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Table of Contents
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Propensity Score Matching: ...................................................................................... 10
1. Data Collection:.................................................................................................... 10
2. Propensity Score Estimation: ............................................................................... 10
3. Matching: ............................................................................................................. 11
4. Data Analysis: ...................................................................................................... 11
5. Interpretation: ....................................................................................................... 11
6. Validity Considerations: ....................................................................................... 11
Natural Experiments: ................................................................................................ 12
1. Policy Change: ..................................................................................................... 12
2. Data Collection:.................................................................................................... 12
3. Comparison: ......................................................................................................... 12
4. Data Analysis: ...................................................................................................... 13
5. Interpretation: ....................................................................................................... 13
6. Validity Considerations: ....................................................................................... 13
Conclusion: ................................................................................................................. 13
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Quasi-experiment method
Introduction:
Quasi-experimental methods are utilized in social research when a true experimental
design, with random assignment of participants to groups, is not feasible or ethical.
These methods aim to approximate the rigor of experimental designs while dealing with
real-world constraints.
Quasi-experimental methods are widely used in social research across various fields to
study phenomena where true experimental designs are impractical or unethical. These
methods allow researchers to draw causal inferences about the effects of interventions
or treatments. Here are some common quasi-experimental methods used in social
research:
For example, Imagine a researcher wants to evaluate the effectiveness of a job training
program designed to improve employability skills among unemployed individuals. Due
to logistical constraints and ethical considerations, the researcher cannot randomly
assign participants to either receive the training (intervention group) or not (control
group). Instead, the researcher selects two similar communities with similar
unemployment rates and demographics.
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resume writing, interview techniques, and computer literacy over a period of three
months.
2. Control Group: In Community B, individuals do not have access to the job training
program but have similar access to other resources available to Community A, such
as job listings and employment support services.
Both communities are assessed before and after the intervention period using surveys,
interviews, or other measures to collect data on employment status, income, job
satisfaction, and other relevant outcomes.
This example illustrates how a Non-equivalent Control Group Design can be used to
evaluate the impact of an intervention when random assignment is not feasible. Despite
the absence of randomization, researchers can still draw meaningful conclusions by
carefully selecting and comparing similar groups.
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Interrupted Time Series Design:
The Interrupted Time Series (ITS) design is a quasi-experimental research design that
involves collecting data at multiple time points before and after the introduction of an
intervention or treatment. This design allows researchers to assess whether there is a
change in the outcome of interest immediately following the intervention.
2. Intervention Phase:
3. Post-Intervention Period:
4. Data Analysis:
i. Trend Analysis: The researcher analyzes the trends in smoking rates over time
using statistical methods such as time series analysis.
ii. Comparison: The researcher compares the trend in smoking rates before and
after the intervention to determine whether there is a significant change in the
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rate of decline (or increase) following the implementation of the tobacco tax
increase.
iii. Adjustment for Seasonality and Autocorrelation: Statistical techniques may
be used to adjust for seasonal variations and autocorrelation in the data.
5. Interpretation:
6. Validity Considerations:
By using an Interrupted Time Series design, researchers can assess the immediate and
long-term effects of policy interventions or other interventions in real-world settings,
providing valuable evidence for policymakers and stakeholders.
Suppose a university has a policy where students who score above a certain threshold
on a standardized test are guaranteed admission, while those who score below the
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threshold are not admitted. A researcher wants to evaluate the impact of this policy on
student outcomes using an RDD.
1. Assignment Variable:
The assignment variable in this example is the standardized test score. Students who
score above the threshold are considered in the treatment group (admitted), while those
who score below the threshold are in the control group (not admitted).
2. Cutoff Point: The university's policy establishes a cutoff score on the standardized
test. Students who score above the cutoff are guaranteed admission, while those who
score below it are not admitted.
3. Data Collection:
i. The researcher collects data on students' test scores and other relevant variables,
such as academic performance, graduation rates, and employment outcomes.
ii. Data are collected for students who are close to the cutoff point, both slightly
above and slightly below it.
4. Analysis:
5. Interpretation:
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ii. For example, if students just above the cutoff point have higher graduation rates
or better employment outcomes compared to those just below the cutoff point,
it indicates a positive impact of admission on those outcomes.
6. Validity Considerations:
By using an RDD, researchers can estimate causal effects in situations where random
assignment to treatment and control groups is not feasible or ethical, providing valuable
insights into the impact of policies and interventions.
i. During this phase, the psychologist collects baseline data on the frequency and
intensity of the child's aggressive behavior over a period of time (e.g., two
weeks). The child's behavior is observed and recorded in various settings, such
as at home and at school, to establish a stable baseline.
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2. Intervention Phase (B):
i. After the intervention phase, the psychologist withdraws the intervention and
returns to baseline conditions to determine if any changes in the child's behavior
are maintained.
ii. The psychologist resumes data collection on the child's aggressive behavior in
various settings, similar to the initial baseline phase.
4. Data Analysis:
i. The psychologist analyzes the data collected during each phase to determine
whether there were changes in the frequency and intensity of the child's
aggressive behavior in response to the intervention.
ii. Visual analysis of the data using graphs (e.g., line graphs) can help identify
trends and patterns in the child's behavior across different phases of the study.
5.Interpretation:
i. If the frequency and intensity of the child's aggressive behavior decrease during
the intervention phase (B) compared to the baseline phases (A1 and A2), it
suggests that the behavior modification program was effective in reducing
aggressive behavior.
ii. If the child's behavior returns to baseline levels during the follow-up baseline
phase (A2), it provides evidence for the stability of the intervention effects.
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6.Validity Considerations:
1. Data Collection:
i. Using logistic regression or another suitable method, the company estimates the
propensity scores for each employee, representing the likelihood of
participating in the training program based on their observed characteristics.
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The propensity score indicates the probability of being treated (receiving the
training).
3. Matching:
i. The company then matches employees who participated in the training program
(treated group) with similar employees who did not participate (control group)
based on their propensity scores.
ii. Various matching techniques can be used, such as nearest neighbor matching,
caliper matching, or kernel matching, to ensure that treated and control subjects
are closely matched on propensity scores.
4. Data Analysis:
i. After matching, the company compares the job performance outcomes between
the treated and control groups to assess the effect of the training program.
ii. Statistical methods such as t-tests, chi-square tests, or regression analysis can
be used to examine differences in job performance metrics between the two
groups.
5. Interpretation:
6. Validity Considerations:
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Natural Experiments:
Suppose a government decides to increase the minimum wage in one state but not in
another state. Researchers want to study the impact of this policy change on
employment rates using a natural experiment.
1. Policy Change:
i. The government of State A decides to raise the minimum wage, while the
government of State B keeps the minimum wage unchanged. This decision is
based on various factors, such as economic conditions, political considerations,
and public opinion.
2. Data Collection:
i. Researchers collect data on employment rates in both states before and after the
minimum wage change. They also gather information on other relevant
variables, such as demographic characteristics, industry sectors, and regional
economic indicators.
3. Comparison:
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4. Data Analysis:
5. Interpretation:
6. Validity Considerations:
Conclusion:
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