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By Harsha Vardhan
Technology is changing our lifestyle across the world from the Silicon Valley in the US to rural villages in India. From
Boston to Begusarai, Cupertino to Calicut, Dallas to Delhi, technology has its footprint everywhere. From the
smartphones to the space shuttle, from electric scooters to bullet trains – inside each of these, there are tiny pieces of
technology that brings it all together and that is the semiconductors.
https://www.financialexpress.com/business/defence-semiconductor-crisis-an-opportunity-for-india-2624716/ 1/11
2/7/24, 3:10 PM Semiconductor crisis an opportunity for India - Defence News | The Financial Express
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Semiconductor chips are a vital components in practically every industry. However, the world is facing a chip shortage
because of its limited supply. In addition to long-standing issues within the industry, such as insufficient capacity at
semiconductor fabs, the Covid-19 pandemic introduced unprecedented challenges. For instance, automakers slowed
down their chip orders in early 2020 as vehicle sales dropped. When demand recovered faster than anticipated in the
second half of 2020, the semiconductor industry had already shifted production lines to meet the demand for
consumer appliances. Some other reasons were the suspension of plant operations in the US for weeks due to the
power failures in Texas caused by snowstorms, drought/water crisis in Taiwan, and stockpiling by Chinese companies
because of concerns with US foreign policy and relations.
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But the current chip shortage is unlikely to be resolved soon, partly because of the complexities of the semiconductor
production process. Typical lead times can exceed four months for products that are already well established in a
manufacturing line. The end-to-end life cycle spans one to three years. Setting up a manufacturing unit with all
infrastructure takes around 12-18 months, followed by a research-intensive product development cycle of another 12-
36 months and a repeatable production process of more than four months. A semiconductor chip, in other words, is a
function of an efficient manufacturing process, engineering talent and a conducive government policy.
India is ready in just one of the three parameters of chip self-reliance. According to government data, India imports 94
percent of its electronics and 100 percent of its semiconductors. Digital India initiatives seek to fulfil all three
parameters with a sense of urgency. The good news is that India is trying to lay a strong foundation of chip design
that can be expanded to research and development focus for product development and IP (intellectual property )
creation. There is an opportunity to create a solid manufacturing base, but it can happen only with strong
government support for this sector. Taiwan provides a 90 percent subsidy to chip manufacturing, and we will have to
travel a long way to achieve a comparable scale.
The recent visit of US House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan has created an unprecedented crisis
in the region. The Chinese state media called it an “open salvo of war” and the country has reportedly sent over two
dozen fighter jets into Taiwan’s air defence zone. The situation is more than just a regular geopolitical escalation; it
doesn’t take much to foresee the outcome if the country producing 63 percent of total semiconductors stops
producing them. The situation will be grave, and it will take us not years but several decades to recover from it.
According to a Goldman Sachs report, the world chip shortage has already affected 169 industries and we’re not
talking about electronics anymore. Industries like steel and concrete production and even soap manufacturing are
already affected. Reports suggest that mobile phones are going to get costlier. They already warned that Apple might
increase the price of the upcoming iPhone 14 by $100. Prices have been rising across the supply chain, and Apple
needs to pass these costs to the consumer on this release.In 2021, only 70 percent of the requested components were
made available to mobile phone manufacturers. Counterpoint suggested that companies like Samsung, Oppo and
Xiaomi were more affected than Apple.
If this threat comes true, we will see computers, laptops, mobiles, and automobiles getting costlier and harder to get
by. People still can’t seem to get their hands on the PS5, a product launched in November 2020! A shortage in chips
https://www.financialexpress.com/business/defence-semiconductor-crisis-an-opportunity-for-india-2624716/ 2/11
2/7/24, 3:10 PM Semiconductor crisis an opportunity for India - Defence News | The Financial Express
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based car automobile company General Motors reported 16% of vehicles being unsold due to a global chip shortage.
In every adversity, there’s an opportunity. As the world grapples with an acute semiconductor shortage, there is an
opportunity for India to move the needle in the right direction. India has a strong base for semiconductor chip design,
a software-intensive area. The Indian government, in December 2021, rolled out an incentive scheme worth Rs 76,000
crore (roughly $10 billion) to attract international semiconductor and display manufacturers in a bid to establish the
country as a global chip manufacturing hub. This will go a long way in establishing the country as a global hub for
electronics goods, besides creating jobs and attracting investments from top companies around the world.
However, apart from high costs, certain infrastructure requirements are vital. It requires an uninterrupted power
supply and access to millions of litres of pure water. India is lacking in these departments. We still experience
frequent power cuts and our water supply treatment isn’t up to the mark. Before the global chip shortage, these
factors were enough to discourage foreign players from setting up shop in India. Things have started shifting
positively and big corporates such as Tata group and Vedanta Have shown interest in moving forward with joint
ventures.
Establishing a few successful units is a long-haul game of at least 3 to 5 years. It will work as an accelerator for other
sectors and contribute immensely to India’s desired $5 trillion economy target by 2025. It can work on the PPP
(public-private-partnership) model. Both state and central governments should come forward to provide
infrastructure and long-term incentives, and companies can go for joint ventures with industry experts. Indian
industries’ consortium should come forward and incubate a new ecosystem of chip manufacturing. Their
commitment to manufacturing and supply chain can help India minimize import dependency and reduce her
vulnerability emanating from the potential crisis in the Taiwan straits.
In recent years, the semiconductor industry’s profitability has improved exponentially relative to other companies,
and this trend is expected to continue further. From 15th place in 2000-2004, it shot up to 4th place between 2016-
2020 in terms of economic profit,as reported by Mckinsey and Company. Here is an opportunity for India to go
beyond the software and establish herself as a chip-manufacturing powerhouse.
The author is Vice President of Optum India, a part of UnitedHealth Group, a Fortune Five company headquartered in
Minnesota, US. He is a software engineer by profession.
Disclaimer: Views expressed are personal and do not reflect the official position or policy of Financial Express Online.
Reproducing this content without permission is prohibited.
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