Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Contents
2 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
About IBISWorld
IBISWorld specializes in industry research with coverage on thousands of global industries. Our comprehensive
data and in-depth analysis help businesses of all types gain quick and actionable insights on industries around
the world. Busy professionals can spend less time researching and preparing for meetings, and more time
focused on making strategic business decisions that benefit you,your company and your clients. We offer
research on industries in the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Germany, the UK, Ireland, China and Mexico,
as well as industries that are truly global in nature.
3 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Covid-19
Coronavirus IBISWorld's analysts constantly monitor the industry impacts of current events in
real-time – here is an update of how this industry is likely to be impacted as a result
Impact Update of the global COVID-19 pandemic:
· The method in which operators in the Real Estate and Rental and Leasing sector
conduct their business has been disrupted by the outbreak of COVID-19
(coronavirus). Due to mandated social distancing and the limitations imposed on
gathering size, many showings and open house events have been canceled. If
sector operators cannot rent inventory, sector revenue is expected to decline.
Note: The content in this report is currently being updated to reflect the trends
outlined above.
4 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
5 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Supply Chain
SIMILAR INDUSTRIES
Real Estate Investment Apartment Rental in the US Real Estate Appraisal in the Truck Rental in the US
Trusts in the US US
None
6 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Industry at a Glance
Key Statistics Key External Drivers % = 2015-2020 Annual Growth
$1.0tr 2.8%
Per capita disposable income
2.2%
Value of residential construction
Revenue
-1.3% 3.1%
Annual Growth Annual Growth Annual Growth Yield on 10-year Treasury note Homeownership rate
2.0% 0.6%
Industry Structure
NEGATIVE IMPACT
3m Capital Intensity Industry Assistance
Businesses
High Low
Annual Growth Annual Growth Annual Growth
Barriers to Entry
2015-2020 2020-2025 2015-2025
Low
2.6% 1.7%
Key Trends
STRENGTHS
High Profit vs. Sector Average
WEAKNESSES
Low Revenue per Employee
High Capital Requirements
High Customer Class Concentration
High Product/Service Concentration
OPPORTUNITIES
High Revenue Growth (2015-2020)
High Revenue Growth (2020-2025)
High Performance Drivers
THREATS
Low Revenue Growth (2005-2020)
Low Outlier Growth
8 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Executive Over the five years to 2020, the Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
Summary sector in the United States has performed well, with sector revenue
increasing an annualized 2.0% to reach $1.0 trillion, which includes
an expected decline of 1.8% in 2020 alone amid softening rents.
Additionally, this subsector's performance has been aided by an increase in housing
starts, which have increased an annualized 2.3% during the period. Performance in
the lessors of real estate industry group has also been supported by falling
vacancy, but also stymied by a slight uptick in homeownership, likely a
consequence of record low interest rates.
Over the five years to 2025, sector performance is expected to weaken, with sector
revenue rising at a decelerated, annualized 0.6% to reach just under $1.1 trillion by
2025. Sector revenue is expected to slow mainly due to a reversal of current real
estate market conditions. Rent growth is expected to soften, as vacancy is
expected to rise and the homeownership rate is anticipated to increase an, which
will serve to weaken demand for the lessors of real estate industry group, and
subsequently the Apartment Rental industry (IBISWorld report 53111). Overall,
sector performance will be dictated by how employment and price growth are
affected by the outbreak of coronavirus, depending on the level of foreclosure and
bankruptcy exhibited over the next few years as a result of the coronavirus
outbreak.
9 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Industry Performance
Homeownership rate
The homeownership rate demonstrates the share of consumers who own homes.
As homeownership rises, demand for rental housing is expected to fall, weakening
industry performance. Conversely, as homeownership falls, demand for rental
housing will rise, boosting the industry's performance. Homeownership rates are
expected to rise in 2020, posing a potential threat to the industry.
10 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
11 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
groups and rising residential construction activity, the Real Estate and Rental and
Leasing sector is expected to post an annualized 2.0% increase in revenue to reach
$1.0 trillion, which includes an expected decline of 1.8% in 2020 alone as demand
and rents weaken.
This has created market distortions which help to explain the rapid rise in the real
commercial and residential estate subsegment of this sector over the past 10
years. In fact, according to Bloomberg, in 2016, the Federal Reserve warned “[real
estate] appear[s] increasingly vulnerable to negative shocks, as…prices have
continued to outpace rental income.” To be clear, the residential and commercial
real estate leasing subsegment of this sector has been overheating, posturing itself
for a deceleration, due to a looming affordability crisis, despite strong results
currently exhibited. However, the coronavirus outbreak has served to invert these
results, putting further financial stress on landlords. In fact, according to CNN, rents
have fallen in some metro-areas between the 10.0% and 20.0% range in the first half
of 2020, which has muted industry performance, with high-end and luxury units
expected to take the largest hit. This is of particular concern for intuitional investors
or private property owners who rent out real estate via platforms such as Airbnb,
since they will be hit with a lower volume of rental transactions as well falling rental
income for the units they can manage to rent.
Notably, it must be considered how much real growth the sector has exhibited, and
how much growth can be considered nominal, and thus a consequence of inflation
and market distortions. Due to rent growth outpacing wage growth, it is clear that
economic fundamentals underpinning sector growth are not in sync. With nominal
home values rising faster than their real value and the buying power of real wages,
causing the wedge between real and nominal value to grow, more and more
consumers are boxed out of affordable markets. This has been further aggravated
via rising unemployment as a result of the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak.
Although declining rents for luxury units during the first half of 2020 may serve to
ease this constraint, so many individuals out of work and unable to pay rent make it
unlikely that rents will soften to the point of affordability in an undersupplied
middle-market, since cash-strapped renters will be seeking something that meets
their current income levels.
This has been further exacerbated by the presence of record low interest and
mortgage rates, which has incentivized the rapid purchasing of properties to rent on
borrowed funds, which increases the financial risk and leverage of operating in the
sector. So long as rental payments from tenants were coming in, landlords and
property developers could keep ahead of their debt payments with current
operating revenue. However, with the outbreak of coronavirus and millions of US
12 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
citizens and businesses out of work and forcibly shut down, potentially unable to
meet their rental and other financial obligations, the sector is headed for deflation
at best, or a financial crisis at worst. Moreover, with legally mandated forbearances
for 180 days giving unemployed renters some relief, cash flows for landlords have
all but halted, pinching them between lack of current operating revenue and the
need to service debt obligations. Moreover, this has been further exacerbated by
weakening rents in June 2020, which has increased the financial burden on
landlords, further stressing the operating environment. According to the most
recent Q3 Special Report authored by ATTOM Data Solutions, at least 15% of
mortgagees were underwater in Q2 of 2020, in 37 of the nation's top 50 most
distressed housing markets, with 13% of national mortgages being underwater.
Overall, according to the report “foreclosures will be concentrated in markets where
there is a dual trigger – for example high unemployment rates and homeowners
who are underwater on their loans.” Lastly ATTOM projects that the United States
will exhibit anywhere between 225,000 and 600,000 foreclosures through the end of
2021, which spells a problem for the industry since foreclosed homes return no
rent.
Overall, this has started the clock for the sector, and it is now a race against time to
for unemployed renters to recover lost wages and get back to work to make their
rent and mortgage payments, with some states and institutions requiring a lump
sum payment of lost rent at the end of the forbearance period, which will shift the
debt burden onto already cash-strapped renters. Overall, there is a reckoning
coming due for the sector once the forbearance period ends. Undoubtedly, the Real
Estate and Rental and Leasing sector has not undergone such turmoil since the
subprime mortgage crisis and much about future sector performance remains
uncertain.
With the outbreak of coronavirus, it is abundantly clear that the sector is headed for
a downturn of some degree. Amid the mandated social distancing and
telecommuting of nonessential workforce, a massive slowdown in domestic and
international travel, declines in consumer spending and consumer confidence,
companies such as WeWork and private listers renting residential property via
13 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
14 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
15 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Industry Outlook
Outlook Over the five years to 2025, the Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
sector is expected to decelerate, largely as a result of expected
slowdowns in the Real Estate subsector caused by increases in the
rental vacancy rate and the homeownership rate.
Demand for equipment and
automotive leasing and rentals is
expected to support the sector amid
a weakening of Real Estate
subsector, as low auto rates and
currently low fuel prices are
expected to stimulate auto leases,
once consumers begin to recover
income and begin to travel and
spend again. However, it is important
to consider how long the adversity of
the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak
will hang around, disrupting
fundamental wage growth due to
such high slack in current labor
markets, which could cause the
sector to slide further due to the fact
that income levels for some
consumers may not have recovered to the point where they plan to rent property. As
a result, the sector is expected to post marginal growth, with revenue rising a
meager, annualized 0.6% to just under $1.1 trillion by 2025.
Sector profitability is expected to take a dip over the next five years as weak
conditions persist, potentially aggravated by the coronavirus outbreak. Furthermore,
along these lines, increases in industry participation are expected to slow, along
with increases in employment. Due to overall weakness, the number of sector
operators is expected to increase at a decelerated annualized rate of 1.7% to reach
3.6 million companies, while the number of industry employees is expected rise a
meager annualized 1.0% to reach 5.5 million workers.
16 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Effects of COVID-19
However, it should also be noted that this could potentially be an opportunity for
those who have balance sheets in stronger repair. Consumers who retain their jobs
during the downturn are likely to be spending less on discretionary items and saving
more in case the economy should take a greater turn for the worse. Overall, a
devaluation of home prices and a reduction in rents, in combination with record low
interest and mortgage rates, could entice some new entrants into the industry,
using the downturn as a buying opportunity for new property to rent out. However,
17 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Over the five years to 2025, the Rental and Leasing subsector is
expected to recover somewhat after a miserable 2020.
Companies such as the Hertz Corporation (Hertz), Avis Budget Group Inc. and
United Rentals Inc. have all exhibited strong declines in revenue in 2020 alone due
to the deadfall in demand stemming from the coronavirus outbreak. Hertz has been
so negatively affected that they have been forced to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.
However, those companies that do survive the downturn are expected to come back
to life once consumers begin traveling, renting cars and as construction markets
roar back to life, increasing demand for rented construction equipment. Barring a
tough performance in 2020, this subsector may exhibit higher growth over the next
five years due to limitations in capital spending and a desire to keep balance sheets
lean. Therefore, as construction activity resumes, operators may be more inclined
to rent equipment due to the fact that cashflows may be unsteady and renting is a
way to keep operating costs down by lowering deprecation charges.
Industry Life Cycle The life cycle stage of this industry is Mature
18 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
The Real Estate and Rental and Leasing sector is considered to be in the mature
stage of its life cycle. Sector value added (SVA), which is a measure of the sector's
contribution to the overall economy, is expected to rise an annualized 1.0% over the
10 years to 2025. In contrast, US gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to rise
an annualized 1.9% during the same period. Although SVA is growing more slowly
than US GDP, this sector is still in the mature phase of its life cycle. First, SVA is a
proxy measure for GDP that is computed using sector profitability, depreciation and
wages as a share of revenue. During the period, the sector's share of wages over
revenue has remained essentially unchanged and while sector profitability has
weakened slightly, it is still quite stable. Additionally, sector depreciation remains
consistently between 16.0% and 20.0% of revenue. Due to the relative stability of
these components, it can be inferred that this sector is mature, with SVA growth
largely keeping pace with US GDP growth. It is expected that SVA is slowing during
the latter half of the period due to a hot residential real estate market, with vacancy
increasing in more recent years. Other indicators, such as the stable entry of
enterprises and establishments, well-defined end markets and limited opportunity
to technologically innovate serve to further demonstrate that this sector is in the
mature phase of its life cycle. During the next 10-year period, barring any
unforeseen market distortions, SVA growth should trend more in line with US GDP
growth as the sector normalizes. Moreover, this weakness in SVA also stems from
expected weakness in sector performance during the outlook period as a result of
the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak.
19 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Products and
Services
The Real Estate and Rental and Leasing sector is composed of three
subsectors, the Real Estate subsector, the Rental and Leasing
Services subsector and the Lessors of Nonfinancial Intangible
Assets (except copyrighted works) subsector.
20 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
The following is a description of each subsector, its products and the subsector's
disposition of total sector revenue.
Notably, this subsector is likely the most exposed to effects from the coronavirus
outbreak, since home showings, apartment showings and essentially all other
nonvirtual methods of showcasing living spaces have been stymied due to social
distancing mandates. In May 2020, some states are reopening their economies and
are imposing strict rules on showings, such as only two adults being present, and
no open house events. Realtors are only permitted to conduct showings by
appointment, and all parties present must adhere to social distancing rules and
wear a face covering. Overall, there might be some life breathed into the subsector
in the remainder of 2020 and early into 2021, should some consumers retain their
jobs and income. However, according to Zillow, home prices, and rents by
extension, are expected to decline nearly 5.0% between now and 2021, which will
put a damper on any rents or sales, although these trends could prevent a bigger
slide.
21 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
under the Finance and Insurance sector (NAICS 52). Essentially, any service
engagement that includes the rental of equipment and a specialized operator to use
the equipment (e.g. crop harvesting services) is excluded from this subsector. This
subsector's performance has been supported by activity in the Car Rental industry
(IBISWorld report 53211) and the Heavy Equipment Rental industry (IBISWorld
report 53241).
This subsector had a relatively strong performance in line with the sector as a
whole, fueled by rising levels of tourism and international and domestic travel.
However, with massive reductions in travel and fuel costs in 2020, this segment is
expected to take a hit. Moreover, major players such as Avis Budget Group Inc. are
anticipated to post stark declines in revenue for 2020 as a result of coronavirus,
with competitor the Hertz Corporation being forced to file for Chapter 11
bankruptcy.
Demand Demand for Real Estate and Rental and Leasing sector products and
Determinants services is first and foremost influenced by consumer affordability,
measured by per capita disposable income or median household
income.
As income levels rise, consumers will be better able to afford sector products and
services. Conversely, when incomes fall, consumers will be less able to afford
certain residential options, forcing them to relocate and weakening demand for
sector products and services.
Demand for sector residential real estate industry group is typically dependent on
levels of employment as well. If consumers do not have income, they cannot afford
to rent an apartment or a home. Particularly in 2020, with surging unemployment as
a result of the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak, it is expected the industry will
exhibit a deadfall in demand.
22 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
The homeownership rate will also determine demand for sector products and
services. Technically, conventional mortgages are treated as financial instruments
and are not included in this sector. However, rates of homeownership will indirectly
determine levels of demand for this industry. As more consumers seek to own their
homes, demand for residential rental services will decline.
Interest rates will also affect levels of demand for sector products and services. As
interest rates rise, depreciable assets such as automobiles and construction
equipment will become more expensive to lease or rent, due to increased capital
cost. However, record low interest rates in 2020 and mortgage rates could suppress
sector activity, if consumers have retained the necessary income to take advantage
of falling home prices and inexpensive financing options.
Moreover, levels of demand for products and services can be linked to levels of
construction activity. When construction activity and other industrial activities are
booming, demand for the rental and lease of heavy equipment and machinery will
rise. In 2020, construction activity has been slashed a result of coronavirus, which
has put a damper on demand from this particular subset.
Lastly, demand for sector products and services can be linked to time spent on
leisure and sports in addition to levels of domestic and international travel. As more
consumers travel domestically, demand for automobile rental and leasing will also
rise.
Major Markets
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing sector major markets can be broken down into
the household and consumer customer segment (65.5%) and the business and
industry segment (34.5%). The majority of sector revenue comes from consumer
and household markets, as they are often the ones most engaged in the Real Estate
subsector. Individuals, consumers and households will demand residential real
estate and the necessary services it requires. Business and industrial demand will
largely support the Rental and Leasing subsector. To control capital costs,
construction companies will often lease or rent equipment on an as needed basis.
Additionally, the rental or lease of automobiles or other consumer goods is often
conducted on an as needed basis as well, which limits the overall significance of
this subsector's contribution to total sector revenue. Overall, the Real Estate
23 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Overall, the outbreak of COVID-19 (coronavirus) is likely to push down the consumer
and household segment due to an overall suppression of income in addition to a
stark rise in unemployment. Overall, it is expected that the consumer segment will
take a dip in line with other industry segments, but this could reflect a proportional
increase in the share of business and industry customers. However, it is expected
that consumers and households will recover as unemployment recedes and
consumers are put back to work.
As a service-based sector with physical products being namely land and property,
the Real Estate and Rental and Leasing sector does not record international trade.
Ultimately, there is no exchange of goods across international borders. Information
concerning multinational companies or major players that have foreign operations
can be found in the Globalization section of this report.
24 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Business
Locations Business Concentration in the United States
WA
MT ME
ND
VT
OR MN
NH
ID WI
SD NY MA
WY MI CT RI
IA PA
NV NJ
NE
OH MD
IL IN DC DE
UT
CO WV VA
KS MO
CA KY
NC
AZ TN
OK
NM SC
AR
AL GA
MS
TX LA
FL
AK
HI
Percentage of Establishments (%)
0 5 10 15
The distribution of Real Estate and Rental and Leasing sector establishments most
closely follows the distribution of the nation's population. Often, sector
establishments will be concentrated in population-dense urban areas that are short
on space. Additionally, sector establishments tend to concentrate in these areas
due to high levels of construction activity, which increase demand for rental and
leasing services for construction and heavy machinery. The Southeast is the most
concentrated region of sector activity, accounting for an estimated 25.7% of sector
establishments. The next-most concentrated region of sector activity is the West,
which accounts for 20.5% of sector establishments. Following this, the Mid-Atlantic
region accounts for 15.4% of sector establishments. Lastly, the Great Lakes region
accounts for 10.7% and the Southwest accounts for 11.9%. No other region
accounts for more than 10.0% of sector establishments.
Notably, the COVID-19 (coronavirus) outbreak may serve to shift the composition of
industry operations to a degree. As more consumers flee crowded cities in the wake
of the coronavirus, it is likely that the concentration of industry landlords may shift
to more suburban areas, though cities are still expected to hold the dominant
position over the five years to 2025.
25 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
26 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Competitive Landscape
Market Share Concentration in this industry is Low
Concentration
The Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
sector exhibits a low level of market share
concentration, with the top four major
players accounting for less than a
combined 5.0% of sector revenue. Overall,
this sector has an extremely high number
of nonemploying establishments, which
account for 87.5% of total sector
establishments and 43.1% of sector
revenue. Therefore, it is difficult for anyone
one company or group of companies to
control a significant portion of the sector's
market share. Moreover, subsequent
industry groups also exhibit low levels of
market share concentration, firmly
cementing this sector in the low-level
concentration category. Due to this sector's inordinate proportion of nonemploying
enterprises, it is not expected that market share concentration will shift
dramatically over the five years to 2025. Moreover, it is unlikely that the outbreak of
COVID-19 (coronavirus) will serve to shift industry concentration either, due to the
fact that the industry is so diffuse.
Key Success IBISWorld identifies 250 Key Success Factors for a business. The most important for this
Factors industry are:
Having a good reputation: Operators in the sector must maintain cordial relations with
renters and leasers to ensure repeat business.
Having marketing expertise: Operators that do not pay attention to market signals can
miss out on opportunities by not adjusting rents accordingly.
Business expertise of operators: Lessors that are not savvy will miss out on potential
growth opportunities.
Ability to carry out credit checks on clients: Lessors must carry out their due diligence
to ensure potential clients can afford rental payments over the proceeding term of the lease.
Having a clear market position: Lessors with an identifiable market position or brand
name will be more widely recognized and trusted by consumers.
27 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Cost Structure
Benchmarks
Profit
28 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Wages
Purchases
Depreciation
29 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Marketing
Rent
Utilities
30 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Other Costs
The Real Estate and Rental and Leasing sector does not exhibit a
high degree of internal competition due to the fact that many
industry services will complement one another, whereby operators
across industry groups will not be overly concerned with the
performance of their sector counterparts.
For example, competition between operators that provide residential real estate are
not necessarily competing with operators that lease and rent automobiles or heavy
equipment. Moreover, due to the difference between the consumer market and
commercial market for vehicle and equipment rentals, operators that rent and lease
vehicles do not directly compete with those that lease or rent construction
equipment or other heavy machinery. Additionally, operators in the Real Estate
Sales and Brokerages industry (IBISWorld report 53121) can actually help operators
in the Apartment Rental industry (IBISWorld report 53111) by helping to fill vacant
units. In this sector, it appears that the biggest source of competition is the
disparity between the number of nonemploying enterprises and employing
enterprises in the sector. With 87.5% of operators being nonemploying, accounting
for 43.1% of sector revenue, there is competition for customers between employing
enterprises and nonemploying enterprises. Despite this, the nonemployer share of
sector revenue has been declining, representing a weakening in this form of internal
31 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
External competition
Barriers to Entry Barriers to entry in this industry are Low and Steady
32 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
The Real Estate and Rental and Leasing sector exhibits a low-to-average level of
globalization. A majority of operators are based in the United States and, though
several operators conduct business internationally, the overwhelming share of
business tends to be conducted within US borders. This is mainly due to the fact
that most assets cannot be moved or are cost prohibitive to transport overseas.
However, among some industry groups, the Car Rental industry (IBISWorld Report
53211) does exhibit a high degree of globalization with major operators conducting
business at many international locations, and primarily airports. Overall, despite this
one industry in the sector, a majority of business is conducted within US borders.
Globalization is unlikely to shift dramatically as a result of the COVID-19
(coronavirus) outbreak.
33 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Major Companies
The company has been active in some acquisitions during the period. In 2017,
United Rentals completed the acquisition of NES Rentals (NES) for $965.0 million in
34 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
cash. United Rentals is the largest operator in the Heavy Equipment Rental industry
(IBISWorld report 53241). Additionally, the company is expected to have a market
share greater than 5.0% in the Industrial Equipment Rental and Leasing industry
(IBISWorld report 53249).
Financial performance
Over the five years to 2020, United Rentals' US Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
sector-relevant revenue is expected to grow at an annualized rate of 7.9% to $5.5
billion. The acquisition has supported continued expansion during the period.
Above all, United Rentals has exhibited strong growth due to a burgeoning US
construction sector. Overall, a strategic acquisition and a strong construction sector
have promoted company growth during the period. Moreover, the company's sector-
and US-relevant operating income is expected to increase an annualized 5.2% to
reach $1.2 billion in 2020. It is also worth noting that revenue is expected to decline
in 2020 as a result of the coronavirus outbreak. Overall, demand conditions have
weakened, with nonresidential construction plummeting in 2020, which is expected
to undercut revenue growth in 2020.
35 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
industry (IBISWorld report 53212) and in the Real Estate Asset Management and
Consulting industry (IBISWorld report 53139).
Financial performance
According to the company's most recent financial release, company revenue totaled
$5.5 billion in 2019 and is expected to reach $5.3 billion in 2020, as demand
conditions weaken significantly as a result of the coronavirus outbreak. Nearly
98.0% of Realogy's business is conducted within the United States, and sector- and
US-relevant revenue is expected to total $5.2 billion in 2020, representing an
annualized 1.4% increase from 2015. Additionally, the company's operating income
has exhibited an annualized 3.0% decline to reach an estimated $547.4 million in
2020. Overall, the company has been engaging in some acquisition activity via its
subsidiaries NRT and TGR. In 2015, the company acquired 13 real estate brokerage
operations through NRT for a cash consideration of $96.0 million. Additionally, in
the same year, the wholly owned subsidiary TRG acquired three title and settlement
operations for a cash consideration of $34.0 million. In 2016, NRT acquired 11 real
estate brokerages and property management operations for a cash consideration
of $74.0 million, while TRG acquired one title settlement operation for $10.0 million.
This activity has continued in 2017, with NRT purchasing 16 real estate brokerages
for $11.0 million, while TRG acquired another two title and settlement operations.
36 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
estimated 6.6% market share in the Real Estate Appraisal industry (IBISWorld report
53132). Additionally, the company is estimated to have a near 2.0% market share of
the Real Estate Sales and Brokerages industry (IBISWorld report 53121).
Financial performance
In 2020, CBRE will earn an estimated $22.4 billion in total company revenue. Over
the five years to 2020, CBRE's US sector-specific revenue is expected to increase at
an annualized rate of 17.5% to $4.3 billion. It should be noted that in the third
quarter of 2018, CBRE announced that it was changing its revenue recognition
methods, and thus results for 2016 and 2017 were revised, posting marked
increases over their previously stated values. It appears that, due to a weakening
outlook, CBRE is pursing different growth strategies to keep ahead of the industry.
Since the housing market recovery, which began prior to the period, the company
has exhibited strong increases in both sector-specific and total revenue.
Additionally, the company is expected to earn $225.6 million in operating profit in
2020, representing an annualized 8.9% increase in sector-specific operating
income. Overall, CBRE's diversity is expected to enable it to weather the stronger
declines in revenue exhibited in 2020 as a result of the coronavirus outbreak,
though is still expected to take a hit in 2020 alone.
37 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
The company has also been active in acquisitions such as the purchase of car-
sharing company Zipcar in 2015, which now has more than 860,000 members in the
United States, Canada and Europe. Additionally, Avis acquired Payless Car Rental
Inc. prior to 2015, which was then the sixth-largest car rental company in North
America with 120 retail locations and $80.0 million in annual revenue. Moreover,
Avis announced a partnership with Waymo, Google's self-driving car project, in
2017. Avis is expected to perform vehicle cleaning, part replacement and scheduled
maintenance, as well as provide parking and storage for Waymo's autonomous test
fleet. In exchange for supplying fleet management services, Avis will gain access to
Waymo's autonomous vehicle technology.
Financial performance
Over the five years to 2020, Avis is expected to earn total company revenue of $5.8
billion, a sharp decline from 2019, as a result of the outbreak of coronavirus causing
international and domestic travel to plummet. Sector- and US-specific revenue is
expected to decline an annualized 9.4% to reach an estimated $3.4 billion in 2020.
Additionally, Avis' sector- and US-specific operating income has exhibited an
annualized decline of 13.2% to reach $295.6 million, as a result of weaker
conditions in 2020. Overall, Avis has exhibited the largest exposure of industry
players to the outbreak of coronavirus, and has thus had performance expectations
revised downward.
38 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Operating Conditions
Capital Intensity The level of capital intensity is High
39 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
The major markets for this industry are highly concentrated, which implies that the
market has a focus on key customer segments. This presents an opportunity for
strategic entrance into lower-end markets or unserved markets for innovations to
take on a disruptive trajectory.
The Real Estate and Rental and Leasing sector exhibits a medium
level of technological change.
The Real Estate subsector has been improving operational efficiencies by adopting
automated administrative software and new property databases. Additionally, the
sector could benefit greatly with the adoption of block-chain technology, which has
not yet become completely applicable. However, through the standardization of
record keeping and property and lease documents, sector operators would be more
well informed and better able to execute decisions. The Rental and Leasing
subsector is subject to some technological change as well. The equipment, vehicles
and goods rented and leased by the subsector are often being reconfigured and
remodeled to produce more efficient outcomes. However, it is important to note
that most rented and leased goods are substitutable. Therefore, the greatest
application for technology in this subsector would be the use of self-driving cars as
well as auto-guided construction and industrial machinery.
40 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Note: Revenue growth and decline reflective of 5-year annualized trend. Y-axis is in
logarithmic scale. Y-axis crosses at long-run GDP. X-axis crosses at high volatility
threshold.
The Real Estate and Rental and Leasing sector exhibits a low level of
revenue volatility.
Volatility can be injected into this sector by financial shocks and rapid changes in
real estate market conditions. However, this sector has remained steady during the
current period, with volatility mitigating in the wake of the Great Recession. The
Federal Reserve's commitment to gradually raise interest rates has not severely
affected this sector since it signaled its intentions well ahead of time, enabling
sector operators to prepare for impending rate hikes. Additionally, steady
construction activity and rising domestic travel have kept the Rental and Leasing
subsector stable over the five years to 2020.
41 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
corporate federal income taxes. REITs are also subject to several organizational
and operational requirements to retain their REIT status. They must be structured
as a corporation, business trust or similar association and be managed by a board
of directors or trustees. They must derive at least 75.0% of their gross income from
rents or mortgage interests and at least 75.0% of their total investment assets must
be in real estate.
42 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Key Statistics
Industry Data
Year Revenue IVA Estab. Enterprises Employment Exports Imports Wages Domestic Rental
Demand Vacancy
Rate
($m) ($m) (Units) (Units) (Units) ($m) ($m) ($m) ($m) (%)
2011 775,451 649,596 2,687,449 2,608,752 4,263,406 N/A N/A 143,226 N/A 9.52
2012 811,662 685,097 2,739,682 2,659,940 4,330,587 N/A N/A 148,588 N/A 8.68
2013 848,243 695,927 2,805,815 2,724,779 4,420,387 N/A N/A 149,659 N/A 8.32
2014 889,859 746,041 2,910,867 2,826,557 4,565,163 N/A N/A 156,954 N/A 7.55
2015 935,013 778,270 3,013,382 2,927,152 4,701,207 N/A N/A 164,902 N/A 7.05
2016 967,743 804,920 3,068,528 2,978,086 4,789,446 N/A N/A 168,145 N/A 6.85
2017 998,011 827,470 3,191,321 3,090,863 4,932,759 N/A N/A 172,774 N/A 7.18
2018 1,025,259 856,798 3,294,258 3,190,974 5,085,899 N/A N/A 178,077 N/A 6.88
2019 1,049,455 885,913 3,383,749 3,278,318 5,211,525 N/A N/A 182,436 N/A 6.75
2020 1,030,208 867,511 3,421,150 3,320,874 5,193,650 N/A N/A 181,266 N/A 6.65
2021 1,015,411 839,498 3,460,568 3,364,844 5,185,131 N/A N/A 180,508 N/A 6.96
2022 1,029,172 844,869 3,531,393 3,435,324 5,267,653 N/A N/A 183,295 N/A 7.22
2023 1,026,092 834,408 3,575,833 3,482,192 5,288,805 N/A N/A 183,774 N/A 7.44
2024 1,051,102 854,693 3,658,223 3,562,283 5,405,712 N/A N/A 187,920 N/A 7.64
2025 1,061,628 860,380 3,716,175 3,620,378 5,469,637 N/A N/A 190,074 N/A 7.81
Annual Change
Year Revenue IVA Estab. Enterprises Employment Exports Imports Wages Domestic Rental
Demand Vacancy
Rate
(%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)
2011 2.47 2.48 -0 -0 -1 N/A N/A 1.41 N/A -6.85
2012 4.66 5.46 2 2 2 N/A N/A 3.74 N/A -8.93
2013 4.50 1.58 2 2 2 N/A N/A 0.72 N/A -4.04
2014 4.90 7.20 4 4 3 N/A N/A 4.87 N/A -9.31
2015 5.07 4.31 4 4 3 N/A N/A 5.06 N/A -6.63
2016 3.50 3.42 2 2 2 N/A N/A 1.96 N/A -2.84
2017 3.12 2.80 4 4 3 N/A N/A 2.75 N/A 4.74
2018 2.73 3.54 3 3 3 N/A N/A 3.06 N/A -4.19
2019 2.35 3.39 3 3 2 N/A N/A 2.44 N/A -1.82
2020 -1.84 -2.08 1 1 -0 N/A N/A -0.65 N/A -1.42
2021 -1.44 -3.23 1 1 -0 N/A N/A -0.42 N/A 4.65
2022 1.35 0.63 2 2 2 N/A N/A 1.54 N/A 3.67
2023 -0.30 -1.24 1 1 0 N/A N/A 0.26 N/A 3.04
2024 2.43 2.43 2 2 2 N/A N/A 2.25 N/A 2.61
2025 1.00 0.66 2 2 1 N/A N/A 1.14 N/A 2.32
Key Ratios
Year IVA/Revenue Imports/Demand Exports/Revenue Revenue per Wages/Revenue Employees per Average Wage
Employee estab.
(%) (%) (%) ($'000) (%)
2011 83.8 N/A N/A 182 18.5 1.59 33,594
2012 84.4 N/A N/A 187 18.3 1.58 34,311
2013 82.0 N/A N/A 192 17.6 1.58 33,857
2014 83.8 N/A N/A 195 17.6 1.57 34,381
2015 83.2 N/A N/A 199 17.6 1.56 35,076
2016 83.2 N/A N/A 202 17.4 1.56 35,107
2017 82.9 N/A N/A 202 17.3 1.55 35,026
2018 83.6 N/A N/A 202 17.4 1.54 35,014
2019 84.4 N/A N/A 201 17.4 1.54 35,006
2020 84.2 N/A N/A 198 17.6 1.52 34,902
2021 82.7 N/A N/A 196 17.8 1.50 34,813
2022 82.1 N/A N/A 195 17.8 1.49 34,796
2023 81.3 N/A N/A 194 17.9 1.48 34,748
2024 81.3 N/A N/A 194 17.9 1.48 34,763
2025 81.0 N/A N/A 194 17.9 1.47 34,751
43 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
Additional Resources
Additional Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation
Resources http://www.freddiemac.com
REIT
Real Estate Investment Trust, which is a company that owns, and in most cases, operates
income-producing real estate.
CAPITAL INTENSITY
Compares the amount of money spent on capital (plant, machinery and equipment) with
that spent on labor. IBISWorld uses the ratio of depreciation to wages as a proxy for capital
intensity. High capital intensity is more than $0.333 of capital to $1 of labor; medium is
$0.125 to $0.333 of capital to $1 of labor; low is less than $0.125 of capital for every $1 of
labor.
CONSTANT PRICES
The dollar figures in the Key Statistics table, including forecasts, are adjusted for inflation
using the current year (i.e. year published) as the base year. This removes the impact of
changes in the purchasing power of the dollar, leaving only the "real" growth or decline in
industry metrics. The inflation adjustments in IBISWorld’s reports are made using the US
Bureau of Economic Analysis’ implicit GDP price deflator.
44 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
DOMESTIC DEMAND
Spending on industry goods and services within the United States, regardless of their
country of origin. It is derived by adding imports to industry revenue, and then subtracting
exports.
EMPLOYMENT
The number of permanent, part-time, temporary and seasonal employees, working
proprietors, partners, managers and executives within the industry.
ENTERPRISE
A division that is separately managed and keeps management accounts. Each enterprise
consists of one or more establishments that are under common ownership or control.
ESTABLISHMENT
The smallest type of accounting unit within an enterprise, an establishment is a single
physical location where business is conducted or where services or industrial operations are
performed. Multiple establishments under common control make up an enterprise.
EXPORTS
Total value of industry goods and services sold by US companies to customers abroad.
IMPORTS
Total value of industry goods and services brought in from foreign countries to be sold in
the United States.
INDUSTRY CONCENTRATION
An indicator of the dominance of the top four players in an industry. Concentration is
considered high if the top players account for more than 70% of industry revenue. Medium
is 40% to 70% of industry revenue. Low is less than 40%.
INDUSTRY REVENUE
The total sales of industry goods and services (exclusive of excise and sales tax); subsidies
on production; all other operating income from outside the firm (such as commission
income, repair and service income, and rent, leasing and hiring income); and capital work
done by rental or lease. Receipts from interest royalties, dividends and the sale of fixed
tangible assets are excluded.
45 IBISWorld.com
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing in the US 53 November 2020
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
The level of international trade is determined by ratios of exports to revenue and imports to
domestic demand. For exports/revenue: low is less than 5%, medium is 5% to 20%, and high
is more than 20%. Imports/domestic demand: low is less than 5%, medium is 5% to 35%,
and high is more than 35%.
LIFE CYCLE
All industries go through periods of growth, maturity and decline. IBISWorld determines an
industry's life cycle by considering its growth rate (measured by IVA) compared with GDP;
the growth rate of the number of establishments; the amount of change the industry's
products are undergoing; the rate of technological change; and the level of customer
acceptance of industry products and services.
NONEMPLOYING ESTABLISHMENT
Businesses with no paid employment or payroll, also known as nonemployers. These are
mostly set up by self-employed individuals.
PROFIT
IBISWorld uses earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) as an indicator of a company’s
profitability. It is calculated as revenue minus expenses, excluding interest and tax.
REGIONS
West | CA, NV, OR, WA, HI, AK
Southeast | VA, WV, KY, TN, AR, LA, MS, AL, GA, FL, SC, NC
VOLATILITY
The level of volatility is determined by averaging the absolute change in revenue in each of
the past five years. Volatility levels: very high is more than ±20%; high volatility is ±10% to
±20%; moderate volatility is ±3% to ±10%; and low volatility is less than ±3%.
WAGES
The gross total wages and salaries of all employees in the industry.
46 IBISWorld.com
IBISWorld helps you find the industry information
you need – fast
With our trusted research covering thousands of global industries, you’ll get a quick and intelligent overview of any industry
so you can get up to speed in minutes. In every report, you’ll find actionable insights, comprehensive data and in-depth
analysis to help you make smarter, faster business decisions.If you're not yet a member of IBISWorld, contact us at
+1-800-330-3772 or info@IBISWorld.com to learn more.
Disclaimer
This product has been supplied by IBISWorld Inc. ('IBISWorld') solely for use by its authorized licenses strictly in
accordance with their license agreements with IBISWorld. IBISWorld makes no representation to any other person with
regard to the completeness or accuracy of the data or information contained herein, and it accepts no responsibility and
disclaims all liability (save for liability which cannot be lawfully disclaimed) for loss or damage whatsoever suffered or
incurred by any other person resulting from the use of, or reliance upon, the data or information contained herein.
Copyright in this publication is owned by IBISWorld Inc. The publication is sold on the basis that the purchaser agrees not
to copy the material contained within it for other than the purchasers own purposes. In the event that the purchaser uses or
quotes from the material in this publication - in papers, reports, or opinions prepared for any other person - it is agreed that
it will be sourced to: IBISWorld Inc.
Copyright 2021 IBISWorld Inc.