Cbsnews 20240428 PA 1A Sen

CBS News Poll – April 19-25, 2024
Registered voters in Pennsylvania

Sample 1,306 Registered voters in Pennsylvania
Margin of Error ±3.1 points
1. Generally speaking, do you feel things in America today are going...

Very well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Somewhat well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Somewhat badly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Very badly . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
2. How would you rate the condition of the national economy today?
Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
3. How would you rate the condition of Pennsylvania’s economy today?

Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
4. How much are you thinking about the 2024 presidential race these days?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
5. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2024 presidential election this year?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
6. If the 2024 presidential election were being held today between Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump,
the Republican, who would you vote for?
Among likely voters, including those leaning toward Biden or Trump
Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Someone else/third party . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
1
7. Which best describes your support for right now?
Among likely voters voting for a candidate
Very strong – I’ve decided . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69%
Strong – I probably won’t change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Somewhat strong – I might still change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Not too strong – I’ll probably change at some point . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
8. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November?

Among likely voters not voting for or leaning toward voting for Biden
Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Maybe, there’s still time left . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92%
9. Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?

Among likely voters not voting for or leaning toward voting for Trump
Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Maybe, there’s still time left . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .6%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92%
10. Compared to voting in the 2020 presidential election, do you feel that voting for president this year matters...
More than it did in 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66%
As much as it did in 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Less than it did in 2020 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
11. If Joe Biden wins in 2024, do you think his policies in a second term would make you...
Financially better off . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Financially worse off . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Stay about the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
12. If Donald Trump wins in 2024, do you think his policies in a second term would make you...
Stay about the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
13. Looking back at when Donald Trump was President, as you remember it, was the condition of Pennsylvania’s
economy then...
Very good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Fairly good . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Fairly bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19%
Very bad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
2
14. How much of a factor is each of these in your vote for president?
Among likely voters
Major factor Minor factor Not a factor

Crime 58% 34% 7%
Gun policy 56% 31% 13%
Abortion 52% 29% 18%
The economy 80% 18% 2%
The U.S.-Mexico border 54% 32% 14%
The state of democracy 72% 21% 7%
Issues of race and diversity 36% 38% 26%
The war between Israel and Hamas 35% 46% 19%
Inflation 75% 21% 4%
Climate change 40% 26% 33%
15. Regardless of who you are voting for, do you think of Joe Biden politically as...
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
16. Regardless of who you are voting for, do you think of Donald Trump politically as...
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16%
17. Does Joe Biden make you personally feel: CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Confident . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Secure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Calm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Insecure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
Worried . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .55%
3
18. Does Donald Trump make you personally feel: CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Confident . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Secure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Calm . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
Insecure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Worried . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .48%
19. Do you think the policies of the Biden Administration have mostly favored...?
Among likely voters
The wealthy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
The middle class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
The working class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
The poor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Treat all equally . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
20. Looking back, you think the policies of the Trump Administration mostly favored...?
Among likely voters
The wealthy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
The middle class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
The working class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
The poor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Treat all equally . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
21. When you think about the next few years, how concerned are you about whether the U.S. will...
Among likely voters
Very Somewhat Not

concerned concerned concerned
Have a strong economy or not 62% 32% 6%
Have a functioning democracy or not 64% 28% 8%
22. Which candidate better understands the needs and concerns of people like you?
Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Both equally . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
23. Compared to before the COVID pandemic, are you...

Financially about the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
4
24. In the years after the COVID pandemic, do you think Pennsylvania’s economy has...?
Gotten better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Gotten worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
Stayed about the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
26. Do you approve or disapprove of the Biden Administration canceling some student loan debt for certain
borrowers?
Approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
Disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
27. Regarding Israel’s military actions in Gaza, do you think Joe Biden should encourage Israel to now...
Increase its military actions in Gaza . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Continue its military actions in Gaza as it has been . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Decrease its military actions in Gaza . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Stop its military actions in Gaza . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
28. The general election for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania is coming up this November. If the Senate election were
held today between Bob Casey Jr., the Democrat, and David McCormick, the Republican, who would you vote
for?
Among likely voters
Bob Casey Jr. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
David McCormick . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
29. In the last few weeks, have gas prices in your area been...
Going up . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71%
Going down . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Staying the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Not sure/don’t buy gas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
30. Who would do a better job handling issues surrounding oil and gas exploration, including fracking, in Penn-
sylvania?
Joe Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
Both equally . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
31. Do you generally favor or oppose the process of fracking in the state of Pennsylvania?
Favor . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
5
34. Do you want abortion in Pennsylvania to be...
Legal in all cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Legal in most cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Illegal in most cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Illegal in all cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
35. How closely have you been following news about abortion law changes in other states like Arizona and
Florida?
Very closely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Somewhat closely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Not very closely . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
36. How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision that overturned Roe v. Wade?
Enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Dissatisfied, but not angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Angry . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
37. Do you give Donald Trump credit, blame, or neither for the overturn of Roe v. Wade?
Credit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%
Blame . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
38. In your view, over recent years, have recent immigrants from Mexico and Latin America made life in the state
of Pennsylvania better, worse, or not had an impact either way?
Better . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Worse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Not had an impact either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
41. How much have you heard or read about Donald Trump’s trial in New York City for allegedly falsifying business
records to hide payments about alleged affairs and election law violations?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .37%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Nothing so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
42. Which concerns you more right now?

That Donald Trump committed a crime in this case . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
That the charges and indictment are politically motivated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45%
Both equally . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
6
43. Regardless of who you wanted to win, do you consider Joe Biden to be the legitimate winner of Pennsylvania
in the 2020 presidential election — that is, that Biden won the most legally-cast votes in Pennsylvania — or not?
Yes, I consider Biden legitimate winner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%
No, I do not consider Biden the legitimate winner . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
*Questions held for future release.
7
1. Things in America
Generally speaking, do you feel things in America today are going...
Gender Age Ideology

Total Male Female Under 30 30-44 45-64 65+ Liberal Moderate Conservative
Very well 5% 7% 3% 11% 6% 4% 2% 9% 6% 2%

Somewhat well 24% 24% 24% 25% 25% 23% 24% 42% 28% 5%
Somewhat badly 32% 30% 34% 33% 39% 33% 25% 32% 36% 29%
Very badly 38% 38% 39% 30% 30% 40% 49% 17% 30% 64%
Totals 99% 99% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,305) (620) (685) (202) (315) (423) (365) (386) (440) (447)
Party ID Race White by Education

Total Dem Ind Rep White Black No Degree 4yr Degree+
Very well 5% 10% 3% 2% 3% 20% 2% 5%

Somewhat well 24% 44% 19% 6% 23% 38% 19% 27%
Somewhat badly 32% 33% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32%
Very badly 38% 13% 46% 60% 42% 9% 47% 36%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,305) (509) (293) (480) (1,091) (116) (621) (470)
1
2. Condition of National Economy

How would you rate the condition of the national economy today?
Gender Age Ideology

Very good 9% 12% 7% 10% 8% 9% 10% 19% 9% 2%

Fairly good 26% 26% 25% 26% 32% 24% 22% 47% 27% 7%
Fairly bad 29% 29% 30% 31% 34% 27% 27% 21% 34% 31%
Very bad 34% 31% 36% 28% 24% 38% 40% 10% 27% 59%
Not sure 2% 2% 2% 5% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,306) (620) (686) (202) (315) (423) (366) (386) (440) (447)

Very good 9% 19% 6% 2% 8% 20% 5% 11%

Fairly good 26% 44% 23% 8% 24% 42% 19% 31%
Fairly bad 29% 24% 35% 32% 30% 24% 30% 30%
Very bad 34% 9% 34% 58% 36% 11% 43% 26%
Not sure 2% 4% 2% 0% 2% 3% 2% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,306) (510) (293) (480) (1,092) (116) (622) (470)
2
3. Condition of State Economy

How would you rate the condition of Pennsylvania’s economy today?
Gender Age Ideology

Very good 9% 11% 7% 10% 8% 9% 9% 19% 8% 2%

Fairly good 29% 30% 28% 28% 35% 24% 30% 48% 31% 12%
Fairly bad 33% 35% 31% 34% 31% 36% 29% 22% 35% 41%
Very bad 24% 21% 28% 22% 19% 26% 29% 6% 20% 42%
Not sure 5% 3% 6% 6% 6% 5% 3% 5% 6% 3%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,302) (618) (684) (202) (314) (422) (364) (386) (440) (444)

Very good 9% 18% 4% 2% 8% 20% 5% 11%

Fairly good 29% 47% 27% 12% 27% 45% 21% 34%
Fairly bad 33% 21% 42% 40% 36% 14% 39% 32%
Very bad 24% 7% 22% 43% 25% 14% 32% 16%
Not sure 5% 7% 4% 3% 4% 7% 3% 6%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,302) (510) (293) (477) (1,090) (116) (620) (470)
3
4. Thinking about 2024 Presidential Race

How much are you thinking about the 2024 presidential race these days?
Gender Age Ideology

A lot 56% 63% 49% 38% 46% 58% 71% 58% 45% 67%
Some 32% 29% 35% 40% 40% 32% 22% 34% 38% 25%
Not much 10% 6% 12% 19% 12% 7% 6% 7% 13% 7%
Not at all 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 1% 4% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,305) (620) (685) (202) (314) (423) (366) (386) (440) (446)

A lot 56% 54% 51% 62% 57% 46% 59% 55%

Some 32% 36% 33% 28% 31% 40% 27% 37%
Not much 10% 8% 13% 8% 9% 13% 10% 7%
Not at all 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 1% 4% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,305) (510) (292) (480) (1,091) (116) (621) (470)
4
5. Likely to Vote in 2024

How likely is it that you will vote in the 2024 presidential election this year?
Gender Age Ideology

Definitely will vote 85% 89% 83% 72% 86% 86% 92% 90% 79% 90%
Probably will vote 8% 5% 11% 16% 6% 9% 6% 6% 12% 6%
Maybe will vote 4% 3% 4% 10% 4% 2% 1% 2% 5% 3%
Probably will not vote 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0%
Definitely will not vote 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0%
Don’t know 1% 0% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,306) (620) (686) (202) (315) (423) (366) (386) (440) (447)

Definitely will vote 85% 88% 76% 90% 86% 82% 84% 90%
Probably will vote 8% 8% 13% 5% 8% 7% 9% 7%
Maybe will vote 4% 3% 6% 3% 3% 9% 3% 2%
Probably will not vote 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0%
Definitely will not vote 1% 0% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1%
Don’t know 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,306) (510) (293) (480) (1,092) (116) (622) (470)
5
6. 2024 Presidential Vote Intention (with Leaners)

If the 2024 presidential election were being held today between Joe Biden, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for?
Among likely voters, including those leaning toward Biden or Trump
Gender Age Ideology

Joe Biden 49% 45% 53% 63% 57% 45% 41% 94% 58% 5%
Donald Trump 50% 54% 46% 37% 42% 55% 58% 6% 41% 95%
Someone else/third party 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0%
Not sure 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,288) (606) (682) (188) (311) (422) (367) (390) (418) (452)

Joe Biden 49% 92% 47% 5% 45% 82% 37% 55%

Donald Trump 50% 8% 51% 94% 54% 18% 63% 44%
Someone else/third party 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1%
Not sure 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,288) (515) (277) (480) (1,084) (110) (595) (488)
6
7. Strength of Candidate Support

Which best describes your support for right now?
Among likely voters voting for a candidate
Gender Age Ideology

Very strong – I’ve decided 69% 71% 67% 54% 63% 71% 78% 74% 58% 74%
Strong – I probably won’t change 23% 22% 24% 32% 26% 20% 20% 22% 27% 21%
Somewhat strong – I might still change 7% 6% 8% 12% 8% 8% 2% 4% 13% 5%
Not too strong – I’ll probably change at some point 1% 1% 0% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 2% 0%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,164) (541) (623) (157) (285) (386) (335) (365) (352) (422)

Very strong – I’ve decided 69% 72% 57% 73% 69% 65% 71% 67%
Strong – I probably won’t change 23% 21% 30% 22% 23% 25% 20% 26%
Somewhat strong – I might still change 7% 6% 12% 5% 7% 9% 8% 6%
Not too strong – I’ll probably change at some point 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,164) (485) (217) (449) (992) (93) (542) (450)
7
8. Ever Consider Voting for Biden

Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November?
Among likely voters not voting for or leaning toward voting for Biden
Gender Age Ideology

Yes, I would 1% 1% 1% ∗ 2% 0% 1% ∗ 1% 0%
Maybe, there’s still time left 6% 8% 5% ∗ 17% 2% 1% ∗ 14% 3%
No, I never would 92% 91% 94% ∗ 81% 98% 98% ∗ 85% 97%
Totals 99% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100%
Weighted N (646) (329) (317) (69) (131) (231) (215) (26) (173) (427)

Yes, I would 1% ∗ 2% 1% 1% ∗ 1% 0%
Maybe, there’s still time left 6% ∗ 7% 3% 5% ∗ 4% 5%
No, I never would 92% ∗ 91% 96% 94% ∗ 95% 94%
Totals 99% ∗ 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 99%
Weighted N (646) (43) (143) (453) (588) (20) (373) (215)
8
9. Ever Consider Voting for Trump

Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?
Among likely voters not voting for or leaning toward voting for Trump
Gender Age Ideology

Yes, I would 2% 4% 0% 4% 3% 0% 0% 1% 3% ∗
Maybe, there’s still time left 6% 8% 5% 19% 7% 2% 2% 4% 9% ∗
No, I never would 92% 88% 94% 77% 90% 98% 98% 94% 88% ∗
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% ∗
Weighted N (641) (276) (366) (118) (178) (192) (154) (366) (243) (25)

Yes, I would 2% 2% 1% ∗ 1% ∗ 1% 1%
Maybe, there’s still time left 6% 5% 9% ∗ 5% ∗ 7% 3%
No, I never would 92% 93% 90% ∗ 94% ∗ 92% 96%
Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% ∗ 100% 100%
Weighted N (641) (472) (133) (27) (493) (90) (221) (272)
9
10. Importance of Voting in 2024 Compared to 2020

Compared to voting in the 2020 presidential election, do you feel that voting for president this year matters...
Gender Age Ideology

More than it did in 2020 66% 68% 64% 47% 55% 69% 82% 63% 62% 75%
As much as it did in 2020 31% 29% 32% 44% 42% 29% 16% 35% 33% 23%
Less than it did in 2020 3% 3% 3% 9% 3% 2% 2% 2% 5% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,306) (620) (686) (202) (315) (423) (366) (386) (440) (447)

More than it did in 2020 66% 64% 60% 73% 68% 54% 73% 61%
As much as it did in 2020 31% 34% 34% 24% 29% 42% 23% 37%
Less than it did in 2020 3% 2% 5% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,306) (510) (293) (480) (1,092) (116) (622) (470)
10
11. Financial Condition if Biden Wins

If Joe Biden wins in 2024, do you think his policies in a second term would make you...
Gender Age Ideology

Financially better off 21% 21% 21% 23% 25% 20% 17% 43% 21% 3%
Financially worse off 48% 52% 45% 34% 40% 53% 58% 8% 41% 89%
Stay about the same 31% 27% 34% 43% 34% 27% 25% 49% 38% 8%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,303) (619) (685) (202) (315) (421) (365) (385) (439) (446)

Financially better off 21% 43% 16% 2% 19% 36% 15% 24%
Financially worse off 48% 10% 49% 88% 52% 19% 59% 42%
Stay about the same 31% 47% 35% 9% 29% 45% 25% 34%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,303) (509) (293) (479) (1,091) (115) (622) (469)
11
12. Financial Condition if Trump Wins

If Donald Trump wins in 2024, do you think his policies in a second term would make you...
Gender Age Ideology

Stay about the same 17% 15% 19% 21% 24% 14% 11% 19% 24% 8%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,303) (618) (685) (202) (314) (422) (365) (386) (439) (445)

Stay about the same 17% 19% 23% 9% 16% 27% 13% 20%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,303) (509) (293) (479) (1,092) (115) (622) (470)
12
13. Pennsylvania Economy Under Trump

Looking back at when Donald Trump was President, as you remember it, was the condition of Pennsylvania’s economy then...
Gender Age Ideology

Very good 27% 31% 23% 21% 19% 29% 33% 4% 20% 52%
Fairly good 34% 35% 34% 34% 34% 36% 34% 21% 40% 42%
Fairly bad 19% 17% 22% 23% 23% 17% 17% 38% 20% 2%
Very bad 10% 11% 8% 8% 12% 12% 6% 20% 8% 2%
Not sure 10% 6% 13% 13% 12% 6% 10% 17% 12% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,304) (618) (686) (202) (315) (421) (366) (386) (440) (445)

Very good 27% 6% 24% 51% 28% 9% 32% 23%

Fairly good 34% 24% 38% 44% 35% 41% 37% 33%
Fairly bad 19% 35% 19% 2% 18% 23% 15% 23%
Very bad 10% 19% 8% 1% 9% 14% 9% 9%
Not sure 10% 16% 11% 2% 9% 13% 7% 12%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,304) (510) (293) (479) (1,090) (116) (620) (470)
13
14A. Factors in Vote for President — Crime

How much of a factor is each of these in your vote for president?
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 58% 59% 58% 47% 50% 57% 73% 33% 59% 80%
Minor factor 34% 32% 37% 44% 39% 36% 24% 53% 33% 19%
Not a factor 7% 9% 5% 9% 11% 7% 3% 14% 8% 1%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,286) (605) (681) (188) (311) (421) (367) (389) (417) (452)

Major factor 58% 44% 58% 74% 57% 74% 63% 51%
Minor factor 34% 46% 31% 24% 35% 23% 31% 41%
Not a factor 7% 10% 11% 1% 7% 3% 6% 8%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,286) (513) (277) (480) (1,082) (110) (594) (488)
14
14B. Factors in Vote for President — Gun policy

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 56% 53% 60% 59% 51% 56% 61% 70% 50% 50%
Minor factor 31% 32% 30% 32% 37% 27% 29% 24% 35% 33%
Not a factor 13% 15% 10% 9% 12% 17% 10% 6% 15% 16%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,286) (606) (679) (188) (311) (422) (365) (390) (416) (452)

Major factor 56% 68% 47% 50% 55% 73% 53% 56%
Minor factor 31% 23% 39% 34% 31% 25% 33% 30%
Not a factor 13% 8% 14% 16% 14% 2% 14% 14%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,286) (515) (276) (479) (1,082) (110) (593) (488)
15
14C. Factors in Vote for President — Abortion

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 52% 42% 62% 57% 54% 50% 51% 77% 48% 35%
Minor factor 29% 34% 25% 31% 29% 28% 30% 19% 33% 35%
Not a factor 18% 24% 13% 12% 17% 22% 19% 4% 19% 29%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,286) (606) (680) (188) (309) (422) (367) (390) (418) (451)

Major factor 52% 72% 45% 34% 51% 62% 48% 55%
Minor factor 29% 21% 26% 40% 29% 29% 32% 25%
Not a factor 18% 7% 29% 25% 20% 9% 20% 20%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,286) (515) (277) (479) (1,083) (109) (594) (488)
16
14D. Factors in Vote for President — The economy

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 80% 80% 79% 69% 80% 79% 85% 59% 81% 96%
Minor factor 18% 17% 19% 28% 18% 18% 14% 37% 17% 3%
Not a factor 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,287) (606) (680) (186) (311) (422) (367) (390) (417) (452)

Major factor 80% 65% 80% 95% 80% 73% 86% 73%
Minor factor 18% 31% 18% 5% 18% 23% 12% 25%
Not a factor 2% 4% 2% 0% 2% 3% 2% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,287) (514) (277) (480) (1,083) (110) (594) (488)
17
14E. Factors in Vote for President — The U.S.-Mexico border

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 54% 58% 51% 40% 40% 56% 72% 22% 51% 86%
Minor factor 32% 28% 35% 40% 41% 30% 23% 51% 37% 10%
Not a factor 14% 14% 13% 20% 19% 14% 5% 27% 12% 4%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,286) (606) (679) (188) (311) (422) (365) (389) (418) (451)

Major factor 54% 29% 52% 84% 57% 40% 65% 46%
Minor factor 32% 49% 33% 13% 30% 44% 24% 37%
Not a factor 14% 22% 15% 3% 13% 16% 10% 16%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99%
Weighted N (1,286) (513) (277) (480) (1,082) (109) (594) (488)
18
14F. Factors in Vote for President — The state of democracy

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 72% 71% 73% 64% 67% 70% 81% 85% 67% 66%
Minor factor 21% 21% 21% 28% 25% 21% 13% 12% 26% 24%
Not a factor 7% 8% 6% 8% 7% 8% 5% 3% 7% 10%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,283) (605) (679) (185) (311) (422) (366) (387) (418) (450)

Major factor 72% 82% 69% 63% 72% 75% 72% 72%
Minor factor 21% 15% 20% 28% 21% 19% 21% 21%
Not a factor 7% 3% 11% 9% 7% 5% 7% 7%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,283) (512) (277) (478) (1,083) (107) (594) (488)
19
14G. Factors in Vote for President — Issues of race and diversity

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 36% 31% 41% 51% 39% 31% 32% 62% 33% 18%
Minor factor 38% 40% 36% 37% 39% 38% 38% 32% 42% 40%
Not a factor 26% 29% 23% 12% 22% 31% 30% 6% 25% 42%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,285) (605) (680) (188) (310) (422) (365) (388) (418) (451)

Major factor 36% 55% 33% 18% 31% 75% 29% 34%
Minor factor 38% 36% 34% 43% 40% 20% 40% 41%
Not a factor 26% 9% 33% 39% 28% 5% 31% 25%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,285) (514) (277) (479) (1,081) (110) (592) (488)
20
14H. Factors in Vote for President — The war between Israel and Hamas
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 35% 35% 36% 35% 27% 31% 47% 32% 35% 38%
Minor factor 46% 45% 46% 42% 47% 49% 42% 47% 46% 45%
Not a factor 19% 20% 18% 23% 25% 20% 11% 21% 19% 17%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,285) (605) (681) (188) (309) (422) (366) (389) (418) (451)

Major factor 35% 35% 30% 38% 33% 48% 36% 30%
Minor factor 46% 46% 46% 45% 48% 28% 46% 51%
Not a factor 19% 19% 24% 17% 19% 24% 18% 19%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,285) (514) (277) (479) (1,082) (109) (594) (488)
21
14I. Factors in Vote for President — Inflation

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 75% 73% 76% 69% 74% 75% 78% 52% 76% 94%
Minor factor 21% 21% 21% 26% 21% 20% 19% 40% 20% 5%
Not a factor 4% 6% 3% 5% 5% 5% 3% 8% 4% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,282) (603) (679) (187) (308) (420) (367) (388) (418) (449)

Major factor 75% 60% 74% 92% 75% 73% 82% 67%
Minor factor 21% 33% 21% 7% 21% 20% 16% 27%
Not a factor 4% 7% 4% 1% 4% 7% 2% 6%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,282) (514) (276) (477) (1,080) (109) (594) (486)
22
14J. Factors in Vote for President — Climate change

Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Major factor 40% 36% 44% 55% 47% 34% 34% 78% 37% 10%
Minor factor 26% 24% 28% 31% 27% 28% 22% 18% 36% 25%
Not a factor 33% 40% 28% 14% 26% 37% 44% 4% 27% 65%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,282) (603) (679) (188) (309) (418) (367) (386) (417) (451)

Major factor 40% 67% 37% 13% 38% 54% 33% 44%
Minor factor 26% 26% 24% 29% 26% 35% 27% 24%
Not a factor 33% 7% 39% 58% 36% 11% 40% 32%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,282) (511) (276) (480) (1,082) (108) (594) (488)
23
15. Ideology - Biden

Regardless of who you are voting for, do you think of Joe Biden politically as...
Gender Age Ideology

Very liberal 40% 45% 36% 33% 28% 43% 51% 12% 27% 80%
Somewhat liberal 26% 23% 28% 25% 32% 23% 23% 46% 22% 12%
Moderate 21% 20% 21% 25% 24% 21% 15% 32% 31% 1%
Somewhat conservative 3% 5% 2% 5% 4% 4% 1% 4% 5% 1%
Very conservative 2% 2% 3% 5% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure 8% 5% 10% 7% 10% 6% 8% 3% 12% 3%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 98% 100%
Weighted N (1,302) (618) (684) (202) (313) (421) (365) (385) (438) (447)

Very liberal 40% 14% 41% 69% 43% 24% 50% 34%
Somewhat liberal 26% 38% 23% 15% 26% 21% 20% 34%
Moderate 21% 35% 24% 4% 19% 30% 17% 22%
Somewhat conservative 3% 5% 2% 1% 3% 8% 2% 3%
Very conservative 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 7% 2% 1%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure 8% 5% 9% 8% 8% 9% 9% 5%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,302) (508) (293) (479) (1,089) (115) (619) (470)
24
16. Ideology - Trump

Regardless of who you are voting for, do you think of Donald Trump politically as...
Gender Age Ideology

Very liberal 3% 3% 3% 5% 4% 2% 2% 3% 5% 2%
Somewhat liberal 2% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 0% 4% 2% 1%
Moderate 13% 13% 13% 16% 11% 14% 13% 4% 21% 14%
Somewhat conservative 28% 31% 26% 20% 32% 27% 31% 16% 22% 47%
Very conservative 36% 37% 36% 48% 33% 35% 35% 53% 27% 33%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure 16% 13% 20% 7% 16% 19% 18% 20% 23% 3%
Totals 98% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,302) (619) (683) (201) (315) (422) (364) (386) (438) (445)

Very liberal 3% 6% 2% 1% 2% 11% 2% 2%

Somewhat liberal 2% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2%
Moderate 13% 8% 18% 16% 13% 10% 13% 13%
Somewhat conservative 28% 12% 36% 42% 31% 10% 31% 31%
Very conservative 36% 47% 27% 32% 36% 41% 35% 37%
Don’t think in those terms/Not sure 16% 24% 16% 6% 15% 26% 16% 15%
Totals 98% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,302) (509) (292) (479) (1,088) (116) (620) (469)
25
17. Makes You Personally Feel - Biden

Does Joe Biden make you personally feel: CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Gender Age Ideology

Confident 25% 24% 25% 21% 24% 24% 28% 48% 27% 3%
Secure 28% 25% 32% 24% 30% 29% 29% 57% 31% 3%
Calm 33% 30% 35% 32% 39% 31% 29% 65% 35% 4%
Angry 40% 43% 37% 30% 30% 44% 49% 9% 29% 76%
Insecure 41% 43% 39% 32% 30% 45% 51% 11% 32% 75%
Worried 54% 57% 52% 54% 48% 55% 59% 20% 51% 86%
Weighted N (1,288) (606) (682) (188) (311) (422) (367) (390) (418) (452)

Confident 25% 49% 18% 3% 22% 48% 20% 25%

Secure 28% 58% 21% 2% 26% 44% 21% 33%
Calm 33% 65% 25% 4% 30% 53% 24% 38%
Angry 40% 7% 42% 74% 43% 13% 49% 36%
Insecure 41% 11% 39% 74% 44% 15% 49% 38%
Worried 54% 21% 60% 87% 58% 30% 65% 48%
Weighted N (1,288) (515) (277) (480) (1,084) (110) (595) (488)
26
18. Makes You Personally Feel - Trump

Does Donald Trump make you personally feel: CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Gender Age Ideology

Confident 38% 43% 34% 28% 35% 40% 44% 4% 29% 75%
Secure 36% 39% 33% 24% 31% 39% 41% 5% 28% 69%
Calm 24% 27% 21% 20% 19% 25% 29% 3% 18% 48%
Angry 44% 38% 50% 53% 48% 41% 39% 84% 46% 8%
Insecure 32% 27% 37% 30% 35% 32% 31% 62% 34% 5%
Worried 48% 44% 52% 52% 51% 49% 43% 85% 55% 11%
Weighted N (1,288) (606) (682) (188) (311) (422) (367) (390) (418) (452)

Confident 38% 6% 35% 75% 41% 13% 49% 32%

Secure 36% 6% 36% 68% 39% 9% 45% 31%
Calm 24% 4% 24% 46% 25% 11% 29% 21%
Angry 44% 79% 40% 8% 42% 61% 34% 51%
Insecure 32% 59% 31% 4% 31% 42% 27% 36%
Worried 48% 81% 49% 13% 46% 64% 38% 56%
Weighted N (1,288) (515) (277) (480) (1,084) (110) (595) (488)
27
19. Favored By Biden Policies

Do you think the policies of the Biden Administration have mostly favored...?
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

The wealthy 39% 43% 36% 36% 34% 39% 44% 12% 31% 69%
The middle class 18% 18% 19% 23% 22% 16% 16% 34% 19% 5%
The working class 19% 19% 19% 17% 21% 20% 18% 32% 22% 5%
The poor 10% 9% 10% 8% 10% 12% 8% 2% 12% 14%
Treat all equally 14% 11% 16% 16% 13% 13% 14% 20% 16% 7%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,284) (604) (679) (188) (311) (420) (366) (390) (416) (450)

The wealthy 39% 11% 46% 65% 41% 16% 49% 32%
The middle class 18% 31% 17% 6% 17% 29% 13% 21%
The working class 19% 33% 15% 6% 19% 21% 18% 21%
The poor 10% 4% 9% 17% 10% 6% 8% 12%
Treat all equally 14% 21% 13% 6% 12% 27% 11% 14%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,284) (515) (274) (480) (1,080) (110) (595) (485)
28
20. Favored By Trump Policies

Looking back, you think the policies of the Trump Administration mostly favored...?
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

The wealthy 50% 45% 54% 60% 58% 45% 43% 91% 57% 9%
The middle class 14% 15% 13% 13% 12% 14% 16% 4% 14% 23%
The working class 15% 18% 13% 13% 12% 18% 16% 3% 12% 28%
The poor 1% 0% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 0%
Treat all equally 20% 22% 19% 12% 17% 22% 25% 2% 15% 40%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,286) (604) (682) (188) (309) (422) (367) (390) (417) (452)

The wealthy 50% 88% 48% 9% 46% 73% 40% 55%

The middle class 14% 5% 11% 26% 14% 11% 14% 15%
The working class 15% 3% 19% 26% 17% 5% 21% 12%
The poor 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 4% 0% 0%
Treat all equally 20% 3% 22% 38% 22% 7% 25% 18%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,286) (513) (277) (480) (1,083) (110) (595) (488)
29
21A. Concerns about Economy and Democracy — Have a strong economy or not
When you think about the next few years, how concerned are you about whether the U.S. will...
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Very concerned 62% 59% 66% 61% 54% 65% 67% 39% 58% 85%
Somewhat concerned 32% 35% 29% 31% 38% 30% 31% 51% 35% 13%
Not concerned 6% 6% 5% 8% 8% 5% 2% 9% 6% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,287) (605) (682) (188) (311) (422) (366) (389) (418) (452)

Very concerned 62% 44% 64% 81% 63% 56% 71% 53%
Somewhat concerned 32% 46% 31% 17% 32% 33% 25% 40%
Not concerned 6% 9% 4% 2% 5% 11% 3% 7%
Totals 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,287) (514) (277) (480) (1,083) (110) (594) (488)
30
21B. Concerns about Economy and Democracy — Have a functioning democracy or not
When you think about the next few years, how concerned are you about whether the U.S. will...
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Very concerned 64% 61% 67% 53% 59% 63% 76% 77% 56% 62%
Somewhat concerned 28% 28% 27% 36% 35% 29% 16% 20% 37% 26%
Not concerned 8% 10% 6% 11% 6% 8% 8% 3% 7% 12%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,284) (606) (677) (188) (311) (420) (365) (390) (416) (450)

Very concerned 64% 70% 61% 60% 66% 44% 67% 65%
Somewhat concerned 28% 26% 29% 29% 27% 45% 25% 29%
Not concerned 8% 4% 10% 11% 7% 11% 8% 6%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,284) (515) (277) (478) (1,081) (108) (593) (488)
31
22. Understands Needs and Concerns

Which candidate better understands the needs and concerns of people like you?
Gender Age Ideology

Joe Biden 40% 36% 44% 41% 43% 39% 38% 80% 44% 4%
Donald Trump 45% 49% 40% 30% 39% 48% 53% 5% 35% 88%
Both equally 2% 2% 2% 7% 0% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1%
Neither 13% 12% 14% 22% 18% 11% 8% 12% 19% 7%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,305) (620) (684) (202) (313) (423) (366) (386) (438) (447)

Joe Biden 40% 82% 30% 3% 37% 65% 30% 47%

Donald Trump 45% 6% 43% 87% 49% 15% 56% 40%
Both equally 2% 2% 4% 1% 1% 6% 2% 1%
Neither 13% 10% 23% 8% 12% 14% 12% 12%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,305) (509) (293) (480) (1,090) (116) (622) (469)
32
23. Financially Better or Worse than Before COVID

Compared to before the COVID pandemic, are you...
Gender Age Ideology

Financially about the same 34% 34% 34% 22% 32% 34% 43% 39% 36% 29%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,306) (620) (686) (202) (315) (423) (366) (386) (440) (447)

Financially about the same 34% 39% 36% 28% 35% 26% 34% 36%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,306) (510) (293) (480) (1,092) (116) (622) (470)
33
24. Pennsylvania’s Economy since COVID

In the years after the COVID pandemic, do you think Pennsylvania’s economy has...?
Gender Age Ideology

Gotten better 23% 28% 19% 25% 23% 22% 23% 44% 24% 5%
Gotten worse 50% 46% 53% 53% 51% 49% 48% 22% 48% 74%
Stayed about the same 27% 26% 28% 22% 26% 29% 29% 34% 28% 21%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,302) (619) (683) (202) (314) (423) (363) (386) (438) (445)

Gotten better 23% 43% 18% 6% 21% 41% 16% 26%

Gotten worse 50% 24% 55% 73% 51% 35% 60% 40%
Stayed about the same 27% 33% 27% 21% 28% 23% 23% 34%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,302) (509) (293) (477) (1,088) (116) (618) (469)
34
26. Canceling Student Loan Debt

Do you approve or disapprove of the Biden Administration canceling some student loan debt for certain borrowers?
Gender Age Ideology

Approve 52% 49% 56% 75% 64% 47% 35% 89% 59% 14%
Disapprove 48% 51% 44% 25% 36% 53% 65% 11% 41% 86%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,304) (620) (684) (202) (315) (422) (365) (385) (440) (447)

Approve 52% 87% 48% 18% 48% 86% 43% 54%

Disapprove 48% 13% 52% 82% 52% 14% 57% 46%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,304) (508) (293) (480) (1,090) (116) (621) (469)
35
27. Biden Should Encourage Israel To

Regarding Israel’s military actions in Gaza, do you think Joe Biden should encourage Israel to now...
Gender Age Ideology

Increase its military actions in Gaza 14% 18% 9% 7% 14% 14% 16% 4% 11% 25%
Continue its military actions in Gaza as it has been 31% 32% 30% 29% 26% 32% 34% 18% 29% 45%
Decrease its military actions in Gaza 23% 22% 25% 21% 26% 23% 24% 30% 29% 14%
Stop its military actions in Gaza 32% 28% 36% 42% 34% 31% 26% 48% 31% 16%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,293) (616) (677) (200) (312) (418) (363) (384) (431) (445)

Increase its military actions in Gaza 14% 5% 14% 23% 14% 8% 14% 14%
Continue its military actions in Gaza as it has been 31% 23% 30% 40% 32% 30% 33% 29%
Decrease its military actions in Gaza 23% 30% 20% 19% 24% 23% 23% 26%
Stop its military actions in Gaza 32% 42% 36% 18% 30% 39% 29% 31%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,293) (507) (288) (476) (1,083) (115) (615) (468)
36
28. U.S. Senate Election Vote Intention - Pennsylvania

The general election for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania is coming up this November. If the Senate election were held today between Bob Casey Jr., the
Democrat, and David McCormick, the Republican, who would you vote for?
Among likely voters
Gender Age Ideology

Bob Casey Jr. 46% 43% 48% 53% 50% 44% 41% 86% 52% 7%
David McCormick 39% 46% 33% 21% 33% 40% 51% 5% 24% 82%
Someone else 3% 3% 3% 6% 3% 3% 1% 1% 4% 3%
Not sure 12% 8% 16% 20% 14% 13% 7% 8% 19% 7%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99%
Weighted N (1,287) (606) (682) (188) (311) (421) (367) (390) (418) (452)

Bob Casey Jr. 46% 85% 41% 7% 42% 75% 35% 52%
David McCormick 39% 4% 35% 80% 43% 12% 49% 34%
Someone else 3% 1% 5% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2%
Not sure 12% 10% 19% 10% 13% 10% 13% 11%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99%
Weighted N (1,287) (515) (277) (480) (1,083) (110) (595) (488)
37
29. Gas Prices

In the last few weeks, have gas prices in your area been...
Gender Age Ideology

Going up 71% 71% 70% 57% 63% 75% 80% 55% 71% 85%
Going down 3% 3% 3% 6% 3% 2% 1% 5% 2% 2%
Staying the same 16% 16% 17% 25% 20% 13% 12% 22% 18% 10%
Not sure/don’t buy gas 10% 10% 10% 12% 14% 10% 6% 18% 9% 3%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,301) (619) (682) (202) (313) (420) (366) (386) (437) (445)

Going up 71% 61% 66% 85% 72% 62% 76% 68%

Going down 3% 4% 3% 1% 2% 11% 2% 2%
Staying the same 16% 23% 16% 10% 16% 16% 14% 19%
Not sure/don’t buy gas 10% 12% 15% 4% 10% 11% 8% 11%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,301) (507) (293) (479) (1,087) (116) (620) (467)
38
30. Better Job Handling Fracking

Who would do a better job handling issues surrounding oil and gas exploration, including fracking, in Pennsylvania?
Gender Age Ideology

Joe Biden 33% 28% 38% 35% 35% 32% 31% 70% 33% 3%
Donald Trump 49% 56% 43% 36% 43% 54% 57% 8% 41% 92%
Both equally 4% 3% 4% 7% 3% 3% 3% 4% 5% 1%
Neither 14% 13% 15% 22% 19% 11% 9% 18% 20% 4%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,303) (620) (683) (202) (315) (422) (364) (385) (438) (447)

Joe Biden 33% 70% 22% 1% 31% 50% 24% 39%

Donald Trump 49% 8% 51% 92% 54% 16% 61% 44%
Both equally 4% 5% 4% 2% 3% 7% 3% 3%
Neither 14% 17% 22% 4% 12% 27% 11% 13%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 99% 99%
Weighted N (1,303) (509) (293) (479) (1,089) (116) (620) (468)
39
31. Position on Fracking

Do you generally favor or oppose the process of fracking in the state of Pennsylvania?
Gender Age Ideology

Favor 53% 62% 46% 42% 47% 55% 64% 24% 50% 83%
Oppose 47% 38% 54% 58% 53% 45% 36% 76% 50% 17%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,295) (616) (679) (200) (313) (421) (361) (382) (437) (444)

Favor 53% 31% 51% 80% 56% 37% 60% 50%

Oppose 47% 69% 49% 20% 44% 63% 40% 50%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,295) (505) (292) (477) (1,086) (115) (619) (467)
40
34. Abortion in Pennsylvania

Do you want abortion in Pennsylvania to be...
Gender Age Ideology

Legal in all cases 31% 25% 36% 40% 37% 27% 25% 60% 29% 7%
Legal in most cases 32% 35% 29% 38% 33% 32% 27% 32% 46% 18%
Illegal in most cases 30% 33% 27% 17% 24% 34% 39% 6% 20% 62%
Illegal in all cases 7% 6% 8% 5% 6% 7% 9% 2% 5% 13%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,299) (619) (680) (202) (315) (421) (361) (386) (439) (441)

Legal in all cases 31% 51% 29% 10% 30% 34% 25% 37%
Legal in most cases 32% 36% 35% 26% 31% 44% 31% 31%
Illegal in most cases 30% 9% 30% 54% 32% 15% 36% 27%
Illegal in all cases 7% 4% 6% 10% 7% 7% 8% 5%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,299) (509) (291) (476) (1,085) (116) (618) (467)
41
35. Following Abortion Law Changes in Other States

How closely have you been following news about abortion law changes in other states like Arizona and Florida?
Gender Age Ideology

Very closely 22% 23% 22% 21% 22% 25% 21% 39% 16% 15%
Somewhat closely 39% 41% 38% 38% 39% 32% 48% 41% 42% 36%
Not very closely 28% 28% 27% 26% 26% 32% 25% 14% 31% 37%
Not at all 11% 8% 13% 14% 13% 11% 6% 6% 11% 12%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,302) (618) (684) (202) (313) (423) (364) (384) (438) (447)

Very closely 22% 34% 20% 13% 22% 24% 17% 28%
Somewhat closely 39% 41% 42% 36% 40% 35% 38% 42%
Not very closely 28% 17% 28% 39% 28% 26% 32% 22%
Not at all 11% 8% 10% 12% 10% 15% 12% 8%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,302) (506) (293) (480) (1,090) (113) (620) (470)
42
36. Feel about Overturning Roe v. Wade

How do you feel about the Supreme Court decision that overturned Roe v. Wade?
Gender Age Ideology

Enthusiastic 13% 13% 12% 10% 5% 13% 20% 3% 5% 30%

Satisfied, but not enthusiastic 27% 33% 20% 20% 29% 28% 27% 9% 25% 44%
Dissatisfied, but not angry 22% 23% 22% 30% 20% 23% 19% 12% 32% 20%
Angry 38% 30% 46% 40% 46% 36% 34% 76% 38% 6%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,296) (619) (678) (202) (313) (418) (363) (385) (435) (444)

Enthusiastic 13% 3% 12% 24% 13% 9% 16% 10%

Satisfied, but not enthusiastic 27% 12% 30% 41% 27% 26% 27% 26%
Dissatisfied, but not angry 22% 18% 22% 26% 22% 32% 26% 16%
Angry 38% 67% 36% 9% 38% 33% 31% 48%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,296) (508) (291) (476) (1,085) (114) (618) (467)
43
37. Trump Get Credit or Blame for Overturning Roe v. Wade

Do you give Donald Trump credit, blame, or neither for the overturn of Roe v. Wade?
Gender Age Ideology

Credit 19% 22% 15% 15% 16% 17% 25% 8% 13% 34%
Blame 37% 34% 40% 37% 45% 35% 33% 74% 38% 5%
Neither 44% 44% 44% 48% 39% 48% 42% 18% 49% 61%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,300) (619) (681) (202) (310) (422) (365) (383) (437) (446)

Credit 19% 8% 15% 31% 19% 18% 20% 16%

Blame 37% 69% 34% 7% 36% 46% 29% 46%
Neither 44% 23% 51% 62% 45% 36% 51% 38%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,300) (506) (292) (480) (1,087) (116) (620) (467)
44
38. Recent Immigrants Impact on Pennsylvania

In your view, over recent years, have recent immigrants from Mexico and Latin America made life in the state of Pennsylvania better, worse, or not had an
impact either way?
Gender Age Ideology

Better 13% 15% 11% 26% 16% 10% 7% 26% 12% 3%

Worse 39% 43% 36% 24% 32% 45% 46% 9% 35% 68%
Not had an impact either way 48% 42% 53% 50% 52% 45% 46% 64% 53% 29%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,297) (618) (679) (202) (313) (422) (360) (383) (438) (444)

Better 13% 22% 13% 4% 11% 25% 7% 16%

Worse 39% 13% 41% 66% 42% 20% 47% 35%
Not had an impact either way 48% 65% 46% 30% 47% 54% 46% 49%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,297) (506) (293) (476) (1,085) (115) (619) (466)
45
41. Heard about NYC Trump Trial

How much have you heard or read about Donald Trump’s trial in New York City for allegedly falsifying business records to hide payments about alleged
affairs and election law violations?
Gender Age Ideology

A lot 43% 51% 36% 21% 36% 49% 55% 51% 36% 45%
Some 37% 34% 40% 48% 39% 32% 35% 35% 42% 33%
Not much 16% 12% 19% 23% 21% 16% 8% 12% 16% 18%
Nothing so far 4% 3% 5% 8% 4% 3% 2% 1% 5% 4%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,305) (620) (686) (202) (315) (423) (366) (386) (440) (447)

A lot 43% 48% 41% 41% 44% 37% 42% 48%

Some 37% 38% 38% 35% 36% 48% 35% 37%
Not much 16% 12% 15% 20% 16% 14% 18% 13%
Nothing so far 4% 2% 6% 4% 4% 1% 5% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,305) (510) (293) (480) (1,091) (116) (622) (469)
46
42. Bigger Concern about NYC Trump Trial

Which concerns you more right now?
Gender Age Ideology

That Donald Trump committed a crime in this case 41% 39% 43% 42% 43% 39% 40% 78% 45% 6%
That the charges and indictment are politically motivated 45% 51% 40% 34% 38% 49% 53% 7% 38% 84%
Both equally 14% 10% 17% 24% 18% 12% 7% 15% 17% 10%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,304) (619) (685) (202) (314) (422) (365) (386) (438) (447)

That Donald Trump committed a crime in this case 41% 74% 40% 6% 39% 55% 32% 49%
That the charges and indictment are politically motivated 45% 11% 45% 82% 48% 22% 55% 40%
Both equally 14% 15% 15% 12% 12% 23% 13% 11%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,304) (508) (293) (480) (1,091) (115) (621) (470)
47
43. 2020 Legitimate Winner - Pennsylvania

Regardless of who you wanted to win, do you consider Joe Biden to be the legitimate winner of Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election — that is, that
Biden won the most legally-cast votes in Pennsylvania — or not?
Gender Age Ideology

Yes, I consider Biden legitimate winner 62% 59% 64% 73% 69% 59% 53% 95% 71% 25%
No, I do not consider Biden the legitimate winner 38% 41% 36% 27% 31% 41% 47% 5% 29% 75%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,301) (620) (682) (202) (313) (422) (363) (385) (438) (445)

Yes, I consider Biden legitimate winner 62% 95% 59% 28% 58% 85% 51% 68%
No, I do not consider Biden the legitimate winner 38% 5% 41% 72% 42% 15% 49% 32%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,301) (510) (292) (477) (1,087) (116) (620) (467)
48
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED AND THE
MARGIN OF ERROR CALCULATED
The CBS News/YouGov survey of 1,306 registered voters in Pennsylvania was conducted between
April 19-25, 2024.
This sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, and education based on the U.S.
Census American Community Survey, and the U.S. Census Current Population Survey, as well
as 2020 Presidential vote. “Likely voters” – respondents’ relative probabilities of voting – were
determined using a regression model that incorporates current, self-reported intentions to vote,
along with individual-level and aggregate data about voters, such as demographics and vote
history. Respondents were selected to be representative of registered voters in Pennsylvania. Of
the 1,306 respondents, 1,058 were selected from YouGov’s online panel, 110 were selected from
Pure Spectrum’s online panel, and 53 were selected from Dynata’s online panel. The weights
range from 0.1 to 3.9, with a mean of 1 and a standard deviation of 0.6.
The margin of error (a 95% confidence interval) for a sample percentage p based upon the entire
sample is approximately ±3.1 points.. It is calculated using the formula
s
1 + CV2
p̂ ± 100 ×
n
where CV is the coefficient of variation of the sample weights and n is the sample size used
to compute the proportion. This is a measure of sampling error (the average of all estimates
obtained using the same sample selection and weighting procedures repeatedly). The sample
estimate should differ from its expected value by less than margin of error in 95 percent of
all samples. It does not reflect non-sampling errors, including potential selection bias in panel
participation or in response to a particular survey.

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CBS News Poll – April 19-25, 2024

Registered voters in Pennsylvania

1. Generally speaking, do you feel things in America today are going...

3. How would you rate the condition of Pennsylvania’s economy today?

8. Would you ever consider voting for Joe Biden in November?

9. Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?

Major factor Minor factor Not a factor

Very Somewhat Not

23. Compared to before the COVID pandemic, are you...

42. Which concerns you more right now?

*Questions held for future release.

Gender Age Ideology

Very well 5% 7% 3% 11% 6% 4% 2% 9% 6% 2%

Party ID Race White by Education

Very well 5% 10% 3% 2% 3% 20% 2% 5%

2. Condition of National Economy

Gender Age Ideology

Very good 9% 12% 7% 10% 8% 9% 10% 19% 9% 2%

Party ID Race White by Education

Very good 9% 19% 6% 2% 8% 20% 5% 11%

3. Condition of State Economy

Gender Age Ideology

Very good 9% 11% 7% 10% 8% 9% 9% 19% 8% 2%

Party ID Race White by Education

Very good 9% 18% 4% 2% 8% 20% 5% 11%

4. Thinking about 2024 Presidential Race

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID Race White by Education

A lot 56% 54% 51% 62% 57% 46% 59% 55%

5. Likely to Vote in 2024

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID Race White by Education

6. 2024 Presidential Vote Intention (with Leaners)

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID Race White by Education

Joe Biden 49% 92% 47% 5% 45% 82% 37% 55%

7. Strength of Candidate Support

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID Race White by Education

8. Ever Consider Voting for Biden

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID Race White by Education

9. Ever Consider Voting for Trump

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID Race White by Education

10. Importance of Voting in 2024 Compared to 2020

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID Race White by Education

11. Financial Condition if Biden Wins

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID Race White by Education

12. Financial Condition if Trump Wins

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID Race White by Education

13. Pennsylvania Economy Under Trump

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID Race White by Education

Very good 27% 6% 24% 51% 28% 9% 32% 23%

14A. Factors in Vote for President — Crime

Gender Age Ideology

Party ID Race White by Education

14B. Factors in Vote for President — Gun policy

Gender Age Ideology