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12.presentasi Korporasi December 2016
12.presentasi Korporasi December 2016
1. Semen Indonesia 30 mt
2. Semen Andalas 1.6 mt
3. Semen Baturaja 2.0 mt
4. Indocement TP 25.9 mt
5. Holcim Indonesia 12.1 mt
6. Semen Bosowa 6.0 mt
7. Semen Kupang 0.5 mt
8. Semen Jui Shin 2.0 mt
9. Semen Puger 0.3 mt
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Opportunity Regional Cement Market
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Semen Indonesia’ sales volume
Million tonnes Nov-16 Nov-15 Change (%) 11M16 11M15 Change (%)
Indonesia
Semen Indonesia 1.26 1.38 -8.9% 12.76 12.77 0.0%
Semen Padang 0.56 0.67 -16.1% 5.75 5.84 -1.5%
Semen Tonasa 0.48 0.56 -13.4% 4.99 4.93 1.1%
Total domestic 2.31 2.61 -11.7% 23.50 23.54 -0.2%
Exports 0.07 0.03 127.8% 0.55 0.45 22.6%
Total volume from Indonesia 2.37 2.64 -10.2% 24.05 23.99 0.3%
Vietnam
Domestic Vietnam 0.16 0.15 5.7% 1.66 1.44 15.2%
Exports 0.06 0.06 3.1% 0.67 0.69 -2.0%
Total volume from Vietnam 0.21 0.20 5.0% 2.33 2.12 9.7%
Total volume 2.59 2.85 -9.1% 26.38 26.11 1.0%
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Indonesia cement sales volume
SMGR sales volume (million tons)
Nov-16 Nov-15 Change (%) 11M16 11M15 Change (%)
Domestic
Semen Indonesia 1.26 1.38 -8.9% 12.76 12.77 (0.0) Semen Indonesia:
Semen Padang 0.56 0.67 -16.1% 5.75 5.84 (1.5) • Bag 75.5%
Semen Tonasa 0.48 0.56 -13.4% 4.99 4.93 1.1
Total domestic 2.31 2.61 -11.7% 23.50 23.54 (0.2)
• Bulk 24.5%
Export 0.07 0.03 127.8% 0.55 0.45 22.6
Total volume 2.37 2.64 -10.2% 24.05 23.99 0.3
Market share 40.2% 41.4% -1.2% 41.6% 41.8% -0.2%
Industry:
• Bag 76.1%
Indonesia domestic sales volume (million tons)
Area Nov-16 Nov-15 Change (%) 11M16 11M15 Change (%)
• Bulk 23.9%
Jakarta 0.44 0.50 (11.7) 4.37 4.89 (10.6)
Banten 0.28 0.31 (7.1) 2.72 3.01 (9.8)
West Java 0.81 0.99 (18.2) 7.97 8.50 (6.2)
Central Java 0.73 0.77 (4.2) 7.09 6.67 6.3
Yogyakarta 0.09 0.09 (8.4) 0.89 0.89 0.2
East Java 0.78 0.83 (5.7) 7.74 7.49 3.4
Total Java 3.14 3.48 (10.0) 30.78 31.45 (2.1)
Sumatera 1.32 1.37 (4.1) 12.34 11.78 4.8
Kalimantan 0.36 0.45 (20.1) 3.85 4.36 (11.7)
Sulawesi 0.52 0.53 (3.7) 4.96 4.32 14.7
Nusa Tenggara 0.29 0.33 (10.1) 3.23 3.17 1.8
Maluku & Papua 0.12 0.14 (16.5) 1.35 1.26 7.1
Total outside Java 2.60 2.82 (7.9) 25.73 24.90 3.3
Total Indonesia 5.74 6.31 (9.0) 56.50 56.34 0.3
Export
Cement 0.07 0.06 16.8 0.48 0.53 (9.2)
Clinker 0.03 0.02 77.5 1.01 0.45 127.7
Total export 0.10 0.08 31.9 1.50 0.97 53.4
Grand total 5.84 6.38 (8.6) 58.00 57.32 1.2
Source: Company data, Indonesia Cement Association
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Domestic market consumption
Bag
±76% • Housing: ± 90%
• Cement based industry: ± 10%
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Market by Geography
National cement distribution Population distribution
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Long-term demand growth 6% pa
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Key factors supporting domestic cement demand
Infrastructure Development
Housing
Population Growth
Infrastructure Spending Planned for 2015 – 2019
(USD Bn) Rising per Capita Income
172 42
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Cement Consumption (kg/capita)
Potential Market
The fourth largest population in the world: 240
millions people (2014)
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Arising infrastructure activities
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Strategic Projects
Rembang Project – Central Java
Investment Construction
Strategic Projects Capacity
(US$mn)
Start Completion
Indarung VI- 3.0
352 Q2-2013 Q4-2016
Sumatera Barat Mt
Rembang – 3.0
403 Q2-2013 Q4-2016
Jawa Tengah Mt
Grinding mill 2.0
61.1 Q2-2015 Q4-2016
Jawa Barat Mt
Waste Heat
Recovery Power 30.6 MW 49.3 Q4-2014 Q4-2016
Generation Pre-heater area
Indarung Project – West Sumatra
Projects completed in 2015:
• Packing Plant Pontianak
• Packing Plant Balikpapan
• Packing Plant Lampung
• Grinding Plant Dumai
• New Coal Mill Tonasa
Kiln 4 unit
Cement Mill 6 unit
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Balance Sheet
Cash balance (Rpbn) Total debt (Rpbn)
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Margin & Returns
Return on Equity (%) Return on Assets (%)
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Cost structure
Rp000/t 9M16 9M15 Change Cash COGS Rp000/t
Raw materials 33 37 -11%
Fuel 108 110 -2%
Electricity 94 104 -9%
Labor 53 53 2%
Maintenance 50 54 -8%
Depreciation 51 49 6%
GA,tax,insurance 21 20 5%
Packaging 29 27 5%
Transportation 67 85 -22%
Others 41 53 -22%
Cost of goods sold 549 592 -7%
Unit cash COGS (US$/t) 497 544 -9%
Selling expense 102 93 10%
G&A 74 75 -2%
Total cost 584 613 -5% Energy prices in US$/unit
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EBITDA margin vs utilisation rate
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EBITDA margin vs oil and coal prices
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Development New Industrial Estates is a catalyst for
cement demand
Semen Indonesia
Packing Plant
New Industrial
Estate Area
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Infrastructure Projects (2015 – 2019)
Sector Amount % of total
If 1% from total project
(Rptn)
Road infrastructure 733 15%
value were spent for
Railway infrastructure 226 5% cement, we estimate
Sea transportation 591 12% cement requirement for
Air transportation 144 3% these projects of around
Land transportation 47 1% 10-12 mt per annum.
Urban transportation 86 2%
Electricity infrastructure 1,000 21% Infrastructure budget cut
Oil & gas infrastructure 507 11% Rp7tn for 2016, but not
Telecommunication and Information infrastructure 280 6%
affecting main trans road in
Water resources 451 9%
Papua and Java.
Drinking and waste water 403 8%
Housing 328 7%
Total 4,796 100%
Annual spending 959 20%
APBN-P 2016 2,083
APBN-P for infrastructure 2016 314 33%
Private portion 645 67%
Source: Bappenas
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Infrastructure Spending in State Budget
Amount in Rp trillion 2017 2016 2015
APBN APBN-P APBN APBN-P
Economic infrastructure 336.9 307.1 302.3 280.0
Ministrial spending 161.0 151.2 165.5 196.4
Ministry of Public Work and Public Housing 102.9 94.7 101.7 111.1
Ministry of Transportation 44.9 39.9 45.5 59.1
Ministry of Agriculture 2.9 4.1 5.3 8.9
Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resoures 3.8 3.7 4.6 8.1
Non-ministrial spending 2.7 5.9 5.3 6.8
Transfer to Region and Village Fund 133.7 88.0 83.4 41.0
Payment Funding 39.5 62.1 48.3 35.7
Social infrastructure 5.5 5.7 6.5 6.5
Infrastructure support 4.2 4.2 4.4 3.9
Ministry of Agrarian & Spatial Planning 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.3
Ministry of Industry 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.3
Total 346.6 317.1 313.5 290.3
Source: Ministry of Finance
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Instrastructure funding is priority
The infrastructure is the
government’ priority
Gets funding priority despite tax
revenue not achieving target
Key risks are more on the project
risks such as land acquisition.
Increasing government’ debt to
around US$137bn by end of 2015
Government’s securities also
increased to around Rp1.37tn by
end of 2015
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Semen Indonesia highlights
BRIEF HISTORY SMGR CAPACITY BUILD-OUT (MM TONS)
31,8 mn tons
1957 : Inauguration of Gresik I, installed capacity of 35,0
250,000 ton cement per annum
30,0
1991 : Initial Public Offering, Market Cap.: IDR0.63tn,
resulting shareholding structure post IPO: 25,0
19 7
19 0
80
19 4
85
19 6
90
19 5
19 7
98
20 6
20 7
20 8
09
10
20 1
20 2
13
20 4
15
5
7
9
9
0
0
0
1
1
1
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
20
stake in SMGR, Market Cap.: IDR21.5tn
2010 : In March 31, Blue Valley Holdings sold all of its
stake ownership in SMGR, Market Cap per April 30,
2010: IDR72.1tn
2011 : Total installed capacity of 20.00mm tons, Market
Cap per June 29, 2012: IDR67.0tn
2012 : Acquisition of Thang Long Cement Vietnam, Total
installed capacity of 2.3mm tons, Market Cap Dec 19th,
2012: IDR91.9tn
2013: Transformed to PT Semen Indonesia (Persero)
Tbk as strategic holding co.
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Semen Indonesia as strategic holding company
PT Industri Kemasan
60,0%
PT Kawasan Industri
65,0%
Gresik
1 Government RI 51.01
24,95% PT Varia Usaha
2 Foreign Institution 36.94
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Thank You
IMPORTANT NOTICE
THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT AND DOES NOT CONSTITUTE OR FORM PART OF, AND IS NOT MADE IN CONNECTION WITH, ANY OFFER FOR SALE OR SUBSCRIPTION OF OR SOLICITATION,
RECOMMENDATION OR INVITATION OF ANY OFFER TO BUY OR SUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SECURITIES NOR SHALL IT OR ANY PART OF IT FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED ON IN CONNECTION
WITH ANY CONTRACT, COMMITMENT OR INVESTMENT DECISION WHATSOEVER.
THE SLIDES USED IN THIS PRESENTATION ARE STRICTLY CONFIDENTIAL AND HAVE BEEN PREPARED AS A SUPPORT FOR ORAL DISCUSSIONS ONLY. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN
THIS PRESENTATION IS BEING PRESENTED TO YOU SOLELY FOR YOUR INFORMATION AND MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED OR REDISTRIBUTED TO ANY OTHER PERSON, IN WHOLE OR IN
PART.
This presentation includes forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations and forecast about future events. Such statements involve known / unknown risks uncertainties and other factors,
which could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or those anticipated. Such factors include, among others:
● economic, social and political conditions in Indonesia, and the impact such conditions have on construction and infrastructure spending in Indonesia;
● the effects of competition;
● the effects of changes in laws, regulations, taxation or accounting standards or practices;
● acquisitions, divestitures and various business opportunities that we may pursue;
● changes or volatility in inflation, interest rates and foreign exchange rates;
● accidents, natural disasters or outbreaks of infectious diseases, such as avian influenza, in our markets;
● labor unrest or other similar situations; and
● the outcome of pending or threatened litigation.
We can give no assurance that our expectations will be attained.
DISCLAIMER
The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. However, none of PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective
employees and/or agents make any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions
contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof.
We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied) of PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever
arising (including, without limitation for any claim, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a result of acting in reliance upon
the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither PT Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omission or mis-
statements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission therefrom which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed.
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