Yahoo!

News Survey - 20240513 - Vice President

Sample 1,794 U.S. Adults

Conducted May 10 - 13, 2024
Margin of Error ±2.7%

1. If Donald Trump were choosing his vice-presidential running mate from this list of people, which one do you
think he should pick?
Asked of Republicans and Independents who lean Republican
South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
New York Rep. Elise Stefanik . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Ohio Sen. J. D. Vance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Former Department of Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Arizona Senate Candidate Kari Lake . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Don’t care who Trump picks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%

2. As Trump’s running mate, would you prefer someone who, in advance of the 2024 election. . .
Asked of Republicans and Independents who lean Republican
Will not commit to accepting the results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Commits to accepting the results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Makes no difference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%

3. In a forthcoming book, South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem describes leading her family’s 14-month-old dog to a
gravel pit and shooting and killing her after the dog ruined a pheasant hunt and killed a neighbor’s chickens. Do
you approve or disapprove of Noem’s decision to kill her dog?
Approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%

4. Do you think it would be a good idea or a bad idea for Trump to pick Noem as his running mate?
Good idea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Bad idea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%

5. Are you. . . ?
Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .49%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%

1
Yahoo! News Survey - 20240513 - Vice President

6. Respondent age by category

Under 30 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%

7. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?

White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

8. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

HS or Less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
College Grad/Postgrad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34%

9. Who did you vote for in the election for President in 2020?
Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Jo Jorgensen . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Howie Hawkins . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Did not vote for President . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%

10. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a ...?

Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%

11. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%

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Yahoo! News Survey - 20240513 - Vice President
May 10 - 13, 2024 - 1,794 U.S. Adults

1. Trump Vice-President Pick

If Donald Trump were choosing his vice-presidential running mate from this list of people, which one do you think he should pick?
Asked of Republicans and Independents who lean Republican

Gender Age Race

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott 12% 13% 10% 2% 7% 10% 21% 12% ∗ 11%
Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders 8% 6% 10% 2% 1% 10% 13% 8% ∗ 10%
North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 0% 2% 2% ∗ 1%
New York Rep. Elise Stefanik 3% 3% 2% 5% 6% 1% 2% 2% ∗ 3%
Ohio Sen. J. D. Vance 4% 5% 3% 10% 3% 5% 1% 5% ∗ 3%
Former Department of Housing and Urban
Development Secretary Ben Carson 8% 6% 9% 4% 4% 10% 9% 8% ∗ 1%
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio 8% 9% 7% 5% 13% 5% 11% 9% ∗ 6%
Arizona Senate Candidate Kari Lake 5% 6% 4% 4% 8% 4% 4% 5% ∗ 3%
South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem 4% 6% 2% 4% 3% 3% 6% 4% ∗ 1%
Don’t care who Trump picks 15% 14% 15% 30% 13% 16% 7% 13% ∗ 16%
Someone else 9% 10% 8% 8% 7% 10% 10% 7% ∗ 15%
Not sure 23% 19% 28% 25% 31% 25% 15% 24% ∗ 29%
Totals 100% 99% 99% 100% 99% 99% 101% 99% ∗ 99%
Weighted N (660) (355) (305) (92) (130) (245) (193) (522) (24) (74)

Party ID Registered Registered 2020 Vote

Total Dem Rep Ind Voters Lean Rep Lean Dem Biden Trump

South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott 12% ∗ 11% 13% 13% 13% ∗ ∗ 14%
Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders 8% ∗ 8% 5% 9% 9% ∗ ∗ 10%
North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum 1% ∗ 1% 4% 2% 2% ∗ ∗ 2%
New York Rep. Elise Stefanik 3% ∗ 3% 2% 3% 3% ∗ ∗ 2%
Ohio Sen. J. D. Vance 4% ∗ 5% 3% 4% 4% ∗ ∗ 4%
continued on the next page . . .

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Yahoo! News Survey - 20240513 - Vice President
May 10 - 13, 2024 - 1,794 U.S. Adults

continued from previous page

Party ID Registered Registered 2020 Vote
Total Dem Rep Ind Voters Lean Rep Lean Dem Biden Trump

Former Department of Housing and Urban

Development Secretary Ben Carson 8% ∗ 7% 9% 9% 9% ∗ ∗ 9%
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio 8% ∗ 9% 9% 9% 9% ∗ ∗ 9%
Arizona Senate Candidate Kari Lake 5% ∗ 5% 5% 5% 5% ∗ ∗ 5%
South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem 4% ∗ 4% 4% 4% 4% ∗ ∗ 4%
Don’t care who Trump picks 15% ∗ 15% 13% 14% 14% ∗ ∗ 10%
Someone else 9% ∗ 9% 12% 9% 9% ∗ ∗ 10%
Not sure 23% ∗ 24% 22% 20% 20% ∗ ∗ 20%
Totals 100% ∗ 101% 101% 101% 101% ∗ ∗ 99%
Weighted N (660) (0) (530) (106) (526) (526) (0) (27) (461)

Trump-Biden Vote Pref 2022 Turnout Evangelical Most Watched Cable News
Total Biden Trump Voted Didn’t Vote Christian CNN FOX MSNBC Don’t watch

South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott 12% ∗ 14% 14% 8% 10% 2% 15% ∗ 10%
Arkansas Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders 8% ∗ 10% 10% 4% 12% 0% 12% ∗ 6%
North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum 1% ∗ 1% 2% 0% 2% 4% 2% ∗ 1%
New York Rep. Elise Stefanik 3% ∗ 3% 2% 5% 2% 8% 5% ∗ 1%
Ohio Sen. J. D. Vance 4% ∗ 5% 5% 0% 4% 4% 5% ∗ 4%
Former Department of Housing and Urban
Development Secretary Ben Carson 8% ∗ 8% 9% 6% 6% 20% 7% ∗ 7%
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio 8% ∗ 9% 8% 10% 9% 15% 10% ∗ 8%
Arizona Senate Candidate Kari Lake 5% ∗ 4% 5% 4% 6% 7% 4% ∗ 5%
South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem 4% ∗ 4% 4% 3% 4% 7% 7% ∗ 2%
Don’t care who Trump picks 15% ∗ 10% 12% 22% 9% 11% 12% ∗ 13%
Someone else 9% ∗ 10% 9% 13% 12% 3% 7% ∗ 10%
Not sure 23% ∗ 20% 19% 26% 23% 20% 15% ∗ 33%

continued on the next page . . .

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Yahoo! News Survey - 20240513 - Vice President
May 10 - 13, 2024 - 1,794 U.S. Adults

continued from previous page

Trump-Biden Vote Pref 2022 Turnout Evangelical Most Watched Cable News
Total Biden Trump Voted Didn’t Vote Christian CNN FOX MSNBC Don’t watch

Totals 100% ∗ 98% 99% 101% 99% 101% 101% ∗ 100%

Weighted N (660) (19) (475) (455) (70) (246) (39) (235) (31) (297)

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Yahoo! News Survey - 20240513 - Vice President
May 10 - 13, 2024 - 1,794 U.S. Adults

2. Trump Vice-President Accept Election Results

As Trump’s running mate, would you prefer someone who, in advance of the 2024 election. . .
Asked of Republicans and Independents who lean Republican

Gender Age Race

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Will not commit to accepting the results 11% 10% 13% 3% 8% 15% 11% 11% ∗ 15%
Commits to accepting the results 36% 38% 33% 64% 40% 30% 27% 34% ∗ 41%
Makes no difference 37% 38% 37% 24% 34% 39% 45% 38% ∗ 32%
Not sure 16% 15% 17% 9% 18% 16% 18% 17% ∗ 12%
Totals 100% 101% 100% 100% 100% 100% 101% 100% ∗ 100%
Weighted N (659) (354) (305) (92) (130) (245) (193) (522) (24) (74)

Party ID Registered Registered 2020 Vote

Total Dem Rep Ind Voters Lean Rep Lean Dem Biden Trump

Will not commit to accepting the results 11% ∗ 11% 11% 12% 12% ∗ ∗ 14%
Commits to accepting the results 36% ∗ 37% 32% 34% 34% ∗ ∗ 30%
Makes no difference 37% ∗ 36% 40% 40% 40% ∗ ∗ 42%
Not sure 16% ∗ 15% 16% 14% 14% ∗ ∗ 14%
Totals 100% ∗ 99% 99% 100% 100% ∗ ∗ 100%
Weighted N (659) (0) (530) (105) (525) (525) (0) (27) (460)

Trump-Biden Vote Pref 2022 Turnout Evangelical Most Watched Cable News
Total Biden Trump Voted Didn’t Vote Christian CNN FOX MSNBC Don’t watch

Will not commit to accepting the results 11% ∗ 13% 13% 4% 15% 7% 10% ∗ 12%
Commits to accepting the results 36% ∗ 30% 34% 38% 35% 65% 37% ∗ 29%
Makes no difference 37% ∗ 42% 40% 38% 33% 13% 38% ∗ 42%
Not sure 16% ∗ 15% 13% 19% 17% 15% 15% ∗ 17%

continued on the next page . . .

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Yahoo! News Survey - 20240513 - Vice President
May 10 - 13, 2024 - 1,794 U.S. Adults

continued from previous page

Trump-Biden Vote Pref 2022 Turnout Evangelical Most Watched Cable News
Total Biden Trump Voted Didn’t Vote Christian CNN FOX MSNBC Don’t watch

Totals 100% ∗ 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100%

Weighted N (659) (19) (474) (455) (70) (246) (39) (235) (31) (297)

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Yahoo! News Survey - 20240513 - Vice President
May 10 - 13, 2024 - 1,794 U.S. Adults

3. Approve of Kristi Noem Killing Her Dog

In a forthcoming book, South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem describes leading her family’s 14-month-old dog to a gravel pit and shooting and killing her after the
dog ruined a pheasant hunt and killed a neighbor’s chickens. Do you approve or disapprove of Noem’s decision to kill her dog?

Gender Age Race

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Approve 14% 20% 9% 12% 14% 16% 15% 17% 11% 8%

Disapprove 66% 58% 72% 66% 66% 64% 66% 65% 63% 73%
Not sure 20% 21% 19% 21% 19% 20% 19% 19% 26% 19%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 101% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1, 793) (873) (920) (376) (452) (584) (380) (1, 126) (224) (288)

Party ID Registered Registered 2020 Vote

Total Dem Rep Ind Voters Lean Rep Lean Dem Biden Trump

Approve 14% 7% 26% 12% 17% 28% 7% 6% 29%

Disapprove 66% 82% 50% 67% 67% 49% 84% 85% 47%
Not sure 20% 11% 24% 22% 16% 24% 9% 9% 24%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 101% 100% 101% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1, 793) (609) (530) (427) (1, 203) (526) (545) (571) (521)

Trump-Biden Vote Pref 2022 Turnout Evangelical Most Watched Cable News
Total Biden Trump Voted Didn’t Vote Christian CNN FOX MSNBC Don’t watch

Approve 14% 6% 30% 18% 10% 16% 13% 24% 5% 12%

Disapprove 66% 86% 47% 66% 73% 58% 71% 54% 90% 64%
Not sure 20% 8% 23% 16% 17% 26% 16% 22% 4% 24%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1, 793) (545) (536) (1, 012) (191) (477) (266) (350) (176) (885)

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Yahoo! News Survey - 20240513 - Vice President
May 10 - 13, 2024 - 1,794 U.S. Adults

4. Good or Bad Idea to Pick Noem for Vp

Do you think it would be a good idea or a bad idea for Trump to pick Noem as his running mate?

Gender Age Race

Total Male Female 18-29 30-44 45-64 65+ White Black Hispanic

Good idea 13% 15% 10% 12% 11% 13% 13% 15% 9% 10%
Bad idea 48% 43% 53% 45% 46% 49% 53% 48% 44% 51%
Not sure 39% 42% 36% 43% 42% 38% 34% 37% 47% 38%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1, 793) (872) (920) (376) (453) (584) (380) (1, 125) (224) (288)

Party ID Registered Registered 2020 Vote

Total Dem Rep Ind Voters Lean Rep Lean Dem Biden Trump

Good idea 13% 16% 15% 9% 15% 15% 17% 16% 16%
Bad idea 48% 56% 44% 49% 51% 46% 58% 58% 46%
Not sure 39% 28% 42% 42% 33% 40% 25% 27% 39%
Totals 100% 100% 101% 100% 99% 101% 100% 101% 101%
Weighted N (1, 793) (608) (530) (428) (1, 202) (525) (544) (571) (521)

Trump-Biden Vote Pref 2022 Turnout Evangelical Most Watched Cable News
Total Biden Trump Voted Didn’t Vote Christian CNN FOX MSNBC Don’t watch

Good idea 13% 17% 16% 17% 10% 10% 18% 16% 13% 9%
Bad idea 48% 59% 44% 52% 51% 44% 53% 40% 61% 46%
Not sure 39% 24% 40% 32% 39% 46% 29% 44% 25% 44%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 101% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99%
Weighted N (1, 793) (544) (536) (1, 012) (190) (476) (266) (349) (177) (885)

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Yahoo! News Poll

Sample 1,794 U.S. Adults

Conducted May 10 – 13, 2024
Margin of Error ±2.7%

Polling Methodology and Margin of Error Calculation

The Yahoo! News survey was conducted by YouGov using a nationally representative sample
of 1,794 U.S. adults interviewed online between May 10 – 13, 2024.

The sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, education, 2020 election turnout
and Presidential vote, baseline party identification, and current voter registration status. De-
mographic weighting targets come from the 2019 American Community Survey. Baseline party
identification is the respondent’s most recent answer given prior to November 1, 2022, and is
weighted to the estimated distribution at that time (33% Democratic, 27% Republican). Re-
spondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in panel to be representative of all U.S. adults.
The weights range from 0.1 to 4.9, with a mean of 1 and a standard deviation of 0.6.

The margin of error (a 95% confidence interval) for a sample percentage p based upon the
entire sample is approximately 2.7%. It is calculated using the formula
s
1 + CV2
p̂ ± 100 ×
n

where CV is the coefficient of variation of the sample weights and n is the sample size used
to compute the proportion. This is a measure of sampling error (the average of all estimates
obtained using the same sample selection and weighting procedures repeatedly). The sample
estimate should differ from its expected value by less than margin of error in 95 percent of all
samples. It does not reflect non-sampling errors, including potential selection bias in panel
participation or in response to a particular survey.