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Corporate FINANCE.

Theory and practice

Chapter 9

MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

P. Quiry,
M. Dallocchio, Y. LeFur, A. Salvi
Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
John Wiley & Sons, London, 2009
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

TOPICS

•Margin analysis

•Components of operating profit

•Allocation of operating profit

•Comprehensive income

•Financial assessment

•The scissors effect

© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 2


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

MARGIN ANALYSIS

A company that fails to sell its products or services


to its customers at above their cost is doomed

 The company’s margin analysis is the first step in


any financial analysis

Margin analysis:
analysis

1. examination of the accounting practices used by the


company to draw up its income statement

2. trend analysis based on examination or the revenues


and charges

© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 3


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

MARGIN ANALYSIS
The purposes of the margin analysis are:
• to calculate the rate of change in revenue and costs to
examine their respective trends and
• to account for the relative change in the margins over the
period

Margin trends are a reflection of a company’s:


• strategic position  scissors effect
• risk profile  breakeven effect

A company’s strategic position directly influences


the size of its margins and its profitability
© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 4
Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

HOW OPERATING PROFIT IS FORMED


Sales
Sales growth needs to be analysed in terms of:
• organic and acquisition-led growth
 impact of changes in the scope of consolidation on sales
• volume and price trends
 volume growth = overall increase in sales
– increase in selling price
 impact of inflation, currency fluctuations and changes in
the product mix

Trends should be compared with growth rates in the market or


the sector and price indices
Sales growth sets operating costs and
financial requirements trends
© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 5
Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

HOW OPERATING PROFIT IS FORMED


Production

SALES (at selling price)


+ CHANGE IN INVENTORIES OF FINISHED GOODS
AND WORK IN PROGRESS (at cost price)
+ PRODUCTION FOR OWN USE (at cost price)
= PRODUCTION

It depends on the level of unsold products and on the


accounting methods used to value inventories

If the growth rate in production is higher than that in sales, it


can be the result of:
• overproduction
• overstatement of inventories’ value

© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 6


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

HOW OPERATING PROFIT IS FORMED


Gross trading profit

SELLING PRICE OF GOODS FOR RESALE


– PURCHASE COST OF GOODS FOR RESALE
= GROSS TRADING PROFIT

It is useful only in the retail and wholesale sectors

Usually, it is more stable than its components

© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 7


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

HOW OPERATING PROFIT IS FORMED


Raw materials and other operating costs

To calculate productivity ratios for raw materials and other


operating costs, they need to be:
1. broken down into their main components and
2. analysed in terms of their quantities and costs trends

Sustained differences between the rate of growth:


• of raw material and other operating costs and that in
production (by-nature income statement) or
• in cost of sales and that in net sales (by-function income
statement)
are attributable to changes in the product manufactured or in
the production process
© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 8
Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

HOW OPERATING PROFIT IS FORMED


Value added
GROSS TRADING PROFIT OPERATING PROFIT
+ PROFIT ON RAW + DEPRECIATION, AMORTISATION
MATERIAL + PERSONNEL COSTS
− OTHER OPERATING + TAX OTHER THAN CORPORATE
COSTS INCOME TAX
= VALUE ADDED = VALUE ADDED

It represents the value added by the company


to goods and services purchased from third parties
through its activities

It is of interest only insofar it provides valuable insight regarding


the degree of a company’s integration within its sector
© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 9
Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

HOW OPERATING PROFIT IS FORMED


Personnel cost
In a short-term perspective, it represents a fixed cost

Personnel expense
Cost control indicator:
Average headcount

Workforce’s productivity ratios:

Sales Production Value added


Average headcount Average headcount Average headcount

It is a very inert cost

© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 10


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

HOW OPERATING PROFIT IS FORMED


EBITDA
OPERATING PROFIT
+ DEPRECIATION, AMORTISATION AND
IMPAIRMENT LOSSES ON FIXED ASSETS
= EBITDA

VALUE ADDED
− TAX OTHER THAN CORPORATE INCOME TAX
− PERSONNEL COST AND PAYROLL CHARGES
− IMPAIRMENT LOSSES ON CURRENT ASSETS AND ADDITION
TO PROVISIONS FOR OPERATING LIABILITIES AND CHARGES
+ OTHER OPERATING REVENUES
− OTHER OPERATING COSTS
= EBITDA
© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 11
Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

HOW OPERATING PROFIT IS FORMED


EBITDA
EBITDA is unaffected by non-cash charges
EBITDA
EBITDA margin =
Sales

Changes in EBITDA margin are attributable to:


• an overrun of production costs
• personnel cost
• the price effect on sales

Depreciation, Amortisation
It is independent of the operating cycle in a given period
It depends on the company’s investment policy
© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 12
Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

HOW OPERATING PROFIT IS FORMED


EBIT

EBITDA
− DEPRECIATION AND AMORTISATION
+ WRITEBACKS OF DEPRECIATION AND
= AMORTISATION
EBIT
SALES
− COST OF SALES
− SELLING, GENERAL AND ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS
− RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT COSTS
± OTHER OPERATING INCOME AND COSTS
= EBIT

© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 13


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

HOW OPERATING PROFIT IS ALLOCATED


Net financial expense/income
Financial items reflect the company’s financial policy and the
level of interest rate
They normally show a negative balance
FINANCIAL EXPENSE
− FINANCIAL INCOME
= NET FINANCIAL EXPENSE
Net financial expense is not directly related to the operating cycle
Profit before tax and nonrecurring items
EBIT
− NET FINANCIAL EXPENSE
= PROFIT BEFORE TAX AND NONRECURRING ITEMS
© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 14
Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

HOW OPERATING PROFIT IS ALLOCATED


Income from associates, minority interests, income tax
If the share of income from associates are consistent, they
should be either:
• broken down into operating, financial and nonrecurring items
• examined by mean of a separate financial analysis

Analysis of minority interests highlights which subsidiaries they


relate to and which share of the profits/losses they represent
Analysis of corporate income tax assess how well the company
has managed its tax affairs

Nonrecurring items
They are defined on a case-by-case basis
The purpose of their analysis is the understanding of their origin
It is not possible (and nonsense) to predict their future trend
© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 15
Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

• In 2007, IASB published revised requirements in presenting


results.5 The IASB leaves the option either to replace the
income statement by a “statement of comprehensive income”
or present that statement in addition to the traditional
income statement.

• Comprehensive Income is defined as the periodic change in equity capital,


excluding any dealings with shareholders, ie, payment of dividends and
capital increases/decreases. It includes, in addition to net income in its IFRS
version, all unrealised foreign exchange gains and losses, asset revaluations,
cash flow hedging, changes in the fair value of financial instruments intended
to be sold, and actuarial gains and losses (if any) relating to pension fund
commitments.
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

THE SCISSORS EFFECT


The scissors effect is what takes place when revenues and
costs move in different or diverging directions.
It accounts for trends in profits

The scissors effect


Amount

Charges

Revenues

Time

Profits Losses

© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 17


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

THE SCISSORS EFFECT


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© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 18


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

FINANCIAL ASSESSMENT
The scissors effect
The scissors effect may be attributable to failures in the
market in which the company operates, such as:

• economic rents
• monopolies
• regulatory changes
• pre-emptive action
• inertia

They reflect the higher or lower quality of the company’s


strategic position in its market

© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 19


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

FINANCIAL ASSESSMENT
The stability principle holds that a company’s earnings are
much more stable than we would expect and are not necessarily
upset by external factors.
But a company’s margins also depend to a great extent on those
of its rivals. The purpose of financial analysis is to understand
why they are above or below those of its rivals

Regulatory changes are controls imposed on a company by an


authority that modifies the direction in which it is moving

External factors are changes imposed on the company that are


specific to the company’s sector of activity

© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 20


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

FINANCIAL ASSESSMENT
Pre-emptive actions occurs when a company immediately
reflects expectations of an increase in the cost of a production
factor by charging higher selling prices

Inertia effects lead to a delay before a fluctuation in the cost


of a production factors is passed on to the company’s customers
by a raise in the selling price

Inflation acts as an incentive for companies to overinvest and


overproduce, thus distorting their earnings
During periods of inflation:
• depreciation and amortisation are usually insufficient to cover
the replacement cost of an investment, whose price has risen
• inventories yield especially large nominal inflation gains where
they are slow-moving
© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 21
Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

FINANCIAL ASSESSMENT

Generally, capital expenditure depresses operating


performance during the first years after they enter service
In fact, investments initially lead to:
• additional general and administrative costs
• financial charges not related to operating revenues
• additional personnel cost deriving from the early recruitment of
line staff and managers
• lower productivity

A company may decide to pursue a policy of underinvestment to


enhance its bottom line

© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 22


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice
Corporate FINANCE. Theory and practice Chapter 9– MARGIN ANALYSIS: STRUCTURE

CONCLUSIONS

The first step in any financial analysis is to analyse the


company’s margins.
This encompasses the calculation and the examination of
the trend of margins, that need to be compared to those
of companies operating in the same sector of activity.
The central figure in income statement analysis is the
operating profit: analysts have to look at how it is formed
and how it is allocated.
Diverging trends in revenues and charges produce a
scissors effect. It is very useful to establish its causes,
thus enabling to understand why the company generates
a profit/loss and what are its future prospects

© 2009 - John Wiley & Sons 23


Quiry, Dallocchio, LeFur, Salvi - Corporate Finance. Theory and Practice

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