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Statistik MBA
Statistik MBA
INSTITUTION : FEB-UGM-ECONOMICS
WORK EXPERIENCE:
1. DIRECTOR OF MASTER & Ph.D PROGRAM FEB-UGM.
2. DIRECTOR OF RESEARCH & DEVELOPMENT EC FEB-UGM
3. CONSULTANT OF BAPPEDA DIY PROVINCE.
4. BSNP SUPERVISOR OF EDUCATION MINISTRY.
5. LOCAL GOVERNMENT FINANCE CONSULTANT.
6. DEPUTY OF RESEARCH & TRAINING PROGRAM FEB.
7. MEMBER OF ACADEMIC AUDITOR UGM.
8. SECRETARY OF ECONOMICS PROGRAM FEB-UGM.
9. RESEARCHER OF INDONESIAN EC REVIEW & OUTLOOK.
10. INSTRUCTOR OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT FINANCE.
HP =0811253224, EMAIL = ssamsubar@yahoo.com
REGULATIONS
1. PLEASE COME 5 MINUTES BEFORE CLASS BEGIN
2. PLEASE TURN-OFF YOUR MOBILE PHONE.
3. DON’T FORGET TO BRING YOUR CALCULATOR.
4. DON’T MAKE ANY OTHER ASSIGNMENTS DURING
THE CLASS ACTIVITY.
5. YOU MUST DO THE QUESTION WHENEVER ONE
OF YOUR FRIENDS ASK FOR YOU TO DO SO.
6. YOU MUST ATTEND THE CLASS AT LEAST 80%.
7. THERE WILL BE NO MAKE –UP EXAM AND QUIZ.
8. BE HONEST. PLEASE GIVE YOUR SIGNATURE
ONLY ON YOUR NAME NOT FOR ANYBODY ELSE!
Text-books
1. Douglass, Lind and Marchal:
STATISTICS FOR BUSINESS DECISION.
2. Wonnacott, Wonnacott :STATISTICS.
3. Samsubar: Statistik Deskriptif
Statistik Induktif
Aplikasi Statistik dalam Bisnis
TOPICS
1. OVERVIEW THE CONCEPTS OF STATISTICS
2. TYPES OF DATA AND FREQUENCY
DISTRIBUTION.
3. MEASURE OF CENTRAL TENDENCY
4. MEASURE OF LOCALITY
5. DISPERSION
6. SIMPLE REGRESSION MODEL
7. CORRELATION
TOPICS
8. TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
9. PROBABILITY CONCEPTS.
GRADING SYSTEM:
A. INDIVIDUAL TEST = 5 TIMES = 20%
B. MID SEMESTER EXAM = 30%
C. FINAL EXAM = 35%
D. PROJECT IN LAB = 15 % ( SPSS and Eviews).
SCORING SYSTEM
SCORES GRADE
85 – 100 A
80 – 84 A–
77 – 79 A/B
74 – 76 B+
71 – 73 B
68 – 70 B/C
65 – 67 C+
62 – 64 C
59 – 61 C/D
< 58 E
WEEK: 1. STATISTICS
1. A COLLECTION OR A SET OF NUMERICAL
INFORMATION FROM SAMPLE IS CALLED
STATISTICS.
2. DATA CAN BE COLLECTED FROM POPULATION
( THE ENTIRE SET OF INDIVIDUALS OR
OBJECTS OF INTEREST ( PARAMETER ).
3. STATISTICS IS THE SCIENCE OF COLLECTING,
ORGANIZING, PRESENTING & INTERPRETING
DATA TO ASSIST IN MAKING MORE EFFECTIVE
DECISION.
STATISTICS vs PARAMETER
PARAMETER STATISTICS
AVERAGE µ X
VARIANCE σ2 S2
STD DEV σ S
PROPORTION π P
BASIC-CONCEPTS
WHY SAMPLING?
SAMPLING ERROR
NON-SAMPLING ERROR
VALIDITY
REABILITY
DESCRIPTIVE vs INFERENTIAL
COUNTRIES: A B C
INCOME:
MEAN $ 1100 $ 1000 $ 1200
MEDIAN 1100 1100 1100
MODE 1100 1200 1000
Std dev 25 30 40
√
n
(VALUE AT THE END PERIOD : VALUE AT START OF PERIOD) - 1
EXAMPLE
1. SUPPOSE LABOUR RECEIVE A 10 PERCENT
INCREASE IN WAGE THIS YEAR AND A 15
PERCENT INCREASE NEXT YEAR. HOW MUCH
THE AVERAGE ANNUAL INCREASE IN WAGE?
2. THE RETURN ON DEPOSIT EARNED BY BNI FOR
5 SUCCESSIVE YEARS WAS: 10%, 12%, 17%, -
5%, 50 %. WHAT IS THE AVERAGE ANNUAL
RETURN ON DEPOSIT?
3. TOTAL ASSETS OF X COMPANY IN 1995 WAS $
1300 M. IN 2005, THE AMOUNT OF TOTAL
ASSETS WAS NEARLY TO $ 1750 M. WHAT IS
THE AVERAGE ANNUAL INCREASE IN ITS
ASSETS?
Week 2. Measures of Locality
UNGROUPED DATA.
QUARTILES : LQ1 = ( N + 1 )/ 4, LQ2 = 2 ( N +1)/4
LQ3 = 3 ( N + 1 )/4.
DECILES: LD1 = ( N + 1 )/10 ,…LD9 = 9 ( N + 1 )/10
PERCENTILES: LP1 = ( N + 1 )/100,………………….
LP99 = 99( N + 1 )/100.
EXAMPLE:TOEFL SCORES OF 8 STUDENTS:
516 524 525 530 535 535 540 545.
CALCULATE THE SCORES: Q3, D4, D7, P80.
WEEK: 2. MEASURES OF LOCALITY GROUPED DATA
MEAN SCORES: 60 60 60
- CAN YOU EXPLAIN SOMETHING ABOUT THE SCORES?
- IN WHICH CLASS THE SHAPE OF THE DATA IS FLATTER?
EXAMPLE
c. Interval income between 12% below the average up to 15% above the
average.
d. Minimum income for 2% the highest
QUALITY CONTROL
DISTRIBUTION OF LIFETIME 3 BRAND OF DRY
BATTERIES PRODUCED BY ABC MANUFACTURE IN
CAKUNG JAKARTA.
σ = √ Σ( Xi – u ) 2 / N