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IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT, VOL. 70, NO.

10, OCTOBER 2023 3587

Six Sigma Project Prioritization and Selection Using


AHP–CODAS Integration: A Case Study in
Healthcare Industry
Gülin Feryal Can , Fellow, IEEE, Pelin Toktaş , Fellow, IEEE, and Fatma Pakdil , Fellow, IEEE

Abstract—Given the complex nature of Six Sigma project By its nature, a Six Sigma strategy is executed primarily
(SSP) prioritization and selection processes, multicriteria decision- through time-limited projects and requires an effective project
making (MCDM) methods may help organizations identify the management infrastructure in the organization [10], [11]. Im-
most effective projects. Considering potential limitations of subjec-
tive methods and advantages of MCDM methods, this article pro- plementing systematic Six Sigma project (SSP) selection meth-
poses a model that integrates analytical hierarchy process (AHP) ods helps organizations allocate limited resources by aligning
and combinative distance-based assessment (CODAS) in SSP pri- selection with their strategic priorities and competitive advan-
oritization and selection process. In the proposed approach, AHP tages [5], [12], [13]. In the same vein, poorly designed project
is employed to assign criteria weights, and CODAS is performed
selection processes cause several irreversible consequences, in-
to determine priorities of SSPs. CODAS was advanced in term of
its threshold function. Differences between Euclidean distances of cluding wasted invaluable resources, decreased organizational
two alternatives were compared, based on the standard deviation of belief in Six Sigma, and reduced likelihood of long-term success
Euclidean distances of all alternatives to overcome the subjectivity. of Six Sigma strategy [14]–[18]. Although project selection is
This is the first study that combines AHP and CODAS methods identified as the most critical and complicated component of
for SSP selection, and CODAS is used with objective threshold
Six Sigma [1], [19]–[22], purely subjective and gut feelings-
value computation, and developed for the healthcare industry. In
this article, ten SSPs were evaluated for four key criteria groups oriented approaches dominate project selection processes in
as financial, operational, patient centric, and organizational main Six Sigma organizations [21], [23], [24]–[26]. However, the
criteria groups. In total, 18 subcriteria were considered under complex and multifaceted nature of project prioritization and
these four main criteria groups. This article provides a support for selection process [9], [18], [27] and limited resources force
executives who make implementation plans for the potential SSPs.
organizations to implement objective methods, such as multicri-
Index Terms—Analytical hierarchy process (AHP), combinative teria decision-making (MCDM) methods, as emphasized in the
distance-based assessment (CODAS), multicriteria decision- literature, e.g., [14], [20], [26], [28]–[31]. Given the complex
making (MCDM), project prioritization, Six Sigma project (SSP). nature of SSP prioritization and selection processes, MCDM
methods with multiple objectives may increase the probability
I. INTRODUCTION
of selecting the most effective projects in business organizations
IX SIGMA is an impactful continuous quality improve-
S ment strategy and received attention from a large group of
global organizations including Fortune 500 companies. Practice
[28]. Considering the potential limitations of subjective methods
and advantages of MCDM methods, an integration of analytical
hierarchy process (AHP) and combinative distance-based as-
and research demonstrate that project prioritization and selec- sessment (CODAS) is proposed to prioritize SSPs in this article.
tion in the define–measure–analyze–improve–control (DMAIC) In the proposed approach, AHP is employed to assign criteria
process bring challenges to Six Sigma practitioners [1]–[5]. weights, and CODAS is performed to determine priorities of
More importantly, a great variety of research emphasized that SSPs. AHP is an extensively studied method, best used in
the likelihood of success or failure of Six Sigma practices is decision making for complex scenarios when decision makers
associated with the project prioritization and selection methods (DMs) work together and when human perceptions, judgments,
and strategies [6]–[9]. and consequences have long-term repercussions [32]. Addi-
tionally, AHP considers the consistency of DMs’ evaluations,
Manuscript received 28 February 2021; revised 12 June 2021; accepted 2 July which produces more accurate results. In the CODAS method,
2021. Date of publication 19 August 2021; date of current version 21 July 2023. the preferability of one alternative over another is determined
Review of this manuscript was arranged by Department Editor D. Cetindamar.
(Corresponding author: Gülin Feryal Can.) by considering Euclidean and Taxicab distances. The method
Gülin Feryal Can and Pelin Toktaş are with the Industrial Engineering De- is constructed upon the selection of the alternative that has
partment, Bağlıca Kampüsü, Başkent University, Ankara 06790, Turkey (e-mail: a longer distance from the negative ideal solution. The first
gfcan@baskent.edu.tr; ptoktas@baskent.edu.tr).
Fatma Pakdil is with the Department of Management and Marketing, distance used is the Euclidean distance. If two alternatives
Eastern Connecticut State University, Willimantic, CT 06226 USA (e-mail: have equal Euclidean distance or if the Euclidean distance
pakdilf@easternct.edu). difference of two alternatives is less than a predetermined
Color versions of one or more figures in this article are available at
https://doi.org/10.1109/TEM.2021.3100795. threshold value, the solution is reached by using the Taxicab
Digital Object Identifier 10.1109/TEM.2021.3100795 distance [33].
0018-9391 © 2021 IEEE. Personal use is permitted, but republication/redistribution requires IEEE permission.
See https://www.ieee.org/publications/rights/index.html for more information.

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3588 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT, VOL. 70, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2023

In this article, CODAS was advanced in terms of its threshold were developed with different aims. Ho and Ma [49] reviewed
function. Differences between the Euclidean distances of two al- integrations and applications of AHP and found that the most
ternatives were compared based on the standard deviation of the popular approach was fuzzy-AHP. Darko et al. [50] considered
Euclidean distances of all alternatives. In the traditional CODAS applications of AHP in construction management (CM). As
method, this comparison is performed based on the threshold a result, risk management and sustainable construction were
value assigned by DMs between 0.01 and 0.05. The proposed determined as the most popular application areas of AHP in
standard deviation strategy overcomes this subjectivity. This is CM. Cahyapratama and Sarno [51] used weighting procedure of
the first study that combines AHP and CODAS methods for SSP AHP for some criteria and combined simple additive weighting
selection, and CODAS is first used with objective threshold value (SAW) for value processing of participants in the best singer
computation. selection. The best performers were determined based on the
The rest of this article is organized as follows. Section II weight priority level analysis for the consistency of the cri-
focuses on the literature review of Six Sigma strategy, AHP, teria [50], [51]. Wang et al. [52] suggested a framework for
CODAS, and project selection approaches employed in the supplier selection problem in a resilient construction supply
healthcare industry. Section III depicts the implementation of the chain using the integration of AHP and grey relational analysis
proposed method on a case performed in the healthcare industry. (GRA). First, criteria weights were obtained by AHP and GRA,
Finally, Section IV concludes this article. then the suppliers were ranked, respectively. Each criterion was
weighted differently, and a sensitivity analysis was conducted
II. LITERATURE REVIEW to determine the criteria of resilience that impact the selection
priorities of suppliers [52]. Toktaş and Can [53] proposed an
A. Six Sigma advanced Modified Kemeny Median Indicator Rank Accordance
Six Sigma is a corporate strategy [21], [34]–[39] in a great (KEMIRA-M) approach based on stochastic evaluation process
variety of industries. As a strategy, Six Sigma focuses on im- considering consistent weighting procedure of AHP to improve
proving organizational performance based on a holistic approach the criteria weighting procedure of KEMIRA-M.
that includes various performance indicators, such as financials, The fuzzy AHP (F-AHP) methodology was used to rank
customers, and operations [28]. Six Sigma primarily focuses on different project criteria based on relative importance and impact
prioritizing the topics that are critical to stakeholders and on on sustainable projects. Project costs, novelty, and uncertainty
solving problems by using data-driven cross-functional teams were the most important criteria, respectively, in sustainable
[40]. SSPs also focus on improving efficiency and reducing project selection [54]. David and Saaty [55] found that AHP
variation, waste, and defects [41], [42]. Six sigma concentrates was invaluable in Six Sigma, lean Six Sigma, and other business
on the quality of the inputs, processes, and outputs of a sys- process improvement prioritization decisions with both tangible
tem using a well-structured problem-solving methodology. It and intangible strategic considerations. Vargas and Ipma [56]
also aims to decrease the likelihood of nonconformities to 3.4 discussed the application of AHP in the prioritization and selec-
products per million by implementing methods developed in tion of projects in a portfolio. They discussed the importance of
total quality management and statistical process control. The criteria in project selection and inconsistency of the prioritiza-
roots of Six Sigma methodology stem from a companywide tion of projects. Liang [57] developed a model using AHP based
strategy developed at Motorola in the 1980s [39], [40], [43]. The on benchmarking method to evaluate the project termination or
six-sigma-based problem-solving approach aims for identifying continuation with a case study conducted on R&D in Taiwan
the root causes of the problems and discovering appropriate to illustrate the proposed approach [56], [57]. Yoo and Choi
solutions by using the DMAIC process. [58] proposed an approach applying group F-AHP with easy
defuzzified number of Trapezoidal Fuzzy Number (TrFN) and
GRA for SSP selection. While group F-AHP provided both
B. Analytic Hierarchy Process weight of project selection criteria and the relative importance
AHP is a well-known MCDM approach, first introduced by of team member’s competencies, defuzzified scale of TrFN,
Wind and Saaty in 1980, that ranks alternatives and determines in case of incomplete information, was used to assess project
the importance effects of criteria by pairwise comparisons [44]. preferences. Ortíz et al. [59] recommended use of a hybridization
AHP is a common MCDM method used to organize and analyze of the Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory and
complex decisions, using mathematics and psychology [45]. The AHP for determining the best allied hospital for an integrated
literature shows that most previous studies were constructed network of outpatient service.
using hybrid approaches with other MCDM methods. Hamurcu
et al. [46] selected the planned rail projects under different
budget scenarios using AHP and goal programming method in C. Combinative Distance-Based Assessment (CODAS)
an integrated manner. Çelikbilek [47] proposed a grey AHP CODAS is a new-generation MCDM method that first devel-
for engineering and managerial problems to make objective oped by Keshavarz Ghorabaee et al. [33], who demonstrated its
decisions in the fields of science, engineering, and management. validity. In CODAS, the Euclidean and Taxicab distances from
Popovic et al. [48] reviewed AHP and conjoint analysis in negative ideal solution are utilized for ranking alternatives; thus,
an empirical study. They stated that these methods could be it can produce more precise results [33]. In Keshavarz Ghorabaee
used in the same or similar problems even though the methods et al.’s study, a sensitivity analysis compared the results of

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CAN et al.: SIX SIGMA PROJECT PRIORITIZATION AND SELECTION USING AHP–CODAS INTEGRATION 3589

CODAS with some existing MCDM methods and showed that Yıldız and Kahraman [73] advanced a Z-fuzzy CODAS method
CODAS generated stable and efficient results. Ghorabaee et al. based on restriction and reliability functions under uncertainty.
[60] put forward a fuzzy extension of the CODAS method to The Z-fuzzy pairwise comparison matrix was used to obtain the
solve multicriteria group decision-making problems. To extend criteria weights [73]. Supplier selection problem was chosen as
the CODAS method, linguistic variables and TrFNs were used. an application area, and the obtained results were compared with
The application of the proposed fuzzy CODAS method was ordinary fuzzy SAW method.
conducted on market segment evaluation and selection problem In a comparative study conducted by Tuş and Adalı [74],
under uncertainty. preference selection index and CODAS were applied on the
A modified CODAS method using Pamur was introduced by personnel selection problem in a textile firm. The weights of per-
Pamucar et al. [61]. Authors also suggested a new LNN pairwise sonnel assessment criteria were obtained via criteria importance
model to determine the weights of criteria. Validation and testing through intercriteria correlation method and transferred to CO-
of the LNN PW–CODAS model was demonstrated in a case DAS method. When the obtained personnel assessments were
study of the selection of optimal Power-Generation Technology. compared, the final rankings were the same for both methods.
Badi et al. [62] proposed a suitable and useful tool using CODAS Zhang et al. [75] applied the hybridization of CODAS method
for the DMs concerning the optimum location of desalination with picture 2-tuple linguistic numbers to green supplier selec-
facilities. In another study by Badi et al. [63], CODAS was tion problem. To confirm the merits of the suggested method,
used as a supplier selection method for a steelmaking company. a comparison study was conducted. As a result, the second
Yeni and Özçelik [64] proposed an interval-valued Atanassov supplier was found to be the best for all cases [75]. Mathew
intuitionistic fuzzy CODAS method for group decision-making and Sahu [76] dealt with material handling equipment selection
processes as a fuzzy extension of CODAS method. Bolturk problem using CODAS, EDAS, WASPAS, and multiobjective
and Kahraman [65] suggested a method using CODAS un- optimization on the basis of ratio analysis. It was reported that the
der intuitionistic fuzzy uncertainty by taking the hesitancy of CODAS, EDAS, and WASPAS methods yielded consistent re-
DMs into consideration based on both Euclidean and Taxicab sults [76]. Fuzzy Mamdani type inference system was proposed
distances according to the negative-ideal point. Wave energy to overcome uncertainty in human thoughts, as suggested by
facility location selection problem was considered to show the Karaşan et al. [69], as an extended version of the CODAS method
effectiveness of the proposed method, and the obtained results [77]. The robustness of the decision-making methodology was
were compared with crisp CODAS method. shown by the sensitivity analysis. Bolturk and Karaşan [78]
Bolturk [66] developed the Pythagorean fuzzy extension of compared interval-valued neutrosophic CODAS method and
CODAS method for the solutions of MCDM problems under interval-neutrosophic TOPSIS to make the investment analysis
vagueness and impreciseness. Supplier selection is one of the for hospitals. Ijadi Maghsoodi et al. [79] suggested a hybrid
most discussed problems using CODAS in the literature. Badi decision-making approach supported by the stepwise weight
et al. [67] demonstrated an application using the CODAS method assessment ratio analysis method and CODAS containing target-
to select the best supplier among the six alternative suppliers. based attributes for the selection of optimal cement material
He et al. [68] used a 2-tuple linguistic Pythagorean fuzzy type based on a real-world conceptual dam construction project
CODAS method to make financial management performance [79]. To solve the maintenance decision problem in a process
evaluation as a multiple attribute group decision-making issue. industry, Panchal et al. [80] proposed a novel integrated MCDM
Karaşan et al. [69] developed a novel interval-valued neutro- framework based on F-AHP and a new fuzzy CODAS approach.
sophic CODAS method and compared crisp and ordinary fuzzy A sensitivity analysis was performed to validate the proposed
CODAS methods for the selection problem among wind energy framework. Seker and Aydin [81] integrated interval-valued
plant locations. Deveci et al. [70] demonstrated the weaknesses intuitionistic fuzzy AHP and CODAS to evaluate the public
of using a Euclidean and Taxicab distance on interval-valued transportation alternatives designed for a public university in
intuitionistic fuzzy sets and provided alternative strategies to a large-sized metropolitan area. A comparative analysis was
model the vagueness and uncertainty in DM evaluations more employed to show the robustness of the proposed approach.
effectively. They suggested a new fuzzy aggregation method for In our article, a hybrid method of AHP–CODAS is proposed
DM evaluations using fuzzy weights. for SSP selection problem based on a case performed in health-
Yalçın and Pehlivan [71] focused on personnel selection care industry. While the weights of the determined criteria are
problem using fuzzy CODAS method based on fuzzy envelopes obtained through AHP, the ranking of the projects is made using
for hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets. The rankings obtained the CODAS method. To the best of our knowledge, although
with the presented method was shown efficient and stable for there are limited examples of AHP–CODAS hybridization in
personnel selection problems when compared with ranking the literature, this article is the first one that implements AHP–
of fuzzy evaluation based on distance from average solution CODAS in prioritizing and selecting SSPs in the healthcare
(EDAS), fuzzy technique for order of preference by similarity industry.
to ideal solution (TOPSIS), fuzzy weighted aggregated sum
product assessment (WASPAS), fuzzy additive ratio assessment,
and fuzzy complex proportional assessment. Karaşan et al. [72] D. Six Sigma Project Selection in Healthcare Industry
proposed a novel interval hesitant fuzzy CODAS method that Although the Six Sigma strategy was originally developed in
applied on a residential construction site selection problem. the manufacturing industry, service industries have successfully

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3590 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT, VOL. 70, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2023

implemented it to improve quality and decrease the cost of ser-


vice delivery processes, e.g., [23], [82], [83]. GE implemented
Six Sigma methodology to improve the business processes [39].
The Bank of America and Commonwealth Health Corporation
were the first service companies implementing Six Sigma, fol-
lowing pioneering manufacturing companies in North America
[39], [84].
Among service industries, the healthcare industry has taken
a primary position in implementing Six Sigma to deliver higher
quality, better service, and lower cost in a highly regulated
marketplace. The bottlenecks and regulations in the healthcare
industry pushed healthcare executives and DMs toward Six
Sigma, along with other management philosophies and quality
improvement strategies. Since 2000, the healthcare industry
has focused on integrating Six Sigma strategy into corporate
strategy (e.g., [85], [86]) to minimize medical errors and im-
prove healthcare delivery quality [87]. Although Six Sigma was
successfully implemented in healthcare management systems,
project prioritization and selection is in an immature phase of the
DMAIC process in Six Sigma efforts. Research concentrating on
SSP prioritization and selection is scarce in healthcare industry
settings [28], [88]. Also, the complex and multidimensional
nature of healthcare, including their variety of stakeholders,
makes the SSP selection process more problematic.
Additionally, research shows that organizations rely primarily
on subjective methods, including “gut feelings” and experiences
of team members to prioritize and select SSPs [7], [21], [23]–
[25]. SSP prioritization and selection process contains a multi-
dimensional nature; therefore, MCDM approaches are needed
Fig. 1. Flow chart of the proposed SSP selection process.
to make better decisions in this process in healthcare industry.
Using MCDM methods makes that process more robust and
well-structured to minimize the impacts of subjective methods Research shows that criteria selection is a pivotal step in
implemented by the DMs. project selection process in Six Sigma efforts [28], [89]. Lit-
erature indicates that a variety of critical variables have been
identified for such criteria [28]. For instance, the criteria should
link the scope of the potential SSPs with strategic organizational
III. IMPLEMENTATION OF THE PROPOSED APPROACH goals and objectives (e.g., [18], [19]). The criteria should also
In this section, the implementation of the proposed method prioritize projects that are most likely to produce the greatest
constructed using AHP–CODAS for SSP selection is presented benefit to the organization [9], [21], [27], [28]. Additionally,
with a case from the healthcare industry, as depicted in Fig. 1. 1) the urgency of project scopes [23], [28],
This section presents the applicability of the proposed approach 2) the probability of success of the potential projects [28],
for DMs who need to prioritize and select SSPs in the healthcare [90], [91],
industry, as well as the other industries. 3) project completion time [7], [23], [91], [92], [93],
Step 1. Build SSP selection decision-making team. 4) project execution cost [28], [88],
Five DMs denoted as (DMl , l = 1, . . . , L, L = 5) formed a 5) resource utilization [7], [28], [94],
decision-making team in this article. The ability and knowledge 6) process cycle time [23], [28], [90],
of DMs is paramount for prioritizing and selecting the SSPs. 7) cost reduction [28], [90],
The researchers of this article who are experts in Six Sigma 8) revenue enhancement [19], [28], [95],
and MCDM disciplines form the decision-making team. In 9) inventory reduction [28], [94],
real-world cases, black belts, master black belts, and executive 10) sigma level [28], [37],
committee members may take roles as DMs for the SSP selec- 11) impact on organizational goals [7], [18], [28],
tion. 12) data availability [7], and
Step 2. Identify and list potential SSPs. 13) timeliness of services [23], [28], [96] have been imple-
This article includes 10 potential SSPs indicated as mented in the previous studies.
SSPk , where k = 12, . . . m, . . . , K, K = 10, that will be eval- In addition to these variables, various healthcare-related vari-
uated for prioritization within certain number of criteria. ables should also be taken into consideration in this step. For
Step 3. Identify criteria for selecting SSPs. example, patient complaints [23], [28], patient safety [28], [94],

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CAN et al.: SIX SIGMA PROJECT PRIORITIZATION AND SELECTION USING AHP–CODAS INTEGRATION 3591

TABLE I TABLE II
DECISION CRITERIA FOR SSP SELECTION AHP SCALE

and alternative options and for relating those elements to the


overall goal [43]. DMs compare the criteria importance through
pairwise comparisons. As a result, the relative weights among
each of the criteria are established, and the numerical probability
of each alternative is calculated. This probability determines the
likelihood that the alternative can achieve the expected goal.
The higher the probability, the higher the chances the alternative
will satisfy the goal of the portfolio. This quantifying capability
distinguishes AHP from other decision-making methods. The
steps of the integrated AHP and CODAS methods used at this
stage are detailed as follows.
Step 4.1. Form pairwise comparison matrix for decision cri-
teria in AHP.
To determine the relative importance between the two criteria,
a 1–9 scale [97] is used to form the criteria pairwise comparison
matrix. This well-known AHP scale is shown in Table II.
In the proposed approach, pairwise comparison matrices are
patient satisfaction [7], [28], [37], [90], impact on care givers and
formed for subcriteria in each main criteria group and structured
staff [28], [95], and compliance with regulatory requirements
for main criteria groups separately for each DM. In this context,
[28], [94] are the variables that can be effective in this step.
25 pairwise comparison matrices were structured in this article.
Using many variables may make the decision-making process
The pairwise comparison matrix is a square matrix, and diagonal
complex, and it is recommended to limit the number of variables
elements of this matrix are equal to 1.
in this step [1].
Pairwise comparison matrix for criteria in each main crite-
Considering the studies in the literature, decision criteria were
ria group for each DM is denoted as [X]lj , j = 1, . . . , J; l =
defined for selecting the best SSP among all potential projects.
1, . . . , L. For five criteria in C1 , the pairwise comparison matrix
The criteria under consideration were divided into four main
for each DM is presented as [X]l1 , the pairwise comparison
groups in terms of their similarities, as shown in Table I. Each
matrix for six criteria in C2 for each DM is indicated as [X]l2 ,
main group is denoted as Cj , j = 1, ..n, . . . , J and J = 4. Each
the pairwise comparison matrix for four criteria in C3 for each
subcriterion in the first group (C1 ) is indicated as C1b ; j = 1; b =
DM is presented as [X]l3 , and the pairwise comparison matrix
1, . . . t, . . . , B and B = 5. Each subcriterion in the second group
for three criteria in C4 for each DM is defined as [X]l4 . The fifth
(C2 ) is denoted as C2z ; j = 2; z = 1, . . . v, . . . , Z and Z = 6.
pairwise comparison matrix was structured for four main criteria
Each subcriterion in the third group (C3 ) is presented as C3u ; j =
groups for each DM as [X]l . Additionally, xl1bt is the element
3; u = 1, . . . y, . . . , U and U = 4. Each subcriterion in the fourth
group (C4 ) is defined as C4d ; j = 4; d = 1, . . . e, . . . , D and of [X]l1 which presents the pairwise comparison value between
D = 3. bth and tth criteria in the first (j = 1) main criterion group for
Step 4. Identify decision-making method. lth DM. xl1bt defines the relative importance of bth criterion
In this article, AHP was preferred to assign criteria impor- when compared tth criterion in the first main criterion group for
tance weights. AHP is comprised of three components: 1) the the lth DM. If bth criterion dominates over tth criterion for the
ultimate goal or problem, 2) all of the possible solutions, i.e., lth DM, xl1bt is used in [X]l1 . If not, xl1 takes place in [X]l1
1b
t
alternatives, and 3) the constraints that will be used to judge the as a reciprocal of xl1bt . In other words, xl1t = 1
. This also
xl1
alternatives [43]. In this article, the ultimate goal is selecting b
bt

the best SSP, alternatives are potential SSPs, and constraints are applies to xl2zv , xl3uy , xl4de , and xljn . xl2zv is the element of [X]l2
predetermined 18 criteria in four groups. AHP provides a ratio- which presents the pairwise comparison value between zth and
nal framework for a needed decision by quantifying its criteria vth criteria in the second (j = 2) main criterion group for lth

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TABLE III TABLE V


PAIRWISE COMPARISON MATRIX FOR THE CRITERIA IN FINANCIAL MAIN AGGREGATED PAIRWISE COMPARISON MATRIX FOR THE CRITERIA IN
CRITERION GROUP FOR THE FIRST DM; [X]11 FINANCIAL MAIN CRITERION GROUP; [X]1

TABLE IV
PAIRWISE COMPARISON MATRIX FOR FOUR MAIN CRITERIA GROUP FOR THE
FIRST DM; [X]1
TABLE VI
AGGREGATED PAIRWISE COMPARISON MATRIX FOR FOUR MAIN CRITERIA
GROUPS; [X]

DM. xl3uy is the element of [X]l3 which presents the pairwise


comparison value between uth and yth criteria in the third
(j = 3) main criterion group for lth DM. xl4de is the element
of [X]l3 which presents the pairwise comparison value between
dth and eth criteria in the fourth (j = 4) main criteria group for
[X]3 , [X]4 , and [X], respectively. For example, x112 , computed
lth DM. Finally, the element of [X]l presented as xljn means the
as 0.72, is the aggregated value between the first and second
pairwise comparison value between jth and nth main criteria
criterion in the first main criterion group.
for the lth DM.
The aggregated pairwise comparison matrixes for the criteria
To exemplify, the pairwise comparison matrix for the criteria
in financial main criterion group; [X]1 and for four main criteria
in financial main criterion group for the first DM; [X]11 and
groups; [X] are presented in Tables V and VI as examples,
the pairwise comparison matrix for four main criteria group for
respectively.
the first DM; [X]1 are shown in Tables III and IV. As seen
Step 4.3. Form normalized aggregated pairwise evaluation
from Table III, if x11bt = 3, then x11t = 13 = 0.33. For example,
b matrix for decision criteria in AHP.
as seen in Table III, the project execution cost (C11 ) is three To normalize aggregated pairwise evaluation matrixes, each
times ( x111 = 3.00) more important than the urgency of the value of aggregated pairwise comparison matrixes is divided by
2
topic (C12 ) and C12 is 1/3(x112 = x11 = 0.333) times more the total column value as given in Tables V and VI, as examples.
1 11
2
important than C11 for the first DM. The normalized value of x1bt , x2zv , x3uy , x4de , and xjn
Step 4.2. Form aggregated pairwise evaluation matrix for are denoted as, x∗1bt , x∗2zv , x∗3uy , x∗4de , and x∗jn , respectively,
decision criteria in AHP. and normalized aggregated pairwise comparison matrixes are
Pairwise comparison matrices of each DM obtained in Step indicated as [X]∗1 , [X]∗2 , [X]∗3 , [X]∗4 , and [X]∗ , respectively.
4.1 are aggregated through a geometric mean operator. In this The normalization process of the aggregated pairwise com-
way, aggregation can be provided between DMs. Aggregated parison matrix for the criteria in financial main criterion group;
pairwise comparison matrix for criteria in the financial main [X]1 is shown in (1) as an example. This process is performed
criteria group is denoted as [X]1 , aggregated pairwise compar- for the other sub and main criteria in the same manner:
ison matrix for criteria in the operational main criteria group is x 1b
x∗1bt = B Bt ; b = 1, . . . , B; t = 1, . . . , B; j = 1.
indicated as [X]2 , aggregated pairwise comparison matrix for b=1 t=1 x1bt
criteria in the patient-centric main criteria group is presented (1)
as [X]3 , aggregated pairwise comparison matrix for criteria in For example, x∗11 , computed as 0.14, is the normalized value
2
the organizational main criteria group is indicated as [X]4 , and between the first and second subcriteria in the first main criterion
aggregated pairwise comparison matrix for four main criteria group.
group is indicated as [X]. The element of [X]1 is shown as x1bt The normalized aggregated pairwise comparison matrix for
which means the aggregated pairwise comparison value between the criteria in financial main criterion group; [X]∗1 and for four
bth and tth criteria in the first main criterion group. This applies main criteria groups; [X]∗ are presented in Tables VII and VIII,
to x2zv , x3uy , x4de , and xjn which are the elements of [X]2 , respectively, as examples.

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CAN et al.: SIX SIGMA PROJECT PRIORITIZATION AND SELECTION USING AHP–CODAS INTEGRATION 3593

TABLE VII CI computation for financial group criteria is shown in (4) as an


NORMALIZED AGGREGATED PAIRWISE COMPARISON MATRIX FOR THE
CRITERIA IN FINANCIAL MAIN CRITERION GROUP; [X]∗1
example [99]:
λmax − B
CI = . (4)
B−1
CI values for criteria in C1 , C2 , C3 and, C4 for main criteria
groups are computed as 0.09, 0.11, 0.07, 0.04, and 0.03, respec-
tively. To verify whether CI is adequate, Saaty [99] suggests the
consistency rate (CR), which is determined by the ratio between
the CI and the random consistency index (RI). The matrix will
TABLE VIII
be considered consistent if the resulting ratio is less than 10%
NORMALIZED AGGREGATED PAIRWISE COMPARISON MATRIX FOR FOUR MAIN as in (5) [99]:
CRITERIA GROUPS; [X]∗
CI
CR = < 0.10. (5)
RI
RI values change according to criteria numbers as shown in
Table X [99].
Using (5), consistency evaluation was performed for all pair-
wise comparison matrices in the study. As a result, CR values
for financial group, operational group, patient-centric group,
organizational group, and the main criteria were calculated as
Step 4.4. Make computations to obtain eigen vector. 0.08, 0.09, 0.08, 0.07, and 0.03, respectively. Since, all CR
The contribution of each criterion to the SSP selection is values are less than 10%, pairwise comparison matrices were
determined by computations using eigen vector, as presented considered to be consistent.
in (2) for the first criterion in the financial criteria group, as an Step 4.6. Compute global criteria weights.
example. The eigen vector presents the relative weights between Global subcriteria weights given in Table XI are computed
each criterion. It is obtained by computing the row averages of all through main criteria groups’ weights (wJ ). Global criteria
sub and main criteria in [X]∗1 , [X]∗2 , [X]∗3 , [X]∗4 , and [X]∗ . It can weights for financial group, operational group, patient-centric
be observed that sum of all values of the eigen vector is always group, and organizational group criteria are denoted as w1∗b , w1∗z ,
equal to 1. Eigen vector for criteria in C1 , C2 , C3 , and C4 and w1∗u , and w1∗d , respectively. Computation of w1∗b is given in (6)
for four main criteria groups are denoted as EV 1 , EV 2 , EV 3 , as an example for the financial criteria group. The sum of all
EV 4 , and EV , respectively. The elements of EV 1 , EV 2 , EV 3 , subcriteria global weights should be equal to 1:
EV 4 , and EV are w1b , w2z , w3u , w4d , and wj , respectively.
w1b , w2z , w3u , and w4d are the local weights of subcriteria, and w1∗b = w1b × w1 . (6)
wj is the global weight of main criteria (Table IX):
As seen in Table XI, the most important main criterion group
x∗11 
B is financial criteria group ( w1 = 0.38). Additionally, the most
w 1b = B t ∗ ; w1b = 1.00. (2) important criterion in this group is revenue enhancement (C13 )
t=1 x1bt b=1 criterion ( w13 = 0.11).
Step 4.5. Compute consistency index. Step 4.7. Form initial decision matrix to prioritize SSPs via
The objective of this step is to capture enough information implementing CODAS.
to determine whether the DMs have made consistent choices The CODAS method starts with structuring initial decision
[98]. For example, if the DMs affirm that project execution cost matrix [I] given in Table XII. [I] shows the performance values
is more important than the urgency of the topic, and that the of SSPs for all subcriteria. The element of [I] is denoted as
urgency of the topic is more important than cost reduction, it tkjb , where k = 1, . . . , K; j = 1, . . . , J; b = 1, . . . , B for fi-
would be inconsistent to affirm that the cost reduction criterion nancial criteria (j = 1), tkjz for operational criteria (j = 2),
is more important than project execution cost. To overcome this, tkju for patient-centric criteria (j = 3), tkjd for organizational
an inconsistency index is computed based on the maximum eigen criteria (j = 4). tkjb denotes the performance value of kth
value denoted as λmax . The computation of λmax for financial SSP for bth criterion in financial criteria group (j = 1). This
criteria group is given in (3) as an example: explanation applies to the other criteria.
Step 4.8. Form normalized initial decision matrix for CODAS.

B 
B 
B
Then, [I] is normalized considering the cost and benefit type
λmax = w 1b × x1bt ; t = 1, . . . , B. (3) criteria, and the normalized initial decision matrix [N ] is formed,
b=1 b=1 t=1
as presented in Table XIII. In financial criteria group, excluding
λmax values for criteria in C1 , C2 , C3 , and C4 , and for C11 , the other criteria are benefit type. In operational criteria
main criteria groups are computed as 5.37, 6.54, 4.22, 3.08, group, C21 , C22 , and C23 are cost type, the others are benefit
and 4.08, respectively. After obtaining λmax values, consistency type criteria. In patient-centric criteria group, excluding C34 , the
index (CI) is calculated for each pairwise comparison matrix. other criteria are benefit type. In organizational criteria group,
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3594 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT, VOL. 70, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2023

TABLE IX
LOCAL WEIGHTS OF SUBCRITERIA AND GLOBAL WEIGHTS OF MAIN CRITERIA

TABLE X
RI VALUES

TABLE XI
GLOBAL SUBCRITERIA WEIGHTS

TABLE XII
INITIAL DECISION MATRIX

TABLE XIII
NORMALIZED INITIAL DECISION MATRIX

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CAN et al.: SIX SIGMA PROJECT PRIORITIZATION AND SELECTION USING AHP–CODAS INTEGRATION 3595

TABLE XIV
WEIGHTED NORMALIZED INITIAL DECISION MATRIX

TABLE XV
NISPS FOR ALL SUBCXRITERIA

all of the criteria in this group are benefit type. Normaliza- nsjb = min rkjb . (10)
tion process for financial criteria group is shown in (7) as an
example: Here, nsjb is the NISP for bth criterion in financial criteria
 tkjb group (j = 1). NISP for operational criteria group is denoted
tkjb , for benefit type criteria in financial group
as nsjz , for patient-centric group nsju , for organizational group
tkjb = max

min tkjb nsjd . NISP for all subcriteria are demonstrated in Table XV .
tkjb , for cost type criteria in financial group
For example, ns11 = 0.00 means that the distance of the first
(7)
subcriterion in the first main criterion group from NISP is 0.00.
where t∗kjb is the normalized performance value of kth SSP
Step 4.11. Compute Euclidean distance and Taxicab distance
(k = 1, . . . , K) for bth criterion in financial criteria group (j =
for all SSPs in CODAS.
1), max tkjb is the maximum value of bth criterion in financial
According to NISPs, Euclidean distance (Ek ) and Taxicab
criteria group (j = 1) for all SSPs, min tkjb is the minimum
distance (Tk ) seen in Table XVI are computed for all SSPs using
value of bth criterion in financial criteria group (j = 1) for all
(11) and (12):
SSPs.

Step 4.9. Structure weighted normalized initial decision ma-   2 
B Z
2
trix for CODAS.  rkjb − nsjb + rkjz − nsjz +
b=1
In this step, [N ] is transformed through weighted normal- Ek =  U z=1
D  (11)
  2  2
ized matrix [R] as in Table XIV based on global weights of rkju − nsju + rkjd − nsjd
subcriteria. This computation is shown for financial criteria u=1 d=1
group in (8) as an example. Element of [R] is denoted as rkjb for 
B 
n
criteria in financial group, rkjz for criteria in operational group, Tk = rkjb − nsjb + rkjz − nsjz
rkju for criteria in patient-centric group, and rkjd for criteria in b=1 z=1
organizational group:

U 
D
+ rkju − nsju + rkjd − nsjd . (12)
rkjb = w1∗b × t∗kjb . (8)
u=1 d=1

Step 4.10. Compute negative ideal solution point (NISP) for As seen from Table XVI, the eighth SSP has the highest
all subcriteria in CODAS. Euclidean distance ( E8 = 0.26), and the second SSP has the
In CODAS, it is important to compute NISP to compare each highest Taxicab distance ( T8 = 0.57).
SSP for this point. NISP for each subcriterion is computed Step 4.12. Form relative evaluation matrix in CODAS.
separately. This computation is given in (9) and (10) for the Relative evaluation matrix denoted as [Ra] is formed as in
financial criteria group, as an example: (13) and (14) using Ek and Tk :

ns = [nsjb ]1xb (9) [Ra] = [hkm ]m×k (13)

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3596 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT, VOL. 70, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2023

TABLE XVI
EUCLIDEAN DISTANCE AND TAXICAB DISTANCE OF SSPS

TABLE XVII
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN EUCLIDEAN DISTANCES OF PROJECTS

TABLE XVIII
RELATIVE EVALUATION MATRIX

hkm = (Ek − Em ) + (ψ (Ek − Em ) × (Tk − Tm )) . (14) TABLE XIX


SELECTION SCORES AND RANKINGS OF SSPS
Here, ψ given in (15) is used for defining equality of
two SSPs’ Euclidean distances as a threshold function with
m{12, . . . , K} :
0, |x| < τ
ψ= (15)
1, |x| ≥ τ.
In (15), τ is a threshold parameter determined by the DM.
In the literature, this parameter is recommended to take a value
between 0.01 and 0.05. If the difference between the Euclidean
distances of the two projects is less than τ , these two projects
are compared with their Taxicab distances. In this article, the
variability between Euclidean distances was used to define
the equality of Euclidean distances, which is a new approach
compared to the traditional CODAS process. For this purpose,
τ value is defined as the variance (σ 2 ) of Euclidean distances of distances of the projects which these values belong to. Using
all projects as in (16): Table XVII, hkm values were computed as shown in Table XVIII.
n 2 For example, h11 computed as −0.045 means that the relative
(Ek − Ē)
σ 2 = i=1 . (16) evaluation value between the first SSP and the second SSP is
K −1
−0.045, and this value is smaller than 0.0272. Therefore, these
In this step, σ 2 was calculated as 0.0272. When the dif- two projects should be compared based on the two Taxicab
ference between two SSPs’ Euclidean distances was smaller distances between them.
than 0.0272, these two projects were compared based on their Step 4.13. Compute selection score of each SSP and prioritize
Taxicab distances to obtain hkm values. The differences between them.
Euclidean distances of projects are shown in Table XVII. Since Selection score for each SSP indicated with Hk was computed
the values in the highlighted cells in Table XVII were less than as in (17). Afterwards, Hk values were listed in the descend-
0.0272, the selection scores were calculated using the Taxicab ing order. The SSP with the highest Hk was identified as the

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CAN et al.: SIX SIGMA PROJECT PRIORITIZATION AND SELECTION USING AHP–CODAS INTEGRATION 3597

most important project that should be performed in the first method proposed in this article is the first implementation in
place. Hk values of ten SSPs are shown in Table XIX. As seen SSP selection in the healthcare industry. AHP is a quantitative
in Table XIX, SSP8 (Project 8) is the most important project ( method used to rank decision alternatives using multiple criteria.
H8 = 0.459), which should be performed as the first one: AHP, by choosing the best alternative that meets all the criteria
of the DM, finds answers to the questions: “Which one will we

K
Hk = hkm . (17) choose?” or “Which is the best?”
m=1
In the CODAS method, the preferability of alternatives is
determined by the Euclidean and Taxicab distances. This pro-
IV. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION vides a more accurate evaluation because two different distance
measurements are considered to rank alternatives. Additionally,
This article proposed a hybrid model integrating AHP and
the distances of the decision alternatives to the negative ideal
CODAS methods for SSP selection processes and presented a
solution are determined using Euclidean and Taxicab distances.
proposed model using information from the healthcare industry.
The alternative that is farthest from the negative ideal solution is
In the implementation section, ten SSPs were evaluated using 18
considered to be the most attractive. If two decision alternatives
subcriteria under four main criteria groups categorized into two
incomparable in terms of their Euclidean distance (equal or very
main criteria: benefit criteria and cost criteria. The decision crite-
close values), a second measure of their Taxicab distance is
ria used in this article were comprised of financial, operational,
considered.
patient-centric, and organizational criterions, considering that
In this article, CODAS was advanced in term of its threshold
these factors significantly dominate the healthcare marketplace
function, unlike the CODAS studies in the literature. In tra-
dynamics, strategic priorities, and stakeholders’ considerations.
ditional CODAS, differences between the Euclidean distances
One of the main outcomes of the hybrid method of AHP-
of two alternatives are compared according to the threshold
CODAS implemented in this case revealed that the most im-
function value. Additionally, this threshold function value is
portant criterion group used in SSP selection process was
subjectively assigned by the DM between 0.01 and 0.05. The
the financial criteria group. The outcomes also pointed out
threshold function value computation proposed in this article
that the most important criterion in financial criteria was the
overcomes subjectivity. The proposed computation is based on
revenue enhancement (C13 ) criterion. These findings signifi-
the standard deviation of Euclidean distances of all alternatives.
cantly align with the recent dynamics and challenges emerg-
If the differences between the Euclidean distances of two al-
ing globally in the healthcare industry. Allocating financial
ternatives is less than the standard deviation of the Euclidean
and nonfinancial resources effectively and efficiently on time,
distances of all alternatives, these two alternatives are compared
minimizing the constantly rising costs of health services, re-
using their Taxicab distances.
ceiving reimbursements from insurance companies and other
The purpose of this article is to develop a methodology in
third-party payers, and increasing revenues are relatively more
which alternate SSPs are prioritized and selected using AHP-
strategic priorities and competitive advantages for healthcare
advanced CODAS integration in healthcare organizations. This
organizations.
article addresses a particular gap in implementing a systematic
The second most important main criterion group was defined
methodology for SSP prioritization and selection based on a case
as the patient-centric criteria group. As shown in the literature
study in healthcare organizations. The case study was hypotheti-
(e.g., [100], [101]) and addressed by the accreditation bodies
cally formed to present applicability and validity of the proposed
such as Joint Commission and the U.S. National Committee
approach for DMs responsible for SSP selection processes. In
for Quality Assurance, healthcare providers and organizations
this article, a more objective CODAS method was proposed by
have been expected to be patient-centric, rather than being
implementing a new threshold function based on the standard
physician- or disease-centric in delivery services. Simply put,
deviation. This is the first study that implements AHP-advanced
given that SSPs are expected to improve overall performance,
CODAS integration in SSP prioritization and selection process
these findings and criteria will help Six Sigma practitioners
in the healthcare industry. The standard deviation-based com-
conduct successful SSPs in healthcare industry. As the final
parison was proposed to overcome subjectivity in computing
outcome of the integrated AHP–CODAS method, SSP8 is
threshold value in CODAS.
identified as the most important project among the ten SSPs
Additionally, it is known that criteria weights influence the al-
analyzed in this article. The Executive Committee of the Six
ternative rankings in MCDM methods. These effects are known
Sigma organization may utilize the results of this article to pri-
as importance weights. In this article, AHP was integrated
oritize ten alternative SSPs and allocate resources to those SSPs
into the proposed methodology, and DMs played a key role in
accordingly.
determining the criteria weights. In AHP, pairwise comparisons
of DMs related to the superiority of criteria were considered to
V. CONCLUSION obtain the effect of each criterion on decision.
Given that organizations have limited resources to allocate This article proposes a hybrid MCDM method including AHP
to varying needs and that all potential projects cannot be and CODAS to help Six Sigma practitioners prioritize and select
conducted simultaneously, project prioritization and selection relatively more important SSPs and allocate limited resources
is a paramount and complex decision-making problem for in an objective way in a dynamic decision-making environment
Six Sigma practitioners. The AHP and CODAS hybridization in healthcare industry. This article also significantly helps DMs

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3598 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT, VOL. 70, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2023

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3600 IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT, VOL. 70, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2023

[93] J. Chen and R. G. Askin, “Project selection, scheduling and resource Pelin Toktaş received the B.S. degree in statis-
allocation with time dependent returns,” Eur. J. Oper. Res., vol. 193, tics from Middle East Technical Univesity, Ankara,
no. 1, pp. 23–34, 2009. Turkey, in 1997, the M.S. degree in industrial engi-
[94] S. Lifvergren, I. Gremyr, A. Hellström, A. Chakhunashvili, and B. neering from Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey, in
Bergman, “Lessons from Sweden’s first large-scale implementation of six 2000, and the Ph.D. degree in statistics from Ankara
sigma in healthcare,” Oper. Manage. Res., vol. 3, no. 3–4, pp. 117–128, University, Ankara, Turkey, in 2011.
2010. Between 1999 and 2002, she worked as an Instruc-
[95] D. Adebanjo, T. Laosirihongthong, and P. Samaranayake, “Prioritizing tor with the Department of Industrial Engineering,
lean supply chain management initiatives in healthcare service opera- Faculty of Engineering, Çankaya University, Ankara,
tions: A fuzzy AHP approach,” Prod. Planning Control, vol. 27, no. 12, Turkey. She is currently working with Engineering
pp. 953–966, 2016. Faculty, Industrial Engineering Department, Başkent
[96] S. Bisgaard and J. Freiesleben, “Six sigma and the bottom line,” Qual. University, Ankara, Turkey, as an Assistant Professor. She has various articles
Prog., vol. 37, no. 9, pp. 57–62, 2004. and many studies presented at various national and international conferences.
[97] T. L. Saaty, “Decision making with the analytical hierarchy process,” Int. Her research interests include the statistical analysis and its applications in in-
J. Service Sci., vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 83–98, 2008. dustrial engineering and social sciences, multicriteria decision making methods,
[98] K. Teknomo, “Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) tutorial,” 2006. [On- and statistical quality control applications.
line]. Available: http://people.revoledu.com/kardi/tutorial/ahp/
[99] T. L. Saaty, Theory and Applications of the Analytic Network Process:
Decision Making With Benefits, Opportunities, Costs, and Risks. Pitts-
burgh, PA, USA: RWS Publications, 2005, p. 21.
[100] N. Mead and P. Bower, “Patient-centredness: A conceptual framework
and review of the empirical literature,” Social Sci. Med., vol. 51, no. 7, Fatma Pakdil (Fellow, IEEE) received the B.S. de-
pp. 1087–1110, 2000. gree in econometrics, the MBA and the Ph.D. de-
[101] M. T. Jarrar, M. S. Minai, M. Al-Bsheish, A. Meri, and M. Jaber, grees in management and organization from Uludag
“Hospital nurse shift length, patient-centered care, and the perceived University, Bursa, Turkey, in 1993, 1996, and 2002,
quality and patient safety,” Int. J. Health Planning Manage., vol. 34, respectively.
no. 1, pp. e387–e396, 2019. She is currently a Professor of management at the
Eastern Connecticut State University, Willimantic,
CT, USA. From 2003 to 2015, she was a Professor
of industrial engineering with Baskent University,
Gülin Feryal Can (Fellow, IEEE) was born in Di- Ankara, Turkey. She worked as a Visiting Profes-
yarbakır, Turkey, in 1982. She received the B.S. de- sor with Auburn University, Auburn, AL, USA for
gree in industrial engineering and the M.S. degree Academy of Aerospace Quality Project between August 2014 and August 2015.
in production management and planning from the She has authored/coauthored peer-reviewed articles in journals such as Admin-
University of Kocaeli, İzmit, Turkey, in 2004 and istration and Society, International Journal of Intercultural Relations, Interna-
2006, respectively, and the Ph.D. degree in indus- tional Journal of Production Research, International Journal of Cross-Cultural
trial engineering from Kocaeli University, Kocaeli, Management, and Transportation Research Part C and presented in numerous
Turkey, in 2013. national and international conferences. Her research interests include quality
Between 2006 and 2013, she worked as an Indus- engineering, statistical process control, lean production and management, Six
trial Engineer in different public institutions and in Sigma, and quality improvement in healthcare.
different companies in the private sector. In 2013, Prof. Pakdil was the recipient of the Undergraduate Research and Creative
she started to work as an Assistant Professor with Faculty of Engineering, Activity Mentor Award in 2021 and the CSU-AAUP Research Award in 2018 at
Department of Industrial Engineering, Başkent University, Ankara, Turkey. She ECSU. She was also awarded by the Turkish National Scientific and Technolog-
has authored three book chapters and more than 90 articles. Her research interests ical Council in 2011 and 2012. She wrote a book titled Performance Leadership
include multicriteria decision making, fuzzy logic and its different versions, with Dr. Leonard by Business Expert Press and a textbook titled Six Sigma for
ergonomics, work study, and lean manufacturing. Students: A Problem Solving Methodology published by Palgrave-Macmillan
Dr. Can is an Associate Editor of the Ergonomics International Journal. and Springer in December 2020.

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