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DEPENDENT EVENTS
GROUP 3
ACTIVITY 1: Understanding independent
and dependent events
Consider the situations below and answer the questions that follow.
Situation 1: Consider a box that contains 14 red balls, 12 blue balls, 9 yellow
balls. A ball is drawn at random and the color is noted and then put back inside
the box. Then, another ball is drawn at random. Find the probability that:
a. both are blue.
b. the first is read and the second is yellow
Situation 2: Consider a box that contains 14 red balls, 12 blue balls, 9 yellow
balls. Suppose that two balls are drawn one after the other without putting
back the first ball. Find the probability that:
a. the first is red and the second is blue
b. both balls are yellow
Reflect:
a. compare the process of getting the probabilities in each of the
situation above.
b.in situation 1, is the probability of obtaining the second ball
affected by the first ball? What about in situation 2?
c. what conclusion can you make about events happening in the
given situation s above/ how are these events different?
UNDERSTANDING INDEPENDENT AND DEPENDENT
EVENTS
In situation 1, the probability of getting a blue ball in the second draw is
not affected by the probability of drawing a red ball on the first draw , since
the first ball is put back inside the box prior to the second draw. Thus, the
two events are independent of each other. Two events are independent if
the outcome of one event does not affect the outcome of the other event.
Example: when a coin is tossed and the die is rolled, the event that a coin
shows up head and the event that a die shows up a 5 are independent events.
If two events, A and B, are INDEPENDENT, then the probability of both events
occurring is the product of the probability of A and B.
In symbols,
P(A and B)= P(A) . P(B)
When the outcome of one events affects the outcome of another
event, they are DEPENDENT events.
In situation 2, if the ball was not placed back in the box, then drawing
the two balls would have been DEPENDENT events.
In this case , the event of drawing a yellow ball on the second draw is
dependent on the event of drawing a yellow ball on the first draw.
Example: A box contain 7 white marbles and 7 red marbles. What is the
probability of drawing 2 white marbles and 1 red marble in succession
without replacement?
Consider the following situation below and answer the question that
follow
1. A bag contain 6 black marbles, 9 blue marbles, 4 yellow marbles,
and 2 green marbles. A marble is randomly selected ,replaced,
and a second marble is randomly selected. Find the probability of
selecting a black marble, then a yellow marble.
3. A rental agency has 12 white cars, it gray cars, 6 red cars and 3
green cars for rent. Mr. Escobar rents a car, returns it because the
radio is broken and gets another car. What is the probability that
mr. Escobar is given a green car and then a gray car?
ACTIVITY 3: which events are independent?