Công Minh 레공민 (18330099) Trung Chiến 마이쭝지엔 (17240127)

Khuê Anh 응웬딘퀘안 (18330108) Hải Minh 응웬하이민 (18330115)

Group 5

1st Seminar of Operational Research & Decision Making

GLOBAL SEA LEVEL RISE ANALYSIS

 CONTENT
1. Introduction
2. Goals & method
3. Data
4. Analysis
5. Strategies
 INTRODUCTION

01
Statistics have revealed that the sea
level rise has been extremely severe to
be ignored. There is a range of reasons
contributing to this phenomenon.
In the following project, its triggers
will be discussed along with
appropriate strategies.
 ❏ The goals of our project: finding
the indicators affecting the sea level
rise, then analyze the effect of those
GOALS & METHOD variables. Furthermore, recommend

02
the right behaviour to this affair.

❏ Methodology: Multiple linear

regression.
 DATA
03
 FOSSIL FUEL &
PLASTICS WASTE INDUSTRY EMISSIONS

GLOBAL SEA SURFACE VOLCANIC

TEMPERATURE ERUPTION
❏ Plastic waste, or plastic pollution, is the
❏ accumulation of plastic objects (e.g.: plastic bottles
and much more) in the Earth's environment that
adversely affects wildlife, wildlife habitat and
humans.
❏ Release toxic chemicals.
❏ Smother other species.
❏ We measured this variable in tons.

https://cleanstreets.westminster.gov.uk/plastic-waste-complete-guide/
The primary cause of rising SST
levels worldwide is climate
warming. Heat from the warming
atmosphere raises the temperature
of the sea surface. Downwelling
currents convey some of this heat
to the ocean’s deeper layers, which
are also warming, though lagging
far behind the rise in SST.

We measured this variable in

http://www.oceanhealthindex.org/methodology/components/sea-surface-temperature#:~:text=The%20Sea

Celsius.
%20Surface%20Temperature%20(SST,majority%20of%20global%20SST%20data.
The volcanoes at mid-ocean ridges alone
are estimated to account for 75% of the
magma output on Earth.

Volcano masks quickening pace of sea

level rise.

Volcanic eruptions eject large amounts

of materials into the atmosphere, which
can have an impact on climate.

https://sealevel.nasa.gov/news/56/volcano-masks-quickening-pace-of-sea-level-rise/#:~:text=After
%20volcanic%20eruptions%2C%20the%20Earth,simulations%20that%20include%20volcanic
%20eruptions.
Fossil fuels, a class of
hydrocarbon, include coal,
petroleum, natural gas, oil shales,
bitumens, tar sands, and
heavy oils.

One of the main by-products of

fossil fuel combustion is
carbon dioxide (CO2). The ever-
increasing use of fossil fuels in
industry, transportation, and
construction has added large We measured this in Billion metric
amounts of CO2 to Earth’s
https://www.britannica.com/science/fossil-fuel
tons.
SHRINKING GLACIERS

MELTING ICE SHEETS,

RISING SEAS

HIGH TIDES, STORM

SURGES

DISAPPEARING ARCTIC
SEA ICE, THAWING
PERMAFROST
ANALYSIS

04
 Using Excel.

P-value > 0.05

This is not a good
model.
 Continue to analyze Y with X1, X2,
X3.
Y = - 488.2522766 + 0.0000079X1 + 24.0798X2 + 2.4113202X3 +
e

This model explains this

case as much as 92.33%
All the P value are <
0.05
This is a statistically
significant model.
 CONCLUSION
● Total volcanic eruption is an inappropriate indicator.
● Amount of plastics waste, global sea surface temperature, and fossil fuel
industry emissions can be used to analyze the trend.
● The amount of plastics waste only have a small impact.
● Fossils fuel, co2 emissions has more influence to the sea rise level.
● Global sea surface temperature affects the most.

FORMULA: Y = - 488.2522766 + 0.0000079X1 + 24.0798X2 +

2.4113X3 + e
 FORECASTING

Sea levels rise is predicted to grow more 48cm to

64cm by 2090 (Jackson and Jevrejeva 2016).

At the same time, global sea surface temperature will

increase between 1.2 and 3.2 Celsius.
Assume that:
- Amount of plastics waste
increases 975,000 tons per
year.
- Global sea surface
temperature increases 0.02
Celsius per year.
- Fossil fuel and industry
increases 0.05 billion metric
tons per year.
Apply the formula:
Y= - 488.2522766 +
0.0000079X1
+ 24.0798X2 +
STRATEGIES

05
The things we can do to prevent the
rise of the sea level is reduce the
amount of plastic waste by using
recycle, environmental-friendly
goods. Although it only has a small
impact on the sea rise level.

The government can take action by reducing the fossil fuel plant and also
encourage using renewable energy. In addition, the government can make
regulation towards co2 emissions and waste. This may be the key action to
this problems.
REFERENCES
Dr Martin J. Genner, Jennifer J. Freer and Louise A. Rutterford. Biological Responses to Ocean
Warming (August 2017).
Lebreton, L., Andrady, A. Future scenarios of global plastic waste generation and disposal. Palgrave
Commun 5, 6 (2019).
Raupach, M. R., Davis, S. J., Peters, G. P., Andrew, R. M., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., … & Le Quere,
C. (2014). Sharing a quota on cumulative carbon emissions. Nature Climate Change, 4(10), 873-879.
United Nations Environment Programme (2019). Emissions Gap Report 2019. UNEP, Nairobi.
Global Volcanism Program, 2013. Volcanoes of the World, v. 4.9.4 (17 Mar 2021). Venzke, E (ed.).
Smithsonian Institution.
Annual CO2 emissions worldwide 2019 | Statista.
 Thank you
for your attention