Ethiopian Institute Of Textile &

Fashion Technology(Eitex)

PRESENTATION
ON
QUALITY GURUS:
SHEWHART'S THEORY OF PRDICITION &
CONTROL
Program: Masters Of Science In Fashion
Technology
Course: Managing Total Quality System
Prepared by: Jemal Assres
12/29/16 to: Mr.Shalemu.S
Submitted

What is a quality guru?

A guru, by definition, is a good person, a wise
person and a teacher.
A quality guru should be all of these, plus have
a concept and approach to quality within
business that has made a major and lasting
impact.

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Quality as a Function of Time and Methods

Quality

Total
Quality
Managemen
t (TQM)

Inspectio
n

1920
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194
0

Statistica
l
Process
Control
(SPC)

1960

Quality
Throug
h
Design
Improve
d
Design

1980

2000
3

Walter A. Shewhart
Statistician at Bell Laboratories during the 1920s and
1930s.
Shewhart studied randomness and recognized that
variability existed in all manufacturing processes.
He developed quality control charts that are used to
identify whether the variability in the process is random
or due to an assignable cause, such as poor workers or
mis calibrated machinery.
He stressed that eliminating variability improves
quality.
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His work created the foundation for todays

statistical process control, and he is often
referred to as the grandfather of quality control.
Developed the plan-do-check-act (PDCA) cycle
that emphasizes the need for continuous
improvement.
Strongly influenced Deming and Juran.

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Two basic assumptions of the shewhart

control mechanism
1. A controlled quality must be a variable
quality
2. There must be a constant variability with in
limits.

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Shewhart Control and Prediction Theory

" a phenomenon will be said to be in
control when, through the use of past
experience, we can predict, at least within
limits, how the phenomenon may be
expected to vary in the future.
Here it is understood that the prediction
within limits means that we can state, at
least approximately, the probability that
the observed phenomenon will fall within
given limits" (Shewhart, 1931:6)
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Scientific basis for control

Three important postulates have been
developed by shewhart :
1. All chance systems of causes are not alike in
the sense that they enable us to predict the
future in terms of the past.
2. Constant systems of causes do exist in nature
3. Assignable causes of variation may be found
and eliminated.
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 We can find and remove causes of variability

until the remaining system of causes is
constant or until the probability that the
deviation in quality remains with in any two
fixed limits is constant.

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Economical advantages secured through

control and prediction :
1. Reduction in the cost of inspection
2. Reduction in the cost of rejection
3. Attainment of maximum benefit from
quantity production
4. Attainment of uniform quality
5. Reduction in tolerance limits

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Main Contributions of Shewhart

Contributed to understanding of process
variability.
Developed concept of statistical control
charts.
Developed the PDSA learning and
improvement cycle.
Therefore if a fashion industry applies and
follows the above shewhart's principles I
believe it will for sure generate a break
through results.

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