The report of pig farming market in June 2018

Since the intensive price fluctuation in 2017, the pig farming industry in Vietnam does not seem to be able to lessen the difficulty of coping with lots of successive challenges. In the
past ten months, supplies have been devastated by two significant epidemics: Foot-and-Mouth Disease (FMD) and African Swine Fever (ASF).

In the middle of 2018, due to a significant cut in pig farming following the 2017 price fluctuation resulting in a temporary supply shortage, pork price skyrocketed about 3,000 - 5,000
VND/kg per month, reaching a record level of about 55,000 VND/kg in some northern areas. Pork price and its demand were predicted to significantly increase at the end of the year
due to the coming of Tet, leading suppliers to rekindle hopes to increase the scale of production. However, the outbreak of Foot-and-Mouth disease around the last three months of the
year made those hopes extinguished.

Coping with epidemics, backyard supply and small private ones had to bear the pressure of debts, forcing them to temporarily stop raising or scaling down the numbers of sow herds.
Meanwhile, med-sized and large-sized private supplies implemented the re-herd to take full advantage of the short-term supply shortage, along with intergrated sow supply. However,
the rate of re-herding was relatively modest. Therefore, the herds of med-sized and large-sized private supplies recovered slightly by the end of 2018. Those herds accounted for more
than 30% of nationwide total sows, with the main expansion of intergrated sow supply - up to almost a quarter of the total sow herds. In addition, the amount of imported pork
contributed a small portion - about 11,623 tonnes of meat, to the total supply of 41.7 million heads - equivalent to 3.2 million tonnes of pork nationwide.
The report of pig farming market in June 2019

Total produced sows nationwide by supply segment At the beginning of 2019, Vietnam's pig supply continued suffering from African
Swine Fever - a dangerous and uncontrollable epidemic. All suppliers were in dire
Unit: milliion sow
straits. No matter their production scale, suppliers who could not implement adequate
2.922,8
biosecurity precautions were likely to become ASF's victims. Many small-sized

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suppliers have had their pig herd wiped out in the first few weeks since the fever

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spread. Along with the biosecurity enhancement, suspending re-herd activity and all

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commercials were standard solutions to prevent the fever spread.

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As of June 24, African Swine Fever has spread to about 60 provinces,cities across the

1,9 – 2,1 million sow
At the end of 2018
Backyard 50 sow supply (%)
Sub-commercial 50-200 sows (%)
Med-sized commercial 200-500 sows (%)
SF
country and showed no sign of diminishing, with more than 2.6 million pigs
demolished. Regarding pork supply, Ipsos Business Consulting estimates the total sow
herds nationwide as of 6/2019 has decreased by 30% compared with last year. In
which, small suppliers were the most affected segmentdue to lack of precaution and
weak biosecurity. In parallel with the sharp decrease in pork supply, the demand for
meat consumption relatively reduced. From in-depth research and expert consultancy,
Ipsos Business Consulting predicts that by the end of 2019, Vietnam may have a
In the middle of 2019
shortage of up to 500 thousand tons of pork due to the severe effects of ASF on the
Large-sized commercial market supply.
more than 500 sows(%)
Intergrated sow supply (%)