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THE BUSINESS Marketing and Management Marketing Strategy Collection

STRONG
EXPERT PRESS Models Naresh Malhotra, Editor
DIGITAL LIBRARIES
A Guide to Understanding and Using
EBOOKS FOR Business Models
BUSINESS STUDENTS
Curriculum-oriented, born-
digital books for advanced
business students, written
Helen Strong
Modern business practice, especially in the field of Marketing and
Management
­marketing, depends on the integration of creative and
by academic thought analytical thinking. One of the tools in this process is
leaders who translate real- the use of management models to guide business deci-
world business experience sions. However, the inherent power of the models is only

Models
into course readings and released when the people applying them have the ability
reference materials for to gather relevant information and interpret the relation-
students expecting to tackle ships between the variables in the model.
management and leadership This book examines the role of some of the most pop-

MARKETING AND MANAGEMENT MODELS


challenges during their
professional careers.
ular management models and will help you determine
when they should be applied. In addition, it suggests A Guide to
which models may be relevant and, more importantly,
POLICIES BUILT
BY LIBRARIANS
identifies the type of information needed to implement
them; and also reduces the complexity of these models
Understanding and
• Unlimited simultaneous
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through a logical and systematic approach. Models rec-
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Marketing Strategy Collection
Naresh Malhotra, Editor
ISBN: 978-1-60649-962-7

www.businessexpertpress.com www.businessexpertpress.com
Marketing and
Management Models
Marketing and
Management Models
A Guide to Understanding and
Using Business Models

Helen Strong
Marketing and Management Models: A Guide to Understanding and
Using Business Models
Copyright © Business Expert Press, LLC, 2014.
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced,
stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any
means—electronic, mechanical, photocopy, recording, or any other
except for brief quotations, not to exceed 400 words, without the prior
permission of the publisher.

First published in 2014 by


Business Expert Press, LLC
222 East 46th Street, New York, NY 10017
www.businessexpertpress.com

ISBN-13: 978-1-60649-962-7 (paperback)


ISBN-13: 978-1-60649-963-4 (e-book)

Business Expert Press Marketing Strategy collection

Collection ISSN: 2150-9654 (print)


Collection ISSN: 2150-9662 (electronic)

Cover and interior design by Exeter Premedia Services Private Ltd.,


Chennai, India

First edition: 2014

10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

Printed in the United States of America.


Abstract
Modern business practice, especially in the field of marketing, depends
on the integration of creative and analytical thinking. One of the tools in
this process is the use of management models to guide business decisions.
However the inherent power of the models is only released when the people
applying them have the ability to gather relevant information and interpret
the relationships between the variables in the model. This book examines
the role of some of the most popular management models. It helps the
reader appreciate when they should be applied; it suggests which models
may be relevant; and, importantly, identifies the type of information
needed to implement them. Marketing and Management Models: A Guide
to Understanding and Using Business Models reduces the complexity of
management models through a logical and systematic approach. Models
recognize the impact of globalization, technology, systems thinking, and
the need for an integrated approach in strategic marketing. The reader
will find new models dealing with consumer engagement, gamification,
supply chain management, and cultural integration.
The contents will be of particular assistance to students of business
and marketing qualifications who have not yet had working experience;
and junior market researchers and managers responsible for the prepara-
tion of strategic analyses prior to problem-solving and planning sessions.

Keywords
how to apply marketing and management models, strategic marketing and
management models, understanding management models, understanding
marketing models, using management models, top management and
marketing models explained
Contents
List of Figures.........................................................................................ix
List of Tables...........................................................................................xi
Abbreviations.......................................................................................xiii
Preface.................................................................................................. xv
Acknowledgments.................................................................................. xix
Chapter 1 Arthur D Little Matrix....................................................1
Chapter 2 Adopt and Drop Curve...................................................9
Chapter 3 Ansoff Growth Matrix...................................................13
Chapter 4 Authenticity Gap..........................................................19
Chapter 5 Brand EquityG...............................................................25
Chapter 6 Brand Resonance..........................................................33
Chapter 7 Brand Resonance LadderG.............................................37
Chapter 8 Brand Loyalty Programs................................................41
Chapter 9 Brand Switching............................................................45
Chapter 10 Engagement Gearing.....................................................51
Chapter 11 Communication Targeting: Business Buying Unit.........57
Chapter 12 Consumer Decision Making.........................................65
Chapter 13 Consumer Decision Model for a Service
Industry Environment...................................................73
Chapter 14 Consumer Angry Switching..........................................77
Chapter 15 Customer Growth Rate.................................................83
Chapter 16 Gamification.................................................................91
Chapter 17 Gap Analysis.................................................................97
Chapter 18 Cultural Integration in Marketing...............................101
Chapter 19 Force Field Analysis.....................................................107
Chapter 20 Iceberg Theory: Identification of the
Marketing Research Problem......................................111
Chapter 21 Integrated Marketing Vectors......................................115
Chapter 22 Ishikawa Diagram (Fishbone)......................................119
Chapter 23 Mullin’s Seven Domains—Business Opportunities......123
Chapter 24 Perceptual Maps..........................................................129
viii Content

Chapter 25 Porter’s Five Force Analysis..........................................133


Chapter 26 Positioning..................................................................139
Chapter 27 Product Life Cycle......................................................143
Chapter 28 Road Mapping............................................................149
Chapter 29 SERVQUAL...............................................................155
®
Chapter 30 SOSTAC Planning System........................................161
Chapter 31 Stakeholder Analysis....................................................165
Chapter 32 Supply Chain Concept................................................171
Chapter 33 Target Market Identification: Segmentation
and Estimation............................................................179
Chapter 34 The Growth Share Matrix...........................................185
Chapter 35 Glossary of Terms........................................................189

Conclusion..........................................................................................215
About the Author.................................................................................217
References............................................................................................219
Index..................................................................................................227
List of Figures
Figure 2.1 Adopt and drop curve implied by Silverman.................10
Figure 3.1 Ansoff matrix................................................................14
Figure 4.1 Authenticity gap: Fleishman-Hillard.............................20
Figure 5.1 Brand equity.................................................................26
Figure 6.1 Kevin Lane Keller’s brand resonance model ..................34
Figure 7.1 Brand resonance ladder.................................................38
Figure 8.1 Brand loyalty corridor...................................................42
Figure 9.1 Brand switching............................................................46
Figure 9.2 Example of conjoint selection stimulus........................ 49
Figure 10.1 Engagement cogs..........................................................53
Figure 11.1 Communication targeting.............................................58
Figure 12.1 Consumer decision-making model................................66
Figure 13.1 Decision making in service industry..............................74
Figure 14.1 Angry switching drivers.................................................78
Figure 15.1 Customer growth rate...................................................84
Figure 16.1 The elements and tools of gamification.........................92
Figure 17.1 Gap analysis..................................................................98
Figure 18.1 Cultural integration....................................................103
Figure 19.1 Force field analysis......................................................108
Figure 20.1 Iceberg Theory............................................................112
Figure 21.1 Integrated marketing vectors.......................................116
Figure 22.1 Ishikawa (fishbone) diagram........................................120
Figure 23.1 Seven domains of attractive opportunities...................124
Figure 24.1 Perceptual map for gap analysis...................................130
Figure 24.2 Vector map of consumer ratings..................................130
Figure 25.1 Porter’s five forces........................................................134
Figure 26.1 Positioning model.......................................................140
Figure 26.2 Consumer promise......................................................140
Figure 27.1 Product life cycle and adoption cycle...........................144
x List of Figures

Figure 28.1 One form of a road map based on the


concept of a Gantt chart.............................................150
Figure 29.1 SERVQUAL: Zeithami and Parasuraman’s
SERVQUAL...............................................................156
Figure 29.2 First gap......................................................................157
Figure 29.3 Second gap..................................................................157
Figure 29.4 Third gap....................................................................157
Figure 29.5 Fourth gap..................................................................157
Figure 29.6 Fifth gap.....................................................................158
®
Figure 30.1 SOSTAC model........................................................162
Figure 31.1 Stakeholder representation: onion format....................166
Figure 31.2 Stakeholder mapping..................................................167
Figure 31.3 Stakeholder power: interest matrix..............................169
Figure 32.1 Supply chain participants............................................173
Figure 33.1 Segmentation and target market..................................181
Figure 34.1 The growth share matrix..............................................186
Figure 34.2 Adspend versus share and unit sales.............................187
Figure 35.1 Transformation of marketing mix to four Cs...............189
Figure 35.2 Seven Ps of the marketing mix....................................202
List of Tables
Table 1.1 ADL Matrix....................................................................2
Table 4.1 Company perception drivers.........................................20
Table 5.1 Questions relating to brand equity................................29
Table 9.1 Factors generating dissatisfaction in banking clients......46
Table 11.1 Information for communication targeting.....................61
Table 11.2 Communication focus...................................................62
Table 15.1 Customer categorization...............................................90
Table 17.1 Gap analysis..................................................................99
Table 17.2 Gap analysis for service factors....................................100
Table 22.1 Ishikawa cause categories.............................................121
Table 29.1 SERVQUAL determinants of service quality...............159
Table 31.1 Categories of business related stakeholders..................168
Table 31.2 Example of checklist matching project objectives
against stakeholder interest..........................................170
Table 35.1 Marketing experiments value proposition
worksheet....................................................................194
Abbreviations
AMPS All Media and Product Survey
BBBEE Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment
(South African concept)
BCG Boston Consulting Group
BE Brand Equity
BMR Bureau of Market Research
CRM Customer Relationship Management
CSI Corporate Social Investment
CSF Critical Success Factor
CU Customer Units or Consuming Units
EQ or EI Emotional Quotient or Emotional Intelligence
NGO Nongovernmental Organization
PLC Product Life Cycle
R&D Research and Development
SAARF South African Audience Research Foundation
SARS South African Revenue Service
SCC Supply Chain Council
SMART In relation to objectives: Specific; Measurable; Actionable;
Realistic; Time defined
SQ Social Intelligence Quotient
WCA Workmen’s Compensation Act
WOM Word-of-Mouth
Preface
Strategic planning depends on one’s ability to understand the situation,
read the environment, to perceive what variables are in play, and to realize
how they will interact. Every manager and undergraduate student will
have been told how useful management models are in the planning
process. And it is widely assumed that having knowledge of the existence
of models is equivalent to knowing how to apply them.
In my experience, that does not hold true. While the models are the
outcome of one or more genii’s insight, they can only make strategic sense
when the applicant knows when to use them, and how to apply them.
And sometimes they should be regarded simply as logical structures to
generate thought about a situation.
This project considers some of the best known management models
(mainly marketing) and discusses how to make them useful in strategic
planning. The book is written from the perspective of obtaining and
generating the right information to make best use of the models. There
is no claim to additional insights, other than that of simplification in
the art of knowing what is important; what needs to be measured; and the
approach that should be followed to interpret the signs.
Interpretation is where the art of strategic marketing management
comes in. If one does not appreciate the significance of the signs, then
active marketing cannot be practiced. By active marketing, we refer
to the ability of the marketing team to anticipate circumstances and
adjust the marketing activities to optimize the outcome for the product.
Here the marketer will be sensitive to trends, competitive activity, or even
what is referred to as chaotic disruption. That is a change so large that it
impacts all normal activity. Hopefully it is your organization that would
be responsible for that disruption.
To arrive at meaningful interpretations of analysis and findings,
researchers need to be aware of the driving forces in general and within
their particular market(s). A driving force is a trend in attitudes and
xvi Preface

beliefs, products, technologies, or of all these, which changes the way


people and companies behave (produce) and consume goods.
At the time of writing (2013), significant global driving forces that are
changing the world include:

• Growth of the Internet and its associated social media


• Environmental consciousness for sustainability (this includes
the green movement and conservation of natural resources)
• Speed of communication driven by technology
• Pace of change, especially influenced by technology
• Expectation of immediate satisfaction of needs
• Automation of production changing the quality of products,
productivity, costs, and skill requirements
• Increasing integration and exchange of information and goods
between countries; coupled with the communication changes,
this has led to the concept of a global community where
everyone is interconnected
• Changing demographics due to local and international migra-
tion, modern warfare, political factors, advances in education,
health epidemics (for example HIV/AIDS), changing birth
rates, and such

When considering organizational strategies, the researcher needs


to consider the penetration and impact of these types of trends on the
dynamics of the industry in which he or she is operating. For those who
are developing organizational strategies, an excellent article is provided
by Stinson and Day (1990) in which they elaborate on global trends, and
provide researchers with the types of questions that should be used to
interrogate the industries in which one is active.
To simplify the discussions where a strategic or research technique is
used several times within the applications of models, a description will be
included in the Glossary of Terms. It will be marked with a “G” to remind
you that you can find an explanation for the term within the book.
A number of diagrams and illustrations have been found from the
Internet. You can explore the concepts more fully by following the links
provided in the footnotes and References section.
Preface xvii

General Usefulness
Management models in themselves are usually graphic representations of
variables that interact together in a situation. In creating the model, the
originator has perceived and usually researched the importance of the
various factors that are included in its structure in relation to different
business problems.
Following the work of Shipham (2010), the author subscribes
to the belief that visible problems do not always have obvious causes.
Furthermore, there are levels of complexity, which need to be unraveled
before one can identify the true or root causes of a problem.
In strategic planning and market research, it is essential to identify
the real causes for issues and phenomena that are observed in the market.
Otherwise a great deal of money could be wasted or at risk due to incor-
rect hypotheses or objectives for research and investigation.
The use of business models allows for a structured reflective approach
in locating and identifying the hitherto unidentified causal factors of
business problems.
In considering the facets of various models, the strategist has a tool
to bring underlying influences to the surface providing a better chance to
explain contributors to problem symptoms. This book assumes that the
vision (ideal position of the organization) and mission statements (what
is done to achieve the vision) of the organization are known. It is also
assumed that the analyst is aware of the need to align recommendations
to these important signposts.
In the following pages we will consider some of the most popular, and
some lesser known management models, which can be useful in uncover-
ing the variables that need to be examined and measured in explaining or
describing business situations.
In all cases, we ask two questions: What does the consumer need? and
What does the decision maker need to know?
Acknowledgments
Thanks for the inspiration.
This journey began just over a year ago following my interaction with
marketing and market research students. They were struggling with the
concept of applying management models to solve business problems.
I realized that unless one has had work experience, many of the factors
mentioned within these models do not make sense. Someone had to
explain how to use management models and to show how they provide
a framework for analysis and suggestion of solutions. Understanding of
the basics then flows naturally—what information is needed and how to
gather it.
Thanks to my dear husband Garth: He tolerated (no, accepted)
erratic bedtimes and other selfish writing habits. He realized that I was
totally absorbed with finding good information and putting it into a
simplified format.
Thanks for the experts: My daughter Bronwyn Burdis who brought
me up to speed on the realities of supply chain design and Audrey Buckley,
the artist who provided me with my very own Cheshire cat.
Thanks to the Internet: For the people from all around the globe who
share their research, knowledge, and insights. My world is richer for this
generosity.
Finally, thanks to the team at Business Expert Press who supported
this venture with good and prompt advice when I needed it.
CHAPTER 1

Arthur D Little Matrix


Arthur D Little (ADL) Matrix: Purpose
This useful tool assists organizations in developing appropriate strategies
for their companies and their products. The ADL Matrix is applied when
a company is reviewing its product portfolio or conducting a strategy
planning exercise in which allocation of resources is being considered.
In preparation for mergers and acquisitions, the matrix will identify a
division’s products that should be retained or divested.

ADL Matrix Structure and Description


The philosophy is that competitive forces in the marketplace should be
considered in conjunction with the industry’s life cycle phase, thereby
modifying the strategic thrust of the business. The matrix cells emerge
from a cross tabulation of the industry life cycle stage against five catego-
ries of competitiveness in the market (Table 1.1).

ADL Matrix: Strategic Considerations


Defining the direction of the business effort, efficient allocation of
resources, positioning of the organization, and achieving optimal profit-
ability are some of the major strategic decisions that can be developed
through this model.
As we can see from the model, the researcher is required to identify the
phase of the industry life cycle and to assess the strength of the company
and its competitors within its defined market. However, deciding the cur-
rent life cycle phase of an industry is a matter of science and judgment.
2 MARKETING AND MANAGEMENT MODELS

Table 1.1 ADL Matrix

Industry life cycle stage


Embryonic Growth Mature Aging
Dominant All-out push Hold Hold position Hold
for share position position
Growth with
Hold position Hold Share industry
Strong Attempt Attempt Hold position Hold
to improve to improve position or
Growth with
position position harvest
industry
All-out push Push for
for share share
Favorable Selective or Attempt Custodial or Harvest or
Competitive all-out push to improve maintenance phased-out
position for share position withdrawal
Find niche
Push for and attempt
share to protect it
Tenable Selectively Find Find niche Phased-out
push for niche and and hang on, withdrawal,
position protect it or phased-out or abandon
withdrawal
Weak Up or out Turnaround Turnaround, Abandon
or abandon or phased-out
withdrawal

Depending on the industry stage and the strength of the company,


the model suggests strategies ranging from all-out push for share to aban-
don. However, this advice is in the absence of knowing the cost of the
strategies that would need to be adopted to have an effect on the market
share and profitability. There is a cost involved even if one decides to exit
the market.
Withdrawal considerations would include the rate of decline, the
number of competitors remaining in the market, the nature of the
­
­product, capital invested, and extent of the fixed costs. The company
will try to maximize income, reduce losses, or do both when predicting
the optimal closedown date. The decision will write off the sunk costs
­(irrecoverable costs), while ensuring that ongoing management and oper-
ational costs are covered by the remaining income.
Arthur D Little Matrix 3

ADL Matrix: Implementation


To apply the model, there are three decisions that need information:

• What is the industry stage?


• Who are the competition, and how strong is their position in
the market?
• What return on investment (ROI) is required from the imple-
mentation of the indicated strategy (such as push for share,
hold position, or exit)?

Industry Stage

First, one needs to do the following:

• Consider the date of introduction of the product. The closer to


the launch date of the first product of its type in the market,
the closer is the industry to the embryonic stage. However,
even this is not necessarily an accurate guide to the life stage.
For example, US Patent 887,357 filed by N.B. Stubblefield
informs us that the concept underlying mobile phone technology
was first made public in 1918, but it was not until about 1970
that network technology facilitated a truly commercial mobile
phone. There were obviously many iterations between the original
idea and today’s sophisticated phones, which are essentially a
combination of phone and computer.
• Look at growth rates within the market. In-company records
and secondary research should yield consumption patterns
and trends from the introduction of the product class, to
date. The theory says that there are two important divides
that occur between innovators and early adopters and then
between early adopters and late adopters. The first is due to
the technology not providing sufficient benefit to generalize
to the masses. The second chasm occurs due to the degree of
difficulty of adopting the new product.
4 MARKETING AND MANAGEMENT MODELS

• Conduct consumer researchG amongst companies, with


the objective of categorizing the target market attitudes
and ­behavior relative to your product and according to the
­innovation adoption cycle. You would test your findings of
companies’ purchase or intention to purchase against the
normal bell-shaped curve identified by Rogers (1995).
He used the classifications:

cc Innovators (2.4%)
cc Early adopters (13.5%)
cc Early majority (34.0%)
cc Late majority (34.0%)
cc Laggards (16.0%)

For example, if you found that 25 percent of the possible


­market had already purchased the product, then you could say the
industry phase is likely to be at early part of the growth stage.
A good summary of the factors and elements associated with
the rate of diffusion and the adoption process is found on one of
the Pennsylvania University sites (Personal.psu.edu 2001). These
variables could also be included in the market research conducted
when seeking to establish customer profiles.
• Study elements of the market and marketing mix to provide
indicators as to the industry stage.

cc Place or distribution
ƒƒ Is the product widely available, or found in limited areas
only? The latter is an indication of either the embryonic
stage, or of niche marketing by players in the market.
cc Pricing
ƒƒ Examine the average price per unit and estimate profit
margins.
ƒƒ Product developers try to recover their developmental
costs, and take advantage of the desire of innovative
consumers to adopt the latest technology or product.
Hence at launch, the cost of a new product will be
priced at a premium.
Arthur D Little Matrix 5

ƒƒ As competitors enter a market, it is likely that they will


compete on price, thereby bringing down the margins
for most producers.
ƒƒ Discounting and special offers tend to indicate that the
market is mature or declining.
ƒƒ Lower profit margins indicate maturing industries.
cc Promotion
ƒƒ Is the content of the advertising concerned with raising
awareness, with extending the geographic coverage of
users, or with increasing applications of the product?
The first would be associated with a launch, and the
latter with expanding the market, indicating a growth-
type environment.
ƒƒ Track the weight or spend of advertising. Again the
launch is associated with heavy expenditure, whereas
reminder-type advertising (less frequent) occurs further
along the curve.
cc Product
ƒƒ Examine the performance of the available products.
Upgrades are associated with growth or a more mature
industry, especially when technology becomes available
to improve performance.
ƒ ƒ Relate the products’ performance and function-
ing to the evolution of consumer needs. What is
happening within the market to stimulate or depress
use of the products within the industry being
­considered?

Remember that an industry life cycle can also be subject to


disruptive innovationG. This takes place when a product development
takes place that is not a natural progression from products that have
existed before. The disruptive product anticipates or recognizes a
latent consumer need and usually achieves disruption by redefining
the business model of the industry.
Whilst individual products within an industry may have
reached their maturity, the industry itself may not be as far along
6 MARKETING AND MANAGEMENT MODELS

the life-cycle curve. For example, vehicle models have a limited life
span, but there is still a need for some form of transport to move
people from one point to another.
Embryonic industries tend to be ones where technology has
opened a new vista of knowledge with the potential for entirely new
applications. For example, marine and other renewable energies;
products emerging as a result of the human genome project; stem
cell research; 3D organic printing; products designed to deal with
space travel, all fall within the definition of embryonic industries.
• Other indicators of maturity
Klepper (1997) provides an interesting article on strategies, using
the automobile and airline industries to illustrate the relationships
of indicators of market stage. Researchers also examine the follow-
ing factors to help pinpoint the industry life stage:

cc Establish the extent of investment being made in research


and development (R&D). Declining markets will not see
money ploughed into research due to the unlikelihood of
recovery of the investment costs. Products in pharmaceu-
tical markets face obsolescence due to development of new
drugs as the industry is typically driven to improve the
efficacy of treatment. The industry is mature, but the need
for treatment grows with the population growth, changes
in lifestyle, food intake, and the environment.
cc Consider the number of complementary products available.
If there is a strong side industry of such products, then you
will probably be dealing with a growth stage for the main
product.
cc How standardized is the industry? Existence of generally
accepted standards will indicate more mature industries.
cc How mechanized are the production processes? Increasing
mechanization indicates the industry would be in growth
or mature stages. (Production lines in South Africa are not
as likely to be as automated compared with the developed
world, due to the country’s concern with providing job
opportunities.)
Arthur D Little Matrix 7

cc Track entrants and departures from the industry. During the


initial growth stage, it is likely that the industry will see the
emergence of many competitors attracted by the potential
profits to be made with the innovation and launch of new
products. Many of the entrants do not survive due to the
difficulty of setting up new businesses. Hence this count of
number and size of competitors is another marker for the
life stage of an industry.
cc How concentrated is the industry? Typically in a mature
market, three or four dominant players will hold 80 percent
of the market share.
cc Linked to declining profitability, some of the companies
will explore vertical integration to (a) keep additional
competitors out of the market, (b) to increase control on
pricing, and (c) to generate additional profits.
cc Emergence of generic brands is also an indicator for market
maturity.

Competitors’ Strength

When assessing competitive strength, the researcher needs to investigate:

• Which companies (and if applicable, parent or holding


companies) compete in selling products and services to fulfil a
particular customer need?
• Market leadership in terms of the following:

cc Market share of their product(s)


cc Innovation or technical excellence
cc Business intelligence (BI) and IT capability
cc Customer engagement
cc Strategic alignment with market drivers
cc Sophistication of supply chain
cc Quality of products
cc Financial stability
cc Production capacity
8 MARKETING AND MANAGEMENT MODELS

cc Distribution
cc Caliber of sales force

ROI to Support Chosen Strategy

Having considered the industry life stage together with the competitive
conditions in the market, the final step in selecting a strategy is to test
the returns available from investment in the advertising and promo-
tional activities for customers’ movement up the brand resonance ladder.
(See Nichols 2013 for the Analytics 2.0 approach to incorporating meas-
urement from all traditional and modern media [such as the Internet,
social media, and use of mobile technology].)
To measure the ROI, both the level and type of advertising and
­promotion need to be tracked and measured against sales increases. For
this reason, it is important to keep records of all types of expenditure,
movement of consumer awareness and attitudes, and commensurate
­purchase or sales outcomes.
In the retail environment, the author has shown that it is not only
absolute, but relative adspend share that influences the growth in m ­ arket
share in the following month. This suggests that ad and promotional
spend for all competitors in the market needs to be tracked.
Nichols (2013) suggests that there are three elements that need to be
measured: attribution, optimization, and allocation. This refers to the role
of the medium in meeting objectives, finding the right level of spend, and
then actively allocating and managing the budget to maximize returns.

ADL Matrix: Conclusions


To maintain the model’s relevance, systems need to be put in place to track
industry metrics and changes. This applies especially in fast-moving mar-
kets such as electronics and high-tech products where experimentation
and innovation change the landscape within months rather than years.
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Some two or three, who will not touch the bloom
That is rubbed and questioned in the concert room.”
—And so the conversation slips
Among velleities and carefully caught regrets
Through attenuated tones of violins
Mingled with remote cornets
And begins.

“You do not know how much they mean to me, my friends,


And how, how rare and strange it is, to find
In a life composed so much, so much of odds and ends,
(For indeed I do not love it ... you knew? you are not blind!
How keen you are!)
To find a friend who has these qualities,
Who has, and gives
Those qualities upon which friendship lives.
How much it means that I say this to you—
Without these friendships—life, what cauchemar!”
Among the windings of the violins
And the ariettes
Of cracked cornets
Inside my brain a dull tom-tom begins
Absurdly hammering a prelude of its own,
Capricious monotone
That is at least one definite “false note”.
—Let us take the air, in a tobacco trance,
Admire the monuments
Discuss the late events,
Correct our watches by the public clocks.
Then sit for half an hour and drink our bocks.

II

Now that lilacs are in bloom


She has a bowl of lilacs in her room
And twists them in her fingers while she talks.
“Ah, my friend, you do not know, you do not know
What life is, you who hold it in your hands;”
(Slowly twisting the lilac stalks)
“You let it flow from you, you let it flow
And youth is cruel, and has no remorse
And smiles at situations which it cannot see.”
I smile, of course,
And go on drinking tea.

“Yet with these April sunsets, that somehow recall


My buried life, and Paris in the Spring,
I feel immeasurably at peace, and find the world
To be wonderful and youthful, after all.”

The voice returns like the insistent out-of-tune


Of a broken violin on an August afternoon:
“I am always sure that you understand
My feelings, always sure that you feel,
Sure that across the gulf you reach your hand.

You are invulnerable, you have no Achilles’ heel.


You will go on, and when you have prevailed
You can say: at this point many a one has failed.

But what have I, but what have I, my friend,


To give you, what can you receive from me?
Only the friendship and the sympathy
Of one about to reach her journey’s end.

I shall sit here, serving tea to friends....”

I take my hat: how can I make a cowardly amends


For what she has said to me?

You will see me any morning in the park


Reading the comics and the sporting page.
Particularly I remark
An English countess goes upon the stage.
A Greek was murdered at a Polish dance,
Another bank defaulter has confessed.
I keep my countenance,
I remain self-possessed
Except when a street piano, mechanical and tired
Reiterates some worn-out common song
With the smell of hyacinths across the garden
Recalling things that other people have desired.
Are these ideas right or wrong?

III

The October night comes down; returning as before


Except for a slight sensation of being ill at ease
I mount the stairs and turn the handle of the door
And feel as if I had mounted on my hands and knees.

“And so you are going abroad; and when do you return?


But that’s a useless question.
You hardly know when you are coming back,
You will find so much to learn.”
My smile falls heavily among the bric-à-brac.

“Perhaps you can write to me.”


My self-possession flares up for a second;
This is as I had reckoned.
“I have been wondering frequently of late
(But our beginnings never know our ends!)
Why we have not developed into friends.”

I feel like one who smiles, and turning shall remark


Suddenly, his expression in a glass.
My self-possession gutters; we are really in the dark.

“For everybody said so, all our friends,


They all were sure our feelings would relate
So closely! I myself can hardly understand.
We must leave it now to fate.
You will write, at any rate.
Perhaps it is not too late.

I shall sit here, serving tea to friends.”

And I must borrow every changing shape


To find expression ... dance, dance
Like a dancing bear,
Cry like a parrot, chatter like an ape.
Let us take the air, in a tobacco trance—

Well! and what if she should die some afternoon,


Afternoon grey and smoky, evening yellow and rose;
Should die and leave me sitting pen in hand
With the smoke coming down above the house-tops;
Doubtful, for quite a while
Not knowing what to feel or if I understand
Or whether wise or foolish, tardy or too soon ...
Would she not have the advantage, after all?
This music is successful with a “dying fall”
Now that we talk of dying—
And should I have the right to smile?
PRELUDES
I

he winter
evening settles
down
With smell of
steaks in
passageways.
Six o’clock.
The burn-out
ends of smoky
days.
And now a
gusty shower
wraps
The grimy
scraps
Of withered
leaves about
your feet
And newspapers from vacant lots;
The showers beat
On broken blinds and chimney-pots,
And at the corner of the street
A lonely cab-horse steams and stamps.
And then the lighting of the lamps.

II

The morning comes to consciousness


Of faint stale smells of beer
From the sawdust-trampled street
With all its muddy feet that press
To early coffee-stands.

With the other masquerades


That time resumes,

One thinks of all the hands


That are raising dingy shades
In a thousand furnished rooms.

III

You tossed a blanket from the bed,


You lay upon your back, and waited;
You dozed, and watched the night revealing
The thousand sordid images
Of which your soul was constituted;
They flickered against the ceiling.
And when all the world came back
And the light crept up between the shutters,
And you heard the sparrows in the gutters,
You had such a vision of the street
As the street hardly understands;
Sitting along the bed’s edge, where
You curled the papers from your hair,
Or clasped the yellow soles of feet
In the palms of both soiled hands.

IV

His soul stretched tight across the skies


That fade behind a city block,
Or trampled by insistent feet
At four and five and six o’clock;
And short square fingers stuffing pipes,
And evening newspapers, and eyes
Assured of certain certainties,
The conscience of a blackened street
Impatient to assume the world.

I am moved by fancies that are curled


Around these images, and cling:
The notion of some infinitely gentle
Infinitely suffering thing.

Wipe your hand across your mouth, and laugh;


The worlds revolve like ancient women
Gathering fuel in vacant lots.
RHAPSODY ON A
WINDY NIGHT
welve o’clock.
Along the
reaches of the
street
Held in a lunar
synthesis
Whispering
lunar
incantations
Dissolve the
floors of the
memory
And all its clear
relations,
Its divisions
and precisions,
Every street
lamp that I
pass
Beats like a fatalistic drum,
And through the spaces of the dark
Midnight shakes the memory
As a madman shakes a dead geranium.

Half-past one.
The street lamp sputtered,
The street lamp muttered,
The street lamp said, “Regard that woman
Who hesitates toward you in the light of the door
Which opens on her like a grin.
You see the border of her dress
Is torn and stained with sand,
And you see the corner of her eye
Twists like a crooked pin.”

The memory throws up high and dry


A crowd of twisted things;
A twisted branch upon the beach
Eaten smooth and polished
As if the world gave up
The secret of its skeleton,
A broken spring in a factory yard,
Rust that clings to the form that the strength has left
Hard and curled and ready to snap.

Half-past two,
The street lamp said,
“Remark the cat which flattens itself in the gutter,
Slips out its tongue
And devours a morsel of rancid butter.”
So the hand of a child, automatic,
Slipped out and pocketed a toy that was running along the
quay.
I could see nothing behind that child’s eye.
I have seen eyes in the street
Trying to peer through lighted shutters,
And a crab one afternoon in a pool,
An old crab with barnacles on his back,
Gripped the end of a stick which I held him.

Half-past three,
The lamp sputtered,
The lamp muttered in the dark.
The lamp hummed:
“Regard the moon,
La lune ne garde aucune rancune,
She winks a feeble eye,
She smiles into corners.
She smoothes the hair of the grass.
The moon has lost her memory.
A washed-out smallpox cracks her face,
Her hand twists a paper rose,
That smells of dust and old Cologne,
She is alone
With all the old nocturnal smells
That cross and cross across her brain.
The reminiscence comes
Of sunless dry geraniums
And dust in crevices,
Smells of chestnuts in the streets,
And female smells in shuttered rooms,
And cigarettes in corridors
And cocktail smells in bars.”

The lamp said


“Four o’clock,
Here is the number on the door.
Memory!
You have thè key
The little lamp spreads a ring on the stair,
Mount.
The bed is open: the tooth-brush hangs on the wall,
Put your shoes at the door, sleep, prepare for life.”

The last twist of the knife.


MORNING AT THE WINDOW
hey are rattling
breakfast
plates in
basement
kitchens
And along the
trampled edges
of the street
I am aware of
the damp souls
of housemaids
Sprouting
despondently
at area gates.

The brown
waves of fog
toss up to me
Twisted faces from the bottom of the street,
And tear from a passer-by with muddy skirts
An aimless smile that hovers in the air
And vanishes along the level of the roofs.
CONVERSATION GALANTE
observe: “Our
sentimental
friend the
moon!
Or possibly
(fantastic, I
confess)
It may be
Prester John’s
balloon
Or an old
battered lantern
hung aloft
To light poor
travellers to
their distress.”
She then:
“How you
digress!”

And I then: “Some one frames upon the keys


That exquisite nocturne, with which we explain
The night and moonshine; music which we seize
To body forth our own vacuity.”
She then: “Does this refer to me?”
“Oh no, it is I who am inane.”

“You, madam, are the eternal humorist,


The eternal enemy of the absolute,
Giving our vagrant moods the slightest twist!
With your air indifferent and imperious
At a stroke our mad poetics to confute—”
And—“Are we then so serious?”
AUNT HELEN
iss Helen
Slingsby was
my maiden
aunt,
Miss Helen
Slingsby was
my maiden
aunt,
And lived in a
small house
near a
fashionable
square
Cared for by
servants to the
number of four.
Now when
she died there
was silence in heaven
And silence at her end of the street.
The shutters were drawn and the undertaker wiped his feet

He was aware that this sort of thing had occurred before.
The dogs were handsomely provided for,
But shortly afterwards the parrot died too.
The Dresden clock continued ticking on the mantelpiece,
And the footman sat upon the dining-table
Holding the second house-maid on his knees—
Who had always been so careful while her mistress lived.
COUSIN NANCY
iss Nancy
Ellicott
Strode across
the hills and
broke them,
Rode across
the hills and
broke them—
The barren
New England
hills—
Riding to
hounds
Over the cow-
pasture.

Miss Nancy
Ellicott smoked
And danced all the modern dances;
And her aunts were not quite sure how they felt about it,
But they knew that it was modern.

Upon the glazen shelves kept watch


Matthew and Waldo, guardians of the faith,
The army of unalterable law.
MR. APPOLINAX
Ω τῆς καινότητος. Ἡράκλεις, τῆς παραδοξογιας.
εὺμήχανος ἄνθρωπος.
hen Mr.
Apollinax
visited the
United States
His laughter
tinkled among
the teacups.
I thought of
Fragilion, that
shy figure
among the
birch-trees,
And of Priapus
in the
shrubbery
Gaping at the
lady in the
swing.
In the palace of Mrs. Phlaccus, at Professor Channing-
Cheetah’s
He laughed like an irresponsible fœtus.
His laughter was submarine and profound
Like the old man of the sea’s
Hidden under coral islands
Where worried bodies of drowned men drift down in the green
silence,
Dropping from fingers of surf.
I looked for the head of Mr. Apollinax rolling under a chair,
Or grinning over a screen
With seaweed in its hair.
I heard the beat of centaurs’ hoofs over the hard turf
As his dry and passionate talk devoured the afternoon.
“He is a charming man”—“But after all what did he mean?”—
“His pointed ears ... he must be unbalanced,”—
“There was something he said that I might have challenged.”
Of dowager Mrs. Phlaccus, and Professor and Mrs. Cheetah
I remember a slice of lemon, and a bitten macaroon.
THE BOSTON
EVENING TRANSCRIPT
he readers of
the Boston
Evening
Transcript
The readers of
the Boston
Evening
Transcript
Sway in the
wind like a field
of ripe corn.

When evening
quickens faintly
in the street,
Wakening the
appetites of life
in some
And to others bringing the Boston Evening Transcript,
I mount the stairs and ring the bell, turning
Wearily, as one would turn to nod good-bye to
Rochefoucauld,
If the street were time and he at the end of the street,
And I say, “Cousin Harriet, here is the Boston Evening
Transcript.”
LA FIGLIA CHE PIANGE
O quam te memorem virgo...
tand on the
highest
pavement of
the stair—
Stand on the
highest
pavement of
the stair—
Lean on a
garden urn—
Weave, weave
the sunlight in
your hair—
Clasp your
flowers to you
with a pained
surprise
Fling them to
the ground and turn
With a fugitive resentment in your eyes:
But weave, weave the sunlight in your hair.

So I would have had him leave,


So I would have had her stand and grieve,
So he would have left
As the soul leaves the body torn and bruised,
As the mind deserts the body it has used.
I should find
Some way incomparably light and deft.
Some way we both should understand,
Simple and faithless as a smile and shake of the hand.

She turned away, but with the autumn weather


Compelled my imagination many days,
Many days and many hours:
Her hair over her arms and her arms full of flowers.
And I wonder how they should have been together!
I should have lost a gesture and a pose.
Sometimes these cogitations still amaze
The troubled midnight and the noon’s repose.

THIS EDITION OF 264 COPIES IS THE FIRST BOOK


PRINTED BY JOHN RODKER AND WAS COMPLETED
DEC: 10ᵗʰ 1919.

OF THE EDITION:—
10 Copies unnumbered are for review.
4 Copies on Japan Vellum numbered 1-4 & not for sale.
30 Signed Copies numbered 5-34
220 Copies numbered 35-255
The Initials & Colophon by E.A.Wadsworth.

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