SEBARAN PELUANG KONTINU (CONTINUOUS PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS)

(distribusi peluang kontinu)

1. Sebaran Peluang Uniform/Seragam
2. Sebaran Peluang Gamma
3. Sebaran Peluang Exponential
4. Sebaran Peluang Chi Square → (Aplikasinya di Ch. 8.5)
5. Sebaran Peluang Beta
6. Sebaran Peluang Lognormal
7. Sebaran Peluang Weibull
8. Sebaran Peluang Normal (N) (Ch. 6.2, 6.3, 6.4, dan 6.5)
9. Sebaran Peluang Normal Baku (Z) (Ch. 6.2, 6.3, 6.4, dan 6.5)
10. Sebaran Peluang t (Ch. 8.6)
11. Sebaran Peluang F (Ch. 8.7)

(Mohon pelajari sendiri chapters: 8.5, 8.6, dan 8.7)

1. Sebaran Peluang Uniform/Seragam

Contoh:
Suppose that a large conference room at a certain company can be reserved for no
more than 4 hours. Both long and short conferences occur quite often. In fact, it
can be assumed that the length X of a conference has a uniform distribution on
the interval [0, 4].

4 4
1 1 1 1
P( X  3) =  dx = x = (4 − 3) =
3
4 4 3 4 4
Untuk contoh 1 berapa mean (  ) dan ragamnya (  )?
2

Kita harus ingat tentang nilai harapan:

4 4

x x  f ( x)dx = 0 x  4 dx = 4  2  x 0 = 8 ( 4 − 0 ) = 8 = 2
1 1 1 2 1 2 2 16
=
4
1 1 
4 4
1 1 4
 =  ( x −  )  f ( x)dx =  ( x − 2)  dx =   ( x 2 − 4 x + 4)dx =   x3 − x 2 + 4 x 
2 2 2

x 0
4 4 0 4 3 2 0
1 1 4   16  16 − 12 4 1
=   43 − 42 + 4.4  =  − 4  = = =1
4 3 2  3  3 3 3

4
Simpangan bakunya adalah:  =  = = 1,333333333  1,1547
2

Dengan rumus ini:

A+ B 0+ 4 ( B − A)2 (4 − 0) 2 16 4 1
= = =2 dan  2 = = = = =1
2 2 12 12 12 3 3
2. Sebaran Peluang Gamma

Fungsi gamma:

Contoh:
3. Sebaran Peluang Eksponensial

Contoh 1:
Suppose that a system contains a certain type of component whose time, in years,
to failure is given by T . The random variable T is modeled nicely by the exponential
distribution with mean time to failure β = 5. If 5 of these components are installed
in different systems, what is the probability that at least 2 are still functioning at
the end of 8 years?
0,201985…

Contoh 2:
Suppose that telephone calls arriving at a particular switchboard follow a Poisson
process with an average of 5 calls coming per minute. What is the probability that
up to a minute will elapse by the time 2 calls have come in to the switchboard?
Contoh 3:
In a biomedical study with rats, a dose-response investigation is used to determine
the effect of the dose of a toxicant on their survival time. The toxicant is one that
is frequently discharged into the atmosphere from jet fuel. For a certain dose of
the toxicant, the study determines that the survival time, in weeks, has a gamma
distribution with α = 5 and β = 10. What is the probability that a rat survives
no longer than 60 weeks?
4. Sebaran Peluang Chi-square

5. Sebaran Peluang Beta

6. Sebaran Peluang Lognormal

Contoh:
Lihat: 6.22 dan 6.23 halaman 202-203
7. Sebaran Peluang Weibull