Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Abfrl QGLP Analysis
Abfrl QGLP Analysis
Team Member #1
Name : Sanket Shalu
Mobile : 8975830495
Email : pgp18sanketsunilshalu@imt.ac.in
Team Member #2
Name : Srijani Dhara
Mobile : 8961582466
Email : pgp18srijanidhara@imt.ac.in
Team Member #3
Name : Shivang Bhagat
Mobile : 8000619870
Email : dcp18shivangkamleshbhagat@imt.ac.in
1
Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Ltd
Brief company background
• ABFRL emerged after the merger of Pantaloons Fashion and Retail (PFRL) and Madura
Fashion & Lifestyle (MFL) in May 2015
• manufacturer and retailer of clothing, footwear, and leather products
• offers western, ethnic, formal, party and active wear for men, women, and kids as well
as footwear, handbags, cosmetics, perfumes, fashion jewelries, and watches
• hosts India's largest fashion network which includes 2,700+ ABFRL brand outlets, a
footprint of 7.5 million sq. ft. of retail space across 750+ cities and towns
• has approx. 30 million Loyalty Members as of 31st March 2019
• has a strong portfolio of brands like Louis Philippe, Peter England, Allen Solly, Van
Heusen etc
• has acquired licensing rights for other brands like Forever 21, Simon Carter, Ted Becker,
Ralph Lauren, People, The Collective etc
• has around 23269 employees all over the world
3
QGLP Analysis
QGLP in a nutshell
QGLP
• ABFRL is market leader in apparel industry which (domestic + exports) in India grew at a CAGR of
13% from Rs. 2,432 billion in FY10 to Rs. 6,484 billion in FY18 [1]
• India’s domestic apparel market is expected to grow at 11-12% CAGR and reach about $160 billion
by 2025[2]
• Unbranded apparels in India account for around 60% market share which gives huge growth
opportunity for branded apparels to drive penetration leading to revenue growth[3]
• Rising per capita income growing at 10% and rising number of working women in India expected to
increase consumer spending on branded products[4]
• With world’s largest youth population becoming fashion conscious owing to mass media and social
media penetration, India is expected to see gradual growth in demand for branded fashion
apparels
[1]http://www.careratings.com/upload/NewsFiles/Studies/Indian%20Ready%20Made%20Garments%20(Apparel)%20Industry.pdf
[2] https://www.business-standard.com/article/companies/domestic-apparel-market-to-grow-by-12-on-robust-demand-cmai-118071600951_1.html
[3] https://www.brand-experts.com/brand-expansion/india-fashion-retail/
[4] https://www.businesstoday.in/current/economy-politics/india-per-capita-income-rises-10-to-rs-10534-a-month-in-fy19/story/352805.html 6
Q – Quality
Quality of Business
Force Comments Score
Inter-firm rivalry Little competition from oligopolistic organized market, no competition from 0
unorganized sector due to increased brand consciousness
Bargaining power of No direct bargaining power but can indirectly force to reduce price by switching 0.5
customers brands
Bargaining power of No significant bargaining power to local players in highly fragmented industry 0
suppliers
Threat of new entrants No threat of new entrants due to high initial capital expenditure requirement 0
Threat of substitutes Medium threat from major market players with similar brand portfolio 0.5
Unquestionable Integrity
• High promoter stake : 60% of ABFRL stock is owned by promotors and no part of it is pledged
implying promoters’ high skin in the game[5]
• Excellent team of 7 directors and 12 Key Domain Heads from varied backgrounds with
experience from world’s largest conglomerates
Demonstrable Competence
• In house team for Strategic Direction and Consultation: The Vanguard under Aditya Birla
Management Corporation Private Limited (ABMCPL) guides the group companies for their
corporate functions [6]
Product enhancement
• Pilot testing of new 12 season inventory model to increase freshness of products and rapid
adaption by ABFRL to ever changing customer tastes[9]
• Improved ‘full price sell through’ from product betterment
[7] https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/companies/aditya-birla-fashion-retail-to-roll-out-470-new-stores-in-fy20/article28879323.ece#
[8] https://www.adityabirla.com/media/press-reports/creating-e-commerce-ethos-madura
[9] https://www.dnaindia.com/business/report-aditya-birla-fashion-mulls-12-season-cycle-for-madura-fashion-and-lifestyle-business-2779602
[10] http://www.technopak.com/Files/indian-ethnic-wear-market.pdf
9
G – Growth
• Expected revenue and EBITDA CAGR over FY 2019 – 22 of 12% and 25% respectively
• Strong growth in profitability margin due to efficient markdown & discount management and
enhanced product portfolio
• Higher other income & lower depreciation expense expected to boost PBT over FY 2019 - 22
Revenue EBITDA
120000 12% 114048.1 12000
10785.7
101828.7 25%
100000 10.4% 90918.4 10000
8628.6
81177.2
80000 71720.7 8000
66028.6 13.5% 6898.8
60339.2
60000 6000 5541.3
`
4375.8 4683.2
3784.2
40000 4000
20000 2000
0 0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 10
2022
L – Longevity
Longevity of quality
• Latest ethnic wear acquisitions will provide an existing ecosystem (designing team, supply
chain, dealer network) in an underpenetrated category that can be scaled up to further drive
penetration in vast ethnic wear market
• Highly reputed and very diverse brand portfolio will provide sustainable competitive
advantage to ABFRL
Longevity of growth
• Targeting the long tail of rural market with Peter England Red stores to have a pan India
presence will further increase growth
• Expected revenue growth from e-commerce channels due to increased demand
• Long term growth drivers like fashion conscious young population of India and growth in
their disposable income along with ABFRL’s availability on different channels with larger
number of stores than any other fashion house will continue to boost its growth more than
the industry average of 10-12%
11
P – Price
• The current P/E multiple of ABFRL is 45.67 which is very close to industry average of 44.87
considering peer group of Future Lifestyle Fashion Ltd, TCNS Clothing Co Ltd, VMART Retail Ltd.
Hence, we can say that ABFRL is fairly priced.
• Assuming that the P/E multiple stays constant from FY19 to FY22, we use current P/E of ABFRL to
find target stock price for FY22 during exit. Furthermore using projected income statement and
balance sheet for FY 2019 – 22, the target price comes out to be Rs 232.5
Hence we give a strong buy recommendation.
FY 19 FY 22(Est)
13
Financial Summary
14
Risks & Concerns
• Losses in its Fast Fashions & Others business segment putting pressure on its
overall profitability
15
Thank You
16