Utah Water Supply Outlook Report, April 2013

Utah Water Supply
Outlook Report
April, 2013
Fish Lake SNOTEL and Snow Course, March 27, 2013.

Photo by Randy Julander.
Water Supply Outlook Reports

and Federal - State - Private Cooperative Snow Surveys
For more water supply and resource management information, contact:
Snow Survey Staff, 245 N Jimmy Doolittle Rd, SLC Utah, 84041 - Phone: (801)524-5213
Travis Thomason, Area Conservationist, 340 N. 600 E., Richfield, UT 84701 - Phone: (435) 896-6441
Don Ashby, Area Conservationist, 2871 S Commerce Way, Ogden UT 84401 (801)629-0580 x15
Barry Hamilton, Area Conservationist, 540 W, Price River Dr. Price, UT 84501-2813 - Phone: (435) 637-0041
Internet Address: http://www.ut.nrcs.usda.gov/snow/
How forecasts are made

Most of the annual streamflow in the western United States originates as snowfall that has accumulated in the mountains
during the winter and early spring. As the snowpack accumulates, hydrologists estimate the runoff that will occur when it
melts. Measurements of snow water equivalent at selected manual snowcourses and automated SNOTEL sites, along with
precipitation, antecedent streamflow, and indices of the El Nio / Southern Oscillation are used in computerized statistical
and simulation models to prepare runoff forecasts. Unless otherwise specified, all forecasts are for flows that would occur
naturally without any upstream influences.
Forecasts of any kind, of course, are not perfect. Streamflow forecast uncertainty arises from three primary sources: (1)
uncertain knowledge of future weather conditions, (2) uncertainty in the forecasting procedure, and (3) errors in the data.
The forecast, therefore, must be interpreted not as a single value but rather as a range of values with specific probabilities
of occurrence. The middle of the range is expressed by the 50% exceedance probability forecast, for which there is a 50%
chance that the actual flow will be above, and a 50% chance that the actual flow will be below, this value. To describe the
expected range around this 50% value, four other forecasts are provided, two smaller values (90% and 70% exceedance
probability) and two larger values (30%, and 10% exceedance probability). For example, there is a 90% chance that the
actual flow will be more than the 90% exceedance probability forecast. The others can be interpreted similarly.
The wider the spread among these values, the more uncertain the forecast. As the season progresses, forecasts become
more accurate, primarily because a greater portion of the future weather conditions become known; this is reflected by a
narrowing of the range around the 50% exceedance probability forecast. Users should take this uncertainty into
consideration when making operational decisions by selecting forecasts corresponding to the level of risk they are willing
to assume about the amount of water to be expected. If users anticipate receiving a lesser supply of water, or if they wish
to increase their chances of having an adequate supply of water for their operations, they may want to base their decisions
on the 90% or 70% exceedance probability forecasts, or something in between. On the other hand, if users are concerned
about receiving too much water (for example, threat of flooding), they may want to base their decisions on the 30% or
10% exceedance probability forecasts, or something in between. Regardless of the forecast value users choose for
operations, they should be prepared to deal with either more or less water. (Users should remember that even if the 90%
exceedance probability forecast is used, there is still a 10% chance of receiving less than this amount.) By using the
exceedance probability information, users can easily determine the chances of receiving more or less water.
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STATE OF UTAH GENERAL OUTLOOK

April 1, 2013
SUMMARY
Remember last year? Long, hot and dry every Water Managers nightmare? Well, this year is a
carbon copy repeat only with much less reservoir storage. March was the third consecutive
month of way below normal snow accumulation. So low in fact that on this months snow
surveys it was common to see the sampling holes and snowshoe tracks from the previous month.
Fortunately we havent had a wind event like last year which would make a bad situation worse.
Even at that, there are only a handful of the highest elevation SNOTEL sites that are not
currently melting. Snow packs across the state are low (62% on the Weber River to 90% on the
Beaver River) and dropping fast. March precipitation was much below normal statewide ranging
from 44% to 63% of average. This brings the year to date precipitation to below normal
statewide at 77%. Current soil moisture saturation levels in runoff producing areas are: Bear
73%, Weber 72%, Provo 73%, Uintah Basin 51%, SE Utah 48%, Sevier 64% and SW
Utah 63% of saturation. Soil moisture values are near normal in northern Utah and very dry in
the southeast. Low snow packs and dry soils will lead to lower runoff efficiency and less stream
flow this season. Reservoir storage is down 17% from last years figures and similar to 2010 and
2011. General runoff conditions are much below average across the state and are expected to
continue declining. Surface Water Supply Indices range from 4% for Joes Valley to 47% for the
lower Sevier. Water managers should prepare for early stream flow, shorter duration, longer
irrigation season, low volumes and low peak flows. The best we can hope for at this point is an
exceptionally wet spring that would delay water use across the state. The National Climate
Prediction Center forecast is for warm and dry.
SNOW PACK
April first snow packs as measured by the NRCS SNOTEL system range from 62% of median on
the Weber to 90% on the Beaver Watershed. Snow packs are down 10% to 30% from last
months figures.
PRECIPITATION
Mountain precipitation during March was 53% of average which brings the seasonal
accumulation (Oct-Mar) 77% of normal.
SOIL MOISTURE
Soil Moisture is rising rapidly in response to melting snowpacks. Last month it was very dry in
southeast Utah and near average in the remainder of the state.
RESERVOIRS
Storage in 46 of Utahs key irrigation reservoirs is at 71% of capacity compared to 88% last year.
STREAMFLOW
Snowmelt stream flows are expected to be much below average across the state this year.
Forecast stream flows range from 8% on the Bear River at Stewart Dam to 63% on Little
Cottonwood Creek and others. Most flows are forecast to be in the 20% to 50% range.
SURFACE WATER SUPPLY INDEX
Surface Water Supply indexes range from 4% on Joes Valley to 47% on the lower Sevier.
Previous Year % Capacity
Current % Capacity
Statewide Utah
4/1/2013
Snowpack in Utah is much below average at 67% of normal, compared to 58% last year. Precipitation in March was much below
average at 53%, which brings the seasonal accumulation (Oct-Mar) to 76% of average. Soil moisture is at 64% compared to 74% last
year. Reservoir storage is at 65% of capacity, compared to 86% last year. Forecast streamflow volumes range from 14% to 92% of
average.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
25
80%
Saturation, volume %
30
Snow Water Equivalent (in)
20
15
10
60%
40%
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
140
Statewide
120
Southwestern Utah
Percent of Average
100
Upper Sevier
Lower Sevier
80
Price Basin
60
Duchesne Basin
40
Provo Basin
Weber & Ogden
20
Bear River Basin
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Utah
SNOTEL Water Year (Oct 1) to Date Precipitation
% of Normal
Raft River
Apr 01, 2013
90
Logan !
!
!
Water Year
(Oct 1) to Date
Precipitation
Basin-wide
Percent of
1981-2010
Average
Ogden
Great
Salt Lake
Bear River
Weber
Ogden
Northeaster Uintahs
76
Salt Lake City
80
79
85
79
^
!
(
_
Duchesne River
75
TooeleVernon
unavailable *
Lower
Sevier River
70 - 89%
Roosevelt
Provo
Price - San Rafael
San
Pitch
90
90 - 109%
!
!
ProvoUtahJordan
<50%
50 - 69%
72
75
!
!
77
77
110 - 129%
130 - 149%
70
>=150%
Moab
!
!
* Data unavailable at time

of posting or measurement
is not representative at this
time of year
85
Beaver River
Provisional Data
Subject to Revision
15
Southwestern Utah
78
Upper
Sevier River
70
74
75
Dirty Devil
83
Southeastern Utah
Escalante River
St. George
!
!
10 20
The water year to date precipitation percent of normal represents the

accumulated precipitation found at selected SNOTEL sites in or near the basin
compared to the average value for those sites on this day. Data based on
the first reading of the day (typically 00:00).
40
60
80
Miles
100
Prepared by the USDA/NRCS National Water and Climate Center

Portland, Oregon http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/gis/
Based on data from http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/reports/
Science contact: Jim.Marron@por.usda.gov 503 414 3047
Utah
SNOTEL Current Snow Water Equivalent (SWE)
% of Normal
Raft River
87
Apr 01, 2013
Logan !
!
!
Snow Water
Equivalent (SWE)
Basin-wide
Percent of
1981-2010
Median
Ogden
Salt Lake City
unavailable *
68
Provo
ProvoUtahJordan
San
Pitch
87
90 - 109%
80
66
63
!
!
Lower Sevier
River
70 - 89%
Northeastern Uintahs
Duchesne River
<50%
50 - 69%
Weber
Ogden
^
!
(
_
72
TooeleVernon
Bear River
62
Great
Salt Lake
80
66
Roosevelt
Price - San Rafael
70
110 - 129%
!
!
66
130 - 149%
70
>=150%
Moab
!
!
* Data unavailable at time

of posting or measurement
is not representative at this
time of year
90
76
Beaver River
Provisional Data
Subject to Revision
Southwestern Utah
15
St. George
Dirty Devil
Upper
Sevier River
62
67
74
80
Southeastern Utah
Escalante River
!
!
10 20
The snow water equivalent percent of normal represents the current

snow water equivalent found at selected SNOTEL sites in or near the basin
compared to the average value for those sites on this day. Data based on
the first reading of the day (typically 00:00).
40
60
80
Miles
100
Prepared by the USDA/NRCS National Water and Climate Center

Portland, Oregon http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/gis/
Based on data from http://www.wcc.nrcs.usda.gov/reports/
Science contact: Jim.Marron@por.usda.gov 503 414 3047
Utah streamflow
and reservoir
forecast points
#
*
#
*
Percent normal
#
*
#
*
#
*
#
*
#
*
#
*
#
*
#
*
< 50%
#
*
Forecast points
50 - 69%
Cities
70 - 89%
Rivers
90 - 109%
Highways
110 - 129%
130 - 149%
0
> 150%
no % avail.
15 30
60
90
120
Miles
Raft River Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Raft River Basin is below average at 87% of normal, compared to 99% last year. Precipitation in March was below
average at 80%, which brings the seasonal accumulation (Oct-Mar) to 90% of average. Soil moisture is at 62% compared to 67% last
year. The forecast streamflow volume for Dunn Creek is 41% of average.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
120%
50
45
100%
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
80%
60%
40%
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
Precipitation
180
160
Percent of Average
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Raft basin
V
U
16
V
U
42
V
U
30
!
(
#
*
5
Park Valley
V
U
30
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
50 - 69%
70 - 89%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
Forecast points
90 - 109%
Rivers
110 - 129%
Highways
130 - 149%
Cities
> 150%
no % avail.
0 1.5 3
12
Miles
Raft River Basin as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
RAFT RIVER BASIN
Streamflow Forecasts - April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
| <<====== Drier ====== Future Conditions ======= Wetter =====>> |
|
|
Forecast Point
Forecast | ==================== Chance Of Exceeding * ====================== |
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Dunn Ck nr Park Valley
APR-JUL
0.17
0.80
|
1.20
41
|
1.80
2.70
2.90
==================================================================================================================================
* 90%, 70%, 50%, 30%, and 10% chances of exceeding are the probabilities that the actual volume will exceed the volumes in the table.
The average is computed for the 1981-2010 base period.
(1) - The values listed under the 10% and 90% Chance of Exceeding are actually 5% and 95% exceedance levels.
(2) - The value is natural volume - actual volume may be affected by upstream water management.
(3) - Median value used in place of average.
Current % Capacity
Bear River Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Bear River Basin is much below average at 66% of normal, compared to 69% last year. Precipitation in March was
much below average at 63%, which brings the seasonal accumulation (Oct-Mar) to 79% of average. Soil moisture is at 73% compared
to 80% last year. Reservoir storage is at 69% of capacity, compared to 89% last year. Forecast streamflow volumes range from 8% to
51% of average. The surface water supply index is 43% for the Bear River.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
35
30
80%
25
20
15
10
60%
40%
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
140
WOODRUFF CREEK
120
WOODRUFF
NARROWS
Percent of Average
100
80
PORCUPINE
60
40
HYRUM
20
BEAR LAKE
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Bear basin
!
(
!
(
!
(
!
(
!
(
!
(
!
(
#
*!
(
#
*
15
84
5#
*
Tremonton5
Logan
#
*
#
*
#
*
#
*
15
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
5 Evanston
5 Ogden
84
50 - 69%
80
70 - 89%
#
*
90 - 109%
110 - 129%
130 - 149%
V
U
> 150%
150
!
(
no % avail.
Forecast points
Rivers
Highways
Cities
10
20
30
40
Miles
BEAR RIVER BASIN as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
BEAR RIVER BASIN
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Bear R nr UT-WY State Line
APR-JUL
27
44
|
56
50
|
68
85
112
|
|
Bear R ab Res nr Woodruff
APR-JUL
1.0
10.0
|
45
37
|
39
64
121
|
|
Big Ck nr Randolph
APR-JUL
0.04
0.49
|
1.33
35
|
1.22
2.10
3.80
|
|
Smiths Fk nr Border
APR-JUL
23
36
|
45
51
|
53
66
89
|
|
Bear R bl Stewart Dam
APR-JUL
2.0
4.0
|
14.0
8
|
40
106
183
|
|
Little Bear R at Paradise
APR-JUL
0.4
3.3
|
9.8
24
|
13.6
25
41
|
|
Logan R nr Logan
APR-JUL
10.0
27
|
38
34
|
50
67
111
|
|
Blacksmith Fork nr Hyrum
APR-JUL
1.3
8.0
|
18.6
43
|
29
45
43
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
Surface Water Supply Index
April 1, 2013
Basin or Region
Bear River
March EOM*
Bear Lake
April-July
Forecast below
Stewart Dam
Reservoir +
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
801
14
815
SWSI#
Percentile
%
-0.62
43
*EOM, end of month; SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Bear Lake - Surface Water Supply Index

April
1800
1600
1400
Thousand Acre-ft
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
Years with
similar SWSI
Streamflow
Reservoir
96, 01, 64, 56
Weber & Ogden River Basins

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Weber & Ogden River Basins is much below average at 62% of normal, compared to 56% last year. Precipitation in
March was much below average at 52%, which brings the seasonal accumulation (Oct-Mar) to 76% of average. Soil moisture is at 72%
compared to 79% last year. Reservoir storage is at 58% of capacity, compared to 86% last year. Forecast streamflow volumes range
from 21% to 55% of average. The surface water supply index is 5% for the Ogden River, 13% for the Weber River.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
40
35
80%
30
25
20
15
60%
40%
10
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
120
SMITH AND
MOREHOUSE
100
Percent of Average
ROCKPORT
ECHO
80
LOST CREEK
60
EAST CANYON
40
CAUSEY
PINEVIEW
20
WILLARD BAY
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Weber-Ogden basin
!
(
!
(
(
!
(!
!
(
!
(
#
*
*
#
#
*
Ogden
!
(
80
!
(
#
*
#
*
5 Layton
!
(
!
(
!
(
*
#
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
#
*
!
(
!
(
!
(
50 - 69%
70 - 89%
80
90 - 109%
!
( #
*
110 - 129%
130 - 149%
15
!
(
> 150%
no % avail.
Forecast points
Highways
Cities
0 2.5 5
10
15
(
#
*!
#
*
!
(
!
(
Rivers
#
*
#
*
#
*
20
Miles
!
(
WEBER & OGDEN WATERSHEDS in Utah as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
WEBER & OGDEN WATERSHEDS in Utah
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Smith & Morehouse Res Inflow
APR-JUL
10.8
15.1
|
18.0
53
|
21
25
34
|
|
Weber R nr Oakley
APR-JUL
30
48
|
60
51
|
72
90
117
|
|
Rockport Res
APR-JUL
12.0
34
|
50
41
|
65
87
123
|
|
Weber R nr Coalville
APR-JUL
12.0
36
|
52
41
|
68
91
126
|
|
Chalk Ck at Coalville
APR-JUL
1.2
4.6
|
14.0
34
|
21
34
41
|
|
Echo Res Inflow
APR-JUL
5.0
32
|
62
37
|
91
135
166
|
|
Lost Ck Resv Inflow
APR-JUL
0.1
1.1
|
4.2
35
|
7.5
12.7
12.1
|
|
East Canyon Ck nr Jeremy Ranch
APR-JUL
4.7
7.6
|
7.1
47
|
8.2
9.3
15.2
|
|
East Canyon Ck nr Morgan
APR-JUL
0.3
2.0
|
10.4
37
|
8.2
15.3
28
|
|
Weber R at Gateway
APR-JUL
6.0
26
|
100
32
|
166
269
315
|
|
SF Ogden R nr Huntsville
APR-JUL
1.7
9.9
|
17.5
31
|
25
36
56
|
|
Pineview Res Inflow
APR-JUL
0.9
5.2
|
18.0
21
|
37
67
86
|
|
Wheeler Ck nr Huntsville
APR-JUL
0.06
0.38
|
1.30
21
|
2.40
4.10
6.30
|
|
Centerville Ck
APR-JUL
0.04
0.32
|
0.50
37
|
0.69
0.96
1.35
|
|
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
April 1, 2013
Basin or Region
Weber River
March EOM*
Reservoirs
April-July
Forecast Weber
River at Gateway
Reservoirs +
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
254
100
354
SWSI#
Percentile
%
-3.06
13
Weber River Surface Water Supply Index

April
1200
1000
Thousand Acre-ft
800
600
400
200
Years with
similar SWSI
Reservoir
Streamflow
02, 07, 92, 88
April 1, 2013
Basin or Region
Ogden River
March EOM*
Pine View &
Causey
April-July
Forecast
Pineview
Reservoir Inflow
Reservoir +
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
63.2
18.0
81.2
SWSI#
Percentile
%
-3.72
Ogden Surface Water Supply Index

April
400
350
300
Thousand Acre-ft
250
200
150
100
50
Years with
similar SWSI
Streamflow
Reservoir
92, 88, 03
Provo & Jordan River Basins

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Provo & Jordan River Basins is much below average at 63% of normal, compared to 55% last year. Precipitation in
from 23% to 63% of average. The surface water supply index is 9% for the Provo River.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
40
35
80%
30
25
20
15
60%
40%
10
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
140
UTAH LAKE
120
Percent of Average
100
JORDANELLE
80
DEER CREEK
60
40
UPPER STILLWATER
20
STRAWBERRY
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Provo-Utah LakeJordan basin
(
!
(!
#
*
#
* !
(
#
Salt Lake City 5 *
#
*
#
*
80
#
*
#
*
!
(
!
(
#
*
!
(
!
(
#
*
5
Heber City
#
* !
(
#
*
#
*
!
(
!
(
5Provo
!
(
#
*
15
!
(
!
(
!
(
#
*
5 Nephi
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
50 - 69%
70 - 89%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
Forecast points
90 - 109%
Rivers
110 - 129%
Highways
130 - 149%
> 150%
no % avail.
Cities
!
(
!
(
!
(
0 2.755.5
11
16.5
22
Miles
UTAH LAKE, JORDAN RIVER as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
UTAH LAKE, JORDAN RIVER & TOOELE VALLEY
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Salt Ck at Nephi
APR-JUL
0.29
1.26
|
4.00
42
|
6.70
10.70
9.50
|
|
Spanish Fk at Castilla
APR-JUL
1.4
4.1
|
16.0
23
|
33
58
69
|
|
Provo R nr Woodland
APR-JUL
38
53
|
63
63
|
75
94
100
|
|
Provo R nr Hailstone
APR-JUL
33
50
|
63
58
|
78
103
108
|
|
Provo R bl Deer Ck Dam
APR-JUL
12.0
36
|
52
45
|
68
92
116
|
|
American Fk ab Upper Powerplant
APR-JUL
0.3
2.6
|
10.2
32
|
12.2
19.9
32
|
|
Utah Lake Inflow
APR-JUL
8.0
117
|
155
59
|
254
392
265
|
|
L Cottonwood Ck nr SLC
APR-JUL
19.1
23
|
24
63
|
30
35
38
|
|
Big Cottonwood Ck nr SLC
APR-JUL
2.9
9.1
|
22
61
|
17.5
24
36
|
|
Mill Ck nr SLC
APR-JUL
0.06
0.70
|
2.60
41
|
1.10
3.10
6.40
|
|
Parley's Ck nr SLC
APR-JUL
0.1
1.1
|
6.0
42
|
4.9
9.6
14.2
|
|
Dell Fk nr SLC
APR-JUL
0.07
0.69
|
3.20
46
|
2.00
6.10
6.90
|
|
Emigration Ck nr SLC
APR-JUL
0.08
0.88
|
1.36
34
|
1.84
2.70
4.00
|
|
City Ck nr SLC
APR-JUL
0.15
1.71
|
3.40
44
|
5.10
7.60
7.70
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
April 1, 2013
Basin or Region
Provo River
March EOM*
Deer Creek,
Jordanelle
April - July
Forecast Provo
River below Deer
Creek
Reservoir +
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
315
52
367
SWSI#
Percentile
%
-3.45
Provo River SWSI @ Deer Creek Inflow

April
900
800
700
Thousand Acre-ft
600
500
400
300
200
100
Years with similar

SWSI
Streamflow
Reservoir
04,03,02,92
Tooele & Vernon Creek Basins

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Tooele & Vernon Creek Basins is below average at 72% of normal, compared to 55% last year. Precipitation in March
was much below average at 38%, which brings the seasonal accumulation (Oct-Mar) to 75% of average. Soil moisture is at 58%
from 43% to 57% of average.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
40
35
80%
30
25
20
15
10
60%
40%
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
160
140
VERNON CREEK
Percent of Average
120
100
SETTLEMENT
CANYON
80
60
40
GRANTSVILLE
20
0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Salt Lake City
80
Tooele 5
*
!
(#
15
!
(
TooeleVernon basin
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
5 Vernon
#
*
70 - 89%
!
(
90 - 109%
110 - 129%
130 - 149%
> 150%
no % avail.
Rivers
Highways
!
(
50 - 69%
Forecast points
Cities
0 2.5 5
10
15
20
Miles
TOOELE VALLEY as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
TOOELE VALLEY
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
W Canyon Ck nr Cedar Fort
APR-JUL
0.14
0.69
|
1.00
57
|
1.27
1.78
1.76
|
|
Vernon Ck nr Vernon
APR-JUL
0.01
0.08
|
0.60
43
|
0.66
1.25
1.39
|
|
S Willow Ck nr Grantsville
APR-JUL
0.40
1.06
|
1.51
49
|
1.96
2.62
3.10
==================================================================================================================================
Northeastern Uintah Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Northeastern Uintah Basin is below average at 80% of normal, compared to 54% last year. Precipitation in March was
below average at 83%, which brings the seasonal accumulation (Oct-Mar) to 85% of average. Soil moisture is at 52% compared to 84%
last year. Reservoir storage is at 79% of capacity, compared to 86% last year. Forecast streamflow volumes range from 51% to 62% of
average.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
20
80%
25
15
10
60%
40%
20%
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
140
120
MEEKS CABIN
Percent of Average
100
80
STATELINE
60
40
FLAMING GORGE
20
0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Northeastern Utah
#
*
Manila5
#
*
!
(
!
(
!
(
!
(
!
(
!
(
#
*
!
(
!
(
V
U
44
!
(
191
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
50 - 69%
70 - 89%
90 - 109%
110 - 129%
130 - 149%
> 150%
no % avail.
Forecast points
Rivers
Highways
Cities
0 2.5 5
10
!
(
15
20
Miles
NORTHEASTERN UTAH as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
NORTHEASTERN UTAH
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Blacks Fk nr Robertson
APR-JUL
37
47
|
55
62
|
63
77
89
|
|
EF of Smiths Fork nr Robertson (2) APR-JUL
8.4
12.6
|
16.0
62
|
19.8
26
26
|
|
Flaming Gorge Reservoir Inflow (2)
APR-JUL
220
370
|
495
51
|
635
875
980
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
Duchesne River Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Duchesne River Basin is much below average at 68% of normal, compared to 60% last year. Precipitation in March
from 31% to 62% of average. The surface water supply index is 25% for the Western Uintahs, 6% for the Eastern Uintahs.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
30
25
80%
20
15
10
60%
40%
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
140
STRAWBERRY
120
CURRANT CREEK
Percent of Average
100
MOON LAKE
80
STARVATION
60
UPPER STILLWATER
40
BIG SAND WASH

RED FLEET
20
STEINAKER
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Duchesne basin
191
!
(
!
(
!
(
#
*
!
(
#
*
40
* !
(
!
(#
#
(
* !
#
*
#
*
!
(
*
#
*#
5
Duchesne
191
Percent normal
10
#
*
SNOTEL sites
Forecast points
Rivers
Highways
Cities
20
30
!
(
"
) < 50%
"50 - 69% !
(
"
) )
"
)
*
"
) 70 - 89% #
"
) 90 - 109%
"
) 110 - 129%
"
) 130 - 149% 5
"
) > 150%
"
) no % avail.
#
*
Vernal 5
#
*
*
!#
(
(
#
*!
#
*
!
(
Roosevelt
#
*
!
(
!
(
!
(
40
Miles
#
*
40
#
*
UINTAH BASIN as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
UINTAH BASIN
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Big Brush Ck ab Red Fleet Reservoir APR-JUL
7.6
10.7
|
13.0
62
|
15.6
19.8
21
|
|
Ashley Ck nr Vernal
APR-JUL
14.0
22
|
28
56
|
35
47
50
|
|
WF Duchesne R at VAT Diversion
APR-JUL
5.3
7.1
|
8.5
46
|
10.0
12.5
18.6
|
|
Duchesne R nr Tabiona (2)
APR-JUL
39
51
|
60
56
|
70
85
108
|
|
Upper Stillwater Reservoir Inflow (2 APR-JUL
30
38
|
44
60
|
50
60
74
|
|
Rock Ck nr Mountain Home (2)
APR-JUL
38
47
|
53
60
|
60
70
88
|
|
Duchesne R ab Knight Diversion (2) APR-JUL
75
96
|
111
57
|
127
154
195
|
|
Strawberry R nr Soldier Springs (2) APR-JUL
5.1
11.8
|
18.0
33
|
25
39
55
|
|
Currant Ck Reservoir Inflow (2)
APR-JUL
3.4
5.6
|
7.4
37
|
9.4
12.9
20
|
|
Strawberry R nr Duchesne (2)
APR-JUL
14.0
28
|
40
36
|
54
79
112
|
|
Lake Fork R ab Moon Lake Reservoir
APR-JUL
18.5
26
|
32
53
|
38
49
61
|
|
Lake Fork R bl Moon Lake Reservoir ( APR-JUL
24
31
|
36
55
|
42
51
66
|
|
Yellowstone R nr Altonah
APR-JUL
20
28
|
34
56
|
40
51
61
|
|
Duchesne R at Myton (2)
APR-JUL
56
95
|
128
39
|
165
230
330
|
|
Uinta R bl Powerplant Diversion nr N APR-JUL
15.3
26
|
35
47
|
45
63
74
|
|
Whiterocks R nr Whiterocks
APR-JUL
14.1
22
|
28
52
|
35
47
54
|
|
Duchesne R nr Randlett (2)
APR-JUL
39
82
|
121
31
|
167
250
385
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
April 1, 2013
Basin or Region
Eastern Uintah
March EOM*
Red Fleet &
Steinaker
April-July
Forecast Big
Brush & Ashley
Creek
Reservoir +
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
29.2
41.0
70.2
SWSI#
Percentile
%
-3.69
Eastern Uintah Basin - Surface Water Supply Index

Streamflow
April
200
180
160
140
Thousand Acre-ft
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
Years with
similar SWSI
Reservoir
02, 89, 90
April 1, 2013
Basin or Region
Western Uintah
March EOM*
Starvation &
Upper Stillwater
April-July
Forecast Rock
Creek &
Duchesne River
Reservoir +
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
163
113
276
SWSI#
Percentile
%
-2.08
25
Western Uintah Basin - Surface Water Supply Index

Streamflow
April
600
500
Thousand Acre-ft
400
300
200
100
Years with
similar SWSI
Reservoir
03, 04, 76, 90
Price & San Rafael Basins

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Price & San Rafael Basins is much below average at 66% of normal, compared to 43% last year. Precipitation in
from 32% to 53% of average. The surface water supply index is 23% for the Price River, 4% for Joe's Valley, 5% for Ferron Creek.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
35
30
80%
25
20
15
10
60%
40%
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
160
SCOFIELD
140
Percent of Average
120
MILLER FLAT
100
CLEVELAND LAKE
80
60
HUNTINGTON
NORTH
40
MILLSITE
20
JOES VALLEY
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Price-San Rafael
!
(
basin
#
*
!
(
#
*
!
(
!
(
!
(
5 Price
!
(
!
(
!
(
#
*
#
*
Castle Dale
!
(!
(
#
*
5
#
*Green River
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
70
50 - 69%
70 - 89%
90 - 109%
110 - 129%
130 - 149%
> 150%
no % avail.
Forecast points
Rivers
Highways
Cities
10
20
30
40
Miles
PRICE-SAN RAFAEL BASINS as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
PRICE SAN RAFAEL
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Fish Ck ab Reservoir nr Scofield
APR-JUL
9.3
13.1
|
16.0
53
|
19.2
25
30
|
|
Price R nr Scofield Reservoir (2)
APR-JUL
10.1
15.6
|
20
49
|
25
33
41
|
|
White R bl Tabbyune Creek
APR-JUL
2.4
3.9
|
5.0
32
|
6.3
8.5
15.5
|
|
Green R at Green River, UT (2)
APR-JUL
700
1050
|
1320
45
|
1630
2130
2960
|
|
Electric Lake Inflow (2)
APR-JUL
2.8
4.5
|
6.0
45
|
7.7
10.5
13.3
|
|
Huntington Ck nr Huntington (2)
APR-JUL
10.5
14.7
|
18.0
45
|
22
28
40
|
|
Joe's Valley Reservoir Inflow (2)
APR-JUL
14.1
21
|
26
46
|
32
41
56
|
|
Ferron Ck (Upper Station) nr Ferron APR-JUL
11.8
15.3
|
18.0
47
|
21
25
38
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
April 1, 2013
Basin or Region
Joe's Valley
March EOM*
Joe's Valley
April-July
Forecast Inflow to
Joe's Valley
Reservoir +
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
33.9
26.0
59.9
SWSI#
Percentile
%
-3.85
*EOM, end of month; # SWSI, Surface Water Supply Index; ^KAF, thousand acre-feet.
Joe's Valley - Surface Water Supply Index

Streamflow
April
140
120
Thousand Acre-ft
100
80
60
40
20
Years with similar

SWSI
Reservoir
02, 90
April 1, 2013
March EOM*
April-July
Scofield Reservoir Forecast Scofield
Basin or Region
Price River
Reservoir +
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
30.5
20.0
50.5
SWSI#
Percentile
%
-2.29
23
Price River - Surface Water Supply Index

April
160
140
120
Thousand Acre-ft
100
80
60
40
20
Years with similar

SWSI
Streamflow
Reservoir
89, 03, 10, 01
April 1, 2013
April-July
March EOM*
Forecast Ferron
Millsite Reservoir
creek
Basin or Region
Ferron Creek
Reservoir +
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
4.0
18.0
22.0
SWSI#
Percentile
%
-3.77
Ferron Creek - Surface Water Supply Index

Streamflow
April
120
100
Thousand Acre-ft
80
60
40
20
Years with similar

SWSI
Reservoir
77, 02, 76
Dirty Devil Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Dirty Devil Basin is below average at 73% of normal, compared to 61% last year. Precipitation in March was much
last year. Forecast streamflow volumes range from 43% to 48% of average.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
20
80%
25
15
10
40%
20%
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
Precipitation
140
120
100
Percent of Average
60%
80
60
40
20
0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Dirty Devil basin
!
(
*
#
70
!
(
#
*
!
(
Hanksville
Torrey
!
(
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
50 - 69%
70 - 89%
90 - 109%
110 - 129%
130 - 149%
> 150%
no % avail.
Forecast points
Rivers
Highways
Cities
10
20
30
40
Miles
DIRTY DEVIL BASIN as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
DIRTY DEVIL
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Seven Mile Ck nr Fish Lake
APR-JUL
1.79
2.70
|
3.50
48
|
4.40
5.80
7.30
|
|
Muddy Ck nr Emery
APR-JUL
4.1
6.5
|
8.5
43
|
10.8
14.5
19.9
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
Southeastern Utah Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Southeastern Utah Basin is much below average at 67% of normal, compared to 20% last year. Precipitation in March
from 23% to 58% of average. The surface water supply index is 9% for Moab.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
25
80%
30
20
15
10
60%
40%
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
200
180
160
Percent of Average
140
120
100
KEN'S LAKE
80
60
40
20
0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Vernal
Southeastern Utah
5 Price
!
(
Green River 5
70
#
*
Moab
!
#
*!
(
(
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
50 - 69%
70 - 89%
5 Monticello
!
(*
!
(#
90 - 109%
110 - 129%
130 - 149%
> 150%
no % avail.
*
#
Forecast points
Rivers
Highways
Cities
0 5 10
20
30
40
Miles
SOUTHEASTERN UTAH as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
SOUTHEASTERN UTAH.
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Colorado R nr Cisco (2)
APR-JUL
1208
1585
|
1870
44
|
2179
2677
4280
|
|
Mill Ck at Sheley Tunnel nr Moab
APR-JUL
1.33
1.98
|
2.50
58
|
3.10
4.00
4.30
|
|
South Ck ab Lloyd's Reservoir nr Mon Apr-JUL
0.06
0.16
|
0.27
21
|
0.42
0.73
1.31
|
|
San Juan R nr Bluff (2)
APR-JUL
215
320
|
400
36
|
490
640
1100
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
April 1, 2013
Basin or Region
Moab
March EOM*
Ken's Lake
Reservoir
April-July
Forecast Mill
Creek at Sheley
Reservoir +
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
0.4
2.5
2.9
SWSI#
Percentile
%
-3.39
Moab - Surface Water Supply Index

April
14
12
Thousand Acre-ft
10
Years with similar

SWSI
Streamflow
Reservoir
02, 90, 89, 04
Escalante River Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Escalante River Basin is below average at 79% of normal, compared to 73% last year. Precipitation in March was
last year. The forecast streamflow volume for Pine Creek is 63% of average.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
20
80%
25
15
10
40%
20%
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
Precipitation
140
120
100
Percent of Average
60%
80
60
40
20
0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
!
(
Escalante basin
V
U
12
!
(
5 Boulder
#
*
!
(
Escalante
89
#
*
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
50 - 69%
70 - 89%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
Forecast points
90 - 109%
Rivers
110 - 129%
Highways
130 - 149%
> 150%
Cities
0 2.75 5.5
no % avail.
11
16.5
22
Miles
ESCALANTE RIVER BASIN as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
ESCALANTE RIVER BASIN.
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Pine Ck nr Escalante
APR-JUL
0.57
1.07
|
1.50
63
|
2.00
2.90
2.40
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
San Pitch River Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the San Pitch River Basin is below average at 72% of normal, compared to 49% last year. Precipitation in March was
to 79% last year. Reservoir storage is at 43% of capacity, compared to 101% last year. The forecast streamflow volume for Manti
Creek is 63% of average.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
40
35
80%
30
25
20
15
10
60%
40%
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
160
140
Percent of Average
120
100
GUNNISON
RESERVOIR
80
60
40
20
0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
San Pitch basin

!
(
!
(
Mt. Pleasant 5
!
(
89
Ephraim 5
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
!
(
50 - 69%
#
*
70 - 89%
!
(
90 - 109%
110 - 129%
#
*
130 - 149%
!
(
Gunnison
> 150%
no % avail.
!
(
Forecast points
Rivers
Highways
Cities
2.5
10
15
20
Miles
!
(
(
!
(!
SAN PITCH RIVER BASIN as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
SAN PITCH RIVER BASIN
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Manti Ck Blw Dugway Ck Nr Manti
APR-JUL
6.3
8.7
|
10.5
63
|
12.4
15.6
16.7
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
Upper Sevier River Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Upper Sevier River Basin is below average at 75% of normal, compared to 62% last year. Precipitation in March was
87% of average. The surface water supply index is 19% for the Upper Sevier.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
25
80%
30
20
15
10
60%
40%
20%
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
140
120
PANGUITCH LAKE
Percent of Average
100
80
OTTER CREEK
60
40
PIUTE
20
0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Upper Sevier basin

!
(
Fillmore 5
#
*
!
(
!
(
!
(
!
(
5 Richfield
#
*
!
(
!
(
!
(
#
*
Beaver 5
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
#
*#
*
< 50%
50 - 69%
!
(
15
70 - 89%
!
(
90 - 109%
!
(
110 - 129%
130 - 149%
!
(
> 150%
#
*
!
(
no % avail.
!
(
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
Forecast points
Rivers
Highways
!
(
Cities
10
20
30
40
Miles
!
(
70
UPPER SEVIER BASIN as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
UPPER SEVIER RIVER BASIN
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Mammoth Ck nr Hatch
APR-JUL
10.6
13.5
|
15.0
56
|
17.6
21
27
|
|
Sevier R at Hatch
APR-JUL
9.4
18.2
|
24
50
|
30
39
48
|
|
Sevier R nr Kingston
APR-JUL
0.7
6.0
|
16.0
49
|
26
43
33
|
|
EF Sevier R nr Kingston
APR-JUL
9.6
|
20
57
|
37
48
35
|
|
Sevier R bl Piute Dam
APR-JUL
2.0
12.4
|
32
49
|
52
80
66
|
|
Clear Ck ab Diversions nr Sevier
APR-JUL
4.0
8.9
|
12.3
59
|
15.6
21
21
|
|
Salina Ck nr Emery
APR-JUL
0.08
0.71
|
2.70
34
|
4.60
7.50
7.90
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
UpperSevierSurfaceWaterSupplyIndex
April1,2013
MarchEOM*
AprilJuly
Piute&Otter ForecastInflowto
CreekReservoir PiuteReservoir
BasinorRegion
UpperSevier
Reservoir+
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
102.0
32
134
SWSI
Percentile
%
2.58
19
*EOM,endofmonth; SWSI,SurfaceWaterSupplyIndex;^KAF,thousandacrefeet.
UpperSevierRiverSurfaceWaterSupplyIndex
Streamflow
April
400
350
300
ThousandAcreft
250
200
150
100
50
Yearswithsimilar
SWSI
Reservoir
55,92,66,77
Lower Sevier River Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Lower Sevier River Basin is below average at 87% of normal, compared to 63% last year. Precipitation in March was
53% of average. The surface water supply index is 47% for the Lower Sevier.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
35
120%
30
100%
25
20
15
10
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
180
160
Percent of Average
140
120
100
SEVIER BRIDGE
80
60
40
20
0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Lower Sevier
basin
15
5 Nephi
#
*
!
(
5 Delta
#
*!
(
Fillmore
!
(
15
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
50 - 69%
70 - 89%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
Forecast points
90 - 109%
Rivers
110 - 129%
Highways
130 - 149%
> 150%
Cities
0 2.5 5
no % avail.
10
15
20
Miles
LOWER SEVIER RIVER BASIN as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
LOWER SEVIER RIVER BASIN
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Sevier R nr Gunnison
APR-JUL
6.4
34
|
52
53
|
70
98
99
|
|
Chicken Ck nr Levan
APR-JUL
0.05
1.40
|
2.40
53
|
3.40
4.50
4.50
|
|
Oak Creek nr Oak City
APR-JUL
0.09
0.20
|
0.30
18
|
0.42
0.63
1.66
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
LowerSevierSurfaceWaterSupplyIndex
April1,2013
BasinorRegion
MarchEOM*
SevierBridge
Reservoir
AprilJuly
ForecastInflowto
SevierBridge
Reservoir
KAF^
KAF
KAF
LowerSevier
172.0
52
224
Reservoir+
Streamflow
SWSI
Percentile
0.23
47
LowerSevierRiverSurfaceWaterSupplyIndex
Streamflow
April
900
800
700
TThousand AcreFt
600
500
400
300
200
100
Yearswithsimilar
SWSI
Reservoir
10,09,71,07
Beaver River Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Beaver River Basin is below average at 89% of normal, compared to 64% last year. Precipitation in March was much
last year. Reservoir storage is at 63% of capacity, compared to 108% last year. The forecast streamflow volume for the Beaver River is
59% of average. The surface water supply index is 30% for the Beaver River.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
80%
30
25
60%
20
15
10
40%
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
160
140
Percent of Average
120
100
MINERSVILLE
RESERVOIR
80
60
40
20
0
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Beaver basin
15
70
Milford
Beaver 5
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
50 - 69%
70 - 89%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
Forecast points
90 - 109%
Rivers
110 - 129%
Highways
130 - 149%
> 150%
no % avail.
Cities
0 1.5 3
12
Miles
#
*
!
(
!
(
BEAVER RIVER BASIN as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
BEAVER RIVER BASIN
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Beaver R nr Beaver
APR-JUL
2.4
10.2
|
15.4
59
|
21
28
26
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
BeaverSurfaceWaterSupplyIndex
April1,2013
MarchEOM*
Minersville
Reservoir
BasinorRegion
Beaver
AprilJulyforecast
BeaverRiverat
Beaver
Reservoir+
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
14.6
15.4
30.0
SWSI
Percentile
1.65
30
BeaverRiverSurfaceWaterSupplyIndex
April
100
90
80
ThousandAcreFt
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Yearswithsimilar
SWSI
Streamflow
Reservoir
94,91,65,01
Current % Capacity
Southwestern Utah Basin

4/1/2013
Snowpack in the Southwestern Utah Basin is much below average at 61% of normal, compared to 57% last year. Precipitation in
from 34% to 56% of average. The surface water supply index is 18% for the Virgin River.
Snowpack
Soil Moisture
100%
35
30
80%
25
20
15
10
60%
40%
20%
5
0
0%
Max
Min
Avg
WY 2013
2005-Current
WY 2013
Avg
Reservoir Storage
Precipitation
160
QUAIL CREEK
140
SAND HOLLOW
Percent of Average
120
100
GUNLOCK
80
KOLOB
60
UPPER ENTERPRISE
40
LOWER ENTERPRISE
20
LAKE POWELL
Monthly
Year-to-Date
Current % Capacity
Southwestern Utah
15
Cedar City
!
(
5#
*
!
(
!
(
!
( !
(
!
(
!
(!
(
!
(!
(
(
#
*!
#
*
St. George 5
#
*
Hurricane
Percent normal
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
"
)
< 50%
50 - 69%
70 - 89%
!
(
#
*
SNOTEL sites
Forecast points
90 - 109%
Rivers
110 - 129%
Highways
130 - 149%
> 150%
no % avail.
Cities
!
(
0 2.5 5
10
15
20
Miles
SOUTH WEST UTAH as of April 1, 2013
==================================================================================================================================
SOUTH WEST UTAH
==================================================================================================================================
|
|
Forecast Point
Period |
90%
70%
|
50%
|
30%
10%
| 30-Yr Avg.
| (1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF) (% AVG.) |
(1000AF) (1000AF) |
(1000AF)
====================================================================|=======================|=====================================
Lake Powell Inflow (2)
APR-JUL
1183
1856
|
2400
34
|
3014
4044
7160
|
|
Virgin R at Virgin
APR-JUL
15.8
23
|
28
48
|
34
44
58
|
|
Virgin R nr Hurricane
APR-JUL
6.9
14.8
|
22
35
|
31
46
63
|
|
Santa Clara R nr Pine Valley
APR-JUL
0.76
1.27
|
1.70
34
|
2.20
3.00
5.00
|
|
Coal Ck nr Cedar City
APR-JUL
3.7
7.8
|
10.5
57
|
13.3
17.3
18.6
|
|
==================================================================================================================================
April 1, 2013
March EOM*
April-July forecast
Quail Creek and
Virgin and Santa
Gunlock
Clara Rivers
Reservoirs
Basin or Region
Virgin River
Reservoir +
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
32.3
29.7
62.0
Virgin River Surface Water Supply Index

April
300
250
Thousand Acre-ft
200
150
100
50
SWSI#
Percentile
Years with similar

SWSI
-2.68
Streamflow
18
Reservoir
03,02,04,07
SurfaceWaterSupplyIndex
4/1/2013
BasinorRegion
BearRiver
OgdenRiver
WeberRiver
Provo
WestUintahBasin
EastUintahBasin
PriceRiver
Joe'sValley
FerronCreek
Moab
UpperSevierRiver
LowerSevierRiver
BeaverRiver
VirginRiver
MarchEOM*
Reservoirs
AprilJulyStream
Forecast
Reservoir+
Streamflow
KAF^
KAF
KAF
801
63
254
315
163
29.2
30.5
33.9
4.0
0.4
86
158
12.5
32.3
14
18
100
52
113
41.0
20.0
26.0
18.0
2.5
59
91
19.0
30
815
81
354
367
276
70.2
50.5
59.9
22.0
2.9
145
249
31.5
62
SWSI
Percentile
0.62
3.72
3.06
3.45
2.08
3.69
2.29
3.85
3.77
3.39
1.26
0.98
0.71
2.68
43
5
13
9
25
6
23
4
5
9
19
47
30
18
Yearswithsimilar
SWSI
96,01,64,56
92,88,03
02,07,92,88
04,03,02,92
03,04,76,90
02,89,90
89,03,10,01
02,90
77,02,76
02,90,89,04
52,75,10,79
75,88,00,05
89,62,67,00
03,02,04,07
*EOM,endofmonth; # SWSI,surfacewatersupplyindex;^KAF,thousandacrefeet.
WhatisaSurfaceWaterSupplyIndex?
TheSurfaceWaterSupplyIndex(SWSI)isapredictiveindicatoroftotalsurfacewateravailabilitywithinawatershedforthespringandsummerwateruseseasons.The
indexiscalculatedbycombiningprerunoffreservoirstorage(carryover)withforecastsofspringandsummerstreamflowwhicharebasedoncurrentsnowpackand
otherhydrologicvariables.SWSIvaluesarescaledfrom+4.1(abundantsupply)to4.1(extremelydry)withavalueofzero(0)indicatingmedianwatersupplyas
comparedtohistoricalanalysis.SWSI'sarecalculatedinthisfashiontobeconsistentwithotherhydroclimaticindicatorssuchasthePalmerDroughtIndexandthe
Precipitationindex.
UtahSnowSurveyshasalsochosentodisplaytheSWSIvalueaswellasaPERCENTCHANCEOFNONEXCEEDANCE.Whilethisisacumbersomename,ithasthesimplest
application.Itcanbebestthoughtofasascaleof1to99with1beingthedroughtofrecord(driestpossibleconditions)and99beingthefloodofrecord(wettest
possibleconditions)andavalueof50representingaverageconditions.Thisratingscaleisapercentileratingaswell,forexampleaSWSIof75%meansthatthisyears
watersupplyisgreaterthan75%ofallhistoricaleventsandthatonly25%ofthetimehasitbeenexceeded.ConverselyaSWSIof10%meansthat90%ofhistorical
eventshavebeengreaterthanthisoneandthatonly10%havehadlesstotalwatersupply.Thisscaleiscomparablebetweenbasins:aSWSIof50%meansthesame
relativerankingonwatershedAasitdoesonwatershedB,whichmaynotbestrictlytrueofthe+4to4scale.
FormoreinformationontheSWSIgoto:www.ut.nrcs.usda.gov/snow/onthewatersupplypage.Theentireperiodofhistoricalrecordforreservoirstorageand
streamflowisavailable.
Issued by
Released by
Jason Weller
Chief
Natural Resources Conservation Service
U.S. Department of Agriculture
David Brown
State Conservationist
Salt Lake City, Utah
Prepared by
Snow Survey Staff
Randall Julander, Supervisor
Troy Brosten, Assistant Supervisor
Beau Uriona, Hydrologist
Jordan Clayton, Hydrologist
Bob Nault, Electronics Technician
Kent Sutcliffe, Soil Scientist
YOU MAY OBTAIN THIS PRODUCT AS WELL AS CURENT SNOW, PRECIPITATION,

TEMPERATURE AND SOIL MOISTURE, RESERVOIR, SURFACE WATER SUPPLY INDEX, AND
OTHER DATA BY VISITING OUR WEB SITE @: http://www.ut.nrcs.usda.gov/snow/
Snow Survey, NRCS, USDA

245 North Jimmy Doolittle Road
Salt Lake City, UT 84116
(801) 524-5213
Utah Water Supply

Outlook Report
Salt Lake City, UT

Utah Water Supply Outlook Report, April 2013

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Utah Water Supply Outlook Report, April 2013

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Utah Water Supply

Fish Lake SNOTEL and Snow Course, March 27, 2013.

Water Supply Outlook Reports

How forecasts are made

STATE OF UTAH GENERAL OUTLOOK

Previous Year % Capacity

Snow Water Equivalent (in)

Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.

Bear River Basin

Previous Year % Capacity

Salt Lake City

Price - San Rafael

* Data unavailable at time

The water year to date precipitation percent of normal represents the

Prepared by the USDA/NRCS National Water and Climate Center

Apr 01, 2013

Salt Lake City

Price - San Rafael

* Data unavailable at time

The snow water equivalent percent of normal represents the current

Prepared by the USDA/NRCS National Water and Climate Center

Raft River Basin

Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.

Raft River Basin as of April 1, 2013

Previous Year % Capacity

Bear River Basin

Snow Water Equivalent (in)

Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.

Previous Year % Capacity

BEAR RIVER BASIN as of April 1, 2013

Surface Water Supply Index

Bear Lake - Surface Water Supply Index

96, 01, 64, 56

Weber & Ogden River Basins

Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.

Previous Year % Capacity

WEBER & OGDEN WATERSHEDS in Utah as of April 1, 2013

Surface Water Supply Index

Weber River Surface Water Supply Index

02, 07, 92, 88

Surface Water Supply Index

Ogden Surface Water Supply Index

Provo & Jordan River Basins

Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.

Previous Year % Capacity

Provo-Utah LakeJordan basin

UTAH LAKE, JORDAN RIVER as of April 1, 2013

Surface Water Supply Index

Provo River SWSI @ Deer Creek Inflow

Years with similar

Tooele & Vernon Creek Basins

Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.

Previous Year % Capacity

Salt Lake City

TOOELE VALLEY as of April 1, 2013

Northeastern Uintah Basin

Snow Water Equivalent (in)

Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.

Previous Year % Capacity

NORTHEASTERN UTAH as of April 1, 2013

Duchesne River Basin

Snow Water Equivalent (in)

Calculated using soil moisture content at 2, 8, and 20-inch depths.

BIG SAND WASH