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PART V THE CORE OF MACROECONOMIC THEORY

The Government
and Fiscal Policy
24
CHAPTER OUTLINE
Government in the Economy
Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T),
and Disposable income (Y d)
The Determination of Equilibrium Output
(Income)

Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects


CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

The Government Spending Multiplier


The Tax Multiplier
The Balanced-Budget Multiplier
The Federal Budget
The Budget in 2007
Fiscal Policy Since 1993: The Clinton and
Bush Administrations
The Federal Government Debt
The Economy’s Influence on the
Government Budget
Tax Revenues Depend on the State of the
Economy
Some Government Expenditures Depend on the
State of the Economy
Automatic Stabilizers
Fiscal Drag
Full-Employment Budget
Looking Ahead
Appendix A: Deriving the Fiscal Policy
Multipliers
Appendix B: The Case in Which Tax Revenues
Depend on Income
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The Government and Fiscal Policy

fiscal policy The government’s spending and


taxing policies.

monetary policy The behavior of the Federal


Reserve concerning the nation’s money supply.
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

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Government in the Economy

discretionary fiscal policy Changes in taxes or


spending that are the result of deliberate changes
in government policy.

Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable


Income (Yd)
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

net taxes (T) Taxes paid by firms and households


to the government minus transfer payments made
to households by the government.

disposable, or after-tax, income (Yd) Total


income minus net taxes: Y - T.

disposable income ≡ total income − net taxes

Yd ≡ Y − T

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Government in the Economy
Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable
Income (Yd)

 FIGURE 24.1 Adding Net


Taxes (T) and Government
Purchases (G) to the
Circular Flow of Income
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

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Government in the Economy
Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable
Income (Yd)

When government enters the picture, the


aggregate income identity gets cut into three
pieces:
Yd  Y  T
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

Yd  C  S
Y  T  C  S
Y  C  S  T
And aggregate expenditure (AE) equals:

AE  C  I  G
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Government in the Economy
Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable
Income (Yd)

budget deficit The difference between what a


government spends and what it collects in taxes in
a given period: G - T.
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

budget deficit ≡ G − T

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Government in the Economy
Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable
Income (Yd)

Adding Taxes to the Consumption Function

To modify our aggregate consumption function to


incorporate disposable income instead of before-
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

tax income, instead of C = a + bY, we write

C = a + bYd
or
C = a + b(Y − T)

Our consumption function now has consumption


depending on disposable income instead of
before-tax income.

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Government in the Economy
Government Purchases (G), Net Taxes (T), and Disposable
Income (Yd)

Planned Investment

The government can affect investment behavior


through its tax treatment of depreciation and other
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

tax policies.

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Government in the Economy
The Determination of Equilibrium Output (Income)

Y=C+I+G

TABLE 24.1 Finding Equilibrium for I = 100, G = 100, and T = 100


CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)

Planned Planned Unplanned


Output Net Disposable Consumption Saving Investment Government Aggregate Inventory Adjustment
(Income) Taxes Income Spending S Spending Purchases Expenditure Change to Disequi-
Y T Yd Y  T (C = 100 + .75 Yd) (Yd – C) I G C+I+G Y  (C + I + G) librium

300 100 200 250  50 100 100 450  150 Output


500 100 400 400 0 100 100 600  100 Output
700 100 600 550 50 100 100 750  50 Output
900 100 800 700 100 100 100 900 0 Equilibrium
1,100 100 1,000 850 150 100 100 1,050 + 50 Output
1,300 100 1,200 1,000 200 100 100 1,200 + 100 Output
1,500 100 1,400 1,150 250 100 100 1,350 + 150 Output

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Government in the Economy
The Determination of Equilibrium Output (Income)
 FIGURE 24.2 Finding Equilibrium
Output/Income Graphically
Because G and I are both fixed
at 100, the aggregate
expenditure function is the new
consumption function displaced
upward by I + G = 200.
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

Equilibrium occurs at Y = C + I +
G = 900.

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Government in the Economy
The Determination of Equilibrium Output (Income)

The Saving/Investment Approach to Equilibrium

saving/investment approach to equilibrium:

S+T=I+G
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

To derive this, we know that in equilibrium,


aggregate output (income) (Y) equals planned
aggregate expenditure (AE). By definition, AE
equals C + I + G; and by definition, Y equals
C + S + T. Therefore, at equilibrium

C+S+T=C+I+G

Subtracting C from both sides leaves:

S+T=I+G

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects

At this point, we are assuming that the government


controls G and T. In this section, we will review
three multipliers:

Government spending multiplier

Tax multiplier
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

Balanced-budget multiplier

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects
The Government Spending Multiplier

1
government spending multiplier 
MPS
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

government spending multiplier The ratio of the


change in the equilibrium level of output to a
change in government spending.

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects
The Government Spending Multiplier

TABLE 24.2 Finding Equilibrium After a Government Spending Increase of 50 (G Has


Increased from 100 in Table 24.1 to 150 Here)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)

Planned Planned Unplanned


Output Net Disposable Consumption Saving Investment Government Aggregate Inventory Adjustment
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

(Income) Taxes Income Spending S Spending Purchases Expenditure Change To


Y T Yd Y  T (C = 100 + .75 Yd) (Yd – C) I G C + I + G Y  (C + I + G) Disequilibrium

300 100 200 250  50 100 150 500  200 Output

500 100 400 400 0 100 150 650  150 Output

700 100 600 550 50 100 150 800  100 Output

900 100 800 700 100 100 150 950  50 Output

1,100 100 1,000 850 150 100 150 1,100 0 Equilibrium

1,300 100 1,200 1,000 200 100 150 1,250 + 50 Output

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects
The Government Spending Multiplier

 FIGURE 24.3 The Government


Spending Multiplier
Increasing government spending
by 50 shifts the AE function up by
50. As Y rises in response,
additional consumption is
generated.
Overall, the equilibrium level of Y
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

increases by 200, from 900 to


1,100.

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects
The Tax Multiplier

tax multiplier The ratio of change in the


equilibrium level of output to a change in taxes.

 1 
 Y  (in itia l in c re a s e in a g g re g a te e x p e n d itu re )   
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

 M PS 


Y  (  T  MPC )  
1   MPC 
  T   
 MPS   MPS 

tax multiplier    
MPC

MPS

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects
The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

balanced-budget multiplier The ratio of change


in the equilibrium level of output to a change in
government spending where the change in
government spending is balanced by a change in
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

taxes so as not to create any deficit. The


balanced-budget multiplier is equal to 1: The
change in Y resulting from the change in G and the
equal change in T are exactly the same size as the
initial change in G or T.

balanced-budget multiplier  1

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects
The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

TABLE 24.3 Finding Equilibrium After a Balanced-Budget Increase in G and T of 200 Each
(Both G and T Have Increased from 100 in Table 24.1 to 300 Here)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9)

Planned Planned Unplanned


Output Net Disposable Consumption Investment Government Aggregate Inventory Adjustment
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

(Income) Taxes Income Spending Spending Purchases Expenditure Change To


Y T Yd Y  T (C = 100 + .75 Yd) I G C+I+G Y  (C + I + G) Disequilibrium

500 300 200 250 100 300 650  150 Output

700 300 400 400 100 300 800  100 Output

900 300 600 550 100 300 950  50 Output

1,100 300 800 700 100 300 1,100 0 Equilibrium

1,300 300 1,000 850 100 300 1,250 + 50 Output

1,500 300 1,200 1,000 100 300 1,400 + 100 Output

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Fiscal Policy at Work: Multiplier Effects
The Balanced-Budget Multiplier

TABLE 24.4 Summary of Fiscal Policy Multipliers

Final Impact On
Policy Stimulus Multiplier Equilibrium Y

Government Increase or decrease in the 1 1


G 
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

spending level of government


multiplier purchases: ∆G M PS MPS

Tax multiplier Increase or decrease in the  M PC  MPC


T 
level of net taxes: ∆T M PS MPS

Balanced- Simultaneous balanced-budget


budget increase or decrease in the 1 G
multiplier level of government purchases
and net taxes: ∆G = ∆T

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The Federal Budget

federal budget The budget of the federal


government.

The “budget” is really three different budgets.


CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

First, it is a political document that dispenses


favors to certain groups or regions and places
burdens on others.

Second, it is a reflection of goals the government


wants to achieve.

Third, the budget may be an embodiment of some


beliefs about how (if at all) the government should
manage the macroeconomy.

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The Federal Budget
The Budget in 2007

TABLE 24.5 Federal Government Receipts and Expenditures, 2007 (Billions of Dollars)
Amount Percentage Of Total
Receipts
Personal income taxes 1,162.1 43.5
Excise taxes and customs duties 99.9 3.7
Corporate income taxes 380.8 14.3
Taxes from the rest of the world 13.4 0.5
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

Contributions for social insurance 953.0 35.7


Interest receipts and rents and royalties 25.1 0.9
Current transfer receipts from business and persons 39.4 1.5
Current surplus of government enterprises − 2.3 − 0.0
Total 2,671.4 100.0
Current Expenditures
Consumption expenditures 856.0 29.6
Transfer payments to persons 1,270.7 43.9
Transfer payments to the rest of the world 38.6 1.3
Grants-in-aid to state and local governments 377.5 13.1
Interest payments 302.4 10.5
Subsidies 46.7 1.6
Total 2,892.0 100.0
Net federal government saving—surplus (+) or deficit (−)
(Total current receipts − Total current expenditures) − 220.6
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

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The Federal Budget
The Budget in 2007

federal surplus (+) or deficit () Federal


government receipts minus expenditures.
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

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The Federal Budget
Fiscal Policy Since 1993: The Clinton and Bush Administrations
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

 FIGURE 24.4 Federal Personal Income Taxes as a Percentage of Taxable Income, 1993 I–2007 IV

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The Federal Budget
Fiscal Policy Since 1993: The Clinton and Bush Administrations
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

 FIGURE 24.5 Federal Government Consumption Expenditures as a Percentage of GDP and


Federal Transfer Payments and Grants-in-Aid as a Percentage of GDP, 1993 I–2007 IV

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The Federal Budget
Fiscal Policy Since 1993: The Clinton and Bush Administrations
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

 FIGURE 24.6 The Federal Government Surplus (+) or Deficit (–) as a Percentage of GDP,
1993 I–2007 IV

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The Federal Budget
The Federal Government Debt

federal debt The total amount owed by the


federal government.

privately held federal debt The privately held


CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

(non-government-owned) debt of the U.S.


government.

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The Federal Budget
The Federal Government Debt
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

 FIGURE 24.7 The Federal Government Debt as a Percentage of GDP, 1993 I–2007 IV

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The Economy’s Influence on the Government Budget
Tax Revenues Depend on the State of the Economy

Tax revenue, on the other hand, depends on


taxable income, and income depends on the state
of the economy, which the government does not
completely control.
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

Some Government Expenditures Depend on the State of the


Economy

Transfer payments tend to go down automatically


during an expansion.

Inflation often picks up when the economy is


expanding. This can lead the government to spend
more than it had planned to spend.

Any change in the interest rate changes


government interest payments.

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The Economy’s Influence on the Government Budget
Some Government Expenditures Depend on the State of the
Economy

Fiscal Policy In 2008


CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

Congress Approves
Economic-Stimulus Bill
Wall Street Journal

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The Economy’s Influence on the Government Budget
Automatic Stabilizers

automatic stabilizers Revenue and expenditure


items in the federal budget that automatically
change with the state of the economy in such a
way as to stabilize GDP.
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

Fiscal Drag

fiscal drag The negative effect on the economy


that occurs when average tax rates increase
because taxpayers have moved into higher income
brackets during an expansion.

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The Economy’s Influence on the Government Budget
Full-Employment Budget

full-employment budget What the federal


budget would be if the economy were producing at
the full-employment level of output.

structural deficit The deficit that remains at full


CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

employment.

cyclical deficit The deficit that occurs because of


a downturn in the business cycle.

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REVIEW TERMS AND CONCEPTS

automatic stabilizers net taxes (T)


balanced-budget multiplier privately held federal debt
budget deficit structural deficit
cyclical deficit tax multiplier
discretionary fiscal policy 1. Disposable income Yd ≡ Y − T
disposable, or after-tax, 2. AE ≡ C + I + G
3. Government budget deficit ≡ G − T
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

income (Yd)
federal budget 4. Equilibrium in an economy with
federal debt government: Y = C + I + G
federal surplus (+) or deficit (−) 5. Saving/investment approach to
equilibrium in an economy with
fiscal drag
government: S + T = I + G
fiscal policy 1
6. Government spending multiplier ≡ MPS
full-employment budget
government spending multiplier  MPC 

7. Tax multiplier ≡  
monetary policy  MPS 

8. Balanced-budget multiplier ≡ 1

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APPENDIX A
DERIVING THE FISCAL POLICY MULTIPLIERS
THE GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND TAX MULTIPLIERS

C  a  b (Y  T )
Y  C  I  G
Y  a  b (Y  T )  I  G
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

Y  a  bY  bT  I  G
Y  bY  a  I  G  bT
Y (1  b )  a  I  G  b T

1
Y  (a  I  G  bT )
1  b 

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APPENDIX A
DERIVING THE FISCAL POLICY MULTIPLIERS
THE BALANCED-BUDGET MULTIPLIER

The balanced-budget multiplier is found by


combining the effects of government spending and
taxes:

G
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

increase in spending:
- decrease in spending: C  T ( MPC )
= net increase in spending G  T ( MPC )

In a balanced-budget increase, ΔG = ΔT; so we


can substitute:

net initial increase in spending:


ΔG − ΔG (MPC) = ΔG (1 − MPC)

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APPENDIX A
DERIVING THE FISCAL POLICY MULTIPLIERS
THE BALANCED-BUDGET MULTIPLIER

Because MPS = (1 − MPC), the net initial increase


in spending is:

ΔG (MPS)
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

 1 
We can now apply the expenditure multiplier  
to this net initial increase in spending:  MPS 

 1 
Y  G ( MPS )    G
 MPS 

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APPENDIX B
THE CASE IN WHICH TAX REVENUES DEPEND ON INCOME

 FIGURE 24B.1 The Tax Function

Yd  Y  T
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

Yd  Y  (200  1 / 3Y )

Yd  Y  200  1 / 3Y

C  100  .75Yd

C  100  .75(Y  200  1 / 3Y )

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APPENDIX B
THE CASE IN WHICH TAX REVENUES DEPEND ON INCOME

Y  C  I G
Y  100  .75(Y  200  1/ 3Y )  100
  100

         
C I G

Y  100  .75Y  150  .25Y  100  100


Y  450  .5Y
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

.5Y  450

 FIGURE 24B.2 Different Tax


Systems
When taxes are strictly lump-sum (T =
100) and do not depend on income, the
aggregate expenditure function is
steeper than when taxes depend on
income.

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APPENDIX B
THE CASE IN WHICH TAX REVENUES DEPEND ON INCOME
THE GOVERNMENT SPENDING AND TAX MULTIPLIERS ALGEBRAICALLY

C  a  b (Y  T )
C  a  b(Y  T0  tY )

C  a  bY  bT0  btY
CHAPTER 24 The Government and Fiscal Policy

Y  a  bY  bT  btY  I  G
      0

C
1
Y  (a  I  G  b T0 )
1  b  bt
1
1  b  bt
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