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Session 2 - Valuation Concepts
Session 2 - Valuation Concepts
FUNDAMENTAL VALUATION
CONCEPTS
COURSE OUTLINE
Overview of Financial Management
Fundamental Valuation Concepts
Capital Budgeting
Cost of Capital
Working Capital Management
Capital Structure
Dividend Policy
THE STORY SO FAR
Every business decision has financial implications, thus
everything that a business does fits under the rubric of
corporate finance.
Maximisation of Profit
Profit in absolute terms is not relevant, leaves considerations of timing and duration undefined and
glosses over the factor of risk
Investment Principle
Financing Principle
Dividend Principle
KEY PRINCIPLES
Invest in projects that yield a return greater than the
minimum acceptable hurdle rate.
The hurdle rate should be higher for riskier projects and reflect
the financing mix used – owners’ funds (equity) or borrowed
money (debt)
Why ?
Productivity of capital
Capital will generate positive returns when invested
Inflation
Rs 100 today has greater purchasing power than Rs 100 one
year later
Rs 100
Rs 100 + (100 * r)
= Rs 100 * (1+r)
[Rs 100 *(1+ r)] + [Rs 100 *(1+ r) * r]
= Rs 100 * (1+r)2
Rs 100 *(1+r)3
FORMULA
FUTURE VALUEn = PRESENT VALUE (1+r)n
DOUBLING PERIOD
Common question – how many years to double the amount ?
Doubling period = 72 .
Interest rate
Interest rate : 15 percent
Examples
Insurance payments
Recurring FD / PPF deposit
Annual saving to accumulate a desired amount
Deposit in sinking fund account for bond redemption
+
1,210 = 1000 (1.10)2
+
1,331 = 1000 (1.10)3
+
1,464 = 1000 (1.10)4
Rs.6,105
(FVAn )
FV formula
FVAn = A(1+r)n-1 + A(1+r)n-2 ……. + A
Future value
FVAn = A (1+r) – 1
n
interest factor
FVIFA 10%, 5years
r
FVIFA tables
n/r 6% 8% 10 % 12 %
14 %
2 2.060 2.080 2.100 2.120
2.140
4 4.675 4.507 4.641 4.779
4.921
6 6.975 7.336 7.716 8.115
8.536
8 9.897 10.636 11.436 12.299
13.232
10 13.181 14.487 15.937 17.548
19.337
NOTATION
PV : Present value
FVn : Future value n years hence
= Rs.30,000 (1.11)30 - 1
0.11
= Rs.30,000 [ 199.02]
= Rs.5,970,600
EXAMPLE 3 : FV OF AN ANNUITY
HOW MUCH SHOULD YOU SAVE ANNUALLY
You want to buy a house after 5 years when it is expected to cost Rs.20 million. How
much should you save annually if your savings earn a compound return of 12
percent ?
The future value interest factor for a 5 year annuity, given an interest rate
of 12 percent, is :
(1+0.12)5 - 1
FVIFA n=5, r =12% = = 6.353
0.12
0.14
The annual sinking fund deposit should be :
Rs.500 million = Rs.58.575 million
8.536
EXAMPLE 5 : FV OF AN ANNUITY
FINDING THE INTEREST RATE
A finance company advertises that it will pay a lump sum of Rs.8,000 at the
end of 6 years to investors who deposit annually Rs.1,000 for 6 years. What
interest rate is implicit in this offer?
The interest rate may be calculated in two steps :
1. Find the FVIFA r,6 for this contract as follows :
Rs.1,000
2. Look at the FVIFA r,n table and read the row corresponding to 6 years
until you find a value close to 8.000. Doing so, we find that
FVIFA12%,6 is 8.115 . So, we conclude that the interest rate is slightly below
12 percent.
EXAMPLE 6 : FV OF AN ANNUITY
HOW LONG SHOULD YOU WAIT
You want to take up a trip abroad which costs Rs.1,000,000 the cost is
expected to remain unchanged in nominal terms. You can save annually Rs.50,000
for the trip. How long will you have to wait if your savings earn an interest of 12
percent ?
The future value of an annuity of Rs.50,000 that earns 12 percent is equated to
Rs.1,000,000.
Assignment – 1/2
You plan to go abroad for higher studies after working for the next five
years and understand that an amount of Rs.2,000,000 will be needed
for this purpose at that time. You have decided to accumulate this
amount by investing a fixed amount at the end of each year in a safe
scheme offering a rate of interest at 10 percent. What amount should
you invest every year to achieve the target amount?
You can save Rs.5,000 a year for 3 years, and Rs.7,000 a year for 7
years thereafter. What will these savings cumulate to at the end of 10
years, if the rate of interest is 8 percent?
Assignment – 2/2
How much should Vijay save each year, if he wishes to
purchase a flat expected to cost Rs.80 lacs after 8 years, if the
investment option available to him offers a rate of interest at 9
percent? Assume that the investment is to be made in equal
amounts at the end of each year.