Probability Notes

5 Steps for Probability Experiment:

1. Create a simulation to model real context.
2. List possible outcomes.
3. Is it possible to describe theoretical probability? If possible, use to estimate chance.
4. Use experimental probability to develop a theoretical probability.
5. Describe chance.
2 Probability Essential Understandings:
Probability is a measure of the chance that a given event will occur along a continuum from impossible
(0) to certain (1).
Theoretical and experimental probability can be used to estimate the probability of an event actually
occurring but it may not be the same because chance has no memory.
Probability Vocabulary:
chance
likelihood
impossible
possible
certain
likely
unlikely
equally likely
fractions and percentages that connect to probability words
outcomes (sample space)
theoretical versus experimental probability
simulations