Name: Matriculation No.: Tutorial No. (W#).

Week 4: ICQ EC2303 EC2303

Week 4: In-Class Quiz - SOLUTIONS

Round nal answers to two decimal places where necessary. 1. Suppose you roll one die three times. (a) What is the probability that you roll a 5 exactly once? Solution: Dene X as the number of times you roll a 5. n! P (X = 1) = P (1) = P x (1 P )nx x!(n x)! P (X = 1) = P (1) = 3! 1!(3 1)! 1 6
1

5 6

31

1 5 2 P (X = 1) = P (1) = 2 6 25 P (X = 1) = P (1) = 0.35 72

(1)

(b) What is the probability that you roll at least 5 all three times? Solution: Dene X as the number of times you roll at least 5 (5 or 6). P (X = 3) = P (3) = P (X = 3) = P (3) = P (X = 3) = P (3) = P (X = 3) = P (3) = n! P x (1 P )nx x!(n x)! 3! 3!(3 3)! 1 3
3

1 3

2 3

33

(2)

1 0.04 27

2. What is the expected value of rolling one die only one time? E [X ] =
x

xP (x) = 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 6 6 6 6 6 6

E [X ] =1 21 E [X ] = 6 E [X ] =3.5

(3)