Cbsnews 20240428 WI SUN

CBS News Poll – April 19-25, 2024
Registered voters in Wisconsin

Sample 1,245 Registered voters in Wisconsin
Margin of Error ±3.2 points
1. Generally speaking, do you feel things in America today are going...

Very well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Somewhat well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Somewhat badly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Very badly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
2. How would you rate the condition of the national economy today?
Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
3. How would you rate the condition of Wisconsin’s economy today?

Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .34%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
4. How much are you thinking about the 2024 presidential race these days?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .35%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
5. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2024 presidential election this year?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
6. If the 2024 presidential election were being held today between Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump,
the Republican, who would you vote for?
Among likely voters, including those leaning toward Biden or Trump
Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Someone else/third party . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
1
7. Which best describes your support for right now?
Among likely voters voting for a candidate
Very strong – I’ve decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64%
Strong – I probably won’t change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Somewhat strong – I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Not too strong – I’ll probably change at some point . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
8. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November?

Among likely voters not voting for or leaning toward voting for Biden
Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Maybe, there’s still time left . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .7%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91%
9. Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?

Among likely voters not voting for or leaning toward voting for Trump
Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Maybe, there’s still time left . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95%
10. And if the 2024 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were: Joe Biden, the Demo-
crat, Donald Trump, the Republican, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, who would you vote for?
Among likely voters, including those leaning toward Biden, Trump, or Stein
Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Jill Stein . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Someone else/other third party . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .0%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
11. Compared to voting in the 2020 presidential election, do you feel that voting for president this year matters...
More than it did in 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%
As much as it did in 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Less than it did in 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
12. If Joe Biden wins in 2024, do you think his policies in a second term would make you...
Financially better off . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Financially worse off . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Stay about the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
13. If Donald Trump wins in 2024, do you think his policies in a second term would make you...
Stay about the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
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14. Looking back at when Donald Trump was President, as you remember it, was the condition of Wisconsin’s
economy then...
Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
15. How much of a factor is each of these in your vote for president?
Among likely voters
Major factor Minor factor Not a factor

Crime 55% 35% 9%
Gun policy 54% 33% 13%
Abortion 56% 27% 17%
The economy 80% 18% 2%
The U.S.-Mexico border 56% 32% 12%
The state of democracy 67% 25% 8%
Issues of race and diversity 33% 36% 31%
The war between Israel and Hamas 31% 49% 20%
Inflation 74% 22% 3%
Climate change 40% 26% 34%
16. Regardless of who you are voting for, do you think of Joe Biden politically as...
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
17. Regardless of who you are voting for, do you think of Donald Trump politically as...
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .18%
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18. Does Joe Biden make you personally feel: CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Confident . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Secure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Calm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Insecure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Worried . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .54%
19. Does Donald Trump make you personally feel: CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Confident . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Secure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Calm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Insecure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Worried . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .49%
20. Do you think the policies of the Biden Administration have mostly favored...?
Among likely voters
The wealthy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
The middle class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
The working class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
The poor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Treat all equally . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
21. Looking back, you think the policies of the Trump Administration mostly favored...?
Among likely voters
The wealthy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
The middle class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
The working class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
The poor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Treat all equally . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
22. When you think about the next few years, how concerned are you about whether the U.S. will...
Among likely voters
Very Somewhat Not

concerned concerned concerned
Have a strong economy or not 60% 35% 5%
Have a functioning democracy or not 63% 30% 7%
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23. Which candidate better understands the needs and concerns of people like you?
Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Both equally . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
24. Compared to before the COVID pandemic, are you...

Financially about the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
25. In the years after the COVID pandemic, do you think Wisconsin’s economy has...?
Gotten better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Gotten worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Stayed about the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
27. Do you approve or disapprove of the Biden Administration canceling some student loan debt for certain
borrowers?
Approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%
28. Regarding Israel’s military actions in Gaza, do you think Joe Biden should encourage Israel to now...
Increase its military actions in Gaza . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Continue its military actions in Gaza as it has been . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Decrease its military actions in Gaza . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Stop its military actions in Gaza . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
31. Do you want abortion in Wisconsin to be...

Legal in all cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Legal in most cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Illegal in most cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Illegal in all cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
32. How closely have you been following news about abortion law changes in other states like Arizona and
Florida?
Very closely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Somewhat closely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Not very closely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
5
33. How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision that overturned Roe v. Wade?
Enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Dissatisfied, but not angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
34. Do you give Donald Trump credit, blame, or neither for the overturn of Roe v. Wade?
Credit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Blame . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
35. In your view, over recent years, have recent immigrants from Mexico and Latin America made life in the state
of Wisconsin better, worse, or not had an impact either way?
Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Not had an impact either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
38. How much have you heard or read about Donald Trump’s trial in New York City for allegedly falsifying business
records to hide payments about alleged affairs and election law violations?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .40%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Nothing so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
39. Which concerns you more right now?

That Donald Trump committed a crime in this case . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
That the charges and indictment are politically motivated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Both equally . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
40. Regardless of who you wanted to win, do you consider Joe Biden to be the legitimate winner of Wisconsin in
the 2020 presidential election — that is, that Biden won the most legally-cast votes in Wisconsin — or not?
Yes, I consider Biden legitimate winner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%
No, I do not consider Biden the legitimate winner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
*Questions held for future release.
6
1. Things in America
Generally speaking, do you feel things in America today are going...
Gender Age Ideology

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ Liberal Moderate Conservative
Very well 3% 4% 3% 8% 3% 4% 2% 5% 5% 2%
Somewhat well 24% 25% 24% 17% 27% 23% 27% 45% 27% 6%
Somewhat badly 37% 34% 39% 41% 51% 35% 27% 38% 42% 32%
Very badly 35% 37% 34% 34% 19% 38% 44% 12% 26% 60%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,242) (583) (659) (141) (276) (486) (339) (334) (405) (460)
Party ID White by Education

Total Dem Ind Rep No Degree 4yr Degree+
Very well 3% 6% 3% 2% 3% 4%
Somewhat well 24% 45% 20% 7% 22% 28%
Somewhat badly 37% 37% 37% 36% 32% 42%
Very badly 35% 12% 40% 54% 43% 25%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,242) (421) (376) (430) (704) (424)
1
2. Condition of National Economy

How would you rate the condition of the national economy today?
Gender Age Ideology

Very good 7% 10% 6% 8% 5% 8% 9% 15% 9% 1%

Fairly good 26% 26% 25% 14% 31% 26% 26% 46% 29% 8%
Fairly bad 32% 29% 34% 36% 41% 31% 24% 25% 36% 33%
Very bad 33% 33% 34% 40% 21% 34% 40% 12% 24% 56%
Not sure 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1%
Totals 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,245) (585) (660) (141) (276) (487) (341) (337) (405) (460)

Very good 7% 12% 8% 2% 7% 10%

Fairly good 26% 46% 22% 9% 23% 32%
Fairly bad 32% 26% 34% 36% 30% 34%
Very bad 33% 14% 34% 52% 39% 23%
Not sure 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Totals 99% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,245) (423) (377) (430) (706) (425)
2
3. Condition of Wisconsin Economy

How would you rate the condition of Wisconsin’s economy today?
Gender Age Ideology

Very good 7% 9% 5% 6% 3% 9% 8% 14% 10% 1%

Fairly good 35% 36% 34% 28% 41% 32% 37% 52% 38% 21%
Fairly bad 34% 34% 33% 35% 37% 35% 29% 21% 32% 44%
Very bad 19% 16% 22% 24% 14% 20% 21% 7% 16% 31%
Not sure 4% 3% 5% 6% 4% 4% 3% 5% 4% 3%
Totals 99% 98% 99% 99% 99% 100% 98% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (584) (659) (141) (275) (486) (341) (335) (405) (460)

Very good 7% 13% 8% 2% 6% 10%

Fairly good 35% 51% 31% 23% 32% 42%
Fairly bad 34% 23% 38% 42% 37% 29%
Very bad 19% 9% 18% 30% 21% 13%
Not sure 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 6%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (420) (377) (430) (704) (425)
3
4. Thinking about 2024 Presidential Race

How much are you thinking about the 2024 presidential race these days?
Gender Age Ideology

A lot 54% 60% 49% 40% 39% 58% 68% 62% 43% 61%
Some 35% 32% 37% 36% 46% 35% 24% 30% 41% 32%
Not much 9% 6% 11% 18% 12% 5% 7% 7% 12% 5%
Not at all 2% 2% 3% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,242) (584) (659) (140) (276) (485) (341) (336) (403) (460)

A lot 54% 59% 47% 58% 56% 55%

Some 35% 31% 39% 34% 32% 37%
Not much 9% 7% 12% 6% 9% 7%
Not at all 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,242) (421) (376) (430) (706) (423)
4
5. Likely to Vote in 2024

How likely is it that you will vote in the 2024 presidential election this year?
Gender Age Ideology

Definitely will vote 86% 86% 86% 68% 79% 90% 94% 92% 80% 90%
Probably will vote 9% 9% 9% 17% 14% 6% 5% 4% 13% 7%
Maybe will vote 3% 3% 2% 9% 5% 2% 0% 3% 4% 2%
Probably will not vote 1% 1% 1% 3% 0% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0%
Definitely will not vote 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%
Don’t know 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,244) (585) (658) (141) (276) (487) (340) (336) (404) (460)

Definitely will vote 86% 86% 82% 91% 85% 91%

Probably will vote 9% 9% 10% 7% 9% 7%
Maybe will vote 3% 3% 5% 1% 3% 1%
Probably will not vote 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0%
Definitely will not vote 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%
Don’t know 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,244) (422) (376) (430) (705) (424)
5
6. 2024 Presidential Vote Intention (with Leaners)

If the 2024 presidential election were being held today between Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for?
Among likely voters, including those leaning toward Biden or Trump
Gender Age Ideology

Joe Biden 49% 44% 54% 67% 59% 44% 42% 97% 58% 7%
Donald Trump 50% 55% 45% 33% 39% 56% 57% 3% 41% 92%
Someone else/third party 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%
Not sure 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,226) (577) (649) (126) (264) (493) (344) (338) (390) (461)

Joe Biden 49% 96% 49% 5% 42% 56%

Donald Trump 50% 3% 49% 95% 58% 43%
Someone else/third party 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1%
Not sure 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,226) (414) (363) (437) (684) (438)
6
7. Strength of Candidate Support

Which best describes your support for right now?
Among likely voters voting for a candidate
Gender Age Ideology

Very strong – I’ve decided 64% 68% 61% 50% 54% 66% 72% 75% 48% 69%
Strong – I probably won’t change 25% 22% 29% 24% 31% 27% 20% 20% 33% 23%
Somewhat strong – I might still change 9% 9% 9% 19% 14% 7% 6% 5% 16% 6%
Not too strong – I’ll probably change at some point 1% 1% 1% 7% 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 1%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 99%
Weighted N (1,087) (515) (571) (98) (216) (452) (321) (310) (322) (426)

Very strong – I’ve decided 64% 68% 58% 64% 66% 63%
Strong – I probably won’t change 25% 23% 30% 25% 24% 26%
Somewhat strong – I might still change 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 9%
Not too strong – I’ll probably change at some point 1% 0% 2% 2% 1% 2%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,087) (388) (283) (407) (623) (384)
7
8. Ever Consider Voting for Biden

Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November?
Among likely voters not voting for or leaning toward voting for Biden
Gender Age Ideology

Yes, I would 2% 3% 1% ∗ 3% 1% 0% ∗ 3% 1%
Maybe, there’s still time left 7% 6% 7% ∗ 15% 5% 1% ∗ 15% 4%
No, I never would 91% 91% 92% ∗ 81% 94% 99% ∗ 82% 95%
Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 99% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100%
Weighted N (622) (323) (298) (41) (107) (276) (197) (11) (162) (426)

Yes, I would 2% ∗ 1% 1% 1% 2%
Maybe, there’s still time left 7% ∗ 3% 7% 6% 8%
No, I never would 91% ∗ 96% 92% 93% 90%
Totals 100% ∗ 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (622) (15) (183) (416) (397) (191)
8
9. Ever Consider Voting for Trump

Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?
Among likely voters not voting for or leaning toward voting for Trump
Gender Age Ideology

Yes, I would 1% 0% 1% ∗ 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% ∗
Maybe, there’s still time left 4% 7% 3% ∗ 8% 3% 1% 1% 9% ∗
No, I never would 95% 93% 96% ∗ 91% 96% 99% 98% 91% ∗
Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% ∗
Weighted N (611) (256) (355) (85) (160) (218) (148) (327) (230) (36)

Yes, I would 1% 1% 0% ∗ 0% 2%
Maybe, there’s still time left 4% 2% 7% ∗ 4% 2%
No, I never would 95% 96% 93% ∗ 96% 96%
Totals 100% 99% 100% ∗ 100% 100%
Weighted N (611) (400) (186) (20) (287) (251)
9
10. 2024 Presidential Vote Intention (three-way race)

And if the 2024 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were: Joe Biden, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, and Jill Stein,
the Green Party candidate, who would you vote for?
Among likely voters, including those leaning toward Biden, Trump, or Stein
Gender Age Ideology

Joe Biden 44% 41% 46% 48% 49% 42% 42% 88% 51% 6%
Donald Trump 48% 52% 43% 29% 34% 54% 55% 3% 35% 90%
Jill Stein 8% 6% 10% 22% 16% 4% 2% 9% 13% 3%
Someone else/other third party 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Not sure 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0%
Totals 100% 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,226) (577) (649) (126) (264) (492) (344) (337) (390) (461)

Joe Biden 44% 91% 40% 3% 38% 51%

Donald Trump 48% 2% 45% 92% 56% 40%
Jill Stein 8% 6% 14% 4% 6% 8%
Someone else/other third party 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Not sure 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 99% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,226) (414) (363) (437) (684) (438)
10
11. Importance of Voting in 2024 Compared to 2020

Compared to voting in the 2020 presidential election, do you feel that voting for president this year matters...
Gender Age Ideology

More than it did in 2020 65% 64% 65% 45% 50% 67% 82% 59% 63% 71%
As much as it did in 2020 31% 31% 31% 42% 43% 30% 17% 38% 32% 24%
Less than it did in 2020 4% 5% 4% 13% 7% 3% 1% 3% 5% 5%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (583) (660) (141) (276) (487) (339) (337) (403) (460)

More than it did in 2020 65% 62% 57% 75% 69% 60%
As much as it did in 2020 31% 34% 37% 22% 27% 36%
Less than it did in 2020 4% 4% 6% 3% 4% 3%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,243) (422) (375) (430) (704) (424)
11
12. Financial Condition if Biden Wins

If Joe Biden wins in 2024, do you think his policies in a second term would make you...
Gender Age Ideology

Financially better off 18% 19% 18% 25% 17% 18% 17% 39% 19% 3%
Financially worse off 48% 52% 44% 34% 38% 52% 56% 7% 39% 86%
Stay about the same 34% 29% 38% 41% 45% 30% 26% 54% 42% 11%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,244) (584) (660) (141) (276) (486) (341) (336) (405) (460)

Financially better off 18% 40% 13% 2% 16% 21%

Financially worse off 48% 6% 51% 87% 53% 43%
Stay about the same 34% 54% 36% 11% 30% 36%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,244) (422) (377) (430) (705) (425)
12
13. Financial Condition if Trump Wins

If Donald Trump wins in 2024, do you think his policies in a second term would make you...
Gender Age Ideology

Stay about the same 18% 17% 20% 25% 22% 16% 14% 18% 21% 14%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,244) (585) (659) (141) (276) (487) (341) (337) (405) (459)


Stay about the same 18% 20% 23% 11% 17% 19%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,244) (423) (376) (430) (706) (425)
13
14. Wisconsin Economy Under Trump

Looking back at when Donald Trump was President, as you remember it, was the condition of Wisconsin’s economy then...
Gender Age Ideology

Very good 27% 32% 22% 17% 19% 30% 34% 5% 19% 52%
Fairly good 35% 36% 34% 30% 36% 36% 34% 22% 40% 39%
Fairly bad 20% 16% 23% 24% 22% 18% 18% 37% 25% 3%
Very bad 10% 9% 11% 18% 10% 10% 7% 22% 9% 2%
Not sure 8% 7% 10% 11% 13% 6% 7% 14% 7% 4%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (585) (658) (140) (276) (487) (340) (337) (404) (458)

Very good 27% 3% 24% 53% 31% 24%

Fairly good 35% 26% 37% 41% 35% 36%
Fairly bad 20% 35% 22% 3% 18% 22%
Very bad 10% 21% 9% 0% 9% 8%
Not sure 8% 14% 8% 3% 7% 10%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (422) (377) (430) (706) (424)
14
15A. Factors in Vote for President — Crime

How much of a factor is each of these in your vote for president?
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 55% 54% 57% 54% 42% 55% 66% 30% 54% 75%
Minor factor 35% 36% 34% 38% 44% 35% 28% 50% 37% 22%
Not a factor 9% 10% 9% 7% 14% 10% 6% 20% 9% 3%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,222) (576) (646) (126) (264) (491) (341) (338) (390) (458)

Major factor 55% 37% 54% 73% 59% 46%

Minor factor 35% 50% 34% 23% 32% 41%
Not a factor 9% 13% 12% 4% 8% 12%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99%
Weighted N (1,222) (414) (363) (433) (679) (438)
15
15B. Factors in Vote for President — Gun policy

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 54% 50% 58% 55% 52% 52% 59% 64% 47% 51%
Minor factor 33% 33% 33% 34% 36% 34% 27% 29% 38% 31%
Not a factor 13% 17% 9% 11% 12% 14% 14% 7% 14% 18%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,225) (577) (648) (125) (264) (493) (343) (338) (389) (461)

Major factor 54% 64% 49% 49% 53% 53%

Minor factor 33% 28% 38% 32% 31% 37%
Not a factor 13% 8% 13% 19% 16% 10%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,225) (414) (362) (437) (683) (438)
16
15C. Factors in Vote for President — Abortion

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 56% 49% 63% 68% 65% 50% 54% 80% 55% 39%
Minor factor 27% 30% 25% 26% 22% 29% 30% 16% 29% 34%
Not a factor 17% 21% 12% 6% 13% 21% 16% 4% 16% 27%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,223) (576) (647) (126) (264) (490) (344) (336) (390) (461)

Major factor 56% 80% 51% 37% 55% 57%

Minor factor 27% 15% 29% 38% 28% 27%
Not a factor 17% 5% 20% 25% 17% 16%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,223) (413) (363) (435) (681) (437)
17
15D. Factors in Vote for President — The economy

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 80% 81% 79% 80% 77% 81% 82% 62% 81% 93%
Minor factor 18% 17% 19% 16% 22% 17% 16% 34% 17% 7%
Not a factor 2% 2% 2% 4% 1% 2% 2% 4% 2% 0%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,225) (576) (649) (126) (264) (493) (343) (337) (390) (461)

Major factor 80% 69% 80% 91% 84% 72%

Minor factor 18% 28% 18% 8% 13% 26%
Not a factor 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,225) (413) (363) (437) (683) (438)
18
15E. Factors in Vote for President — The U.S.-Mexico border

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 56% 58% 54% 34% 40% 60% 70% 21% 47% 90%
Minor factor 32% 29% 35% 46% 40% 30% 25% 52% 43% 9%
Not a factor 12% 13% 11% 20% 20% 10% 5% 27% 10% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,222) (575) (647) (126) (262) (491) (344) (338) (386) (461)

Major factor 56% 29% 52% 85% 65% 46%

Minor factor 32% 50% 34% 13% 26% 40%
Not a factor 12% 21% 14% 1% 9% 14%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,222) (414) (360) (437) (682) (436)
19
15F. Factors in Vote for President — The state of democracy

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 67% 65% 69% 51% 64% 67% 77% 84% 65% 59%
Minor factor 25% 24% 26% 37% 29% 24% 19% 13% 27% 30%
Not a factor 8% 11% 5% 12% 7% 9% 4% 3% 8% 11%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,224) (576) (648) (126) (262) (492) (344) (337) (388) (461)

Major factor 67% 79% 66% 58% 68% 68%

Minor factor 25% 16% 26% 32% 25% 25%
Not a factor 8% 5% 8% 10% 7% 7%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,224) (414) (363) (435) (683) (438)
20
15G. Factors in Vote for President — Issues of race and diversity

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 33% 28% 37% 51% 42% 27% 28% 57% 33% 14%
Minor factor 36% 34% 39% 29% 37% 35% 40% 36% 38% 36%
Not a factor 31% 38% 24% 19% 21% 38% 31% 7% 29% 50%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,225) (577) (648) (126) (264) (493) (343) (338) (389) (461)

Major factor 33% 55% 29% 15% 27% 34%

Minor factor 36% 35% 34% 39% 39% 37%
Not a factor 31% 10% 36% 45% 34% 28%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,225) (414) (363) (437) (683) (438)
21
15H. Factors in Vote for President — The war between Israel and Hamas
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 31% 30% 32% 32% 30% 27% 38% 30% 27% 35%
Minor factor 49% 46% 51% 48% 44% 52% 48% 55% 47% 47%
Not a factor 20% 24% 17% 20% 26% 21% 13% 15% 26% 18%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,225) (577) (648) (126) (264) (493) (343) (338) (389) (461)

Major factor 31% 31% 33% 31% 33% 25%

Minor factor 49% 51% 48% 47% 46% 53%
Not a factor 20% 18% 19% 22% 20% 21%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99%
Weighted N (1,225) (414) (363) (437) (683) (438)
22
15I. Factors in Vote for President — Inflation

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 74% 74% 75% 72% 73% 74% 76% 47% 75% 94%
Minor factor 22% 22% 22% 23% 25% 21% 21% 45% 22% 6%
Not a factor 3% 4% 3% 5% 2% 5% 3% 8% 3% 0%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,221) (575) (647) (126) (262) (491) (343) (337) (386) (461)

Major factor 74% 56% 76% 91% 79% 66%

Minor factor 22% 38% 20% 8% 18% 29%
Not a factor 3% 6% 4% 1% 3% 5%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,221) (414) (361) (435) (680) (437)
23
15J. Factors in Vote for President — Climate change

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 40% 37% 42% 59% 44% 33% 38% 76% 41% 12%
Minor factor 26% 21% 31% 22% 34% 26% 21% 20% 34% 22%
Not a factor 34% 42% 27% 19% 21% 40% 41% 4% 25% 66%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,221) (575) (646) (126) (263) (489) (343) (338) (386) (461)

Major factor 40% 69% 42% 9% 35% 42%

Minor factor 26% 26% 24% 28% 26% 27%
Not a factor 34% 5% 34% 63% 39% 31%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,221) (413) (362) (434) (680) (437)
24
16. Ideology - Biden

Regardless of who you are voting for, do you think of Joe Biden politically as...
Gender Age Ideology

Very liberal 42% 47% 37% 26% 29% 46% 52% 14% 28% 78%
Somewhat liberal 25% 25% 25% 26% 32% 23% 22% 45% 28% 10%
Moderate 17% 15% 18% 22% 20% 15% 14% 28% 26% 1%
Somewhat conservative 4% 4% 4% 7% 8% 3% 1% 6% 3% 4%
Very conservative 3% 3% 2% 10% 1% 3% 1% 4% 1% 3%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure 9% 6% 13% 9% 10% 10% 9% 3% 14% 4%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (584) (659) (141) (276) (486) (341) (335) (404) (460)

Very liberal 42% 13% 39% 73% 47% 40%

Somewhat liberal 25% 39% 26% 12% 21% 31%
Moderate 17% 33% 17% 1% 14% 20%
Somewhat conservative 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 3%
Very conservative 3% 5% 1% 2% 2% 1%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure 9% 6% 12% 9% 12% 5%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (421) (376) (430) (704) (424)
25
17. Ideology - Trump

Regardless of who you are voting for, do you think of Donald Trump politically as...
Gender Age Ideology

Very liberal 3% 3% 4% 6% 5% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3%
Somewhat liberal 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2%
Moderate 10% 11% 9% 11% 9% 12% 8% 3% 15% 11%
Somewhat conservative 28% 32% 24% 10% 26% 34% 27% 13% 21% 46%
Very conservative 39% 38% 40% 60% 43% 32% 38% 60% 33% 32%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure 18% 13% 21% 12% 15% 17% 22% 18% 24% 6%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,245) (585) (660) (141) (276) (487) (341) (337) (405) (460)

Very liberal 3% 7% 1% 3% 4% 1%
Somewhat liberal 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2%
Moderate 10% 5% 13% 13% 10% 9%
Somewhat conservative 28% 12% 31% 40% 27% 31%
Very conservative 39% 51% 32% 34% 38% 44%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure 18% 23% 20% 8% 19% 13%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,245) (423) (377) (430) (706) (425)
26
18. Makes You Personally Feel - Biden

Does Joe Biden make you personally feel: CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Gender Age Ideology

Confident 25% 24% 27% 24% 18% 27% 29% 53% 28% 3%
Secure 28% 25% 30% 28% 23% 27% 32% 56% 33% 3%
Calm 32% 29% 34% 33% 35% 31% 31% 68% 34% 4%
Angry 37% 41% 33% 29% 31% 38% 42% 6% 30% 65%
Insecure 42% 43% 41% 29% 34% 44% 48% 9% 34% 72%
Worried 54% 56% 52% 56% 48% 55% 55% 15% 51% 85%
Weighted N (1,226) (577) (649) (126) (264) (493) (344) (338) (390) (461)

Confident 25% 56% 19% 2% 22% 26%

Secure 28% 61% 20% 2% 25% 31%
Calm 32% 68% 26% 2% 28% 36%
Angry 37% 5% 41% 63% 42% 31%
Insecure 42% 6% 42% 74% 50% 35%
Worried 54% 14% 60% 86% 58% 51%
Weighted N (1,226) (414) (363) (437) (684) (438)
27
19. Makes You Personally Feel - Trump

Does Donald Trump make you personally feel: CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Gender Age Ideology

Confident 35% 38% 33% 23% 26% 38% 43% 3% 26% 67%
Secure 35% 37% 32% 24% 23% 40% 40% 3% 26% 66%
Calm 22% 27% 18% 19% 18% 22% 26% 3% 15% 42%
Angry 43% 38% 47% 54% 47% 40% 39% 83% 48% 9%
Insecure 34% 29% 37% 33% 35% 32% 36% 59% 41% 9%
Worried 49% 43% 55% 61% 58% 44% 45% 85% 58% 16%
Weighted N (1,226) (577) (649) (126) (264) (493) (344) (338) (390) (461)

Confident 35% 3% 30% 71% 42% 28%

Secure 35% 3% 30% 68% 41% 29%
Calm 22% 4% 19% 42% 26% 16%
Angry 43% 81% 44% 6% 37% 52%
Insecure 34% 61% 35% 6% 31% 37%
Worried 49% 84% 54% 12% 43% 57%
Weighted N (1,226) (414) (363) (437) (684) (438)
28
20. Favored by Biden Policies

Do you think the policies of the Biden Administration have mostly favored...?
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

The wealthy 38% 41% 35% 34% 29% 39% 44% 12% 34% 59%
The middle class 17% 17% 18% 22% 26% 14% 14% 35% 18% 4%
The working class 20% 17% 21% 14% 17% 21% 21% 34% 23% 7%
The poor 13% 14% 13% 13% 13% 14% 12% 2% 11% 23%
Treat all equally 12% 11% 13% 17% 15% 11% 9% 17% 14% 7%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,218) (577) (642) (125) (261) (488) (344) (336) (388) (457)

The wealthy 38% 8% 47% 58% 44% 30%

The middle class 17% 33% 15% 5% 15% 20%
The working class 20% 35% 18% 6% 19% 22%
The poor 13% 3% 10% 26% 12% 15%
Treat all equally 12% 21% 10% 5% 10% 13%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,218) (413) (361) (433) (681) (433)
29
21. Favored by Trump Policies

Looking back, you think the policies of the Trump Administration mostly favored...?
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

The wealthy 51% 46% 55% 66% 63% 46% 44% 95% 61% 11%
The middle class 12% 14% 11% 9% 8% 14% 14% 2% 11% 21%
The working class 16% 16% 16% 13% 13% 18% 15% 2% 15% 27%
The poor 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Treat all equally 20% 22% 18% 12% 14% 21% 26% 0% 12% 40%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,226) (577) (649) (125) (264) (493) (344) (338) (390) (461)

The wealthy 51% 95% 54% 8% 44% 57%

The middle class 12% 2% 8% 27% 13% 13%
The working class 16% 1% 18% 26% 17% 14%
The poor 1% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1%
Treat all equally 20% 1% 20% 38% 25% 14%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99%
Weighted N (1,226) (414) (363) (437) (683) (438)
30
22A. Concerns about Economy and Democracy — Have a strong economy or not
When you think about the next few years, how concerned are you about whether the U.S. will...
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Very concerned 60% 59% 62% 57% 54% 61% 66% 37% 59% 80%
Somewhat concerned 35% 34% 35% 38% 40% 33% 30% 54% 34% 19%
Not concerned 5% 7% 3% 5% 5% 6% 4% 8% 7% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,223) (577) (647) (126) (264) (492) (342) (338) (389) (459)

Very concerned 60% 42% 61% 78% 64% 54%

Somewhat concerned 35% 49% 35% 20% 33% 38%
Not concerned 5% 9% 4% 2% 3% 8%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,223) (414) (363) (435) (684) (436)
31
22B. Concerns about Economy and Democracy — Have a functioning democracy or not
When you think about the next few years, how concerned are you about whether the U.S. will...
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Very concerned 63% 59% 66% 57% 55% 64% 70% 74% 61% 57%
Somewhat concerned 30% 30% 30% 35% 39% 27% 25% 24% 31% 33%
Not concerned 7% 11% 4% 8% 5% 9% 5% 2% 8% 10%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,223) (577) (646) (126) (264) (493) (341) (337) (390) (461)

Very concerned 63% 69% 63% 58% 63% 64%

Somewhat concerned 30% 28% 28% 33% 30% 30%
Not concerned 7% 3% 9% 9% 7% 6%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,223) (413) (363) (435) (681) (438)
32
23. Understands Needs and Concerns

Which candidate better understands the needs and concerns of people like you?
Gender Age Ideology

Joe Biden 40% 37% 43% 42% 43% 39% 40% 84% 44% 6%
Donald Trump 42% 47% 38% 28% 31% 47% 50% 3% 32% 81%
Both equally 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 2% 0% 0% 2% 2%
Neither 16% 14% 17% 27% 23% 12% 10% 12% 22% 11%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,245) (585) (660) (141) (276) (487) (341) (337) (405) (460)

Joe Biden 40% 86% 32% 2% 35% 45%

Donald Trump 42% 3% 37% 86% 49% 37%
Both equally 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1%
Neither 16% 9% 29% 10% 14% 17%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,245) (423) (377) (430) (706) (425)
33
24. Financially Better or Worse than Before COVID

Compared to before the COVID pandemic, are you...
Gender Age Ideology

Financially about the same 37% 33% 40% 27% 35% 38% 41% 47% 37% 27%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (585) (658) (141) (276) (486) (340) (336) (404) (460)


Financially about the same 37% 46% 37% 27% 37% 37%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (422) (377) (429) (704) (424)
34
25. Wisconsin’s Economy since COVID

In the years after the COVID pandemic, do you think Wisconsin’s economy has...?
Gender Age Ideology

Gotten better 25% 28% 23% 16% 26% 25% 28% 47% 27% 9%
Gotten worse 48% 47% 49% 61% 44% 50% 44% 22% 45% 68%
Stayed about the same 27% 25% 28% 23% 30% 25% 28% 31% 27% 22%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99%
Weighted N (1,242) (584) (659) (141) (275) (487) (340) (336) (403) (460)

Gotten better 25% 44% 22% 9% 22% 31%

Gotten worse 48% 28% 49% 67% 52% 39%
Stayed about the same 27% 28% 29% 24% 26% 30%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,242) (421) (375) (430) (704) (425)
35
27. Canceling Student Loan Debt

Do you approve or disapprove of the Biden Administration canceling some student loan debt for certain borrowers?
Gender Age Ideology

Approve 45% 43% 47% 65% 56% 40% 35% 90% 47% 10%
Disapprove 55% 57% 53% 35% 44% 60% 65% 10% 53% 90%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,242) (585) (657) (141) (276) (487) (338) (337) (402) (460)

Approve 45% 84% 40% 11% 39% 51%

Disapprove 55% 16% 60% 89% 61% 49%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,242) (423) (374) (430) (705) (423)
36
28. Biden Should Encourage Israel To

Regarding Israel’s military actions in Gaza, do you think Joe Biden should encourage Israel to now...
Gender Age Ideology

Increase its military actions in Gaza 13% 14% 11% 8% 11% 11% 18% 4% 9% 23%
Continue its military actions in Gaza as it has been 31% 34% 29% 23% 34% 31% 32% 16% 30% 45%
Decrease its military actions in Gaza 25% 25% 26% 19% 26% 27% 26% 29% 33% 14%
Stop its military actions in Gaza 31% 27% 34% 50% 29% 31% 24% 51% 28% 18%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,224) (579) (645) (140) (270) (481) (333) (332) (403) (447)

Increase its military actions in Gaza 13% 5% 12% 21% 13% 12%
Continue its military actions in Gaza as it has been 31% 20% 30% 43% 34% 29%
Decrease its military actions in Gaza 25% 32% 25% 18% 24% 27%
Stop its military actions in Gaza 31% 42% 33% 18% 29% 32%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,224) (417) (375) (417) (697) (417)
37
31. Abortion in Wisconsin

Do you want abortion in Wisconsin to be...
Gender Age Ideology

Legal in all cases 30% 26% 35% 45% 40% 24% 26% 61% 31% 8%
Legal in most cases 33% 33% 32% 34% 30% 37% 28% 34% 46% 20%
Illegal in most cases 28% 33% 24% 13% 20% 30% 38% 3% 18% 54%
Illegal in all cases 9% 8% 9% 7% 10% 9% 8% 2% 4% 18%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,241) (583) (658) (141) (275) (484) (341) (337) (405) (455)

Legal in all cases 30% 50% 30% 11% 27% 32%

Legal in most cases 33% 40% 34% 23% 32% 35%
Illegal in most cases 28% 7% 30% 47% 32% 23%
Illegal in all cases 9% 2% 5% 19% 9% 9%
Totals 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,241) (421) (377) (427) (703) (425)
38
32. Following Abortion Law Changes in Other States

How closely have you been following news about abortion law changes in other states like Arizona and Florida?
Gender Age Ideology

Very closely 20% 22% 18% 15% 13% 21% 25% 32% 17% 14%
Somewhat closely 40% 41% 39% 46% 40% 38% 39% 49% 38% 36%
Not very closely 28% 25% 31% 26% 33% 28% 27% 15% 32% 34%
Not at all 12% 12% 12% 13% 14% 13% 9% 4% 13% 16%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (584) (659) (141) (276) (486) (340) (337) (405) (457)

Very closely 20% 28% 18% 14% 19% 21%

Somewhat closely 40% 44% 39% 36% 37% 45%
Not very closely 28% 20% 31% 34% 30% 26%
Not at all 12% 8% 12% 16% 14% 7%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,243) (423) (377) (428) (704) (424)
39
33. Feel about Overturning Roe v. Wade

How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision that overturned Roe v. Wade?
Gender Age Ideology

Enthusiastic 13% 15% 11% 7% 9% 12% 19% 3% 5% 27%

Satisfied, but not enthusiastic 24% 29% 19% 11% 21% 26% 28% 2% 15% 48%
Dissatisfied, but not angry 23% 23% 23% 28% 25% 27% 15% 13% 36% 18%
Angry 40% 33% 47% 54% 45% 35% 38% 82% 44% 7%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,237) (581) (655) (140) (275) (487) (335) (337) (402) (455)

Enthusiastic 13% 3% 10% 25% 13% 11%

Satisfied, but not enthusiastic 24% 7% 24% 40% 26% 20%
Dissatisfied, but not angry 23% 21% 24% 24% 25% 20%
Angry 40% 69% 42% 11% 36% 49%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,237) (422) (374) (425) (701) (421)
40
34. Trump Get Credit or Blame for Overturning Roe v. Wade

Do you give Donald Trump credit, blame, or neither for the overturn of Roe v. Wade?
Gender Age Ideology

Credit 16% 20% 12% 7% 16% 16% 18% 4% 9% 30%

Blame 40% 35% 45% 49% 42% 38% 38% 82% 43% 8%
Neither 44% 45% 43% 44% 42% 46% 44% 14% 48% 62%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,242) (584) (658) (141) (274) (487) (340) (336) (403) (460)

Credit 16% 4% 15% 27% 17% 15%

Blame 40% 76% 40% 6% 36% 46%
Neither 44% 20% 45% 67% 47% 38%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,242) (421) (376) (430) (703) (425)
41
35. Recent Immigrants Impact on Wisconsin

In your view, over recent years, have recent immigrants from Mexico and Latin America made life in the state of Wisconsin better, worse, or not had an
impact either way?
Gender Age Ideology

Better 15% 13% 17% 23% 18% 14% 11% 31% 14% 5%
Worse 36% 41% 32% 27% 27% 38% 44% 8% 28% 64%
Not had an impact either way 49% 46% 51% 50% 55% 48% 45% 60% 57% 31%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,239) (583) (656) (140) (276) (485) (339) (336) (403) (456)

Better 15% 26% 13% 7% 11% 23%

Worse 36% 12% 35% 60% 42% 28%
Not had an impact either way 49% 62% 52% 33% 47% 49%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,239) (422) (375) (427) (703) (422)
42
38. Heard about NYC Trump Trial

How much have you heard or read about Donald Trump’s trial in New York City for allegedly falsifying business records to hide payments about alleged
affairs and election law violations?
Gender Age Ideology

A lot 40% 47% 34% 23% 27% 41% 57% 50% 35% 40%
Some 40% 37% 43% 50% 41% 42% 31% 38% 44% 39%
Not much 15% 12% 18% 19% 26% 13% 9% 10% 18% 16%
Nothing so far 4% 4% 5% 7% 5% 4% 3% 1% 3% 5%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,245) (585) (660) (141) (276) (487) (341) (337) (405) (459)

A lot 40% 49% 40% 33% 40% 43%

Some 40% 36% 40% 43% 38% 42%
Not much 15% 12% 17% 18% 17% 13%
Nothing so far 4% 3% 3% 6% 5% 2%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,245) (422) (377) (430) (706) (425)
43
39. Bigger Concern about NYC Trump Trial

Which concerns you more right now?
Gender Age Ideology

That Donald Trump committed a crime in this case 42% 38% 44% 44% 49% 38% 39% 84% 48% 7%
That the charges and indictment are politically motivated 43% 50% 37% 28% 32% 47% 53% 4% 33% 80%
Both equally 15% 11% 19% 28% 19% 15% 8% 12% 19% 13%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (583) (660) (141) (276) (487) (339) (337) (405) (458)

That Donald Trump committed a crime in this case 42% 77% 43% 6% 36% 50%
That the charges and indictment are politically motivated 43% 5% 43% 82% 49% 38%
Both equally 15% 18% 14% 12% 15% 12%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,243) (423) (377) (428) (704) (425)
44
40. 2020 Legitimate Winner - Wisconsin

Regardless of who you wanted to win, do you consider Joe Biden to be the legitimate winner of Wisconsin in the 2020 presidential election — that is, that
Biden won the most legally-cast votes in Wisconsin — or not?
Gender Age Ideology

Yes, I consider Biden legitimate winner 65% 61% 67% 82% 75% 60% 56% 97% 73% 35%
No, I do not consider Biden the legitimate winner 35% 39% 33% 18% 25% 40% 44% 3% 27% 65%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,241) (583) (658) (140) (276) (487) (337) (337) (401) (460)

Yes, I consider Biden legitimate winner 65% 97% 65% 33% 56% 76%
No, I do not consider Biden the legitimate winner 35% 3% 35% 67% 44% 24%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,241) (422) (374) (430) (704) (423)
45
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED AND THE
MARGIN OF ERROR CALCULATED
The CBS News/YouGov survey of 1,245 registered voters in Wisconsin was conducted between
April 19-25, 2024.
This sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, and education based on the U.S.
Census American Community Survey, and the U.S. Census Current Population Survey, as well
as 2020 Presidential vote. “Likely voters” – respondents’ relative probabilities of voting – were
determined using a regression model that incorporates current, self-reported intentions to vote,
along with individual-level and aggregate data about voters, such as demographics and vote
history. Respondents were selected to be representative of registered voters in Wisconsin. Of the
1,245 respondents, 821 were selected from YouGov’s online panel, 230 were selected from Pure
Spectrum’s online panell, 133 were selected from Full Circle’s online panel, and 61 were selected
from Dynata’s online panel. The weights range from 0.1 to 5.5, with a mean of 1 and a standard
deviation of 0.6.
The margin of error (a 95% confidence interval) for a sample percentage p based upon the entire
sample is approximately ±3.3 points.. It is calculated using the formula
s
1 + CV2
p̂ ± 100 ×
n
where CV is the coefficient of variation of the sample weights and n is the sample size used
to compute the proportion. This is a measure of sampling error (the average of all estimates
obtained using the same sample selection and weighting procedures repeatedly). The sample
estimate should differ from its expected value by less than margin of error in 95 percent of
all samples. It does not reflect non-sampling errors, including potential selection bias in panel
participation or in response to a particular survey.

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CBS News Poll – April 19-25, 2024

Registered voters in Wisconsin

1. Generally speaking, do you feel things in America today are going...

3. How would you rate the condition of Wisconsin’s economy today?

8. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November?

9. Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?

Major factor Minor factor Not a factor

Very Somewhat Not

24. Compared to before the COVID pandemic, are you...

31. Do you want abortion in Wisconsin to be...

39. Which concerns you more right now?

*Questions held for future release.

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

2. Condition of National Economy

Gender Age Ideology

Very good 7% 10% 6% 8% 5% 8% 9% 15% 9% 1%

Party ID White by Education

Very good 7% 12% 8% 2% 7% 10%

3. Condition of Wisconsin Economy

Gender Age Ideology

Very good 7% 9% 5% 6% 3% 9% 8% 14% 10% 1%

Party ID White by Education

Very good 7% 13% 8% 2% 6% 10%

4. Thinking about 2024 Presidential Race

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

A lot 54% 59% 47% 58% 56% 55%

5. Likely to Vote in 2024

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

Definitely will vote 86% 86% 82% 91% 85% 91%

6. 2024 Presidential Vote Intention (with Leaners)

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

Joe Biden 49% 96% 49% 5% 42% 56%

7. Strength of Candidate Support

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

8. Ever Consider Voting for Biden

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

9. Ever Consider Voting for Trump

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

10. 2024 Presidential Vote Intention (three-way race)

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

Joe Biden 44% 91% 40% 3% 38% 51%

11. Importance of Voting in 2024 Compared to 2020

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

12. Financial Condition if Biden Wins

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

Financially better off 18% 40% 13% 2% 16% 21%

13. Financial Condition if Trump Wins

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

Financially better off 44% 6% 41% 84% 49% 39%

14. Wisconsin Economy Under Trump

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID White by Education

Very good 27% 3% 24% 53% 31% 24%