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Macroeconomics: Sixth Edition, Global Edition
Macroeconomics: Sixth Edition, Global Edition
Chapter 1
Introduction and
Measurement Issues
1.2 Explain the key features of trend growth and deviations from trend in
per capita gross domestic product in the United States from 1900 to
2014.
Learning Objectives, Part II
1.3 Explain why models are useful in macroeconomics.
1.7 List the key observations that motivate questions we will try to answer
in this book.
https://businesstech.co.za/news/finance/671091/all-signs-point-to-recession-in-south-africa/#:~:text=South%20Africa%
20is%20on%20the,on%20Tuesday%20(7%20March) Copyright © 2018 Pearson Education, Ltd. All rights reserved.
What is Macroeconomics?
• Models built to explain macroeconomic phenomena.
• The important phenomena are long-run growth and business cycles.
• Approach in this book is to build up macroeconomic analysis from
microeconomic principles.
Gross Domestic Product, Economic
Growth, and Business Cycles
• Gross Domestic Product (GDP): the quantity of goods and
services produced within a country’s borders over a particular
period of time.
• The time series of GDP can be separated into:
- trend and
- business cycle components.
Figure 1.1
Per Capita Real GDP (in 2009 dollars)
for the United States, 1900–2014
Figure 1.2
Natural Logarithm of Per Capita Real GDP
From CORE:
GDP Per Capita
Figure 13.2. UK GDP per capita (1875-2014).
Left hand side Graph
25,000
shows real GDP per Capita
(per person):
- Hockey stick effect (Unit
20,000 10.5
1)
Real GDP per capita (£, factor cost)
9.5
1919
1930
1941
1963
1985
1908
1952
1974
1996
2007
8.0
10
From CORE:
South African Real GDP Per Capita
60000
55000
45000
COVID (Unit 1) not clearly
visible
40000
- Growth not smooth
- Cannot effectively
35000 showcase growth
rate
30000
25000
20000
1991
1946
1951
1956
1961
1966
1971
1976
1981
1986
1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
11
From CORE:
Natural log of South African Real GDP Per Capita
11
10.9
Graph shows log real
10.8 GDP per Capita:
Impact of - Shows economic
Natural log of Real GDP per capita
10.7
COVID growth rate more
10.6
effectively
- Dashed line (slope)
10.5 shows average
annual growth rate
10.4 - Long-run growth in
unit 16 & 17. This
10.3
unit focuses on
10.2 fluctuations.
10.1
10
1946
1951
1956
1961
1966
1971
1976
1981
1986
1991
1996
2001
2006
2011
2016
12
SA real GDP per capita (2015 prices)
90000 6
80000 4
70000
2
60000
0
50000
-2
40000
-4
30000
-6
20000
10000 -8
0 -10
1946 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021
14
Figure 1.3
Natural Logarithm of Per Capita Real GDP and
Trend
Figure 1.4
Percentage Deviations from Trend in
Per Capita Real GDP
Macroeconomic Models
• A macroeconomic model captures the essential features of the world
needed to analyze a particular macroeconomic problem.
• Macroeconomic models should be simple, but they need not be realistic.
Basic Structure of a Macroeconomic
Model
• Consumers and Firms
• The Set of Goods that Consumers Consume
• Consumers’ Preferences
• The Production Technology
• Resources Available
What Do We Learn From
Macroeconomic Analysis? Part I
1. What is produced and consumed in the economy is determined jointly by
the economy’s productive capacity and the preferences of consumers.
2. In free market economies, strong forces tend to produce socially efficient
economic outcomes.
3. Unemployment is painful for individuals, but it is a necessary evil in
modern economies.
4. Improvements in a country’s standard of living are brought about in the
long run by technological progress.
What Do We Learn From
Macroeconomic Analysis? Part II
5. A tax cut is not a free lunch.
6. Credit markets, banks play key roles in the macroeconomy.
7. What consumers and firms anticipate for the future has an important
bearing on current macroeconomic events.
What Do We Learn From
Macroeconomic Analysis? Part III
8. Money takes many forms, and society is much better off with it than
without it. Once we have it, however, changing its quantity ultimately
does not matter.
9. Business cycles are similar, but they can have many causes.
What Do We Learn From
Macroeconomic Analysis? Part IV
10. Countries gain from trading goods and assets with each other, but trade is
also a source of shocks to the domestic economy.
11. In the long run, inflation is caused by growth in the money supply.
12. If there is a short-run tradeoff between output and inflation, that has very
different implications relative to the relationship between nominal
interest rates and inflation.
Understanding Recent and Current
Macroeconomics Events
• Aggregate Productivity
• Unemployment and Vacancies
• Taxes, Government Spending, and the Government Deficit
• Inflation
• Interest Rates
• Business Cycles in the United States
• Credit Markets and the Financial Crisis
• The Current Account Surplus
Figure 1.5
Natural Logarithm of Average Labour
Productivity
Figure 1.6
The Unemployment Rate for the United States
Figure 1.7
The Beveridge Curve
Figure 1.8
Total Taxes and Total Government
Spending
Figure 1.9
Total Government Surplus
Figure 1.10
The Inflation Rate
Figure 1.11
The Nominal Interest Rate and the
Inflation Rate
Figure 1.12
Real Interest Rate
Figure 1.13
Percentage Deviation From Trend in
Real GDP
Figure 1.14
Interest Rate Spread
Figure 1.15
Relative Price of Housing
Figure 1.16
Exports and Imports of Goods and
Services
Figure 1.17
The Current Account Surplus
Chapter 2 Assignment (deadline 11 April 09:00)
Read chapter 2 and prepare an infographic/mind map/concept
map/diagram (i.e visual representation) of the content regarding
measurement in macroeconomics. It needs to be uploaded on
SUNLearn BEFORE 09:00am on 11 April 2023. The best submission
will receive a cash prize of R500. (Indicate clearly whether you are
attending lectures in group 1 or 2.) / Lees hoofstuk 2 en berei 'n
infografika/breinkaart/konsepkaart/diagram (d.i. visuele
voorstelling) voor van die inhoud rakende meting in makro-
ekonomie. Dit moet voor 09:00vm op 11 April 2023 op SUNLearn
opgelaai word. Die beste voorlegging sal 'n kontantprys van R500
ontvang. (Dui duidelik aan of jy lesings in groep 1 of 2 bywoon.)