Professional Documents
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12-1-2016
Gyula Pap
Recommended Citation
Bolyog, Beáta and Pap, Gyula (2016) "Conditions for Stationarity and Ergodicity of Two-factor Affine Diffusions," Communications on
Stochastic Analysis: Vol. 10 : No. 4 , Article 12.
DOI: 10.31390/cosa.10.4.12
Available at: https://digitalcommons.lsu.edu/cosa/vol10/iss4/12
Communications on Stochastic Analysis Serials Publications
Vol. 10, No. 4 (2016) 587-610 www.serialspublications.com
1. Introduction
We consider general 2-dimensional two-factor affine diffusion processes
( √
dYt = (a − bYt ) dt + σ1 Yt dWt ,
√ p (1.1)
dXt = (α − βYt − γXt ) dt + σ2 Yt (̺ dWt + 1 − ̺2 dBt ) + σ3 dLt ,
for t ∈ [0, ∞), where a ∈ [0, ∞), b, α, β, γ ∈ R, σ1 , σ2 , σ3 ∈ [0, ∞), ̺ ∈ [−1, 1]
and (Wt , Bt , Lt )t∈[0,∞) is a 3-dimensional standard Wiener process. Affine
processes are joint generalizations of continuous state branching processes and
Orstein–Uhlenbeck type processes, and they have applications in financial math-
ematics, see, e.g., in Duffie et al. [7]. The aim of the present paper is to extend
the results of Barczy et al. [1] for the processes given in (1.1), where the case of
β = 0, ̺ = 0, σ1 = 1, σ2 = 1, σ3 = 0 is covered. We give sufficient conditions
for the existence of a unique stationary distribution and exponential ergodicity,
see Theorems 3.1 and 4.1, respectively. These results can be used in a forthcoming
paper for studying parameter estimation for this model. An important observation
is that it is enough to prove the results for the special case of ̺ = 0, since there
is a non-singular linear transform of a 2-dimensional affine diffusion process which
is a special 2-dimensional affine diffusion process with ̺ = 0, see Proposition 2.5.
Otherwise, the method of the proofs are the same as in Barczy et al. [1].
D
denote the convergence in distribution and equality in distribution by −→ and
D
=, respectively.
We start with the definition of a two-factor affine process.
Definition 2.1. A time-homogeneous Markov process (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ with state
space R+ × R is called a two-factor affine process if its (conditional) characteristic
function takes the form
E(ei(u1 Yt +u2 Xt ) | (Y0 , X0 ) = (y0 , x0 ))
= exp{y0 G1 (t, u1 , u2 ) + x0 G2 (t, u1 , u2 ) + H(t, u1 , u2 )}, (u1 , u2 ) ∈ R2 ,
for (y0 , x0 ) ∈ R+ ×R, t ∈ R+ , where G1 (t, u1 , u2 ), G2 (t, u1 , u2 ), H(t, u1 , u2 ) ∈ C.
Let Ω, F , (Ft )t∈R+ , P be a filtered probability space satisfying the usual con-
ditions, i.e., (Ω, F , P) is complete, the filtration (Ft )t∈R+ is right-continuous and
F0 contains all the P-null sets in F . Let (Wt , Bt , Lt )t∈[0,∞) be a 3-dimensional
standard (Ft )t∈R+ -Wiener process.
The next proposition is about the existence and uniqueness of a strong solution
of the SDE (1.1).
Proposition 2.2. Let (η0 , ξ0 ) be a random vector independent of the pro-
cess (Wt , Bt , Lt )t∈R+ satisfying P(η0 ∈ R+ ) = 1. Then for all a ∈ R+ ,
b, α, β, γ ∈ R, σ1 , σ2 , σ3 ∈ R+ , ̺ ∈ [−1, 1], there is a (pathwise) unique strong
solution (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ of the SDE (1.1) such that P((Y0 , X0 ) = (η0 , ξ0 )) = 1 and
P(Yt ∈ R+ for all t ∈ R+ ) = 1. Further, for all s, t ∈ R+ with s 6 t, we have
Z t Z t p
Yt = e−b(t−s) Ys + a e−b(t−u) du + σ1 e−b(t−u) Yu dWu (2.1)
s s
and
Z t
Xt = e−γ(t−s) Xs + e−γ(t−u) (α − βYu ) du
s
Z t Z t (2.2)
p p
−γ(t−u) 2 −γ(t−u)
+ σ2 e Yu (̺ dWu + 1 − ̺ dBu ) + σ3 e dLu .
s s
Proof. Equation (1.1) is a special case of the equation (6.6) in Dawson and Li [6],
and Theorem 6.2 in Dawson and Li [6] implies that for any initial value (η0 , ξ0 )
with P((η0 , ξ0 ) ∈ R+ × R) = 1 and E(η0 ) < ∞, E(|ξ0 |) < ∞, there exists a
pathwise unique non-negative strong solution satisfying P((Y0 , X0 ) = (η0 , ξ0 )) = 1
and P(Yt ∈ R+ for all t ∈ R+ ) = 1.
Applications of the Itô’s formula to the processes (ebt Yt )t∈R+ and (eγt Xt )t∈R+
give formulas (2.1) and (2.2), respectively.
The form of the infinitesimal generator (2.3) readily follows by (6.5) in Dawson
and Li [6]. Further, Theorem 6.2 in Dawson and Li [6] also implies that Y
is a continuous state and continuous time branching process with infinitesimal
generator given in the Proposition.
The converse follows from Theorems 6.1 and 6.2 in Dawson and Li [6].
Next we present a result about the first moment of (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ together with
its asymptotic behavior as t → ∞. Note that the formula for E(Yt ), t ∈ R+ , is
well known.
Proposition 2.3. Let (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ be the unique strong solution of the SDE
(1.1) satisfying P(Y0 ∈ R+ ) = 1 and E(Y0 ) < ∞, E(|X0 |) < ∞. Then
E(Yt ) e−bt 0 E(Y0 )
= R t
E(Xt ) −βe−γt 0 e(γ−b)u du e−γt E(X0 )
" R t −bu #
e du 0 a
+ Rt 0 Ru Rt , t ∈ R+ .
−βe−γt 0 eγu 0 e−bv dv du 0 e−γu du α
Proof. It is sufficient to prove the statement in the case when (Y0 , X0 ) = (y0 , x0 )
with an arbitrary (y0 , x0 ) ∈ R++ × R, since then the statement of the proposition
follows by the law of total expectation.
The formula for E(Yt ), t ∈ R+ , can be found, e.g., in Cox et al. [5, Equation
(19)] or Jeanblanc et al. [9, Theorem 6.3.3.1]. Next we observe that
Z t p p
−γ(t−u) 2
e Yu d(̺Wu + 1 − ̺ Bu ) (2.4)
0 t∈R+
see, e.g., Cox et al. [5, Equation (19)], Jeanblanc et al. [9, Theorem 6.3.3.1] or
Proposition 3.2 in Barczy et al. [1]. In a similar way,
Z t
−γ(t−u)
e dLu (2.5)
0 t∈R+
Taking expectations of both sides of the equation (2.2) and using the martingale
property of the processes in (2.4) and (2.5), we have
Z t
−γt
E(Xt ) = e x0 + e−γ(t−u) (α − β E(Yu )) du
0
Z t Z t Z u
−γt −γ(t−u) −γ(t−u) −bu −bv
= e x0 + α e du − β e e y0 + a e dv du
0 0 0
Z t
= e−γt x0 − βy0 e−γt e(γ−b)u du
0
Z t Z t Z u
+α e−γv dv − βae−γt eγu e−bv dv du, t ∈ R+ .
0 0 0
t2
E(Xt ) = x0 − βy0 t + αt − aβ .
2
The asymptotic behavior of E(Xt ) as t → ∞ can be derived from the above
formulas.
Definition 2.4. Let (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ be the unique strong solution of the SDE
(1.1) satisfying P(Y0 ∈ R+ ) = 1. We call (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ subcritical, critical or
supercritical if b ∧ γ ∈ R++ , b ∧ γ = 0 or b ∧ γ ∈ R−− , respectively.
Proposition 2.5. Let us consider the 2-dimensional affine diffusion model (1.1)
with a ∈ R+ , b, α, β, γ ∈ R, σ1 , σ2 , σ3 ∈ R+ , ̺ ∈ [−1, 1], and with a random
initial value (η0 , ζ0 ) independent of (Wt , Bt , Lt )t∈R+ satisfying P(η0 ∈ R+ ) = 1.
Put
(
0, if σ1 = 0,
c := σ2 ̺ Zt := Xt − cYt , t ∈ R+ . (2.6)
σ1 , if σ1 > 0,
Then the process (Yt , Zt )t∈R+ is a regular affine process with infinitesimal gener-
ator
(A(Y,Z) f )(y, z) = (a − by)f1′ (y, z) + (A − By − γz)f2′ (y, z)
1 1 (2.7)
+ y σ12 f1,1
′′
(y, z) + Σ22 f2,2
′′
(y, z) + σ32 f2,2
′′
(y, z),
2 2
for (y, z) ∈ R+ × R and f ∈ Cc2 (R+ × R, R), where
(
σ2 , if σ1 = 0,
A := α − ca, B := β − c(b − γ), Σ2 := p
σ2 1 − ̺2 , if σ1 > 0.
3. Stationarity
The following result states the existence of a unique stationary distribution of
the affine diffusion process given by the SDE (1.1). Let C− := {z ∈ C : Re(z) 6
0}.
Theorem 3.1. Let us consider the 2-dimensional affine diffusion model (1.1) with
a ∈ R+ , b ∈ R++ , α, β ∈ R, γ ∈ R++ , σ1 , σ2 , σ3 ∈ R+ , ̺ ∈ [−1, 1], and
with a random initial value (η0 , ζ0 ) independent of (Wt , Bt , Lt )t∈R+ satisfying
P(η0 ∈ R+ ) = 1. Then
D
(i) (Yt , Xt ) −→ (Y∞ , X∞ ) as t → ∞, and we have
Z ∞
u1 Y∞ +iλ2 X∞
α σ32 2
E e = exp a κs (u1 , λ2 ) ds + i λ2 − λ (3.1)
0 γ 4γ 2
(ii) supposing that the random initial value (η0 , ζ0 ) has the same distribution
as (Y∞ , X∞ ) given in part (i), (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ is strictly stationary.
Proof. First we check that it is enough to prove the statement (i) for the special
affine diffusion process (Yt , Zt )t∈R+ given in Proposition 2.5. Hence we suppose
that (i) holds for (Yt , Zt )t∈R+ , and we check that then (i) holds for (Yt , Xt )t∈R+
as well.
If σ1 = 0 then (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ = (Yt , Zt )t∈R+ , hence (i) trivially holds for
(Yt , Xt )t∈R+ as well.
D
If σ1 > 0 then (Yt , Zt ) −→ (Y∞ , Z∞ ) as t → ∞, and we have
Z ∞
u1 Y∞ +iλ2 Z∞
A σ32 2
E e = exp a Ks (u1 , λ2 ) ds + i λ2 − λ
0 γ 4γ 2
n σ2 ̺ o
E eu1 Y∞ +iλ2 X∞ = E exp u1 Y∞ + iλ2 Z∞ + Y∞
σ1
n σ2 ̺ o
= E exp u1 + i λ2 Y∞ + iλ2 Z∞
σ
Z ∞ 1
σ2 ̺ A σ32 2
= exp a Ks u1 + i λ2 , λ2 ds + i λ2 − λ
0 σ1 γ 4γ 2
Z ∞
σ2 ̺ α σ2 ̺ a σ2
= exp a Ks u1 + i λ2 , λ2 ds + i λ2 − i λ2 − 3 λ22
0 σ1 γ σ1 γ 4γ
Z ∞
α σ32 2
= exp a κs (u1 , λ2 ) ds + i λ2 − λ ,
0 γ 4γ 2
where
σ2 ̺ σ2 ̺ −γt
κt (u1 , λ2 ) := Kt u1 + i λ2 , λ2 − i e λ2
σ1 σ1
and
σ2 ̺ σ2 ̺ σ2 ̺ σ2 ̺
κ0 (u1 , λ2 ) = K0 u1 + i λ2 , λ2 − i λ2 = u1 + i λ2 − i λ2 = u1 ,
σ1 σ1 σ1 σ1
(1)
the function R+ × (C− × (iR)) ∋ (t, u) 7→ ψt (u) is continuous, and
Z t
φt (u) = F (ψs(1) (u), e−γs u2 ) ds, t ∈ R+ ,
0
since |ehu,(Yt ,Zt )i | = eRe(hu,(Yt ,Zt )i) = eYt Re(u1 ) 6 1 by Yt > 0 and Re(u1 ) 6 0.
Consequently,
(1)
|eh(y0 ,z0 ),ψt (u)i+φt (u) | = eRe(h(y0 ,z0 ),ψt (u)i)+Re(φt (u)) = ey0 Re(ψt (u))+Re(φt (u))
6 1,
(1)
hence y0 Re(ψt (u)) + Re(φt (u)) 6 0. Putting y0 = 0, we obtain Re(φt (u)) 6
(1)
0, thus φt (u) ∈ C− . Further, for each y0 > 0, we have Re(ψt (u)) 6
(1)
− Re(φt (u))/y0 , thus letting y0 → ∞, we obtain Re(ψt (u)) 6 0, and hence
(1)
ψt (u) ∈ C− .
Moreover, for all t ∈ R+ and u = (u1 , u2 ) ∈ C− × (iR), we have
Z t
1
φt (u) = aψs(1) (u) + Ae−γs u2 + σ32 (e−γs u2 )2 ds
0 2
Z t −γt
1−e 1 1 − e−2γt
=a ψs(1) (u) ds + Au2 + σ32 u22 .
0 γ 2 2γ
In fact, we have
E eu1 Yt +iλ2 Zt (Y0 , Z0 ) = (y0 , z0 ) = exp y0 Kt (u1 , λ2 ) + iz0 e−γt λ2 + gt (u1 , λ2 )
(3.6)
for (u1 , λ2 ) ∈ C− × R and (y0 , z0 ) ∈ R+ × R, where
Z t
1 − e−γt 1 1 − e−2γt
gt (u1 , λ2 ) := a Ks (u1 , λ2 ) ds + iAλ2 − σ32 λ22 , (3.7)
0 γ 2 2γ
and Kt (u1 , λ2 ), t ∈ R+ , is the unique solution of the differential equation (3.3).
Indeed, by (3.4) with u2 = iλ2 , we have
E eu1 Yt +iλ2 Zt (Y0 , Z0 ) = (y0 , z0 )
Z t
(1)
= exp y0 ψt (u1 , iλ2 ) + iz0 e−γt λ2 + a ψs(1) (u1 , iλ2 ) ds
0
1 − e−γt 1 2 2 1 − e−2γt
+ iAλ2 − σ3 λ2
γ 2 2γ
for (y0 , z0 ) ∈ R+ × R, where
(1)
∂ψt (1) −γt
∂t (u1 , iλ2 ) = −bψt (u1 , iλ2 ) − B(e iλ2 )
(1)
+ 12 σ12 [ψt (u1 , iλ2 )]2 + 21 Σ22 (e−γt iλ2 )2 , t ∈ R+ ,
ψ (1) (u , iλ ) = u ,
0 1 2 1
(1)
and hence, for the function Kt (u1 , λ2 ) := ψt (u1 , iλ2 ), t ∈ R+ , we obtain the
differential equation (3.3). Recall that Kt (u1 , λ2 ) ∈ C− for all (u1 , λ2 ) ∈ C− × R.
The uniqueness of the solution of the differential equation (Cauchy problem) (3.3)
follows by general results of Duffie et al. [7, Propositions 6.1, 6.4 and Lemma 9.2].
Step 2. We show that there exists C2 ∈ R++ (depending on the parameters b
and γ), and for each (u1 , λ2 ) ∈ C− ×R, there exists C1 (u1 , λ2 ) ∈ R+ (depending
on the parameters b, B, γ, σ1 and Σ2 ), such that
|Kt (u1 , λ2 )| 6 C1 (u1 , λ2 )e−C2 t , t ∈ R+ . (3.8)
STATIONARITY AND ERGODICITY FOR AFFINE DIFFUSIONS 597
since te−bt 6 e−bt/2 supt∈R+ te−bt/2 , where supt∈R+ te−bt/2 = 2e−1 /b. Summa-
rizing, we have
|wt (u1 , λ2 )| 6 C3 (u1 , λ2 )e−C2 t , t ∈ R+ , (3.11)
with
1 2
C3 (u1 , λ2 ) := | Im(u1 )| + |Bλ2 | 1{b6=γ} + 1{b=γ} ∈ R+ ,
|b − γ| eb
C2 := min{γ, b/2} ∈ R++ .
Using (3.9) and (3.11), we obtain
(
∂vt −C2 t
∂t (u1 , λ2 ) 6 −bvt (u1 , λ2 ) + C4 (u1 , λ2 )e , t ∈ R+ ,
v0 (u1 , λ2 ) = − Re(u1 ),
with C4 (u1 , λ2 ) := (σ12 C3 (u1 , λ2 )2 + Σ22 λ22 )/2 ∈ R+ . By the help of a version of
the comparison theorem (see, e.g., Volkmann [17]), we can derive the inequality
vt (u1 , λ2 ) 6 vet (u1 , λ2 ) for all t ∈ R+ and (u1 , λ2 ) ∈ C− × R, where vet (u1 , λ2 ),
t ∈ R+ , is the unique solution of the inhomogeneous linear differential equation
(
∂evt
vt (u1 , λ2 ) + C4 (u1 , λ2 )e−C2 t ,
∂t (u1 , λ2 ) = −be t ∈ R+ ,
ve0 (u1 , λ2 ) = − Re(u1 ).
This differential equation has the same form as (3.10), hence the solution takes
the form
Z t
vet (u1 , λ2 ) = − Re(u1 )e−bt + C4 (u1 , λ2 )e−bt e−C2 s+bs ds, t ∈ R+ .
0
for all (u1 , λ2 ) ∈ C− × R, where P(Y0 ,Z0 ) denotes the distribution of (Y0 , Z0 )
on R+ × R, and hence (3.12) and the dominated convergence theorem implies
that
Z ∞Z ∞
lim E(eu1 Yt +iλ2 Zt ) = eg∞ (u1 ,λ2 ) P(Y0 ,Z0 ) (dy0 , dz0 ) = eg∞ (u1 ,λ2 )
t→∞ 0 −∞
4. Exponential Ergodicity
In the subcritical case, the following result states the exponential ergodicity
for the process (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ . As a consequence, according to the discussion after
Proposition 2.5 in Bhattacharya [3], one also obtains a strong law of large numbers
(4.3) for (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ .
Theorem 4.1. Let us consider the 2-dimensional affine diffusion model (1.1) with
a, b ∈ R++ , α, β ∈ R, γ ∈ R++ , σ1 ∈ R++ , σ2 , σ3 ∈ R+ and ̺ ∈ [−1, 1]
with a random initial value (η0 , ζ0 ) independent of (Wt , Bt , Lt )t∈R+ satisfying
P(η0 ∈ R+ ) = 1. Suppose that (1−̺2)σ22 +σ32 > 0. Then the process (Yt , Xt )t∈R+
is exponentially ergodic, namely, there exist δ ∈ R++ , B ∈ R++ and κ ∈ R++ ,
such that
sup E g(Yt , Xt ) | (Y0 , X0 ) = (y0 , x0 ) −E(g(Y∞ , X∞ )) 6 B(V (y0 , x0 )+1)e−δt
|g|6V +1
(4.1)
for all t ∈ R+ and (y0 , x0 ) ∈ R+ × R, where the supremum is running for Borel
measurable functions g : R+ × R → R,
V (y, x) := y 2 + κx2 , (y, x) ∈ R+ × R, (4.2)
and the distribution of (Y∞ , X∞ ) is given by (3.1) and (3.2). Moreover, for all
Borel measurable functions f : R2 → R with E(|f (Y∞ , X∞ )|) < ∞, we have
Z
1 T
P lim f (Ys , Xs ) ds = E(f (Y∞ , X∞ )) = 1. (4.3)
T →∞ T 0
Proof. First we check that it is enough to prove (4.1) for the special affine diffusion
process (Yt , Zt )t∈R+ given in Proposition 2.5. Hence we suppose that (4.1) holds
for (Yt , Zt )t∈R+ with δ ∈ R++ , B ∈ R++ and κ ∈ R++ , and we check
that then (4.1) holds for (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ with δ ∈ R++ , with some appropriate
Be ∈ R++ , and with κ ∈ R++ as well. Let g : R2 → R be a Borel measurable
function with |g(y, x)| 6 V (y, x) + 1 = y 2 + κx2 + 1, (y, x) ∈ R+ × R. Then
g(Yt , Xt ) = g(Yt , Zt + cYt ) = h(Yt , Zt ), t ∈ R+ , where h : R2 → R is given by
h(y, z) := g(y, z +cy), (y, z) ∈ R2 . Clearly, h is also a Borel measurable function.
D
Moreover, (i) of Theorem 3.1 implies (Yt , Xt ) −→ (Y∞ , X∞ ) as t → ∞. Again
D
by (i) of Theorem 3.1, we obtain (Yt , Xt ) = (Yt , Zt + cYt ) −→ (Y∞ , Z∞ + cY∞ ) as
D
t → ∞, consequently, (Y∞ , X∞ ) = (Y∞ , Z∞ +cY∞ ), and hence, E(g(Y∞ , X∞ )) =
602 BEÁTA BOLYOG AND GYULA PAP
(n) (n)
(Yt , Zt )t∈R+ as the stopped process (Yt∧Tn , Zt∧Tn )t∈R+ , see Meyn
and Tweedie [13, page 521].)
To prove (a), it is enough to show that the process (Yt , Zt )t∈R+ is a (weak) Feller
(see Meyn and Tweedy [12, Section 3.1]), strong Markov process with continuous
sample paths, see, e.g., Meyn and Tweedy [12, page 498]. According to Proposition
8.2 (or Theorem 2.7) in Duffie et al. [7], the process (Yt , Zt )t∈R+ is a Feller Markov
process. Since (Yt , Zt )t∈R+ has continuous sample paths almost surely (especially,
it is càdlàg), it is automatically a strong Markov process, see, e.g., Theorem 1 on
page 56 in Chung [4].
To prove (b), in view of Proposition 6.2.8 in Meyn and Tweedy [14], it is
sufficient to show that the skeleton chain (Yn , Zn )n∈Z+ is irreducible with respect
to the Lebesgue measure on R+ × R (see, e.g., Meyn and Tweedy [13, page 520]),
and admits the Feller property. The skeleton chain (Yn , Zn )n∈Z+ admits the
Feller property, since the process (Yt , Zt )t∈R+ is a Feller process. In order to check
irreducibility of the skeleton chain (Yn , Zn )n∈Z+ with respect to the Lebesgue
measure on R+ × R, it is enough to prove that the conditional distribution of
(Y1 , Z1 ) given (Y0 , Z0 ) is absolutely continuous (with respect to the Lebesgue
measure on R+ × R) with a conditional density function f(Y1 ,Z1 ) | (Y0 ,Z0 ) : R2 ×
R2 → R+ such that f(Y1 ,Z1 ) | (Y0 ,Z0 ) (y, z | y0 , z0 ) > 0 for all (y, z, y0 , z0 ) ∈
R++ × R × R+ × R. Indeed, the Lebesgue measure on R+ × R is σ-finite, and
if B is a Borel set in R+ × R with positive Lebesgue measure, then
∞
!
X
E 1B (Yn , Zn ) (Y0 , Z0 ) = (y0 , z0 ) > P((Y1 , Z1) ∈ B | (Y0 , Z0 ) = (y0 , z0 ))
n=0
ZZ
= f(Y1 ,Z1 ) | (Y0 ,Z0 ) (y, z | y0 , z0 ) dy dz > 0
B
for all (y0 , z0 ) ∈ R+ × R. The existence of f(Y1 ,Z1 ) | (Y0 ,Z0 ) with the required
property can be checked as follows. By Theorem 2.2, we have
Z 1 Z 1 p
Y1 = e−b y0 + a ebu du + σ1 ebu Yu dWu ,
0 0
Z 1 Z 1 p Z 1
Z1 = e−γ z0 + eγu (A − BYu ) du + Σ2 eγu Yu dBu + σ3 eγu dLu ,
0 0 0
provided that (Y0 , Z0 ) = (y0 , z0 ), (y0 , z0 ) ∈ R+ × R. Recall that a two-
dimensional random vector ζ is absolutely continuous if and only if V ζ + v
is absolutely continuous for all invertable matrices V ∈ R2×2 and for all vectors
v ∈ R2 , and if the density function of ζ is positive on a set S ⊂ R2 , then the
density function of V ζ + v is positive on the set V S + v. Hence it is enough to
check that the random vector
Z 1 p
σ1 ebu Yu dWu , I (4.4)
0
with Z Z Z
1 1 p 1
I := −B eγu Yu du + Σ2 eγu Yu dBu + σ3 eγu dLu
0 0 0
604 BEÁTA BOLYOG AND GYULA PAP
since P(Y1 > 0) = 1. Note that the conditional distribution of I given (Yt )t∈[0,1]
R1
is a normal distribution with mean −B 0 eγu Yu du and with variance
Z 1 Z 1
Υ2 := Σ22 e2γu Yu du + σ32 e2γu du
0 0
due to the fact that (Yt )t∈[0,1] and (Bt , Lt )t∈R+ are independent. Indeed,
(Yt )t∈R+ is adapted to the augmented filtration corresponding to η0 and (Wt )t∈R+
(see, e.g., Karatzas and Shreve [10, page 285]), and using the independence of the
standard Wiener processes W and B, and Problem 2.7.3 in Karatzas and Shreve
[10], one can argue that this augmented filtration is independent of the filtration
generated by B. Here we call the attention that the condition (1−̺2 )σ22 +σ32 > 0
implies P(Υ2 ∈ R++ ) = 1. Indeed, Σ22 = (1 − ̺2 )σ22 , and the assumption a > 0
R1
yields P( 0 e2γu Yu du ∈ R++ ) = 1. Hence, using again the independence of the
R1
standard Wiener processes W , B and L, we get for all y > −y0 − a 0 ebu du
and z ∈ R, by the law of total expectation,
Z 1 p
P σ1 ebu Yu dWu < y, I < z
0
Z 1
= P eb Y1 − y0 − a ebu du < y, I < z
0
Z 1
−b bu
= E P Y1 < e y + y0 + a e du , I < z (Yt )t∈[0,1]
0
= E E 1{Y1 <e−b (y+y0 +a R 1 ebu du)} 1{I<z} (Yt )t∈[0,1]
0
= E 1{Y1 <e−b (y+y0 +a R 1 ebu du)} P(I < z | (Yt )t∈[0,1] )
0
Z z R1
1 (w + B 0 eγu Yu du)2
= E 1{Y1 <e−b (y+y0 +a R 1 ebu du)} √ exp − dw
0
−∞ 2πΥ2 2Υ2
Z e−b (y+y0 +a R 1 ebu du) Z z R1
0 1 (w + B 0 eγu Yu du)2
= E √ exp − Y 1 = v
0 −∞ 2πΥ2 2Υ2
× fY1 | Y0 (v|y0 ) dv dw
STATIONARITY AND ERGODICITY FOR AFFINE DIFFUSIONS 605
Z y Z
z R1
1 (w + B 0 eγu Yu du)2
= R1 E √ exp −
−y0 −a 0
ebu du −∞ 2πΥ2 2Υ2
Z 1
−b bu
Y1 = e v + y0 + a e du
0
Z 1
−b bu
× f Y1 | Y0 e v + y0 + a e du y0 e−b dv dw,
0
k ℓ
holds for all n, p ∈ Z+ with n + p > 1, where E(Y∞ X∞ ) := 0 for k, ℓ ∈ Z
with k < 0 or ℓ < 0. Especially,
i.e., Y∞ has gamma distribution with parameters 2a/σ12 and 2b/σ12 , hence
Γ σ2a2 + κ
κ 1 2a
E(Y∞ ) = κ , κ ∈ − 2,∞ .
2b
Γ σ2a2 σ1
σ2 1 1
Proof. We may and do suppose that all the mixed moments of (Y0 , X0 ) are finite
and P(Y0 > 0) = 1, since, due to Theorem 3.1, the distribution of (Y∞ , X∞ )
does not depend on the initial value of the model. First we show that
Z t
E(Yun Xu2p ) du < ∞ for all t ∈ R+ and n, p ∈ Z+ . (5.2)
0
One can easily check that it is enough to prove (5.2) for the special affine diffusion
process (Yt , Zt )t∈R+ given in Proposition 2.5. Indeed, then
Z t Z t
E(Yun Xu2p ) du = E(Yun (Zu + cYu )2p ) du
0 0
2p
X Z
2p 2p−k t
= c E(Yun+2p−k Zu2k ) du < ∞.
k 0
k=0
608 BEÁTA BOLYOG AND GYULA PAP
Applying (2.5) and the power means inequality (a + b + c + d)2p 6 42p−1 (a2p +
b2p + c2p + d2p ), a, b, c, d ∈ R, we obtain
Z t Z t Z u 2p
E(Yun Zu2p ) du 6 42p−1 E Yun e−2pγu Z02p + e−γ(u−v) (A − BYv ) dv
0 0 0
Z u p 2p Z u 2p
+ e−γ(u−v) Yv dBv + e−γ(u−v) dLv du
0 0
for all
R u t ∈ R+ and n, p ∈ Z+ . Since for all u ∈ [0, t], the distribution
of 0 e−γ(u−v) dLv is a normal distribution with mean 0 and with variance
R u −2γ(u−v) Ru √
0 e dv, and the conditional distribution of 0 e−γ(u−v) Yv dBv with
respect to the σ-algebra generated by (Ys )s∈[0,t] is a normal distribution with
Ru
mean 0 and with variance 0 e−2γ(u−v) Yv dv, to prove (5.2), it is enough to
show that, for all t ∈ R+ and n, p ∈ Z+ ,
Z t Z t
E(e−2pγu Yun Z02p ) du < ∞, E(Yun ) du < ∞,
0 0
Z " Z #
t u 2p
E Yun e−γ(u−v) Yv dv du < ∞,
0 0
Z t Z u p
E Yun e−2γ(u−v) Yv dv du < ∞,
0 0
which can be checked by standard arguments, see, e.g., in the arXiv version of the
proof of Theorem 4.2 in Barczy et al. [1].
For all n, p ∈ Z+ , using the independence of W , B and L, by Itô’s formula,
we have
p
d(Ytn Xtp ) = nYtn−1 Xtp (a − bYt ) dt + σ1 Yt dWt
p p
+ pYtn Xtp−1 (α − βYt − γXt ) dt + σ2 Yt (̺ dWt + 1 − ̺2 dBt ) + σ3 dLt
1 1
+ n(n − 1)Ytn−2 Xtp σ12 Yt dt + p(p − 1)Ytn Xtp−2 (σ22 Yt + σ32 ) dt
2 2
+ npYtn−1 Xtp−1 ̺σ1 σ2 Yt dt
for t ∈ R+ . Writing the SDE above in an integrated form and taking the
expectation of both sides, we have
are continuous square integrable martingales due to (5.2), see, e.g., Ikeda and
Watanabe [8, page 55]. Introduce the functions fn,p (t) := E(Ytn Xtp ), t ∈ R+ , for
n, p ∈ Z+ . Then we have
′ 1 2
fn,p (t) = −(nb + pγ)fn,p (t) − pβfn+1,p−1 (t) + na + σ1 n(n − 1) fn−1,p (t)
2
1 2 1
+ p(α + ̺σ1 σ2 n)fn,p−1 (t) + σ2 p(p − 1)fn+1,p−2 (t) + σ32 p(p − 1)fn,p−2 (t)
2 2
for t ∈ R+ , where fk,ℓ (t) := 0 if k, ℓ ∈ Z with k < 0 or ℓ < 0. Hence for all
M ∈ N, the functions fn,p , n, p ∈ Z+ with n + p 6 M satisfy a homogeneous
linear system of differential equations with constant coefficients. The eigenvalues
of the coefficient matrix of the above mentioned system of differential equations
are −(kb + ℓγ), k, ℓ ∈ Z+ with k + ℓ 6 M and 0. Thus, for all n, p ∈ Z+ ,
the function fn,p is a linear combination of the functions e−(kb+ℓγ)t , t ∈ R+ ,
k, ℓ ∈ Z+ with k + ℓ 6 n + p, and the constant function. Consequently, for all
n, p ∈ Z+ , the function fn,p is bounded and the limit limt→∞ fn,p (t) exists
and finite. By the moment convergence theorem (see, e.g., Stroock [16, Lemma
2.2.1]), limt→∞ fn,p (t) = limt→∞ E(Ytn Xtp ) = E(Y∞ n p
X∞ ), n, p ∈ Z+ . Indeed,
D
by Theorem 3.1 and the continuous mapping theorem, Ytn Xtp −→ Y∞ n p
X∞ as
n p
t → ∞, and the family {Yt Xt : t ∈ R+ } is uniformly integrable. This latter
fact follows from the boundedness of the function f2n,2p , see, e.g., Stroock [16,
condition (2.2.5)]. Hence we conclude that all the mixed moments of (Y∞ , X∞ )
are finite.
Next, we calculate these mixed moments. We may and do suppose that the
initial value (Y0 , X0 ) is independent of (Wt , Bt , Lt )t∈R+ , and its distribution
is the same as that of (Y∞ , X∞ ), since, due to Theorem 3.1, the distribution of
(Y∞ , X∞ ) does not depend on the initial value of the model. Then, by Theorem
n p
3.1, the process (Yt , Xt )t∈R+ is strictly stationary, and hence, fn,p (t) = E(Y∞ X∞ )
for all t ∈ R+ and n, p ∈ Z+ . The above system of differential equations for the
n p
functions fn,p , n, p ∈ Z+ , yields the recursion for E(Y∞ X∞ ), n, p ∈ Z+ . By
this recursion, one can calculate the moments listed in the theorem.
The fact that, in case of σ1 > 0, the random variable Y∞ has gamma
distribution with parameters 2a/σ12 and 2b/σ12 follows by Cox et al. [5, Equation
(20)].
Finally, we prove that the distribution of (Y∞ , X∞ ) is absolutely continuous
whenever σ1 > 0 and (1 − ̺2 )σ22 + σ32 > 0. Let us consider a 2-dimensional
affine diffusion model (1.1) with random initial value (Y0 , X0 ) independent of
(Wt , Bt , Lt )t∈[0,∞) having the same distribution as that of (Y∞ , X∞ ). Then, by
part (ii) of Theorem 3.1, the process (Yt , Xt )t∈[0,∞) is strictly stationary. Hence
610 BEÁTA BOLYOG AND GYULA PAP
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Gyula Pap: Bolyai Institute, University of Szeged, Aradi vértanúk tere 1, H–6720
Szeged, Hungary
E-mail address: papgy@math.u-szeged.h
URL: http://www.math.u-szeged.hu/∼ papgy/index en.html