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MASA DEPAN EKONOMI POLITIK PASCA COVID 19

PERSPEKTIF ANAK MUDA

BADRUL ARIFIN
GENERASI MILENIAL DAN POLITIK
DEMOGRAPHIC BONUS: BOOMING OF PRODUCTIVE CLASS
Demographic Bonus
80 0.8
70 0.7

D ependecncy Rati o
60 0.6
% populati on

Working Age (15-64 y) Dependency


50 0.5
Ratio
40 0.4
Children (0-14 y)
30 0.3
20 0.2
10 Elderly (above 65 y) 0.1
0 0
1950

1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010

2045
2050
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980

2015
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
Sources: BPS, Bappenas 2017
PERMASALAHAN HULU PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA:
TINGGINYA STUNTUNG DAN RENTAN TERHADAP PENYAKIT
PERMASALAHAN HULU
PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA:

LITERASI RENDAH DAN


MISMATCH PENDIDIKAN DAN
SEKTOR INDUSTRI
PERMASALAHAN HILIR PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA:
RENDAHNYA SKILL, RENTAN, DAN TINGGINYA PENGANGGURAN ANGKA PRODUKTIF

Unemployment, youth total (% of total labor force


ages 15-24)
(modeled ILO estimate, 2018)
32.6
Saudi Arabia 25.8
16.6
Indonesia 15.8
11.2
China 10.6
10.5
India 10.4
6.9
Thailand 3.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

MAYORITAS ANGKATAN KERJA KITA LULUSAN SMP DAN


SD
MAYORITAS BEKERJA DI SEKTOR INFORMAL
MILENNIAL
TERANCAM TIDAK
PUNYA RUMAH
INDONESIA READINESS IN INDUSTRY 4.0 SCENARIO
Policy launch timeline
2011 2014 2016 2018

Industry 4.01 2011


Advance stages
Advanced Manufacturing
Partnership (AMP) 2.0
2011 of
implementation,
High Value Manufacturing 2011 benefits visible
Others

Catapult (HVMC)1
Made in China 20251 2014

Manufacturing Innovation 3.0 2014

Revitalization/Robotics Strategy 2015 Early stage of


implementation
Industry 4.0 (i4.0) 2015

Thailand 4.0 2016


ASEAN

(Planning phase) Planning

(Planning phase) Planning


Planning
(Planning phase) Planning

(Planning phase) Planning


Policy launch
1. Details included
Source: A.T. Kearney, press research
MASA DEPAN POLITIK
PASCA COVID 19

 GENERASI MILENIAL
MULAI SADAR DAN KRITIS
TERHADAP SITUASI
SOSIAL DAN POLITIK
 MENGINGINKAN ADANYA
PERUBAHAN KEBIJAKAN
YANG MENGUNTUNGKAN
RAKYAT BANYAK
KECENDERUNGAN MILENIAL MENCARI SYSTEM
ALTERNATIF CUKUP TINGGI
INDONESIA STARTUP IS ON THE RISE
STARTUP RANK BUKIT ALGORITMA

Country Rank Number of


Startup
1 65.779
2 8.353
3 5.387
4 2.713
5 2.203

Sources: startupranking.com Okt 2020


WE NEED NATIONAL TALENT PLAN
Digital ecosystem
Scholarship
Talent
SOE Driven Diaspora
Improvement of
High skill and high education:
baby health
Supporting the innovation and
R&D

Basic education:
Teacher quality, Low competition teritory
Effectiveness of Govt Semi-skilled (SMK/vocational): Low education:
budget on education Link & match with industry UMKM go digital
PENTINGNYA PERAN NGO

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