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Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects

‫التحليل األقتصادي للمشاريع الهندسية‬


Instructor:
Dr. Attia H. Gomaa
Head of Industrial Engineering Dept.
Cairo University, Fayoum branch
attiagomaa@yahoo.com
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Management

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January 2005
Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects
‫التحليل األقتصادي للمشاريع الهندسية‬
Author:
Dr. Attia H. Gomaa
Head of Industrial Eng. Dept. Cairo University, Fayoum branch,
attiagomaa@yahoo.com

Who Should Attend:


Managers, engineers, and other practitioners concerned
with projects planning and control in government,
industrial and services sectors.
Objectives:
 To provide the participants with the modern concepts
and techniques in projects planning and control.
 To train the participants on how to use and apply these
techniques in practice.
 To enhance the participants experience by discussing
some planning and control problems and how to deal
with them.

Course Outline:
1. Project Concepts
2. Project Life Cycle
3. Project Management Concept
4. Project Cost & Budget Estimation
5. Project Risk Management
6. Project Planning Approaches
7. Total Project Control
8. Project Cash Flow Analysis
9. Project Value Analysis
10. Modern Project Management (MPM)
11. Computer applications
12. Practical cases.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 2


INTRODUCTION

This course is mainly concerned with the problems of


engineering projects management.

This course systematically presents several conceptual and


pragmatic methodologies, tools, and techniques for the
project cycle & project management.

This course attempts to serve the practical needs of project


engineers, project directors/coordinators, project managers,
corporate planners, and administrators.

This course is written in a relatively simple, easy-to-


understand style, making it suitable for industrial engineers
and practitioners. More than 20 references and about 15
worked examples further help the reader understand the
topics.

Finally, I’m very grateful to my readers, participants &


professional peers for joining us in this course.

Dr. Attia H. Gomaa


January 2005

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 3


1- Project Concepts

What is the Project?


 Project is a collection of activities that work together:
o to create a unique product or service;
o to achieve a certain target.
 Project is any undertaking with a defined starting point
and defined objectives.
 Goal Oriented – Directed towards a specific result.
 Involves many coordinated activities designed to reach
the same goal.
 Specific Duration: A definite beginning and ending.
 Project is unique; no two projects are exactly alike.
 In practice most projects depend on finite or limited
resources.

Projects
have been
around as
long has
humans
have!

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 4


What are the Main Types of Projects?
o Construction projects
o Production projects
o Power projects
o Maintenance projects
o Service projects, etc.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 5


What is the Project System?
Constraints

Target Products/
Processes Services
Information
Resources

Control

Figure - Traditional management feedback

Figure - Public relations feed forward concept

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 6


2- Project Life Cycle

What is the Project Life Cycle?

o It is the sequence of phases through which the project will


evolve.

o Project life cycle follows a common generic sequence:


 Opportunity,
 Design & Development,
 Production,
 Hand-over, and
 Post-Project Evaluation.

Three Life Cycles to consider:


 Business (or Corporate) Life Cycle
 Product Life Cycle
 Project Life Cycle

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 7


2-1- Product Life Cycle:

Product Life Cycle Cash Flow:

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 8


2-2- The Project Life Cycle: Four Basic Phases

Figure - Four-phase generic project life cycle

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 9


Phase 1: Concept
 Gather data
 Identify need
 Goals
 Practicality
 Economics
 Resources
 Strategies
 Risks
 Alternatives
 Sell concept
 Approvals

Phase 2: Development
 Feasibility
 Objectives/rationale
 Program, schematics
 Sketches/outline drawings
 WBS
 Resources, team
 Schedule
 Budget
 Cash flow
 Financing
 Re-assess risks, alternatives
 Present Project Charter/Brief
 Go/No go

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 10


Phase 3: Execution
 Mobilize team
 Planning & scheduling
 Technical requirements
 Work packages
 Detail design & specs
 Procurement
 Execute the work
 Testing
 Resolve issues
 Progress monitoring
 Forecasts
 Reports
 Deliver facility

Phase 4: Transfer
 Assemble start-up team
 Training
 Finalize/test all systems
 Reviews & Acceptances
 Transfer responsibility
 Settle all accounts
 Project review
 Re-assign remaining team
 Archive lessons learned
 Close all records
 Deliver Final Report

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 11


Figure- A typical building project bar chart schedule.

Figure - Typical manpower loadings for the design and


construction forces.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 12


Figure - The total man-hours invested by management
and its design teams will amount to at least 25% of the
on-site labor man hours.

Figure - The rate of development of information during


the various stages of the project.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 13


Figure - The significance of PM during the design stages.

Figure - The total overall cost of ownership of a typical


office building over a forty year life cycle.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 14


3- Project Management Concept

What is the Project Management?

1- PM is the application of knowledge, tools and scientific


techniques to project activities in order to meet or exceed the
system needs and expectations from the project.

2- PM is a powerful systematic methodology to achieve a


certain target and to improve the resource productivity.
Through:
(1) Define the scope, target & constraints
(2) Information collection, estimation & analysis
(3) Planning & target plan
(4) Risk analysis
(5) Organization
(6) Motivation and Direction
(7) Implementation
(8) Control & corrective Actions
(9) Learned lessons
(10) Close out report

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 15


3- PM is the art and science of bring a project through its
lifecycle as effectively as possible.

4- PM is the business process of estimating, allocating and


managing working capital to yield an acceptable return on
investment.

5- PM is the art of matching a project's goals, tasks, and


resources to accomplish a goal as needed.

6- PM is “do the right things, with the right tools, and in the
right way".

7- PM is "The art of directing and coordinating human and


material resources throughout the life of a project by using
modern management techniques to achieve predetermined
objectives of scope, cost, time, quality and participant
[stakeholder] satisfaction.", (PMI 1985).

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 16


Project Management Targets:

PM Main Steps:
1. Planning: establishing the required activities, their
logical sequence, restraints and interfaces

2. Scheduling: adding durations and resources and


adjusting for optimum results

3. Monitoring: evaluating progress against plan

4. Control: exercising positive corrective action over


unacceptable variances

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 17


artsnoc lacinhceT -
artsnoc laicnaniF -

- tcejorP snalP -
- tnemeganam stropeR -
- sessecorp

tcejorP
ecnamrofrep
srotacidni

Project Management Cycle

Targets Data Planning Decision-


Define Preparation making

Organization

Corrective Control Review Implementation


actions

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 18


Project Planning & Control Steps:

Project Planning & Control


Planning Control
WBS Productivity Analysis

Master Plan Performance Evaluation


Action Plan Follow-up

Targets Constraints Resources

Information

Long-run Plans

Annual run Plans

Short run Plans

Management Action

Control Implementation

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 19


Project Objectives & Targets

How do you measure PM success?


Targets

Customer
Satisfaction
Time Cost & Resources

What are the main Constraints in PM?


All projects operate within the Triple Constraint of:

Performance
ytilauQ & epocS) (

remotsuC
noitcafsitaS
emiT secruoseR & tsoC

What are the main Goals in PM?


 Purpose (to which end?)
 Vision (what do we want to achieve?)
 Target group (for whome?)
 Success criteria (how can it be controlled?)

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 20


What are the main Target Dimensions in PM?
 Time wise: Right time or less
 Cost wise: Right cost or less
 Quality wise: Right quality or more
 Quantity wise: Right quantity or more
 Resource wise: Right resources or less
 Safety wise: Right safety or more

Maximization Targets:
 Cost Wise: Profit, Value added
 Quantity Wise: Production volume
 Material Wise: Mat. utilization
 Manpower Wise: Worker utilization
 Machines Wise: M/c. utilization
 Quality Wise: Yield
 Time Wise: Availability

Minimization Targets:
 Cost Wise: Cost elements
 Quantity Wise: WIP
 Material Wise: Mat. scrap
 Manpower Wise: Unused capacity

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 21


 Machines Wise: Unused capacity
 Quality Wise: Rejected
 Time Wise: Downtime

Project Resources
What are the main resources for any project?

Resource: Any tangible support used in the performance of a


project, such as:

 Materials
 Machines
 Manpower
 Building
 Space
 Method (Know-how)
 Money
 Tools (computers, software, etc.)
 Time
 Information
 Infrastructure

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 22


Project Planning Concept
Before you start to plan your project, consider...
 Who is the ultimate customer?
 What are the customer needs?
 How long will the project last?
 Where are we now?
 Where should we end-up?
 What are the cost constraints?
 What are the technical challenges?

So, Planning must determines what, when, where, how,


and by whom something is done.
 What is to be achieved? "Project description"
 Why? "Target"
 How? "Method"
 By whom? "Resources"
 When? "Schedule"
 Where? "Location"

Priority principle: planning is more important than


everything else.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 23


Effectively principle: plans are effective if they are
consistent with the constraints.

Living plan principle: plans must be updated quickly,


otherwise they “age”.

What are the main Types of Project Plans?


Time plans:
 Long term 2 to 10 y Risk 15 to 25%
 Medium term 6m to 1 y Risk 7 to 10%
 Short term 1w to 3 m Risk 3 to 5%

Risk plans:
 Target plan (normal or most likely)
 Optimistic plan
 Pessimistic plan

Management level plans:


 Master plan Top management (10 -15 activity)
 Action plan Control management (50-100)
 Detailed plan Operational manag. (more than 500)

Strategic Plans:
 Strategic plan
 Tactical plan
 Operational plan
 Urgent plan

Planning Level:
 Overall plan “Complete information”
 Partial plan “Incomplete information”
 Urgent plan “Without information”

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 24


4- Project Cost & Budget Estimation:
Budget:

Budget is the estimate of the total number of resource units or


costs required by an activity (or project).

Cost Budgeting:

Allocating the cost estimates to individual project


components.

Components of a Budget:
 Direct labor costs
 Subcontractors
 Overheads
 Fringe benefits
 Consultant fees
 Travel

Managing Project Budget:


 Look at history of similar projects
 Determine internal resources
 Determine external resources

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 25


Budget Calculation:
 Direct cost (materials, labor, equipment)
 Indirect cost (overhead)
 Total cost = direct cost + indirect cost

Budget Management Tools:


 Cumulative Cost Curve - graph of planned Vs. actual
expenditures and variances
 Proposal
 Estimates
 Budget

Budget Steps:
 Look at history of similar projects
 Determine internal resources
 Determine external resources
 Pricing the project

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 26


Project Cost Estimation:
 Quantity Survey
 Pricing the project
 Detailed priceDetailed estimation
 Unit price Rough-cut estimation

Project Cost Estimation Based on Unit price


Item Estimated Unit Estimated
Description Unit
# Quantity Price $ Amount $
1 Excavation M3 3600 1.2 4320
#1
2 Excavation M3 350 7.7 2695
#2
3 Concrete #1 M3 120 6 720
4 Concrete #2 M3 200 18 3600
5 Concrete #3 M3 120 60 7200
6 Concrete #4 M3 280 80 22400
7 Steel #1 ton 120 290 34800
8 Steel #2 ton 65.5 410 26855
9 Painting l.s. Job - 3120
(subcontractor)
Total Estimated Amount ($) 105710

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 27


Project Cost Estimation Based on Detailed price:
 Total direct cost
 Materials cost
 Labor cost
 Equipment cost
 Sub-contract

 Total indirect cost


 Job overhead (10 to 20 %)
 Office overhead (5 to 10 %)
 Sales tax (3 to 6 %)
 Total cost = direct cost + indirect cost
 Price = Total cost + Profit
 Profit (10 to 20 %)
 Markup = Office overhead + Profit
 Markup (15 to 30 %)

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 28


Project Cost Estimation Based on Detailed price

Mat Lab Eq Sub TDir


# Des. Unit E.Q.
$ $ $ $ $
1 Ex. #1 M3 3600 - 1376 1819 - 3195
2 Ex. #2 M3 350 - 1430 553 - 1983
3 Co. #1 M3 120 185 279 66 - 530
4 Co. #2 M3 200 1628 1008 53 - 2689
5 Co. #3 M3 120 3324 1807 131 - 5262
6 Co. #4 M3 280 8820 7424 272 - 16516
7 St. #1 ton 120 11719 14133 119 - 25971
8 St. #2 ton 65.5 12764 5909 734 - 19407
9 Paint. l.s. Job - - - 2300 2300

Total direct cost = $ 77853


Job overhead (13.75%) = 10705
--------------
88558
Sales tax (3.0 %) = 2657
--------------
91215
Markup (15.0 %) = 13682
--------------
104897
Bond = 370
--------------
Total Project Bid = $ 105267

Margin factor = Total project bid / Total direct cost


= 1.3521

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 29


Unit price = Unit direct cost * Margin factor

TDir Margi E.A. Unit


# Des. Unit E.Q.
$ n $ Price $

1 Ex. #1 M3 3600 3195 1.3521 4320 1.20

2 Ex. #2 M3 350 1983 1.3521 2681 7.66

3 Co. #1 M3 120 530 1.3521 717 5.97

4 Co. #2 M3 200 2689 1.3521 3636 18.18

5 Co. #3 M3 120 5262 1.3521 7115 59.29

6 Co. #4 M3 280 16516 1.3521 22331 79.75

7 St. #1 ton 120 25971 1.3521 35115 292.62

8 St. #2 ton 65.5 19407 1.3521 26240 400.61

9 Paint. l.s. Job 2300 1.3521 3110 -

Total Estimated Amount ($) 105465

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 30


Project data:
 Certain data "Deterministic"
 Uncertain data "Probabilistic"

Risk levels:

Risk % 0-5 5 - 10 10 - 15 15 - 25 > 25


Risk level 1 2 3 4 5
Description Minor Low Mediu High Major
m

Uncertain Material cost

Material cost Probability


$ 100,000 %
9 20
10 50
11 20
12 7
13 3

Estimate the Material budget based on the following:


1- Average method ($ 1,100,000)
2- Probability method ($ 1,023,000)
3- PERT method ($ 1,033,000)

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 31


5- Project Risk Management

1- Project selection
2- Target plan
3- Information collection & analysis
4- Critical activities / resources

5- Risk identification
Potential failure models
Potential failure cause
Potential failure mechanism

6- Risk assessment
Failure effect
Failure severity
Failure probability
Risk priority
Recommended actions
(Policy & job plan)

7- Implementation
8- Risk performance evaluation
9- Learned lessons
10- Corrective actions

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 32


Project Risk Analysis
Case Study: Civil works
Historical projects:
Unit price $/ m
3

# Excavation Concrete F-Concrete Back filling


1 1.7 18 95 0.85
2 1.9 19 100 0.9
3 2.0 20 100 1.0
4 2.3 20 110 1.0
5 2.5 20 120 1.0
6 2.8 21 123 1.1

Project cost risk analysis:


Annual Target Annual Pessimistic
Quantity Unit Quantity Unit
Activity 3 3
m price m price
$/ m3 $/ m3
Excavation 15,000 2.0 17,000 2.5
Concrete 3,000 20 3,000 20
F-Concrete 9,000 100 10,000 120
Back filling 10,000 1.0 10,000 1.0

Project cost control:


Annual Target Annual Actual
Quantity Unit Quantity Unit
Activity
m3 price m3 price
$/ m3 $/ m3
Excavation 15,000 2.0 16,000 1.5
Concrete 3,000 20 3,500 20
F-Concrete 9,000 100 9,500 110
Back filling 10,000 1.0 8,000 1.0

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 33


Project Risk Analysis
Normative references:
 ISO/IEC Guide 73: Risk management – Vocabulary –
Guidelines for use in standards
 IEC 62198: 2001, Project risk management – Application
guidelines

Risks should be managed, similar to tasks

Project risk areas:


When planning a project, it is critically important to know
what the key risks are, and is possible plan for them:
 Data accuracy
 Work contents
 Schedule
 Resources unavailability
 Finance
 Staff turnover;
 Management change;
 Hardware unavailability;
 Requirements change;
 Specification delays;
 Size underestimate;
 Technology change;
 Product competition.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 34


Project Risk Management:

PROCESS DESCRIPTION
1- Risk Determing risks in the project.
identification
2- Risk estimation Evaluating the probability of the
risk occurence and the impact of
risk on the project.
3- Risk response Developing plans for responding to
development risks.
4- Risk control Implementing and updating the risk
plans.

Project Risk management:


 Elements of risk
 Develop worst case scenarios
 Develop “lines of defense” against reviewers
 Develop contigency plans (alternatives)

Project Risk Analysis:


 Similarly to tasks, put up a table of risks
o probability that they happen
 Group risks in decision trees

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 35


Function Description
Identify Search for and locate risks before they become
problems.
Analyze Transform risk data into decision-making
information. Evaluate impact, probability and
timeframe, classify risks and prioritize risks.
Plan Translate risk information into decisions and
mitigating actions (both present
and future) and implement those actions.
Track Monitor risk indicators and mitigation actions.
Control Correct for deviations from the risk mitigation
plans.
Communicate Provide information and feedback internal and
external to the project on the risk activities,
current risks and emerging risks.
Note: Communication happens throughout all the
functions of risk management.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 36


Decision tree:

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 37


6- Project Planning Approaches

 CPM (Critical Path Method)


 PERT (Program Evaluation & Review Technique)
 GERT (Graphical Evaluation & Review Technique)
Parameter Project Planning Approaches
CPM PERT GERT
Duration Certain Uncertain Uncertain
Logic diagram Certain Certain Uncertain

Types of project Scope plans:

 Quality plan: Describes the quality procedures and


standards that will be used in a project.

 Validation plan: Describes the approach, resources and


schedule used for system validation.

 Configuration management plan: Describes the


configuration management procedures and structures to
be used.

 Staff development plan: Describes how the skills and


experience of the project team members will be
developed.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 38


Project Planning Approaches & Tools

What are the main Approaches of Project Planning?

 CPM (Critical Path Method)


 PERT (Program Evaluation & Review Technique)
 GERT (Graphical Evaluation & Review Technique)
 Simulation
 Resource smoothing (time constraints)
 Resource leveling (non-time constraints)
 Duration compression (time crashing)
 Project management software (Primavera, Microsoft Project, .. etc.)

Parameter Project Planning Approaches


CPM PERT GERT
Duration Certain Uncertain Uncertain
Logic diagram Certain Certain Uncertain

Critical Path Method (CPM):

 A network analysis technique used to predict project


duration by analyzing which sequence of activities
(which path) has the least amount of scheduling
flexibility (the least amount of float).

 Early dates are calculated by means of a forward pass


using a specified start date.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 39


 Late dates are calculated by means of a backward pass
starting from a specified completion date (usually the
forward pass’s calculated project early finish date).

Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT):


 An event-oriented network analysis technique used to
estimate project duration when there is a high degree of
uncertainty with the individual activity duration
estimates.
 PERT applies the critical path method to a weighted
average duration estimate.

PERT time calculation:


o Beta distribution
o Optimistic time (to)
o Most likely time (tm)
o Pessimistic time (tp)
o Estimated time (te)
te = (to+ 4 tm + tp ) /6

What are the main Planning Tools?

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 40


! Process Mapping
! Brainstorming
! Affinity Diagrams

Process Mapping:
Graphically identifying all processes to the Sub-process and
tasks levels

Subcontract Work

- Issue Specification
- Evaluate Bids
Review History

Then Ask: Why, How Much, What If, etc

Brainstorming:
 Structured method of generating ideas and solutions
 Pitfall: Must be conducted within established guidelines

Typical Brainstorming Rules:


 No criticism is allowed
 Anything goes; all ideas are valid
 “Piggybacking” of ideas is fine
 No discussion of issues
 Everyone participates

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 41


 One person speaks at a time
 Consider diversity

Affinity Diagrams:
Used to process the ideas generated during brainstorming:
 Write the brainstormed ideas on Post- in Notes
 Post them randomly on a wall
 Invite people to group them in like categories, without
discussion
 Develop headings for the categories

What are the main Tools for Project Schedule?

 Work Breakdown Structure (WBS)


 Logic diagram (Network)
 Gantt Charts (Bar charts)
 Resource Profiles & Curves

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 42


Work Breakdown Structure (WBS)

How do you construct the WBS?


WBS - a task-oriented "family tree" of activities, which
organizes, defines, and graphically displays the work to be
accomplished.

WBS must:
 Establish an information structure for describing the
project's scope;
 Serve as an effective means of communication to
integrate the objectives and activities of all the internal
and external organizations involved in the project;
 Represent the planning of the project, step by step;
 Separate sequential and parallel activities assigned to
different groups who will schedule, measure and control
their own performance; and
 Reflect the procurement strategy during the various
stages of the project's life cycle.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 43


WBS Steps:
 Listing of project tasks to be performed
 Starts at the major project view
 Next the major phase levels are added
 Then details for each phase are added
 Tabular WBS
1.0 Project Level
1.1 Concept or Phase Level
1.2 Summary / Work Level

Work Break Down Structure (WBS) :


 Components or elements
 Work types
 Locations
 Areas
 Period
 Stages

For each Work Package (WP):


 Brief description;
 Activity list
 Activity duration & relations
 Activity resource allocation
 Earliest start date;
 Earliest end date;
 Total person months effort;
 Pre-requisite WPs or tasks;
 Dependent WPs or tasks;
 Who is responsible.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 44


Project Tree:
P0

P01 P02

P01 P01 P02 P02


1 2 1 2
P022 P022
1 2

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 45


AM - Acme Motors Expansion Project:
WBS Code Title
---------------- ------------------------------------
AM.01 Automated System
AM.01.1 System Engineering
AM.01.2 Hardware
AM.01.2.A Temperature Control Equipment
AM.01.2.B Robot Controller
AM.01.2.C System Controller
AM.01.3 Software
AM.01.4 Training
AM.01.4.A Manuals
AM.02 Conveyor System
AM.02.1 System Design and Engineering
AM.02.2 Field Operations
AM.02.2.A Installation
AM.02.2.B Onsite Testing
AM.02.3 Training
AM.02.3.A Conveyors
AM.02.3.B Operation Manuals
AM.03 Office Building Addition
AM.03.1 Design and Engineering
AM.03.2 Foundation
AM.03.3 Structure
AM.03.4 Mechanical/Electrical Systems
AM.03.4.A Elevator
AM.03.4.B HVAC
AM.03.4.C Plumbing and Electrical
AM.03.5 Exterior Finishes
AM.03.5.A Brick
AM.03.5.B Roof
AM.03.5.C Doors and Windows
AM.03.6 Interior Finishes
AM.03.6.A Plumbing and Lighting Fixtures
AM.03.6.B Floor and Carpeting
AM.03.6.C Carpentry
AM.03.6.D Paint

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 46


WBS Construction:

There are many ways of breaking down the activities in a


project, but the most usual is into:
– Work packages;
– Tasks;
– Deliverables;
– Milestones.

Usually. . .
– work packages are numbered WP1, WP2, . . . ;
– tasks are numbered T1.1, T1.2, etc,
– the first number is the number of the workpackage;
– the second is a sequence number.
– deliverables are numbered D1.1, D1.2, etc
– milestones are numbered M1, M2 etc.

Work Packages:
A Work Package describes the work to be performed by a
specific organizational unit, and serves as a vehicle for
monitoring and reporting on progress, cost and schedule. All
work packages fall into one of three different categories:

– Discrete Tasks which have a specific end result or


objective. These normally cover 60 to 75 percent of the
total work in a project.

– Apportioned-effort Tasks which can be directly related


and apportioned to discrete tasks. Examples include
quality control or inspection. These tasks are required in
support of the discrete tasks, and hence, their schedule
and budget can be related to the discrete tasks.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 47


– Level-of-effort Tasks which have performance standards
rather than specific end results. These consist mainly of
the overhead accounts, e.g., management,
administration, liaison, coordination, etc. These tasks are
characterized by relatively level, time-phased budgets
and are not time-limited as in the case of the discrete
tasks.

A work-package:
– Independent of other activities;
– but may depend on, or feed into other activities;
– May include multiple concurrent activities;
– Typically allocated to a single team.

To be effective, work packages should be controlled by


the following rules:

– Rule 1: A work package must represent a unit of work


at a level where work is performed.

– Rule 2: It must be clearly distinguishable from all other


work packages.

– Rule 3: It should have scheduled start and completion


dates.

– Rule 4: It should have a budget.


– Rule 5: Its size and duration should be limited to
relatively short spans of time.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 48


– Rule 6: It must integrate with other work packages and
schedules.

– Rule 7: It must represent a level at which actual costs


can be collected or assigned.

– Rule 8: On small projects the following "test of


reasonableness" is suggested: a work package should at
least be large enough to constitute a scope of work that
could be competitively bid and contracted for by itself.

– Rule 9: On large, multi-million dollar projects design


work packages should not be less than, say, 300 man-
hours and two months in duration.

For construction, a minimum work package value of, say,


0.1 percent is a good rule of thumb.

Tasks:
A task is typically a much smaller piece of work:
– A part of a work-package.
– May be dependent on other concurrent activities;
– Typically allocated to a single person.

Deliverables:

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 49


A deliverable is an output of the project that can
meaningfully be assessed. For examples:
– A report (e.g., requirements spec);
– Code (e.g., alpha tested product).

Deliverables are indicators (but only indicators) of progress.


– A milestone is a point at which progress on the project
may be assessed.
– Typically a major turning point in the project.

EXAMPLES:
– Delivery of requirements spec;
– Delivery of alpha tested code.

Milestones:
– A milestone is a significant event in the project, usually
completion of a major deliverable.

– A point in time when a deliverable or set of deliverables


is available.

– Generally used to denote a significant event such as the


completion of a phase of the project or of a set of critical
activities.
– A milestone is an event; it has no duration or effort. It
must be preceded by one or more tasks.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 50


– Goal of a development step

– Define as precisely as possible: content or form (which


documents, which tests,.. etc.).

– Success criteria

– Responsibilities

– Acceptance responsibility

– Dependencies: what is required, what is dependent

– Estimate time

– Evolve estimation

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 51


Activity:

 An element of work performed during the course of a


project.

 An activity normally has an expected duration, an expected


cost, and expected resource requirements. Activities are
often subdivided into tasks.

Activity ID:
 A value used to identify an activity in P3. Each
activity is represented by a unique ID containing one
to ten alphanumeric characters.

 P3 justifies numeric IDs to the right; alphanumeric


IDs or those with blank spaces appear as entered.

Activity codes:

 Values assigned to activities to organize them into


manageable groups for updating, analyzing, reporting,
and summarizing.

 P3 provides two types of codes: activity codes and


activity ID codes.

 Activity codes are assigned to specific activities as


needed.

 Activity ID codes are predefined portions of the activity


ID itself.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 52


Activity types:

 Task activity (duration & resources)

 Flag activity (event without duration & resources)

 Milestone activity (critical event without duration &


resources)

Activity type in P3:


An activity can be classified as one of the following types:
 Task,
 Hammock,
 Start Milestone,
 Finish Milestone,
 Start Flag,
 Finish Flag,
 Topic,
 Independent,
 Meeting, or
 WBS.

Flag activity:

 An activity that signals the start or completion of an


activity or a set of activities.

 A start flag uses the earliest start date of its predecessors;

 A finish flag uses the latest finish date of its predecessors.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 53


 You must first set up a flag activity as a successor to an
activity or group of activities.
 A flag cannot have successors since it has zero original
and remaining duration, and does not increase the length of
the project.
 P3 automatically updates them based on the dates of their
predecessors.

Hammock:
 An aggregate or summary activity (a group of related
activities is shown as one and reported at a summary
level).

 A hammock may or may not have an internal sequence.


See also subproject and subnet.

Meeting activity:
 P3 schedules a meeting activity for a time when all of
the resources assigned to it can work on it at once, for
the entire duration of the activity.

 This is most commonly used when a group of people


must work on an activity simultaneously.

 P3 checks the resource calendars of all resources


assigned to a meeting activity and schedules the activity
for workdays and work-hours common to all resources
assigned to it.

 If there is no common time when all assigned resources


work, the activity will be scheduled according to the
activity's base calendar.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 54


Activity relations:

– Predecessors, An activity that must occur before


another activity.

– Successors, An activity that must occur after another


activity.

Activity relationship types:

– FS (Finish to Start): A relationship in which the start


of a successor activity depends on the completion of
its predecessor activity.

– SS (Start to Start): A relationship between activities


in which the start of a successor activity depends on
the start of its predecessor.

– FF (Finish to Finish): A relationship in which the


finish of a successor activity depends on the finish of
its predecessor activity.

– SF (Start to Finish): A relationship between


activities in which a successor activity cannot
complete until its predecessor activity starts.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 55


Logic Diagram (Network)

How do you construct the Logic Diagram?

Network Diagram is a graphic tool for depicting the


sequence and relationships between tasks in a project.

Forms:
 Activity On Arrow Diagram (AOA) or Arrow Diagram
 Activity On Node Diagram (AON) or Precedence
Diagram

Activity On Arrow Diagram (AOA):

Arrow Diagramming Method (ADM):

 A network diagramming technique in which activities


are represented by arrows.

 The tail of the arrow represents the start and the head
represents the finish of the activity

 Notes: the length of the arrow does not represent the


expected duration of the activity.

 Activities are connected at points called nodes (usually


drawn as small circles) to illustrate the sequence in
which the activities are expected to be performed.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 56


Activity On Node Diagram (AON):

PDM (precedence diagramming method):


A type of network diagramming that represents activities as
nodes (boxes or circles) and draws lines between them to
determine relationships.
i.e.,
– Nodes corresponding to activities,
– Arcs corresponding to activity relationships;

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 57


Activity box configuration:

Earliest Start Duration Earliest Finish


Activity description
Latest Start Total Float Latest Finish

Activity times calculations:

 Forward pass calculation:


 Early Start (ES)
 Early Finish EF = ES + t

 Backward pass calculation:


 Late Finish (LF)
 Late Start LS = LF – t

 Float calculation:
 Total Float TF = LF - EF
 Free Float FFi = ESj - EFi
 Interfering Float IF = TF - FF

Float:
 The amount of time that an activity may be delayed from
its early start without delaying the project finish date.
 It is the difference between the task's early and late start
dates.
 Free Float (FF): The amount of time an activity can be
delayed without delaying the early start of any
immediately following activities.

Critical activity:

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 58


An activity with zero or negative float.

Near-critical activity:
An activity that has low total float needed to complete the
work.

Critical paths:
– Path from start node to end node
– Summing up the estimated durations of the tasks
– The critical path is the sequence of activities that takes the
longest time to complete.
– Any delay to an activity in the critical path will cause
delays to the overall project.
– Delays to activities not on the critical path need not
necessarily cause overall delays.

Activity bar:
 A bar which graphically represents an activity along a
time scale.

 The length of an activity bar is proportional to the


duration of the activity.

 Critical activity TF = 0

 Non-critical activity TF > 0

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 59


Gantt Charts (Bar charts)

How do you construct the Gantt Charts?


Bar Chart:
 A graphic display of schedule-related information.

 In the typical bar chart, activities are listed down the left
side of the chart, dates are shown across the top, and
activity durations are shown as date-placed horizontal
bars.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 60


Resource Profiles & Curves
Resource Management Tools:

1- Resource/Cost Profile (histogram) :


Graphic shows resource use or costs per time period for
activities.

2- Resource curves:
Graphic displays the percentage of accumulated resource.

Figure - Resource profile/curves.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 61


Figure- Histogram, envelope, and empirical resource loading.

3- S-Curve:
 Graphic displays of cumulative costs, labor hours, or other
quantities, plotted against time.
 The name derives from the S-like shape of the curve
(flatter at the beginning and end, steeper in the middle)
produced on a project that starts slowly, accelerates, and
then tails off.
 It is more generally referred to as a Progress Curve.

Figure - Comparison of actual vs. planned production


of bulk rock excavation.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 62


Project Resource Management

What are the main steps of the project resource


management?

 Resource Identify

 Resource planning

 Resource control

Resource Identify:

Resources needed for the project should be identified.

Resource planning:

 Resource Planning Determining what resources


(people, equipment, materials) are needed in what
quantities to perform project activities.

 Resource plans should state what resources will be


required by the project, and when they will be required
according to the project schedule.

 The plans should indicate how, and from where,


resources will be obtained and allocated.

 If applicable, the plans should also include the manner


of disposition of excess resources.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 63


 The plans should be suitable for resource control.

 The validity of the inputs to resource planning should be


verified.

 The stability, capability, and performance of


organizations supplying resources should be evaluated.

 Constraints on resources should be taken into account.


Examples of constraints include availability, safety,
environmental and cultural considerations, international
agreements, labor agreements, governmental regulations,
funding, and the impact of the project on the
environment.

 Resource plans, including estimates, allocations, and


constraints, together with assumptions made, should be
documented and included in the project management
plan.

Resource control:

 The timing of reviews and the frequency of data


collection and forecasts should be established to ensure
adequate control over the resource supply and to ensure
that the remaining resources are sufficient to meet the
project objectives.

 Deviations from the resource plan should be identified,


analyzed and acted upon.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 64


 Decisions on actions to be taken should only be made
after taking into account the implications for other
project processes and objectives.

 Changes that affect the project objectives should be


agreed with the customer and relevant interested parties
before implementation.

 Changes in the resource plan should be authorized as


appropriate.

 Revisions of the resource forecast should be coordinated


with other project processes when developing the plan
for remaining work.

 Root causes for shortages or excesses in resources


should be identified and used as input for continual
improvement.

Main steps for Resource planning:


1. Basic plan
2. Resource list
3. Resource loading (allocations)
4. Resource limits
5. Critical resources
6. Resource smoothing
7. Resource leveling
8. Time crashing
9. Target plan

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 65


Resource loading (allocations)
It is the process of assigning resources (people, facilities and
equipment) to a project, usually activity by activity.

Resource smoothing:
 Resource smoothing is an optional resource leveling
method that resolves resource conflicts by delaying
activities that have positive float.

 This method minimizes peaks and valleys in the resource


usage profile.

 Resource smoothing uses the available positive float and


incrementally increases the availability limits in ten equal
steps from normal to maximum.

 P3 smooths only those activities that will be delayed


beyond their calculated early start date due to insufficient
resources.

Resource Leveling:
 Resource leveling is the part of the scheduling process in
which the start and end dates of tasks are driven by
resource limitations (e.g., limited availability of resources
or difficult-to-manage resource levels).
 It is the process of determining and minimizing the effect
of low resource availability on the schedule.
 Use resource leveling to resolve resource conflicts by
rescheduling activities to times when sufficient resources
are available.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 66


 Split activities to work around times when resources are
not available; stretch activity durations to reduce their
resource per time-period requirements; or compress
activity durations to take advantage of ample resource
supplies.
 Resource leveling uses the normal and maximum limits
established in the Resource Dictionary.
 The normal limit is used during resource-constrained
leveling to take advantage of positive float within the
network.
 During forward leveling, activities may be shifted to a later
date (the leveled date).
 In backward leveling, activities may be moved earlier in
time.
 If an activity cannot be scheduled without exceeding the
normal limit and without exhausting all positive float, P3
increases the resource availability limit to the maximum
level.
 A resource leveling analysis report details the reasons
activities are rescheduled.

Time crashing:

Taking action to decrease the total project duration after


analyzing a number of alternatives to determine how to get
the maximum duration compression for the least cost.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 67


Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 68
7- Total Project Control

Quality Quantity

Under Safety
Conditions

Cost Time
Resources

Total Control Indicators:


1- Work quantity control
 Over estimation
 Under estimation

2- Time control
 Behind schedule (late)
 Ahead schedule (early)

3- Cost control
 Cost overrun
 Cost underrun

4- Quality control
 Acceptable level
 Non-acceptable level

5- Inventory control
 Over estimation
 Under estimation

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 69


6- Resources control
 Over estimation
 Under estimation

7- Plant condition control (safety, etc.)


 Acceptable level
 Non-acceptable level

Control Steps:
1- What to control?
2- What is the standard (target) performance?
3- What is the actual performance level?
4- Comparison between the actual & target.
5- Detection of variance
6- Identification of causes of variance
7- Corrective actions
8- Learned lessons.

Total Control Levels:


1- Review and data collection.
2- Follow-up.
3- Performance evaluation.
4- Productivity analysis.
5- Risk analysis for any future project.
6- Corrective actions.
7- Learned lessons.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 70


What are the Main Indicators of Project control?

Percent Complete (PC):

 The proportion of an activity that has been completed.

 An estimate, expressed as a percent, of the amount of


work which has been completed on an activity or group
of activities.

 The proportion of the resource requirement for an


activity that has been completed.

 Enter an estimate of schedule percent complete during


updating, or update the remaining duration and have P3
calculate schedule percent complete using the following
formula:

Schedule percent complete =


[(Original Duration - Remaining Duration) ÷
Original Duration] x 100

Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled (BCWS):


The sum of the approved cost estimates (including any
overhead allocation) for activities (or portions of activities)
scheduled to be performed during a given period (usually
project-to-date).

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 71


Actual Cost of Work Performed (ACWP):
Total costs incurred (direct and indirect) in accomplishing
work during a given time period.

Budgeted Cost of Work Performed (BCWP):


The sum of the approved cost estimates (including any
overhead allocation) for activities (or portions of activities)
completed during a given period (usually project-to-date).

Cost variance:
 The difference between the actual cost for work
performed and the budgeted cost for work performed.
 It deals with performance of an activity while it is
underway.
 In earned value, BCWP less ACWP.

Earned Value (EV):


 A method for measuring project performance. It
compares the amount of work that was planned with
what was actually accomplished to determine if cost and
schedule performance is as planned.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 72


 The budgeted cost of work performed for an activity or
group of activities.
 Earned value is also known as the Budgeted Cost for
Work Performed, or BCWP. Earned value = Pct x
Budget

Cost Performance Index (CPI):


 The ratio of budgeted costs to actual costs
(BCWP/ACWP).
 CPI is often used to predict the magnitude of a possible
cost overrun using the following formula:
Original cost estimate/CPI = projected cost at completion.

Schedule Variance (SV):


 Any difference between the scheduled completion of an
activity and the actual completion of that activity.
 SV is The difference between planned effort and earned
value.
Schedule variance = BCWP – BCWS

Schedule Performance Index (SPI):


The ratio of work performed to work scheduled
(BCWP/BCWS).

In summary,
 Budgeted cost of work performed (BCWP)
 Actual cost of work performed (ACWP)
 Budgeted cost of work scheduled (BCWS)
 Budgeted Cost for Work Scheduled (BCWS)
BCWS = Target budget * percent complete

 Budgeted Cost for Work Performed (BCWP)

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 73


 BCWP = Earned value =
= Target budget * percent complete

 Actual Cost for Work Performed (ACWP)

 Cost Variance CV = ACWP - BCWP

 Schedule variance: SV = BCWP – BCWS

 Cost Performance Index (CPI) = BCWP/ACWP

 Schedule Performance Index (SPI) = BCWP/BCWS

 Overrun (or under-run) percentage (O/U):


O/U = (ACWP-BCWP)/BCWP

 Schedule late (SL)

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 74


Cumulative manpower consumed (S-Curve)

Earned value and performance measurement

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 75


Three examples of progress S-curves

Placing of formed structural concrete.


Total concrete = 31 900 m 3 ; total time = 16.5 months

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 76


- Project Productivity Analysis

Productivity may be described as a measure of how well the


resources in a firm are brought together and used to
accomplish a set of results.

In its simplest form, it may be expressed as the ratio of:


 Output to input
 Actual rate of output or production per unit of time
worked.

These represent measures of production efficiency.

Productivity Analysis is a collection of indicators that


work together to measure the following:
 System performance
 System efficiency
 Resource utilization

Waste

Input Output

Productivity = Output / Input

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 77


PROJECT PRODUCTIVITY DIMENSIONS

Project Productivity Dimensions


Time Quantity Quality Cost

Effectiveness Efficiency

= Actual output / 1- Technical Efficiency


Planned output 2- Operating Efficiency
3- Production Efficiency
4- Economical Efficiency

Project Effectiveness:

 It is related to performance.

 It is the degree of accomplishment of objectives.

 How well a set of results is accomplished.

Project Efficiency:

 It is related to resource utilization.

 It is the degree resources utilization.

 How well the resources are utilized to achieve the


results.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 78


Productivity:

 It is a combination of both effectiveness & efficiency.

Productivity index

= Output obtained / Input expended

= Performance achieved / Resources consumed

TOTAL PRODUCTIVITY:

 Total productivity is the ratio of total output to the sum


of all inputs factors.
Total productivity = Total output / Total input

SPECIFIC (PARTIAL) PRODUCTIVITY:

Partial productivity = Total output / One of the inputs


- Labor productivity.
- Raw material productivity.
- Machinery productivity.
- Capital productivity.
- Energy productivity.
- Engineers productivity.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 79


Level Productivity indicators
Top
Management Monetary indicators

Middle
Management
Technical indicators
Operational
Management

Performance Based Management System (PBMS)

1- Determining Performance
objectives and indicators

nemelpmI -4 gnirusaeM -2
rof snoitca Processes
ecnamrofrep
stnemevorpmi

3- Evaluating
performance

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 80


Main 30 Steps of Project Planning & Control

1. Project definition
2. Data collection & analysis
3. Project targets & constraints
4. List of quantities
5. Activity list
6. Activity relations
7. Resource list
8. Resource allocation
9. Performance rates
10. Activity durations
11. Logic diagram
12. Time calculations
13. Critical activities (TF = 0)
14. Bar chart (Basic plan)
15. Resource profiles
16. Resource limits (required/ available capacities)
17. Critical resources (required limits > available)
18. Resources analysis (smoothing & leveling)
19. Project time crushing (project time > target)
20. Target plans (time, resources, cost)
21. Organization

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 81


22. Reports
23. Implementation
24. Review
25. Updates
26. Project Control
27. Corrective actions & problems solving
28. Final control
29. Final reports
30. Project close-out

Example (1): Monthly Plan for Civil Works

Activity ID A B C D E
Predecessors - - - A C
Duration (day) 8 5 6 8 20
Worker/day 5 7 8 5 5
Budget Cost $ 1000 10 15 8 60 120

Required:
1. Draw the project network (logic diagram)?
2. Calculate the critical path?
3. Draw the corresponding Gantt chart?
4. Construct the corresponding smoothed worker loading?
5. If the maximum worker limit is 12 worker/day, construct
the corresponding worker leveling?
6. Construct the monthly work plan.
7. Construct the monthly cost profile.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 82


Example (2): Ten-days Plan for Civil Works

Activity E1 E2 E3 E4 C5 C6 C7 C8
Predecessors - - - - E2 & E4 E3 C6 C5& C7
Duration 4 2 2 2 3 2 3 3
(day)
Worker/day 9 3 6 4 8 7 2 1
Cost ($ 1000) 5 3 5 3 2 5 3 5

Required:
1- Draw the project network (logic diagram)?
2- Calculate the critical path?
3- Draw the corresponding Gantt chart?
4- Construct the corresponding smoothed worker loading?
5- If the maximum worker limit is 10 worker/day,
construct the corresponding worker leveling?
6- Construct the corresponding cost profile and the
cumulative cost profile (S curve) for the best plan?

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 83


Example (3)
Project description : Monthly Plan for Civil Works
Project Name : MPCV Project start: 1 Jan. 2004
Planning unit : Day 6 DAYS /WEEK

1- Activity List

Predecessors Relations
Duration
Activity ID (SS, FF,
(day)
etc.)
1 Mobilization MOB 1
2 Excavation #1 EX1 3 MOB
3 Excavation #2 EX2 4 MOB
4 Excavation #3 EX3 2 MOB
5 Concrete #1 CO1 8 EX1 SS 1
6 Concrete #2 CO2 12 EX2 SS 1
7 Concrete #3 CO3 6 EX3 SS 1
8 Finishing FIN 2 CO1 FS5
CO2 FS5
CO3 FS5

2- Resource List:

Resource Resources description Unit Limits/day Price


code Norm. Max. LE/unit
L01 Excavation worker md 3 6 40
L02 Concrete worker md 6 12 60
E01 Excavator eqd 1 2 400
E02 Concrete mixer eqd 1 2 500
M01 Concrete material m3 - - 500
md = man-day eqd = Equipment day

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 84


3- Resource Allocation:

Resource/day
Activity ID
1 2 3
1 Mobilization MOB L01, 2
2 Excavation EX1 L01, 3 E01, 1
3 Excavation EX2 L01, 3 E01, 1
4 Excavation EX3 L01, 3 E01, 1
5 Concrete CO1 L02, 6 E02, 1 M01, 40
6 Concrete CO2 L02, 6 E02, 1 M01, 50
7 Concrete CO3 L02, 6 E02, 1 M01, 40
8 Finishing FIN L02, 3

4- Base Calendar (Working periods):

Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday


X X X X X X
Holidays: 20 to 21 Jan. 2004

Required:
1. Draw the project network (logic diagram)?
2. Draw the corresponding Gantt chart?
3. Construct the corresponding smoothed worker loading?
4. Construct the corresponding worker leveling?
5. Construct the target action plan.
6. Construct the target master plan.
7. Calculate the project cost elements (labor, equipment
and materials).
8. Construct the cost profile and S curve.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 85


Example (4)
Project description : Annual Budget Planning
Project Name : ABPL Project start: 1 July 2004
Planning unit : Month

1- Project List & Budgets

Budget Duration Predecessors


Description ID
(M$) (month)
1 Project #1 P1 45 5 -
2 Project #2 P2 6 2 -
3 Project #3 P3 12 2 -
4 Project #4 P4 8 2 -
5 Project #5 P5 24 3 P2 & P4
6 Project #6 P6 14 2 P3
7 Project #7 P7 6 3 P6
8 Project #8 P8 3 3 P5 & P7

2- Budget Limitation:

10 M$ /month

Required:
1. Draw the project network (logic diagram)?
2. Draw the corresponding Bar chart?
3. Construct the corresponding smoothed worker loading?
4. Construct the corresponding budget leveling?

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 86


Example (5)
Project description : Gas Pipe Line 120 Km
Project Name : G120 Project start: 01/01/2004
Planning unit : Day 6 DAYS /WEEK
According ASME / ANSI: or API
20 inch pipe Max pressure 40 bar

Activity Activity Description Performanc Cost


ID e rate 1000 L.E. / Km
Km/day
E Excavation 2 5
S Stringing 4 400
W Welding 1 20
N NDT 2 10
C Coating & 2 2
Wrapping
L Lowering 4 1
B Backfilling 4 3
T Hydrotest (3 days) 0.1

Required:
1. Construct the activity relations (SS and FF).
2. Draw the project network (logic diagram)?
3. Draw the corresponding bar chart?
4. Construct the project cost profile and S-Curve.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 87


Example (6)
The production plan and the actual production in a power towers
fabrication project are as follows:
Activity ID (work order) A11 A12 A13 A14 A15
Predecessors - - - A11 A13
Duration (week) 8 5 6 8 20
Number of equipment 5 7 8 5 5
Target number of equipment is 12 equipment/week
Target duration: 24 week

Work Production plan & critical resources


order # Planned Standard Planned Planned
quantity cost ($/ton) manpower material
(ton) (Man-day/ton) (ton/ton)
A11 40 1000 100 1.20
A12 30 1200 110 1.20
A13 50 900 95 1.20
A14 30 850 80 1.20
A15 80 950 95 1.20
Overhead cost rate = $ 1,000 /week & Downtime cost rate = $ 3,000/week

Work Actual production & critical resources


order # Actual Actual cost Actual Actual
quantity ($/ton) manpower material
(ton) (Man-day/ton) (ton/ton)
A11 40 1100 95 1.30
A12 20 1200 110 1.25
A13 40 1000 100 1.20
A14 35 800 80 1.15
A15 90 1000 85 1.16
Actual number of equipment is 14 equipment/week &
Actual duration: 27 week

Based on these data, construct the following:


1. Target plans (schedule, equipment profile, cost profile, and S-
curve).
2. Performance evaluation indicators

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 88


Example (7): Annual Budget Planning for 8 projects
1- Relations:
Project ID P1 P2 P3 P4 P5 P6 P7 P8
Predecessors - - - - P2 & P4 P3 P6 P5 & P7

Project Production plan & critical resources


# Duration Equipment Manpower cost Material cost
(month) cost (M$) (M$) (M$)
P1 5 5.0 10 30
P2 2 1.5 1.5 3
P3 2 1.5 2.5 8
P4 2 1.0 2.0 6
P5 3 2.0 8.0 14
P6 2 2.0 4.0 8
P7 3 0.5 1.5 4
P8 3 0.5 1.5 2
Target budget rate: 11 M$ /month & Target duration: 10 month
Overhead cost rate = $ 4,000 /month & Downtime cost rate = $
6,000/month

Project Actual production & critical resources


# Duration Equipment Manpower cost Material cost
(month) cost (M$) (M$) (M$)
P1 6 4.0 10 32
P2 3 2.0 2.0 4
P3 2 1.5 3.0 7
P4 3 1.0 2.0 5
P5 4 2.0 7.0 15
P6 2 2.0 5.0 7
P7 3 0.6 1.4 4
P8 2 0.7 1.3 2
Maximum budget rate: 14 M$ /month & Actual duration: 12 month

Based on these data, construct the following:


1. Target plans (schedule, equipment profile, cost profile, and S-
curve).
2. Performance evaluation indicators

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 89


Example (8): Gas Pipe Line 120 Km
Target production:

Activity Activity Description Performance Cost


ID rate Km/day 1000 L.E. / Km
E Excavation 2 5
S Stringing 4 400
W Welding 1 20
N NDT 2 10
C Coating & Wrapping 2 2
L Lowering 4 1
B Backfilling 4 3
T Hydrotest (3 days) 0.1
Target duration: 6 month * 24 day/month
Overhead cost rate = $ 1,000 /day
Downtime cost rate = $ 2,000/day

Actual production:

Activity Activity Description Duration Cost


ID (day) 1000 L.E.
E Excavation 50 500
S Stringing 25 40,000
W Welding 140 2,500
N NDT 80 1,500
C Coating & Wrapping 50 250
L Lowering 40 150
B Backfilling 25 350
T Hydrotest (5 days) 10
Actual duration: 8 month * 24 day/month

Based on these data, construct the following:


1. Target plans (schedule, cost profile, and S-curve).
2. Performance evaluation indicators

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 90


8- Project Cash flow Analysis
Revenu
F e
A

P
Cost

MOST COMMON PAYMENT FACTORS


Single Uniform Gradient Geometric
payment series series series
( F or P ) (A) (G) (j)
Compound Compound amount Uniform series factor Present worth
amount factor factor (A/G, i, n) factor
(F/A, i, n)
(F/P, i, n) (P/A, i, j, n)
Present worth factor
Present worth Present worth
(P/A, i, n)
factor factor Future worth
(P/F, i, n) (P/G, i, n) factor
Sinking fund
factor (F/A, i, j, n)
(A/F, i, n)

Capital
recovery factor
(A/P, i, n)
i = Interest rate (%) n = Life time (year)
P = Present value F= Future value
A= Annual uniform value G= Gradient value
j = Geometric series percentage (%)

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 91


9- Project Value Analysis

1. Net present value


2. Annual value
3. Pay back period
4. Internal rate of return
5. Benefits/cost ratios
6. Break Even Analysis

Revenue
Project one

Project two

Year

Revenue
After

Before

Year

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 92


Case study (1)

Item Project 1 Project 2


Construction period One year Three years
Construction $ 460,000 250,000 first year
Investment 150,000 second
100,000 third year
Revenue after $ 80,000/year 30,000 first year
construction 60,000 second
90,000 third year
120,000 for 3 years
150,000 for 4 years
Salvage value $ 40,000 $ 40,000
Life after Ten years Ten years
construction
Interest rate 15 % 15 %

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 93


Project no. 1:

F=40000 Revenue
A=80000

P=460000 Cost

From table,
(P/A, i%, n) = (P/A, 12%, 10) = 5.650223
(P/F, i%, n) = (P/F, 12%, 10) = 0.321973

PC = P = 460000

A (P/A, i%, n) = 80000 * 5.650223 = 452018

F (P/F, i%, n) = 40000 * 0.321973 = 12879

PR = 452018 + 12879 = 464897

PW = PR – PC

PW = 464897 – 460000 = 4897

PI = PR/PC = 464897 / 460000 =

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 94


Project no. 2:

Year Cost Revenue i=


Factor Value
12%
(P/F, i%, n)
1 250000 1 - 250000
2 150000 n= 1 0.892857 - 133929
3 100000 n= 2 0.797194 - 79719
4 30000 n= 3 0.711780 + 21353
5 60000 n= 4 0.635518 + 38131
6 90000 n= 5 0.567427 + 51068
7 120000 n= 6 0.506631 + 60796
8 120000 n= 7 0.452349 + 54282
9 120000 n= 8 0.403883 + 48466
10 150000 n= 9 0.360610 + 54093
11 150000 n= 10 0.321973 + 48296
12 150000 n= 11 0.287476 + 43121
13 150000 + n= 12 0.256675 + 48768
40000
PW + 4725

Project 1 Project 2
Present Cost (PC) 460000 463648
Present Revenue (PR) 464897 468373
Present Worth (PW) 4897 4725
Profit Index (PI) 1.01058 1.01019

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 95


Case study (2)

A manager is trying to decide between two machines.

Item Machine Machine


A B
First cost $ 26,000 $ 36,000

Annual operating & 800 300


maintenance cost

Annual labor cost 11,000 7,000

Extra income taxes -- 2,600

Salvage value 2,000 3,000

Life, years 6 10

Determine which machine should be selected.

MARR 15% per year,


(A/P, 15%, 6) = 0.26424, (A/F, 15%, 6) = 0.11424,
(A/P, 15%, 10) = 0.19925, (A/F, 15%, 10) = 0.04925.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 96


Case study (3)

A manager is trying to decide between three machines.

Item Machine Machine Machine


A B C
Initial cost $ 20,000 $ 40,000 $ 50,000

Uniform annual benefit $ 4,100 $ 6,390 $ 7,000

Life, years 20 20 20

Determine which machine should be selected.

MARR 16%, per year,


(P/A, 12 %, 20) = 7.4694, (P/A, 15 %, 20) = 6.2593,
(P/A, 20 %, 20) = 4.8696

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 97


Case study (4)

There are two ways (A and B) to construct a power line.

Item Way Way


A B
Length Under lake Around lake

Frist cost 5 miles 15 miles

Maintenance $ 25,000 /mile $ 5,000 /mile


cost

Expected Life $ 400/mile/year $ 200/mile/year

Salvage value 15 year 15 year

Annual power $ 5000/mile $ 3000/mile


loss

Annual Tax $ 500/mile $ 500/mile

Interest rate 7% 7%

Determine which way should be selected.

(A/P, 7%, 15) = 0.10979, (A/F, 7%, 15) = 0.03979

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 98


Case study (5)

A manager is trying to decide between three projects.

Item Project Project project


A B C
Total investment
cost 300 300 300
($1000)

Life, years 5 5 5

Annual benefit
($1000)
Year 1 50 170 100
2 60 120 100
3 120 90 100
4 160 80 100
5 200 70 100

Determine which project should be selected.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 99


Case study (6)

A manager is trying to decide between three projects.

Item Project project project


A B C
Total investment cost
($1000) 300 300 300

Life, years 5 5 5

Annual manufacturing
cost ($1000)
Year 1 100 160 130
2 120 140 130
3 140 120 130
4 160 100 130
5 180 80 130
Uniform annual
Revenue ($1000) 250 250 250

Determine which project should be selected.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 100


8- Modern Project Management (MPM)

Traditional PM Modern PM
Focused on: Focused on:
Cost, Time, and Total Project Management
Quality (Integration, Scope, Resource, Cost,
Time, Quality, Risk, etc.)

 Modern Project Management (MPM)

 Project Management Information System (PMIS)

 Project Decision Support Systems (PDSS)

 Project Expert Systems (PES)

 Project Executive Information Systems (PEIS)

 Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK)

 Total Project Management (TPM)

 Project Portfolio Management (PPM)

 ISO1006: Quality Management in Projects

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 101


8-1- Project Management Information System

 PMIS is the computerized linkage between project


planning and control for the different project management
levels.
 PMIS is a Project Knowledge Based
 Knowledge is knowing what to do with information,
(Gruber).
 PMIS aims to "get information to the right people, at the
right time, and in the right form".

Customers Suppliers Others

PMIS Top management

Control management

Operational management
Automation

Sites / factories / workshops

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 102


PMIS Goals:
 Improve system integration
 Improve system productivity
 Improve system communications
 Minimize time and costs
 Minimize conflicts between activities
 Minimize human effort & errors

PMIS main Steps:

Project engineering phase

Step 1: Project overview

Step 2: Project study phase

Step 3: Project conceptual design phase

Step 4: Project detailed design phase

Step 5: Project programming and hardware

Step 6: Project evaluation

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 103


What are the main Objectives in PMIS?

Objective How?
First and foremost, Project
Meet the customer expectations: Scope
What is to be delivered? Management
On schedule: Project
How long is the project estimated to take and in Time
what sequence will we do the necessary work? Management
Meet the technical /contractual requirements: Project
To what standards is project going to be Quality
delivered? Management
Now, and only now, Project
Within budget: Cost
What will be the estimated funding required? Management
Without future problems: Project
How certain we can do the project? Risk
Management
Quality of the process: Project Human
What skills are needed to do the work? Resources
Management
Good procurement: Project
What are the outsourced resources? Procurement
Management
Effective work achievement: Project
How all works is effective and efficient? Information/
Communications
Management
Meet the top management expectations: Project
How the project be overall planning & Integration
coordination? Management

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 104


8-2- Project Management Body of Knowledge

Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK):

 An inclusive term that describes the sum of knowledge


within the profession of project management.

 As with other professions such as law, medicine, and


accounting, the body of knowledge rests with the
practitioners and academics who apply and advance it.

 PMBOK includes proven, traditional practices which are


widely applied as well as innovative and advanced ones
which have seen more limited use.

 PMBOK is All those topics, subject areas and


intellectual processes which are involved in the
application of sound management principles to the
collective execution of any types of effort which qualify
as projects.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 105


PMBOK Standards, 1996:

Project
Success

2- Project 3- Project
Scope Time
Management Management

4- Project 5- Project
Cost Quality
Management Management

6- Project 8- Project
Human Res. Communications
Management Management

8- Project 9- Project
Risk Procurement
Management Management
1-
Project
Integration
Management

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 106


- Project Integration Management

Project Integration Management. A subset of project


management that includes the processes required to ensure
that the various elements of the project are properly
coordinated.

i.e., Overall planning & coordination


Integration of actions & decisions

1- PROJECT INTEGRATION MANAGEMENT

1.1 PROJECT PLAN DEVELOPMENT

1.2 PROJECT PLAN EXECUTION

1.3 OVERALL CHANGE CONTROL

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 107


PROJECT PLAN DEVELOPMENT
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Other planning outputs Project planning Project plan


Historical information methodology Supporting detail
Organizational policies Stakeholder skills and
knowledge
Constraints
Project management
Assumptions information system
(PMIS)

PROJECT PLAN EXECUTION

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Project plan General management Work results


Supporting detail skills Change requests
Organizational policies Product skills and
knowledge
Corrective action
Work authorization
System
Status review meetings
Project management
information system
Organizational
procedures

OVERALL CHANGE CONTROL


Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Project plan Change control system Project plan updates


Performance reports Configuration Corrective action
Change requests management Lessons learned
Performance
measurement
Additional planning
Project management
information system

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 108


- Project Scope Management

Project Scope Management. A subset of project


management that includes the processes required to ensure
that the project includes all of the work required, and only the
work required, to complete the project successfully.

i.e.,
 Action plan for each work package (WP)
 Knowledge flow analysis (Method, work content &
resource required)

2- PROJECT SCOPE MANAGEMENT

2.1. INITIATION

2.2 SCOPE PLANNING

2.3 SCOPE DEFINITION

2.4 SCOPE VERIFICATION

2.5 SCOPE CHANGE CONTROL

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 109


INITIATION

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Product description Project selection methods Project charter


Strategic plan Expert judgment Project manager
Project selection criteria identified/assigned

Historical information Constraints


Assumptions

SCOPE PLANNING

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Product description Product analysis Scope statement


Project charter Benefit/cost analysis Supporting detail
Constraints Alternatives Scope management
Assumptions identification plan
Expert judgment

SCOPE DEFINITION

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Scope statement Work breakdown Work breakdown


Constraints structure templates structure

Assumptions Decomposition

Other planning outputs


Historical information

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 110


SCOPE VERIFICATION

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Work results Inspection Formal acceptance


Product documentation

SCOPE CHANGE CONTROL


Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Work breakdown Scope change control Scope changes


structure system Corrective action
Performance reports Performance Lessons learned
Change requests measurement

Scope management Additional planning


plan

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 111


3- Project Time Management

Project Time Management. A subset of project


management that includes the processes required to ensure
timely completion of the project. It consists of activity
definition, activity sequencing, activity duration estimating,
schedule development, and schedule control.

3- PROJECT TIME MANAGEMENT

3.1 ACTIVITY DEFINITION

3.2 ACTIVITY SEQUENCING

3.3 ACTIVITY DURATION ESTIMATING

3.4 SCHEDULE DEVELOPMENT

3.5 SCHEDULE CONTROL

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 112


ACTIVITY DEFINITION
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Work breakdown Decomposition Activity list


structure Templates Supporting detail
Scope statement Work breakdown
Historical information structure updates
Constraints
Assumptions

ACTIVITY SEQUENCING

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Activity list Precedence Project network


Product description Diagramming Method diagram
(PDM) Activity list updates
Mandatory
dependencies Arrow Diagramming
Method (ADM)
Discretionary
dependencies Conditional
diagramming methods
External dependencies
Network templates
Constraints
Assumptions

ACTIVITY DURATION ESTIMATING


Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Activity list Expert judgment Activity duration


Constraints Analogous estimating estimates

Assumptions Simulation Basis of estimates

Resource requirements Activity list updates

Resource capabilities
Historical information

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 113


SCHEDULE DEVELOPMENT

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Project network Mathematical analysis Project schedule


diagram Duration compression Supporting detail
Activity duration Simulation Schedule management
estimates plan
Resource leveling
Resource requirements heuristics Resource requirement
Resource pool Project management updates
description software
Calendars
Constraints
Assumptions
Leads and Lags

SCHEDULE CONTROL
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Project schedule Schedule change Schedule updates


Performance reports control system Corrective action
Change requests Performance Lessons learned
measurement
Schedule management
plan Additional planning
Project management
software

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 114


4- Project Cost Management

Project Cost Management. A subset of project management


that includes the processes required to ensure that the project
is completed within the approved budget.

4- PROJECT COST MANAGEMENT

4.1 RESOURCE PLANNING

4.2 COST ESTIMATING

4.3 COST BUDGETING

4.4 COST CONTROL

RESOURCE PLANNING

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Work breakdown Expert judgment Resource requirements


structure Alternatives
Historical information identification
Scope statement
Resource pool
description
Organizational policies

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 115


COST ESTIMATING
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Work breakdown Analogous estimating Cost estimates


structure Parametric modeling Supporting detail
Resource requirements Bottom-up estimating Cost management plan
Resource rates Computerized tools
Activity duration
estimates
Historical information
Chart of accounts

COST BUDGETING

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Cost estimates Cost estimating tools Cost baseline


Work breakdown and techniques
structure
Project schedule

COST CONTROL
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Cost baseline Cost change control Revised cost estimates


Performance reports system Budget updates
Change requests Performance Corrective action
measurement
Cost management plan Estimate at completion
Additional planning
Lessons learned
Computerized tools

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 116


5- Project Human Resource Management

Project Human Resource Management. A subset of project


management that includes the processes required to make the
most effective use of the people involved with the project.

5. HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT

5.1 ORGANIZATIONAL PLANNING

5.2 STAFF ACQUISITION

5.3 TEAM DEVELOPMENT

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 117


ORGANIZATIONAL PLANNING

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Project interfaces Templates Role and responsibility


Staffing requirements Human resource assignments

Constraints practices Staffing management


Organizational theory plan

Stakeholder analysis Organization chart


Supporting detail

STAFF ACQUISITION

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Staffing management Negotiations Project staff assigned


plan Pre-assignment Project team directory
Staffing pool Procurement
description
Recruitment practices

TEAM DEVELOPMENT
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Project staff Team-building Performance


Project plan activities improvements

Staffing management General management Input to performance


plan skills appraisals

Performance reports Reward and


recognition systems
External feedback
Collocation
Training

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 118


6- Project Quality Management
Project Quality Management. A subset of project
management that includes the processes required to ensure
that the project will satisfy the needs for which it was
undertaken.

6- PROJECT QUALITY MANAGEMENT

6.1 QUALITY PLANNING

6.2 QUALITY ASSURANCE

6.3 QUALITY CONTROL

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 119


QUALITY PLANNING
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Quality policy Benefit/cost analysis Quality management


Scope statement Benchmarking plan

Product description Flowcharting Operational definitions

Standards and Design of experiments Checklists


regulations Inputs to other
Other process outputs processes

QUALITY ASSURANCE

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Quality management Quality planning tools Quality


plan and techniques improvement
Results of quality Quality audits
control measurements
Operational definitions

QUALITY CONTROL
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Work results Inspection Quality improvement


Quality management Control charts Acceptance decisions
plan Pareto diagrams Rework
Operational definitions Statistical sampling Completed checklists
Checklists Flowcharting Process adjustments
Trend analysis

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 120


- Project Communication Management

Project Communications Management. A subset of project


management that includes the processes required to ensure
proper collection and dissemination of project information.

7- PROJECT COMMUNICATIONS MANAGEMENT

7.1 COMMUNICATIONS PLANNING

7.2 INFORMATION DISTRIBUTION

7.3 PERFORMANCE REPORTING

7.4 ADMINISTRATIVE CLOSURE

COMMUNICATIONS PLANNING

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Communications Stakeholder analysis Communications


requirements management plan
Communications
technology
Constraints
Assumptions

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 121


INFORMATION DISTRIBUTION
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Work results Communications skills Project records


Communications Information retrieval
management plan systems
Project plan Information
distribution systems

PERFORMANCE REPORTING

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Project plan Performance reviews Performance reports


Work results Variance analysis Change requests
Other project records Trend analysis
Earned value analysis
Information
distribution tools and
techniques

ADMINISTRATIVE CLOSURE
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Performance Performance reporting Project archives


measurement tools and techniques Formal acceptance
documentation
Lessons learned
Documentation of the
product of the project
Other project records

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 122


8- Project Risk Management

Project Risk Management. A subset of project management


that includes the processes concerned with identifying,
analyzing, and responding to project risk. It consists of risk
identification, risk quantification, risk response development,
and risk response control.

8- PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT

8.1 RISK IDENTIFICATION

8.2 RISK QUANTIFICATION

8.3 RISK RESPONSE DEVELOPMENT

8.4 RISK RESPONSE CONTROL

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 123


RISK IDENTIFICATION
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Product description Checklists Sources of risk


Other planning outputs Flowcharting Potential risk events
Historical information Interviewing Risk symptoms
Inputs to other
processes

RISK QUANTIFICATION
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Stakeholder risk Expected monetary Opportunities to


tolerances value pursue, threats to
Sources of risk Statistical sums respond to

Potential risk events Simulation Opportunities to


ignore, threats to
Cost estimates Decision trees accept
Activity duration Expert judgment
estimates

RISK RESPONSE DEVELOPMENT

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Opportunities to Procurement Risk management plan


pursue, threats to Contingency planning Inputs to other
respond to processes
Alternative strategies
Opportunities to Contingency plans
ignore, threats to Insurance
accept Reserves
Contractual
agreements

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 124


RISK RESPONSE CONTROL

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Risk management plan Workarounds Corrective action


Actual risk events Additional risk Updates to risk
Additional risk response development management plan
identification

- Project Procurement Management

Project Procurement Management. A subset of project


management that includes the processes required to acquire
goods and services from outside the performing organization.

9- PROJECT PROCUREMENT MANAGEMENT


9.1 PROCUREMENT PLANNING

9.2 SOLICITATION PLANNING

9.3 SOLICITATION

9.4 SOURCE SELECTION

9.5 CONTRACT ADMINISTRATION

9.6 CONTRACT CLOSE-OUT

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 125


PROCUREMENT PLANNING
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Scope statement Make-or-buy analysis Procurement


Product description Expert judgment management plan

Procurement resources Contract type selection Statement(s) of work

Market conditions
Other planning outputs
Constraints
Assumptions

SOLICITATION PLANNING
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Procurement Standard forms Procurement


management plan Expert judgment documents
Statement(s) of work Evaluation criteria
Other planning outputs Statement of work
updates

SOLICITATION
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Procurement Bidders conferences Proposals


documents Advertising
Qualified seller lists

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 126


SOURCE SELECTION

Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Proposals Contract negotiation Contract


Evaluation criteria Weighting system
Organizational policies Screening system
Independent estimates

CONTRACT ADMINISTRATION
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Contract Contract change Correspondence


Work results control system Contract changes
Change requests Performance reporting Payment requests
Seller invoices Payment system

CONTRACT CLOSE-OUT
Inputs Tools & Techniques Outputs

Contract Procurement audits Contract file


documentation Formal acceptance and
closure

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 127


8-3- Total Project Management
1-
Project
Integration
Management
2- Project 3- Project
Scope Time
Management Management
4- Project 5- Project
Cost Quality
Management Management

6- Project 8- Project
Human Res. Communications
Management Management

8- Project 9- Project
Risk Procurement
Management Management

Operational Management

Project Project Project Project Others


Design Quality Detailed Inventory
plans

Sites / factories / workshops


Production (Construction, Fabrications, .. etc.)

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 128


8-4- Project Portfolio Management (PPM)

What is Project Portfolio?

Project portfolio is a collection of projects carried out in the


same company or organizational unit with the same strategic
objectives and the same resource pool.

What is Project Portfolio Management?

Project portfolio management is the art and science of


applying a set of knowledge, skills, tools, and techniques to a
collection of projects in order to meet or exceed the needs
and expectations of an organization’s [investment] strategy.

Project portfolio management is a process that includes


decision-making, prioritization, review, realignment, and
reprioritization. The emphasis is in management of strategic
content of projects at the aggregate level (= at the level of
collection of projects).

The Need for New Project Portfolio Management (PPM)


Content:

• According to our/my definition, project portfolio


management constitutes the management of a multi-project
organization and its projects in a manner that enables the
linking of projects to business objectives.

• This implies development at two levels:

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 129


– First, the process of managing single projects
– Second, management processes at the level of
business units or other organizational units above
projects:

• e.g. how responsibilities, decision making and information


sharing are arranged and supported

PPM Objectives (3) and their Managerial Practices:


 Maximizing the value of the portfolio
 Link to strategy
 Balance in the portfolio

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 130


8-5-ISO10006:

Quality Management in Projects


ISO 1006 Contents:
1 Scope
2 Normative references
3 Definitions

4 Project characteristics
4.1 General.
4.2 Project management
4.3 Organization
4.4 Project phases and project processes

5 Quality in project management processes


5.1 General
5.2 Strategic process
5.3 Interdependency management processes
5.4 Scope-related processes
5.5 Time-related processes
5.6 Cost-related processes
5.7 Resource-related processes
5.8 Personnel-related processes
5.9 Communication-related processes
5.10 Risk-related processes
5.11 Purchasing-related processes
6 Learning from the project

Annexes
A Quality practices in project management
ISO 9000 family of standards
B Use of progress evaluations for quality
C Bibliography
Tables:
Table 1—Description of project management processes.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 131


1 Scope

These guidelines use project management processes to serve


as a framework to discuss their application.

This International Standard is applicable to projects of


varying complexity, small or large, of short or long duration,
in different environments, and irrespective of the kind of
project product (including hardware, software, processed
material, service or combinations thereof). This may
necessitate some tailoring of the guidance to suit a particular
project.

This International Standard is not a guide to project


management itself.

2 Normative references:
 ISO 9000:2000, Quality management systems — Fundamentals
and vocabulary
 ISO 9004: 2000, Quality Management Systems – Guidelines for
performance improvements
 ISO/IEC Guide 73: Risk management – Vocabulary –
Guidelines for use in standards
 IEC 62198: 2001, Project risk management – Application
guidelines.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 132


ISO 10006 Standards, 1997:

Project
Success

1- STRATEGIC 2- INTER-
PROCESS DEPENDENCY
MANAGEMENT
PROCESSES

3- SCOPE 4- TIME
RELATED RELATED
PROCESSES PROCESSES

5- COST 6- RESSOURCE
RELATED RELATED
PROCESSES PROCESSES

7- PERSONNEL 8- COMMUNICATION
RELATED RELATED
PROCESSES OPERATIONAL
PROCESSES

9- RISK 10- PURCHASING


RELATED RELATED PROCESSES
PROCESSES

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 133


STRATEGIC PROCESS:

PROCESS DESCRIPTION
Strategic process Setting the direction for the project and
managing realization of the other processes.

INTERDEPENDENCY MANAGEMENT PROCESSES

PROCESS DESCRIPTION
2-1- Project initiation Evaluating stakeholders requirements,
and project plan preparing a project plan and initiating
development other processes.
2-2- Interaction Managing the interaction that occur
management during the project.
2-3- Change and Anticipating change and managing it
configuration across all process.
management
2-4- Closure Closing processes and obtaining
feedback.

SCOPE RELATED PROCESSES

PROCESS DESCRIPTION
3-1- Concept Defining the broad outlines of what the
development project product will do.
3-2- Scope Documenting the characteristics of the
development and project product in measureable terms
control and controlling them.
3-3- Activity Identifying and documenting activities
definition and steps required to achieve the project
objectives.
3-4- Activity control Controlling the actual work carried out
in the project.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 134


TIME RELATED PROCESSES

PROCESS DESCRIPTION
4-1- Activity Identifying interrelationships and the logical
dependency interactions and dependencies among project
planning activities.
4-2- Duration Estimating the duration of each activity in
estimation connection with the specific conditions and
with the resources required.
4-3- Schedule Interrelating the project time objectives,
development activity dependencies and their durations as
the framework for developing general and
detailed schedules.
4-4- Schedule Controlling the realization of the project
control activities, for confirming the proposed
schedule or for taking adequate actions for
recovering from delays.

COST RELATED PROCESSES

PROCESS DESCRIPTION
5-1- Cost Developing cost estimates for the project.
estimation
5-2- Budgeting Using results from cost estimation to produce
the project budget.
5-3- Cost Controlling costs and deviations from the
control project budget.

RESSOURCE RELATED PROCESSES

PROCESS DESCRIPTION
6-1- Ressource Identifying, estimating, scheduling and
planning allocating all relevant resources.
6-2- Ressource Comparing actual usage against ressource
Control plans and taking action, if needed.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 135


PERSONNEL RELATED PROCESSES

PROCESS DESCRIPTION
7-1- Defining a project organizational structure
Organizational tailored to the suit the project needs including
structure identifying roles in the project and defining
definition authority and responsibility.
7-2- Staff Selecting and assigning personnel with
allocation appropriate competence to suit the project
process needs.
7-3- Team Developing individual and team skills and
development ability to enchance project performance.

COMMUNICATION RELATED OPERATIONAL


PROCESSES
PROCESS DESCRIPTION
8-1- Communication Planning the information and
planning communication systems of the project.
8-2- Information Making necessary information
management available to project organization
members and others stakeholders.
8-3- Communication Controlling communication in
control accordance with the planned
communication system.

RISK RELATED PROCESSES

PROCESS DESCRIPTION
9-1- Risk Determing risks in the project.
identification
9-2- Risk estimation Evaluating the probability of the risk
occurence and the impact of risk on the
project.
9-3- Risk response Developing plans for responding to risks.
development
9-4- Risk control Implementing and updating the risk
plans.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 136


Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 137
PURCHASING RELATED PROCESSES:

PROCESS DESCRIPTION
10-1- Purchasing Identifying and controlling what is to be
planning and control purchased and when.
10-2- Requirements Compiling commercial conditions and
documentation technical requirements.
10-3- Subcontractor Evaluating and determing which
evaluation subcontractors should be invited to
supply products.
10-4- Subcontracting Issuing invitations to tender, tender
evaluation, negotiation. Preparation and
placing of the subcontract.
10-5- Contract Ensuring that subcontractors
control performance meets contractual
requirements.

Table 1 – Description of project management processes

Clause Process Description

QUALITY MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS IN Projects

4.1 Project characteristics


4.1.1 General
4.1.2 Project management The processes of managing a project.
processes
4.1.3 Organization The organizations involved in a
project.
4.1.4 Project phases and project The phases and processes of a
processes project.
4.2 Quality management in Quality management processes in the
projects document.

MANAGEMENT RESPONSIBILITY

5.1 Management commitment


5.2 Strategic process Setting the direction for the project
and managing realization of the other
project processes.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 138


5.2.1 General
5.2.2 Customer focus Satisfaction of customer and other
interested parties requirements.
5.2.3 Leadership Leadership in both project and
originating organizations.
5.2.4 Involvement of personnel Personnel in the organization.
5.2.5 Process approach The process approach and continual
improvement.
5.2.6 System approach to Coordination and compatibility of
management planned processes.
5.2.7 Continual improvement The responsibility of management.
5.2.8 Factual approach to decision The analysis and evaluation of data
making for decision making.
5.2.9 Mutually beneficial supplier Relationships between suppliers and
relationships the project.

Quality practices in projects — References to the ISO 9000 Standards

This annex presents quality practices that are applicable to many project
processes. It indicates where further information can be found in the ISO 9000
Standards. Some of these practices have also been covered in Clauses 5, 6 and
7.

Table A.1 – Descriptions of quality practices that are applicable to project


processes

Practice Description
Approvals Requirements for approvals should be established and the
approvals documented (refer to ISO/IEC Guide 2).
Audits Audits can be carried out for both internal and external
purposes. They may be applied to all project processes.
Further guidance is given in ISO 9004:2000, 8.2, ISO
9000:2000, 2.8, and ISO 10011. The definition of “audit” is
given in ISO 9000:2000, 3.9.
Corrective action Corrective action should be carried out whenever
appropriate with regard to the change management process.
Further guidance is given in ISO 9004:2000, 8.5.2. The
definition of “corrective action” is given ISO 9000:2000,
3.6.5.
Documentation Documentation includes plans, specifications, quality
management system documents and records. Planned and
actual inputs and outputs of processes should be

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 139


documented. Further guidance on documentation is given in
ISO 9000:2000, 2.7, ISO 9004:2000, 4.2.4 (control of
records) and 4.2.3 (control of documents). The definition of
“specification” is given in ISO 9000:2000, 3.7.3.
Improvement Improvement should be carried out throughout the project.
Further guidance is given in ISO 9004:2000, 8.5.
Inspection The definition of “inspection” is given in ISO 9000:2000,
3.8.2.
Preventive action Preventive action should be carried out throughout the
project. The definition of “preventive action” is given in ISO
9000:2000, 3.6.4.
Process control Process control should be carried out throughout the project.
Further guidance on process control is given in ISO
9004:2000, 7.5.
Quality assurance The definition of “quality assurance” is given in ISO
9000:2000, 3.2.11.
Quality The definition of “quality management system” is given in
management ISO 9000:2000, 3.2.3.
system
Quality planning The definition of “quality planning” is given in ISO
9000:2000, 3.2.9.
Reviews Subjects of reviews should include inputs and outputs of
project processes including documents. Review is defined in
ISO 9000:2000, 3.8.7, and includes reference to
“management review”, “contract review” and “design and
development review”.
Specification and Guidance is given in ISO 9004:2000, 7.3.
design
Traceability The definition of “traceability” is given in ISO 9000:2000,
3.5.4.
Training Guidance is given in ISO 9004:2000, 6.2.2.2.
Validation of The methods, tools, techniques and software used should be
tools and appropriate to the project and valid. The definition of
techniques “validation” is given in ISO 9000:2000, 3.8.5.
Verification Outputs of project processes should be verified. The
definition of “verification” is given in ISO 9000:2000, 3.8.4.

RESOURCE MANAGEMENT

6.1 Resource related processes

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 140


6.1.1 General
6.1.2 Resource planning Identifying, estimating, scheduling
and allocating all relevant resources.
6.1.3 Resource control Comparing actual usage against
resource plans and taking action if
needed.
6.2 Personnel related processes
6.2.1 General
6.2.2 Project organizational Defining a project organizational
structure definition structure tailored to suit the project
needs including identifying roles in
the project and defining authority and
responsibility.
6.2.3 Allocation of personnel Selecting and assigning sufficient
personnel with appropriate
competence to suit the project needs.
6.2.4 Team development Developing individual and team skills
and ability to enhance project
performance.

PRODUCT REALIZATION

7.1 Interdependency
management process
7.1.1 General
7.1.2 Project initiation and project Evaluating customer and other
management plan interested parties requirements,
development preparing a project management plan
and initiating other processes.
7.1.3 Interaction management Managing interactions during the
project.
7.1.4 Change management Anticipating change and managing it
across all processes.
7.1.5 Closure Closing processes and obtaining
feedback.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 141


Table 1 – continued

Clause Process Description

7.2 Scope-related processes


7.2.1 General
7.2.2 Concept development Defining the broad outlines of what
the project product will do.
7.2.3 Scope development and Documenting the characteristics of
control the project product in measurable
terms and controlling them.
7.2.4 Activity definition Identifying and documenting
activities and steps required to
achieve the project objectives.
7.2.5 Activity control Controlling the actual work carried
out in the project.
7.3 Time-related processes
7.3.1 General
7.3.2 Activity dependency Identifying interrelationships and the
planning logical interactions and dependencies
among project activities.
7.3.3 Estimation of duration Estimating the duration of each
activity in connection with the
specific conditions and the resources
requited.
7.3.4 Schedule development Interrelating the project time
objectives, activity dependencies and
their durations as the framework for
developing general and detailed
schedules.
7.3.5 Schedule control Controlling the realization of the
project activities, for confirming the
proposed schedule or for taking
adequate actions for recovering from
delays.
7.4 Cost-related processes
7.4.1 General
7.4.2 Cost estimating Developing cost estimates for the
project.
7.4.3 Budgeting Using results from cost estimation to
produce the project budget.
7.4.4 Cost control Controlling costs and deviations from

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 142


the project budget.
7.5 Communication-related
processes
7.5.1 General
7.5.2 Communication planning Planning the information and
communication systems of the
project.
7.5.3 Information management Making necessary information
available to project organization
members and other interested parties.
7.5.4 Communication control Controlling communication in
accordance with the planned
communication system.
7.6 Risk-related processes
7.6.1 General
7.6.2 Risk identification Determining risks in the project.
7.6.3 Risk assessment Evaluating the probability of
occurrence of risk events and the
impact of risk events on the project.
7.6.4 Risk treatment Developing plans for responding to
risks.
7.6.5 Risk control Implementing and updating the risk
plans.
7.7 Purchasing-related
processes
7.7.1 General
7.7.2 Purchasing planning and Identifying and controlling what is to
control be purchased and when.
7.7.3 Documentation of Compiling commercial conditions and
purchasing requirements technical requirements.
7.7.4 Supplier and subcontractor Evaluating and determining which
evaluation suppliers and subcontractors should
be invited to supply products.
7.7.5 Subcontracting Issuing invitations to tender, tender
evaluation, negotiation, preparation
and placing of the subcontract.
7.7.6 Contract control Ensuring that subcontractors’
performance meets contractual
requirements.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 143


Table 1 – continued

Clause Process Description

CONTINUAL IMPROVEMENT
8.1 General
8.2 Role of the originating Information from the project for
organization continual improvement
8.3 Role of the project Defining the information required
organization from projects for continual
improvement

9- Project Management Proverbs

 Any project can be estimated accurately (once it's completed).

 Nothing is impossible for the person who doesn't have to do it.

 At the heart of every large project is a small project trying to get


out.

 If you don't stand for something, you'll fall for anything.

 The more desperate the situation the more optimistic the situate

 Too few people on a project can't solve the problems - too many
create more problems than they solve.

 A problem shared is a buck passed.

 A user will tell you anything you ask about, but nothing more.

 A user is somebody who tells you what they want the day you
give them what they asked for.

 What you don't know hurts you.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 144


 The conditions attached to a promise are forgotten, only the
promise is remembered
 There's never enough time to do it right first time but there's
always enough time to go back and do it again.

 I know that you believe that you understand what you think I said
but I am not sure you realise that what you heard is not what I
meant.

 The sooner you begin coding the later you finish.

 What is not on paper has not been said.

 If you don’t know where you’re going, any road will take you
there.

 If you fail to plan you are planning to fail.

 If you don't attack the risks, the risks will attack you.

 A little risk management saves a lot of fan cleaning.

 The sooner you get behind schedule, the more time you have to
make it up.

 There are no good project managers - only lucky ones.

 The more you plan the luckier you get.

 You Will Waste A LOT Of Time, If You Do Not Manage Your


Group Carefully.
 Make Every Second/Minute/Hour Of Effort Count.

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 145


 Schedule CAREFULLY, Do Not Leave Everything Until The
Last Minute.
 Nothing is as easy as it looks.
 Everything takes longer than you think.
 Anything that can go wrong will go wrong.
 If there is a possibility of several things going wrong, the one that
will cause the most damage will be the one to go wrong.
Corollary: If there is a worse time for something to go wrong, it
will happen then.
 If anything simply cannot go wrong, it will anyway.

10- Sources of Information on PM


Project Management Institute – www.pmi.org
 PMI Certification
 Project Management Body of Knowledge
Other sites
www.mapnp.org/library/plan_dec/
Project Management
project/project.htm

Welcom - Enterprise Project


www.welcom.com/
Management Solutions

Wideman Comparative Glossary of


www.pmforum.org/library/glossary/
Project Management Terms v2.1

Project Management Programs -


www.faqs.org/faqs/proj-plan-faq/
Frequently asked Questions (FAQ)

Project Management Guide k12science.ati.stevens-tech.edu/

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 146


training/projectmgtv2/

IT Project Management for Project


www.gantthead.com/
Managers - gantthead

Tantara: Project Management Plan


www.tantara.ab.ca/ja_pmiee.htm
(Template)

Biscayne Bay Coastal Wetlands www.evergladesplan.org/pm/program/


Project Management Plan (PMP) pmp_28_biscayne.cfm

Project Management Plan | Project web.wm.edu/mast/


MAST project_management_plan.php

Open Directory - Computers: dmoz.org/Computers/Software/


Software: Project Management Project_Management/

Project Management Training www.amanet.org/seminars/cmd2/


Courses - Creating a Project Plan Project.htm

PROJECT MANAGEMENT PLAN www.strategy.gov.uk/files/pdf/PMP.pdf

Performance-Based Management www.ornl.gov/~webworks/cpr/rpt/


System Project Management Plan 109436_.pdf

www.tedi.uq.edu.au/mag/
Project planning & management 2_Definition/
Definition05_ProjectPlan.html

CAMS Project Management Plan


www.nist.gov/admin/cams_external/
Chapter 9 Appendix J - CAMS Phase
pmp_ver7/pmpchap9appxj.html
III ...

C-BRAT PROJECT - Project


www.cbratproject.com/
Management software

River Protection Project - Project www.hanford.gov/orp/uploadfiles/doe-


Management Plan orp.pdf

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 147


www.losangeles.af.mil/
Project Management Plan (PMP) Special_Interest/SAMS/
pmp1222003.pdf

DRAFT Page 1 v9-12-02v2 Project icecube.wisc.edu/collab-docs/pep/


Management Plan For IceCube 12 ... 091202/Draft_PMP_v9-12-02_lar.pdf

PROGRAM MANAGEMENT
www.hq.usace.army.mil/pmbp/PgMP
PLAN (PgMP) Project Management
%2019%20Oct%2001.pdf
Business Process ...

www.gjo.doe.gov/programs/hanf/vzcp/
Project Management Plan
pmp.pdf

Project Management plan (for www.vista.ac.uk/jifbid/management/


construction phase) Management.pdf

DRAFT US ATLAS Computing www.usatlas.bnl.gov/mgmt/


Project Management Plan July 2000 computing/PMP%20July%202000.pdf

WBDG | Project Planning,


www.wbdg.org/project/index.php
Management & Delivery

Integrated Project Development


www.learncanada.ca/management.php
Team Model

Microsoft Office Online: Project office.microsoft.com/project/

ecommerce.ncsu.edu/studio/templates/
Software Project Management Plan
SPMP.htm

Project Management - Guidelines - www.projectmanagement.tas.gov.au/


Appendix 1: Project Management ... guidelines/pm5_14appx1.htm

Micro Planning International -


www.microplanning.com/plan/
Project Management professionals ...

Project management training, tools,


www.4pm.com/
techniques and textbooks

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 148


SPMP – SOFTWARE PROJECT wwwtech.de/calculator/doku/2002-05-
MANAGEMENT PLAN 30_SPMP.doc

Assignment 2 - Project Management depts.washington.edu/busdev/


Plan BEDP_Mktg445_assignment2.shtml

Wideman Comparative Glossary of www.maxwideman.com/pmglossary/


Project Management Terms v3.1 PMG_R05.htm

pearl1.lanl.gov/bioassay/pdf/
Project Management Plan for the
PMP_rev81-9-031.pdf

The Project Management Certificate


www.dci.com/events/iil_pmcert/
Program ...

Download this quality management techrepublic.com.com/5100-6315-


plan to ensure project approval ... 5034545.html

Project Management Software www.capterra.com/project-


Comparison: workforce software ... management-solutions

www.umesc.usgs.gov/
Project Management Plan
habitat_needs_assessment/
Introduction
pmp_intro.html

www.project-education-
Project Management Education UK
uk.freeserve.co.uk/

Kickoff Meeting Plan, Project


varatek.com/kickoff_sample.html
Breakdown, project ...

A Comprehensive Management Plan


www.glc.org/stclair/factsheet.html
for Lake St. Clair and the St. ...

Software Development Online:


www.sdmagazine.com/projects/
Process & Project Management

ETP, Global Structured Programme


www.etpint.com/projectplan.htm
& Project Management - Tools ...

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 149


Parallel 56 – Strategy Planning for www.parallel56.com/strategy.asp?
business, ecommerce, ebusiness ... page=13

Adaptive Planning Tools. Scheduling


www.adaptive-planning.com/
and project management.

Project Management Software,


www.planview.com/
workflow automation, PlanView ...

www.sun.com/service/sunps/
Project Management
projectmanagement/

RSP&A project planning (estimation)


www.rspa.com/spi/project-plan.html
resources

Project Management Software -


www.guysoftware.com/planbee.htm
Critical Path Planning with PlanBee

CIOI - Masters Certificate in IT cioi.web.cmu.edu/programs/mcipm/


Project Management - IT Risk ... itrisk.jsp

https://cshelpdesk.csd.sc.edu/
Project Management Framework
pmframework/projectmanagement.pdf

Project Management Software-Plan


4abetterbusiness.com/tracker.htm
& Progress Tracker

Workpackage description: 1: Project www.w3.org/2001/sw/Europe/plan/


Management workpackages/live/esw-wp-1.html

Amazon.com: Books: A Guide to the www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/


Project Management Body of ... detail/-/1880410230?v=glance

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 150


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Dr. Attia Gomaa

Head of Industrial Engineering Dept.


Cairo University, Fayoum branch
attiagomaa@yahoo.com

Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 152


Economy Analysis for Engineering Projects 153

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