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PRINCIPLES OF

MACROECONOMICS
TENTH EDITION
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

CASE FAIR OSTER


© 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Prepared by: Fernando Quijano & Shelly
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PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

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The Government and Fiscal
Policy 9
CHAPTER
OUTLINE in the Economy
Government
Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable
Income (Yd)
The Determination of Equilibrium Output (Income)
Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects
The Government Spending Multiplier
The Tax Multiplier
The Balanced-Budget Multiplier
The Federal Budget
The Budget in 2009
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Fiscal Policy Since 1993: The Clinton, Bush, and Obama


Administrations
The Federal Government Debt
The Economy’s Influence on the Government
Budget
Automatic Stabilizers and Destabilizers
Full-Employment Budget
Looking Ahead
Appendix A: Deriving the Fiscal Policy Multipliers
Appendix B: The Case in Which Tax Revenues
Depend on Income
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fiscal policy The government’s spending and taxing policies.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

monetary policy The behavior of the Federal Reserve


concerning the nation’s money supply.

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Government in the Economy

discretionary fiscal policy Changes in taxes or spending that are the result of
deliberate changes in government policy.

Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable Income (Yd)

net taxes (T) Taxes paid by firms and households to the government
minus transfer payments made to households by the government.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

disposable, or after-tax, income (Yd) Total income minus net taxes:


Y − T.

disposable income ≡ total income − net taxes

Yd ≡ Y − T

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Government in the Economy

Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable Income (Yd)

 FIGURE 9.1 Adding Net Taxes


(T) and Government Purchases (G)
to the Circular Flow of Income
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

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Government in the Economy

Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable Income (Yd)

The disposable income (Yd) of households must end up as either


consumption (C) or saving (S). Thus,

Yd  C  S
Because disposable income is aggregate income (Y) minus net taxes
(T), we can write another identity:

Y T C S
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

By adding T to both sides:

Y CS T
Planned aggregate expenditure (AE) is the sum of consumption
spending by households (C), planned investment by business firms (I),
and government purchases of goods and services (G).

AE  C  I  G
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Government in the Economy

Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable Income (Yd)

budget deficit The difference between what a government spends


and what it collects in taxes in a given period: G − T.

budget deficit ≡ G − T
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

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Government in the Economy

Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable Income (Yd)

Adding Taxes to the Consumption Function

To modify our aggregate consumption function to


incorporate disposable income instead of before-tax income,
instead of C = a + bY, we write

C = a + bYd
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

or

C = a + b(Y − T)

Our consumption function now has consumption depending


on disposable income instead of before-tax income.

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Government in the Economy

Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable Income (Yd)

Planned Investment

The government can affect investment behavior through its


tax treatment of depreciation and other tax policies.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

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Government in the Economy

The Determination of Equilibrium Output (Income)

Y=C+I+G

TABLE 9.1 Finding Equilibrium for I = 100, G = 100, and T = 100


(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)

Planned Planned Unplanned


Output Net Disposable Consumption Saving Investment Government Aggregate Inventory Adjustment
(Income) Taxes Income Spending S Spending Purchases Expenditure Change to Disequi-
Y T Y d ≡Y  T C = 100 + .75 Yd Yd – C I G C + I + G Y  (C + I + G) librium
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

300 100 200 250  50 100 100 450  150 Output ↑


500 100 400 400 0 100 100 600  100 Output ↑

700 100 600 550 50 100 100 750  50 Output ↑


900 100 800 700 100 100 100 900 0 Equilibrium
1,100 100 1,000 850 150 100 100 1,050 + 50 Output ↓
1,300 100 1,200 1,000 200 100 100 1,200 + 100 Output ↓
1,500 100 1,400 1,150 250 100 100 1,350 + 150 Output ↓

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Government in the Economy

The Determination of Equilibrium Output (Income)

 FIGURE 9.2 Finding Equilibrium


Output/Income Graphically
Because G and I are both fixed at
100, the aggregate expenditure
function is the new consumption
function displaced upward by I + G
= 200.
Equilibrium occurs at Y = C + I + G
= 900.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

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Government in the Economy

The Determination of Equilibrium Output (Income)

The Saving/Investment Approach to Equilibrium

saving/investment approach to equilibrium:

S+T=I+G

To derive this, we know that in equilibrium, aggregate


output (income) (Y) equals planned aggregate expenditure
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

(AE). By definition, AE equals C + I + G, and by definition,


Y equals C + S + T.
Therefore, at equilibrium:

C+S+T=C+I+G

Subtracting C from both sides leaves:

S+T=I+G
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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

At this point, we are assuming that the government controls G and T. In this
section, we will review three multipliers:

Government spending multiplier

Tax multiplier

Balanced-budget multiplier
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

The Government Spending Multiplier

1
government spending multiplier 
MPS

government spending multiplier The ratio of the change in the


equilibrium level of output to a change in government spending.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

The Government Spending Multiplier

TABLE 9.2 Finding Equilibrium after a Government Spending Increase of 50 (G Has


Increased from 100 in Table 9.1 to 150 Here)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)
Unplanned
Planned Planned Inventory
Output Net Disposable Consumption Saving Investment Government Aggregate Change Adjustment
(Income) Taxes Income Spending S Spending Purchases Expenditure Y  (C + I + to
Y T Yd ≡Y  T C = 100 + .75 Yd Yd – C I G C+I+G G) Disequilibrium
300 100 200 250  50 100 150 500  200 Output ↑

 150
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

500 100 400 400 0 100 150 650 Output ↑

700 100 600 550 50 100 150 800  100 Output ↑

900 100 800 700 100 100 150 950  50 Output ↑

1,100 100 1,000 850 150 100 150 1,100 0 Equilibrium

1,300 100 1,200 1,000 200 100 150 1,250 + 50 Output ↓

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

The Government Spending Multiplier

 FIGURE 9.3 The Government


Spending Multiplier
Increasing government spending by
50 shifts the AE function up by 50.
As Y rises in response, additional
consumption is generated.
Overall, the equilibrium level of Y
increases by 200, from 900 to
1,100.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

The Tax Multiplier

tax multiplier The ratio of change in the equilibrium level of output to


a change in taxes.
 1 
Y  (in itial in crease in ag g reg ate ex p en d itu re)   
 M PS 
Because the initial change in aggregate expenditure caused by a tax
change of ∆T is (−∆T × MPC), we can solve for the tax multiplier by
substitution:

Y  (  T  MPC )  
1   MPC 
  T   
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

 MPS   MPS 
Because a tax cut will cause an increase in consumption expenditures
and output and a tax increase will cause a reduction in consumption
expenditures and output, the tax multiplier is a negative multiplier:

tax multiplier  

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 MPC

MPS
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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

balanced-budget multiplier The ratio of change in the equilibrium


level of output to a change in government spending where the change
in government spending is balanced by a change in taxes so as not to
create any deficit. The balanced-budget multiplier is equal to 1: The
change in Y resulting from the change in G and the equal change in T
are exactly the same size as the initial change in G or T.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

balanced-budget multiplier  1

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

TABLE 9.3 Finding Equilibrium after a Balanced-Budget Increase in G and T of 200 Each
(Both G and T Have Increased from 100 in Table 9.1 to 300 Here)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)

Planned Planned Unplanned


Output Net Disposable Consumption Investment Government Aggregate Inventory Adjustment
(Income) Taxes Income Spending Spending Purchases Expenditure Change to
Y T Y d ≡Y  T C = 100 + .75 Yd I G C + I + G Y  (C + I + G) Disequilibrium
500 300 200 250 100 300 650  150 Output ↑

700 300 400 400 100 300 800  100 Output ↑


PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

900 300 600 550 100 300 950  50 Output ↑

1,100 300 800 700 100 300 1,100 0 Equilibrium

1,300 300 1,000 850 100 300 1,250 + 50 Output ↓

1,500 300 1,200 1,000 100 300 1,400 + 100 Output ↓

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

TABLE 9.4 Summary of Fiscal Policy Multipliers

Final Impact on
Policy Stimulus Multiplier Equilibrium Y

Government Increase or decrease in the 1 1


spending level of government G 
multiplier purchases: ∆G M PS MPS

 M PC  MPC
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Tax multiplier Increase or decrease in the T 


level of net taxes: ∆T M PS MPS

Balanced- Simultaneous balanced-budget


budget increase or decrease in the 1 G
multiplier level of government purchases
and net taxes: ∆G = ∆T

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

A Warning

Although we have added government, the story told about


the multiplier is still incomplete and oversimplified.

We have been treating net taxes (T) as a lump-sum, fixed


amount, whereas in practice, taxes depend on income.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Appendix B to this chapter shows that the size of the


multiplier is reduced when we make the more realistic
assumption that taxes depend on income.

We continue to add more realism and difficulty to our analysis


in the chapters that follow.

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The Federal Budget

federal budget The budget of the federal government.

The “budget” is really three different budgets:

It is a political document that dispenses favors to certain groups or regions and


places burdens on others.

It is a reflection of goals the government wants to achieve.


PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

The budget may be an embodiment of some beliefs about how (if at all) the
government should manage the macroeconomy.

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The Federal Budget

The Budget in 2009

TABLE 9.5 Federal Government Receipts and Expenditures, 2009 (Billions of Dollars)
Amount Percentage of Total
Current receipts
Personal income taxes 828.7 37.2
Excise taxes and customs duties 92.3 4.1
Corporate income taxes 231.0 10.4
Taxes from the rest of the world 12.3 0.6
Contributions for social insurance 949.1 42.7
Interest receipts and rents and royalties 48.2 2.2
Current transfer receipts from business and persons 68.1 3.1
Current surplus of government enterprises − 4.9 − 0.2
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Total 2,224.9 100.0


Current Expenditures
Consumption expenditures 986.4 28.6
Transfer payments to persons 1596.1 46.2
Transfer payments to the rest of the world 61.7 1.8
Grants-in-aid to state and local governments 476.6 13.8
Interest payments 272.3 7.9
Subsidies 58.2 1.7
Total 3,451.3 100.0
Net federal government saving—surplus (+) or deficit (−)
(Total current receipts − Total current expenditures) − 1,226.4

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The Federal Budget

The Budget in 2009

federal surplus (+) or deficit (−) Federal government receipts minus


expenditures.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

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The Federal Budget

Fiscal Policy Since 1993: The Clinton, Bush, and Obama Administrations
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

 FIGURE 9.4 Federal Personal Income Taxes as a Percentage of Taxable Income, 1993 I–2010 I

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The Federal Budget

Fiscal Policy Since 1993: The Clinton, Bush, and Obama Administrations
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

 FIGURE 9.5 Federal Government Consumption Expenditures as a Percentage of GDP and


Federal Transfer Payments and Grants-in-Aid as a Percentage of GDP, 1993 I–2010 I

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The Federal Budget

Fiscal Policy Since 1993: The Clinton, Bush, and Obama Administrations
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

 FIGURE 9.6 The Federal Government Surplus (+) or Deficit (–) as a Percentage of GDP, 1993 I–2010 I

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The Federal Budget

The Federal Government Debt

federal debt The total amount owed by the federal government.

privately held federal debt The privately held (non-government-


owned) debt of the U.S. government.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

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The Federal Budget

The Federal Government Debt


PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

 FIGURE 9.7 The Federal Government Debt as a Percentage of GDP, 1993 I–2010 1

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The Economy’s Influence on the Government Budget

Automatic Stabilizers and Destabilizers

automatic stabilizers Revenue and expenditure items in the federal


budget that automatically change with the state of the economy in
such a way as to stabilize GDP.

automatic destabilizer Revenue and expenditure items in the federal


budget that automatically change with the state of the economy in
such a way as to destabilize GDP.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

fiscal drag The negative effect on the economy that occurs when
average tax rates increase because taxpayers have moved into higher
income brackets during an expansion.

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ECONOMICS IN PRACTICE

Governments Disagree on How Much More Spending Is Needed


The U.S. economy is intertwined with the rest
of the world.

For that reason, U.S. government leaders are


concerned not only with their own fiscal
policies but also with those of other
governments (and vice versa).

President Obama was among the strongest


advocates of additional stimulus by
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

governments in a June 2010 summit of the


G-20.

Spending Fight at G-20


The Wall Street Journal
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The Economy’s Influence on the Government Budget

Full-Employment Budget

full-employment budget What the federal budget would be if the


economy were producing at the full-employment level of output.

structural deficit The deficit that remains at full employment.

cyclical deficit The deficit that occurs because of a downturn in the


PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

business cycle.

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Looking Ahead

We have now seen how households, firms, and the government interact in the
goods market, how equilibrium output (income) is determined, and how the
government uses fiscal policy to influence the economy.

In the following two chapters, we analyze the money market and monetary
policy—the government’s other major tool for influencing the economy.
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

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REVIEW TERMS AND CONCEPTS

automatic destabilizers privately held federal debt


automatic stabilizers structural deficit
balanced-budget multiplier tax multiplier
budget deficit 1. Disposable income Yd ≡ Y − T
cyclical deficit 2. AE ≡ C + I + G
discretionary fiscal policy 3. Government budget deficit ≡ G − T
disposable, or after-tax, income (Yd) 4. Equilibrium in an economy with a
federal budget government: Y = C + I + G
federal debt 5. Saving/investment approach to
equilibrium in an economy with a
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

federal surplus (+) or deficit (−)


government: S + T = I + G
fiscal drag 1
6. Government spending multiplier ≡ MPS
fiscal policy
full-employment budget  MPC 

7. Tax multiplier ≡  
government spending multiplier  MPS 
monetary policy
8. Balanced-budget multiplier ≡ 1
net taxes (T)
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CHAPTER 9 APPENDIX A
Deriving the Fiscal Policy Multipliers
The Government Spending and Tax Multipliers

We can derive the multiplier algebraically using our hypothetical


consumption function:
C  a  b (Y  T )
The equilibrium condition is
Y CI G
By substituting for C, we get
Y  a  b (Y  T )  I  G
Y  a  bY  bT  I  G
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

This equation can be rearranged to yield


Y  bY  a  I  G  bT
Y ( 1  b )  a  I  G  bT
Now solve for Y by dividing through by (1 − b):
1
Y  (a  I  G  bT )
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1  b  36 of 42
CHAPTER 9 APPENDIX A
Deriving the Fiscal Policy Multipliers
The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

It is easy to show formally that the balanced-budget multiplier = 1.

increase in spending: G
− decrease in spending: C  T ( MPC )
= net increase in spending G  T ( MPC )

In a balanced-budget increase, G = T; so we can substitute:


PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

net initial increase in spending:


G − G (MPC) = G (1 − MPC)

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CHAPTER 9 APPENDIX A
Deriving the Fiscal Policy Multipliers
The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

Because MPS = (1 − MPC), the net initial increase in spending is:

G (MPS)

 1 
We can now apply the expenditure multiplier   to this net initial
increase in spending:  MPS 
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

 1 
Y  G ( MPS )    G
 MPS 

Thus, the final total increase in the equilibrium level of Y is just equal to the
initial balanced increase in G and T.

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CHAPTER 9 APPENDIX B
The Case in Which Tax Revenues Depend on Income
 FIGURE 9B.1 The Tax Function
This graph shows net taxes (taxes
minus transfer payments) as a
function of aggregate income.

Yd  Y  T

Yd  Y  (200  1 / 3Y )
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Yd  Y  200  1 / 3Y

C  100  .75Yd

C  100  .75(Y  200  1 / 3Y )

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CHAPTER 9 APPENDIX B
The Case in Which Tax Revenues Depend on Income
Y  C  I G

Y  100  .75(Y  200  1/ 3Y )  100


  100

         
C I G

Y  100  .75Y  150  25Y  100  100


Y  450  .5Y
.5Y  450
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

 FIGURE 9B.2 Different Tax Systems


When taxes are strictly lump-sum (T =
100) and do not depend on income, the
aggregate expenditure function is steeper
than when taxes depend on income.

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CHAPTER 9 APPENDIX B
The Case in Which Tax Revenues Depend on Incomes
The Government Spending and Tax Multipliers Algebraically

C  a  b (Y  T )
C  a  b(Y  T0  tY )

C  a  bY  bT0  btY
Through substitution we get
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Y  a  bY  bT  btY  I  G
       0

C
Solving for Y:

1
Y  ( a  I  G  bT 0 )
1  b  bt
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CHAPTER 9 APPENDIX B
The Case in Which Tax Revenues Depend on Incomes
The Government Spending and Tax Multipliers Algebraically

This means that a $1 increase in G or I (holding a and T0 constant) will


increase the equilibrium level of Y by

1
1  b  bt
PART III The Core of Macroeconomic Theory

Holding a, I, and G constant, a fixed or lump-sum tax cut (a cut in T0) will
increase the equilibrium level of income by

b
1  b  bt

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