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• If Alice stole the diamonds, then she is a thief. And Alice did steal the
diamonds. Hence, Alice is a thief.
• Either Bill has a poor memory or he is lying. Bill does not have a poor
memory. Therefore, Bill is lying.
How to differentiate Deductive from
Inductive Arguments?
• The indicator word test
• asks whether there are any indicator words that provide clues whether
a deductive or inductive argument is being offered.
• Certainly, absolutely, conclusively
Vs.
• Probably, likely, chances are that
Salman: Yeah, Luigi's is pretty good. I've had their Neapolitan rigatoni,
their lasagne col pesto, and their mushroom ravioli. I don't think you
can go wrong with any of their pasta dishes.
• Is this argument deductive or inductive? How can you tell?
Exercise...
• I wonder if I have enough cash to buy my Critical Thinking textbook as
well as my Brand Management and history textbooks. Let's see, I have
Rs.200. My BM textbook costs Rs.65 and my history textbook costs
Rs.52. My Critical Thinking textbook costs Rs.60. With taxes, that
should come to about Rs.190. Yep, I have enough.
Exercise...
• Mother: Don't give Billy that brownie. It contains walnuts, and I think
Billy is allergic to walnuts. Last week he ate some oatmeal cookies
with walnuts, and he broke out in a severe rash.
• If tuition continues to increase, then only the wealthy will be able to afford a
college education.
If only the wealthy will be able to afford a college education, then class
divisions will be strengthened.
If tuition continues to increase, then class divisions will be strengthened.
Hypothetical Syllogisms: Modus Tollens
• If A, then B.
Not B.
Therefore, Not A.
• Six months ago I met a farmer from Iowa, and he was friendly.
Four months ago I met an insurance salesman from Iowa, and he was friendly.
Two months ago I met a dentist from Iowa, and she was friendly.
I guess most people from Iowa are friendly.
Predictive Argument
• Reasons are provided to defend a prediction
• Most U.S. presidents have been tall.
Therefore, probably the next U.S. president will be tall.
• 1. A is similar to B.
2. B has property P.
So, 3. A has property P.
• The Tempest and A Midsummer Night’s Dream are both plays written by William
Shakespeare. These two plays are very similar in length. Hud was able to read A
Midsummer Night’s Dream in the space of an evening. So, Hud will be able to read The
Tempest in the space of an evening.
Argument from Analogy...
• Parrots and humans can both talk. Humans can think rationally.
Therefore, parrots can think rationally.