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Developed By:

Dr. Don Smith, P.E.


Department of Industrial
Engineering
Texas A&M University
College Station, Texas

Executive Summary Version

Chapter 1
Foundations Of
Engineering Economy

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-1
LEARNING OBJECTIVES

1. Questions 7. Symbols
2. Decision making 8. Spreadsheet
functions
3. Study approach
9. Minimum
4. Interest rate
attractive rate of
5. Equivalence return
6. Simple and 10.Cash flows
compound
11.Doubling time
interest
12.Spreadsheets
Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-2
Sct 1: Why Engineering Economy is Important
to Engineers

 Engineers “design” and create


 Designing involves economic decisions
 Engineers must be able to incorporate
economic analysis into their creative efforts
 Often engineers must select and execute from
multiple alternatives
 A proper economic analysis for selection and
execution is a fundamental aspect of engineering

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-3
Engineering Economy

 The art and science that involves:


 Formulating,
 Estimating and
 Evaluating economic outcomes
 Always concerned with the selection and possible
execution of alternatives given the economic
parameters associated with the project

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-4
Sct 1.2 Role of Engineering Economy in
Decision Making

 Decision making involves the estimation of future


events/outcomes
 Engineering economy aids in quantifying past
outcomes and forecasting future outcomes
 Engineering Economy provides a framework for
modeling problems involving:
 Time
 Money
 Interest rates

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-5
The Decision Making Process
1. Understand the problem – define objectives
2. Collect relevant information
3. Define the set of feasible alternatives
4. Identify the criteria for decision making
5. Evaluate the alternatives and apply sensitivity
analysis
6. Select the “best” alternative
7. Implement the alternative and monitor results

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-6
Time Value of Money

 All firms make use of investment of funds


 Investments are expected to earn a return
 Investment involves money
 Money possesses a “time value”
 The “time value” of money is the most important
concept in engineering economy

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-7
Sct 1.3 Performing An Engineering Economy
Study

 Engineering Economy Studies:


 Define Alternatives
Do-nothing alternative – maintain the status quo
Define feasible alternatives – that can solve the problem
 Define/estimate the current and future cash flows
 Perform the analysis
Apply the tools and methods of engineering economy
 Selection of the best alternative
 Implement and monitor

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-8
Sct 1.4 Interest Rate and Rate of Return

 Interest – the manifestation of the time value of money


 Rental fee that one pays to use someone else’s money
 Difference between an ending amount of money and a
beginning amount of money

 Interest rate (%) =


interest accrued per time unit
x 100%
original amount

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-9
Rate of Return

 Interest earned over a period of time is expressed as a


percentage of the original amount, specifically;
interest accrued per time unit
Rate of return (%) = x 100%
original amount

 Borrower’s perspective – interest rate paid


 Lender’s perspective – interest rate earned

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-10
Sct 1.5 Equivalence
 Different sums of money at different times may be
equal in economic value $106 one
year from now

0 1
Interest rate = 6% per year

$100 now

$100 now is said to be equivalent to $106 one year from now, if the
$100 is invested at the interest rate of 6% per year.

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-11
Sct 1.6 Simple and Compound Interest

 Simple Interest:
 Interest = (principal)(number of periods)(interest rate)
 Compound Interest:
 Interest earns interest on interest
 Compounds over time
 Interest = (principal + all accrued interest) (interest rate)

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-12
Sct 1.7 Terminology and Symbols
 P = a present sum of money at a time designated
as t = 0 { t represents time}
 F = a future amount of money at some point in
time later than t = 0
 A = a series of equal, end-of-period cash flows
 n = the number of interest periods
 i = the interest rate or rate of return per time
period, in percent

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-13
Sct 1.8 Introduction To Solution By Computer

 Application of Microsoft’s Excel© spreadsheet


program
 Excel financial functions
 Present Value P: =PV(i%,n,A,F)
 Future Value F: =FV(i%,n,A,P)
 Equal, periodic value: =PMT(i%,n,P,F)
 No. of periods: =NPER((i%,A,P,F)
 Compound interest rate: =RATE(n,A,P,F)
 Compound interest rate: =IRR(first_cell:last_cell)
 Present value of a series: =NPV(i%,second_cell:last_cell) + first_cell

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-14
Sct 1.9 Minimum Attractive Rate of Return
 Investors expect to earn a return on their investment
(commitment of funds) over time
 We expect to see economic efficiencies greater than
100%
 A profitable investment should earn (return) funds in
excess of the investment amounts
 Economic projects should earn a reasonable return,
which is termed:
 MARR – Minimum attractive rate of return
 Also termed the “hurdle” rate for an investment

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-15
The MARR

 The MARR is established by the financial


managers of the firm
 The MARR is expressed as a percent value
 Most, if not all, projects should earn at a rate
equal to or greater than the established MARR
 MARR’s are set based upon:
 The cost of all types of capital
 Allowance for risk

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-16
Types of Financing
 Equity Financing – the firm uses funds either from
retained earnings, new stock issues, or owner’s
infusion of money
 Debt Financing – the firm borrows funds from
outside sources
 The cost of debt financing = the interest rate charged
on the debt (loan) amounts
 The MARR is approximated from the weighted
average cost of all sources of capital to the firm
 A firm’s ROR > MARR > cost of capital

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-17
Sct 1.10 Cash Flows: Their Estimation and
Diagramming

 Definition of terms
 Cash Inflows - amount of funds flowing into the firm
 Cash Outflows – amount of funds flowing out of the firm
 Net Cash Flow equals
 cash inflows – cash outflows
 Assumption for analysis – end of period
 Funds flow at the end of a given (interest) period

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-18
Cash Flow Diagrams
 A typical cash flow diagram might look like:
1. Draw a time line

0 1 2 … … … n-1 n
One time period

2. Show the cash flows


Always assume end-of-period
cash flows!

0 1 2 … … … n-1 n
Cash flows are shown as directed arrows (+ for up or – for down) ---
(+) inflow; (-) outflow
Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-19
Sct 1.11 Rule of 72: Estimating Doubling
Time or Interest Rate
 Common question:
 Estimate the number of time periods it takes for a cash
flow to double in size
 Given an interest rate i% per period
 The approximate time n for an investment at time
t = 0 to double in value is given by:
n = 72/i
 e.g., $10,000 at 7% per year doubles to $20,000 in
10.3 years

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-20
Sct 1.12 Spreadsheet Application

 Reference Example 1.18


 Design a spreadsheet model to evaluate this
project
 Illustrates simple interest, compound interest and
inflation
 Focus on the overall design of the model and the
associated formatting
 Check appendix A for hints, formats, formulas to use a
spreadsheet effectively
Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-21
Chapter Summary
 Engineering Economy – application of economic factors
and criteria to evaluate alternatives
 Applies the time value of money
 Application of economic equivalence
 Introduction of the MARR
 Cash flow estimation
 Modeling – cash flow diagrams
 Difficulties in estimation
 Perspectives – viewpoints taken

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-22
End of Slide Set

Slide Sets to accompany Blank & Tarquin, Engineering © 2005 by McGraw-Hill, New York, N.Y All Rights Reserved
Economy, 6th Edition, 2005 1-23

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