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Survey of Likely Republican Primary Election Voters

South Carolina Congressional District 3


Conducted May 13 - 14, 2024
n=400 | ±4.89%
Q1. Partisanship by Response: Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Democrat, Republican, or
Independent?
Freq. %
Republican 345 86.0%
Strongly Republican 331 82.7%
Mostly Republican 13 3.3%

Independent 56 14.0%
Total 401 100.0%

Q2. Vote Method: How do you plan to vote in the June 11th, 2024, Republican primary election for U.S.
Congress?
Freq. %
Vote in-person on Election Day 279 69.5%
Definitely vote in-person on Election Day 204 50.9%
Probably vote in-person on Election Day 75 18.6%

Vote absentee by mail 12 3.1%


Definitely vote absentee by mail 7 1.8%
Probably vote absentee by mail 5 1.3%

Vote early in-person 110 27.4%


Definitely vote early in-person 55 13.6%
Probably vote early in-person 55 13.8%
Total 401 100.0%

Q3. Top Priority: Which one of the following issues is the most important to you in the Republican primary
election for U.S. Congress?
Freq. %
Illegal immigration and border security 161 40.1%
Inflation and economy 106 26.4%
National security 33 8.1%
Election integrity 31 7.6%
Pro-life protections 17 4.3%
Crime and public safety 14 3.4%
Parental voice in education 9 2.3%
Gun rights 9 2.2%
Woke corporations 3 0.6%
Unsure 20 4.9%
Total 401 100.0%

Q4. SC-03 Republican Primary Ballot: Now thinking about upcoming June 2024 Republican primary election
in South Carolina... If the Republican primary election for U.S. Congress was held today, and you had to make
a choice, who would you vote for?
Freq. %
Sheri Biggs 48 12.0%
Stewart Jones 36 8.9%
Kevin Bishop 8 1.9%
Franky Franco 7 1.7%
Mark Burns 44 11.1%
Phil Healy 4 1.0%
Michael LaPierre 5 1.3%
Elspeth Murday 0 0.0%
Undecided 249 62.1%
Total 401 100.0%

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Q5 - Q10. Images: For each of the following, please indicate if you have heard of the person, and if you have,
whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of them. If you haven't heard of a name, choose so
Very No
Fav Very Fav Unfav NHO NET Fav
Unfav opinion
Donald Trump 83.9% 71.7% 14.4% 12.4% 1.2% 0.5%
69.6%
337 287 58 50 5 2
Sheri Biggs 24.9% 9.5% 5.9% 2.6% 25.7% 43.5%
19.1%
100 38 23 11 103 175
Stewart Jones 17.5% 7.9% 2.4% 1.3% 21.7% 58.4%
15.1%
70 32 10 5 87 234
Kevin Bishop 6.8% 1.2% 3.1% 2.4% 26.8% 63.2%
3.7%
27 5 13 10 108 254
Franky Franco 4.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.6% 21.2% 73.8%
2.9%
16 8 4 2 85 296
Mark Burns 19.9% 10.3% 5.4% 3.3% 24.5% 50.2%
14.5%
80 41 22 13 98 201

Q11. Gender
Freq. %
Female 209 52.2%
Male 192 47.8%
Total 401 100.0%

Q12. Age Range


Freq. %
Under 65 209 52.2%
18 - 39 48 11.9%
40 - 49 46 11.4%
50 - 64 116 28.9%

65 and Over 192 47.8%


65 - 74 100 24.9%
75+ 92 22.9%
Total 401 100.0%

Q13. Ideology
Freq. %
Conservative 361 90.0%
Extremely conservative 101 25.2%
Very conservative 196 48.9%
Somewhat conservative 64 15.8%

Moderate 23 5.6%

Liberal 3 0.6%

Unsure 15 3.8%
Total 401 100.0%

Q14. Trump vs Trad GOP


Freq. %
Trump Republican 265 66.1%
Much more a Trump Republican 182 45.3%
Somewhat more a Trump Republican 83 20.8%

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Traditional conservative Republican 119 29.6%
Somewhat more a traditional 61 15.3%
conservative Republican
Much more a traditional conservative 57 14.3%
Republican

Unsure 17 4.3%
Total 401 100.0%

Q15. Education Level


Freq. %
No degree 243 60.7%
Some high school 8 2.0%
High school diploma/GED 57 14.1%
Technical Certification 41 10.2%
Some college or Associate's Degree 138 34.4%

At least College 157 39.1%


Four-year undergraduate or Bachelor's 92 23.0%
Degree
Graduate degree or further 65 16.1%

Unsure 1 0.2%
Total 401 100.0%

Q16. General Election X of 4


Freq. %
0 of 4 20 5.0%
1 of 4 112 27.9%
2 of 4 91 22.6%
3 of 4 104 25.9%
4 of 4 74 18.5%
Total 401 100.0%

Q17. Geo
Freq. %
North 130 32.3%
Central 187 46.5%
South 85 21.2%
Total 401 100.0%

Q18. Geo - DMA


Freq. %
Auguta-Aiken DMA 19 4.6%
Columbia SC DMA 32 7.9%
Greenvll-Spart-Ashvell-And DMA 351 87.5%
Total 401 100.0%

Q19. Geo - County


Freq. %
North 130 32.3%
Oconee 50 12.5%
Pickens 79 19.8%

Central 187 46.5%


Anderson 106 26.4%
Greenville 26 6.4%

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Laurens 45 11.1%
Abbeville 11 2.6%

South 85 21.2%
Edgefield 13 3.3%
Greenwood 35 8.6%
Mccormick 6 1.4%
Newberry 21 5.2%
Saluda 11 2.7%
Total 401 100.0%

Q20. Gender + Age


Freq. %
F 18 - 39 26 6.4%
F 40 - 49 25 6.2%
F 50 - 64 61 15.1%
F 65 - 74 52 12.9%
F 75+ 47 11.6%
M 18 - 39 22 5.5%
M 40 - 49 21 5.2%
M 50 - 64 55 13.8%
M 65 - 74 48 12.0%
M 75+ 45 11.3%
Total 401 100.0%

Q21. Race from File + Gender


Freq. %
White Female 194 48.5%
White Male 179 44.5%
Black Female 2 0.5%
Asian Female 2 0.5%
Hispanic Female 2 0.4%
Hispanic Male 1 0.2%
Other Female 1 0.3%
Other Male 1 0.2%
Unknown Female 8 1.9%
Unknown Male 12 3.0%
Total 401 100.0%

Q22. Gender + Education


Freq. %
Female At least College 80 19.9%
Female No degree 130 32.3%
Male At least College 77 19.3%
Male No degree 114 28.4%
Unsure 1 0.2%
Total 401 100.0%

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METHODOLOGY
This probabilistic survey was conducted May 13 – 14, 2024, with 401 likely Republican primary election voters. It has a
margin of error of ±4.89%. Known registered voters were interviewed via SMS. This survey was weighted to a likely
Republican primary election voter universe.

ABOUT THE FIRM


Cygnal is an award-winning international polling, public opinion, and predictive analytics firm that pioneered multi-mode
polling, text-to-web collection, and emotive analysis. Cygnal consistently ranks as the most accurate firm, and clients
rely on Cygnal’s ability to create intelligence for action. Its team members have worked in all 50 states and multiple
countries on more than 3,000 corporate, public affairs, and political campaigns.

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