The existing planning process in India involves manual demand planning with forecasts developed separately for the Finished Dosage Form (FDF) and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient (API) divisions. A 6-month rolling forecast is uploaded to the Advanced Supply Chain Planning (ASCP) system which planners use to release purchase requisitions. However, when the forecast is revised, planners do not cancel or reschedule existing purchase orders and requisitions that are no longer needed. As a result, procurement continues based on outdated forecasts. Additionally, actual production scheduling uses firm orders that differ from the forecast-based procurement quantities. There is no analysis of forecast accuracy or reasons for revisions.
The existing planning process in India involves manual demand planning with forecasts developed separately for the Finished Dosage Form (FDF) and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient (API) divisions. A 6-month rolling forecast is uploaded to the Advanced Supply Chain Planning (ASCP) system which planners use to release purchase requisitions. However, when the forecast is revised, planners do not cancel or reschedule existing purchase orders and requisitions that are no longer needed. As a result, procurement continues based on outdated forecasts. Additionally, actual production scheduling uses firm orders that differ from the forecast-based procurement quantities. There is no analysis of forecast accuracy or reasons for revisions.
The existing planning process in India involves manual demand planning with forecasts developed separately for the Finished Dosage Form (FDF) and Active Pharmaceutical Ingredient (API) divisions. A 6-month rolling forecast is uploaded to the Advanced Supply Chain Planning (ASCP) system which planners use to release purchase requisitions. However, when the forecast is revised, planners do not cancel or reschedule existing purchase orders and requisitions that are no longer needed. As a result, procurement continues based on outdated forecasts. Additionally, actual production scheduling uses firm orders that differ from the forecast-based procurement quantities. There is no analysis of forecast accuracy or reasons for revisions.
• Demand planning is done manually and forecast is arrived at respective locations
• Advanced Supply Chain Planning (ASCP) • ASCP is primarily used only for supply planning (procurement) • Planning process is run separately for FDF and API Division • FDF division uses separate demand plans for • Procurement of Excipients with long lead times > 90 days • Only forecast quantities are considered • Procurement of packing material and API with short lead times < 90 days • Only sales order quantities are considered • Forecast plans for FDF division are uploaded by India BD & EU Entities PPIC, Germany and Netherlands in ASCP within the specified timeframe every month • FDF PPIC prepares manually a 6 month rolling forecast of API requirement and sends it to API PPIC department • API PPIC receives yearly sales forecast plan from API BD team and 6 month rolling forecast plan from FDF division and consolidates the forecast demand and arrives at Plant wise demand forecast before uploading it to ASCP • Planner in both API and FDF release purchase requisitions as per planning suggestions. On release system auto creates purchase requisition in approved state in ERP • Purchase department auto creates Purchase order as and when purchase requisitions are available • Plan visage is used by API units for production scheduling (still under trial run) • Module wise firm orders are prepared by PPIC department manually and uploaded in plan visage for production scheduling duly considering availability of raw material and packing material and resources • Observation on current process • 6 month rolling forecast is loaded in ASCP and Planner releases Purchase Requisitions as per planning suggestions • When rolling forecast is revised and loaded in subsequent months by changing forecast quantities planner is not implementing planning suggestions given by ASCP for • Cancel of Purchase Requisition and purchase orders released and created earlier in excess quantity based on previous forecast and which are no longer necessary • Reschedule in or reschedule out existing purchase requisitions and purchase orders to bring it in tune with revised forecast • Consequently procurement is done even when forecast quantities are changed and material is no longer required as per revised forecast • Actual production scheduling uses a firm order quantity which is completely different from forecast quantity against which procurement is done • No effort is made to track and identify the forecast source against which the procurement was initiated and received and reasons for change in forecast subsequently • No analysis is done for variation between forecast and the actual orders received from customer and correct the forecast planning method / assumption applied. FDF Demand planning team is doing analysis Current Planning Process in US • Vangaurd application is used in APUSA for demand planning • 3 year historical sales data is interfaced from ERP to Vangaurd considering specific order types • Item Master and Customer master are interfaced from ERP • Vangaurd provides 15 methods of generating demand • Forecast/ Demand is validated and calculated with appropriate method and user overrides the demand if required based on new opportunities identified etc. • 1 year rolling forecast is generated and interfaced to ERP • Forecast is generated weekly and interfaced to ERP • Demand planning is manual in Auro-life and Auro Health and it is uploaded as forecast in ERP
• ASCP is used for supply planning which is run daily.
• Planner reviews the planning suggestions and releases Requisition • PR is auto created in approved state and PO is auto created in incomplete state • Users have option to modify quantity at PO level • Once PO is approved it will be interfaced to APL India
Periodically user reviews Forecast Vs Actual orders Vs Shipment
Wherever needed request for change in Schedule ship dates / need by date will be made based on actual orders