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(first image)
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International
International
Domestic
Domestic
Individual
Individual
Kenneth Waltz. 1954. Man, the State, and War.
;
()
,
;
;
Immanuel Kant
(1724-1804)
On Perpetual
Peace
:
Hobbes
(state of
nature), ,
,
(social contract)
State of
Nature
State of War
: :
(Structural Realism)
...
.
Carr,
Carr
1939
-
19 .
(,
, )
status quo,
(, , )
Carr:
"The Twenty Years' Crisis was written
with the deliberate aim of
counteracting the glaring and
dangerous defect of nearly all thinking
about international politics in the
English-speaking countries from 1919
to 1939 - the almost total neglect
of the factor of power"
Carr:
,
"World history is the World Court.
HansMorgenthau,PoliticsAmongNations
(1948)
Morgenthau...
1.
2.
3.
4.
:
5.
:,
,,
()
()
;,,
,:
,,
: ( )
()
,
( )
,
.
, ,
(relative gains):
(zero-sum),
.
( )
;
:
( 5.105)
...
....
.
5.89
...
Kenneth Waltz
:
States in the international system are
like firms in a domestic economy and
have the same fundamental interest:
TO SURVIVE
.
...
()
(KennethWaltz)I
(state
centrism)
KennethWaltzII
(selfhelp
system):
KennethWaltzIII
:
()
J. Mearsheimer I
(defensive realism) Waltz,
( )
.
J. Mearsheimer II
;
,
.
.
J. Mearsheimer III
"A great power that has a marked
power advantage over its rivals is likely
to behave more aggressively, because
it has the capability as well as the
incentive to do so."
J. Mearsheimer IV
.
.
.
(),
(offshore
balancers),
Power?
Power?
Power?
Thailand
Korea
Algeria
South
Power?
(internal balancing)
, ,
...
(external
balancing)
:
...
(self-help)
(bandwagon)
(balancing)
19
England
Russia
Prussia/Germany
France
AustriaHungary
20
(Triple Entente)
(,
)
1945-1990
Israel
Ethiopia
Taiwan
S. Korea
S. Viet Nam
W. Berlin
W. Germany
Britain/France/Japan
US
Syria/Egypt
Somalia
China
N. Korea
N. Viet Nam
E. Berlin
E. Germany
Poland/Czech
USSR
(
)
(-)
()
!!!
(1990)
EU
Japan
Russia
China
India
US
(2010)
EU
Japan
Russia
China
India
Brazil
Rest of G20 US
!!!