5 2012 /

1 (1) A = 40S 2 / 2 239

(2) (1) a = 239 (0.995) = 20.00 b = 239 (0.005) = 65.48
2

2
(3) (1),(2) a 40S
2 b
1.22 2 4

40s2
b

40s2
a

2 99%
P p
p(1p)/n

2 P n Z

N (0, 12 )

p p p 77

p 1.2

p(1 p)
p p + 1.2
n

p(1 p)

p(1 p)
1
1
0.03 p(1 p) 1.2 0.03
n
4
n
( 1.2 )2
n 0.03
= 1600 1600
2 1.2

3 62
H0 : = 62,

H1 : < 62

H0 T X62
t24 H1 T < 2.492
2
S /24

T :t = 3(60.3 62) = 5.1 62

4 1 , 2 C T
H0 ; 12 = 22 ,

H1 ; 12 < 22
2

5S2 /4
9S2
H1 H0 F 10S
= 8S
2
2 F4,9
1 /9
1
2
2
S1 , S2 C T = 0.05 F F4,9 (0.05) = 3.63
F 964
813 5.54 H0 T

5
(1) 1 < 2
H0 : 1 = 2 ,

H 1 : 1 > 2
2

5
), Y
X, Y X N (1 , 100
2

12
5
12
N (2 , 100
) X Y N (1 2 , 100
+ 100
) H0
XY
2

Z =
= (X Y )/1.3 N (0, 1 ) H1 Z > 1.751
132
100

Z :z = 2

(2) (1) 2 Z = (X Y )/1.3 < 1.751 H1

Z (X Y a)/1.3 = Z a/1.3 N (0, 12 ) Z < 1.751 Z < 1751a/1.3
0.147 = P (Z < 1.751 a/1.3)
a/1.3 1.751 = 1.049 a = 1.3 2.8 = 3.64