BIKE SHARING PREDICTION

BIKE SHARING:

 Bike sharing systems are new generation of traditional bike

rentals where whole process from membership, rental and
return back has become automatic.
 Through these systems, user is able to easily rent a bike
from a particular position and return back at another
position.
 Currently, there are about over 500 bike-sharing programs
around the world which is composed of over 500 thousands
bicycles.
 Today, there exists great interest in these systems due to
their important role in traffic, environmental, social, public,
eco and health issues.
Fig: Bike Sharing
Stand
Problem Statement:

 Please make an explorative data analysis and build a model

for the hourly utilization “cnt” of the
 given data set:
 Report the mean absolute deviations.
Data Set:

Hour CSV
 This dataset contains the hourly and daily count of rental bikes between years 2011 and 2012 in
Capital bike share system with the corresponding weather and seasonal information.

Attribute Information:
1. Instant
2. hr
3. Season
4. weathersit
5. Temp
6. Hum
7. windspeed
8. Casual
9. atemp
10. Count
11. Registered
Fig: Box Plot On Count Across Month.
Fig: Box Plot On Count Across Weather.
Fig: Box Plot On Count Across Hour Of Day.
Fig: Box Plot On Count Across Temperature.
Fig: Weekday wise hourly distribution of counts.
Fig: ViolinPlot
Fig: Correlation Analysis.
 Model Mean Squared Score
Error
SGDRegressor 24145.81 0.25
Lasso 19842.91 0.38
ElasticNet 24172.61 0.25
Ridge 19836.38 0.38
SVR 21536.58 0.33
SVR 13836.69 0.57
BaggingRegressor 2135.96 0.93
BaggingRegressor 12718.40 0.60
NuSVR 14086.19 0.56

RandomForestRegresso 1809.67 0.94

r
AdaBoostRegressor 2030.11 0.94

Fig: Different Algorithm Metrics.

 RANDOM FOREST
METRICS TABLE:
Model Dataset MSE MAE RMSLE Score

RandomFor training 372.28 11.32 0.18 0.99

estRegressor

RandomFor validation 1817.10 25.58 0.36 0.94

estRegressor
SOURCES:

 Github
 Kaggle
Problem’s Faced:

 Selecting an algorithm.
 Training model.
Any Questions??
Thank you!