Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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3.1.10 MULCHING ................................................................................................................................. 21
3.1.11 INTER CROPPING ..................................................................................................................... 21
3.1.12 FERTILIZER APPLICATION..................................................................................................... 21
3.1.13 HARVESTING ............................................................................................................................. 22
3.1.14 YIELD ........................................................................................................................................... 22
3.1.15 PROCESS FLOW SISAL CLITIVATION ................................................................................ 23
4. PRODUCTION DESCIRPTION AND APPLICATION ............................................................................ 24
4.1 MARKET STUDAY AND PLANT CAPACITY ................................................................................ 24
4.1.1 ETHIOPIA GREEN COFFEE EXPORT TO WORLD .............................................................. 24
4.1.2 THE PAST SUPPLY OF JUTE IN ETHIOPIA .......................................................................... 26
4.1.3 DEMAND PROJECTIONS ........................................................................................................... 27
4.1.4 PRICING AND DISTRBUTION ................................................................................................... 28
5. TECHNICAL STUDY OF FARM AND PROCESSING PLANT ........................................................... 30
5.1 PROJECT LOCATION ....................................................................................................................... 30
5.2 PHYSICAL AND NATURA CONDITION OF PROJECT SITE .................................................. 30
5.2.1 TOPOGRAHIC FEATURS ........................................................................................................... 30
5.2.2 NNFRSTRUCTURES ................................................................................................................. 32
5.3 FARM CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION PROGRAM .................................................................. 33
5. 3.1FARM CAPACITY ......................................................................................................................... 33
5.4 FARM CONSTURACTION OPERATIONS .................................................................................... 33
5.4.1 PRE-OPERATING ACTIVITIES .................................................................................................. 33
5.4.2 LAND AND PLANT LAYOUT ...................................................................................................... 34
5.4.3 LAND DEVELOPMENT ............................................................................................................... 34
5.4.4 LAND PREPARATION ................................................................................................................. 35
5.4.5 LAND UTILIZATION PLAN ......................................................................................................... 35
5.4.6 FARM BUILDING AND CIVIL WORKS .................................................................................... 37
5.5 MATERIALS AND INPUTS ............................................................................................................... 37
5.5.1 FARM PLANTING MATERIALS REQUIREMENT .................................................................. 37
5.5.2 Nursery Establishment and FARMING COST ..................................................................... 38
5.5.3 ANNUAL PLANTING PLAN OF THE PROJECT ..................................................................... 39
5.6 CROP MAINTENANCE ...................................................................................................................... 40
5.6.1 APPLYING MANURES AND FERTILIZERS ............................................................................ 40
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5.6.2 WEED CONTROL AND MULCHING ........................................................................................ 41
5.6.3 FARM PROTECTION ................................................................................................................... 41
5.7 HARVESTING ...................................................................................................................................... 41
5.7.1 HARVESTING OPERATIONS .................................................................................................... 41
5.7.2 FARM YIELD AND YIELD ESTEMATION ............................................................................... 42
5.8 FARM MACHINERY AND VEHICLES .......................................................................................... 42
5.9 NURSERY EQUIPMENT COST ...................................................................................................... 43
6. PROCESSING TECHNOLOGY AND ENGINEERING ......................................................................... 44
6.1 SISAL SACK PRODUCTION AND PROCESSING ..................................................................... 44
6.1.1 INDUTRY CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION PROGRAM ........................................................ 44
6.1.2: SISAL FIBER EXIRACTION AND PROCESSING................................................................. 45
6.1.3 PROCESSIG OF THE FIBRES .................................................................................................. 46
6.1.4 SACK PRODUCTION AND PROCESSING .............................................................................. 47
6.2 MATERIALS AND INPUTS ............................................................................................................... 48
6.2.1 MATERIALS................................................................................................................................... 48
6.3 UTILITIES ............................................................................................................................................. 49
6.4 MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT.................................................................................................... 49
6.4.1 SISAL FIBER EXTRACTION MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT ......................................... 49
6.4.2 SACK PROCESSING MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT ....................................................... 50
6.5 SOURCE OF TECHNOLOGY .......................................................................................................... 51
6.6 LAND, BUILDING AND CIVIL WORKS FOR INDUSTRY........................................................ 51
6.7 PODUCTS AND REVENUE ............................................................................................................ 53
6.8 TOTAL PRODUCTION COSTS OF THE JUTE BAGS .............................................................. 53
6.9 MAINTENANCE & REPAIRS ........................................................................................................... 54
6.10 OFFICE FURNITURE & EQUIPMENT ....................................................................................... 55
6.11 INDUSTRY OPERATING ACTIVITIES ........................................................................................ 55
6.11.1 PRE-OPERATING ACTIVITIES ............................................................................................... 55
7. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT ........................................................................................ 57
8. PROJECT ORGANIZATION AND MANPOWER REQUIREMENT .................................................... 58
8.1 FORM OF BUSINESS ....................................................................................................................... 58
8.2 ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE OF THE FARM .................................................................... 58
8.3 MAN POWER REQUIREMENT ....................................................................................................... 59
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8.4 TRAINING REQUIREMENT ............................................................................................................. 60
9. FINANCIAL APPRAISAL OF THE PROJECT ....................................................................................... 61
9.1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................................. 61
9.2 FINACIAL APPRISAL OF INVESTING IN SISAL SACK PROCESSING AND
MARKETING................................................................................................................................................ 61
9.2.1 OBJECTIVES ................................................................................................................................ 61
9.2.2 DATA DESCRIPTION AND ASSUMPTIONS ........................................................................... 62
9.2.3 FINANCIAL APPRAISAL ............................................................................................................. 65
9.3 FINANCIAL STUDY OF THE INVESTEMENT ............................................................................ 66
9.3.1 PROJECT INVESTMENT AND WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS .......................... 67
9.3.2 FINANCIAL BUDGET OF THE INVESTEMENT .................................................................... 68
9.3.3 MEANS OF FINANCE.................................................................................................................. 68
9.4 FINANCIAL VIABILITY ...................................................................................................................... 69
9.4.1 INCOME STATEMENT ................................................................................................................ 69
9.4.2 CASH FLOW STATEMENT AND BALANCE SHEET ........................................................... 69
9.4.3 PAY BACK PERIOD ..................................................................................................................... 70
9.4.4 INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN ................................................................................................. 70
9.4.5 NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV) .................................................................................................... 70
9.4.6 BREAK EVEN ANALYSIS .......................................................................................................... 70
9.5. LOAN REPAYMENT SCHEDULE ................................................................................................. 70
9.6 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS .................................................................................................................. 71
9.6.1 RISK AND UNCERTAINTY......................................................................................................... 71
9.7. SOCIO-ECONOMIC BENEFITS .................................................................................................... 71
10. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................................................... 73
10.1 CONCLUSIONS .................................................................................................................................. 73
10.1.1 MARKET FEASIBILITY ............................................................................................................ 73
10.2.2. TECHNICAL FEASIBILITY ..................................................................................................... 73
10.2.3 FINANCIAL FEASIBILITY ........................................................................................................ 74
10.2.4 OVERALL FEASIBILITY ........................................................................................................... 74
11. ANNEXTURE ............................................................................................................................................ 75
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ACRONYMS
ADLI Agricultural Development-Led Industrialisation
ha Hectare
KM Kilo Meter
mm Millimetre
oC Degree Cellicious
Qtl(s) Quintal(s)
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1. SUMMARY OF THE PROJECT
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1.3 RATIONAL BEHIND THE PROJECT
The some of the rational for establishment of the envisage farm with modern
mechanized commercial farm and manufacturing industry establishment investment
infrastructures and post-harvest processing facility for the local and export market
are,
Policy: Government second round five years strategic plan, which promotes new
investment in agro-industrial sector and specially encourages commercial farm
products of fruits, Spices, oil seeds and industry raw materials which directly or
indirectly contribute to import substitution and exportable ones.
Labor: There is plenty of skilled and semi-skilled labor in Ethiopia. The country has
a good education system that churns out a number of graduates in most key
professions at all levels.
Market: High market demand supply gap in the country which is avail for the local
market of 9,774,174 million pieces of jute bags the envisage project target.
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farm will be used 3.09 ha for construction of farm store, processing shade, other
buildings, and farm production of project facility.
1.7 RECOMMENDATIONS
All the aforementioned facts discussed above and the feasibility study on market,
technical, financial, and social point of view proves the project is viable business
plan and one of the government's priorities, which contributes for the government
strategy on development worth deserving encouragement and support from the
pertinent government offices.
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2. PROJECT BACKGROUND INFORMATION
2.1 COMPANY / APPLICANT
Type of business: SISAL development for Natural fiber and Jute Production
Full Address : Addres Mobile: 0917 825825
E-mail: : anileyenyew@gmail.com
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2.2 PROMOTER’S PROFILE
The anticipated “SISAL DEVELOPMENT FARM AND JUTE BAG (SACK)
MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY ESTABLISHEMENT PROJECT” is initiated by the
newly established YESIGET MANUFACTURING SISAL DEVELOPMENT FARM AND
JUTE BAG PROCESSING; PLC which is owned by PLC and the members of the PLC
was born in Ethiopia and currently has a Ethiopian citizenship. In view of their
education and work experiences, they bring a wealth of experience to the Company.
The Manager of the compony is Mr.Aniley Enyew. He has had more than 21 years
of work experience in Coffee tea and Spice production quality controle in Coffee tea
and Spice production quality Authority and vastly involved in cofee processing
industry technical support and controling. Mr.Aniley Enyew has extensive
experience in government organization worke process cordnation and he has BSc
degree in Plant Science and currently he has second dgrey in bucsince mangment
and, he worked more than 5 years in coffee processing and marketing. He is
involved overseeing 1500 hectares of sisal plantion farm and manufacturing of jute
bag for coffee and other export crops packing sack manfacturing materials which is
important import subsisttion of country.
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using the existing investment opportunities in the Country and taking advantage of
the expressed policy incentives that emphasize on greater commercialization of
agriculture and enhancing private sector development. The project’s main
objective is to implement an agricultural investment and Industry establishment
project using intensive mechanized farming for the production of export-focused sisal
fiber and jute sack production; which primarily involves sisal fiber raw material for
their sack processing plant. Sisal plant cultivation reviles high standards and quality
of production. While the project ensuring optimal economic returns as well as socially
and environmentally acceptable production system. That will attain full production
level within ten years starting from the 2019 production season.
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is attributed to the Government’s determination to achieve broad-based economic
growth in a stable market economy. As its major instrument towards realizing rapid
economic growth; the Ethiopian Government has been implementing to which its
strategy of Agricultural Development-Led Industrialisation (ADLI) that sees
agriculture as the engine of growth. Along with other multifaceted policy and
regulatory interventions of the reform, the Government has put appropriate
regulations into place in order to encourage both domestic and foreign investment,
particularly in agriculture and agro-processing.1,2
Over the last seven years in particular, the reforms have delivered strong economic
growth. The economy has registered rapid growth rates averaging 11.0 per cent per
annum over the past seven years, placing Ethiopia among the top performing
economies in sub-Saharan Africa. Building on the achievements of the last ten years,
Ethiopia aims to become a food-secure middle income country through the ADLI
strategy. Agriculture and rural development has been the central pillar of successive
national development and poverty reduction plans and remains so under the Growth
and Transformation Plan of the next 5 years (2013-17).1 Accordingly, “Maintaining
agriculture as a major source of economic growth” constitutes one of the ‘Pillar
strategies’ on which the GTP hinges to realize Ethiopia’s drive towards sustaining the
rapid and broad-based growth path.1,2
According to projections based on the recent national census of the country 3; the
current total population of Ethiopia is estimated over 80 million. The population
growth rate for 2001-2007 was 2.6% and the population is projected to reach 96
million by 2015.4 Over half of the population (65%) is below 24 years of age largely
1MoARD/FDRE, 2010. Ethiopia’s Agricultural Sector Policy and Investment Framework (PIF) 2010-2020 (Draft Final Report). Ministry of
Agriculture and Rural Development, Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia; 15 September 2010, Addis Ababa
2MoFED/FDRE, 2010. Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP): 2010/11-2014/15 (Draft). Ministry of Finance and Economic Development
(MoFED), the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia; September 2010, Addis Ababa.
3FDRE – PCC, 2008. Summary and Statistical Report of the 2007 Population and Housing Census: Population size by age and sex. Federal Democratic Republic of
http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/DATASTATISTICS/0,,contentMDK:20535285~menuP
K:1192694~pagePK:64133150~piPK:64133175~theSitePK:239419,00.html
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influencing the very high dependency ratio of 93. Roughly 84% of the population lives
in rural areas.3,4
Ethiopia is endowed with immense natural resources that offer it greater comparative
advantages of producing different type’s agricultural products and it is a country of
great agro-ecological diversity having areas of different physical features and
altitude. This variation is mainly correlated with great diversity of climate, soil and
vegetation cover that are favorable conditions for agricultural development.
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arable land, Ethiopia has tremendous potential for agricultural development. Yet, only
about 11.7 million hectares of land is currently being cultivated; which accounts just
over 20 per cent of the total arable area. Nearly 55 per cent of all smallholder farmers
operate on one hectare or less. The agricultural sector accounts for roughly
43 per cent of GDP, and 90 per cent of exports. Cereals dominate Ethiopian
agriculture, accounting for about 70 per cent of agricultural GDP. Over the past
decade, cereal production has more than doubled to nearly 15 million tones, as a
result of horizontal expansion and increased yields.1
The agricultural sector has performed strongly over most of the last decade, but there
is still substantial potential to improve productivity and production. Since 1996/97
the average growth rate of the agricultural GDP has been about 10 per cent
per annum, and since 2004-05 the sector has been reported to have expanded at
around 13 per cent per annum. On the other hand, the share of agriculture in GDP
declined from 53 per cent to 43 per cent between 1995/96 and 2008/09,
reflecting strong growth in other sectors of the economy.
The Government, with strong support from development partners, has made different
strategic interventions to enhance the delivery of improved production technologies
and support services thereto. Over the past several years, the Ethiopian Government
has demonstrated strong commitment to agriculture and rural development through
allocations of more than 10 per cent of the total budget. Despite these
achievements, however, the Government recognizes much remains to be done in the
agriculture sector to realize the vision to become a middle income country (defined as
GDP/capita of USD 1,000) by 2020.
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2.9 JUSTIFICATION OF THE PROJECT: WHY IT IS PROPOSED?
In addition, extended market research has been carried out from both the higher end
markets as well as lower end markets. There is a huge local market for vegetables.
The Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR), which is included in the financial feasibility section
of this plan, was carried on different primary crops. This helped YESIGET
MANUFACTURING SISAL DEVELOPMENT FARM AND JUTE BAG PROCESSING,
PLC to choose vegetables, which have a vast market worldwide.
2.10 SUPPORTS FOR THE PROJECT
There are some supportive roles expected from the Federal and Regional states in
ensuring smooth and effective implementation as well as long-run sustainability of
the anticipated project. Particularly important roles for the states are establishing
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and adjudicating land acquisition requirements and right of occupancy as well as
associated contractual processes and regulatory functions. This includes, among
others, monitoring and regulating externalities and third party effects on land
occupancy and subsequent implementation of the project, maintaining a supportive
legal framework, providing relevant technical and organizational supports towards
facilitating effective and smooth implementation of the project. The latter particularly
involves access and use of data/information and technical advice from government
research institutions and line bureaus/agencies.
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3. DESCRIPTION OF SISAL PLANT CULTIVATION
Sisal is propagated from bulbils or rhizomes, and the young saplings are first grown
in nurseries for about 12 to 18 months. After this time they are planted into the large
crop fields, usually towards the beginning of the rainy season. The plants mature in
about 2 to 3 years, and remain viable and productive for the next 7 to 8 years.
Around 300 leaves are obtained from each plant during the entire productive period.
It can withstand a maximum temperature near 40-50oC and grows well with evenly
distributed rainfall of 600-125 mm. Excessive rains (causing water stagnation) and
very low temperature causing frost tend to damage the plantation.
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3.1.1.1 SOIL
Sisal thrives best on dry, permeable, sandy-loam soils with good amount of liming
materials (Ca and Mg) but can also grow on various other types of soils. In Ethiopia,
it is grown in light calcareous and gravelly soils with good drainage. Heavy soils
having possibility of water logging are not suitable as the condition causes pale and
stunted growth of sisal. Adequate calcium in soil promotes development of the root
system. It was tested that red earth and coral lime stone gives higher fiber yield of
sisal. Acidic soils with poor calcium content are not suitable for sisal plantation.
Moderate waste lands can also be utilized for sisal with economic benefits provided
adequate care is taken by fertilizing the crop and adopting suitable agricultural
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Suckers can be collected 3-4 times in a year from a mature plantation. Sometimes,
the suckers are left as such with the parent plant to grow
for one year or so, which can be used for planting purpose without raising them in
the nursery. Use of such suckers as planting material saves the nursery raising
cost. Attempts were made to use other methods such as somatic embryogenesis for
sisal propagation. Sisal plantlets regenerated from embryo produced through somatic
embryogenesis were transferred to the main field and the survival rate was 95% or
more
The freshly collected bulbils are raised in nurseries with an intention to produce high
quality planting materials in shortest possible time. The selected land for nursery
should be well drained, fertile (with organic matter), flat as far as practicable and
situated near the irrigation source. Pulverized and airy soils accelerate quick
initiation of roots and root development occurs rapidly. In sisal two types of
nurseries are in practice.
Secondary nursery: Bulbils are transferred from preparatory nursery to the main
nursery. The roots of the plantlets from the primary nursery are pruned lightly and
the diseased and dead leaves are removed. Bulbils are treated with Cu-fungicide
before planting them into the main nursery. Planting in main nursery is started with
the onset of monsoon and completed as early as possible. A spacing of 50 cm × 25
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cm was found better for rapid development of sisal plantlets. Every 11th row is
skipped to get space facilitating weeding and other inter-cultural operation. The
recommended spacing of 50 cm×25 cm can accommodate 80,000 bulbils/ha of
which about 72-76 thousand ultimately survive for planting in the main field.
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new farm the applied spacing is 1.5m X 1.2m (5555 plants/ha)with in plat and
between rows respectively.
3.1.10 MULCHING
Sisal waste can be used as good mulching material to conserve soil moisture. It can
also improve soil conditions and adds nutrients to the soil. Mulching can also be
practiced
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3.1.13 HARVESTING
First cutting, in general, starts at 3 ½ years crop age. However, in intensive
cultivation programme with appropriate care, first harvest can start at 2 ½ years of
age also. At first cutting 16 leaves and in each subsequent cutting 12 leaves are left
on the plant. Harvesting during November to February is advised considering
several factors like comparatively lower temperature, minimum rain hindrance,
restricted active growth and economy in harvesting and extraction operation. After
cutting, the leaves are bundled (say 50 numbers) and the bundles are transported
to the extraction unit. Extraction of fiber is done on the same day or preferably next
day as early as possible.
3.1.14 YIELD
Sisal productivity is highest with proper care and attention and by using improved
cultivation techniques, the fiber yield could be achieved to 1.7 to 2.5 tones/ha. For
the envisaged project 3.6 tones /ha for fiber strands as take as expected yields
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3.1.15 PROCESS FLOW SISAL CLITIVATION
Clearing and
weeding Preparing the bed
Farming
Farming
Steam Farm
Tissue Culture
Mulltplicat
ion on at
Field Nuresery
Nurser Farming Farming Suckers
Maintaining
the Crops
Fertilizer
Applications Weed Control
Controlling Prunning
Plagues and Illnes
Harvest
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4. PRODUCTION DESCIRPTION AND APPLICATION
Sisal is a naturally growing fiber plant extending lengthwise through pulpy tissues of
long leaves or leaf stems of tropical plant, which are long and multiple celled. This
fiber could be woven into rope which is mainly used for packing manufacturing raw
materials of various types.
The sisal fiber is highly durable, stretchable, strong, and resistant to saltwater. The
higher grade sisal fibers are used to make yarn for carpet weaving. Moderate grade
fibers are deemed suitable for use in making marine, shipping, agricultural, and
industrial ropes and twines, while lower grade sisal fibers are processed by the
paper manufacturing industries to make paper products. A variety of other products
involving the use of sisal fibers include rugs, slippers, spa products, and cat
scratching posts. Sisal is also used as reinforcement in polymer composites like
plastic and rubber, and these are used in the manufacture of automobiles, boats,
and water tanks. The by-products of the sisal fiber processing industry are often
utilized as livestock feed or fertilizers, as well as for the production of bio-gas,
pharmaceutical products, and building materials.
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also imports products made from sisal yarn such as rugs, carpets. However, import
data is lump summed with other products.
Accordingly in the absence of data in sisal yarn products the demand for sisal yarn
is estimated based on the demand for sisal sacks. The demand for sacks usually
comes from the agricultural and industrial sector. In good crop season years, it is
estimated that over 26 million quintals of grain enter the market which require
sacks for handling. In addition two million quintals of coffee and 10 million
quintals of vegetable enter the market. The agro-industrial sector is also a major
user of sacks. The sugar industries, flour mills, pasta & macaroni factors, salt
producers and masteries use sucks to handle their final goods. In general, some 50
million pieces of sacks are required to handle agricultural and industrial products
that enter the commercial system.
Commercial marketing sacks are of two types; i.e. those made of sisal fiber and
those made of synthetic fiber. Large quantity of synthetic fiber sacks come from
abroad with food grain and fertilizers and farther used in handling grain. Thus, the
large proportions of sacks are those made of synthetic fiber. Sacks made of sisal
fibers are preferred over sacks made of synthetic fiber particularly for handling of
coffee. Importers of coffee make a particular requirement that coffee should be
packed in sisal fibers.
The demand for sisal fiber emerges from two sources, i.e. for incremental production
and for replacement. Sisal fiber sacks cannot be used for more than one crop season.
Thus, they have to be produced to meet replacement demand and additional
production. In addition different groups are involved in production and marketing of
crops that require fiber sacks as packaging.
There are producers, local assemblers and regional trader and exporter in the case of
coffee and oil crops. Each of the parties uses their own packaging of sisal fiber
sacks. Thus, the amount of sacks required to handle the crops that enter the
commercial system is nearly threefold of the amount produced for each of the parties
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involved in the use of their own packaging. Table 4.1.1 shows export of difference
agricultural products that require fiber sacks for packaging
As can be seen from Table 5.1, the total export figure increased from 42.7 thousand
tonnes in 1999 to 234.6 thousand tons in 2005. The remarkable growth in export is
a result of deregulation and currency devaluation which created incentives for
producers to increase their supply quality.
Assuming that sisal fiber sacks account for 20% of the requirement, the annual
demand for sisal fiber sacks can be estimated at about 20 million pieces
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supply for the last nine years was on average 5,433.33 tons per annum and or
5,433,330 kg (5,433,330 pieces) See bellow Table 4.1.2.
The estimate for the domestic production of the jute bags indicates a negative trend.
The negative trend is due to the substitute product of PP sacks which are
increasingly substituting grain and flour sacks. In addition to this shift of demand
from natural sacks to synthetics there is also a raw material supply delay and
production interruption due to working capital problems as the raw material, jute is
imported from Bangladesh. The demand shift is explained by the very wide gap of
the unit price of jute bag which is more than 70 birr as against two Birr for PP sacks.
Therefore the current effective demand is expected to be the average supply of the
past nine years at 5,430 tones.
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2%. Hence, considering annual growth rate of 2%, the projected demand is shown in
Table 4.1.3.
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Table 4.1.4.: Bar diagram showing periods of supply of sisal Jute Bags
Segment/Produc Months
ts
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Agu Sep Oct Nov Dec
The high demand of supply during October to June and the medium used for supply
mechanism of sisal jute bags from July to September during coffee export and the
most prevailing marketing channels for supply to jute bags through whole seals
individuals, coffee suppler cooperatives and private.
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5. TECHNICAL STUDY OF FARM AND PROCESSING PLANT
The locality of this project is based on soil, rain fall, temperature and altitude
requirement technically feasible for establishment of sisal fibers production farm and
industry as it full files for existing local packaging material production land quality
requirements.
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The topography of the project area generally indicates availability of favourable opportunity
for low cost installation of infrastructures and land preparation requirements. Around the
project areas there are different coffee private farm and processing industry in the
international rode-way of Ethiopia to South Sudan.
• Climate: The climatic conditions of the project area could be broadly categorized as
sub-tropical, warm sub humid moist lowlands. According to traditional classification
of agro-climatic zones in Ethiopia; and, considering the high rainfall, low altitude
(1100-1350 m.a.s.l.); the project area might be classified as ″wet worm″. The specific
feature of the project area in terms of temperature is from 40 to 50oc and a rainfall
pattern is average 1550mm.
Temperature; According to the climatic data obtained from the Ethiopian Meteorology
Agency; the average minimum and maximum temperatures of the project area are
35.97oC and 39.19 o C respectively. Therefore, sisal grows best in subtropical
climates. The plant grows well in hot climate with temperatures between 10 to 32 °C.
The maximum temperature should be 40 to 50 °C, with minimum temperatures of 5
°C.
Rainfall Trend: The project area has average annual rainfall of 1550 mm; which is
higher than the average precipitation requirements of most field crops. The plants are
not frost tolerant and produce the best in areas with an annual rainfall of 500 mm
and higher. An annual rainfall average of between 600 to 1500 mm is required. The
monthly rainfall distribution of the Wereda shows that the area has 7 wet months
are May – October, during which 95.7% of the annual rainfall occurs
Soil Conditions of the Project Area: The plant is not soil specific, but it
grows best in well-drained loamy soil. Sisal can be cultivated in most soil
types except clay and has low tolerance to very moist and saline soil
conditions. Soil pH of between 4.0 and 6.0 is important. Results of soil sample
analysis from the project area indicate that the major soil textures are clay and
sandy loam with strong coarse structure. The PH of surface soil ranges from 5.1- 6.9,
which implies moderately alkaline soils. These soils are chemically and physically
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suitable for cotton, soybean and sesame cultivation and Sissal. In addition, the
proposed investment area refers to well drained soils that occur on almost flat to
gentle slope. The proportion of the land is suitable to most of annual crops and
perianal crops. Therefore, this envisaged project soil, rain fall, temperature
requirement is suitable, by this the project feasible for the sisal cultivation and sisal
bags processing and production.
5.2.2 NNFRSTRUCTURES
Road: Generally, the project area can be accessed by all-weather roads up to its
wereda town. Guraferda is located at 42 km away from Amani town and connected
with all-weather roads.
Electric Power: The wereda town of Guraferda of the project area has access to
hydroelectric power.
Water Resources: Generally, shallow well and boreholes are the main sources of
water supply in the Guraferda werda. Currently, access to safe drinking water is a
significant problem in the project area. However, the Water Resource Bureau and
other stakeholders in collaboration with the community has established different
safe water generating schemes such as hand dug well, hand pump, developing
spring water, deep well and shallow well to alleviate the problem.
Health Services: The project area can get hospital service from the closest Guraferd
located 10 kms from project area wereda town.
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5.3 FARM CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION PROGRAM
5. 3.1FARM CAPACITY
The market study of sisal yarn production presented above indicates that the
demand for sisal fiber sacks in 2018 is 10 million pieces. This figure will grow to
about 13.43 million pieces in 2026, and to about 14.37 million pieces in 2028.
Accordingly, the envisaged sisal plant producing will have annual capacity
corresponding to 7,484,850 sisal plant from 1496.91 hectare and within 18 months
the plan mature 16 harvestable leaf per plant within 4 harvesting cycle and a total of
119,757,600 per year. The farm will operate 8 hours a day, and 300 days a year.
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During the implementation period, the different activities likely to be undertaken
have been classified as follows on the basis of activities category and schedule in
tow to three year period as shown in the activity chart shown at table below.
ACTIVITES years
1 2 3
Farm Development
Planting & Sisal plant material Production
Farm Building and Site Work Construction
Farm Machinery Purchase
Farm tools and auxiliary machinery Purchase
Manpower recruitment
Training to technical staff
Farm Inputs Purchase
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machinery and equipment such as Bulldozers, and surveying instruments. These
machinery and equipment are expected to be rented from other enterprises.
Land preparation for sisal is similar to that of simple farming crops like sisal. They
can be achieved by one plugging, disking and harrowing. The sowing time varies
from place to place. The best time for sowing in tropical and subtropical regions is
just after the rains are well started, i.e. from the end of May to early July. The crops
should always be sown in rows.
2 Planting 1496.91
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built-up area is and plant processing facility and including staff and recreation area
built-up area is 3.09 ha. This includes production hall, finished products and raw
materials stores, offices and social facilities. The total cost of buildings and civil work at
a unit cost of land, is estimated at Birr 97,500.00. According to the Federal Legislation
on the Lease Holding of Urban Land (Proclamation No 721/2004) in principle, urban land
permit by lease is on auction or negotiation basis, however, the time and condition of
applying the proclamation shall be determined by the concerned regional government
which depending on the level of lease development policy. For this envisaged project
considered 25 years lease period agreement according to SNNPR rural land investment
policy of agriculture investment and its cost is estimated 65 birr per hectare of land. In
Ethiopia the lease period ranges from 25, 30, 70 and 99 years for various type of
investment while the lease payment period ranges from 10 years to 60 years based on
the type of investment
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5.4.6 FARM BUILDING AND CIVIL WORKS
The total land required for the project is estimated to be 1500 M2, and for a period of
2
project years. Of the total land area, 1500 m will be covered by different types of
buildings. Office building will have walls made of hollow – block linings and properly
cement plastered. The production and storage hangars will have walls covered by
corrugated iron sheets on columns and beams made of metallic bars. The roofs will
be of saw –tooth type with metallic trusses and covered with metal cladding. Other
buildings will be built by hollow-block walls properly finished, but mot cement
plastered. Based on the above building construction, average unit price of Birr 2540
(per m2) is proposed. The cost estimated of Building structure cost is 3,275,000 Birr.
The details breakdown and others details on floor area shown at the supporting plan
and bill of quantities.
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Table: 5.5.1 Establishment of Sisal Farm Seedling and Cost
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Nursery, Management Qt/ha 200 30 6,000
Sub-Total 446,840.00
LAND PREPARATION AND PLANTING COST
Pre-plant fertilizer -Nitrogen kg/ha 44,907 7 314,350
Phosphorus kg/ha 89,814 9 808,329
Potassium kg/ha 44,907 5 224,536
Insecticide Lt/ha 4,491 5 22,454
Sub-Preparation & Planting Cost 1,369,669
LABOR
Land preparation, digging Man days/ha 89,814 30 2,694,430
Application of manures & fertilizers Man days/ha 44,907 30 1,347,215
Planting Man days/ha 67,361 30 2,020,823
Spraying of pesticides and others Man days/ha 14,969 30 449,072
Sub-Prepr &Plant Labour Cost 6,511,540
Farm MACHINERY AND ASSOCIATED COST
Machinery, Fuel, Lt/ha 158,496 17 2,694,430
Oil and Lubricants 2,694,430 15% 404,165
Labor with machinery Man days/ha 14,969 30 449,072
Total MACHINERY AND ASSOCIATED COST 3,547,667
Total Cost 11,875,715.78
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5.6 CROP MAINTENANCE
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/ha
Spraying of pesticides, man days 17,963 35 628,700
/ha
Weeding x 2 times man days 119,752 40 4,790,099
/ha
Earthling up man days 34,928 30 1,047,834
/ha
Harvesting man days 14,969 45 673,608
/ha
Total Farm Lab.Cost Brirr/year 19,230,230
Total Farm Cost Brirr/year 99,681,433
5.7 HARVESTING
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on the plant. Harvesting during November to February is advised considering
several factors like comparatively lower temperature, minimum rain hindrance,
restricted active growth and economy in harvesting and extraction operation. After
cutting, the leaves are bundled (say 50 numbers) and the bundles are transported
to the extraction unit. Extraction of fiber is done on the same day or preferably next
day as early as possible.
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2,200,000 without tax purchase for local suppliers , the cost breaks down as show
at Table 5.8 below,
TABLE 5.8 MOTOR TRUCK REQUIREMENTS
VEHICLES AND Farm Machinery
equipment Capacity Unit Qt. Rate
Birr
Tractors 110 HP No 1 1,200,000
Trailer Disk harrow ,( 28 Disc), Disc plough ( 5
No set 200,000
Disc),Ripper - Ridger
Double Cap (4WD) 5 person No 1 800,000
2,200,000
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6. PROCESSING TECHNOLOGY AND ENGINEERING
Year y1 y2 Y3 4 –y10
Sisal Sack( Million In pieces) 7,479,185 8,865,46 9,308,737 9,774,174
4
Capacity utilization (%) 75 85 90 100
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COFFEE PACKAGING SISAL BAGS
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decorticators which are run by 250HP diesel engines. AC operated motors can also
be used in place of diesel engine. Leaves are fed into the machine mouth by one
person. A distinctive feature of this type of raspador is that the leaves enter the
machine endwise to make rasping action gradually. On entering, the knives/blades
progressively smash and tear off the leaf tissues at closely and regular spaced
blades. The fiber portion of the leaf remains in the hand of the operator. The average
output of these decorticators is 100 kg wet fiber/day. With some modifications,
these decorticators have been converted to two men fed decorticators (double fed).
The fiber output is nearly double as compared to the one man fed decorticators.
Automatic fiber decorticators consist of two covered drums placed at opposite
sides of a central line along which the leaves are conveyed and the fiber is delivered
after decortications. In this process the leaves enter cross wise instead of end wise
and decortications take place in one fell swoop. All the leaf tissues are crushed and
scraped off the fibers almost simultaneously because feeding of leaves can be done
at much faster rate. Such decorticator can extract 25,000 leaves or 10 tones
leaves by weight/hour. During decortications 15 to 20% of the total leaf fiber is
lost.
Drying: After decortication and washing, the fiber is dried, either in the sun or in
drying machines and this gives the fiber a more uniform quality. Excessive drying in
the sun may lead to deterioration in colour. Usually the dried fiber shows slight
greenness in colour. To make fiber white, next day this greenish fiber is spread
under the direct sunlight on the cement or grass floor. The green colour bleached
quickly to whiteness in presence of moisture; hence, water is sprinkled over fiber to
accelerate the bleaching process. On completion of drying, fiber is collected in small
bundles and then baled for transportation and marketing. The dried fiber represents
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only 4% of the total weight of the leaf. This process also combs out the shorter fiber
strands/strings of 7.5 to 12.5 cm in length.
Brushing: After the fiber has dried, it is collected into hanks to be brushed. The
brushing process is necessary to straighten the tangled, wavy fibers and to polish
them. The fire is mechanically combed.
Grading: After brushing, the fiber is graded according to length, colour and
other/decortications characteristics. The buyers insist on correct grading and general
neatness of the bale. The presence of oil, bits of coal and other impurities in the bale
is strongly disapproved.
Length/Class Description
3L At least 915 mm, without knots and cream to a light straw colour.
3 At least 610 mm.
UG Darker colour fiber.
PM Shorter than 610 mm with knots and darker colours.
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Damping: cloth is unrolled and water is sprinkled on it continuously to provide
desired moisture. Each roll is generally104 yards or 95.976 meters. Damping is
done manually.
Calendaring: Calendaring is a type of processing similar to ironing of the fabric.
After damping the damped fabric passes through pairs of heavy rollers rendering
threads in fabric flattened and improve the quality and appearance.
Lapping: Lapping is the process in which Hessian fabrics are folded into the
required size used in "Bale press" operation on the lapping machine.
Cutting : Cutting is the process where the sacking cloth is cut to the required length
for making bags for different size such as A-Twill bags and B-twill bags of 100 kg
capacity.
Hemming: In Hemming process, the raw edges of sacking cloth cut pieces are
shown by folding it with sewing machine
6.2.1 MATERIALS
The basic raw material required by the sisal yarn producing plant is sisal fiber. Sisal
fibre is obtained from sisal plant that can grow in SNNPRS, particularly in the
surrounding areas of Guraferda. It is therefore expected that sisal fiber producing
plant will be established to supply the envisaged plant with sisal fiber. These
studies highly propose that investment on sisal plantation will have to be
encouraged in the region. Moreover, individual farmers will have to be encouraged
and incentive system be devised so that there will be enough raw material for sisal
fiber and sisal sack production. The annual requirement of sisal fiber and related
cost is shown in Table 6.2.1 below. Other miscellaneous inputs are also required in
the process of sisal yarn production.
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Table: 6.2.1 Annual Requirement for Raw Materials and auxiliary
6.3 UTILITIES
Electricity and water are utilities required for the plant. A total of 240,000 kWh of
electricity is required. Annual water consumption is estimated to be 10,000 m3. At
the rate of Birr 0.474 per kWh and Birr 10 per m3 for water, the total annual
expenditure on utilities will be Birr 213760
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Trolleys for moving bales, yarn
Set 1 10,000 10,000
packages, beams, etc
250
Packing machine 1 5,000 5,000
Kg/hr
Sub-total 18,500
Auxiliary Machinery
Generate 30 kva 1 5,000 5,000
Water Pump 2 700 1,400
Lab Equipment 1 5,000 5,000
Welding shop equipment set 1 30,000 30,000
Engineering w/s equipment set 1 5,000 5,000
Sub-total 46,400
Total FOB Price at port of Origin (USD) 113,400
Sub-Total $41,500.00
Rope Making Machine
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Roving machine kg/hr 1 $7,000.00 $7,000.00
Spinning machine kg/hr 1 $8,000.00 $8,000.00
Sub-Total $15,000.00
Marketing Unit Machine]
Winding machine 250 Kg/hr 1 $6,000.00
$6,000.00
Weighing Scales Set 1 $700.00 $700.00
Trolleys for moving bales, yarn Set 1 $12,000.00
packages, beams, etc $12,000.00
Packing machine 250 Kg/hr 1 $5,000.00
$5,000.00
$23,700.00
Total FOB Price at port of Origin (USD) $80,200.00
Grand Total ( 1+2+3+4) in Birr 2,187,054.00
Estimated ocean fright (7%of FOB) 153,093.78
Estimated insurance (5% of FOB) 109,352.70
Estimated Inland Transport (2% of FOB) 43,741.08
TOTAL MACHINERIES AND EQUIPMENT COST 2,493,241.56
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breakdown and others details on floor area shown at the supporting plan and bill of
quantities.
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6.7 PODUCTS AND REVENUE
Production Year Y-1 Y-2 Y-3 Y-4
Revenue
Sack Production Unit 7,479,185 8,865,464 9,308,737 9,774,174
Price (birr/pieces) 37 37.00 37.00 37.00
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Table 6.8: Estimation of Total production cost of the Jute bags Processing
Utilities 95 95 95 95
Total 170,402.86
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6.10 OFFICE FURNITURE & EQUIPMENT
A total of ETB 119,900 is required for purchase of office furniture and related
equipment. The following table gives an assumed breakup.
ACTIVITES years
Operation years 1 2
Building and Site Work Construction
Processing Machinery Purchase
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Processing auxiliary machinery Purchase
Manpower recruitment
Training to technical staff
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7. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT
This project is designed to cultivate and promote the production of high value sisal
plant for fiber production, by maintaining the existing environmental system. It also
intends to protect the environment from the possible risks. Thus, in order to establish
environmental friendly farming, the new project site has been thoroughly scrutinized
particularly for its soil character, vegetation cover and agro ecology to identify the
expected negative impacts of the development.
The major expected threats identified due to the overall development farming
activities are soil depletion and loss of plantation cover in some undulated land form
areas. Therefore, the environmental management plan that will be realized by the
company is using soil improving crops through intercropping planting system. In
addition buffer plantation tree are going to be planted in order to protect from soil
erosion and minimize the misbalance effect of agro ecology.
In addition to cropping system and tree plantation programs, soil improving and
conservation practices as well as adopting good farming management activities will
be practiced including planting of cover crops, drainage structure and terrace
making. Furthermore the project will apply integrated pest management which is
more environmentally friendly form of pest control than the traditional pesticides as
its goal is to reduce pesticide use to a minimum by using a variety of less impact
means with pesticides only as a last choice
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8. PROJECT ORGANIZATION AND MANPOWER REQUIREMENT
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8.3 MAN POWER REQUIREMENT
The plant works will demand a total of nine perm ant employs as per the skill,
qualifications, and budget details at the table below
Table: 8.3 Man Power requirements
Monthly Annual
No. Title/Designation Educational level Req.
Salary Wages
No.
A. Administration
BSC in Mechanical Engendering
Plant manager 1 8000 96000
Experience 8 years
Secretarial science Experience 5
Secretary 2 6000 144000
years
BSC in Accounting Experience 5
Accountant 1 3000 36000
years
BSC in Accounting Experience 5
Personnel officer 1 1000 12000
years
BSC in Accounting Experience 4
Salesman 1 1000 12000
years
BSC in Accounting Experience 3
Purchaser 1 3000 36000
years
BSC in supply management
Store man 1 2000 24000
Experience 3 years
BSC in Accounting Experience 2
Cashier 2 1500 36000
years
Clerk Experience 6 1500 108000
General services Experience 1 2500 30000
Sub-total 17 534000
B. Production
Production BSC in Accounting Experience 3
2 1000 24000
supervisor years
BSC in Accounting Experience 3
Shift foreman 34 700 285600
years
Operators Out mechanic 10 350 42000
Laborer Reading writing 4 3000 144000
Mechanics Out mechanic 4 1500 72000
Electricians Electrician 2 1500 36000
Drivers 3rd license 2 1500 36000
Sub-total 0 - 639600
Workers’ benefit (25% BS) 0 - 234720
Total 75 - 1408320
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8.4 TRAINING REQUIREMENT
The skill of Agronomy and Agro-processing is well developed in the country since
there is a plant engaged in sisal fiber production and processing and production.
However, machinery operators will have to be given training for two weeks in
Ethiopian with cooperation Ethiopia agricultural research Institution. A total of ETB
200,000 is allotted to train plant operators and technicians
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9. FINANCIAL APPRAISAL OF THE PROJECT
9.1 INTRODUCTION
The demand for sisal sack is increasing rapidly in national markets and a big gap exists
between supply and demand. There is need to take advantage of this situation by
encouraging its production which is a highly viable venture as brought out below for
“Yesiget Manufacturing Sisal Development Farm and Jute Bag Processing PLC”
putting hands in commercial cultivation of agriculture crops in the country. Farm movement
in to large scale production of sisal sack would give fast returns to them and will contribute
in the wealth of nation.
With the imbalance between supply and demand in the national sisal sack market
coupled with a low level of commercial sisal sack prices, there is much interest among
private operators to invest in sisal sack farm in Ethiopia. The sisal plant cultivation
and sack processing is a necessary investment to produce a quality sack packaging,
which is sold in the sack local market at medium prices. This chapter will assess the
financial feasibility of investing in oyster mushroom processing and marketing, using
the “Bench Maji Zone Bifitu Sisal Development Farm and Manufacturing
Industry PLC” establishment as feasibility studies. Detailed information regarding
economics of the project is provided as follows
9.2.1 OBJECTIVES
The purpose of this section is to find what should have been the profitability of the
project if major investments and operation costs were paid by them. The results of
the analysis may therefore be a useful guide for project implementation and weather
it is feasible or not the analysis will:
i. Estimate the expected after-tax cash flows from the investment over a
time frame of ten years. The time frame of ten years was chosen because
it was difficult to predict what the sisal fiber and sack market, a thin
market, will look like in the long run.
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ii. Compute the net present value and the internal rate of return.
iii. Propose a hypothetical model sisal sack is sales pricing related to world
price base analysis.
iv. Carry out sensitivity analysis to identify the impact of change of key
parameters on profitability.
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Minimum 30% of the total investment is required as margin money.
Pay-back period of the project will be 5 years with yearly installments.
Break-even Point has been calculated on the full capacity utilization.
For smooth functioning of the unit, it is suggested that unit should have
own arrangements for cultivation of sisal sack for consistency and regular
availability of quality raw materials.
Sisal seedling can be utilized for preparation of sisal sack sold in local
markets to get reasonable profit
ii. INVESTMENT COSTS: The investment cost includes the cost of building the
cultivation, processing and the packaging unit. The project estimated the total
costs of establishing the unit at ETBIRR 21,961,767. The project also
evaluated the land on which the cultivation and processing unit rent payment
at ETBIRR 97,500 per year for 25 years. The rationale for including the value
of the land and building as part of the investment cost is that if the project was
not undertaken the land would have been put to alternative uses. The sisal
fiber and sack processing plant at capacity of 100% is having 9,774,174
pieces of processed oyster mushroom per year.
- Labor costs: They include overhead staff and temporary labor costs to carry out
the sisal plant farm, extraction and processing activities. The overhead costs are
mainly the salaries paid to the management team of the farm and industry. In
principle the breakdown between fixed and variable costs was analyzed Whittaker
et al. (1985) estimated that fixed and variable costs for a processing unit with a
capacity of 100% production of sisal sack were equal to ¾ and ¼ of total labor costs,
respectively. The ¾ and ¼ shares were then multiplied by total labor costs, in a
particular year, divided by the quantity of sisal sack, which in turn was calculated
using the conversion factor from sisal fiber to sack in principle. But for this project to
use for analysis do no realities in the existing condition of Ethiopia, for practical
temporary labor costs consist of costs of cultivation, extraction and processing the
sack data use from different part of the country, which unfortunately did not
separate fixed and variable costs. There for the breakdown used for fixed and
variable costs was no applied in this project, the labor cost based on data form
cooperatives and private coffee washing station data price per day per man 30 to
35 ET.BIRR was used for the labor cost analysis at the beginning and 5% growth
rate throughout the project life.
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installments at 12% interest per year starting in project fourth year. Interest fees will
be calculated on both the principal and the interest capitalized from begging year.
- The machinery and equipment is depreciated with a straight-line balance
method. The average useful life of the facilities is 15 years.
- Tax rate of depreciation: The processing unit has been classified as “farm
work” with a tax rate of 20%. Depreciation is not a cash flow but has cash flow
consequences because it is tax deductible. Therefore, it provides a tax shield equal
to depreciation multiplied by the tax rate.
- Government tax rate: The value added tax is assumed to be applied to the
owner’s profits. Tax rates are fixed by Ethiopia government Custom Authority, a
national public agency. The Value Added Tax (VAT) of 15 % will be applied to the
owner’s net income.
The salvage value of the equipment was calculated using the straight line
depreciation procedure. The total salvage value is equal to the value of the land and
building rent plus the sum of the depreciation value of the equipment for 9 years
minus the value of 10 years of depreciation taken for the analysis. The opportunity
cost of capital was assumed to be 12%, equivalent to the interest rate of the local
bank.
- Portfolio of assets: The analysis assumes that the farm will invest only in sisal
sack processing and marketing. Other lucrative options are supposed to be not
feasible to invest in.
- Cash flows are estimated by simply counting money flowing in and money flowing
out of the business. Therefore, there was no need to calculate changes in net
working capital (NWC) because of the use of the cash accounting approach.
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includes the present value of after-tax cash flows (PVATCF), present value of
after-tax terminal value (PVATTV) and the after-tax equity proportion of
initial investment (ATEPII). In this study, I have assumed that the two last
components are equal to zero. The PVATCF encompasses cash inflows, cash outflows
and the effects of tax shield and an income tax in the cash flows was computed.
The calculation of the net present value consists first of all in obtaining the Net Cash
Flows After-Taxes (NCFAT), which takes into account the deduction for income tax.
NCFAT are obtained by multiplying the taxable cash flow (Cash inflows-operating
costs - Interest) by the after-tax factor (1-t) adding the tax allowance for
depreciation and subtracting the cash flows for principal payments. The NCFAT of
the ten year includes the salvage value of the processing facilities and the value of
the land at that period. In order to find the NPV, the NCFAT at different points in time
are converted to comparable values at the present time. The opportunity cost of
equity capital (Ke) is the most appropriate discount rate to use in the calculation of
the present value of each cash flow.
Ideally, the investment analysis is based on asset valuation approaches that state
that the value of an investment is determined by discounting expected future cash
flows and using an appropriate risk premium rate for the investment. Asset pricing
models should be used to determine the appropriate risk-adjusted discount
rate to use in estimating cash flows. This study did not have data on the returns
of a similar investment to estimate the risk premium. I have therefore simply used
the interest rate of 10% as an estimation of the opportunity cost of capital for the
investment.
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Tax holidays 4 years
Description ET BIRR
Initial Capital Cost
LAND UTILIZATION COST
97,500
INFRASTRUCTURES AND COSTS RELATED TO INSTALLATIONS 161,500
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Total Capital Costs 17,446,303
INITIAL WORKING CAPITAL
CAPITAL INVESTMENT + WC
21,961,767
Source of Fund
Description
Equity Contribution Bank Lon Total
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4,988,448 12,213,097 17,201,546
INVESTMENT COST
244,757 - 244,757
PRE-OPERATING COST
1,399,794 3,115,670 4,515,464
WORKING CPITAL COST
6,633,000 15,328,768 21,961,767
Total Cost
30% 70%
% Share
It may be seen from the profitability estimates that the plant would earn a net profit
after taxation of ETB 17.464, 30.695, 31,676 and 31.833 million during the first
years second, third and fourth of operation at 75% 85%, 95% and 100% of the project
utilization capacity. The net profit after tax will increase gradually from to ETB
17.141 million in the fourth year when the unit expects to achieve 100% utilization of
capacity. On the above basis, there is adequate generation of funds out of the plant
operation to service the repayment of term loan and interest liabilities, as also to
meet additional requirement of margin money for working capital in the fourth and
subsequent years. Further, adequate surplus cash is available with the unit for
promoter withdrawal, Annexure-3-1.
Cash flow on hand at a given period in time (i.e., projection) is critical component of a
business initiative. The cash flow is positive starting Year two. The cash end balance
clearly shows that the accumulated or free cash fund is sufficient to finance the
expansion activities, strengthen the Tomato processing plant establishment for the
sauce, paste and dried tomato production and invest on the establishment of other
services.
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9.4.3 PAY BACK PERIOD
The computation of the payback period is given at Annexure- 4.2. The pay- back
period works out to 3 years and 22 months on the basis of profit after tax. The pay-
back period would be much less in case calculated on the basis of profit before tax.
The break even ratio, the ratio of breakeven sales to planned production, for the
entire period is between 0.0417 and 0.10 the break even ratio of the project is not
only low but it also steadily declines throughout the operation period. This low break
even ratio means low risk to the investment; the business has great level of security
against unforeseen operational difficulties.
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the project life. The business result obtained reveals that the investment is
financially viable and has a healthy cash flow forecast. The outcome of the financial
analysis reveals that: based on the following repayment schedule the annual
payment was described on the base of bellow the given table 8.5 bellows throughout
the project life.
Annual Payment $2,721 $2,721 $2,721 $2,721 $2,721 $2,721 $2,721 $2,721 $2,721 $2,721
Principal $876 $981 $1,099 $1,231 $1,378 $1,544 $1,729 $1,937 $2,169 $2,429
Ending Balance $14,497 $13,516 $12,417 $11,186 $9,808 $8,264 $6,535 $4,598 $2,429 $0
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farmers and cooperatives an also generates income for the government in terms of
tax revenue and payroll tax
The envisaged project of Farm and Plant possesses wide range of benefits where it
promotes the socio-economic goals and objectives stated in the strategic plan of the
Southern Nation, National Regional State. It is boost sinter sectorial linkage between
the agricultural (export crop producers) and industrial sector. At the sometime,
therefore, it helps diversify the economic activity of the region. The other major
benefits are listed as follows:
A. Profit Generation
The project is found to be financially viable and earns a profit of Birr 17.46 million
and 31.833 million for industry respectively at the begging of the project and
increased within the project life. Such result induces the project promoters to reinvest
the profit which, therefore, increases the investment magnitude in the region.
B. Tax Revenue
In the project life under consideration, the region will collect about Birr 9.404 million
and 17.141 million from farm as well as from processing plant at the beginning of
the project then increased in the project life. The tax comes from corporate tax
payment alone (i.e. excluding income tax, sales tax and VAT). Such result creates
additional fund for the regional government that will be used in expanding social and
other basic services in the region
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10. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
10.1 CONCLUSIONS
Based on the framework set out in this feasibility study the following conclusions
were made regarding the feasibility of proposed environmental friendly farm
productions enterer prize.
• A market opportunity was identified for the domestic sales market. The demand
local market trend confirms the products are marketable
• The analysis of technical feasibility of the proposed farm and Industry Company
revealed that the machinery, equipment’s, production facilities and services and the
human resource could be integrated for efficient Sisal plantation and fiber production
farm and sack productions.
• The analysis on financial feasibility of the proposed company revealed that based
on the assumptions made, the company is profitable. The company is projected to
have a healthy cash flow and is viable over long term. The positive financial
feasibility is, however, dependent on stable inflation and macro-economic conditions.
The profitability of the farm and industry can be further increased by using
alternative energy costs.
Based on the framework set out in this feasibility study where feasibility is assessed
in fourth core areas,
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production processing. The marketing margin and transportation farcicalities will
enables the project its products.
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11. ANNEXTURE
1. PROJECT INVESETMENT
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ANNEXTURE-2 INCOM STATEMENT ASSUMPTION AND DETAILS
Operating Expenses for the project and there basis are taken as follows
Description Basis Basis
CONSTRUCTION AND FINANCE
Construction period 1 years 1-2 year
Bank interest 10% 9.5%
Discounted cash flow 10% 10%
Source of finance 30% equity and 70 % loan
ECONOMIC ASSUMPTIONS
Utilities price growth 10%
Material price growth rate 5%
Wage Growth Rate 5%
Tax rate 35%
EXPENSE
Salaries Expenses As per Salary Estimations
Staff Benefits 20% of Payroll
Insurance 1% of Eqp. Cost
Administrations expense 5% of Sales
Farm Production 50% of Sales
Selling Expenses 5 % of Sales
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2.2 DEPRECIATION CALCULATION (Birr’000)
Rate ( % ) 0 1 2 3 y4 -10
1-2 3-10
LAND UTILIZATION COST 5% 5% 98 5 5 5 5
INFRASTRUCTURES AND COSTS RELATED TO 5% 5% 162
INSTALLATIONS 8 8 8 8
BUILDING- SISAL FARM 10% 12% 3,275 328 328 328 328
BUILDING- SISAL LEAVE PROCESSING 10% 10% 5,764 576 576 576 576
MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT FOR FARM 20% 20% 85 17 17 17 17
MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT FOR FIBER 20% 20% 3,103
EXTRACTION 621 621 621 621
MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT FOR SACK 20% 20% 2,493
PRODUCTION 499 499 499 499
FURNITURE AND FIXTURES 20% 20% 120 24 24 24 24
VEHICLES AND FARM MACHINERY 20% 20% 2,200 440 440 440 440
PRE-OPERATING COST 10% 10% 245 24 24 24 24
Total 17,544 2,542 2,542 2,542 2,542
77
Annexure-3 FINANCIAL PROJECTIONS
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3.2 PROJECTED BALNCE SHEET (000 Birr)
Y-1 Y-2 Y-3 Y-4 Y-5 Y-6 Y-7 Y-8 Y-9 Y-10
Assets
Cash 4,515 -2,251 26,244 57,819 89,274 119,569 147,458 183,610 229,158 284,242 348,886
Inventory - 19,296 21,210 22,367 23,691 25,206 26,941 28,929 31,207 33,820 36,816
Accounts receivable - 13,836 16,401 17,221 18,082 18,986 19,936 21,979 24,232 26,716 29,454
Total current assets 4,515 30,881 63,854 97,407 131,047 163,761 194,334 234,518 284,597 344,777 415,157
Gross property, plant & equipment 17,446 17,446 17,446 17,446 17,446 17,446 17,446 17,446 17,446 17,446 17,446
Less: Accumulated depreciation expense - -2,542 -5,083 -7,625 -10,166 -12,708 -15,249 -17,791 -20,332 -22,874 -25,415
Net property/equipment 17,446 14,905 12,363 9,822 7,280 4,739 2,197 -344 -2,886 -5,427 -7,969
Total assets 21,962 45,786 76,218 107,229 138,327 168,500 196,531 234,174 281,712 339,350 407,188
Liabilities Initial balance Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 5 Year 5 Year 5 Year 5 Year 5
Accounts payable - 7,236 7,954 8,388 8,884 9,452 10,103 10,848 11,703 12,682 13,806
Notes payable/short-term debt - 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total current liabilities - 7,236 7,954 8,388 8,884 9,452 10,103 10,848 11,703 12,682 13,806
Long-term debt from Bank 15,373 14,497 13,516 12,417 11,186 9,808 8,264 6,535 4,598 2,429 0
Shareholders equity 6,589 24,053 54,748 86,424 118,257 149,240 178,165 216,790 265,411 324,238 393,382
Total long-term debt and shareholders equity 21,962 38,550 68,264 98,841 129,443 159,048 186,429 223,325 270,009 326,668 393,382
Total liabilities 21,962 45,786 76,218 107,229 138,327 168,500 196,531 234,174 281,712 339,350 407,188
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3.3 PROJECTED CASH FLOW STATEMENT (000 Birr)
Year 1-2 year Y-1 Y-2 Y-3 Y-4 Y-5 Y-6 Y-7 Y-8 Y-9 Y-10
Net income 17,464 30,695 31,676 31,833 30,983 28,925 38,626 48,620 58,828 69,143
Plus depreciation 2,542 2,542 2,542 2,542 2,542 2,542 2,542 2,542 2,542 2,542
Less increase in inventory - (19,296) (1,914) (1,157) (1,323) (1,515) (1,735) (1,988) (2,279) (2,612) (2,996)
Less increase in accounts receivable - (13,836) (2,565) (820) (861) (904) (949) (2,043) (2,253) (2,484) (2,738)
Plus increase in accounts payable - 7,236 718 434 496 568 651 746 854 980 1,124
Cash flow from operations - (5,891) 29,476 32,674 32,686 31,674 29,432 37,881 47,485 57,253 67,074
Cash flow from operations and invests (17,446) (5,891) 29,476 32,674 32,686 31,674 29,432 37,881 47,485 57,253 67,074
Plus net new long-term debt 15,373 (876) (981) (1,099) (1,231) (1,378) (1,544) (1,729) (1,937) (2,169) (2,429)
Cash flow from ops, invests, and fin 4,515 (6,767) 28,495 31,575 31,455 30,295 27,888 36,152 45,548 55,084 64,645
Beginning cash balance - 4,515 (2,251) 26,244 57,819 89,274 119,569 147,458 183,610 229,158 284,242
Ending cash balance 4,515 (2,251) 26,244 57,819 89,274 119,569 147,458 183,610 229,158 284,242 348,886
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ANNEXURE-4 FINANCIAL EVALUTION
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
(100,000)
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4.2 INTERNAL RATE OF RETUREN (000 Birr)
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4.3 Annual Statement of Costs and benefits (Birr)
4.4 Cash Flow Table for Net Present Value Calculation (on Equity)
Cash Flow Table for Net Present Value Calculation (on Equity)
Total Cash inflow 0 276,730 328,022 344,423 361,644 379,727 398,713 439,581 484,638 534,314 589,081
Cash Surplus/Deficit 0 241,201 265,122 279,590 296,132 315,070 336,760 361,610 390,092 422,748 460,200
Dividends
Equity capital refund
Net cash Return (6,633) 241,201 265,122 279,590 296,132 315,070 336,760 361,610 390,092 422,748 460,200 3,361,891
Cumulative Cash Return (6,633) 234,567.75 499689.453 779278.965 1075410.71 1390480.73 1727240.59 2088850.92 2478943.17 2901690.7 3361890.6 16,531,411
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