Scribd
Upload
370 views11 pages

Reliability Based Design

This document discusses reliability-based design versus deterministic design. It introduces the mean value, first order, second moment (MVFOSM) method for approximating component reliability using Gaussian random variables and a linear Taylor approximation. A generic procedure is outlined for solving reliability design problems through developing a performance function, calculating reliability via an approximation method, finding optimal design variables to meet reliability requirements, and validating the final design. Three example problems involving reliability analysis and design of structural components are presented.

Uploaded by

tohema
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
370 views11 pages

Reliability Based Design

This document discusses reliability-based design versus deterministic design. It introduces the mean value, first order, second moment (MVFOSM) method for approximating component reliability using Gaussian random variables and a linear Taylor approximation. A generic procedure is outlined for solving reliability design problems through developing a performance function, calculating reliability via an approximation method, finding optimal design variables to meet reliability requirements, and validating the final design. Three example problems involving reliability analysis and design of structural components are presented.

Uploaded by

tohema
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd

7.

Reliability based design


Objectives
• Learn formulation of reliability design problem.
Understand difference between reliability-based
design and deterministic design
• Learn how to quickly approximate reliability of
component using mean value, first order, second
moment method
• Be exposed to three example problems involving
analysis and design
Deterministic vs. Reliability Design
• Find design variables • Find design variables
• To minimize cost (or • To minimize cost (or
weight) weight)
• so that safety factor  • so that reliability 
minimum acceptable minimum acceptable
value value
Approximate calculation of reliability
• Mean value, first order, second moment
method (MVFOSM) method
• Assumptions:
– Random variables are Gaussian
– Linear Taylor approximation of performance
function, g(x1,…,xn), is accurate (performance
function; positive implies survival, negative
implies failure)
Approximate calculation of reliability
(continued)
Linear Taylor approximation of g about mean
values of random variables:
gi
g ( x1,..., xn )  g ( E ( X1),..., E ( X n ))   ( xi  E ( X i ))
i 1,...,n xi
Approximate calculation of reliability
(continued)
Mean value of g

E ( g ( x1,..., xn ))  g ( E ( X1),..., E ( X n ))

Standard deviation of g

g 2 2 g g
 g2   ( )   2    Xi X j
i 1,...,n xi i 1,..., n j i 1,..., n xi x j
X i

The derivatives are calculated at the mean values of r.v.s


Approximate calculation of reliability
(continued)

Failure probability = (-)

Reliability=1-failure probability

E( g)
  safety index 
g
Generic procedure for solving reliability
design problem
• Develop equation for performance function
• Develop method for calculating the reliability as a function
of the design variable(s). Since many iterations are
required in design we need an approximate method (e.g.
MVFOSM) for calculating reliability at this stage
• Find the optimum values of the design variable(s) so that
the requirement for acceptable reliability as well as other
requirements are satisfied
• Validate the final design, i.e. compute the reliability of the
final design using an accurate method (for example Monte-
Carlo simulation)
• Redesign the system if needed.
Example 1
• Tension element
• Given probability distribution of axial load,
ultimate strength and coefficient of
variation of diameter, find mean diameter of
element that has reliability 0.9999.

P
P d
Example 2: Design of I-beam
• Find web height of I-beam to meet given
reliability target
Example 3: Design-oriented analysis
of torsion bar of a truck
Suggested reading
• Frangopol, D, M., and Maute, K., “Reliability-
based Optimization of Civil and Aerospace
Structural Systems,” Engineering Design
Reliability Handbook, CRC press, 2004, p. 24-1.
• Mourelatos, Z., P., et al., “Probabilistic Analysis
and Design in Automotive Industry,” Engineering
Design Reliability Handbook, CRC press, 2004, p.
38-1.

You might also like