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LECTURE NOTE
MODULE: POWER DISTRIBUTION
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POWER
DEMAND
FORECASTING
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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DEFINITION:
An electrical load is a part or component in a circuit that converts
electricity into light, heat, and mechanical motion (i.e. light bulb,
resistor, or motor).
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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CLASSIFICATION:
According to LOAD NATURE
ELEC.
LOAD
Combination loads Inductive loads
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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CLASSIFICATION:
According to LOAD-WAVE NATURE
CLASSIFICATION:
According to LOAD CONSUMER
Commercial Loads
CLASSIFICATION:
According to LOAD OPERATION TIME
Non-
continuous
Loads Duty,
Periodic
Loads Duty,
Continuous Duty, Short-time
Loads Intermittent Loads Duty,
Loads Varying
Loads
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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CLASSIFICATION:
According to LOAD IMPORTANCE
Emergency Loads
Essential Loads
(Load consumers Cat.II)
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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CLASSIFICATION:
According to PHASE DISTRIBUTION
PHASE
DIST.
Line to Neutral
Loads
3 3 Neutral Loads
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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CLASSIFICATION:
According to NUMBER OF PHASES
1 2
SINGLE PHASE THREE PHASE
LOADS LOADS
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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Demand factor -
1
2 Load factor –
POWER
DEMAND Diversity
3 factor –
FORECASTING
4 Coincidence factor –
5 Power factor –
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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THENATURE OF LOADS:
Demand factor
- Called as Maximum Utilisation Factor
- The ratio of the maximum coincident demand of a system, or part
of a system to the connected load of the system, or part of the
system, under consideration (Bill Brown, ND).
- The lower the demand factor, the less system capacity required to
serve the connected load.
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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THENATURE OF LOADS:
Demand factor
- Demand factor must be applied to each individual load, with
particular attention to electric motors, which are very rarely
operated at full load.
THENATURE OF LOADS:
Demand factor
Demand factor for Industrial loads
Electrical load Demand factor
1 motor 1
Up to 10 motors 0.75
Up to 20 motors 0.65
Up to 30 motors 0.60
Up to 40 motors 0.50
Up to 50 motors 0.40
Source: Textbook of Design of Electrical Installation
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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THENATURE OF LOADS:
Demand factor
Demand factor for Commercial loads
Utility Demand factor
Office, School 0.4
Hospital 0.5
Airport, Bank, Shops 0.6
Restaurant, Factory 0.7
Workshop, Factory (24hr shift) 0.8
Arc furnace 0.9
Compressor 0.5
Hand tools 0.4
Inductance furnace 0.8
Source: Textbook of Design of Electrical Installation – Jain
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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Where: Maximum demand is the greatest of all demands that have occurred during a specified period of time such as one-
quarter, on-half, or one hour; Coincident demand is any demand that occurs simultaneously with any other demand
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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Where: Maximum demand is the greatest of all demands that have occurred during a specified period of time such as one-
quarter, on-half, or one hour; Coincident demand is any demand that occurs simultaneously with any other demand
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THE NATURE OF ELECTRICAL LOADS
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DEFINITIONS
- A load profile is a curve showing the variation of customer loads
(by individual or a group of electric appliances or residential
dwellings, or industrial facilities) with reference to time [5].
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CUSTOMER LOAD PROFILES
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DEFINITIONS
- A load profile could present an actual day, or a statistical average
over typical days in a given month or season.[6]
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CUSTOMER LOAD PROFILES
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DEFINITIONS
- From the power
system perspective,
a load profile is
used to compare
periods of higher
and lower demand
over a year. [6]
Comparison of electric demand in different
seasons over the course of a year
Source: Davis Swan (2013)
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CUSTOMER LOAD PROFILES
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DEFINITIONS
- A load duration curve, which has the highest demand hour of the
year appears to be the first hour, followed by the second highest
demand hour and so on[6]
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CUSTOMER LOAD PROFILES
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CLASSIFICATIONS:
According to power categories
01
Active Power
Load Profiles
02 03
Reactive Power Apparent Power
Load Profiles Load Profiles
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CUSTOMER LOAD PROFILES
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CLASSIFICATIONS:
According to curve shapes
CLASSIFICATIONS:
According to time duration
01
Daily Load Profile
02
Monthly Load Profile
03
Diurnal Load Profile
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CUSTOMER LOAD PROFILES
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SIGNIFICANCES:
A customer load profile is provided to:
Help the supplier understand typical load profiles for specific
classes of customers (i.e. industrial, residential customer...);
Help the supplier prepare daily pre-scheduled loads;
Represent the variation of load during different time;
Understand the maximum demand of load in referenced time;
Understand the rationality of consumption characteristics;
Determine appropriate solutions to reduce generating cost.
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CHAPTER CONTENT
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POWER
DEMAND
3 Power loading of an installation
FORECASTING
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POWER LOADING OF AN INSTALLATION
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POWERS:
Nominal power – (in kW)
- "A rated or named value stating the power that a component,
circuit, device, piece of equipment, or system can produce,
consume, dissipate, or otherwise safety handle, when used in a
given manner"[8].
- "The nominal power in kW of a motor indicates its rated
equivalent mechanical power output"[9].
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POWER LOADING OF AN INSTALLATION
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POWERS:
Installed power – (in kW)
- "The sum of the nominal
powers of all power consuming
devices in the installation"[9].
- This is not the power to be
actually supplied in practice
but installed apparent power.
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POWER LOADING OF AN INSTALLATION
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POWERS:
Installed apparent power – (in kVA)
- The arithmetical sum of the apparent power (kVA) of individual
loads. The maximum estimated kVA to be supplied however is
not equal to the total installed kVA.
- The apparent power demand of a load is obtained from its
nominal power rating and the per-unit efficiency - .
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POWER LOADING OF AN INSTALLATION
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POWERS:
Installed apparent power – (in kVA)
- The arithmetical sum of the apparent power (kVA) of individual
loads. The maximum estimated kVA to be supplied however is
not equal to the total installed kVA.
- The apparent power demand of a load is obtained from its
nominal power rating and the per-unit efficiency - .
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POWER LOADING OF AN INSTALLATION
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POWERS:
Average installed power – (in kVA)
- The steady characteristics of load in a reference time
POWERS:
Maximum power/Peak demand
- The maximum value in the ranges of in reference time.
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POWER
DEMAND
FORECASTING
CALCULATION PROCESS:
4
Summing total
apparent demand
(kVA)
Calculate the
3 practical power of
loads (kW)
Identify related
1 Load classification/
Load categorizing
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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CALCULATION PROCESS:
1 Load classification/
Load categorizing
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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LOADS CHARACTERISTICS:
According to magnitude of energy consumption and frequency of utilization
Incandescent lamp
LIGHTING: Discharge lamp
Twilight/night illumination LED lighting
Household appliances
SMALL APPLIANCES: Electronic devices
Portable/Semi appliances Personal care
Office equipment
CONSUMER ELECTRONICS: Communication devices
Light electronic consumers Entertainment electronics
Kitchen appliances
MAJOR APPLIANCES: Laundry appliances
Housekeeping appliances HVAC appliances
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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LOADS CHARACTERISTICS:
According to magnitude of energy consumption and frequency of utilization
The consumption magnitude of appliances vs frequency of use per yer of an average arbitrary customer
Source: Damiano Toffanin (2016)
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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LOADS CHARACTERISTICS:
According to the consumption predictability
LOADS CHARACTERISTICS:
According to the consumption predictability
LOADS CHARACTERISTICS:
Specific loads – Induction motors
1 2
3-phase motor 1-phase motor
𝑃 𝑛 . 1000 𝑃𝑛 .1000
𝐼 𝑎= 𝐼 𝑎=
√ 3 .𝑈 . 𝜂 . 𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝜑 𝑈 . 𝜂 . 𝑐𝑜𝑠 𝜑
Where:
is current demand (in amps); is nominal power of motor (in kW); is voltage between phases for 3-phase motors and
voltage between the terminals for single-phase motor (in volts); is per-unit efficiency; and is power factor
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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LOADS CHARACTERISTICS:
Specific loads – Induction motors
- The use of start-delta starter, static soft start unit or variable speed
drive allows to reduce the value of the starting current.
- Using capacitors to reduce the current supplied to induction motor.
The application of capacitors is generally called as "power factor
improvement" or "power factor correction".
- The apparent power (kVA) supplied to an induction motor can be
significantly reduced by the use of shunt-connected capacitors
(reduction of input current).
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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LOADS CHARACTERISTICS:
Specific loads – Induction motors
- 1-phase case:
Where:
is current demand (in amps); is nominal power of motor (in kW); is voltage between phases for 3-phase motors and
voltage between the terminals for single-phase motor (in volts);
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LOADS CHARACTERISTICS:
Specific loads – Discharge lamps
LOADS CHARACTERISTICS:
Specific loads
Discharge lamps
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LOADS CHARACTERISTICS:
Specific loads – LED lamps and fixtures
CALCULATION PROCESS:
Identify related
1 Load classification/
Load categorizing
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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Demand factor -
1
2 Load factor –
POWER
DEMAND Diversity
3 factor –
FORECASTING
4 Coincidence factor –
5 Power factor –
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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CALCULATION PROCESS:
Calculate the
3 practical power of
loads (kW)
Identify related
1 Load classification/
Load categorizing
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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- Calculation formula
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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Where:
is nominal power of the load i (in kW); is demand factor of the load i; is the average power factor of a group of load;
is the total number of load (unit)
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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CALCULATION PROCESS:
4
Summing total
apparent demand
(kVA)
Calculate the
3 practical power of
loads (kW)
Identify related
1 Load classification/
Load categorizing
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POWER LOAD CALCULATIONS
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- Calculation formula
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CHAPTER CONTENT
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POWER
DEMAND
FORECASTING
REFERENCES:
[1] Electrical Knowhow Online (2013) "Electrical Load Classification and Types". Available at
http://www.electrical-knowhow.com/2012/03/electrical-load-classification-and.html
[2] Bill Brown, P. E (ND) "Section 3: Load Planning – Basic Principles". Available online at
http://static.schneider-electric.us/assets/consultingengineer/appguidedocs/section3_0307.pdf
[3] Jignesh Parmar (2011) "Demand Factor, Diversity Factor, Utilisation Factor, and Load
Factor". Available at
https://electricalnotes.wordpress.com/2011/10/31/demand-factor-diversity-factor-utilization-fac
tor-load-factor/
[4] Damiano Toffanin, Andreas Ulbig, Pierre Pinson (2016) "Generation of customer load
profiles based on smart-metering time series, building-level data and aggregated
measurements". Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH), Zurich, Swiss. Available online
at
https://www.ethz.ch/content/dam/ethz/special-interest/itet/institute-eeh/power-systems-dam/do
cuments/SAMA/2016/Toffanin-MA-2016.pdf
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REFERENCES
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REFERENCES:
[5] Mohammad Taufiqul Arif, Amanullah M. T. Oo and A. B. M. Shawkat Ali (2013)
"Estimation of Energy Storage and Its Feasibility Analysis, Energy Storage – Technologies and
Applications, Dr. Ahmed Zobaa (Ed.)". InTech, DOI: 10.5772/52218. Available from:
https://www.intechopen.com/books/energy-storage-technologies-and-applications/estimation-of
-energy-storage-and-its-feasibility-analysis
[6] Alexandra Von Meier (2006) "Electric Power Systems: A Conceptual Introduction". IEEE
Press, Wiley Interscience, A John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Publication. USA.
[7] Davis Swan (2013) "Why Renewables Haven't Destroyed the Grid – Yet!". Available from
http://www.pennenergy.com/articles/blogs/the-black-swan-blog/2013/12/why-renewables-have
nt-destroyed-the-grid--yet.html
[8] Dictionary of Engineering (2015) "Nominal Power". Available from
http://www.dictionaryofengineering.com/definition/nominal-power.html
[9] Schneider Electric (2015) "Electrical installation guide – According to IEC international
standards". Schneider Electric.