Lecture slides to accompany

p y
Basics of Engineering Economy
by
Leland Blank and Anthony Tarquin

Chapter 1
Foundations of Engineering
Economy

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-1 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Chapter
p 1 - Foundations
PURPOSE TOPICS
 Definition and study
approach
 Interest rate, ROR, and
Understand the MARR
fundamental concepts of  Equivalence
engineering economy  Interest – simple and
compound
 Cash flow diagrams
 Rules of 72 and 100
 Spreadsheet
introduction

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-2 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Problem Solving
g Process
(Remember: “Do nothing” is
always one of the alternatives)

Define the Plan: Generate and DECIDE

Problem compare Alternative
S l ti
Solutions

Design: Develop
Solution
Evaluation:
Construction:
O
Operation
ti andd Implement
Maintenance solution

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-3 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Problem Solving
g Process

Engineering
Define the Plan: Generate and Economy
Problem compare Alternative
S l ti
Solutions

Design: Develop
Solution
Evaluation:
Construction:
O
Operation
ti andd Implement
Maintenance solution

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-4 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.1 – Definition of Engineering Economy
Sec 1.2
1 2 – Elements of a Study
 DEFINITION: Techniques that simplify comparison of
alternatives on an economic basis

 Most project decisions consider additional factors – safety,

environmental, political, public acceptance, etc.

 Fundamental terminology:
 Alternative -- stand-alone solution
 Cash flows -- estimated inflows (revenues) and outflows (costs) for
an alternative
 Evaluation criteria -- Basis used to select ‘best’ alternative;
usually money (currency of the country)
 Time value of money -- Change in amount of money over time
(Most important concept in Eng. Econ.)

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-5 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.3 - Interest Rate, ROR, MARR
 Interest is a manifestation of time value of money
 Calculated as difference between an ending amount and a beginning
amount of money
 Interest = end amount – original amount
 Interest rate is interest over specified time period
based on original amount
interest accrued per time unit
 Interest rate (%) = x 100%
original amount

 Interest rate and rate of return (ROR), or Return on Investment

have same numeric value, but different interpretations

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-6 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.3 - Interest Rate and ROR Interpretations
Borrower’s perspective Investor’s perspective

Take loan of $5,000 for one year; Invest (or lend) $5,000 for one
repay $5,350 year; receive $5,350

Interest paid = $350 Interest earned = $350

Interest rate = 350/5,000 Rate of return = 350/5,000

= 7% = 7%
INTEREST RATE RATE OF RETURN
RETURN ON INVESTMENT

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-7 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.3 - ROR and MARR
Cost of capital (COC) – interest
rate paid for funds to finance
p j
projects
ROR
MARR – Minimum ROR needed
for an alternative to be
justified and economically
acceptable. MARR ≥ COC.
If COC = 5% and 6% must be
realized, MARR = 11%

Always, for acceptable projects

ROR ≥ MARR > COC

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin
Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-8 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.3 - ROR and MARR
Cost of capital (COC) – interest
rate paid for funds to finance
projects; should usually
include bank interest rate
plus inflation.

MARR – Minimum ROR needed

for an alternative to be
justified and economically
acceptable. MARR ≥ COC.
Iff COC = 12%
% and 3% % must be
realized, MARR = 15%

Always for acceptable projects

Always,

ROR ≥ MARR > COC

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin
Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1-9 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.4 - Equivalence
q
Different sums of money at different times may be equal
in economic value

Interest rate = 6% per year

-1 0 1

$106 one
year from
$94.34 last year $100 now now

Interpretation: $94.34 last year, $100 now, and $106 one year
from now are equivalent only at an interest rate of 6% per year

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 10 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.5 – Simple
p and Compound
p Interest
Simple interest is always based on the original
amount which is also called the principal
amount,
Interest per period = (principal)(interest rate)
Total interest = (principal)(n periods)(interest rate)

Example: Invest $250,000 in a bond at 5% per year simple

Interest each year = 250,000(0.05) = $12,500
Interest over 3 yyears = 250,000(3)(0.05)
( )( ) = $37,500

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 11 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.5 – Simple
p and Compound
p Interest
Compound interest is based on the principal
plus all accrued interest
Interest per period = (principal + accrued interest)(interest rate)
n periods
Total interest = (principal)(1+interest rate) - principal

Example: Invest $250,000 at 5% per year compounded

Interest, year 1 = 250,000(0.05) = $12,500
Interest, year 2 = 262,500(0.05) = $13,125
Interest, year 3 = 275,625(0.05) = $13,781
$
3
Interest over 3 years = 250,000(1.05) – 250,000 = $39,406

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 12 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sct 1.6 - Terminology
gy and Symbols
y
 t = time index in periods; years, months, etc.
 P = present sum of money at time t = 0; $
 F = sum of moneyy at a future time t; $
 A = series of equal, end-of-period cash flows;
currency per period, $ per year
 n = total number of periods; years, months
 i = compound interest rate or rate of return;
% per year
Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin
Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 13 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sct 1.6 - Terminology
gy and Symbols
y
Example: Borrow $5,000 today and repay
annually for 10 years starting next year at 5% per
year compounded. Identify all symbols.

Given: P = $5,000 Find: A = ? per year

i = 5% per year
n = 10 years
t = year 1,
1 2,
2 …, 10
(F not used here)

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 14 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.7 – Cash Flow Estimates

Cash
C h inflow
i fl – receipt, revenue, income, saving
Cash outflows – cost, expense, disbursement, loss

Net cash flow ((NCF)) = inflow – outflow

End-of-period
End of period convention: all cash flows and
NCF occur at the end of an interest period

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 15 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.7 – Cash Flow Diagrams

Year 1 Year 5
Typical time
scale or 5
0 1 2 Time, t 3 4 5
years
+ Cash flow

P=? Find P in
year 0,
0
given 3
0 1 2 3 4 5
cash flows

- Cash flow

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 16 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.7 – Cash Flow Diagrams
g
Example: Find an amount to deposit 2 years from now
so that $4,000
$4 000 per year can be available for 5 years
starting 3 years from now. Assume i = 15.5% per year

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 17 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Typical
yp Civil Engineering
g g Cash Flow
 OUTFLOWS:
11. Planning (investigation) cost Opex Once off
2. Design cost Capex Once off
3. Construction cost Capex Once off
4
4. Operating cost Ope
Opex Ann al
Annual
5. Emergency maintenance Opex Annual
6. Scheduled maintenance Opex Annual
7. Rehabilitation/refurbishment Opex/Capex 5-10 Years
 INFLOWS
88.
 Resale/Salvage value Opex Once off
9.
 Income Opex Annual

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 18 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.8 – Rule of 72 ( and 100))
 For simple
Approximate n = 72 / i interest, doubling
time is exact,
exact
Estimates # of years (n) for an using rule of 100
amount to double (2X) at a stated
compound interest rate n = 100/i
e.g., at i = 10%, $1,000 doubles to $2,000 or
in ~7.2 yyears
Solution for i estimates compound i = 100/n
rate to double in n years
 $1,000
$1 000 d
doubles
bl iin
Approximate i = 72 / n 10 years at 10%
simple interest

Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin

Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 19 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved
 Sec 1.9 – Introduction to Spreadsheet
Functions
To display Excel Function
Present value, P = PV(i%,n,A,F)
Future value, F = FV(i%,n,A,P)
Annual amount, A = PMT(i%,n,P,F)
# of pperiods, n = NPER(i%,A,P,F)
( )
Compound rate, i = RATE(n,A,P,F)
p series
i for input = IRR(first_cell:last_cell)
( _ _ )
P for input series = NPV(i%,second_cell:
last_cell)+first
) _cell
Slide to accompany Blank and Tarquin
Basics of Engineering Economy, 2008 1 - 20 © 2008 by McGraw-Hill
All Rights Reserved