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A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
This manuscript was handled by Emmanouil Development and use of global, continental, and country scale hydrological models has attracted an increasing
Anagnostou, Editor-in-Chief attention over the last two decades. Though developed countries are a head in development and assessment of
these models, most developing countries, if not all, even do not have their own models. Therefore, an appropriate
Keywords: model selection process is necessary for these regions to improve the skill in hydrological modelling and pre
Hydrological model selection
diction at the local-to-global scales. Therefore, a framework for model selection is provided to help hydrological
Developing countries
modelers from various skills. Keeping the framework in view, this paper reviews 70 representative models to
Spatio-temporal scales
Hydrological signatures provide a lucid pathway of selecting models at global, continental and country scales over catchment scale
Testing scheme models. In the process, strengths and weaknesses of models designed for each spatial extension are examined
depending on their spatio-temporal resolutions, the model parameterization schemes for representing multiple
hydrological processes, and the number of parameters. We summarize testing schemes to assess models to decide
among multiple similar models. Finally, we summarize the remaining challenges and discuss future research
directions.
* Corresponding author at: Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,
Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.
E-mail address: zhangyq@igsnrr.ac.cn (Y. Zhang).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2021.126561
Received 15 April 2021; Received in revised form 2 June 2021; Accepted 8 June 2021
Available online 10 June 2021
0022-1694/© 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
and technical capacity for model simulation. Fortunately, developing 2. Selection strategy of hydrological models
countries has dedicated into the development of certain country-scale
models such as the Satellite based Hydrological Model (SHM) (Paul For appropriate selection of hydrological model, at first, the purpose
et al., 2018, 2019a). Therefore, proper selection of a hydrological model of the study should be very clear (Addor and Melsen, 2018). For
from representative hydrological models (developed for other areas) example, planning, design and engineering operation for the control and
could facilitate an improved skill in hydrological modelling, which use of water, study of hydrological cycle, interaction between organisms
would be of help for decreasing vulnerabilities in water resources and the hydrological cycle, presence and movement of groundwater,
management in developing countries. Nevertheless, every modeler has adaptation of information technology to hydrology, study of the transfer
their own perception of natural conditions such as landscape variability of water and energy, snow melt analysis along with cryosphere model
and the components of hydrological cycle. In this context, the selection ling, hydrologic processes that operate at or near earth’s surface, water
of an appropriate model should depend on the adequacy for the research storage in the form of reservoir and flood protection, biosphere model
questions including the study purpose, the landscape of the region, and ling and chemical characteristics of water in rivers and lakes, both of
the spatio-temporal scales. However, previous studies focusing on ‘hy pollutants and natural solutes. If the purpose is clear, then we should go
drological model selection’ are often chosen according to the legacy, for identifying the appropriate model depending on the representation
practicality, convenience, experience and habit (Table 1). Furthermore, of the processes, fluxes and credibility for different climatic conditions
these studies only focus on a few models, which are not able to represent and physiographic settings. Then, we should focus on availability of
comprehensive selection scenarios for global requirements. model codes, requirements of data and spatio-temporal resolution of the
Having recognized above needs, the aim of this paper is to represent model. However, we should have model credibility testing to identify
a pathway of model selection for application in developing countries by the better model among a few similar ones. To be precise, if situation
comprehensively reviewing the representative hydrological models. In comes when we have every data and requirements of a few models and
the process, a framework for model selection is provided to help hy they also serve our objectives, we need to select only one. Then we must
drological modelers from various skills. Besides, we keep in mind the go for a credibility testing of the models to determine the best one to use.
perspective of global, continental, and country scale models over
catchment scale models. In the process, strengths and weaknesses of
each model are examined depending on their spatio-temporal scales, the 2.1. Representations of the hydrological processes and fluxes
way they represent the complex hydrological processes and the number
of parameters. We summarize a series of model testing schemes to Ideally, a complete hydrological model would represent the
determine the most suitable one from multiple similar models, in case following water balance components and fluxes: total precipitation
there is a dilemma in selection. Finally, the remaining challenges are (including both snow and rain), interception storage, evaporation,
summarized and future research directions are discussed. Thus, this throughfall, transpiration, snowmelt, surface storage (e.g., micro de
paper may serve as a comprehensive tool for hydrologists all over the pressions, lake and reservoir storage), overland flow, soil storage,
world to have quick and detailed information about 70 representative recharge to shallow aquifer, capillary rise, and intermediate flow
models, prior to select an appropriate one. (Trambauer et al., 2013). It is to be noted that a more complex model
may not necessarily lead to better results (Orth et al., 2015). For
Table 1
Summary of model selection studies.
Study Models’ Name of models Process Dependency of model selection Recommendations
number
Addor and Melsen, 7 HBV, VIC, mHM, Bibilographic study Legacy rather than adequacy Model comparisons and modular
2018 TOPMODEL, PRMS, GR4J, model framework
SAC
Onyutha, 2016 5 IHACRES, SAC, SIMHYD Auto calibration and model (1) Spatio temporal scales of inputs, Model should be selected on a case
TANK, AWBM evaluation for extreme flows (2) calibration method, (3) by case basis with respect to the
compatibility with data availability objectives and models’ comparison.
and catchments
Zhang et al., 2016a, 3 GR4J, HYDROLOG, H08, Comparison with CABLE Monthly and interannual runoff Models can be improved through
2016b model variability calibrating some of the more
sensitive and less physically based
parameters
Kovář et al., 2016 2 KINFIL physically-based 2D Model Calibration Ensembles of ANNs are a promising Use ANNs
model, and ANN model approach
Sun and Krajewski, 6 Combined rain loss and (1–3 Calibration scheme A preferred model structure alters A calibration objective should be
2013 reservoir structures), Horton with a calibration objective carefully chosen to reflect the aim
rain loss and (1–3 reservoir of a modelling practice
structures)
Gudmundsson 9 GWAVA, H08, H-TESSEL, Ability to capture the mean Annual runoff cycle simulation Model performance is related to the
et al., 2012 JULES, LPJmL, annual runoff cycle is model assumptions
MATSIRO, MPI-HM, assessed
ORCHIDEE, WATERGAP
Surfleet et al., 3 VIC, PRMS, GSFLOW Evaluation of prediction (a) Appropriate parameterization of Appropriate model
2012a, Surfleet uncertainty associated with the models and (b) estimates of parameterization and uncertainty
et al. 2012b climate change assessment uncertainty associated with the analysis is required
modelling approach.
Haddeland et al., 11 GWAVA, H08, HTESSEL, Model intercomparison Uncertainty of model simulation The results show that differences
2011 JULES, LPJmL, MacPDM, between models are a major source
MATSIRO, MPI-HM, of uncertainty
Orchidee, VIC, WaterGAP
Marshall et al., 4 Traditional AWBM, AWBM Bayesian process to decide Uncertainty of model simulation Model should be selected on
2005 structure with 2, 3 and 4 soil model structures uncertainty analysis results
moisture stores
2
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
example, inclusion of the snow-water–ice dynamics may not be useful preferred. Similar concern is also true for models’ input since certain
for drought predictions, but incorporating the groundwater process does input data can be scarce in many regions of the globe (Brocca et al.,
so. However, snow-water–ice dynamics is an integrated part for cryo 2020). For above reasons, it is suggested that there should be a trade-off
spheric modelling (Khadka et al., 2020). Because, water stored as snow between the data availability and process representation (Jehn et al.,
and ice is a critical contributor to the world’s available freshwater 2019). It should be worthwhile to highlight that the spatial resolution of
supply and is essential to the sustenance of natural ecosystems, agri most of the input data for current hydrological models are typically
culture, and human societies (Amanambu et al., 2020). To be precise, it coarse (Reinecke et al., 2020). However, grid cell resolution is depen
models the distribution of water-mass due to movement of water be dent on computation time, simulation cost and machine capability (Paul
tween and within the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, and ocean et al., 2018). While downscaling the input to finer scales to run the
(Dobslaw et al., 2010). Moreover, climate, ecology, the cryosphere, and model with finer grid size may lead to extra effort; they may still not
hydrology are interconnected in cold regions (Chen et al., 2014). In this yield a better performance (Sen and Tarboton, 2016). At this point the
region, glacier is one of the primary climate indicators (Radić and Hock, users should choose a suitable grid cell size for model simulation
2011). The mass change of glaciers alters the hydrologic regime in these maintaining the trade-off with computation time, simulation cost and
areas. Besides, the long-term changes include thawing permafrost and machine capability. The same may be the case with the temporal reso
altered hydrology related to permafrost dynamics and changes in snow lution. Some models may have an hourly temporal resolution, but if the
regime that lead to landscape drying and plant water stress (Callaghan required input meteorological data is available only at a daily resolu
et al., 2011). Therefore, clear understanding of connections between the tion, then the use of the finer temporal resolution may only take extra
climate, cryosphere, and streamflow is necessary to make informed computation time without leading to meaningful/usable results.
decisions regarding water resources (Mosier et al., 2016). So, it requires Therefore, user should pay focus on this point as well. Moreover, user
implementation of cryosphere hydrology models that are robust across should consider parameters (in number) into account in the process,
geographic domains and climatic conditions (Woolway et al., 2020). So, also. Because, a model consists of various parameters that define the
cryosphere modelling becomes complex in comparison to usual hydro watershed characteristics and hydrological processes (Devia et al.,
logical modelling (Azmat et al., 2016). 2015). The lower the number of parameters will be, the easier the model
Due to relative balance of heat fluxes changes over time and loca will be to calibrate, as the process will be less complex.
tions, energy balance i.e. physically based cryosphere models are theo
retically more robust under altered climate and geographic settings 2.3. Model credibility
(Kustas et al., 1994; Sicart et al., 2008; Huss et al., 2009). On the other
hand, conceptual cryosphere models require fewer input data than en Keeping linkage with the previous two criteria, the processes and
ergy balance models. Therefore, these are often considered “good spatio-temporal resolution that are the most meaningful for simulating
enough” to implement for data-sparse regions (e.g., Hagg et al., 2007; the objective wise conditions in respective climatic and physiographic
Jung and Chang, 2011; Lutz et al., 2014). However, several of the energy situations must be regarded. In spite of considering these criteria, we can
balance inputs are even more sparsely measured in certain areas like have two or more models in hand simultaneously which are appropriate
mountain environments than precipitation and temperature and often for application. However, we need only one for a particular case. In this
vary significantly over short spatio-temporal scales. For example, wind context, it is necessary to test all of them first for selecting a better one.
speed linearly scales each convective heat flux (i.e., sensible and latent) Thus, the testing results may ensure successful selection of a model from
and is therefore necessary for energy balance models. The spatial dis a few pre-selected similar models. Meanwhile, thorough testing is
tribution of wind speed is, however, difficult to characterize even if essential for different physiographic and climatic conditions to under
there are measurements of wind speed within the region (Marks et al., stand the detailed credibility of any model (Klemeš, 1986). Therefore, at
1992; Marks and Winstral, 2001). Therefore, it allows consideration of the time of development every developer should perform a credibility
whether including variables such as wind speed improves or reduces testing of the model to establish the developed model for a proper future
model performance in a given application. Moreover, for model per usage.
formance to be robust, the means by which a model calculates output In short, we summarize a framework/flowchart for optimum model
must be representative of the entire range of physical conditions being selection (Fig. 1). This may help the modeler to select model, wisely.
modeled (both climatic regimes and geographies). However, there can
be a compromise/addition between model complexity and efficiency, as 3. Assessment of representative hydrological models for
per objective. It is therefore important to consider the purpose of the selection
modelling at first when choosing an appropriate model.
Global, continental, and country scale models have been applied
2.2. Availability of codes, data requirements, spatio-temporal resolution over varying spatio-temporal scales. It is therefore reliable to use one of
and parameters these models as per objective and related signatures in developing
countries. However, we can select other models also if their previous
The first criterion deals with the represented processes and fluxes of applications do match the spatio-temporal scale of the selected study
the models, as discussed in previous sub-section. Meanwhile, we have to area. Nevertheless, the availability of data and code, number of pa
check the availability of codes of the appropriate models before rameters and spatio-temporal scale will be the final criteria to select the
advancing toward next steps (Kauffeldt et al., 2016). Because, if a model model. Therefore, we need to, at first, go through a robust classification
is appropriate but with unavailable code; then there is no point to go scheme.
further with that model for obvious reason. Besides, including all the
possible processes does not necessarily lead to a better performance of 3.1. Classification of hydrological models
the model if the necessary data are not available (soil, elevation, land
use and land cover, rainfall, temperature, which may vary model to There are many hydrological models with unique and common
model). In fact, this may result in a worse performance when comparing characteristics that are being developed day by day (Wang et al., 1996;
with a simpler model (Orth et al., 2015). For example, a detailed rep Danish Hydraulic Institute (DHI), 2004). In this case, the unique and
resentation of groundwater flows and tables would be very relevant for common characteristics of many models make classifications of hydro
applications all over the world. However, the lack of information on the logical models an important issue, which would be vital for an accurate
hydrogeology and groundwater tables in any region makes this detail identification of the capabilities and limitations of each model. Proper
representation pointless, thus a simpler representation may be classification can be helpful for engineers, experts and researchers to
3
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
4
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
Hydrological Models
Model structure Time scale based Space scale based Spatial discretization Stochasticity based
based Classification classification classification based classification classification
Medium Size
Conceptual Model Distributed model
Event based model catchment model
Deterministic model
Continental Scale
Hybrid Model Country Scale Hydrological Model
Hydrological model
Global Scale
Hydrological model
HYMOD
TANK
AWBM
(B) SAC model
SIMHYD
(C) XAJ
WRF-Hydro
GR4J
(D) HL-RDHM
PCR-GLOBWB HBV SHM SPHY
W3RA TOPLATS NWM HYDROLOG
Macro-PDM PRMS
E-HYPE MODCOU TOPMODEL
WaterGAP AWRA-L
G2G HEC-HMS
WASMOD-M DK Model MIKE-SHE
GWAVA
(MaRIUS)
NSIDC-model ParFlow
NOAH-MP SWIM PIHM
WBMplus SNTHERM ISBA-TRIP
H08 (H07) CROCUS
JULES IHACRES
MPI-HM SNOWPACK PREVAH
CLM LISFLOOD SHI-model DHSVM
VIC MATSIRO FEST-WB
SWAT SAST GSM-SOCONT
ITGG 2.0-R
OGGM PROMET
GloGEM SNOWMOD
TOPKAPI
WASIM-ETH
WATFLOOD
abcd
WEB-DHM
DBHM
BETHY
LEAF-2
UAF-GIPL 2.0
ISNOBAL
Fig. 3. Spatial scale wise classification of selected hydrological models in stacked Venn diagram. (A) Catchment scale (B) Country scale, (C) Continental, (D) Global
models. It is considered that all coarser scaled models can be applied in finer scaled conditions.
Also, models are becoming more complex and resolute as more become more and more challenging because of the spatially distributed
functionality is added to these. Besides, finer global spatial datasets are parameters. To solve the problem, different automatic calibration
becoming available. In this manner, issues of the sensitivity of models to schemes are being used. However, clear knowledge of the auto cali
varying spatial and temporal scales of input data have become promi bration processes, computational facility and cost do play a big role in
nent (Döll et al., 2008). In addition, calibration processes has also the process. However, global, continental, and country scale models may
5
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
Fig. 4. Year wise evolution and different variations of representative hydrological models. ‘Blue’ line indicates recent model development window. (For inter
pretation of the references to colour in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.)
provide valuable spatial and temporal estimates of worldwide water 3.2. Summary of the signatures of selected hydrological models
resources (at least of considerable parts), which is conducive to analyze
the possible projections/scenarios of changes of those estimates. In The complexities of the models vary based on the objectives. Struc
addition, these multi-scale estimates of water resources obtained tural issues, such as the number of soil layers, the number of land use
through the models may be an improvement over those data, which are classifications, irrigation water applications and reservoir storage are
simply based on the statistical analysis of ground-based observed data, dealt differently in different models (Sood and Smakhtin, 2015). The
the latter remains limited and, hence, contains a lot of uncertainty at a structural differences are also related to inclusion of vegetation growth
large scale (Rodda, 1995). models, different types of bucket model (such as leaky bucket, non-leaky
bucket), snow-water–ice dynamics i.e. water phases, liquid treatment,
6
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
physical equations, snow density, layering and permafrost/glacier parameters through calibration (Krishna and Sudheer, 2020). The pa
treatment, calibration process and number of parameters (Sood and rameters in any distributed hydrological models exist at different spatial
Smakhtin, 2015). scales. In fact, some parameters are at watershed level, while some are at
Therefore, their technical features such as simulation capability of sub-basin level or at HRU level (Her et al., 2015). On the other hand,
reservoirs, snow dynamics, irrigation, crop/vegetation setup, ground when we consider them we only identify them as a single parameter.
water have been summarized in Fig. 5 and more details are provided in Because depending on spatial heterogeneity the values of that particular
Table s1 in the supplementary document. With the information of parameter changes, not the nature of the parameter. Ideally, all of them
technical features, a user will be able to select a model he/she wants to are to be calibrated, but it increases the complexity of the optimization
use. However, it needs to be noted that the ‘TANK’ model does not pass during calibration (Her et al., 2015; Krishna and Sudheer, 2020).
any requirements for the selection. Therefore, it becomes an easy choice Therefore, a generic procedure is to uniformly perturb the parameters
to avoid at the time of model selection. Along with these regular fea across the watershed (at different spatial scales) from their default
tures, a few unique features (water phases, liquid treatment, physical values to maintain the spatial heterogeneity (Her et al., 2015). So, we
equations, snow density, layering and permafrost/glacier treatment) of should be careful at the time of calibration of those parameters. In this
ten selected cryosphere models are summarized in Table 2. condition, we compare the number of parameters and temporal scales of
In this circumstance, details of code availability are summarized in global, continental, and country scale models.
Table 3. It is evident that only 30 models have open source codes among Comparison of all global scale models against the number of pa
the 70 selected models. Besides, GWAVA, G2G (MaRIUS), LISFLOOD rameters and temporal scales clearly helps in decision making on their
only provide the executable programs. Meanwhile, MATSIRO and SWIM usage (Fig. 6). In particular, all models simulate at a daily scale except
codes are available upon request. On the other hand, PCR-GLOBWB code for H08 (H07) and OGGM models which simulate at 3 h and monthly
is under preparation for being available. scale, respectively. On the other hand, their parameter numbers vary
Among the models with available codes, Variable Infiltration Ca from 3 (MPI-HM and OGGM) to 42 (NOAH-MP). Depending on the in
pacity (VIC) and SWAT models have not only their codes available for formation, users may choose the optimum models for application. Thus,
the user but also with good documentation and discussion forum of the analysis proves to be truth for the increased use of SWAT and VIC
users. Thus, the number of users of VIC and SWAT has been greatly models.
increasing over last few years in comparison to other models, which is Comparison of all country-scale models against the number of pa
especially evident in developing countries (Wi et al., 2017). However, rameters and temporal scales shows that all models simulate in the daily
use of HEC-HMS and MIKE-SHE is much limited. This is because the user scale except for G2G (Marius) (0.25 h/15 min), NWM (6 h), JULES (1 h),
needs to purchase the codes. In addition, most of country-scale models’ and SNTHERM (0.01 h/900 s) (Fig. 7). On the other hand, their numbers
codes are not freely available, which is a major restriction in the way of of parameters vary from 5 (G2G (Marius), and NWM) to 35 (CROCUS)
their usage. Due to unavailability of codes, 31 models (Table 3) are (Fig. 7). Depending on the information, user may select the optimum
comparably limitedly used. models for application in this case. However, the compatibility of the
database and available data over the countries may play an important
3.3. Comparison of Spatio-temporal scales and the number of parameters role in the model selection.
The comparison of all continental-scale models (other than the
Generally, distributed hydrologic models comprise of large number global and country scale models in Figs. 6 and 7) are performed in Fig. 8
of unknown parameters, and model’s efficacy in simulating the hydro against the number of parameters and temporal scale. The figure depicts
logical processes depends heavily on the accurate estimation of these that all the models simulate in the daily scale. On the other hand, their
7
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
Table 2
Summary of unique signatures of selected cryosphere models.
Model Physical Water phases Layering Liquid water treatment Snow density Permafrost/
equations Glacier treatment
OGGM Mass-balance Ice, Liquid water Single Gravitational flow Function of mass balance Yes
GloGEM Energy-mass Air, Ice, Liquid 10 layers Temperature based treatment Function of mass balance Yes
balance water
SAST Energy-mass Dry air, Ice, 3 layers Liquid water–holding capacity Function of mass balance and compaction None
balance Liquid water as function of snow density
NSIDC- Energy- Ice, Liquid water 3 layers Temperature based treatment Calibration Parameter Yes
model balance
SNTHERM Energy-mass Ice, Liquid water, Multilayers/3 Gravitational flow Function of mass balance and compaction None
balance Vapor layers
CROCUS Energy-mass Ice, Liquid water, Multilayers Function of weather condition Function of weather condition Yes
balance Vapor
SNOWPACK Energy-mass Air, Ice, Liquid Multilayers As a function of viscosity As microstructure with the size, shape and None
balance water, Vapor bonding of the grains composing the ice
lattice
UAF-GIPL Energy- Dry air, Ice, Multilayers Temperature based treatment Function of energy/mass balance Yes
2.0 balance Liquid water
SHI-model Energy- Dry air, Ice, 4 layers Temperature based treatment Function of energy balance Yes
balance Liquid water
ISNOBAL Energy- Dry air, Ice, 2 layers Function of snow cover Function of temperature None
balance Liquid water, saturation
Vapor
Table 3
Summary of code availability of different models.
Note: ‘Green’, ‘Blue’ and ‘Red’ colours represent global, continental and country scale models respectively. The others are catchment scale models.
numbers of parameters vary from 4 (WBMplus) to 80 (SWIM). applied at different range of scales, they have been developed for global
Depending on the information, user may choose optimum models for scale studies (Beck et al., 2016). Meanwhile, they would not be the
application. preferred choice in basin-scale applications, due to their coarser reso
We further compare the spatial scales of all global, continental, and lution and poor local applicability.
country scale models in Table 4. It shows that global scale models
simulate in coarser resolutions than the country-scale models. Though,
the cryosphere models namely OGGM and GloGEM are the exceptions in 3.4. Testing of hydrological models
comparison to their country and continental scale counter parts. How
ever, the database compatibility in different regions may be an issue to Any model should be tested against observations to check its appli
use a-country scale model over a global scale model for regional studies. cability, capacity, and capability in different spatio-temporal scales
Moreover, the explosion of global data availability from satellites in the (Klemeš, 1986). It may help in selecting the best model for a specific
last two decades has an influence on the development of global hydro purpose from multiple eligible models. With increasing number of newly
logical model (Tang et al., 2009). Although some global models are developed models, several contradictions have emerged regarding the
various claims of model applicability and lack of documentation for
8
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
GloGEM
SHI-model
500 m
SAST
<1 km
0.5◦
OGGM
SNOWPACK
200–250 m
′
5
SWAT
E-HYPE
HRU
HRU
CROCUS
1 km
◦
VIC
Fig. 6. Comparison of the number of parameters and temporal scales of global
0.1
scale models. Note: Size of the 2D-bubbles indicates the time scale of the
models. All models are of 24 h scale except H08 (H07) and OGGM, which are of
SNTHERM
Watershed
3 h and monthly scales, respectively.
3.125 km
CLM
30 arc s-1 km
TOPLATS
NSIDC-model
MPI-HM
◦
0.5
25 km
H08 (H07)
◦
1 /0.5
DK Model
500 m
◦
SWIM
HRU
NOAH-MP
Fig. 7. Comparison of the number of parameters and temporal scales of
JULES
1 km
◦
country-scale models. Note: Size of the 2D-bubbles indicates the time scale of
1/8
the models. All models are of 24 h scale except G2G (Marius) (0.25 h/15 min),
NWM (6 h), JULES (1 h) and SNTHERM (0.01 h/900 s).
Any resolution
0.5 /0.1
GWAVA
◦
MATSIRO
AWRA-L
Sub-grid
Summary of spatial resolution currently used for different global scale and country scale models.
WASMOD-M
MODCOU
Note: The spatial resolution of models may vary depending on the input data resolution
1–8 km
◦
0.5
WaterGAP
250 m
NWM
LISFLOOD
Sub-grid
◦
0.5
Continental Scale model (Other than above global and country scale model)
continental-scale models (other than global and country scale models). Note:
Size of the 2D-bubbles indicates the time scale of the models. All models are of
24 h scale.
◦
0.5
1 km
WBMplus
1–5 km
SHM
1
0.5◦
about reality and the model must be evaluated against independent data
Catchment
truth’’ i.e. verify a model means to demonstrate its truth (Oreskes et al.,
Country scale model
Grid resolution
Grid resolution
Name
Name
Name
9
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
et al., 2005; Schaefli and Gupta, 2007; Gupta et al., 2009). Along with country, and catchment scale models in view. It shows that there is a
that, important guidelines for the validation process are given by breadth of issues to consider when undertaking a model selection
strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) analysis (Hill process.
and Westbrook, 1997), a tool for strategic planning that can be used to
evaluate these four aspects associated with a model and its application. • No model is error free and is subject to update. This is due to
However, Klemeš (1986) represented a scheme for the credibility of any compromise in model structures to balance with computation capa
model over different spatial and temporal conditions, i.e. for stationary bility and objective (Mcmillan et al., 2011). Nevertheless, a newly
and transient conditions. Depending on these studies and inspired by the updated/developed model for a specific area can improve upon the
testing scheme of Klemeš (1986), credibility testing of the multiple previous models. Therefore, if required and if possible, it may be
global, continental, and country scale hydrological models is summa better to develop a new model for a new study in a particular country
rized in Fig. 9. or region rather than selecting a model which has been developed for
The previous studies using hierarchical operational testing and other places. In that case, balancing of complexities of model inputs,
comparison of a model with other well-established models have been model structure, and the number of parameters is a challenge
summarized in Tables 5 and 6, respectively, to represent the validity of (Refsgaard and Knudsen, 1996).
the summarized classification scheme. The two tables also show the path • Model selection is difficult due to unavailability of model input,
on how to identify a single model from multiple similar models. Besides, model structure complexity and complicated parameterization (Xie
it is clear that there are very rear applications of all the steps of hier and Lian, 2013). Moreover, a complex model does not mean it could
archical operational testing, altogether. In theory, it is highly important provide better results (Orth et al., 2015). For this reason, a simpler
to apply all the steps altogether; but in practice, most of the steps are model is still preferable if the study purpose does not require detailed
separately applied in different studies, since current hydrological model representation of the complex hydrological processes such as irri
applications often consist of split sample test (Refsgaard and Knudsen, gation and groundwater dynamics. However, the data availability in
1996; Loague and Freeze, 1985; Paul et al., 2019a). Then only the real particular format and resolution is of utmost importance and chal
credibility of a model will be identified for data available condition. lenging to deal with.
Consequently, Table 6 shows that in most of the cases, SWAT is • It is challenging yet necessary to balance user skills for selecting a
considered as the widely-used model when comparing with other suitable model. As there are different levels of hydrological modelers
models (Mannschatz et al., 2016). However, there is no available study and their skills also vary from beginner to experienced; model se
which has performed hierarchical operational testing and comparison lection process gets biased. The beginners, first of all, may not have
with other established models for a complete model testing. Therefore, sufficient knowledge to understand the capability of a model for a
application of this testing scheme may be helpful for selecting an particular study. On the other hand, experienced modelers will have
appropriate hydrological model from multiple similar models. surely that idea. Besides, the beginners may be interested in using
graphical user interface based models. Meanwhile, experienced
4. Challenges and future Research directions modelers will focus on the modelling processes and parameteriza
tion. Thus, a popularity index may help to solve the issue, which is a
4.1. Challenges challenging task for the researchers (Mannschatz et al., 2016).
• All models are not available in a single platform with listed advan
A comprehensive review of 70 representative hydrological models tages, disadvantages and other details. Moreover, certain model
has been conducted in this study surrounding year of development, manuals are also not available. The manuals are written sometimes
objectives, and different signatures along with spatial and temporal in local languages other than English. Therefore, the best solution
resolutions of the models to compare with each other to underpin a may be to organize all the models and related information in a single
selection way-out for developing countries keeping global, continental, platform (preferably web inventory), which will facilitate the inter-
Comparison of the
outputs of respective
Stationary Conditions Transient Conditions
models for similar
conditions
Proxy basin
Proxy basin test/ Differential Split
Split -Sample Test differential split
Regionalization study Sample Test
sample test
10
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
11
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
Table 6
Summary of studies carrying on to compare a model with other well-established model/models.
Name of the models Number of Difference in structure Authors Purpose of study Remarks
compared models
compared
SWAT-HRU and 2 SWAT with HRU and grid Manguerra and Hydrologic parameterization of Differences in discretization scheme
SWAT-grid configuration Engel, 1998 watershed for runoff prediction did not result into any significant
discrepancies in estimated
streamflow hydrographs
HSPF and SWAT 2 Grid-based models with HRU- Singh et al., 2004 To verify the simulation abilities of the Both models show poor simulation
based SWAT model models on monthly and annual basis for low flows
MIKE-SHE and SWAT 2 Fully distributed, grid-based El-Nasr et al., Modelling the hydrology of a catchment Both models are equally able to
MIKE SHE and the semi- 2005 using a distributed and a semi- simulate the hydrology in the basin,
distributed, HRU-based SWAT distributed model despite MIKE SHE predicted the
overall variation of streamflow
slightly better.
HSPF and SWAT 2 Grid-based models with HRU- Im et al., 2007 For runoff and sediment yield prediction Both the SWAT and HSPF watershed
models based SWAT model models performed sufficiently well
in the simulation of stream flow and
sediment yield with HSPF
performing moderately better than
SWAT for simulation time-steps
greater than a month
SWAT, HSPF and 3 Grid-based models with HRU- Nasr et al., 2007 For modelling exported phosphorus A high resolution grid approach
SHETRAN/GOPC based SWAT model would include the impact of an
upslope grid cell on a downslope grid
cell and provide accurate spatial
detailed output.
Modified SWAT with 4 Modified SWAT model, with Arnold et al., To identify an appropriate spatially The advantage of the catena and grid
four discretization landscape routing method, to 2010 distributed representation of basin models is that the impacts of spatial
schemes: lumped, compare model simulation hydrology and nutrient transport changes in land use and BMPs on the
HRU, catena and results with four subdivision processes for sustainable river basin hillslope valley continuum can now
grid methods: lumped, HRU, catena management. be more realistically assessed
and grid
WASMOD and SWAT 2 Grid-based models with HRU- Li et al., 2011 To simulate the runoff and actual Both WASMOD and SWAT are
based SWAT model evapotranspiration (AET) in Yingluoxia proved to be suitable and
watershed, the upper reaches of Heihe satisfactory tools in simulating
River basin in northwest of China, to hydrological processes in the study
validate their performances in area, although both of them have
simulating hydrological processes strengths and limitations in
applications. WASMOD model may
be one of the promising alternatives
in hydrological modelling.
PRMS and GSFLOW 3 Two HRU-based models (PRMS Surfleet et al., For future climate change analysis The future changes can
with VIC model and GSFLOW) with grid-based 2012a, Surfleet quantitatively be attributed not only
VIC model (grid cell resolution et al. 2012b to the scale of the models but also to
( )◦
1 the ability of the models to represent
of ) the hydrological processes.
16
WaSim, SWAT, UHP- 4 Grid-based models with HRU- Cornelissen et al., For assessing the impact of land use and The major weakness of the
HRU, GR4J based SWAT model 2013 climate change on discharge in a hydrological models are the poor
tropical catchment representation of catchment soil
characteristics and their processes
related to runoff generation
SWAT and HSPF 2 Grid-based models with HRU- Hua and Lian, Uncertainty-based evaluation SWAT may have some advantage
based SWAT model 2013 when calibration data are lacking or
scarce.
HIT, RUSLE2 and 3 Grid-based models with HRU- Sommerlot et al., To evaluate the capabilities of The results of this study suggest
SWAT based SWAT model 2013 watershed-scale models in estimating caution should be exercised when
sediment yield using watershed-scale models for
field level decision-making, while
field specific data is of paramount
importance.
SWAT and DLBRM 2 Grid-based models with HRU- Zhang et al., For hydrological modelling of a Because of simplicity DLBRM seems
based SWAT model 2016a, 2016b mountainous watershed more suitable for hydrological
modelling
HRU and grid-based, 2 HRU and grid-based, SWAT Pignotti et al., Comparative analysis of HRU and grid- Grid-based structure under predicts
SWAT model model 2017 based SWAT models. streamflow by 5% to 50% with
respect to HRU-based model
SWAT and SHM 2 Grid-based models with HRU- Paul et al., 2019b Comparative Study of Two State-of-the- The analysis confirms the superiority
based SWAT model Art Semi-Distributed Hydrological of SHM over its counterpart.
Models
NSIDC-model, SHI- 3 Production of gridded active (Shiklomanov To compare gridded active layer No simple answer to the question
model and UAF- layer thickness (ALT) fields et al., 2007) thickness (ALT) fields ‘‘which model produced active layer
GIPL 2.0 field is better?’’
12
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
similar ones though testing. Finally, the challenges and future research PCRaster GLOBal Water Balance model (PCR-GLOBWB)
directions are summarized. Thus, this paper may serve as a compre Penman-Monteith (P-M)
hensive inventory of representative models, for hydrologists all over the Penn State Integrated Hydrologic Model (PIHM)
world, to have quick and detailed information. However, this study Pennsylvania State University (PSU)
should be carried on further by considering other models and focusing Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)
on the discussed challenges and future perspectives. Precipitation-Runoff Modeling System (PRMS)
PREcipitation-Runoff-EVApotranspiration HRU model (PREVAH)
6. Acronyms used in the paper Processes of Radiation, Mass and Energy Transfer (PROMET)
River-Transfer Hydrological Model (RiTHM)
ParFlow, A parallel watershed flow model SACRAMENTO (SAC) model
TOPMODEL, A TOPography based hydrological MODEL Satellite based hydrological model (SHM)
Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) SIMplified HYDrolog (SIMHYD)
Australian Water Balance Model (AWBM) SNow THERmal Model (SNTHERM)
Biosphere Energy Transfer Hydrology Model (BETHY) Snow–Atmosphere–Soil Transfer (SAST)
CASCade Two Dimensional (CASC2D) Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT)
Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization Soil and Water Integrated Model (SWIM)
(CSIRO) Soil Conservation Service-Curve Number (SCS-CN)
Community Land Model (CLM) Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP)
Danish Hydraulic Institute (DHI) Spatial Processes in Hydrology (SPHY)
Distributed biosphere hydrological model (DBHM) State Hydrological Institute (SHI)-model
Distributed Hydrological Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM) Surface water area model (SWAM)
Dynamic Watershed Simulation Model (DWSM) Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI)
European Hydrological Predictions for the Environment (E-HYPE) The Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (AORI), University of
Flash-Flood Event–Based Spatially Distributed Rainfall–Runoff Tokyo
Transformation–Water Balance (FEST-WB) The Australian Water Resource Assessment Landscape (AWRA-L)
Glacier and SnowMelt-SOil CONTribution (GSM-SOCONT) The Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), Australia
Global Glacier Evolution Model (GloGEM) The Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (CEH)
Global Hydrological Routing Algorithm (HYDRA) The Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization
Global Water Availability Assessment model (GWAVA) (CSIRO)
Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) The Engineer Research and Development Center of the United States
Gridded Surface Subsurface Hydrologic Analysis (GSSHA) Army Corps of Engineers (ERDC-USAE)
Grid-to-Grid (G2G)- Managing the Risks, Impacts and Uncertainties The Institute of Hydrology (IH), UK
of drought and water Scarcity (MaRIUS) model Great Britain The Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES)
Groundwater and Surface-water FLOW (GSFLOW) The National Institute of Environmental Studies (NIES)
HydroDynamic Model (HDTM 1.0)/Water Balance Model(WBM) The Soil Conservation Service (SCS)
plus/Water Balance Model-Water Transport Model (WBM-WTM) The TOPmodelbased Land–Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (TOPLATS)
Hydrologic Engineering Centre-Hydrological Modeling System The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA)
(HEC-HMS) TOPographic Kinematic APproximation and Integration (TOPKAPI)
Hydrologic Simulation Model (HYSIM) United State Department of Agriculture-Agriculture Research Service
Hydrological Simulation Program Fortran (HSPF) (USDA-ARS)
Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenavdelning (HBV) United States Geological Survey (USGS)
Hydrology tiled ECMWF scheme of Surface Exchanges over land University of Alaska Fairbanks–Geophysical Laboratory (UAF-GIPL)
(HTESSEL) 2.0
Identification of Unit Hydrographs and Component Flows from Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC)
Rainfall, Evaporation and Stream (IHACRES) Washington State University (WSU)
Interactions between Soil, Biosphere and Atmosphere- Total Runoff WASIM-ETH (Water Balance Simulation Model)
Integrating pathways (ISBA-TRIP) Water and energy budget-based distributed hydrological model
Lund-Postdam-Jena managed Land model (LPJmL) (WEB-DHM)
Macro-scale Probability Distributed Moisture Model (Macro-PDM) Water And Snow balance MODeling system (WASMOD-M)
Max Planck Institute Hydrology Model (MPI-HM) Water-Global Analysis and Prognosis (WaterGAP)
Mesoscale Hydrologic Model (mHM) Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF)-Hydro
MIKE-Systeme Hydrologique Europeen (SHE) World-Wide Water Resources Assessment (W3RA)
Minimal Advanced Treatments of Surface Interaction and Runoff Xinanjiang (XAJ)
(MATSIRO)
Modèle du Génie Rural à 4 paramètres Journalier (GR4J) CRediT authorship contribution statement
MODélisation COUplée (MODCOU)
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Pranesh Kumar Paul: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal
National Center for Atmospheric Research (NOAH) analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualiza
National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)-model tion, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing. Yongqiang
National Water Model (NWM) Zhang: Conceptualization, Funding acquisition, Investigation, Meth
National Water Resources Model for Denmark (DK Model) odology, Project administration, Resources, Supervision, Writing - re
Nedbør-Afstrømnings Model (NAM) (Danish Hydraulic Institute DHI) view & editing. Ning Ma: Validation, Visualization, Writing - review &
NAM editing. Ashok Mishra: Writing - review & editing. Niranjan Pani
NOAH Land Surface Model Multi-Physics (NOAH-MP) grahy: Writing - review & editing. Rajendra Singh: Writing - review &
Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM) editing.
Parameter Solution (Parasol)
13
P.K. Paul et al. Journal of Hydrology 600 (2021) 126561
Declaration of Competing Interest Devi, G.K., Ganasri, B.P., Dwarakish, G.S., 2015. A Review on Hydrological Models. 4
(Icwrcoe), 1001–1007. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aqpro.2015.02.126.
Dirmeyer, P.A., 2011. The terrestrial segment of soil moisture–climate coupling. L16702
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial Geophys. Res. Lett. 38 (16). https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048268.
interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence Dobslaw, H., Dill, R., Grötzsch, A., Brzezi, A., Thomas, M., 2010. Seasonal polar motion
the work reported in this paper. excitation from numerical models of atmosphere, ocean, and continental
hydrosphere. 115, 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JB007127.
Döll, P., Berkhoff, K., Bormann, H., Fohrer, N., Gerten, D., Hagemann, S., Krol, M., 2008.
Acknowledgements Advances and visions in large-scale hydrological modelling: findings from the 11th
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