dec-20 2893.53860008 2134.81 3652.26
Jan-21 2922.1155127 2150.14 3694.09
Feb-21 2770.08914513 1985.03 3555.15
 Statistic Value
Alpha 0.50
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.50
MASE 2.89
SMAPE 0.11
MAE 175.75
RMSE 206.04

Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Nov-19 Apr-20 Sep-20 Feb-21

Lower Confidence Bound(NA) Upper Confidence Bound(NA)

Month SA Forecast(SA) Lower Confidence Bound(SA) Upper Confidence Bound(SA)
Jan-14 250
Feb-14 270
Mar-14 260
Apr-14 270
May-14 280
Jun-14 270
Jul-14 264
Aug-14 280
Sep-14 290
Oct-14 280
1600
Nov-14 290
Dec-14 280 1400
Jan-15 320
Feb-15 350 1200
Mar-15 390
Apr-15 440 1000
May-15 470
Jun-15 490 800
Jul-15 481
Aug-15 460 600
Sep-15 460
400
Oct-15 440
Nov-15 436
200
Dec-15 420
Jan-16 510 0
Feb-16 590 Jan-14 May-14Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18Se
Mar-16 610
Apr-16 600 SA Forecast(SA) Lower Confidence Bound(SA) Up
May-16 620
Jun-16 640
Jul-16 590
Aug-16 600
Sep-16 670
Oct-16 630
Nov-16 710
Dec-16 570
Jan-17 650
Feb-17 680
Mar-17 724
Apr-17 730
May-17 760
Jun-17 800
Jul-17 840
Aug-17 830
Sep-17 820
Oct-17 810
Nov-17 827
Dec-17 750
Jan-18 780
Feb-18 805
Mar-18 830
Apr-18 890
May-18 930
Jun-18 980
Jul-18 1002
Aug-18 970
Sep-18 960
Oct-18 930
Nov-18 920
Dec-18 902 902 902.00 902.00
Jan-19 963.207190001 906.40 1020.01
Feb-19 1008.42987984 937.35 1079.51
Mar-19 1042.07100481 959.12 1125.03
Apr-19 1056.61890133 963.26 1149.98
May-19 1082.37628955 979.64 1185.12
Jun-19 1094.70612583 983.35 1206.06
Jul-19 1074.43918476 955.07 1193.81
Aug-19 1077.24618292 950.35 1204.14
Sep-19 1104.58920563 970.57 1238.61
Oct-19 1081.97376296 941.17 1222.78
Nov-19 1110.8377731 963.55 1258.13
Dec-19 1054.69084044 901.17 1208.21
Jan-20 1122.70258911 963.17 1282.24
Feb-20 1167.92527895 1002.59 1333.26
Mar-20 1201.56640392 1030.62 1372.52
Apr-20 1216.11430043 1039.71 1392.52
May-20 1241.87168866 1060.17 1423.57
Jun-20 1254.20152494 1067.33 1441.07
Jul-20 1233.93458387 1042.03 1425.84
Aug-20 1236.74158202 1039.92 1433.57
Sep-20 1264.08460473 1062.44 1465.73
Oct-20 1241.46916207 1035.11 1447.82
Nov-20 1270.33317221 1059.36 1481.31
Dec-20 1214.18623955 998.68 1429.69
 Statistic Value
Alpha 0.75
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 0.88
SMAPE 0.03
MAE 25.85
RMSE 31.16

an-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20Sep-20

wer Confidence Bound(SA) Upper Confidence Bound(SA)

Month Europe Forecast(Europe) Lower Confidence Bound(Europe)
Jan-14 560
Feb-14 600
Mar-14 680
Apr-14 650
May-14 580
Jun-14 590
Jul-14 760
Aug-14 645
1200
Sep-14 650
Oct-14 670 1000
Nov-14 888
Dec-14 850 800
Jan-15 620
Feb-15 760 600
Mar-15 742
400
Apr-15 780
May-15 690 200
Jun-15 721
Jul-15 680 0
Aug-15 711
Sep-15 695 -200
Oct-15 650
-400
Nov-15 680
Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-
Dec-15 657
Jan-16 610 Europe Forec
Feb-16 680 Lower Confidence Bound(Europe) Upper
Mar-16 730
Apr-16 820
May-16 810
Jun-16 807
Jul-16 760
Aug-16 720
Sep-16 660
Oct-16 630
Nov-16 603
Dec-16 570
Jan-17 500
Feb-17 590
Mar-17 620
Apr-17 730
May-17 740
Jun-17 720
Jul-17 670
Aug-17 610
Sep-17 599
Oct-17 560
Nov-17 550
Dec-17 520
Jan-18 480
Feb-18 523
Mar-18 560
Apr-18 570
May-18 590
Jun-18 600
Jul-18 580
Aug-18 570
Sep-18 550
Oct-18 530
Nov-18 517
Dec-18 490 490 490.00
Jan-19 492.565725291379 359.98
Feb-19 424.384257273739 258.49
Mar-19 411.250843956007 217.63
Apr-19 377.940331720778 160.04
May-19 381.006062989853 141.21
Jun-19 361.106221130093 101.20
Jul-19 387.395765831169 108.79
Aug-19 342.56822757001 46.39
Sep-19 330.936194480033 18.12
Oct-19 318.260969794168 -10.38
Nov-19 462.645494288095 118.86
Dec-19 468.652458678592 110.33
Jan-20 398.510026554661 26.18
Feb-20 466.046908830644 80.19
Mar-20 455.217878527225 56.25
Apr-20 449.312172306987 37.59
May-20 381.130704289347 -42.97
Jun-20 367.997290971615 -68.15
Jul-20 334.686778736386 -113.22
Aug-20 337.752510005461 -121.64
Sep-20 317.852668145701 -152.78
Oct-20 344.142212846777 -137.49
Nov-20 299.314674585618 -193.10
Dec-20 287.682641495641 -215.32
Jan-21 275.007416809776 -238.38
Feb-21 419.391941303703 -104.20
Mar-21 425.3989056942 -108.24
Apr-21 355.256473570269 -188.26
May-21 422.793355846253 -130.45
Jun-21 411.964325542834 -150.86
 Upper Confidence Bound(Europe) Statistic Value
Alpha 0.75
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 1.01
SMAPE 0.10
MAE 58.59
RMSE 72.84

4 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Nov-19 Apr-20 Sep-20 Feb-21

Europe Forecast(Europe)
Lower Confidence Bound(Europe) Upper Confidence Bound(Europe)
490.00
625.15
590.28
604.87
595.84
620.80
621.01
666.01
638.75
643.75
646.90
806.43
826.97
770.84
851.91
854.19
861.04
805.23
804.15
782.60
797.15
788.49
825.78
791.73
790.68
788.39
942.99
959.03
898.77
976.03
974.79
Month Pacific Forecast(Pacific) Lower Confidence Bound(Pacific)
Jan-14 212
Feb-14 230
Mar-14 240
Apr-14 263
May-14 269
Jun-14 280
Jul-14 290
Aug-14 270
Sep-14 263 400
Oct-14 258
Nov-14 240 350
Dec-14 230
Jan-15 250 300
Feb-15 275
Mar-15 270 250
Apr-15 280
May-15 290 200
Jun-15 300
Jul-15 312 150
Aug-15 305
Sep-15 290 100
Oct-15 260
Nov-15 250 50
Dec-15 240
Jan-16 250 0
Feb-16 250 Jan-14 May-14Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May
Mar-16 260
Pacific Forecast(Pacific) Lower Confidence Bound(Pacific)
Apr-16 270
May-16 290
Jun-16 310
Jul-16 340
Aug-16 320
Sep-16 313
Oct-16 290
Nov-16 280
Dec-16 260
Jan-17 287
Feb-17 290
Mar-17 300
Apr-17 310
May-17 330
Jun-17 340
Jul-17 350
Aug-17 341
Sep-17 330
Oct-17 320
Nov-17 300
Dec-17 290
Jan-18 200
Feb-18 210
Mar-18 220
Apr-18 230
May-18 253
Jun-18 270
Jul-18 280
Aug-18 250
Sep-18 230
Oct-18 220
Nov-18 190
Dec-18 190 190 190.00
Jan-19 182.844658861933 141.52
Feb-19 213.635450152729 167.41
Mar-19 234.266219162903 183.60
Apr-19 248.831376166073 194.07
May-19 265.148212048612 206.56
Jun-19 268.774583803959 206.58
Jul-19 271.884911899386 206.26
Aug-19 245.432159677912 176.55
Sep-19 229.358457015158 157.35
Oct-19 214.031787212516 139.01
Nov-19 195.178694902389 117.25
Dec-19 189.861989441512 109.12
Jan-20 182.706648303444 96.04
Feb-20 213.49743959424 124.28
Mar-20 234.128208604415 142.42
Apr-20 248.693365607584 154.54
May-20 265.010201490124 168.48
Jun-20 268.63657324547 169.77
Jul-20 271.746901340897 170.59
Aug-20 245.294149119423 141.88
Sep-20 229.220446456669 123.60
Oct-20 213.893776654028 106.10
Nov-20 195.0406843439 85.11
Dec-20 189.723978883023 77.69
 Upper Confidence Bound(Pacific) Statistic Value
Alpha 0.50
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.25
MASE 1.34
SMAPE 0.07
MAE 18.39
RMSE 30.58

ay-15Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20Sep-20

Forecast(Pacific) Lower Confidence Bound(Pacific) Upper Confidence Bound(Pacific)

190.00
224.17
259.86
284.93
303.60
323.74
330.97
337.51
314.32
301.37
289.05
273.11
270.60
269.37
302.72
325.84
342.84
361.54
367.51
372.91
348.70
334.84
321.69
304.97
301.76
Month China Forecast(China) Lower Confidence Bound(China)
Jan-14 0
Feb-14 0
Mar-14 0
Apr-14 0
May-14 0
Jun-14 0
250
Jul-14 0
Aug-14 0
Sep-14 0
Oct-14 0 200
Nov-14 0
Dec-14 0
Jan-15 0 150
Feb-15 0
Mar-15 0
Apr-15 0
100
May-15 0
Jun-15 0
Jul-15 0
Aug-15 0 50
Sep-15 0
Oct-15 0
Nov-15 0 0
Dec-15 0 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 J
Jan-16 10
China Forecast(China) Lower Confidence Bound(China)
Feb-16 12
Mar-16 20
Apr-16 22
May-16 20
Jun-16 24
Jul-16 20
Aug-16 31
Sep-16 30
Oct-16 37
Nov-16 32
Dec-16 33
Jan-17 35
Feb-17 50
Mar-17 63
Apr-17 68
May-17 70
Jun-17 82
Jul-17 80
Aug-17 90
Sep-17 100
Oct-17 102
Nov-17 110
Dec-17 114
Jan-18 111
Feb-18 121
Mar-18 123
Apr-18 120
May-18 130
Jun-18 136
Jul-18 134
Aug-18 132
Sep-18 137
Oct-18 130
Nov-18 139
Dec-18 131 131 131.00
Jan-19 134.77661542616 125.06
Feb-19 137.52971996839 124.44
Mar-19 140.28282451063 124.53
Apr-19 143.03592905286 125.00
May-19 145.78903359509 125.73
Jun-19 148.54213813733 126.64
Jul-19 151.29524267956 127.69
Aug-19 154.0483472218 128.85
Sep-19 156.80145176403 130.10
Oct-19 159.55455630627 131.43
Nov-19 162.3076608485 132.82
Dec-19 165.06076539074 134.28
Jan-20 167.81386993297 135.78
Feb-20 170.56697447521 137.32
Mar-20 173.32007901744 138.91
 Upper Confidence Bound(China)

15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20

ina Forecast(China) Lower Confidence Bound(China) Upper Confidence Bound(China)

131.00
144.50
150.61
156.03
161.07
165.85
170.45
174.90
179.25
183.50
187.68
191.79
195.85
199.85
203.81
207.73
Month World Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World)
Jan-14 1592
Feb-14 1711
Mar-14 1810
Apr-14 1867
May-14 1779
Jun-14 1740
Jul-14 1826
Aug-14 1695
Sep-14 1681
Oct-14 1663
Nov-14 1825
Dec-14 1720
Jan-15 1761
Feb-15 2035
Mar-15 2142 6000
Apr-15 2340
May-15 2280
Jun-15 2271 5000
Jul-15 2154
Aug-15 2146
4000
Sep-15 2085
Oct-15 1970
Nov-15 1936 3000
Dec-15 1850
Jan-16 2000
Feb-16 2324 2000
Mar-16 2510
Apr-16 2672
May-16 2780 1000

Jun-16 2813
Jul-16 2716
0
Aug-16 2581 Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-1
Sep-16 2476
Oct-16 2317 World Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World) Upper C
Nov-16 2324
Dec-16 2080
Jan-17 2202
Feb-17 2540
Mar-17 2867
Apr-17 3348
May-17 3550
Jun-17 3432
Jul-17 3400
Aug-17 3261
Sep-17 3209
Oct-17 3132
Nov-17 3027
Dec-17 2777
Jan-18 2821
Feb-18 3209
Mar-18 3553
Apr-18 3820
May-18 4133
Jun-18 4476
Jul-18 4436
Aug-18 4256
Sep-18 4067
Oct-18 3890
Nov-18 3816
Dec-18 3717 3717 3717.00
Jan-19 3569.04302226945 3127.52
Feb-19 3483.24094198672 3041.72
Mar-19 3588.86024799113 3147.33
Apr-19 3749.46807887657 3307.93
May-19 3990.1318032801 3548.59
Jun-19 4279.81295382714 3838.26
Jul-19 4453.61250411419 4012.05
Aug-19 4556.34140191315 4114.76
Sep-19 4529.53455407751 4087.93
Oct-19 4444.60993408213 4002.98
Nov-19 4331.16938750308 3889.50
Dec-19 4300.2095947018 3858.51
Jan-20 4180.13784698357 3738.39
Feb-20 4100.19022997534 3654.14
Mar-20 4014.3881496926 3568.28
Apr-20 4120.00745569702 3673.84
May-20 4280.61528658246 3834.38
Jun-20 4521.27901098599 4074.96
Jul-20 4810.96016153303 4364.55
Aug-20 4984.75971182007 4538.26
Sep-20 5087.48860961904 4640.88
Oct-20 5060.6817617834 4613.96
Nov-20 4975.75714178802 4528.91
Dec-20 4862.31659520897 4415.33
Jan-21 4831.35680240769 4384.22
Feb-21 4711.28505468946 4263.99
 Upper Confidence Bound(World) Statistic Value
Alpha 0.00
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.13
MASE 2.05
SMAPE 0.06
MAE 219.27
RMSE 269.97

5 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Nov-19 Apr-20 Sep-20 Feb-21

recast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World) Upper Confidence Bound(World)

3717.00
4010.57
3924.77
4030.39
4191.00
4431.67
4721.37
4895.18
4997.93
4971.14
4886.24
4772.84
4741.91
4621.88
4546.24
4460.49
4566.18
4726.86
4967.60
5257.37
5431.26
5534.10
5507.41
5422.61
5309.30
5278.49
5158.58
Month NA Forecast(NA) Lower Confidence Bound(NA) Upper Confidence Bound(NA)
Jan-14 60000
Feb-14 77184
Mar-14 77885
Apr-14 86190
May-14 96117
Jun-14 97143
Jul-14 84757
Aug-14 79804
Sep-14 64800
Oct-14 59307
Nov-14 52157
Dec-14 45049
Jan-15 58627
Feb-15 76200
Mar-15 82871 140000
Apr-15 84904
May-15 93100
120000
Jun-15 93000
Jul-15 83048
Aug-15 74854 100000
Sep-15 60769
Oct-15 55619 80000
Nov-15 48155
Dec-15 42647
60000
Jan-16 57885
Feb-16 77647
Mar-16 81845 40000
Apr-16 86095
May-16 91776 20000
Jun-16 100680
Jul-16 86190
0
Aug-16 71887
Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Au
Sep-16 60000
Oct-16 55566 NA Forecast(NA) Lower Confidence Bound(NA) Up
Nov-16 50857
Dec-16 42596
Jan-17 58095
Feb-17 75566
Mar-17 80286
Apr-17 85140
May-17 90093
Jun-17 95472
Jul-17 87308
Aug-17 74476
Sep-17 61698
Oct-17 57238
Nov-17 50673
Dec-17 51238
Jan-18 59712
Feb-18 77961
Mar-18 83725
Apr-18 90297
May-18 91143
Jun-18 99320
Jul-18 93922
Aug-18 73143
Sep-18 66699
Oct-18 56476
Nov-18 51068
Dec-18 46893 46893 46893 46893
Jan-19 61487 55617 67357
Feb-19 79876 73311 86442
Mar-19 85055 77859 92252
Apr-19 88820 81041 96599
May-19 95095 86773 103418
Jun-19 100580 91745 109414
Jul-19 88352 79032 97673
Aug-19 79202 69418 88986
Sep-19 65537 55309 75765
Oct-19 60469 49813 71125
Nov-19 54165 43097 65233
Dec-19 47176 35709 58644
Jan-20 61770 49914 73626
Feb-20 80159 67926 92392
Mar-20 85338 72739 97938
Apr-20 89103 76146 102060
May-20 95378 82072 108685
Jun-20 100863 87215 114511
Jul-20 88635 74652 102618
Aug-20 79485 65174 93795
Sep-20 65820 51187 80453
Oct-20 60752 45803 75701
Nov-20 54448 39188 69707
Dec-20 47459 31894 63024
 Statistic Value
Alpha 0.50
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 0.31
SMAPE 0.04
MAE 2,679.98
RMSE 3,679.48

c-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Nov-19 Apr-20 Sep-20

er Confidence Bound(NA) Upper Confidence Bound(NA)

Month SA Forecast(SA) Lower Confidence Bound(SA) Upper Confidence Bound(SA)
Jan-14 571
Feb-14 611
Mar-14 658
Apr-14 778
May-14 886
Jun-14 882
Jul-14 848
Aug-14 735
Sep-14 657
Oct-14 595
Nov-14 553
Dec-14 462
Jan-15 553
Feb-15 615
Mar-15 658
Apr-15 784 1000
May-15 846
Jun-15 838 900
Jul-15 763 800
Aug-15 694
Sep-15 625 700
Oct-15 610 600
Nov-15 571
Dec-15 512 500
Jan-16 537 400
Feb-16 595
Mar-16 659 300
Apr-16 756 200
May-16 878
Jun-16 825 100
Jul-16 756 0
Aug-16 714 Jan-14 May-14Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 M
Sep-16 651
Oct-16 643 SA Forecast(SA) Lower Confidence Bound(SA)
Nov-16 619
Dec-16 548
Jan-17 581
Feb-17 614
Mar-17 622
Apr-17 727
May-17 826
Jun-17 783
Jul-17 681
Aug-17 646
Sep-17 625
Oct-17 617
Nov-17 587
Dec-17 591
Jan-18 563
Feb-18 571
Mar-18 625
Apr-18 723
May-18 848
Jun-18 792
Jul-18 745
Aug-18 739
Sep-18 667
Oct-18 660
Nov-18 625
Dec-18 608 608 608 608
Jan-19 560 493 628
Feb-19 577 509 645
Mar-19 623 555 690
Apr-19 723 655 791
May-19 842 774 910
Jun-19 789 722 857
Jul-19 731 663 799
Aug-19 717 650 785
Sep-19 655 587 723
Oct-19 648 580 715
Nov-19 614 547 682
Dec-19 598 530 666
Jan-20 559 474 644
Feb-20 576 491 661
Mar-20 621 536 707
Apr-20 722 637 807
May-20 841 756 926
Jun-20 788 703 873
Jul-20 730 645 815
Aug-20 716 631 801
Sep-20 654 569 739
Oct-20 646 561 732
Nov-20 613 528 698
Dec-20 597 511 682
 Statistic Value
Alpha 0.00
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.75
MASE 0.55
SMAPE 0.05
MAE 33.91
RMSE 40.47

Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20Sep-20

Lower Confidence Bound(SA) Upper Confidence Bound(SA)

Month Eur Forecast(Eur) Lower Confidence Bound(Eur) Upper Confidence Bound(Eur)
Jan-14 13091
Feb-14 17679
Mar-14 22759
Apr-14 27966
May-14 27895
Jun-14 30566
Jul-14 29444
Aug-14 28364
Sep-14 28393
Oct-14 24444
Nov-14 18000
Dec-14 12453
Jan-15 12778
Feb-15 18214
Mar-15 23889
Apr-15 29455
May-15 29464 35000
Jun-15 27414
Jul-15 27368 30000
Aug-15 27321
Sep-15 29444
25000
Oct-15 23774
Nov-15 17308
Dec-15 12941 20000
Jan-16 10962
Feb-16 15273 15000
Mar-16 20556
Apr-16 26786
10000
May-16 24828
Jun-16 24737
Jul-16 24828 5000
Aug-16 25179
Sep-16 24545 0
Oct-16 19286 Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-1
Nov-16 15273
Eur Forecast(Eur) Lower Confidence Bound(Eur) Uppe
Dec-16 9107
Jan-17 8571
Feb-17 13158
Mar-17 19655
Apr-17 25179
May-17 23103
Jun-17 24286
Jul-17 24737
Aug-17 26607
Sep-17 22982
Oct-17 16897
Nov-17 13750
Dec-17 7818
Jan-18 7547
Feb-18 13889
Mar-18 18302
Apr-18 25192
May-18 24706
Jun-18 25306
Jul-18 27083
Aug-18 26042
Sep-18 26304
Oct-18 22558
Nov-18 14773
Dec-18 6977 6977 6977 6977
Jan-19 6228 3236 9220
Feb-19 10955 7939 13971
Mar-19 16794 13754 19835
Apr-19 22594 19529 25659
May-19 21254 18165 24344
Jun-19 21760 18646 24874
Jul-19 21444 18304 24583
Aug-19 21212 18048 24377
Sep-19 21738 18548 24928
Oct-19 16781 13566 19996
Nov-19 11177 7937 14418
Dec-19 5836 2570 9103
Jan-20 5087 1794 8380
Feb-20 9814 6495 13134
Mar-20 15654 12308 18999
Apr-20 21454 18082 24826
May-20 20114 16715 23513
Jun-20 20620 17194 24045
Jul-20 20303 16851 23756
Aug-20 20072 16592 23552
Sep-20 20598 17091 24105
Oct-20 15640 12106 19175
Nov-20 10037 6475 13599
Dec-20 4696 1106 8286
 Statistic Value
Alpha 0.13
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 0.49
SMAPE 0.09
MAE 1,533.22
RMSE 2,090.94

May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Nov-19 Apr-20 Sep-20

onfidence Bound(Eur) Upper Confidence Bound(Eur)

Month Pac Forecast(Pac) Lower Confidence Bound(Pac) Upper Confidence Bound(Pac)
Jan-14 1045
Feb-14 1111
Mar-14 1068
Apr-14 1237
May-14 1313
Jun-14 1176
Jul-14 1359
Aug-14 1238
Sep-14 1215
Oct-14 1154
Nov-14 1262
Dec-14 1386
Jan-15 1443
Feb-15 1515
Mar-15 1373 3000
Apr-15 1442
May-15 1215
Jun-15 1333 2500
Jul-15 1415
Aug-15 1296
Sep-15 1402 2000

Oct-15 1468
Nov-15 1351
1500
Dec-15 1389
Jan-16 1509
Feb-16 1402 1000
Mar-16 1524
Apr-16 1574
May-16 1468 500
Jun-16 1560
Jul-16 1441
0
Aug-16 1545
Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 M
Sep-16 1667
Oct-16 1698 Pac Forecast(Pac) Lower Confidence Bound(Pac) Upper
Nov-16 1810
Dec-16 1731
Jan-17 1887
Feb-17 1845
Mar-17 1923
Apr-17 1981
May-17 1810
Jun-17 1942
Jul-17 1961
Aug-17 2000
Sep-17 2075
Oct-17 2019
Nov-17 2095
Dec-17 2150
Jan-18 1852
Feb-18 1743
Mar-18 1892
Apr-18 2037
May-18 1887
Jun-18 1944
Jul-18 2170
Aug-18 2037
Sep-18 2018
Oct-18 2072
Nov-18 2182
Dec-18 2035 2035 2035 2035
Jan-19 2192 1963 2421
Feb-19 2211 1983 2440
Mar-19 2231 2002 2460
Apr-19 2250 2022 2479
May-19 2270 2041 2499
Jun-19 2289 2061 2518
Jul-19 2309 2080 2538
Aug-19 2328 2100 2557
Sep-19 2348 2119 2577
Oct-19 2367 2139 2596
Nov-19 2387 2158 2616
Dec-19 2406 2178 2635
Jan-20 2426 2197 2655
Feb-20 2445 2217 2674
Mar-20 2465 2236 2694
 Statistic Value
Alpha 0.00
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 1.05
SMAPE 0.05
MAE 99.81
RMSE 113.89

Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20

fidence Bound(Pac) Upper Confidence Bound(Pac)

Month China Forecast(China) Lower Confidence Bound(China)
Jan-14 0
Feb-14 0
Mar-14 0
Apr-14 0
May-14 0
Jun-14 0
Jul-14 0
Aug-14 0
Sep-14 0
Oct-14 0
Nov-14 0
Dec-14 0
Jan-15 0
Feb-15 0
Mar-15 0
Apr-15 0
May-15 0
Jun-15 0
1600
Jul-15 0
Aug-15 0 1400
Sep-15 0
Oct-15 0 1200
Nov-15 0
Dec-15 0 1000
Jan-16 0
Feb-16 0 800
Mar-16 0
600
Apr-16 0
May-16 0
400
Jun-16 0
Jul-16 0 200
Aug-16 0
Sep-16 0 0
Oct-16 0
Nov-16 0 -200
Dec-16 0 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May

Jan-17 0 China Forecast(China) Lower Confidence Bound(China) Upper C

Feb-17 0
Mar-17 0
Apr-17 125
May-17 142
Jun-17 226
Jul-17 230
Aug-17 122
Sep-17 56
Oct-17 10
Nov-17 0
Dec-17 0
Jan-18 0
Feb-18 0
Mar-18 0
Apr-18 236
May-18 542
Jun-18 875
Jul-18 1386
Aug-18 1193
Sep-18 421
Oct-18 56
Nov-18 0
Dec-18 0 0 0
Jan-19 368 -98
Feb-19 375 -95
Mar-19 382 -92
Apr-19 389 -89
May-19 395 -86
Jun-19 402 -83
Jul-19 409 -79
Aug-19 416 -76
Sep-19 423 -73
Oct-19 430 -71
Nov-19 437 -68
Dec-19 444 -65
Jan-20 451 -62
Feb-20 458 -59
Mar-20 465 -56
 Upper Confidence Bound(China)

Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20

Forecast(China) Lower Confidence Bound(China) Upper Confidence Bound(China)

 0
834
844
855
866
877
887
898
909
920
931
942
953
964
975
986
Month World Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World)
Jan-14 74662
Feb-14 96585
Mar-14 102369
Apr-14 116171
May-14 126210
Jun-14 129768
Jul-14 116409 160000
Aug-14 110141
Sep-14 95065 140000
Oct-14 85500
Nov-14 71972 120000
Dec-14 59349
Jan-15 73401 100000
Feb-15 96545
Mar-15 108791 80000
Apr-15 116584
May-15 124625 60000
Jun-15 122585
Jul-15 112594 40000
Aug-15 104164
Sep-15 92241 20000
Oct-15 81470
Nov-15 67386
0
Dec-15 57489 Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 J
Jan-16 70892
Feb-16 94917 World Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World) Upper Confidence
Mar-16 104583
Apr-16 115211
May-16 118949
Jun-16 127801
Jul-16 113216
Aug-16 99325
Sep-16 86863
Oct-16 77193
Nov-16 68558
Dec-16 53982
Jan-17 69135
Feb-17 91182
Mar-17 102486
Apr-17 113027
May-17 115832
Jun-17 122482
Jul-17 114686
Aug-17 103729
Sep-17 87381
Oct-17 76771
Nov-17 67105
Dec-17 61797
Jan-18 69673
Feb-18 94165
Mar-18 104544
Apr-18 118250
May-18 118583
Jun-18 127363
Jul-18 123919
Aug-18 101961
Sep-18 95688
Oct-18 81766
Nov-18 68648
Dec-18 56510 56510 56510
Jan-19 70514 64032
Feb-19 93653 86403
Mar-19 104725 96779
Apr-19 114456 105867
May-19 119312 110123
Jun-19 125378 115623
Jul-19 112824 102532
Aug-19 103326 92522
Sep-19 90185 78891
Oct-19 80147 68381
Nov-19 68244 56023
Dec-19 55870 43207
Jan-20 69874 56782
Feb-20 93013 79505
Mar-20 104085 90173
Apr-20 113816 99509
May-20 118672 103979
Jun-20 124738 109668
Jul-20 112184 96744
Aug-20 102686 86884
Sep-20 89545 73388
Oct-20 79507 63001
Nov-20 67604 50755
Dec-20 55230 38043
 Upper Confidence Bound(World) Statistic Value
Alpha 0.50
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 0.25
SMAPE 0.03
MAE 2,879.78
RMSE 4,005.17

-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Nov-19 Apr-20 Sep-20

orld) Lower Confidence Bound(World) Upper Confidence Bound(World)

 56510
76996
100902
112671
123045
128501
135133
123115
114129
101479
91913
80466
68532
82966
106520
117997
128123
133365
139808
127623
118488
105702
96014
84454
72417
Month NA Forecast(NA) Lower Confidence Bound(NA) Upper Confidence Bound(NA)
Jan-14 8143
Feb-14 8592
Mar-14 8630
Apr-14 8947
May-14 8442
Jun-14 7500
Jul-14 6145
Aug-14 5882
Sep-14 5595
Oct-14 5233
Nov-14 4494
Dec-14 3913
Jan-15 5938
Feb-15 6633 25000
Mar-15 7327
Apr-15 8077
May-15 7830
20000
Jun-15 7103
Jul-15 6239
Aug-15 6036
Sep-15 5664 15000
Oct-15 5345
Nov-15 4831
Dec-15 4454 10000
Jan-16 5299
Feb-16 6529
Mar-16 7120 5000
Apr-16 7619
May-16 8387
Jun-16 8110
0
Jul-16 7752
Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan
Aug-16 6894
Sep-16 6015 NA Forecast(NA) Lower Confidence Bound(NA) Upper Co
Oct-16 5368
Nov-16 4964
Dec-16 4444
Jan-17 5000
Feb-17 6284
Mar-17 7785
Apr-17 9934
May-17 10645
Jun-17 9491
Jul-17 9182
Aug-17 8528
Sep-17 8293
Oct-17 8221
Nov-17 7470
Dec-17 6509
Jan-18 7267
Feb-18 8807
Mar-18 10168
Apr-18 11044
May-18 12120
Jun-18 13459
Jul-18 13048
Aug-18 12275
Sep-18 11347
Oct-18 10667
Nov-18 10459
Dec-18 10082 10082 10082 10082
Jan-19 9872 8275 11468
Feb-19 10012 8016 12009
Mar-19 9787 7457 12117
Apr-19 9704 7083 12326
May-19 10724 7839 13609
Jun-19 12517 9390 15644
Jul-19 13415 10064 16767
Aug-19 13054 9491 16617
Sep-19 13438 9675 17201
Oct-19 13475 9522 17428
Nov-19 12905 8769 17040
Dec-19 12054 7744 16364
Jan-20 11098 6620 15576
Feb-20 10888 6127 15649
Mar-20 11028 6114 15943
Apr-20 10803 5739 15867
May-20 10720 5511 15930
Jun-20 11740 6388 17092
Jul-20 13533 8042 19023
Aug-20 14431 8805 20057
Sep-20 14070 8312 19829
Oct-20 14454 8565 20343
Nov-20 14491 8474 20507
Dec-20 13921 7779 20062
Jan-21 13070 6805 19335
Feb-21 12114 5728 18500
 Statistic Value
Alpha 0.75
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.25
MASE 1.58
SMAPE 0.11
MAE 971.84
RMSE 1,132.01

y-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Nov-19 Apr-20 Sep-20 Feb-21

fidence Bound(NA) Upper Confidence Bound(NA)

Month SA Forecast(SA) Lower Confidence Bound(SA) Upper Confidence Bound(SA)
Jan-14 984
Feb-14 1051
Mar-14 1016
Apr-14 1027
May-14 1057
Jun-14 1019
Jul-14 977
Aug-14 1057
Sep-14 1086
Oct-14 1045
Nov-14 1078
Dec-14 1029
Jan-15 1172
Feb-15 1273
Mar-15 1423
Apr-15 1612
6000
May-15 1728
Jun-15 1815
Jul-15 1776 5000
Aug-15 1685
Sep-15 1679
Oct-15 1618 4000
Nov-15 1564
Dec-15 1522
Jan-16 1835 3000
Feb-16 2115
Mar-16 2202
2000
Apr-16 2151
May-16 2214
Jun-16 2278 1000
Jul-16 2100
Aug-16 2128
Sep-16 2367 0
Oct-16 2211 Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-1
Nov-16 2483
SA Forecast(SA) Lower Confidence Bound(SA) Upper
Dec-16 1986
Jan-17 2257
Feb-17 2353
Mar-17 2457
Apr-17 2517
May-17 2612
Jun-17 2749
Jul-17 2887
Aug-17 2833
Sep-17 2789
Oct-17 2765
Nov-17 2746
Dec-17 2534
Jan-18 2635
Feb-18 2703
Mar-18 2795
Apr-18 2997
May-18 3131
Jun-18 3311
Jul-18 3390
Aug-18 3277
Sep-18 3232
Oct-18 3131
Nov-18 3087
Dec-18 3030 3030 3030 3030
Jan-19 3239 3033 3445
Feb-19 3393 3136 3651
Mar-19 3504 3204 3805
Apr-19 3568 3229 3906
May-19 3657 3285 4029
Jun-19 3690 3286 4093
Jul-19 3608 3175 4040
Aug-19 3617 3157 4077
Sep-19 3708 3222 4193
Oct-19 3624 3113 4134
Nov-19 3708 3175 4242
Dec-19 3510 2954 4066
Jan-20 3745 3167 4323
Feb-20 3900 3301 4499
Mar-20 4011 3391 4630
Apr-20 4074 3435 4713
May-20 4163 3505 4821
Jun-20 4196 3519 4873
Jul-20 4114 3419 4809
Aug-20 4123 3410 4836
Sep-20 4214 3483 4944
Oct-20 4130 3382 4877
Nov-20 4214 3450 4979
Dec-20 4016 3236 4797
 Statistic Value
Alpha 0.75
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 0.85
SMAPE 0.03
MAE 91.47
RMSE 111.63

6 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Nov-19 Apr-20 Sep-20

Confidence Bound(SA) Upper Confidence Bound(SA)

Month Eur Forecast(Eur) Lower Confidence Bound(Eur) Upper Confidence Bound(Eur)
Jan-14 5091
Feb-14 5310
Mar-14 6071
Apr-14 5856
May-14 5273
Jun-14 5315
Jul-14 7170
Aug-14 5926
Sep-14 6075
Oct-14 6321 12000
Nov-14 8381
Dec-14 7944
10000
Jan-15 5688
Feb-15 7037
Mar-15 6981 8000
Apr-15 7500
May-15 6571 6000
Jun-15 6990
Jul-15 6667
4000
Aug-15 6762
Sep-15 6635
Oct-15 6311 2000
Nov-15 6476
Dec-15 6250 0
Jan-16 5922
Feb-16 6667
-2000
Mar-16 7228
Jan-14 Jun-14 Nov-14 Apr-15 Sep-15 Feb-16 Jul-16 Dec-16 May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18
Apr-16 8200
May-16 7941 Eur Forecast(Eur) Lower Confidence Bound(Eur) Up
Jun-16 7921
Jul-16 7677
Aug-16 7200
Sep-16 6735
Oct-16 6495
Nov-16 6061
Dec-16 5816
Jan-17 5051
Feb-17 6082
Mar-17 6327
Apr-17 7604
May-17 7789
Jun-17 7347
Jul-17 6979
Aug-17 6489
Sep-17 6316
Oct-17 5833
Nov-17 5789
Dec-17 5591
Jan-18 5106
Feb-18 5474
Mar-18 6022
Apr-18 6064
May-18 6344
Jun-18 6593
Jul-18 6304
Aug-18 6064
Sep-18 5789
Oct-18 5699
Nov-18 5604
Dec-18 5444 5444 5444 5444
Jan-19 5629 4278 6979
Feb-19 4893 3203 6583
Mar-19 4881 2910 6853
Apr-19 4625 2406 6845
May-19 4468 2026 6911
Jun-19 4324 1677 6971
Jul-19 4702 1865 7540
Aug-19 4143 1127 7160
Sep-19 4077 891 7263
Oct-19 4041 694 7389
Nov-19 5448 1946 8949
Dec-19 5512 1862 9161
Jan-20 4866 1074 8658
Feb-20 5441 1511 9371
Mar-20 5396 1332 9459
Apr-20 5516 1322 9709
May-20 4780 461 9099
Jun-20 4769 326 9211
Jul-20 4512 -50 9074
Aug-20 4355 -323 9034
Sep-20 4211 -582 9004
Oct-20 4589 -316 9495
Nov-20 4030 -985 9046
Dec-20 3965 -1158 9088
Jan-21 3929 -1300 9157
Feb-21 5335 2 10667
Mar-21 5399 -36 10834
Apr-21 4753 -783 10289
May-21 5328 -307 10963
Jun-21 5283 -449 11015
 Statistic Value
Alpha 0.75
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 1.17
SMAPE 0.11
MAE 655.36
RMSE 784.13

May-17 Oct-17 Mar-18 Aug-18 Jan-19 Jun-19 Nov-19 Apr-20 Sep-20 Feb-21

r Confidence Bound(Eur) Upper Confidence Bound(Eur)

Month Pac Forecast(Pac) Lower Confidence Bound(Pac) Upper Confidence Bound(Pac)
Jan-14 987
Feb-14 1090
Mar-14 1127
Apr-14 1209
May-14 1221
Jun-14 1327
Jul-14 1324
Aug-14 1268
Sep-14 1209
Oct-14 1168
Nov-14 1127
Dec-14 1085
Jan-15 1185
Feb-15 1286
Mar-15 1286
2000
Apr-15 1346
May-15 1388 1800
Jun-15 1449
Jul-15 1490 1600
Aug-15 1449
1400
Sep-15 1394
Oct-15 1256 1200
Nov-15 1214
Dec-15 1171 1000
Jan-16 1208
800
Feb-16 1214
Mar-16 1256 600
Apr-16 1311
May-16 1415 400

Jun-16 1520 200

Jul-16 1675
Aug-16 1584 0
Sep-16 1527 Jan-14 May-14Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18Sep-
Oct-16 1422
Pac Forecast(Pac) Lower Confidence Bound(Pac) Uppe
Nov-16 1366
Dec-16 1262
Jan-17 1373
Feb-17 1436
Mar-17 1478
Apr-17 1512
May-17 1642
Jun-17 1667
Jul-17 1733
Aug-17 1700
Sep-17 1642
Oct-17 1576
Nov-17 1493
Dec-17 1450
Jan-18 1010
Feb-18 1045
Mar-18 1106
Apr-18 1150
May-18 1244
Jun-18 1357
Jul-18 1421
Aug-18 1263
Sep-18 1173
Oct-18 1128
Nov-18 974
Dec-18 979 979 979 979
Jan-19 1059 859 1258
Feb-19 1114 891 1337
Mar-19 1142 897 1386
Apr-19 1189 925 1454
May-19 1281 998 1564
Jun-19 1266 966 1567
Jul-19 1330 1012 1647
Aug-19 1267 934 1600
Sep-19 1210 862 1558
Oct-19 1115 753 1478
Nov-19 1067 690 1443
Dec-19 1003 612 1393
Jan-20 1082 678 1485
Feb-20 1137 721 1554
Mar-20 1165 736 1594
Apr-20 1213 772 1654
May-20 1304 852 1757
Jun-20 1290 825 1754
Jul-20 1353 877 1829
Aug-20 1290 803 1777
Sep-20 1233 735 1731
Oct-20 1139 630 1647
Nov-20 1090 571 1609
Dec-20 1026 496 1556
 Statistic Value
Alpha 0.50
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 1.43
SMAPE 0.08
MAE 91.15
RMSE 146.68

May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20Sep-20

nfidence Bound(Pac) Upper Confidence Bound(Pac)

Month China Forecast(China) Lower Confidence Bound(China)
Jan-14 278
Feb-14 283
Mar-14 285
Apr-14 288
May-14 286
Jun-14 287
Jul-14 289
Aug-14 290
Sep-14 293
Oct-14 295
Nov-14 298
Dec-14 301
Jan-15 306
Feb-15 302
Mar-15 303
4500
Apr-15 307
May-15 309
4000
Jun-15 312
Jul-15 315 3500
Aug-15 318
Sep-15 321 3000
Oct-15 315
Nov-15 318 2500
Dec-15 320
2000
Jan-16 333
Feb-16 313
1500
Mar-16 606
Apr-16 571 1000
May-16 556
Jun-16 526 500
Jul-16 513
Aug-16 769 0
Sep-16 750 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Ja
Oct-16 732 China Forecast(China) Lower Confidence Bound(China)
Nov-16 714
Dec-16 698
Jan-17 714
Feb-17 1063
Mar-17 1264
Apr-17 1333
May-17 1556
Jun-17 1739
Jul-17 1702
Aug-17 1915
Sep-17 2083
Oct-17 2128
Nov-17 2292
Dec-17 2245
Jan-18 2292
Feb-18 2449
Mar-18 2400
Apr-18 2353
May-18 2600
Jun-18 2653
Jul-18 2600
Aug-18 2549
Sep-18 2453
Oct-18 2517
Nov-18 2541
Dec-18 2453 2453 2453
Jan-19 2500 2296
Feb-19 2548 2258
Mar-19 2595 2241
Apr-19 2643 2233
May-19 2691 2232
Jun-19 2738 2236
Jul-19 2786 2243
Aug-19 2833 2253
Sep-19 2881 2265
Oct-19 2928 2279
Nov-19 2976 2294
Dec-19 3023 2311
Jan-20 3071 2329
Feb-20 3118 2348
Mar-20 3166 2369
 Upper Confidence Bound(China) Statistic Value
Alpha 1.00
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 1.84
SMAPE 0.04
MAE 99.21
RMSE 117.79

5 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16 Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17 Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20

a Forecast(China) Lower Confidence Bound(China) Upper Confidence Bound(China)

2453
2705
2837
2950
3053
3149
3240
3328
3413
3496
3578
3657
3735
3812
3888
3963
Month World Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World)
Jan-14 15483
Feb-14 16325
Mar-14 17129
Apr-14 17327
May-14 16278
Jun-14 15448
Jul-14 15905
Aug-14 14422
Sep-14 14258
Oct-14 14061
Nov-14 15378
Dec-14 14272
Jan-15 14289
Feb-15 16530
Mar-15 17320
Apr-15 18842
May-15 17826
Jun-15 17669
Jul-15 16487
Aug-15 16250
Sep-15 18692
Oct-15 14824
Nov-15 14402
Dec-15 13716
Jan-16 14597
Feb-16 16836
Mar-16 18412
Apr-16 19852 40000

May-16 20513
Jun-16 20355 35000
Jul-16 19716
Aug-16 18575
30000
Sep-16 17394
Oct-16 16226
Nov-16 15587 25000
Dec-16 14207
Jan-17 14394 20000
Feb-17 17218
Mar-17 19310
15000
Apr-17 22901
May-17 24244
Jun-17 22993 10000
Jul-17 22483
Aug-17 21465 5000
Sep-17 21123
Oct-17 20523
0
Nov-17 19789 Jan-14 May-14Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 M

World Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World)

 5000

0
Jan-14 May-14Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 M
Dec-17 18329
Jan-18 18381
Feb-18 20477 World Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World)
Mar-18 22489
Apr-18 23607
May-18 25439
Jun-18 27374
Jul-18 26764
Aug-18 25428
Sep-18 23995
Oct-18 23142
Nov-18 22666
Dec-18 21989 21989 21989
Jan-19 22098 19475
Feb-19 24461 21756
Mar-19 25934 23149
Apr-19 28066 25202
May-19 28376 25435
Jun-19 27320 24303
Jul-19 26977 23886
Aug-19 26111 22946
Sep-19 26527 23290
Oct-19 24797 21489
Nov-19 24820 21442
Dec-19 23679 20232
Jan-20 23962 20446
Feb-20 26325 22742
Mar-20 27798 24148
Apr-20 29930 26214
May-20 30240 26458
Jun-20 29184 25338
Jul-20 28842 24931
Aug-20 27975 24000
Sep-20 28391 24354
Oct-20 26661 22561
Nov-20 26684 22522
Dec-20 25543 21320
 Upper Confidence Bound(World) Statistic Value
Alpha 0.25
Beta 0.00
Gamma 0.00
MASE 0.92
SMAPE 0.04
MAE 950.03
RMSE 1,285.70

15 May-15Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20Sep-20

rld Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World) Upper Confidence Bound(World)

15 May-15Sep-15 Jan-16 May-16Sep-16 Jan-17 May-17Sep-17 Jan-18 May-18Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20Sep-20

rld Forecast(World) Lower Confidence Bound(World) Upper Confidence Bound(World)

21989
24721
27166
28719
30930
31317
30337
30069
29275
29763
28104
28198
27126
27478
29909
31448
33646
34022
33031
32752
31949
32428
30761
30846
29767